Five Events That Will Change America By 2050
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- Опубліковано 28 тра 2024
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2050 is getting closer. While at one point that year felt like a far off future year, we're actually getting close enough to it that we can make some pretty realistic predictions of what might happen. And because I do so much research for my videos and podcast, I've been able to create what I believe are five realistic events that will change the United States in the next two and a half decades. Nothing is guaranteed, but the trends are certainly there!
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Animation and production assistance provided by DH Designs (needahittman.com). - Наука та технологія
Trees aren't just carbon capture, they're flood protection and temperature remediation (shade) as well. They're a resource we need.
Agreed. Trees also grow faster and taller in higher CO2, without the need to plant new ones. The effects are already showing in the African Sahel.
I know it's not much on it's own but my family buys a live tree for Christmas uses it for 2 years then plants it in early spring after its second use. Repeat. More families should consider this approach. It also costs basically the same or even less per year as opposed to buying recently cut "live" trees.
And Canada is still clear-cutting and sending wood chips to the UK to fuel their 'environmentally friendly' power plants.
But aren't trees woke? I assume they are these days. Everything else is.
Mature trees reduce auto accidents and crime.
No one's sure why, but the stats hold up.
Fun fact: We're closer to 2050 than 1996
*Edit on 1 January 2024: Now we're closer to 2050 than 1997*
That’s terrifying considering what’s going on in this country at this very moment.
@@ssg9offical yeah. I'm not American but I really hope you guys can sort out your issues soon
@@GenericUsername1388 really hope so the gun probably is extremely outta control.
@@ssg9offical What's going on thats so scary, other than Leftists' agendas?
27 years from now.
As someone who wrote a 20 page paper researching high speed rail development, we absolutely will not have a national rail speed network by then. States suck at high speed rail planning and the federal agencies have shown little to no interest in nationalizing our transit system like they did the highway.
We'll likely be in civil war long before a national high speed railway is built.
I don't think that the US tree population is shrinking because of urbanization, but rather because of suburbanization. We take up so much space with our low-density suburbs that we build outward, and may have to resort going through forests.
Over-expansion of agriculture on land not as suitible for intensive crop production was a huge contributor in the last part of the 20th century... re-forestation of these lands in the midwest and plains could be a huge help to capture carbon in North America.
classical world order schemes
@sambankman-Zelensky
@sambankman-Zelensky You will own nothing, and you WILL be happy.
How many suburbs could fit between Kansas City and Denver? 🤔 🤪
I think that most people who live in big cities love to complain about how much space we take up . Forest are shrinking due to wildfires because you city people want the funding from wild fire prevention to spend on other pet projects. I guess since trees can't vote you all don't care to ensure we properly fund prevention efforts.
Trees not only help to sequester CO2, but they also help to moderate temperatures by evaporation.
As the trees perform photosynthesis, they respirate and output water vapor, which is also a way they they moderate their own temperature. This water vapor in the air helps to moderate temperatures and ward off soil desiccation. Don't get me started on the value of trees. They are more valuable than they appear to be, especially as forests become mature with all associated undergrowth and plant material reclamation.
Tell that to my neighbor who would rather chop down any limb over his fence to keep leaves out of his pool
Tell that to every city Californian that sneers at there fellow citizens every fire season and concludes they brought it on themselves.
That’s not really true .. do your research correctly.
We need MORE CO2 to enhance plant growth. Increased warming on the earth because of the sun causes more CO2, not the other way around.
Are you a tree?
It is what it is! During this austere times, protecting one's capital is much more important than making money. Basically because if one loses one's capital, making money is much harder. ''Missing the train'' vs. ''losing your money''. There are a lot of trains, but if your money is gone, it's over.
You need to invest in order to protect your hard-earned funds from inflation. You need to invest now because your money is more valuable today than it will be in a year, Bottom-line is that inflation is actually above 10% whilst interest rates is sub 2%. Cash is still trash.
$10,000 is worth more than it will be in the future. Investing in the stock market is the surest way of protecting your money from inflation and the best way to build wealth. The U.S stock market is the world's biggest wealth creator which always outperforms most economic realities in the long term.
@@kaylawood9053 You can't really know the full risk rate except you are a Pro. Reason I settled for advisory and guide from a stocks guru, “ELEANOR ANNETTE ECKHAUS”. Never been the same again with my holdings
The crazy part is that advisors are probably outperforming the market and raising good returns. I will give this a look up, lucky i stumbled on this thread..
schmucks
At this moment, it is crucial for individuals to prioritize investing in alternative streams of income that are not reliant on the government, particularly with the existing worldwide economic crisis. Investing in stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies can still be profitable during this period. Therefore, it is advisable to explore these investment options to secure one's financial future.
you're right! If you are unfamiliar with the market, I recommend seeking advice or assistance from a financial coach. With the help of an investment advisor, I have diversified my $450,000 portfolio across multiple markets, We were able to generate over $1.2 million in net income from seasonally high-dividend stocks, ETFs and bonds. For me, this is the most ideal way to enter the market these days.
I just started a few months back, I'm going for long term, I'm still trying to wrap my head around it, who’s this advisor you work with?
@@valeriepierre9778 Do your homework and choose one that has strategies to help your portfolio grow consistently and steadily. ‘’Julia Ann Finnicum” is responsible for the success of my portfolio, and I believe she possesses the qualifications and expertise to meet your goals.
Is this your way of pushing crypto?
rather diversife, do things that make you rich
I remember one of my college professors back around 1990 predict that in 20 years we would all be a night-shift society because of the ozone hole. Well, 2010 came and went and we're still not a night-shift society. I just hope he lived to see the folly of that prediction.
Not only that, there are reports that the Ozone Hole is healing faster than expected, so he was double-wrong. (Some GOOD news for a change, IKR?)
The population bomb in 1970 predicted catastrophie by 1990.
Thank you for showing your views on future trends.Appreciate it. Personally, I am bit wary of putting faith in policy initiative like high speed rail and treeplanting panning out. This requires active citizen pressure and commitment from officials over a long period of time.
High speed rail is a fantasy of the Left. The USA may as well throw its money down the proverbial rat hole than spend it on creating massive boondoggles that will bankrupt us all.
