Thanks for the report Chris & Slava Ukraini ! The offensive could last long (3-4 month) but on the other side, if UA can progress with a push on 2-3 km, the front could collapse fast. We shall see, but victory will be ukrainian !
So glad you came back, I'd just seriously started watching your channel constantly a few weeks before you stopped doing videos Some channels I used to watch just weren't giving details on the map and explaining it to me So thank you for coming back
Good to see you back Chris. All the AFU have to do is gain enough territory this year where they can then have direct fire control over the main roads. This includes all the roads that parallel the Azov coast. They don't need to retake cities such as Tokmat. Just simply lay siege, cut off the supply lines and routes and when the occupiers run out of supplies, food and so forth, they'll retreat. They do this along with dropping the kerch bridge, Crimea will be isolated and the same thing there - the occpuiers run out of supplies. From the reports I have seen, it seems that the invaders heavily mined the ground up to the defensive lines and that once they get past the second main line, the pace of retaking land should increase. Looks like the US finally will send ATACMS. Now to get Scholz to agree to send Taurus missiles. Along with the F-16 training taking place, once Ukraine has better aviation, I expect matters to greatly improve for them. What are your thoughts on the new defense minister, Umerov? I think that Zelensky is sending a strong message to the kremlin that Umerov, a Muslim Crimean Tatar, that Ukraine intends to retake Crimea, and Umerov will spearhead this task. Crimea is important for Ukraine's economy. Planes from the RAF are now patrolling the area of the Black sea around Odesa and the Danube river to protect grain ships. This is a good NATO response.
We've missed you, Chris. It's so good to have you back. I agree with your realistic assessment that the war will not end this year, but I would add that it probably will not end in 2024 , either. This offensive will end with the start of the muddy season, in about a month. Then the Russians will have until March to lay another 10,000 mines and mobilized 500.000 men from they three-times large population. But Ukraine will fight smarter and better. They finally will break the back of the Russian army.
Great to have you back. A lot has happened while you've been away. The Russians have thrown most of their reserves on the front line in desperation, including elite paratroopers so they no longer have the backup they once had. It's really not possible to say whether Ukraine will break through the second line, but it seems highly likely they will do so before the end of the month.. If they do, throwing a few scattered mines around won't help the Russians. Plus Ukraine does not need to capture any city. What it needs is to get within artillery range of major rail and road links in order to cut off Crimea. They are currently 5km away from being within range of the only remaining east-to-west rail link through Tokmak. UKraine's forces are standing up well in brutal combat, and even in an offensive stance they continue to lose less equipment than the Russians, Nothing is certain, but even with Elon Musk in bed with the enemy, I think Crimea could fall this year. Again, right now Musk is a serious threat. He has all kinds of intelligence, which he could easily be sharing with the Russians who he is constant touch with, and he's already admitted thwarting one raid with drone boats by shutting off star link.
No pain, no gain 💪 these are all the steps to freedom and a future of your children 🙏 Dude, Americans get it, we have been hearing Chinese and Russian propaganda, pretty much my whole life 😂 Hang in there 😉 Glory to Ukraine 👊
Welcome back Chris. Your assessment is good though it must be noted that the politicians have said that certain pieces of hardware have not been made available not for the risk of nukes but the "other" enemy waiting in the wings. The first 10km was always expected to be the hardest as the orcs counted on holding the line hence lots of mines etc. The next ten will not be easy but will be easier than the first line. After that...and also given the huge losses to RU hardware...could be a rout. Not as it was in Khakiev but certainly fewer obstacles. It will be a fighting retreat or as orcs say "a gesture of goodwill" Time will tell... What is clear is the motivation of UAF forces compared with the lack of motivation by the orcs. Trust in the UAF and slava Ukraine 🇺🇦 ♥️
Hi Chris nice to have you back. I think they will bypass Tokmac and take control of heights by October. The land route will therefore be destroyed. 🇺🇦🇺🇦👍
@@jessehachey2732 Pentagon leak said Ukraine is dying at a 7 to 1 ratio, not one armored viecile past the first set of dragon teeth. It's going to be a hoot watching them try to hold that corridor of death they have died to set themselves up for. Pray for the F-16 to fly to the rescue like they do on TV.
Every video, photograph amazes me how similar the topography is to here in Alberta/Saskatchewan. Even the open fields sown with grain and canola are almost identical. I have sat on the edge of the roads and gazed across the fields to the nearest tree line. I can't imagine trying to cross these open fields under fire. These fields are often more that a mile across and to charge across those fields is sheer lunacy, You would be so exposed, and so vulnerable.
We'll have to see how far they get. Hopefully Tokmak within a few weeks. One step at a time. Progress might be slow, but the Ukrainians are not stalled
Good to see you, Chris, and the podcast. Thanks. For the guy next to me threatening to kill me if I surrender. The Ukrainians should not struggle with Tokmak, but fight to the west side of it so they can interdict logistics with artillery and such. Enemy forces flag for sure, but Russia will always scrape together a force to stand in the way if there is an operational pause. They will dig trenches, they'll snot on you, they'll even die, unless the next assault is already to go in when, the current one stops. They will lose Abrams too.
