the guy told u but u mocked him . now his ghost haunts the cord. 6.2 was his number and the real figure is about that .sema geniuos .this guy never lets me down .big up msee .
This guy unveiled scientific facts and figures n people called him all sorts of names, am sure people will start taking what he says seriously.... numbers don't lie.
This why Muthai is my preferred analyst. There is no biasness in his work. People need to know the truth and the truth ought to be known! Thanks Ngunyi
Compelling argument - I think this is a solid analysis Mr. Ngunyi's, as long as his assumptions - that people will vote along ethnic lines at 100% voter turn out - are correct.
Mr. Ngunyi never gave an opinion of his own, he gave the silent, submerged indication by the IEBC through a purely scientific analysis of IEBC records. It's pure probability case here. He is not tribal neither biased, just the best at what he does, just a great political scientist who understands how to separate his personal emotions from science . Many so called political scientists should actually borrow a leaf from this guy and that includes Prof. Oloo, with all due respect.
Relativity >> Quantum mechanics >> The logic of probability approached via mathematical science... Kenya keeps coming up with very rich wits, we have us a 'modern-day' prophet here
His hypothesis is right in my view . . the population of one sub tribe of kikuyu is larger than the entire Muslim community so to kalenjin's sub tribes ..from there do the math
Can his critics show themselves please! This man predicted the outcome of the elections while they were sleeping. I think cord should petition Mr. Mutahi to come and explain to the supreme court as to how he was able to be spot on with the numbers on jubilee's win? Don't waste money on your lawyers he is your answer right here bwana Odinga. As for his critics stand up and salute this man cause he put you all to shame.
....cont Kikuyus form the third largest chunk after the Kalenjins. Laikipia and Nakuru (I am counting Naivasha as part of Nakuru) are exclusively inhabited by the Agikuyu. Ruto probably didnt deliver 64% of the RVP vote because the is a sizeable population of Luhyas too who probably followed Mudavadi. That said, Ruto delivered over 90 % of the Kalenjin votes to Raila. Uhuru only needs 60% (of the Kalenjin vote) to win in round one
What about the 8000 votes by which Uhuru garnered the +1 margin? How do we know they were worn fairly considering that the elections had several irregularities.
None of the two front running coalitions are my favourite. But I would be cautious to call Mutahi's bluff. He is actually telling the "naked king" the truth. He's actually helping Raila whereas Raila's strategists are deluding him as they have always done. If I were Raila I would give call serious emergency re-strategizing meeting.
Why are CORD supporters quick to dismiss Ngunyi's analysis??They know very well since the inception of multi party politics in Kenya,voting has always been along tribal lines.This is a reality you can't ram away from.It won't be any different this election
Yeah i remember him saying just two months ago, "Mudavadi has been handed the presidency on a silver platter" I wonder what we should believe from this guy. . .
Mydunda, As a son of the Rift Valley, let me tell you this; The Rift Valley is not exclusively inhabited by Kalenjins the way Central is by the Agikuyu. there are Luhyas, Turkanas, Samburus and Kikuyus among others. Kikuyus form the second largest chunk after the Kalenjins. ......cont .
I was thinking about the same thinking. They need to go to Western to maximise their chances. Also, Eastern (Kamba dominated areas), Maasai land and Kisii region. That is where they need to pick up votes to get them over the hurdle.
Very god advice. He is telling some truth not the real truth. Nevertheless, I think RAO supporters should take him seriously. Don't forget he said Musalia has won, and was very wrong on that.. now he is seeing he is losing and changing tunes. I think Uhuru may well win this election but I don't think we can be very sure about that for now. There are are just over 14 million voters, and 6 million is just less that half assuming the two tribes vote 100% Uhuruto. But he is a bit right..
hehe, this was soo good. ur enemy push u to the winning lyn God live long our prezo. Mutahi try to advice Raila but he could't listrn. he hes trust on icc when on the othr hand Uhuru put his trust to God. uhuru said "There's God in heaven" Raila said " There's ICC n UN" Huhuhu
I agree with your numbers.... further i project that uhuru will win nairobi by 48% raila will get 40% to 44% already sonko and shabesh are leading by by over 55%, the governors race is to close to call. What i don't understand is why jubilee is not campaigning in western? they can cut railas lead by at least 10%... they are wasting time campaigning in nyanza when they should be in western.