If low speed commuter trains aren't economic I don't see how something like a high speed LA to SF express is going to be financially sustainable.
We have “high speed rail”. The current locomotives and rail cars are capable of 100mph cruise. What we need is railbeds, routes and schedules that let us take advantage of that and keep the average speed over the route in the 60-70 mph range - and stay on schedule. Being consistently late is a huge problem for Amtrak and limits it’s ability to attract riders that need to be somewhere on time - which is most people.
You are correct. But the owner of this channel is an ideologue who thinks the world moves in a clear linear pattern toward progress, and that he and his fellow hivemind are the gatekeepers for it. The will for high speed rail has to exist among the people or it cannot happen. There is no evidence that such will exists outside of a few already highly urbanized places. Besides, do the high-speed rail advocates realize we're a single terrorist attack away from snuffing out what little demand there already is for rail travel?
@@I_Have_The_Most_Japanese_Music except it is economic when done right, Americans just don’t build enough transit oriented development
Actually, American suburbs were *created* by mass transit. Long before cars were common, let alone affordable, developers would plat out subdivisions where land was cheap, far from city centers. To entice people who worked in those city centers (and thus had money) to move so far out, the developers would build electric trolley lines that ran from their suburbs into the city. But this was a bait-and-switch tactic: it costs far more to run and maintain a rail line than to build it, and eventually the private companies who operated these lines would go bankrupt. To keep workers from being cut off from their jobs, the cities would have to take over these lines and run them as public utilities, using a combination of higher taxes, higher fares and reduced service. As you might imagine, this pleased no one except the developers, who got away with it.
If you wonder why America is so "car-centric," that's one reason. And we haven't even gotten to Jay Gould and the Rail Barons and the Pullman Strike and a whole folk-song album's worth of exploitation, violence and corporate welfare.
Yes, totally agree. The main reason railroads got built across the continent was the government gave huge swaths of land on either side of the right of way and paid them for every mile of track built. The rail companies made most of their money selling the land to settlers.
When the money from the land ran out and highways were built for private cars, the passenger service was no longer profitable and the government created Amtrak.
Were trolley lines not profitable or was it because the car industry bought and then ripped out the competition? I think it was that GM wanted to push more product and removed mass transit options from our cities, but it's only part of the story. The other part is that car congestion started happening and made it impossible to keep on schedule. Mandatory 5 cent fares didn't keep up with inflation and the trolley companies were contractually obligated to maintain roads for (the competition) cars to drive on. Issues from 100 years ago are still causing us problems today with our traffic congestion and lack of mass transit options.
@@DanielsMTB The things I described were going on in the 1890s and 1910s. So automobiles were not a big factor yet.
@@DanielsMTB White America largely abandoned mass transit after Rosa Parks. When the Feds told them they had to sit next to blacks on the bus they stopped riding the bus. The racists who stopped riding the bus are gone for the most part but their kids never used mass transit, nor have their grandkids. Once people have had the freedom of owning and driving their own vehicle they are very unlikely to willingly give that up and go back to using mass transit unless they move to a large city where a car is more of a liability than an asset.
“Whole folk-song album’s worth of exploitation” I’m using that.
A high speed rail from Cleveland to Cincinnati is too perfect… it would literally go directly through the states most populated areas in a basic line, that already exists and in I-71.
Another exciting proposal is the Columbus to Chicago rail project. It’d travel via Fort Wayne Indiana and Lima OH, and due to the lack of a direct highway alternative, the train wouldn’t have to be very fast to beat the driving time. Even at 110 mph, it’d slaughter the driving travel time, let alone true high speed rail 180mph +
Honestly, I've thought of this too:
1) The 1st line could also continue down through Lexington, Louisville and maybe all the way down to Nashville and maybe NE from Cleveland to Buffalo. From Buffalo you could extend to Rochester, Syracuse and eventually NYC and Boston. From Nashville you could consider linking up to Atlanta and the whole Southeast coast of the US.
2) A 2nd line could go from Columbus / Cincinnati, through Dayton, Indianapolis, Chicago and Milwaukee.
3) The 3rd line could go from Cleveland over to Pittsburgh in an Eastern direction (maybe continuing to hook up to the lines running through D/C, Baltimore, Philly, NYC, and Boston) and then going West through Toledo (with a small line heading North from Toledo to Detroit), and then West from Toledo to Chicago and Milwaukee. This line would basically connect the East Coast with Chicago.
Basically, you'd have a triangle heading East/West in the North from Cleveland to Chicago, a NE/SW one from Cleveland to Cincinnati, and a NW/SE from Chicago to Columbus/ Cincinnati.
These line would link up almost the entire Midwest with the East Coast while also covering a large segment of the population. From Chicago you could have lines going to Minneapolis and Saint Louis as mentioned in the video.
Also, another benefit of going to Buffalo, is that Toronto is right up there as well.
@@JohnDoe-lo1ufI agree. I would probably visit Ohio more often if there was train service from Louisville, as driving I-71 is not particularly pleasant between Cincinnati and Louisville. I think the key would be to build some mass transit that would serve a lot of tourist-centric areas so that someone who arrives by train doesn't have to turn around and rent a car or hail a taxi or ride share.
The I-71 corridor would also connect to so many other high profile corridors like Louisville-Lexington, Cincinnati-Lexington, Louisville-Nashville, Indianapolis-Dayton-Columbus, etc.
Adding connectivity like that would definitely make such a HSR line more appealing than a standalone line linking two or three cities.@@JohnDoe-lo1uf
The more I study trends analysis and predictions, the more difficult the task of predicting the future seems to be. There are just too many moving parts and unknowns for us to make any accurate predictions about much of anything. Changes in laws, public policy, technology, and cultural preferences can all have a dramatic effect in ways we cannot predict.
Just as an example, up until 2020 very few people thought that remote work would really be a major factor in the job market, but now it is a major consideration just a short 3 years later. That is a combination of technological innovation and a shift in cultural values among workers. Big tech employers like Elon Musk can lament the change in worker preferences all they want, but if the best workers demand remote work, employers will have to bend the knee to what the employment market will allow. These kinds of changes in employment have the potential to significantly reshape human living patterns and city development plans in the future.