One factor will be how much of the defensive lines will be breached before winter and will new ones be made over winter? Another factor I was thinking is what would soil conditions look like in the area that was formerly the reservoir next spring? Would it be suitable for a possible attack vector then?
I think the industrial support is much stronger for Russia than for Ukraine. I think that the recent recruitment of soldiers also has been more numerous in Russia than in Ukraine. "Experienced soldiers are the biggest assets to Ukraine". So true. And Ukraine doesn't have enough of them, especially when Wagner becomes active again in the North and the front will be stretched too much. I would like to see Ukraine win, but I don't see how they would accomplish that...
1) Ukraine does not need to get to Tokmak. They just need to get their HIMARS/GMLRS systems close enough to reach the M14 highway. They also need a buffer zone to keep HIMARS out of effective range of Russia artillery. If Ukraine had ATACMS, they'd already be close enough. 2) Russia put 60% of their resources in the first line of defense that Ukraine has already breached. They did this to keep HIMARS out of range of the M14. The next two lines should be easier. Russia's position is precarious. 3) Ukraine spent two months manually clearing the minefields around Robotyne every night. This group of heroes had the highest loss rate in the Ukrainian army. If the mines aren't as bad going forward then progress should be quicker.
To win , ukraine need's to trust their NCO's and the commanders , war changes by the minute on the ground, command decisions must be made from the bottom up not down ! They are doing it right .
No. The next 10km are attacked sideways on in trenches, which nullifies those trenches advantage. AND are not nearly as heavily mined. Russia had 6 mines per square meter in some areas, they don't have that behind the lines.
Just boots….as opposed to what? Socks? 😆🤦🏼♂️Last Winter Canada sent a million pieces of high-tech arctic winter gear, Ukrainians were beyond warm and toasty, if there’s one thing Canada knows well, it’s their military arctic winter gear! ❤🇨🇦🌻🇺🇦
Hi, watching you from Quebec city. Could you make an update regarding Canada's support? We say that we support Ukraine no matter what but have we done anything in the last 6 months or so other than training Ukrainian troops? Do we do anything to provide artillery shells, tanks, ifv, or drones? I don't hear anything. We don't have much military equipment to give, so why don't we just buy 100 Abrams tanks from the US or 100 Bradleys or anything else they need. Also, the Conservative party seems to have gained in popularity of late, especially in Ontario, if they were to access power as a minority or a majority government, how do you think it would affect Canada's role in Ukraine. Great video and thanks.
Pierre Pollievre has already stated his support for Ukraine so there's no worries there ,As for support Canada has done a few small things but as our current government has such a small portion of its budget set for military there is not much more we will do anytime soon
@@ShadowSights I think we invested quite a lot during the first year of the conflict. It's just lately that I don't see anything big. But I don't follow Canada's involvement as closely as I should. I wouldn't blame one specific government for our small military budget, I think it's been like that for 40 years if not more.
The southern front is like a coin pusher machine, every day it seems like there will be a collapse like we saw last year. Honestly I feel, not just hope, that Tokmak will be captured before Rasputitsa.
I think the AFU will be to the south of the defence lines by the end of the month breaking through to the south and west. How far is the question but i think they will have full fire control over the roads into Berdjansk and Melitopol before the mud and winter hits. Probably with enough push to liberate a wide area and have enough freedom to hit every supply road to Kherson and Zaporozhye. And probably hit the Kerch bridge with impunity.
They're running out of time. US intelligence community briefed congress that AFU won't make it to Tokmak or Melitopol. The losses have been too heavy. Zelensky is running out of men.
@@trevorshea1930 the AFU has a reserve and Russia doesn't. They only need to get into artillery range of Melitopol, Tokmak and Berdjansk. That would destroy all their logistics in Zaporozhye and Kherson. The AFU has committed all primary units of the initial offensive they still have 30.000-50.000 men and women in reserve. Each month we delivered 10.000 men trained in NATO countries. You should read the full briefing not only the thing that the media in your bubble publish. Or are you a paid propagandist in which case enjoy your mobilisation coming January.
@@jacksonteller1337 ACtually AFU used their last reserves month ago. U can find this info in "denys davydov" channel. AFU doenst have any reserves and Ua decided to mobilize epileptics, HIV patiens, mentally ill man, medics, woman to army. There were also info that one-handed and one-eyed were mobilized in Sumy. BUt then it was denied
Don't get distracted by nuclear weapons, they are a threat which will not be used. I would bypass Tokmak and drive towards Berdyansk , and while that fixes the Russians and throttles supplies I would cross the Dnipro and dash towards Crimea. But I am not a general so must leave it to the professionals!
