Excellent meterology discussion. Simplied it for us. Love meterology. You're the best educator. Keeping it simple for us to understand. THANK YOU. I'm in North Port . Remembering IAN ...it circled above our house/no fun.
@@4GreaterWorldPeace Hello Neighbor. Our Home sits on just over 30 acres with two ponds. One is Spring fed. The property was a moss farm back in the 1950’s. The previous owners growing older had some health issues and unfortunately neglected the Farm for Years. We have been restoring it and giving it the love it deserves. We have boar goats and chickens hoping to add a few cows and pigs in the future.
This guy nailed it like a man over any other sites that I've watched. Very impressive!! That is gut/old school meteorology. Not following spaghettios....
Be ALERT Everyone. The hurricane that hit Naples & Ft Myers a few years crossed over Cuba at night as a "tropical depression" then over night (literally) it built to a Cat 4 when it hit the gulf of Mexico/northside of Cuba then hit at a Cat 5. When it comes close to Florida the water is very shallow and very HOT HOT water which will grow this storm. PREPARE! 💪 Help your neighbors & family too. Especially, the Elderly neighbors. Wishing everyone all the best. 💙🙏
This is very true! But that was an outlier. Media hypes this up when stats show it will probably be just another rainy weekend in Florida and business as usual as we are used to. BUT, we should always be prepared just in case.
Great to see you Mr Rayno. Icon model showing storm over mid Atlantic area with flooding rain here. Any chance for very long wintry weather here which is very rare these decades.😅❤
Hello Berne few days ago you said the main will merge with that low and is really happening I am in South Florida Miami and I believe you are also predicted might turn early yes Sir other folks just don’t know what really happening Thank you for you information believe me a lot people are really lightening to you Thank you Sir
CAREFULLY watching👀, from 🎯”PINELLAS COUNTY, Florida”!!🫣(“Pinellas County, Florida”, is 🎯BETWEEN the “Gulf of Mexico” AND “Tampa Bay”!!🤦🏼♀️)🤷🏼♀️ “Thank you🙏🏻, for ALL the forecasts/scenarios/predictions/personal opinions”!! Catherine, Florida ✌🏻❤️👊🏻 “Peace, Love and Respect”!!
@@Jonb173 Thank you!! We’re keeping a CLOSE EYE on the “development’s” as they happen…(Hubby has Hurricane Window Screens down from storage, and READY TO GO; has taken down/picked-up ALL loose branches/palm fronds/etc. from trees, and put them in the outside garbage; we have PLENTY of bottled water/canned food; a grill, generator, etc…) All we NEED to do LAST MINUTE, is “put-up” the screens and place the outdoor garbage cans in the garage. For NOW??(5:30pmEST)…We plan to “hunker-down” and “stay in place”. Our house is ABOVE “localized, flood-threat” in our NEIGHBORHOOD. (We ALSO aren’t in a Countywide “flood/storm surge threat” evac. AREA…🤦🏼♀️) BUT…the WINDS?!🤷🏼♀️These “gulf-coast storms” are just TOO UNPREDICTABLE!! *sigh* 😔 Again..THANK YOU🙏🏻, for your thoughtful concern…🥹(If you’re “in the same boat”…PLEASE stay safe!!💖) Catherine ✌🏻❤️👊🏻 “Peace, Love and Respect”!!
Gulf water temps off the SW Fla coast have been upwards of 87-degrees! Prime energy pump for low pressure system development. Haven't heard any weather station mention the tides in Ft. Myers, Charlotte Harbor, and/or Tampa Bay. With the lower winds, the tides may not be all that formidable or threatening.
I'm in Valdosta georgia, right near the Florida/ Georgie line, after the last hurricane I am finding myself very worried where & what this is gonna do 😢
There is a weather station in Key West right at where you circled as being an explosive area. This could be why the sudden change in weather due to manipulation near this station. We saw Ian do some strange maneuvers in that same area.