The commercial real estate market in the USA looks like it may be about to implode over the next several years as a result of these changing employment patterns by workers and businesses. The dense commercial districts once epitomized by places like New York City may become a thing of the past. (That's why I'm not bullish on NYC over the long term.) These kinds of changes along with the rise of new technologies related to AI and robotics will have a dramatic effect on the ways cities are designed in the future. There is just no way for us to predict how all of this is going to play out over the next several decades.
Agreed I was just researching the Great Lakes area due to the info I’m seeing on probable rising sea levels and heat in the South. So much info, no clear way to truly predict anything.
"Big tech employers like Elon Musk can lament the change in worker preferences all they want, but if the best workers demand remote work, employers will have to bend the knee to what the employment market will allow."
Perhaps you have this backward. The number 1 and 2 most desirable tech companies for engineers are (interchangeably) SpaceX and Tesla. Guess who demands workers to physically come "to work" (at least predominately)?
Agreed. The biggest changes will be much faster. Remote work, electric vehicles, artificial intelligence, telehealth, aging demographics are here NOW. Many costs of goods & services will plummet. Huge swap of human labor for automation. Values of land, property, real estate upheaval as citizens demand & civic government become "smart."Academia & Judiciary by A.I. Today will be " The Dumb Old Days."
Top ten things occurring by 2050:
(1) White people become an absolute minority in their own country
(2) Mexicans become the dominant majority race in the country
(3) > 30% of the US population will identify as homosexual, bisexual, transgender, pedophile, or non-binary
(4) > 90% of marriages will end in divorce
(5) > 90% of children are born out of wedlock and in single parenthood units
(6) America becomes a one-party state (controlled by Democrats)
(7) Speech is monitored daily and controlled
(8) 50% of the country live below poverty level due to inflation, unemployment, poor economy, and massive crime
(9) America ranks #200 in terms of literacy rate and education level
(10) The United States is replaced by China as the dominant country in the world
Assume you're in the medium. Assume you're not privileged enough to witness the beginning or the end, use that as a model to predict. It's an old methodology that might surprise you with how effective it is.
Illinois is suppose to grow and shrink in population ? Impressive
As a Texan born and raised, I will be moving to West Pennsylvania next year. The heat has really gotten to me and I'm sure it will only get worse as a year's progress. I just want to be able to enjoy a lot of time outside without sweating so much or me and at the rest of dehydration.
This is my exact scenario. I'm a native Texan in my mid 40s and just bought my first home in Wisconsin because I reached a point where the increasingly brutal summers were just too oppressive. I'll learn to drive in snow, lol!!
Well I'm a conservative from California that just moved to Waco Txs, wish me luck ✌
bad move as the winters are going to get worse each year from now on, more snow, summers where the snow never melts. A glacier in Chicago by 2032 great lakes frozen over all winter by 2030 snow and cold will make living impossible up northern US. I'm moving to Panama. It's going to be down right cold in Brownsville TX winters within a few years...lol
I like western PA, I got familiar with it during my trucking years but I originally was from Texas too
I don't disagree that climate change will affect Texas, but I think it's too soon to say it will cause some kind of mass migration out of the state. Millions of people today already live in climates that are even hotter and more humid than Texas. In fact, Texas could very well be the destination for some of those people if their native countries feel climate impacts; it already kind of is, for non-climate reasons. But humans have a remarkable ability to adapt to climate. Honestly, I believe Florida stands to lose the most unless it makes serious adaptations. Rising sea levels and increased hurricane intensity in the Gulf will make things pretty bad.
These blistering hot summers are going to have a lot of influence as to where one lives. I left Texas and moved to Delaware 5 years ago because of taxes and insurance costs, with insurance being the biggest factor. When I left, I was paying $6000+ for flood, Windstorm, Homeowners, and excess liability insurance.
I thoroughly enjoyed your presentation and I'm hopeful that those positive aspects come to fruition. I look forward to seeing more (just subscribed)
Hopefully there will be more public transit! I hate driving.
Me too but I live far out in the country but I have no choice but to drive
I love driving lol if I have to choose between a 12 hour drive and a 2 hour flight I’ll take the drive. I like seeing the scenery and having the option to stop and explore any area I find interesting. Being forced to travel with dozens to hundreds of strangers is awful lol but I realize I’m an outlier.
Public transit gets a LOT easier with smaller lot sizes and more quadplexes, because it means both shorter routes and more passengers (and trips) per mile.
@@huebeyduebey3493 The only way I'll ever get on a plane again is if it's going to Europe. Otherwise, I'll drive at my normal pace of 300 miles a day, avoiding interstates and places with a lot of traffic.
@@huebeyduebey3493 driving in a rural area is fun, but driving to work in traffic on the highway sucks a ton. Public transit is way better for cities
man that bit about the trains was hella depressing. you're telling me that by 2050 all of the high-speed rail is mainly just gonna be 2 big cities in big name states being connected? we have 27 years until 2050. look at what China accomplished in less than half that time. the US is so disappointing.
Chinese High-Speed Rail will be falling apart by then. What they built was financially unsound and unsustainable.
@Norman Clαtcher oh man u must be drinking kool aid, if there's one thing we can give the chinese credit for is that their HSR network is probably one of if not the best in the world and tbh the US should look at china as an example to expand its own HSR
@@benchlaylaurent6518 I have seen people criticize Chinese HSR saying that they subsidized it 900 Billion! We did the same thing. We call it the Interstate Highway System.
@@normanclatcher How much did the fossil fuel industry pay you to say that?
Automated EVs already do really well on the freeway. That will limit the interest in high speed rail.
I live in El Paso, TX. I really wouldn't be surprised if in 30 years the population of this city is forced to shrink to half its current size. There just isn't enough water to sustain continued growth.
I’m so happy to lived in northeastern Wisconsin on the thumb part of the state. There is a little bit of a climate change over the years. I remembered during the 90’s the water was very low for a long time. It went up in early 2010’s. Some winters get a little bit of snow and some winters a lot of snow. Past 2 or 3 winters had been pretty mild. In 2019 got a foot of heavy snow and did gradually melted during the month. In 2020 only 2 to 3 inches the rest of the winter. I hope this winter is mild again.
I love Door county
Up until 6 months ago I thought by 2050 people would flock to Minnesota. But I don't think that today. I've lived in Minnesota my whole life. 72 winters. This past 6 months was ridiculously snowy and cold. Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar April.