Raila will only win in 3provinces;Western,Nyanza and Coast.Nairobi and North Eastern will be 50/50 for Jubilee and CORD.Jubilee will carry Central,Rift Valley and Eastern.Jubilee will carry Eastern because it has the control of 5 out of the 8 counties in Eastern.CORD has the remaining 3;Kitui,Makueni and Machakos.In 2007,Kibaki beat Kalonzo in Eastern.Furthermore,Kambas have historically posted low voter turnouts on previous elections.Wont be any different this time round
1:CORD/Raila only has control of 3 counties in Eastern(Machakos,Makueni and Kitui).The remaining 5counties are in control of Jubilee(Meru,Embu,Tharaka Nithi,Isiolo and Marsabit).2.Kambas have historically in previous elections posted low voter turnouts;63-65%.In fact in 2007 Kalonzo got 600,000votes out of a possible 950,000 registered voters in Ukambani.If they posted such low turnouts when one of their own was a presidential candidate,what about now when Kalonzo wants them to vote for Raila?
You know what Mutahi, you're right, Right in saying that historically Kenyans have been voting along ethnic lines; HISTORICALLY!! But this is a new Kenya my friend where we despise and shun all tribal alliances. Did you see what was happening in Luo Nyanza during the primaries? Or you didn't have a TV by then? The same guys whom you rant that are tribal dared to say that they will vote in TNA aspirants!
Kenya has changed.that's just about it,its sad that people are still intertwined in negative ethnicity politics but then again it has to do with your level of education...
Raila has always lost. Those who dont want to accept the loss, call it rigging. kwani he has not had agents who would speak up? Besides ,Kriegler report said both Jubilee and ODM rigged!
Polls said Mwakwere was 3rd he won the Matuga by-election, polls said Sonko was trailing, he won the Makadara seat, so don't hang your hats on the pollsters numbers, as some have argued Kenya's unique demographic makes it impossible to conduct an accurate poll using the western approach. History though cannot be ignored, what Kenyans have been doing since 1963 will repeat itself, people will vote in ethnic blocs. You might be in for a surprise come March 5th
Mutahi Ngunyi was right about Mudavadi being the next president.It all would have happened if Uhuru had kept his agreement with Mudavadi.CORD should ignore his predictions at their own peril.This election will be a ICC protest vote.The Kikuyus/Kalenjins will vote in large numbers to show their dissatisfaction with a flawed process instigated by their common enemy Raila
Numbers dont lie.Even if raila is given luhya,kamba and wajaluo votes,still he can win,jubilee is ahead and raila should make sure that this thing go to the next round with him being no 2.The information from the ground is that jubilee is winning which prompted even the us and uk goverment to change their stand on uhuruto.
He predicted that Kibaki would be the president beyond January 2013 and guess what Kibaki is still the president. He also predicted that elections will be not be held in 2012 August guess what we are doing in 2013. He predicted Kogey and Ali will escape the ICC indictment.
I wouldn't really say that especially given that the Mugumo tree fell. Remember 2002? Kales, and Kukes voted Uhuru nearly 100% but he still lost. This election will be close and Uhuru may win but we cant really be sure for now.