Currently, Ukrainian western equipment must exit Ukraine for repair. Ukraine must then fight with diminished assets. Only USA replaced like for like when Bradley's were lost early in counteroffensive. Everything wears out at some stage. Allies need to consider a like for like swap at the border to give Ukraine a new weapon to immediately replace one needing repair or lost in action so Ukraine can maintain battlefield momentum.
hello...As Zelensky said Russia, "stopped" Ukrain offensive because of superior air power. So now what? could ukrain win a war of attrition against Russia? I dont know...ukrain have huge losses...they are now strnghten their recrutements rules to get more boots on the ground. This is a horribel situation for Ukrain :/
I'd say Ukraine at this point has no reason to take on huge risks trying to break through until they receive more Western long-range weapons and aviation. I think the main thrust will be planned for summer 2024. Until then, they will try to go for mostly attrition warfare and logistics disruptions, maybe with very small territorial gains. If they manage to further degrade Russian artillery capabilities, and neutralize Russian aviation and helicopters with F16's, it will then be time for an actual larger scale break-through. Russia will try to prevent this with further mobilization, using more cannon fodder to plug in the holes. Consistent continued weapons supply to Ukraine will be important during this period - including steady artillery shell supply, and replacement of lost/damaged armor, artillery pieces and AA systems.
I belive that Ukraine should have gotten flame trowers. That will be effective in the smal strips of trees, and if you burn the fields then a lot of the mines would explode, and easyer to spot the rest.
From what I hear from people in Ukraine 🇺🇦 the only thing motivating the Russians is not being shot from behind if they retreat. That after getting there lured there by salaries, debt relief, and benefits for their families.
I think it's still incredible that Ukraine has managed to destroy significantly more Russian Equipment almost every single day than Russia to Ukraine's equipment during this counteroffensive. Wars end when one side runs out of material or morale, and Ukraine is very efficient in terms of both.
Three Million Ukrainian men of Military age are living abroad. Usually they are the most educated, often the children of the elites . They know what they should do.
I don't think you got that right... The second defense will not take as long to go the same distance, as the first...Russian defense, both men and machine, are greatly diminished, while Ukraine is getting stronger, day by day. Still, Ukraine takes time to not loose too many of their most prized weapons, their soldiers... and if weather hits, it will stall out the advance, and that is the defining factor, when do the rains come...
Personnal opinion and I'm only chair commentator, maybe this strategy was wanted (Slow advance)??? My opinion about the Ukraine counter attack, as I understand the both side (Ukraine version to save life in and NATO version to be able to go true russian defense). Trouble I see with slow advance Ukraine have now is the same russian have plenty of time. With slow advance, russian have time to put more mines in those next line of defense, more defenses, bring more reserve, bring best soldiers in now determined the real spearhead. And I think it will be probably still slow advance. Result, russian can concentrate their artillery on Ukraine real front knowing exactly where Ukraine front are. Still just my opinion, another mistake had done, not to concentrate force, Ukraine have done the russian tactic, attack in the same time multi front to seek weakness, then little de-mining equipment there, and there and there, the real attacking point of the arrow got less de mining equipment to go true the incredible land mine russian had put in the first line. As I said, I'm only chair commentator, maybe it's what it was wanted? I don't think so, but I hope Ukraine will be able to reach Mariupol to cut russian force in two. And then Ukraine will be able to launch Water drone to reach Kersh bridge from the side Mariupol then Russian will be in the big .... :D .
Sorry but you are wrong if ukraine has all supply lines under himars control East to west there will be no supplies when the rain comes they will be done
I feel the Russian forces may collapse by the end of the year. Russia is bleeding cash and they’re stretching hard, spending in massive deficit with a ruble crash now in progress. Their infrastructure will just disintegrate. Inflation is already high but it will go much higher. I could be wrong on any of all of this, but that’s just my view on the subject.
Thanks for your video, nice to see you back. You asked for thoughts so I'm giving mine, fwiw. It's very hard to know what's actually happening on the front lines - so many pro ukrainian sources tell us every day how successful the AFU is, and Russian sources say the opposite. There's clearly wishful thinking on both sides. I'm not aruging here about the rights and wrongs, to most of us that is clear. But after all this time the Russians are so well dug in that any advance comes at a huge cost. That point is unarguable, I think. To see the advances that have been made in this offensive you have to zoom in *a lot*. How many have died for this? Was it worth it? I hope I'm wrong and there really is an end game but right now it looks to me like we have to face reality. Ukraine can't expel Russia from the recently occupied territories. The west is not going to provide a new air force or the other vast resources required for an outright military victory. Western govts are kinda happy to see Russia ground down a little more every day. The western equipment donated is obsolete anyway. But Ukraine is paying by far the biggest price. If the war is ended Ukraine can recover and be a thriving european democracy, likely a NATO member (so Russia can't attack again), albeit having lost some of its borderlands and people (among them the most pro-russian people). It will have achieved a victory of sorts against a foe that most thought would overrun it entirely. Meanwhile Russia will remain a pariah state among advanced countries and continue its decline. I am not ukrainian but I am a passionate supporter of Ukraine so it pains me to say what I have. Slava Ukraini
The logistics of Russia at some point, won't have either the ammunition or equipment to advance. It looks like all they have now is mines, which Ukrain can retrieve and drop on Russian positions. Russia is backed by no one, but Ukrain is backed by the West. The longer the war goes on economically the more Russia is isolated and viewed as a selfish Imperial power, with 70% Russian support, its people will see it lose. Things aren't going well for Russians, they are retreating leaving behind mines and equipment that is being used against them. Humanity is not liked, eBook series 'Religion Separates Man From God.'