Cold. As long as that continues I doubt the masses will move to Minnesota. Brrr. Finally this week we have 7 days in a row of 70 plus degree temps. One commentator said people will move to mid tier states. Missouri Arkansas Kentucky etc. Seems liked a good plan to me. Stay away from Minnesota and let us die hard fools wallow in our cold misery for 6 months.
Those are Red states , I've been to all three , but as a liberal there's no way . Where I live it's cold but I'm staying put .
As a Canadian I agree with your post.
@@stepheng3667 We don't want them anyway . Being serious though I believe that there is going to be huge movements of people trying to find more temperate areas .
Ilhan Omar and her family moved to Minnesota, knowing full well (I think) how long the cold lasts there, because she did not want to spend the rest of her life in Somalia and quite possibly die of hunger there. She's been a great Congresswoman and I hope your state gets more immigrants like her. But you're right that people who just want to be warm and "comfortable" all the time would be much better off buying a house next to Sarah Huckabee Sanders.
This winter was exceptionally long and snowy. Kinda made me regret not having a snowblower
"Many of these newer Americans will be far more diverse than the current population". When ideology prevents you from speaking English correctly.
It's not possible for a single individual to be "diverse", only a group can be diverse. So the population as a whole will be more ethnically diverse, not the individual immigrants themselves. A person's family background can be racially heterogeneous, but once again that doesn't make *them* diverse, only their ancestors collectively.
Plus most immigrants will continue to be Latinos lol not really a huge difference
Really enjoy your videos! You clearly put a lot of time and effort into them and they're always interesting.
A small bit of constructive criticism: when you speak, unless you're posing a question, don't use High-rising Terminal (when a person's voice goes up at the end of every statement). That always makes people sound tentative and uncertain and they are taken less seriously. The stereotypical effect is Valley Girl Speak. You don't want to sound like that. When you make declarative statements, end your sentences with a downward inflection instead. That makes it more powerful and indicates you are confident in your message.
I didn't have an interest in geography. Not because I didn't like it. I just never thought about how fascinating it is when I stumbled on to your channel. Your content and presentation are great. Time to binge watch.
If you see how winter storms fly off of Lake Erie, youll see why Buffalo is never really safe.
Buffalo won't really change, but it already sucks.
For a day or two.
Geoff, I’m a fan of the channel and podcast. I just listened to your episode about wind energy. I’m a wind turbine technician and have worked in Iowa, Minnesota and I’m now working offshore in the UK. I’d love to connect and share some information about wind turbines and wind energy.
High speed rail by 2050?! Yeahhhhhh not when it takes a construction crew 10 years to fix a section of highway
Wow, geography is really a great subject. Thank you Geoff
Monoculture tree planting seems to be the plan currently. Mostly, evergreen trees that will likely be harvested when mature. I have heard nothing of planting for a multi-species forest, deciduous and evergreens.
My spouse and I actually talked about moving to Buffalo one day - we liked it was by a large water source, has public transit, and close to Canada if we ever needed to flee lol. Then that crazy snowstorm happened this past Dec/Jan. Scared us off lol.
As a lifelong Buffalonian, that storm was historic, it hasn’t been that bad since 1977 when we had a massive blizzard. Buffalo is a great place to live with warm and sunny summers and all four seasons to experience. Having Canada 20 mins away is a bonus, being just an hour and a half away from Toronto! Cost of living is cheap, and there’s so much water! Not to mention some of the best food in a city you could have!
they are gonna expand the metro rail here.
Yeah that snowstorm was horrific. But being from Western New York you learn to stay inside until it stops snowing then dig out. No big deal. Just plan not to drive during the storm. BTW, summer in Buffalo is near perfection.
you don't have to leave home for 6 months😅
If there is ever a need to flee the USA, Canada won’t be a sanctuary for long, unfortunately.
You have a pretty funny outlook. So positive. So oblivious to that big burning thing in the sky that makes everything go.
I love the contradictory science predictions. This is fun!
High speed rail? In America!? 🤣🤣🤣
Good one!
I want to see it happen 😅
Try getting HSR past the environmental groups.
Also by 2050 the American Serengeti will finally open in Montana returning native Bison, Elk, Grizzlies, and other Animals to land they once roamed, as well as an effort to revitalize the important grasslands on the great plains! Forest farming will also be more frequent moving away from our current big agriculture industrial farming.
Introduction of dangerous animals will conflict with people being able to enjoy serene time in the wilderness without packing heat.
Have you considered looking at hydroponics as a future alternative to agricultural farming
As a farmer myself I don’t really see forest farming really going anywhere tbh. The main issue with it is that it lacks scalability and uses a lot more manual labor to manage than traditional fields and such. Given that a lot of farms are already short on labor, increasing the reliance on it is not really the best idea
Please God this should happen but I also think wild mustangs should be kept as part of the ecosystem. They don’t really do much damage and can be taken by wolves, grizzly bears and the young by mountain lions and wolverines.
Then they should be in parks not the wilderness.
I love these kinds of predictions. They are almost always off the mark, frequently by a massive amount.
Top ten things occurring by 2050:
(1) White people become an absolute minority in their own country
(2) Mexicans become the dominant majority race in the country
(3) > 30% of the US population will identify as homosexual, bisexual, transgender, pedophile, or non-binary
(4) > 90% of marriages will end in divorce
(5) > 90% of children are born out of wedlock and in single parenthood units
(6) America becomes a one-party state (controlled by Democrats)
(7) Speech is monitored daily and controlled
(8) 50% of the country live below poverty level due to inflation, unemployment, poor economy, and massive crime
(9) America ranks #200 in terms of literacy rate and education level
(10) The United States is replaced by China as the dominant country in the world
I agree. I remember in the late 50s/60s on tv 'predictions' of the US at the turn of the 21st century. Boy, were they off.
The one event they missed was the only one that is - inevitable - the collapse of the “paper currency” because it was digitized out of solvency… the manipulation of the dollar will echo the collapse of the French paper currency that coined the term “millionaire” that led to the French Revolution (aka the total collapse of French Society) only - now - the people who will be wiped out will be “billionaires” because the economy is flooded with worthless TRILLION$$$ of “greenback” AND since Europe, Japan and China are based on the same bastardization of their interlocked digital debt instrument… it will take the Industrialized world wit’ it!