Time is short!!! ❤1 John 1:9 "If we confess our sins, he is faithful and just to forgive us our sins, and to cleanse us from all unrighteousness." Thank Yeshua Hamashiach. Praise Yehovah.❤
It's like betting on a football game, except we're not sure who the players are, we don't know what the team's game plans are, we don't know where it's going to be held, or what the weather is going to be. We know in general when it will be, but not exactly, or if all the players will show up. But we all have tickets to watch the game if and when it happens. 😀
Watch it hit right around Tampa since this guy believes it is very unlikely that it will! Looks like Savannah, Georgia is going to get hit by it too on it's way out to the Atlantic.
Does anyone think Orlando will have rain on Wednesday from this storm? Have an event planned with my kids (one that will be better without rain) and wondering if I need to reschedule it or not and if this system will still be around Wednesday in central Florida? Thanks so much!
No windshear hot water no dry air I wonder if this thing will do what they call a rapid intensification how many times have we seen storms get stronger than they were forecasted to be if this makes landfall north of Tampa will be in the hot water longer with no wind shear what's going to stop at from being a category 2 just my opinion
The American computer models, which have been more accurate than the European models in the last four years, do not show it hitting southwest Florida directly. It's more towards the center of the state, passing to the northeast, and becoming a hurricane in the Atlantic.
I would say if by tonight thier is no formation/organization of eye walls no way would florida feel hurricane winds ..... maybe some gust of winds that are close or hurricane level but looks like a tropical storm if it even gets to that . unless it slows down today or a new center forms not much change will happen. it needs more time over water.
A tropical depression or hurricane in new york? Hopefully the winds or wind gusts arent strong and even if it is strong, hopefully it will not cause damage.
A tropical storm means it’s going to rain before 1pm this week. Other than that it’s a normal day. Unless we hear a 3 or maybe a 2 that’s still in the Atlantic, no attention is paid to this. Everything else is just a little rain.
Please just show cone of concern or spaghetti models. We are not meteorologists. Very difficult to follow your maps and explanations to the untrained eye
Do you actually think people believe you is gonna hit the hole western coast of Florida? It’s not gonna skip over Tampa. Tampa is going to get something.
Everything you say does not really matter because there is a 95% chance that you will be wrong since every meteorologist in Florida cannot predict weather. Every day in the summer at about 3pm the weather app says 100% rain for 4 hours straight and lasts 12 minutes. We get nothing. It's ridiculous. How can your predictions be so far off? I think Ocala is an anomaly in weather storms go around us.
Having an open mind and personal free will of choice does mean we peoples world wide can decide on no longer mimicking man changed or woman changed names chosen for us when real name of our life maker YAHUA and real name of our life savior YAHUSHA were changed for misleading us. For proof open an unchanged enoch or cepher book and ask: do i no longer mimic a changed name when seeking YAHUA or YAHUSHA so i can end my having been misled?
Ok big buddy ! We have been slammed here in central Florida and had no electricity for 17+ days ! That one twisted up overnight and we got hit hard - tore a bunch of shit up ! It was more Organized sooner tho - be cool & take care .
Where in Florida are you that you think this is funny? We are still all torn up from Ian and it started as a tropical depression by Cuba and we got hit with a cat 5 in Fort Myers Beach and 22 ft of storm surge for 10 hrs covered the island. No one here is laughing.
Lay it on us… 🙏…gently…. gently!! ✨✌🏽 Stay safe everyone!!
So appreciate your expertise and detailed explanation. I'm in the path of this storm and taking a break from sandbagging. Thanks Bernie!
Debby does Florida 🍊😀.get ready!!
That's hilarious
I'll do Debby
Stop the trash talk. There's ladies and kids on here.