I dont know if this real or not prapaganda, but I've watched russian new, and they keep showing scenes of civilians in donbas being killed 2014. They also say ukraine killed russian speakers first in the name of territorial integrity. They are saying ukraine forces went all the way to donbas and starting shelling civilians. They even show a russian speaker mother dead still holding her dead baby in her arms in a park. They tell this to the soldiers. This prapaganda is what is driving the russian soldiers. Like i said, i dont know if this is true or not, but they are showing this on russian television.
@ZelenskyyUa Mr President, before the end of this war, I hope Ukraine and allies develop drones that can find, pick up and drop to detonate mines on the Army that put them there, making mines a liability. Humanity is not liked, eBook series 'Religion Separates Man From God.'
no cauldron, ukraine broke the 1st line of defence trenches near verbove and cleared 8km of that trenchline. much easier to clear a trench when you are in it than attacking it frontally. all russian counter attacks failed with huge casualties in russian experienced vdv and marines at robotyne and russia already activated all their reserves. 60 percent of russian troops at 1st line so if they break that, the 2nd line is easier to take.
nice thing is russian rouble still weakening even though the russian central bank raised interest rates in russia from 4 percent to 12 percent in a month. means putin printing money now that his reserve fund is gone to finance his war, and its gonna be out of control hyperinflation in russia in a few months and back to a 1990 ussr moment. after that its 5 roubles me love you long time baby in russia.
@@giovanni-ed7zq They've made it up to the first line but they haven't broken through. AFU is caught an artillery kill box. They pushed themselves into a cauldron. The losses are very heavy.
@@trevorshea1930 you dont understand how to read maps, they expanded the breach and control 8km of russian trench in the 1st defensive line. ukraine is pushing north of verbove to cut off supplies to the russians north of there to force then out or be encircled while taking the high ground north of verbove. they will hit verbove from north and east to take it. as well they are moving along the high ground south of verbove to take the high ground. russia always allows ukraine to capture the high ground before they abandon a town. also you are reading the wrong update bloggers if that is what you think is happening.
@@trevorshea1930 even prigozin in his videos said how ukraine attacks, they take the tactical heights first and the russians lets them, and then the pound the russians in the lowlands from the tactical heights and force the russians out when they have risk of encirclement.
![Lp. Сердце Вселенной #60 РОЖДЕНИЕ ЛОЛОЛОШКИ [Финал] • Майнкрафт](http://i.ytimg.com/vi/YoR0pAV9FVQ/mqdefault.jpg)
Ukrainian lives are the most important. I agree 🙏🏻💛💙
Missed your updates ! Glad your back ☺️
Thanks for the report Chris & Slava Ukraini ! The offensive could last long (3-4 month) but on the other side, if UA can progress with a push on 2-3 km, the front could collapse fast. We shall see, but victory will be ukrainian !
Good to see you posting again! 🇨🇦🇺🇦
So glad you came back, I'd just seriously started watching your channel constantly a few weeks before you stopped doing videos Some channels I used to watch just weren't giving details on the map and explaining it to me So thank you for coming back
We have 6 weeks this year to make big advances. I think we will advance 20+ miles towards the sea, but I hope for more.
Great to see you back, Chris. Thanks for your update regarding situation in Ukraine. All best, and look forward to see your another video soon.
Good to see you back Chris. All the AFU have to do is gain enough territory this year where they can then have direct fire control over the main roads. This includes all the roads that parallel the Azov coast. They don't need to retake cities such as Tokmat. Just simply lay siege, cut off the supply lines and routes and when the occupiers run out of supplies, food and so forth, they'll retreat. They do this along with dropping the kerch bridge, Crimea will be isolated and the same thing there - the occpuiers run out of supplies.
From the reports I have seen, it seems that the invaders heavily mined the ground up to the defensive lines and that once they get past the second main line, the pace of retaking land should increase.
Looks like the US finally will send ATACMS. Now to get Scholz to agree to send Taurus missiles. Along with the F-16 training taking place, once Ukraine has better aviation, I expect matters to greatly improve for them.
What are your thoughts on the new defense minister, Umerov? I think that Zelensky is sending a strong message to the kremlin that Umerov, a Muslim Crimean Tatar, that Ukraine intends to retake Crimea, and Umerov will spearhead this task. Crimea is important for Ukraine's economy.