“Climate Change” (which used to be call “The 2nd Ice Age” in the ‘70s and “Global Warming” in the 90s until Climategate exposed the University of East Anglia UN Hoax so they needed a marketing label that could work like a propaganda thermos) is the very definition of “theoretical” based on innumerable variables (by “eggspurts” who can’t predict the landfall of a hurricane 24 hours)
Inflation of a FIAT currency of is based on ONE thing… irresponsible governments debasing the currency to cover up government debt and stealing the “good money” before it turns… bad!
And you can take THAT to the BANK (which will give you an IOU as describe by the Marxist that made sense… Groucho! 😅😂🤣)
Hey Geoff, I live in Florida near the center of the State where the Fastest Retirement Community is. look up The Villages in Wildwood Florida, - Wildwood-The Villages - known for its large retirement community - whose population rose nearly 5% to 151,565, making it the nation’s fastest-growing metro area.2022-2023. Do a video on this.
Trees also help to keep temps down. They provide shade to city streets and sidewalks.
And absorb co2
Need more trees for sure. Tackles many issues, but big concern is wildlife, especially with all the new building of houses, etc
How do you make these videos? You do a phenomenal job my friend - greetings from a smalltime UA-camr :)
One large issue facing the world are urban heat sinks. The reduction in snow cover is going to accelerate temperature rise - which will then cause a further reduction in snow cover. We need to find a viable method to "lighten" the color of our cities and highways.
They're starting in Phoenix to switch to light colored asphalt. I expect if it works well, other sunbelt cities will follow their example.
Why did Obama buy a mansion on the ocean at Martha's Vineyard? LMAO. You're drinking the Koolaid!
That’s silly. Change doesn’t happen overnight. Rich people can just pick up and move on a whim. He won’t be alive in 2050 to care anyway. Also not the only home he owns - Chicago.
His home is up on a small hill, safe from rising sea waters.
Plymouth Rock has been above water since 1619 but you think sea levels are going to rise noticeably and to detrimental effect by 2050?
Funny how few people actually go to the coasts to check their "rising sea levels" predictions.😅
Good to hear the focus on planting trees to help the climate. Easily the best solution.
Considering many are likely to burn from temperature rise and that it takes years for them to grow large enough to make a noticeable difference we still need to largely focus on other areas as well. Trees arent going to solve the climate crisis, but yes they will help. Food is a big issue, plant based diets are not only statistically healthier but they reduce our carbon footprint between 50 - 70%. We use a ridiculous amount of our farmable land for cattle feed alone
@@xasia_have you not got a brain to think for yourself?
The Jetsons were to arrive by the 1970s, predictions are still flying high.
As a born and raised Buffalonian, I cannot recommend the region enough! Thanks for the shout out Geoff!
I live southern Ontario. Visit Buffalo often, it's a fine place ...Residents seem to want to make it work. The Finger Lakes Region is a real gem,
I'm from Chautauqua County and considering moving back. I miss the woods.
I remember someone in the 1980s predicted that in the 2020s, the Great Lake states would see an influx of people because of the water supply.
Pretty much all of those doomsday climate predictions have been proven wrong. See Paul Erlich, Al Gore, et al.
It’s slowly happening
i don’t think it’ll happen in the 2020s… at some point probably but not until the 2100s or so
The rust belt j gotta their economies on track. Most rust belt cities Alr have a stigma around them but w the right politicians their could be some real change.(PS this ain’t a party thing. It’s j that some politicians do their jobs better than others)
As a fellow Geoff I respect and enjoy your videos :P
I live in Texas now. I am natively from Seoul, South Korea. Most of my life, I have lived in the New England states such as Massachusetts and Connecticut. I am planning on relocating to northern Virginia.
Oh Yeah, one more thing about Texas. It is way too damn HOT here in the Central Texas region. I miss the snow, ice, winters, and skiing and other winter sports. I can't take the damn heat every single day for the past 5½ years. But, I do have an awesome job with Most Righteous benefits as a government employ for State of Texas. Did I mention that it is too damn HOT here in Texas.
Thank you for this. I was feeling down and needed a good laugh. ❤
I love how positive your video was especially since most videos talking about the future are just doom and gloom.
actually it will be much worse !
@@MakeSomeNoiseAgencyPlaylists Possibly but there are positve aspects of the future.
Good luck youngsters. I'm glad to see that you are optimistic.
Very interesting and thorough geography video with excellent map animations and explanations! 👍🏽🌎✨💫
In Canada there are fewer safe choices. Too many forests and population living on waterfronts. I live in a small rural town in the mountains that has a river running by. No hurricanes make it this far. The river provides a natural break against forest fire encroachment. There are numerous towns and cities I lived in at one time in my life that have been flooded out, burned up, or struck by hurricanes / tornados. It is shocking to watch. But glad I made the move to a more climate protected area. Oh yes, Canada gets heat waves too. But not as hot as southern US. We saw dozens of seniors die in Vancouver in a heat wave. Few people have AC in Vancouver.
I think the estimated population of 400-450 million is way over what it will be based on trends I’ve seen. What data did you use to extrapolate for your prediction?
Especially as the Boomer generation dies off. I'd be shocked if we even hit 375m by 2050.
It's not unlikely for the US population to rise to 400 - 450 million by 2050. Continued immigration will likely ensure that the population of the US will continue to increase at a steady pace, when accounting for the number of people being displaced by climate change.
@@brandonn.1275 The sources of immigration are also seeing population growth flatten or drop. I also think it is very unlikely. They had to scale back 2020 and 2030 predictions.
@@erichamilton3373 perhaps not unlikely, according to recent projections of people being displaced by climate change, the number of people displaced will reach 1.2 billion by 2050.
This. He states these quantified notions with zero plausibility.
I feel like there will be another change in how the cities will look like. In the internet age and WFH becoming ever commonly practiced, the need to live in urban areas will decrease as days go by. Sure people will still want to live near everything for a little longer but with this continuing trend(high cost of living and such) I think many regional cities will develop instead of mega-metro areas with more than a million.