It only proves that the rest of the country feels colonized by "some" community. Frankly speaking all colonial eras come to an end. History has an interesting way on how colonial eras end
raila is like a small kid that has been bullied , we dont need a president who needs sympathy i will cast my vote for uhuru although i am not a kikuyu nor a kalenjin i am casting a vote believing of a better kenya and uhuru is the man .......uhuru akianguka tutaanguka pamoja
with all those proffessors??? well done mutahi even in court all those lawyers will see dust!!!! they have mis advised agwambo thoughout his life that he will be president.. pity
All these candidates have a unique personality, OLE KIYIAPI have understanding of administration mechanism and good governance BUT i still give an edge to RAILA ODINGA who without hypocrisy has outlined a very clear policy of his ADMINISTRATION when he become PRESIDENT. i believe Raila Odinga will break the York of ethnicity because he represent NEW DAWN OF KENYA where no one will fill inferior to the other, and we will rise and be respected as a NATION if we do the right thing.
That's because the Kikuyu vote, which forms a considerable chunk of the remaining 35%, went to Kibaki. And it's no rocket science predicting where this vote will go this time around
.....of course you know who lives in Kiambu Mr. omondi. On the contrary, there ar other areas like Kalonzo's region (and as Mutahi tells us, Nyanza) that under performed. These are Raila's/Kalonzo's strongholds. That is where the 2 million CORD number is coming from as opposed to Jubilee's 4 million. Omondi, it is ARITHMETIC. CORD slept during the registration drive. JUBILEE worked their backs off. The election was won- by Uhuru on Dec. 18, when the IEBC closed the voter register.
The tyranny of numbers only refers to registered voters and it can favor any party, in nyanza, and mombasa county cord is supreme, in nairobi, central and RV jubilee is supreme.
Raila is a very big fighter....counting votes from four communities is not a very good anaylsis Mr ngunyi, remember that raila has solid support in pwani and northeastern, nairobi, rift valley is up for grabs, western is up for grabs, it is also very untrue that mudavadi will be number 2, mr ngunyi tulienda shule!
Even 2002 of Moi regime went down to Kibaki who campaigned for Him is Raila.if Kanu has accepted to support Amollo then Jubilee by eight months they will b jome
Yeah, Raila must get rid of charlatans and half baked quacks like adams oloo and angela ambitho as his advisors. This two chaps have really messed him up!
Linc Sink, I don't see Raila carrying Wester. Mudavadi will. He will get about 55% of the Luhya vote, Jubilee 15%, CORD, 30%, others less than 1% (including spoilt votes). Before anyone points out, I know it is over 100% because of rounding off. Raila only won four provinces in 2007; Nyanza, Coast, Western and Rift Valley. Kibaki won four; Central, Nairobi, Eastern and North Eastern. Yes, he won North Eastern but somehow people don't seem to know. At most, Raila will get 40
Watu waache mafeelings.This is a hypothesis.Mutahi is looking at the numbers.Mathematics doesn't care about opinions.This is why raila has started talking about rigging as a defence mechanism.Uhuru and ruto are excellent campaigners,there is no way the mediocre cord can outdo them.They will stick to their 3 pillars while cord is yapping about land and icc.
Does Adams Oloo have any students that he tutors? Political science has a lot of predictions and assumptions but the guy can't bring himself to making assumptions and predictions. I pity them. Seriously!
Let me conclude it. If CORD is supreme in Coast and Nyanza, ( I am assuming you are referring to provinces here) while Jubilee is supreme in Nairobi, Central and RV, so far, out of these five provinces, Uhuru has a humongous edge. That said, that leaves us with N.E. Western and Eastern. N.E. went to Kibaki last time. If it goes Raila 45% and Uhur 30%, Raila makes no significant gains in cutting Uhuru's lead. .....cont
Kind of reminds me of game of thrones, we have a king of the opressed and a king of the "mornachy".... Atleast RAO delivered a constitution to protect the "minority".
I never get tired of this!!
Thank You Ngunyi, Your analysis was a perfect score!.
9 yrs later and this still rings true!!
the guy told u but u mocked him . now his ghost haunts the cord. 6.2 was his number and the real figure is about that .sema geniuos .this guy never lets me down .big up msee .