Planes from the RAF are now patrolling the area of the Black sea around Odesa and the Danube river to protect grain ships. This is a good NATO response.
We've missed you, Chris. It's so good to have you back. I agree with your realistic assessment that the war will not end this year, but I would add that it probably will not end in 2024 , either. This offensive will end with the start of the muddy season, in about a month. Then the Russians will have until March to lay another 10,000 mines and mobilized 500.000 men from they three-times large population. But Ukraine will fight smarter and better. They finally will break the back of the Russian army.
Love your videos bro you deserve more subs Slava Ukraina 💪🏼🇺🇦🇨🇦
Good to have you back👍
thanks
Welcome back Chris and like your first post back 👍
Good to have you back
Great to have you back. A lot has happened while you've been away. The Russians have thrown most of their reserves on the front line in desperation, including elite paratroopers so they no longer have the backup they once had. It's really not possible to say whether Ukraine will break through the second line, but it seems highly likely they will do so before the end of the month.. If they do, throwing a few scattered mines around won't help the Russians. Plus Ukraine does not need to capture any city. What it needs is to get within artillery range of major rail and road links in order to cut off Crimea. They are currently 5km away from being within range of the only remaining east-to-west rail link through Tokmak. UKraine's forces are standing up well in brutal combat, and even in an offensive stance they continue to lose less equipment than the Russians, Nothing is certain, but even with Elon Musk in bed with the enemy, I think Crimea could fall this year. Again, right now Musk is a serious threat. He has all kinds of intelligence, which he could easily be sharing with the Russians who he is constant touch with, and he's already admitted thwarting one raid with drone boats by shutting off star link.
Hello Chris! It is good to see you! Thank you for the updates.
Yeah man I'm glad to see you back
No pain, no gain 💪 these are all the steps to freedom and a future of your children 🙏 Dude, Americans get it, we have been hearing Chinese and Russian propaganda, pretty much my whole life 😂 Hang in there 😉 Glory to Ukraine 👊
Glad to see you back
thankyou young man for an excerlent report.
Welcome back Chris.
Your assessment is good though it must be noted that the politicians have said that certain pieces of hardware have not been made available not for the risk of nukes but the "other" enemy waiting in the wings.
The first 10km was always expected to be the hardest as the orcs counted on holding the line hence lots of mines etc.
The next ten will not be easy but will be easier than the first line. After that...and also given the huge losses to RU hardware...could be a rout. Not as it was in Khakiev but certainly fewer obstacles. It will be a fighting retreat or as orcs say "a gesture of goodwill"
Time will tell...
What is clear is the motivation of UAF forces compared with the lack of motivation by the orcs.
Trust in the UAF and slava Ukraine 🇺🇦 ♥️
Get those F-16 in the air💪
All they need do is take Tokmac and maybe Melitopol. They can fortress there & push RU out during the Winter .
😅 at the current pace it will take 5 years to reach Melitipol
@@andrea99boban🙄🤦🏼♂️🤡 Another clueless armchair know-it-all FFS!
Glory to Ukraine from Guam.❤️🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
Wecome Back 💛💙
Hi Chris nice to have you back. I think they will bypass Tokmac and take control of heights by October. The land route will therefore be destroyed. 🇺🇦🇺🇦👍
You are a "user" alright!
@@marksimpson4215🙄🤡 that’s all you got? SMDH…
@@jessehachey2732 Pentagon leak said Ukraine is dying at a 7 to 1 ratio, not one armored viecile past the first set of dragon teeth. It's going to be a hoot watching them try to hold that corridor of death they have died to set themselves up for. Pray for the F-16 to fly to the rescue like they do on TV.
Every video, photograph amazes me how similar the topography is to here in Alberta/Saskatchewan. Even the open fields sown with grain and canola are almost identical. I have sat on the edge of the roads and gazed across the fields to the nearest tree line. I can't imagine trying to cross these open fields under fire. These fields are often more that a mile across and to charge across those fields is sheer lunacy, You would be so exposed, and so vulnerable.
❤
Winter in Tokmak would be a great achievement.
Rf taking hits, making irrellevant moves, speeding towards death
We'll have to see how far they get. Hopefully Tokmak within a few weeks. One step at a time. Progress might be slow, but the Ukrainians are not stalled
Good to see you, Chris, and the podcast. Thanks. For the guy next to me threatening to kill me if I surrender. The Ukrainians should not struggle with Tokmak, but fight to the west side of it so they can interdict logistics with artillery and such. Enemy forces flag for sure, but Russia will always scrape together a force to stand in the way if there is an operational pause. They will dig trenches, they'll snot on you, they'll even die, unless the next assault is already to go in when, the current one stops. They will lose Abrams too.
One factor will be how much of the defensive lines will be breached before winter and will new ones be made over winter? Another factor I was thinking is what would soil conditions look like in the area that was formerly the reservoir next spring? Would it be suitable for a possible attack vector then?
Yes is true
I think the industrial support is much stronger for Russia than for Ukraine. I think that the recent recruitment of soldiers also has been more numerous in Russia than in Ukraine.
