Potential changes in the UK food system over the next ten years

This Strategic Assessment is based on an extensive expert elicitation exercise carried out in January and February 2023. It has identified a number of areas of change in the UK food system likely to impact stakeholders, consumers, and regulators in the short- as well as longer term future. These changes are presented along with their key drivers, namely the UK economic condition, changing consumer attitudes, commercial drivers, technology innovation, climate change, and Brexit and regulatory change. Here we will present a selection of our findings and their impacts and relevance for the UK and the FSA, such as supply chain disruptions and volatility, household food insecurity, labour shortages in the food system, investment and consumer trends, technology areas likely to grow in importance, as well as likely developments regarding regulatory divergence and border controls as a result of Brexit. Most of the findings presented in this study have direct relevance for the FSA’s remit, however it is also acknowledged that long-term solutions for issues should be aligned with a clear vision for building a better food system for the UK that is producing more sustainable and healthy food in the future. Hence, it is considered that a systemic approach that requires collaboration across government departments will be necessary to achieve this. Despite the many challenges the UK food system is facing at present, the current situation also offers opportunities that when recognised early and seized upon with strategic intent, strong leadership and commitment can deliver great benefits helping transform the UK food system and build resilience into its structure for the long-term future.
Pantea Lotfian, founder and MD of Camrosh Ltd, a technology and innovation strategy consultancy with a focus on the intersection between technology and policy design. She has worked over a decade with Fortune 100 and 500 companies helping them develop and implement innovation strategy initiatives and investigate current and future technologies and markets. Her interest and expertise are in exploring emerging trends and issues at the intersection of technological and social change. She is also a certified coach and works with executives, managers and teams on adapting to uncertainty with a focus on technology driven change and has considerable experience in mentoring and advising start-ups and SMEs for achieving growth. Pantea has a multidisciplinary background in science and technology with a PhD in biochemical engineering from UCL and an MPhil in technology policy from the University of Cambridge.
Bernhard Strauss, co-founder and Director of Research at Camrosh ltd. He designs research strategy, analysis solutions, and evidence-based decision-making frameworks for a broad range of technology innovation contexts. Bernhard applies expertise from his past academic career in the biomedical sciences, cell and molecular biology and biochemistry to provide the science base for technology strategy and policy design at Camrosh. Besides his past research contributions to the biomedical field and novel approaches to cancer research he has developed a number of products for biomedical research applications and understands the technical and commercial requirements of the biotech innovation process. After undergraduate studies in biology and medicine in Austria, he obtained a PhD in molecular cell biology from the University of Cambridge.

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Utterly dystopian.

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