Mutahi ngunyi is a true analyst.he is smart
Mutahi You are my man!!!! I believed you then, when you called this for Uhuru!!!. Mutahi you are the man!!
This guy unveiled scientific facts and figures n people called him all sorts of names, am sure people will start taking what he says seriously.... numbers don't lie.
I HAVE WATCHED THIS SO MANY TIMES
It's unbelievable how he thought that up, but its absolutely tragic as to how right he is.
This why Muthai is my preferred analyst. There is no biasness in his work. People need to know the truth and the truth ought to be known! Thanks Ngunyi
I love that he is not biased as well. Mutahi videos are quite informative
When I grow up, I want to have that depth of understanding of my career.
I love that...
Kenneth Mwangi mutahi ngunyi was wrong. jubilee had to rig elections in 2013. simple truth
In this Mutahi Ngunyi was spot on
On point... Compare the 6.2 million he predicted and the numbers garnered in the election which was 6,173,433. This guy was damn accurate..
True..numbers matter..and that is what is determining a win. Jubilee's victory is inevitable
Chuka University should award Ngunyi an honorary Doctorate on Tyranny of numbers!
Mutahi was damn accurate!!
I always enjoy listening on to this analysis and especially now after the outcome, RAO slept in the Job..
Compelling argument - I think this is a solid analysis Mr. Ngunyi's, as long as his assumptions - that people will vote along ethnic lines at 100% voter turn out - are correct.
there is no other word but briliant i like
Mutahi's words always come to pass... We appreciate you
I love the analysis of this man. long live prof Mutahi ngunyi.
Mutahi, you were right. This is a LANDSLIDE victory!
WOW!!!! This guy was spot on great job.
This is amazing! Mutahi nailed this thing! He was talking so self-assuredly and it came to pass... Awesome delivery.
Mr. Ngunyi never gave an opinion of his own, he gave the silent, submerged indication by the IEBC through a purely scientific analysis of IEBC records. It's pure probability case here. He is not tribal neither biased, just the best at what he does, just a great political scientist who understands how to separate his personal emotions from science . Many so called political scientists should actually borrow a leaf from this guy and that includes Prof. Oloo, with all due respect.
He has outlived his usefulness.
you are a genius,i like your analysis
Relativity >> Quantum mechanics >> The logic of probability approached via mathematical science... Kenya keeps coming up with very rich wits, we have us a 'modern-day' prophet here
That's exactly the point!
His hypothesis is right in my view . . the population of one sub tribe of kikuyu is larger than the entire Muslim community so to kalenjin's sub tribes ..from there do the math
Can his critics show themselves please! This man predicted the outcome of the elections while they were sleeping. I think cord should petition Mr. Mutahi to come and explain to the supreme court as to how he was able to be spot on with the numbers on jubilee's win? Don't waste money on your lawyers he is your answer right here bwana Odinga. As for his critics stand up and salute this man cause he put you all to shame.
brilliant man. he saw all this coming
I guess I should say, Thank you Annan
I agree with him largely because of the voting history of kenyans, the registered voters and the ever important likely voters..he is right folks.
....cont
Kikuyus form the third largest chunk after the Kalenjins.
Laikipia and Nakuru (I am counting Naivasha as part of Nakuru) are exclusively inhabited by the Agikuyu.
Ruto probably didnt deliver 64% of the RVP vote because the is a sizeable population of Luhyas too who probably followed Mudavadi.
That said, Ruto delivered over 90 % of the Kalenjin votes to Raila. Uhuru only needs 60% (of the Kalenjin vote) to win in round one
The Ghost of Mutahi Ngunyi comes back to haunt the Cordashians ...
Yep I agree with u ngunyi jubilee are gonna win
Lucy Njoki that's a pipe dream
Ngunyi ana ukweli ni doo ndio unatengeneze kwani wewe ni mungu usha jua mwenye atashinda muwache ukabila
What about the 8000 votes by which Uhuru garnered the +1 margin? How do we know they were worn fairly considering that the elections had several irregularities.