"Experienced soldiers are the biggest assets to Ukraine". So true. And Ukraine doesn't have enough of them, especially when Wagner becomes active again in the North and the front will be stretched too much. I would like to see Ukraine win, but I don't see how they would accomplish that...
💪💪✌✌👍👍👍👍
1) Ukraine does not need to get to Tokmak. They just need to get their HIMARS/GMLRS systems close enough to reach the M14 highway. They also need a buffer zone to keep HIMARS out of effective range of Russia artillery. If Ukraine had ATACMS, they'd already be close enough.
2) Russia put 60% of their resources in the first line of defense that Ukraine has already breached. They did this to keep HIMARS out of range of the M14. The next two lines should be easier. Russia's position is precarious.
3) Ukraine spent two months manually clearing the minefields around Robotyne every night. This group of heroes had the highest loss rate in the Ukrainian army. If the mines aren't as bad going forward then progress should be quicker.
To win , ukraine need's to trust their NCO's and the commanders , war changes by the minute on the ground, command decisions must be made from the bottom up not down ! They are doing it right .
No. The next 10km are attacked sideways on in trenches, which nullifies those trenches advantage. AND are not nearly as heavily mined. Russia had 6 mines per square meter in some areas, they don't have that behind the lines.
Just make sure your soldiers have the equipment they need for the winter.I’ve seen them walking through mud with just their boots on ,must do better
There's no easy solution against mud. What equipment are you thinking of?
Is there footwear suitable for that kind of mud?
Just boots….as opposed to what? Socks? 😆🤦🏼♂️Last Winter Canada sent a million pieces of high-tech arctic winter gear, Ukrainians were beyond warm and toasty, if there’s one thing Canada knows well, it’s their military arctic winter gear! ❤🇨🇦🌻🇺🇦
Summer hasn't ended, mmmm-k?
yes it has.
Slava Ukraina Heroyam Slava 💪🇺🇦🇺🇦🇫🇮🤘
❤️❤️❤️❤️🇺🇦🇩🇰🇺🇦🇩🇰🇺🇦❤️❤️
If they're not careful they're going to get enveloped. In the meantime, the southwest Russian flank is surprisingly exposed.
He never would use nuke....he knows the consecuences of retaliation and mutual destruction
Hi, watching you from Quebec city. Could you make an update regarding Canada's support? We say that we support Ukraine no matter what but have we done anything in the last 6 months or so other than training Ukrainian troops? Do we do anything to provide artillery shells, tanks, ifv, or drones? I don't hear anything. We don't have much military equipment to give, so why don't we just buy 100 Abrams tanks from the US or 100 Bradleys or anything else they need. Also, the Conservative party seems to have gained in popularity of late, especially in Ontario, if they were to access power as a minority or a majority government, how do you think it would affect Canada's role in Ukraine. Great video and thanks.
Pierre Pollievre has already stated his support for Ukraine so there's no worries there ,As for support Canada has done a few small things but as our current government has such a small portion of its budget set for military there is not much more we will do anytime soon
@@ShadowSights I think we invested quite a lot during the first year of the conflict. It's just lately that I don't see anything big. But I don't follow Canada's involvement as closely as I should. I wouldn't blame one specific government for our small military budget, I think it's been like that for 40 years if not more.
Moi non plus Mais c'est ca ,cheque government sont responsible pour leur buget lui meme
Ten kilometers is six miles to us and easy walking distance. I good chance that sof can operate sniper positions overnight.
Glad to se you are back,ukr doing a great job,Slava ukr From Sweden.
10:00 Germany did have chemical weapons but didn't decide to use them in WW2. So would they of used a nuke?
The southern front is like a coin pusher machine, every day it seems like there will be a collapse like we saw last year. Honestly I feel, not just hope, that Tokmak will be captured before Rasputitsa.
I'm guessing by earlier November they will get to Tokmak.
I hope Tokmak will be taken by Christmas
Slava Ukraini 💪🏽❤️🇺🇦
I think the AFU will be to the south of the defence lines by the end of the month breaking through to the south and west. How far is the question but i think they will have full fire control over the roads into Berdjansk and Melitopol before the mud and winter hits. Probably with enough push to liberate a wide area and have enough freedom to hit every supply road to Kherson and Zaporozhye. And probably hit the Kerch bridge with impunity.
They're running out of time. US intelligence community briefed congress that AFU won't make it to Tokmak or Melitopol. The losses have been too heavy. Zelensky is running out of men.
@@trevorshea1930 the AFU has a reserve and Russia doesn't. They only need to get into artillery range of Melitopol, Tokmak and Berdjansk. That would destroy all their logistics in Zaporozhye and Kherson. The AFU has committed all primary units of the initial offensive they still have 30.000-50.000 men and women in reserve. Each month we delivered 10.000 men trained in NATO countries. You should read the full briefing not only the thing that the media in your bubble publish. Or are you a paid propagandist in which case enjoy your mobilisation coming January.