@@Cozydrone 😆 🤣 😂
Floridian!!! We were born ready!!! Nothing you throw at us will scare us!!!🐒🐶🦝🦊🐱🐱🐯🦬🐮🐂🐷🐐🐭🐿🐰🦇🐻🦦🦨🦡🦃🐓🐸🐸🦩🐊🐢🐋🦖🐟🐡🐠🐙🐌🦗🪳🕷🦂🌴🌴🌴🌵🌵🌵🌿☘🙃
Watching from Clearwater. Stay safe everyone and good luck❤
Love these in depth reports ❤
Excellent reporting, thank you for keeping us informed!
I really enjoy your updates on the weather ⚡️🌏🇺🇸🇵🇷🌊🌧🌀🌀🌀🌀🌀 thank you
Funny
this man knows his stuff
Excellent meterology discussion. Simplied it for us. Love meterology. You're the best educator. Keeping it simple for us to understand. THANK YOU. I'm in North Port . Remembering IAN ...it circled above our house/no fun.
Paying close attention to this one. I’m just North of Cedar Key in Dixie County. We are still recovering from Idalia last Year.
I'm in Fanning. Are u an actual Farm?
ditto from crystal river
@@4GreaterWorldPeace Hello Neighbor. Our Home sits on just over 30 acres with two ponds. One is Spring fed. The property was a moss farm back in the 1950’s. The previous owners growing older had some health issues and unfortunately neglected the Farm for Years. We have been restoring it and giving it the love it deserves. We have boar goats and chickens hoping to add a few cows and pigs in the future.
@@peggygary2305 Hello Neighbor. Crystal River is one of my favorite day trips to visit. I love the area. Stay safe
CAREFULLY watching from Ocala, FL. The EURO track has it coming inland very close to Cedar Key (40 miles west of me.) Thanks.
This guy nailed it like a man over any other sites that I've watched. Very impressive!! That is gut/old school meteorology. Not following spaghettios....
Thanks Bernie very detailed and beautiful explanation
Great content Mr Rayno. You have the most comprehensive analysis on weather out there. Thank you for your due diligence.
PS- love your style and thank you for always being a voice of reason and honesty! No hype, all knowledge….& your experience is stellar Bernie✨✌🏽
Thank you!
Thank you for the weather updates in the Atlantic hurricane season 2024🌏🇺🇸🇵🇷🌊🌀🌧🌀🌀🌀
Nice Job🌞⛈️👌
Thanks Bernie
Be ALERT Everyone. The hurricane that hit Naples & Ft Myers a few years crossed over Cuba at night as a "tropical depression" then over night (literally) it built to a Cat 4 when it hit the gulf of Mexico/northside of Cuba then hit at a Cat 5.
When it comes close to Florida the water is very shallow and very HOT HOT water which will grow this storm.
PREPARE! 💪 Help your neighbors & family too. Especially, the Elderly neighbors.
Wishing everyone all the best. 💙🙏
This is very true! But that was an outlier. Media hypes this up when stats show it will probably be just another rainy weekend in Florida and business as usual as we are used to. BUT, we should always be prepared just in case.
Bernie the weather guru!
Thank you.
May not intensify much but I'm more concerned about possible Tornado development from this!
Great to see you Mr Rayno. Icon model showing storm over mid Atlantic area with flooding rain here. Any chance for very long wintry weather here which is very rare these decades.😅❤
Good stuff - thank you sir . We listen DeBary , Florida . On the way …
Stay safe!
Hello Berne few days ago you said the main will merge with that low and is really happening I am in South Florida Miami and I believe you are also predicted might turn early yes Sir other folks just don’t know what really happening
Thank you for you information believe me a lot people are really lightening to you
Thank you Sir
A lot of people forget about all the extremely hot fresh water stored in the Everglades when thinking about these storms and intensification.
CAREFULLY watching👀, from 🎯”PINELLAS COUNTY, Florida”!!🫣(“Pinellas County, Florida”, is 🎯BETWEEN the “Gulf of Mexico” AND “Tampa Bay”!!🤦🏼♀️)🤷🏼♀️
“Thank you🙏🏻, for ALL the forecasts/scenarios/predictions/personal opinions”!!