Am here in 2021 to analyze 2022
Prophet Ngunyi you really deserve a pat at the back tell Adams oloo to come to your class.
None of the two front running coalitions are my favourite. But I would be cautious to call Mutahi's bluff. He is actually telling the "naked king" the truth. He's actually helping Raila whereas Raila's strategists are deluding him as they have always done. If I were Raila I would give call serious emergency re-strategizing meeting.
Why are CORD supporters quick to dismiss Ngunyi's analysis??They know very well since the inception of multi party politics in Kenya,voting has always been along tribal lines.This is a reality you can't ram away from.It won't be any different this election
yes you are!
Just like Kalonzo denied Raila an outright victory in 2007,so will Mudavadi in 2013
Omondi,
You say that Jubilee is largely up of only two communities; the Kalenjins and the Gikuyus.
I hope you are including the Aembu amd the Ameru.
This man is great ! wish Raila listened to him.
nice work mutahi ngunyi
Absolutely correct
Jubilee's support is vast and mind you central people are reserved, they don't keep saying who they will vote for but its known its UK
Yeah i remember him saying just two months ago, "Mudavadi has been handed the presidency on a silver platter" I wonder what we should believe from this guy. . .
should we still watch this space?
Mydunda,
As a son of the Rift Valley, let me tell you this;
The Rift Valley is not exclusively inhabited by Kalenjins the way Central is by the Agikuyu. there are Luhyas, Turkanas, Samburus and Kikuyus among others.
Kikuyus form the second largest chunk after the Kalenjins.
......cont
.
I was thinking about the same thinking. They need to go to Western to maximise their chances. Also, Eastern (Kamba dominated areas), Maasai land and Kisii region. That is where they need to pick up votes to get them over the hurdle.
It appears this chap was right.
Very god advice. He is telling some truth not the real truth. Nevertheless, I think RAO supporters should take him seriously. Don't forget he said Musalia has won, and was very wrong on that.. now he is seeing he is losing and changing tunes. I think Uhuru may well win this election but I don't think we can be very sure about that for now. There are are just over 14 million voters, and 6 million is just less that half assuming the two tribes vote 100% Uhuruto. But he is a bit right..
hehe, this was soo good. ur enemy push u to the winning lyn God live long our prezo.
Mutahi try to advice Raila but he could't listrn. he hes trust on icc when on the othr hand Uhuru put his trust to God.
uhuru said "There's God in heaven"
Raila said " There's ICC n UN" Huhuhu
trust God ,? a killer trust God ,he simply rigged himself to power
I agree with your numbers.... further i project that uhuru will win nairobi by 48% raila will get 40% to 44% already sonko and shabesh are leading by by over 55%, the governors race is to close to call.
What i don't understand is why jubilee is not campaigning in western? they can cut railas lead by at least 10%... they are wasting time campaigning in nyanza when they should be in western.
Raila will only win in 3provinces;Western,Nyanza and Coast.Nairobi and North Eastern will be 50/50 for Jubilee and CORD.Jubilee will carry Central,Rift Valley and Eastern.Jubilee will carry Eastern because it has the control of 5 out of the 8 counties in Eastern.CORD has the remaining 3;Kitui,Makueni and Machakos.In 2007,Kibaki beat Kalonzo in Eastern.Furthermore,Kambas have historically posted low voter turnouts on previous elections.Wont be any different this time round
So, basically we have a tribal oligarchy - not democracy.
1:CORD/Raila only has control of 3 counties in Eastern(Machakos,Makueni and Kitui).The remaining 5counties are in control of Jubilee(Meru,Embu,Tharaka Nithi,Isiolo and Marsabit).2.Kambas have historically in previous elections posted low voter turnouts;63-65%.In fact in 2007 Kalonzo got 600,000votes out of a possible 950,000 registered voters in Ukambani.If they posted such low turnouts when one of their own was a presidential candidate,what about now when Kalonzo wants them to vote for Raila?