@@jacksonteller1337 ACtually AFU used their last reserves month ago.
U can find this info in "denys davydov" channel.
AFU doenst have any reserves and Ua decided to mobilize epileptics, HIV patiens, mentally ill man, medics, woman to army.
There were also info that one-handed and one-eyed were mobilized in Sumy.
BUt then it was denied
@@trevorshea1930Stop lying, pathetic 🤡🙄 You’re still not fooling anyone 🤦🏼♂️
conserve troops!!!!!!!!!!!
Don't get distracted by nuclear weapons, they are a threat which will not be used.
I would bypass Tokmak and drive towards Berdyansk , and while that fixes the Russians and throttles supplies I would cross the Dnipro and dash towards Crimea. But I am not a general so must leave it to the professionals!
When the winter comes it's gonna be a full stop, tanks will not fight because off the rains, so basically Russia will reinforce their defenses
Currently, Ukrainian western equipment must exit Ukraine for repair. Ukraine must then fight with diminished assets. Only USA replaced like for like when Bradley's were lost early in counteroffensive. Everything wears out at some stage. Allies need to consider a like for like swap at the border to give Ukraine a new weapon to immediately replace one needing repair or lost in action so Ukraine can maintain battlefield momentum.
hello...As Zelensky said Russia, "stopped" Ukrain offensive because of superior air power. So now what? could ukrain win a war of attrition against Russia? I dont know...ukrain have huge losses...they are now strnghten their recrutements rules to get more boots on the ground. This is a horribel situation for Ukrain :/
I'd say Ukraine at this point has no reason to take on huge risks trying to break through until they receive more Western long-range weapons and aviation. I think the main thrust will be planned for summer 2024. Until then, they will try to go for mostly attrition warfare and logistics disruptions, maybe with very small territorial gains. If they manage to further degrade Russian artillery capabilities, and neutralize Russian aviation and helicopters with F16's, it will then be time for an actual larger scale break-through. Russia will try to prevent this with further mobilization, using more cannon fodder to plug in the holes. Consistent continued weapons supply to Ukraine will be important during this period - including steady artillery shell supply, and replacement of lost/damaged armor, artillery pieces and AA systems.
I belive that Ukraine should have gotten flame trowers. That will be effective in the smal strips of trees, and if you burn the fields then a lot of the mines would explode, and easyer to spot the rest.
It’s not a video game, SMH! This is 2023 and it’s war, just cause you think they look cool doesn’t make them any more useful or valuable 🙄🤦🏼♂️
From what I hear from people in Ukraine 🇺🇦 the only thing motivating the Russians is not being shot from behind if they retreat. That after getting there lured there by salaries, debt relief, and benefits for their families.
The west should have supplied the F-16s sooner, it would have saved Ukrainian lives.
I think it's still incredible that Ukraine has managed to destroy significantly more Russian Equipment almost every single day than Russia to Ukraine's equipment during this counteroffensive. Wars end when one side runs out of material or morale, and Ukraine is very efficient in terms of both.
Three Million Ukrainian men of Military age are living abroad. Usually they are the most educated, often the children of the elites . They know what they should do.
I don't think you got that right... The second defense will not take as long to go the same distance, as the first...Russian defense, both men and machine, are greatly diminished, while Ukraine is getting stronger, day by day. Still, Ukraine takes time to not loose too many of their most prized weapons, their soldiers... and if weather hits, it will stall out the advance, and that is the defining factor, when do the rains come...
Chris , the Abrams will end this , watch 73 easting .
Personnal opinion and I'm only chair commentator, maybe this strategy was wanted (Slow advance)??? My opinion about the Ukraine counter attack, as I understand the both side (Ukraine version to save life in and NATO version to be able to go true russian defense). Trouble I see with slow advance Ukraine have now is the same russian have plenty of time. With slow advance, russian have time to put more mines in those next line of defense, more defenses, bring more reserve, bring best soldiers in now determined the real spearhead. And I think it will be probably still slow advance. Result, russian can concentrate their artillery on Ukraine real front knowing exactly where Ukraine front are. Still just my opinion, another mistake had done, not to concentrate force, Ukraine have done the russian tactic, attack in the same time multi front to seek weakness, then little de-mining equipment there, and there and there, the real attacking point of the arrow got less de mining equipment to go true the incredible land mine russian had put in the first line. As I said, I'm only chair commentator, maybe it's what it was wanted? I don't think so, but I hope Ukraine will be able to reach Mariupol to cut russian force in two. And then Ukraine will be able to launch Water drone to reach Kersh bridge from the side Mariupol then Russian will be in the big .... :D .
Tokmak by Christmas
Sorry but you are wrong if ukraine has all supply lines under himars control East to west there will be no supplies when the rain comes they will be done
If Ukraine doesn't reach the sea and take the south until the end of next year, its still a victory
I feel the Russian forces may collapse by the end of the year. Russia is bleeding cash and they’re stretching hard, spending in massive deficit with a ruble crash now in progress. Their infrastructure will just disintegrate. Inflation is already high but it will go much higher. I could be wrong on any of all of this, but that’s just my view on the subject.