Catherine, Florida
✌🏻❤️👊🏻 “Peace, Love and Respect”!!
Be safe down there
@@Jonb173 Thank you!! We’re keeping a CLOSE EYE on the “development’s” as they happen…(Hubby has Hurricane Window Screens down from storage, and READY TO GO; has taken down/picked-up ALL loose branches/palm fronds/etc. from trees, and put them in the outside garbage; we have PLENTY of bottled water/canned food; a grill, generator, etc…) All we NEED to do LAST MINUTE, is “put-up” the screens and place the outdoor garbage cans in the garage. For NOW??(5:30pmEST)…We plan to “hunker-down” and “stay in place”. Our house is ABOVE “localized, flood-threat” in our NEIGHBORHOOD. (We ALSO aren’t in a Countywide “flood/storm surge threat” evac. AREA…🤦🏼♀️) BUT…the WINDS?!🤷🏼♀️These “gulf-coast storms” are just TOO UNPREDICTABLE!! *sigh* 😔
Again..THANK YOU🙏🏻, for your thoughtful concern…🥹(If you’re “in the same boat”…PLEASE stay safe!!💖)
Catherine
✌🏻❤️👊🏻 “Peace, Love and Respect”!!
Me too❤
FORT LIQUORDALE~ BRACE FOR IMPACT! 🌀 ♥️ 😳 🌀 ♥️
@mischaraine1645 I lived there 20 years I know when it's gonna hit there!🤪🤪🤪🤪🤪🤪 I live in the desert now 🌴 PALM SPRINGS CALIFORNIA
Gulf water temps off the SW Fla coast have been upwards of 87-degrees! Prime energy pump for low pressure system development. Haven't heard any weather station mention the tides in Ft. Myers, Charlotte Harbor, and/or Tampa Bay. With the lower winds, the tides may not be all that formidable or threatening.
I'm in Valdosta georgia, right near the Florida/ Georgie line, after the last hurricane I am finding myself very worried where & what this is gonna do 😢
@@JenniferBass-gg4tx I'm from Thomasville living in Tallahassee
ITS GOING TO EXPLODE!!!!!! YOURE ALL SCREWED!!!
Bonjour ❤ good afternoon
Sarasota isn't that far away from tampa.
The high will keep the storm away from New York
im betting on the tampa area - it's mostly gonna be a rain event - leave the patio furniture out but pick up any trash
My hurricane shutters are down. I live in Sarasota.
I love how hurricanes cut right through land and build up strength
Pondering whether or not to evacuate here in Tampa Bay.
Goes against the NHC predictions!!
There is a weather station in Key West right at where you circled as being an explosive area. This could be why the sudden change in weather due to manipulation near this station. We saw Ian do some strange maneuvers in that same area.
Time is short!!! ❤1 John 1:9 "If we confess our sins, he is faithful and just to forgive us our sins, and to cleanse us from all unrighteousness." Thank Yeshua Hamashiach. Praise Yehovah.❤
It's like betting on a football game, except we're not sure who the players are, we don't know what the team's game plans are, we don't know where it's going to be held, or what the weather is going to be. We know in general when it will be, but not exactly, or if all the players will show up. But we all have tickets to watch the game if and when it happens. 😀
I wonder if Daytona is going to get hit I don't want to work Monday 😅
Because of the great Tocobaga Indians, baby! No Tampa, no Tampa!
I think GFS I looking like a winner 🏆 🌀 as pilot myself point of view
Thank you for calling it a "rain storm". The NHC calling it "potential cyclone 4" is just dumb on several levels.
What's the best case scenario for Ft. Myers ??
It could be another Charley REMEMBER 2004 ?
O please - 17 + days with no electricity . That sucked And we got nailed directly !
I think it is riding North of Floridanand lands near cedar keys.
Watch it hit right around Tampa since this guy believes it is very unlikely that it will! Looks like Savannah, Georgia is going to get hit by it too on it's way out to the Atlantic.