Welcome Back Mutahi Ngunyi!! Congratulations on your predictions sir! So when is Jesus Coming Back? Hehehe!
You know what Mutahi, you're right, Right in saying that historically Kenyans have been voting along ethnic lines; HISTORICALLY!! But this is a new Kenya my friend where we despise and shun all tribal alliances. Did you see what was happening in Luo Nyanza during the primaries? Or you didn't have a TV by then? The same guys whom you rant that are tribal dared to say that they will vote in TNA aspirants!
Kenya has changed.that's just about it,its sad that people are still intertwined in negative ethnicity politics but then again it has to do with your level of education...
the last election Rao lost fair n square was in 1997, from 2007 it has been rigging...
Raila has always lost. Those who dont want to accept the loss, call it rigging. kwani he has not had agents who would speak up? Besides ,Kriegler report said both Jubilee and ODM rigged!
He is a perennial loser.
Yes according to your lame thinking
Raila himself in 97 said he was rigged u telling us nothing
Polls said Mwakwere was 3rd he won the Matuga by-election, polls said Sonko was trailing, he won the Makadara seat, so don't hang your hats on the pollsters numbers, as some have argued Kenya's unique demographic makes it impossible to conduct an accurate poll using the western approach. History though cannot be ignored, what Kenyans have been doing since 1963 will repeat itself, people will vote in ethnic blocs. You might be in for a surprise come March 5th
I love this guy
Rao, start packing your bags and get ready to RETIRE to Bondo on March 5th!
Mutahi Ngunyi was right about Mudavadi being the next president.It all would have happened if Uhuru had kept his agreement with Mudavadi.CORD should ignore his predictions at their own peril.This election will be a ICC protest vote.The Kikuyus/Kalenjins will vote in large numbers to show their dissatisfaction with a flawed process instigated by their common enemy Raila
Great
Numbers dont lie.Even if raila is given luhya,kamba and wajaluo votes,still he can win,jubilee is ahead and raila should make sure that this thing go to the next round with him being no 2.The information from the ground is that jubilee is winning which prompted even the us and uk goverment to change their stand on uhuruto.
He predicted that Kibaki would be the president beyond January 2013 and guess what Kibaki is still the president. He also predicted that elections will be not be held in 2012 August guess what we are doing in 2013. He predicted Kogey and Ali will escape the ICC indictment.
Just to re-iterate Linc Sinc here, Mutahi was right on Musalia, had not Uhuru reneged on the deal on the last minute.
I wouldn't really say that especially given that the Mugumo tree fell. Remember 2002? Kales, and Kukes voted Uhuru nearly 100% but he still lost. This election will be close and Uhuru may win but we cant really be sure for now.
It only proves that the rest of the country feels colonized by "some" community. Frankly speaking all colonial eras come to an end. History has an interesting way on how colonial eras end
He predicted that Jubilee will win and his ghost will haunt cord! It happened
raila is like a small kid that has been bullied , we dont need a president who needs sympathy i will cast my vote for uhuru although i am not a kikuyu nor a kalenjin i am casting a vote believing of a better kenya and uhuru is the man .......uhuru akianguka tutaanguka pamoja
I have always said that Raila wins opinion polls, Uhuru has the numbers.
haiya tuseme nini....let the events unfold...tunawajua wenye hawakubali kushindwa
with all those proffessors??? well done mutahi even in court all those lawyers will see dust!!!! they have mis advised agwambo thoughout his life that he will be president.. pity
All these candidates have a unique personality, OLE KIYIAPI have understanding of administration mechanism and good governance BUT i still give an edge to RAILA ODINGA who without hypocrisy has outlined a very clear policy of his ADMINISTRATION when he become PRESIDENT. i believe Raila Odinga will break the York of ethnicity because he represent NEW DAWN OF KENYA where no one will fill inferior to the other, and we will rise and be respected as a NATION if we do the right thing.