My personal experience of growing up in smaller cities was great. Although I think one town I grew up in with just 20,000 is too small for the majority of modern people, the other city I grew up in with about 500,000 was good enough and many will prefer this kind of city in the upcoming decades.
You know you bring up a good point. I thought to myself before: if we went from a very rural species to now a very urban one, what’s to say we won’t end up in a new balance between the two extremes?
Agreed that regional cities may/should grow but not necessarily metropolises.
You still need to be close to services: hospitals, fire fighters, mail delivery, garbage collection. There are still reasons for density beyond socializing, work, and school. Heck, there are other reasons to travel beyond those.
But then a counter argument to that is what has happened in parts of Europe where Work from Home has caught on and people have chosen to ditch owning one or more cars in favour of living in or nearer city/ town centres and using the extra time and money saved from not commuting to spend in the local economy. It also stops that 'Cabin fever' of being stuck at home.
Smaller and heritage cities within travel time of larger metropolitan areas have thrived greatly from this.
There won't be "jobs", everyone will be on UBI, and do what they want. Some of that will "make money", some of it won't. AI will be doing >>ALL
@@redwoodpartisan2433 I've been thinking this too. We've been going overboard on urbanization, Its becoming difficult to tilt the ship any other way. I think we're losing touch of things and not even realizing it
Funny, I recently relocated from Las Vegas, NV to Syracuse, NY for exactly the reasons you highlighted in this video.
Brightline in Florida is already offering service between Miami and Orlando! Will be done connecting Tampa in the next few years, and I have no doubts about them finishing the rail between LA and LV in the next 5-10 as well.
The Rust Belt will once again "thrive" (if you can call it thriving) compared to Western and Southern states in the next century. Growth is ending, so resources will be in short supply for everyone, but comparatively speaking, the Great Lakes, as you mentioned, will be a good place to be. CA, AZ, UT, NV, NM are about the last places I'd want to be. Colorado will have trouble with water as well.
I agree, once the sea levels rise enough to take the coastal cities, Im sure Chicago, Detroit, Milwaukee, and Cleveland will start booming again as major cities.
I think the KC area will have major growth soon.
I disagree. I’m not going to believe sea levels are rising until they actually do. No real evidence has been proven in the 30 years since supposedly „every scientist“ has said this statement. If sea levels were really rising then why are the worlds richest people buying property on Manhattan and Nantucket. America has a far higher likely hood of collapsing than having sea levels rising to such an extent that NYC will be underwater.
@@niccage6375 I think so too. That's where I live.
Nevada is the place to be.
I would be 90 in 2050, I really doubt I’ll make that far. But if I do, will like to see it.
I’ll be 37 in 2050, I know I’ll make it that far. Can’t wait till the weird part of Michigan detaches and turns into Superior. I’d like to see that.
@@theonewhoasked940 you’re 10 years old 😆??? No way.
@@theofficialcybermonkeys1271 If you’re making fun of me leave me alone
I will be 83 in 2050. Thats if the world doesnt come to an end by then.
This is very interesting and things have changed dramatically just in the past ten years!
great stuff
I love your optimism. 😊
As a student of futureism and trends (John Naisbitt, David Houle) I enjoyed this very much, and agree with you. Two thoughts:
In most US National Forests, and many state forests, that are logged for timber (salvation or not) the law requires the area logged or disrupted be planted with seedlings already. This large number ebbs and flows and could get all over the place in the future as we determine how to log for both prevention, and salvation, as the planet heats up.
I have lived in several states, both coasts. In the last 15 years alone the weather in New England is now more like Maryland was 20 years ago. I've also visited the south and lived in Arizona, and both areas are also warmer than 20 years ago. As such, the deep south and SW by 2050 may be so oppressivly hot for half the year it could border on being unlivable.
amazing transition between the first two topics
1. I'm skeptical about the effects of zoning. I live in Houston, which has NO zoning, NO restrictions on residences, NO restrictions on commercial development. You can literally have a high-rise condo next to a sprawling mansion next to a neighborhood restaurant next to a duplex next to an office building, and parts of the city are already like that now.
Houston has one of the lowest population densities next to Atlanta. It has about as many people as Chicago in an area nearly as large as all of Los Angeles. So, I'm not sure that just allowing people to build multifamily homes in more locations will accomplish that much.
2. Trees...I grew up in Ohio. Already, there are many, many more trees there than when I was a child, mostly because agriculture is moving away, and every vacant lot is sprouting trees as people realize that nothing new needs to be built there (population growth is stagnant). I expect this trend to occur organically in much of the eastern US.
Yep all these modern is clowns who are mostly white guys have never actually struggled financially a day in their lives talk about this affordable housing and shit like that but it’s not even being built is dogshit luxury apartments, I swear most of these channels are so out of touch with reality it’s embarrassing.
You raise some interesting points.
America needs: "The better off low income living people are doing; The better off the entire economy will be doing." Type mentality -Think of it like a ecosystem in nature. The little things might seem meaningless and insignificant yet, if they crumbled away, the entire ecosystem would crumble. The last things remaining would be the top predators that eat everything else.. until they eat each other.. leaving just a few top sharks in the ecosystem.. the whales would all be gone once the plankton crumble away, the sharks would eat the whales. Then once all that's left is sharks, the sharks would eat the sharks. *(Think of this but as a analogy for our economy and our modern day society..)
If we instead decided to support the lowest people in the ecosystem, there would be a beneficial systematic dispersion towards other aspects of society benefiting. All because the lowest people would be flourishing. I say flourish but I really just mean, able to obtain the most basic essential living standards... Yet even that would Vastly improve our current state of our economy & society *Also imagine this analogy in our economy. The more help we invest in the lowest level people, the more it would trickle into every facet of our economy. If poor people can pay their rent & not go homeless: landlords would get $, businesses would get $, banks would get $, local small shops would get $, mortgages & bills could be paid, insurance companies would get $, Taxes would get $, So essentially that $ would go out & filter right back in to improve our Country while simultaneously improving our quality of Life. Every bit of the economy would somehow find a way to benefit off of this situation... I don't get why we haven't even Given it a chance?? If it doesn't help? Then by all means stop it and figure out what problems we could be facing might be one's that run way deeper than expected and that would take drastic changes to improve that situation... (I hope we TRY something soon, before things get any more unstable. The worst thing we could do is continue on doing exactly what we are currently doing. It might get to a point where overcoming our struggles could simply become a pipedream. I don't want it to get to that)
Because it's not enough to just have it all, they need us groveling at their feet in despair. We've got some sick individuals in the upper class and in positions of power.