So the storm is not going to hit on Saturday or is it
Big Bite? Big Bend, doh 😮
It’s the Bog Bend not bit
Does anyone think Orlando will have rain on Wednesday from this storm? Have an event planned with my kids (one that will be better without rain) and wondering if I need to reschedule it or not and if this system will still be around Wednesday in central Florida? Thanks so much!
No windshear hot water no dry air I wonder if this thing will do what they call a rapid intensification how many times have we seen storms get stronger than they were forecasted to be if this makes landfall north of Tampa will be in the hot water longer with no wind shear what's going to stop at from being a category 2 just my opinion
Doesn't the gulf stream steer too?
The American computer models, which have been more accurate than the European models in the last four years, do not show it hitting southwest Florida directly. It's more towards the center of the state, passing to the northeast, and becoming a hurricane in the Atlantic.
I would say if by tonight thier is no formation/organization of eye walls no way would florida feel hurricane winds ..... maybe some gust of winds that are close or hurricane level but looks like a tropical storm if it even gets to that . unless it slows down today or a new center forms not much change will happen. it needs more time over water.
hope I'm not fucked
A tropical depression or hurricane in new york? Hopefully the winds or wind gusts arent strong and even if it is strong, hopefully it will not cause damage.
This is probably track for Hermine
Feels like Idalia 2.0
Big bend man come on
Big bite
never met a weather man who different want a higher category storm! More views
What if this potential storm quickly intensifies boom 💥 once it gets in the gulf
A tropical storm means it’s going to rain before 1pm this week. Other than that it’s a normal day. Unless we hear a 3 or maybe a 2 that’s still in the Atlantic, no attention is paid to this. Everything else is just a little rain.
This is going to ruin my vacation.
Please just show cone of concern or spaghetti models. We are not meteorologists. Very difficult to follow your maps and explanations to the untrained eye
He has a habit of being way too technical
Do you actually think people believe you is gonna hit the hole western coast of Florida? It’s not gonna skip over Tampa. Tampa is going to get something.
I hope this doesn't become a Debbie downer. Be nice to us, Debbie. 😊
PLEASE TAKE DOWN THESE PAST STORMS...THIS IS MORE THAN A MONTH OUTDATED
Everything you say does not really matter because there is a 95% chance that you will be wrong since every meteorologist in Florida cannot predict weather. Every day in the summer at about 3pm the weather app says 100% rain for 4 hours straight and lasts 12 minutes. We get nothing. It's ridiculous. How can your predictions be so far off? I think Ocala is an anomaly in weather storms go around us.
No updates in 4 days? Is this guy asleep at the switch? 💤
EUROPEAN GFS 🙏😇😇🙏
You lost all of your momentum when you said "I want to warn you right now.... wait a minute."
Great discussion. Place names could use some work though. The "big bite" of Florida. Fort Meyers "Beach". Fictional places 🤣
E
Accu Drama
Having an open mind and personal free will of choice does mean we peoples world wide can decide on no longer mimicking man changed or woman changed names chosen for us when real name of our life maker YAHUA and real name of our life savior YAHUSHA were changed for misleading us. For proof open an unchanged enoch or cepher book and ask: do i no longer mimic a changed name when seeking YAHUA or YAHUSHA so i can end my having been misled?
what a lot of drama for a rain storm...
@@tomgreve8014 wow you’re so cool, it matters to us living on the coast
Much ado about nothing. A rainstorm in Florida whopee, he exaggerates.
😂 this is hilarious , afternoon thunderstorms here in fl are worse than this
Ok big buddy ! We have been slammed here in central Florida and had no electricity for 17+ days !
That one twisted up overnight and we got hit hard - tore a bunch of shit up ! It was more
Organized sooner tho - be cool & take care .
Where in Florida are you that you think this is funny? We are still all torn up from Ian and it started as a tropical depression by Cuba and we got hit with a cat 5 in Fort Myers Beach and 22 ft of storm surge for 10 hrs covered the island. No one here is laughing.