That's because the Kikuyu vote, which forms a considerable chunk of the remaining 35%, went to Kibaki. And it's no rocket science predicting where this vote will go this time around
.....of course you know who lives in Kiambu Mr. omondi.
On the contrary, there ar other areas like Kalonzo's region (and as Mutahi tells us, Nyanza) that under performed. These are Raila's/Kalonzo's strongholds.
That is where the 2 million CORD number is coming from as opposed to Jubilee's 4 million.
Omondi, it is ARITHMETIC.
CORD slept during the registration drive. JUBILEE worked their backs off.
The election was won- by Uhuru on Dec. 18, when the IEBC closed the voter register.
The tyranny of numbers only refers to registered voters and it can favor any party, in nyanza, and mombasa county cord is supreme, in nairobi, central and RV jubilee is supreme.
Raila is a very big fighter....counting votes from four communities is not a very good anaylsis Mr ngunyi, remember that raila has solid support in pwani and northeastern, nairobi, rift valley is up for grabs, western is up for grabs, it is also very untrue that mudavadi will be number 2, mr ngunyi tulienda shule!
....majority Kenyans vote tribally...and looking at it ...if the number of registered voters is anything to go by...this guy may have a point!
RAO won in the 1st round he says....i think hes.cracked his mind!!!!
Even 2002 of Moi regime went down to Kibaki who campaigned for Him is Raila.if Kanu has accepted to support Amollo then Jubilee by eight months they will b jome
hehe ,I love this guy he predicted this election to the last drop!!
Yeah, Raila must get rid of charlatans and half baked quacks like adams oloo and angela ambitho as his advisors. This two chaps have really messed him up!
Hehehe...this Ngunyi guy was so right!! Rao slept!
some cheeky reader flagged our 6 points below as spam :) , Click "show" to read them, they clarify what Mutahi got fundamentally wrong
Linc Sink,
I don't see Raila carrying Wester. Mudavadi will. He will get about 55% of the Luhya vote, Jubilee 15%, CORD, 30%, others less than 1% (including spoilt votes).
Before anyone points out, I know it is over 100% because of rounding off.
Raila only won four provinces in 2007;
Nyanza, Coast, Western and Rift Valley.
Kibaki won four;
Central, Nairobi, Eastern and North Eastern. Yes, he won North Eastern but somehow people don't seem to know.
At most, Raila will get 40
game is over,lets wait for 2017
Fitahnz,
Should we still MARK YOUR WORDS?
Watu waache mafeelings.This is a hypothesis.Mutahi is looking at the numbers.Mathematics doesn't care about opinions.This is why raila has started talking about rigging as a defence mechanism.Uhuru and ruto are excellent campaigners,there is no way the mediocre cord can outdo them.They will stick to their 3 pillars while cord is yapping about land and icc.
I also sit down sometimes and wonder where this guy Ngunyi did all his political degree.
Does Adams Oloo have any students that he tutors?
Political science has a lot of predictions and assumptions but the guy can't bring himself to making assumptions and predictions.
I pity them. Seriously!
Let me conclude it.
If CORD is supreme in Coast and Nyanza, ( I am assuming you are referring to provinces here) while Jubilee is supreme in Nairobi, Central and RV, so far, out of these five provinces, Uhuru has a humongous edge.
That said, that leaves us with N.E. Western and Eastern.
N.E. went to Kibaki last time. If it goes Raila 45% and Uhur 30%, Raila makes no significant gains in cutting Uhuru's lead.
.....cont
Kind of reminds me of game of thrones, we have a king of the opressed and a king of the "mornachy".... Atleast RAO delivered a constitution to protect the "minority".
FYI, am kikuyu and am NOT voting UHURU! Foooooooooooooooooooool
Why lie Mutahi knows his stuff