Europe's 5 Strategic Weaknesses
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- Опубліковано 9 чер 2024
- Europe face strategic weaknesses in 5 major regions: Eastern Europe, the Caucasus, the middle east, Africa and the Arctic. Here is how the EU is facing these geopolitics challenges.
The recent situation in Ukraine has shown all the problem inside the European Union external strategy, perhaps marking a watershed in its members geopolitical agenda. In this video we analyze how Ukraine is important in showing Europe's weaknesses not only in Eastern Europe, but also in the Caucasus, Africa and the Arctic, where the EU is facing major challenges from countries like China and Russia.
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Narration by Jasper: pdaefaul@gmail.com
Script editing by Sterling, Elmer and Edward
Many thanks to Jasper, Sterling, @Hoog and @Imperial for their great help!
Immense thanks to Ben from @CartesianCaramel for his help with Blender! Be sure to check out his awesome tutorials!!!
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Animations made with much ❤️ in Blender
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Table of content:
00:00 Europe's Strategic Weaknesses
00:45 Conflict of Nations Sponsor
01:54 Europe's Main Geopolitical Weaknesses in Continental Europe
05:00 Eastern Europe strategic value for the EU and Russia
08:39 European Union Interests in the Caucasus
10:16 Europe in the Caucasus
11:01 The Importance of Central Asian Fossil Fuels
15:09 Europe interests in Africa
20:24 Europe in the Arctic
24:58 Europe 5 main areas of in
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Check my previous videos:
Australia's Maritime Strategy: • Australia Maritime Str...
Strategic Importance of Afghanistan: • Why is Afghanistan so ...
The Malacca Dilemma: • China's weakness: the ...
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Bibliography
[1] arjps.org/articles/eng/02_2015...
[2] www.sciencedirect.com/science...
[3] ec.europa.eu/eurostat/cache/i...
[4] www.bakerinstitute.org/media/...
/5.8_NONIUS_Engineering.pdf
[5] www.statista.com/statistics/3...
[6] ec.europa.eu/eurostat/cache/i...
ecfr.eu/special/mena-human-ri....
[7] www.reuters.com/business/ener...
[8] www.reuters.com/business/ener...
[9] www.cnbc.com/2018/08/21/trump...
[10] www.dw.com/en/russian-arms-ex...
[11] www.dw.com/en/who-benefits-fr...
[12] www.nytimes.com/2022/04/14/wo...
[13] data.worldbank.org/indicator/...
[14] www.unep.org/regions/africa/o...
[15] www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/2...
[16] ec.europa.eu/eurostat/cache/i....
[17] ec.europa.eu/growth/sectors/r...
[18] setis.ec.europa.eu/system/fil...
[19] pubs.er.usgs.gov/publication/...
[20] www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...
[21] www.wsj.com/articles/russia-s...
[22] www.worldwildlife.org/pages/w...
[23] www.europarl.europa.eu/RegDat...
[24] www.dco.uscg.mil/Portals/9/DC...
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Music: Premiumbeats
poor ireland got left out of the EU map ;(
Rip. One could say they... got mapped across the continent. Mwahahaha
Ireland suffers from the New Zealand problem 😄
🇮🇪😭
Well, Bordeaux as well 🥲
I think its because of the sponsor, UK based 🤣
Literally no UA-camr ever managed to get the EU map right 💀
Sorry guys, my mistake!!!🙇♂️
@@Kamome163 Also Republic of Cyprus is wrong. It's the whole island.
@@vasiliyt8600 its 2 regions now.1 is recognized by all of EU and the other side is only recognized by turkey so there for your not that right
@@Slaine_2541 The whole island is one single country. *And is recognized as such by the whole world,* except of the occupier itself (military occupied by Turkey).
No, you are not right.
@@vasiliyt8600 i said not that right
Housekeeping:
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Password: europe
- I left out by mistake Ireland in the map. That was unintentional so Irish out there please forgive me🙇♂️
15:00 that's simply not true. They were trying to slow or stop our fracking here in the US. It was politically convenient to claim they were doing it against each other.