@@a.wadderphiltyr1559 that's not what I'm saying or doing or feeling.
Atmospheric CO2 currently is at 420ppm. Pre-industrial level was 270ppm.
During the Pliocene, 3.5mya, CO2 was at 390ppm, and oceans were 70 ft deeper.
By 2050, we will be around 500ppm CO2.
Imagine what that will do to global warming.
Why can I still get a 30 year mortgage on oceanfront property?
Love the short clip beginning at 0:03. But I had hoped the future buildings would be more colorful. Hey, is that an oversized Moon in the sky? Must be an imposter planet!
Fiedler's Forecasting Rules
1. It is very difficult to forecast, especially about the future.
2. He who lives by the crystal ball soon learns to eat ground glass.
3. The moment you forecast, you know you're going to be wrong--you just don't know when and in which direction.
4. If you're ever right, never let them forget it.
- Edgar R. Fiedler
Nobody is going to want to live in these large cities if they don't get the crime, homeless, drugs, and mental illness under control. The DAs need to prosecute. If they cleaned up the streets and I felt safe I would consider moving downtown.
Yep. LA, Chicago, Detroit and NY all have sections no longer livable and/or abandoned. This video I believe is 100% wrong. We face a massive population collapse.
I doubt there will be widespread highsoeed rail - unless the setvice is profitable. With gowing givernment debt, public projects will face heavy funding scrutiny . If the U.S. Dollar loses its status as the global reserve currency. all bets are off on the long term of many givernment programs. Large citues could become hell holes of crime.
Cities like Portland are losing retail because of crime and disresoect for private property.
If the era of cheap debt is over., cities face growing violence.
I like this. It's the first good counter point to Peter Zeihan's migration predictions (I love Peter's model) that Ive seen. Good logical thinking.
Thanks for outting this together.
2 things I question:
1) deurbanization vs urbanization: with the rise of virtual office workers working from home (covid era showed that it is possible and economical), there may be a trend of moving further from cities where cost of living is lower.
2) high speed rail may never catch on. California's high speed rail has been a complete debacle, which may deter future projects.
Rural living (small towns, small farms, rural housing not developments or suburbs) is a lot more expensive, and when these "bedroom communities" (old school term?) develop, they become as expensive as regular suburbs. Sadly they usually tend to bring their big city problems with them as well.
That was quite interesting, thanks for sharing this. As the past quarter century illustrates quite well, a lot can and will change in just 25 year's time. It will be fascinating to watch that transformation play out daily and to see what comes next.
I'm still waiting for the next ice age that was promised when I was growing up.
I'm still waiting for one of Al Gore's predictions regarding climate change to happen.
@@rebeccalindley153 I remember him saying that anyone born after the year 2000 would never see snow.
I have not heard of brawls, stabbings, major conflict and such on the trains yet as is now the norm on commercial airline flights. I suppose that it is on its way.
Thank you for sharing. I hope that all helps
I seriously don't know if any population projection have been correct over a 20-year period. We just had to update the Africa population max population projection, it was thought to be somewhere in the 2080s-2090s and now it's thought to be in the 2060s
yes, but to what degree? Africa is in a much greater state of flux since there has been so much agrarian to urban movement and the corresponding impact on desired family size is hard to predict by country, tribe, etc.
@Kevin Whorton more areas are affected by this than others. A lot has to do with the cost of families, you either have 10 kids and be generally poor or you have one or two child pour all your assets into your child,, have them become a doctor in which case they are pulled into the top 1% of the nation. But as a whole in the last 7 years there has been dramatic drop off in some cases falling to a loss of 1.0 children in fertility rates
We definite need more high-speed passenger rail, and commercial rail. I look forward to it. We should be sharing the same space as the highway network and investing the same amount of money.
The more trucks we can take off the roads the longer they will last.
We need local rail networks as well connecting to industrial parks, downtowns, airports, and seaports.
Whose houses are you tearing down to do that?
The rails to trails can go back to rails. And the OP indicated that rail can share the roads, such as was done first few decades of the 20th century.
If we take seattle for example, and this is not out of the norm, it costs 511 million per mile for their light rail system where as the average freeway costs 10 million per mile
We once had an extensive high speed-electric Interurban/Trolley system across the entire country. That was until GM, Ford, Chevrolet, Greyhound and Continental Trailways conspired after WWII to purchase, then run into the ground all in the name of Eisenhower's Interstate Highway System. Now we have Caltran and Amtrak.
@@StillPlaysWithModelTrains1956 You don't need conspiracies. Automobiles are cheaper, more reliable, easier to reroute. Alsonote that there are fewer rail lines as time goes on, not more.
4:25 North West Indiana is a prime location. We are next to the lake, jobs in Illinois pay higher, close to 2 major airports, lower taxes than Illinois and our winters are cold but mostly snow free. It snows then melts. If the current pattern continues, we will actually be the ideal climate.
Very interesting. There’s definitely a cool thought experiment around how would those countries have developed in the latter half of the 20th century if they’d all been part of the Empire still
The prediction of 1 billion more trees in the U.S. by 2030 is exciting! Trees are so important for carbon capture, wildlife, and cleaning the air.
I'm not certain we will have denser cities unless by an authoritarian government mandate. One thing we learned during COVID is that many jobs can be done remotely (not in an office), so I actually seeing that becoming more common place as office jobs are seeing as a legacy model.
I agree with the lower birthrate in America, but the immigration process is really broken so I don't see that many folks getting here by legal means. My friend is on a 75-year waiting list - I'm not sure how that is even possible.
Sea levels will rise for sure but not that fast. The more likely scenario is that storms and king tides will push more water further inland, but that is temporary flooding. In 20-30 years, insurance companies will simply stop insuring properties on barrier islands or in the Keys - leading to only the uber-wealthy having access to them since only they can afford to "self insure." However, it will be hundreds of years before those islands are gone completely.