Thanks for your video, nice to see you back. You asked for thoughts so I'm giving mine, fwiw. It's very hard to know what's actually happening on the front lines - so many pro ukrainian sources tell us every day how successful the AFU is, and Russian sources say the opposite. There's clearly wishful thinking on both sides. I'm not aruging here about the rights and wrongs, to most of us that is clear. But after all this time the Russians are so well dug in that any advance comes at a huge cost. That point is unarguable, I think. To see the advances that have been made in this offensive you have to zoom in *a lot*. How many have died for this? Was it worth it? I hope I'm wrong and there really is an end game but right now it looks to me like we have to face reality. Ukraine can't expel Russia from the recently occupied territories. The west is not going to provide a new air force or the other vast resources required for an outright military victory. Western govts are kinda happy to see Russia ground down a little more every day. The western equipment donated is obsolete anyway. But Ukraine is paying by far the biggest price. If the war is ended Ukraine can recover and be a thriving european democracy, likely a NATO member (so Russia can't attack again), albeit having lost some of its borderlands and people (among them the most pro-russian people). It will have achieved a victory of sorts against a foe that most thought would overrun it entirely. Meanwhile Russia will remain a pariah state among advanced countries and continue its decline. I am not ukrainian but I am a passionate supporter of Ukraine so it pains me to say what I have. Slava Ukraini
NO it wont be long .It will fall apart within the month
The logistics of Russia at some point, won't have either the ammunition or equipment to advance. It looks like all they have now is mines, which Ukrain can retrieve and drop on Russian positions. Russia is backed by no one, but Ukrain is backed by the West. The longer the war goes on economically the more Russia is isolated and viewed as a selfish Imperial power, with 70% Russian support, its people will see it lose.
Things aren't going well for Russians, they are retreating leaving behind mines and equipment that is being used against them.
Humanity is not liked,
eBook series 'Religion Separates Man From God.'
It's slow, but zelensky call Ukrainians out of country to come fight! Go if are slow nooo?
I hear your cry...😂😂 cry deeply
I dont know if this real or not prapaganda, but I've watched russian new, and they keep showing scenes of civilians in donbas being killed 2014. They also say ukraine killed russian speakers first in the name of territorial integrity. They are saying ukraine forces went all the way to donbas and starting shelling civilians. They even show a russian speaker mother dead still holding her dead baby in her arms in a park. They tell this to the soldiers. This prapaganda is what is driving the russian soldiers. Like i said, i dont know if this is true or not, but they are showing this on russian television.
100% true. Ukraine has been bombing Ukrainians since 2014 and is now reaping what it has sowen.
@ZelenskyyUa Mr President, before the end of this war, I hope Ukraine and allies develop drones that can find, pick up and drop to detonate mines on the Army that put them there, making mines a liability.
Humanity is not liked,
eBook series 'Religion Separates Man From God.'
Zelensky hoped they could break through to Melitopol in 2 months but they under estimated Putlers defenses. AFU are caught in the Robotyne cauldron.
no cauldron, ukraine broke the 1st line of defence trenches near verbove and cleared 8km of that trenchline. much easier to clear a trench when you are in it than attacking it frontally. all russian counter attacks failed with huge casualties in russian experienced vdv and marines at robotyne and russia already activated all their reserves. 60 percent of russian troops at 1st line so if they break that, the 2nd line is easier to take.
nice thing is russian rouble still weakening even though the russian central bank raised interest rates in russia from 4 percent to 12 percent in a month. means putin printing money now that his reserve fund is gone to finance his war, and its gonna be out of control hyperinflation in russia in a few months and back to a 1990 ussr moment. after that its 5 roubles me love you long time baby in russia.
@@giovanni-ed7zq They've made it up to the first line but they haven't broken through. AFU is caught an artillery kill box. They pushed themselves into a cauldron. The losses are very heavy.
@@trevorshea1930 you dont understand how to read maps, they expanded the breach and control 8km of russian trench in the 1st defensive line. ukraine is pushing north of verbove to cut off supplies to the russians north of there to force then out or be encircled while taking the high ground north of verbove. they will hit verbove from north and east to take it. as well they are moving along the high ground south of verbove to take the high ground. russia always allows ukraine to capture the high ground before they abandon a town.
also you are reading the wrong update bloggers if that is what you think is happening.
@@trevorshea1930 even prigozin in his videos said how ukraine attacks, they take the tactical heights first and the russians lets them, and then the pound the russians in the lowlands from the tactical heights and force the russians out when they have risk of encirclement.
I think Ukraine should take Moscow !
I think they won't manage
@@ИгорьУмоватин I don't think they want to. Just want Russians out of their country.
Chris, you've lost the drive and emphasis. Drop it! Sorry.