Is there anyway for me to try to make a Vietnamese caption of this video?
Holy crap this video is CLEAN!!! Such amazing animations, very precise and aesthetically pleasing. The information was also amazingly delivered, such a complex and depth-riddled topic explained on a slow and clear, yet completely entertaining and engaging manner. This video is absolutely top notch. Kudos!!
Just one small correction, upon watching more of your content: try to add more idling animations, like the lights and lines having a very soft "breathing" animation. While you talk, there's a lot of downtime where literally nothing happens in the video, and that's detrimental to focus and engagement. Another idea would be to just very subtly pan the camera a little bit while you talk. This way the camera is never perfectly still and can always show some interest. You animations already have a lot of light, adding some variation to how that light behave or increasing microanimations your bring that downtime to practically zero. Good job on the future!
Hi Kasuko, thank you so much for the feedback! You have a really good point! I didn't consider of using more idle animations and I will more and more along with more sliding camera movements! That's a really good advice, thank you so much for sharing!🙇♂️ Did you like the "breathing" animation? That's an interesting one to make
this. all of this!
Wtf you talking about the first sentence of dialogue plus visualization was plainly wrong lmfao
we told you NOT to double up on meds.
The map is wrong. Ireland that is part of the EU does not appear on it, but Switzerland that is not part of the EU appears.
oof the always neutral thing got to your head too should search up the eu member switzerland they are in one department of something.
@@wavewasher3894 They arent in the EU
@@heuzame6198 then look at which department they're in then
@@wavewasher3894 What do you mean by department? Do you refer to the Swiss bilateral agreements with the EU? Because that doesn't make it part of the EU, many countries have trade agreements with the EU, shocking I know that a union formed mainly around trade would secure lots of trade agreements.
Commenting for support. Great video as always, it feels as professional as any standard documentary I've seen
Wow, thank you so much Owen!😭 I really appreciate it
this deserves so much more views, the visuals are just amazing!
I love to see an EU focused strategic analysis
Common weaknesses in strategic European industrial sectors include high dependency on critical raw materials (CRMs) - for instance around half of the materials needed in aircraft production come from third countries.
Another master piece, brother! Keep it up!
great video and great exposure to some of the challenges that Europe faces. Perhaps you need a second video like a part 2 to deep dive into why europe needs ukraine. anyways, the graphics are just killer. great job.
Regis!!! Thank you for the feedback! I see, I'll write that down and perhaps make it into a new video only on Ukraine and the EU
Oh! Brilliant presentation. I won't nit pick about a few little "queries" Your hard work has paid off. You definitely have my sub. Well done. GREAT ANIMATION Kamome.
Already love this channel , waiting for the next episode.
Great video! I really enjoyed watching it. There were some mistakes in the maps like Switzerland as part of the EU or Ireland being left out.
Switzerland can be included in this context because it belongs in the single market. Have no idea why Ireland was left out.
@@puraLusa Switzerland is not in the single market. In contrast to Norway (which is a member of the single market), Switzerland and the EU only have bilateral agreements in place. There are custom controls between Switzerland and the EU.
@@sebastianzeitblom4668 www.gov.uk/eu-eea
@@sebastianzeitblom4668 Switzerland is part of Schengen, thus it has no custom controls with the EU.
@@Alejojojo6 membership in the Schengen agreement does not give Switzerland a membership in EU nor European parliament.
So detailed and clear breakdown. This channel deservers to be more popular.
Thank you so much George🥹🙇♂️
Amazing work! Bravo!
Ayyy it’s finally out - good stuff man. Can’t wait to watch this before I head to bed
Thank you so much @Imperial! Looking forward to our collab video man👀🙌
Man your videos are so high quality and it shows. Not many videos but already 40k subs.