Water issues in the Southwest could be solved with expensive, but possible desalination technology and lots of pipes. This is already used in the richer countries of the Middle East. Texas is less of an issue because they have a massive limestone protected aquafer. However, the high plains might run dry (Kansas-Nebraska-Dakotas) if they aren't too careful.
Yes. People who fantasize about America's "dynamism" but refuse to lift a finger to make immigration easier (everyone on CNBC) are fatuous hypocrites. Many Latin American migrants are choosing to stay in Mexico now: they've decided it's not worth putting up with the hate here, and they can find work there.
I also think many of the now-empty office spaces should and will be converted to urban and suburban indoor farms. People need affordable food and we can't always rely on long-distance trucking from rural farms.
I think we could see a growing density of suburbs and towns, and the rezoning of certain city areas, but yeah no, work from home means we could see more little towns increase in size
As for climate change induced sea level rises, yeah I don’t doubt they’ll happen, they just won’t be instant at all as you said. Desalinization is a good idea that’ll likely take off by popular demand
I believe that’s true. For every person coming in illegally push a person farther away from entrance to our country. We need to tend illegal immigration now! It’s probably to late but we need to send them back until they do it right!
@@Greenacres1958 Sure, but we need to fix _legal_ immigration at the same time otherwise, illegal immigration will continue - at least as long as the US is seen as a more desirable location. Building a wall won't solve it since half of illegal immigrants are simply overstayed visa holders.
As a person who lives in the Great Lakes Region, we are not going to be piping our water out to help other states. They need to be figuring out their situation and taking climate change seriously. Some states make zero sense to move to. They are not sustainable in the long term.
I loved Tampa but you couldn’t even enjoy the outside for 6 months out of the year. It was miserably hot. Even in the “winter” it would top 80 degrees, with humidity, on Christmas. You spend so much of your life hiding from the Sun.
TEXAS is already closer to taking over cal. In population , cal. Had negative population growth for the first time in the last census. -500k
I am sure some of the good things will indeed happen. By the same token, some of the bad things will happen as well. Also, there will likely be several unanticipated events as well.
What about losing its position as the global superpower?
To whom? Russia? China? Argentina? Sorry friend
@@hankhillsnrrwurethra To the rest of the world. The US will no loner be able to force it's will onto the world since there is a growing counter-balance as seen during the days of the Cold War, except America is on the decline this time.
@@gannon3816 Did you see what the US did when Iran attacked Aramco, or when they grabbed that tanker three weeks ago? Nothing. You are on your own, and you'll be wishing Uncle Sam was still putting the fear into the mullahs and bone sawyers soon enough.
@@hankhillsnrrwurethra Empires don't fall overnight. It will be a long process over the course of a few decades or maybe a century. Either way, when the FIAT currency system implodes, that will spell doom for US unipolar hegemony.
I’ve never been trapped in a basement with someone more informational
I remember reading that in the 1st 10 or 20 (can't remember which) years of a tree it's actually not improving the environment, but the opposite.
I love thinking about big ideas like this, excellent video! Believe it or not, that Las Vegas-LA high speed rail line looks pretty likely to begin construction by the end of the year/early next year, and the hope is to have it operating before the 2028 Olympics. I wouldn’t be shocked if we see the Brightline extension to Tampa by then as well + major progress on Amtrak’s Connects US map, and I think CAHSR will actually be further along then most people would think by 2028 as well. I think we will see a lot more 110-125 mph intercity passenger rail corridors on top of the HSR routes you mentioned, along with much more local/regional transit, including in cities that wouldn’t seem likely to have it by today’s standards such as Colorado Springs, Boise, Omaha, and Las Vegas. I think North America as a whole will largely become the tech/industrial hub of the future, and the entire continent will become dependent on immigration by necessity to help run that economy of the future. Hopefully we plant as many trees as possible, and make major progress on protecting/rehabilitating the oceans as well. There’s also really no telling how long people might be living by 2050 thanks to advances in medical science, so there could be even more people than we currently estimate, by definition, it’s hard to account for Black Swan events like that. It’s exciting to think about!
Brightline in Florida will be bailed out/bankrupt in 10-20 years.
Medical science isn't the only thing that determines how long people live. There is also: having adequate food, clean water, a community that cares about you, being able to go to a hospital when you need it and not being forced to give birth when it will kill you; also, being able to go outside without dying from the weather, or getting shot by someone who hates you because of Nazi ideology (the list goes on but I hope I gave you an idea)
I think your thoughts on rail are a pipe dream but I agree with the rest.
You are right and if it happens, driving on I-15 between Las Vegas and the LA basin will be awful with construction in the median during that period.
Instead of adding trees which usually has no diversity of species we should just let trees grow naturally on uncultivated land. That way wildlife habitat is also expanded. Just planting millions of pine trees does nothing for the other plants and animals that are endangered. Just let Mother Nature take over land that’s not being used.
In 2050 I hope to be rock'n a Man-bun like my idol Geoff!
That’s funny about Buffalo NY being one of the safest bets for climate change, they get a ton of Lake Effect snow. I also live in proximity to lake Erie and the lake effect snow I get is nowhere near s as bad.
When you hit on the topic of average age increase, and the fact 20% or more will be above 65... my head did the quick math and realized i would be one of those over 65 before 2050... sigh.
In 2050 I will probably still working, because I love what I do and also it is my belief that those that worker longer also live longer. Several studies have shown this to be the case. So for me, I will be in my 80's and working.
I think it depends on the nature of your work but in my case working later in life is a net positive. I'm 66 and loving it. I tried retirement for a couple years. I'm happier working.
Thanks for the information. Makes me think about buying land in Wisconsin 😊
America planning for the future is like watching a rabbit trying to fly by jumping of the cliff.
You have some good ideas that i think the government needs to pay more attention to.
we would be gay and transgroomer free too!
As a geographer I appreciate you promoting our disciplines and perspectives.
same here! (PhD, U of Wash)
Bruh, in Texas zoning laws been crazy for about two decades now. You got a liquor store, next to a smoke and vape store, next to a church, next to an apartment complex, next to liquor store all in the same block 😂
Can't wait to see that high speed rail in CA! By 2050 we should be able to take the Merced to Bakersfield trip in record time! I wonder what a ticket will cost though.