Keep going
Thank you so much Wolfblaster!! 🙇♂️
Another great video!
i can realy appreciate the attention to detail animation wise, Good job bro
Thank you so much Gerri!!!🙇
Excellent video summarizing key issues with sleek graphics¡
Awesome video Kamome! You did a fantastic job tackling such a large and complex subject.
I hope that we continue to see additional EU investments across Africa in developing energy and mineral needs. That would hopefully help bring greater stability and prosperity to a lot of African countries. Shifting manufacturing from east Asia to Africa would increase that even more so and help diversify Europe’s manufacturing base and shorter supply lines to and from Europe.
I think African nations are attempting to move away from European ties and possibly have greater ties with that of East Asian countries. Given the history between the continents of Africa and Europe, and how former colonial powers insist on meddling with African politics and their economies, seeing a greater unity between them is implausible.
Thank you so much Dainomite!!🙇♂️ I think it was a bit too much of what I could chew, and it came out a bit too convoluted i guess 😅
I hope that too, since we are neighbours and Europe can definetely be a partner that can foster growth and diversity for both continents.
@@Jorge-lh6px Africa itself is no unity.
The countries of interest are in no position to form alliances or move anywhere, they take what they can get!
Why?
Africa is no unity. Africa is divided by a huge ocean/see called the Sahara Desert. Do not underestimate that geographical divide, it is much bigger than the gap between europe. As it was always for our history we never crossed the desert, we always stayed north.
When you then look closer to these northern countries we have issues. No stability and failed states. Hard to build on that. We could, but we have to actively mess around in the regional geopolitics there. Just consider Lybia where our American Allies made a mess (and we partially). A lot of people would internally consider that as Neo-imperialistic. What would we have to do: Actively support and make friends with politicians there to ensure stability. Heavily couple there economy too ours, build infrastructure, transform countrysides with geo-engineering, build schools, invest a lot of money.
The Africans are not stupid and know that China is the easy loan-shark. Because in example local workers are not allowed to build the infrastructure builds. China imports them from China. But for now it is the best option they can get.
Currently those countries get driven away from Asia due to the food crisis emerging from Ukraine/Russian War. India has banned exports and Chinese Imports are either bad quality or very expensive. The good stuff from China needs good monitoring and more expensive ways of transporting it there. You might think that may be insignificant, but I wanna remind you that the most important factor that caused the Arabic Spring was a food crisis.
All in all, solely depends on our foreign politics.
@@MaxWnner Lybia was more caused by the Europeans than the Americans. This is well known In Africa. In fact, your leaders (the Then Presidents of France and Italy) were the ones who convinced Obama to Intervene under the promise that the EU would Handle the ground operations, A promise the EU did not Keep and let devolve into what it was. The Americans seeing they had been left out to dry by their European Allies cut their losses especially as the situation in the Levant and Mesopotamia was getting Heated with the Arab Spring, the Iraqi Civil War, and the Start of the Syrian Civil War.
@@BasicLib Well, first of all, a food crisis caused the Arab Spring! The same food crisis in Ukraine/Russia (not exporting to Africa) can cause major unrest in North Africa.
I really cannot believe your statement. The EU has no authority or no army to be able to handle ground operations. So the EU itself can do nothing in Lybia except soft power influence and so on.
BUT member states can do that. Germany, France and Britain in example. Germany was also against the Lybia intervention, so I am not sure who gave the promise for anything? Nato is a defense only agreement, with no offense. I mean Obama was a warmonger anyway, just as Bush before him. Think of it what you want, but the greatest achievement of Biden was the Afghanistan withdrawal.
Okay, I am subbed! This video was way more objective and well researched than I thought it would be. From analysing trade issues, political issues, economic issues etc, very extensive. Seriously, good work with presentation and balanced discussion. Additionally, the fact that you even mentioned this 12:35 point here surprises me. Most videos talking about Europe's ongoing issues rarely ever talk about this for some ridiculous fear of being seen as racist or "right-wing". Kudos for being one of the few objective geopolitics channels on UA-cam, friend.
Thank you! I really appreciate that! I think those are important facts that explains better the world we live in, no matter what our political views are.
Looking forward to the next one!
Thank you so much Alexandre! 🙇♂️
These beautiful maps! I love how artistic they are, especially how you gave shape to european division @ 6:40. I really like how these visuals on the array of different maps really reflect that it isnt just about nation states or borders, but yet it is, and also so much more. And excellently used in video format, the animations and pacing is sweet
This is peak artistic, informative catrography
Wow, thank you so much for this comment. I think i'm gonna print it out and decorate my desk with it🙇♂️
@@Kamome163 i am a cartography nerd, a sphere is the best projection after all, but also a bit of a space nerd so i appreciate the skybox. I am also a geopolitics nerd and you covered all, but the middle and south atlantic, regions of interest for europe in such a good consise video, it makes it easy to point at. And as visual artist, they way you highlight, give scale and underline they script with clear ('xcept for that one where the US is red and Russia is blue, iirc in the bit about the artic somewhere) and informative visuals and animations i see what you doing.
And have been doing! You're one of the handful channels that i have the bell on for, because every video is better in some, and more often, more skills than the previous
So anyway i think you forgot malta in an EU map there somewhere wtf 🤬
Except that the map is wrong ...
@@jezusbloodie Thank you man, I really appreciate. Yeah, especially for this video it was so long, and it was a lot of work and consequently lots of parts that could've been better. I look more into the Mid and South Atlantic for a next video then!
This channel will soon have 1 million subs! Keep up the amazing work!
You keep using the 'EU' and 'Europe' as interchangeable terms, and your map of the EU is incorrect, it looks like it includes Switzerland and excludes Ireland entirely. You can hardly present yourself as a geopolitical analyst if you can't get the basics right, although I'll concede that your animations are very well made.
Thanks for great content, also, giving me addiction to conflict of nations, unfortunate I didn’t get any starter pack or premium for a month, but still very enjoyable, and now I’m getting interested in geopolitics and strategy :)
International politics is the best soap opera there is.
This is one of the best channels on YT. Great work.
Thank you so much🥹
Amazing video effects
Thank you Chairman!🙌
Greenland is not in the EU, even though it follows foreign policy under Denmark it has its own autonomy and left the EU in the 80s.
The situation is somewhat complex. Greenland is essentially a sovereign nation within the Kingdom of Denmark, it has it's own government and is fully sovereign within it's borders. This is why Greenland voted to leave the EEA in the 80s, the EU did not yet exist at this point, the main concern was over fishing policy. However all three countries within the Kingdom of Denmark, Greenland, the Faeroes and Denmark itself share foreign policy and defense, which kinda in effect means that Denmark dictates it but given the strategic value of the Faeroes and Greenland they get a lot of attention and Denmark is pretty motivated to act in their interest. This means that effectively Greenland is part of EU foreign policy without being an EU member state itself, since an EU member state, Denmark has bases there and patrols it's territory. Beyond that within Greenland the decision to leave the EEA has come under scrutiny and there's been talks of perhaps rejoining the EU for the economic assistance such a membership could provide, currently half of the budget of the Greenlandic state is covered by Denmark. So far this has borne out in EU investment in Greenland and EU funded projects. However the situation is still more complex than that, Greenland wants to become independent, an overwhelming majority of the population support that so currently the goal is to become more or less self sufficient. In that light Greenland has been happy to exploit it's strategic position and solicit all the world powers from the US, to China, and Russia, even if the EU and Denmark objects. Greenland has made it's intention to join NATO upon becoming independent known but it clearly wants something in return for that, especially given the traumatic history surrounding the Thule USAF Base. So it seems obvious that when Greenland becomes independent it will do so on good terms with Denmark and the rest of Europe but it wants to do so as an equal.
Also Greenland has it's own strategic interests in this situation, being the only indigenous nation in North America and the Arctic it wants to support other indigenous peoples in the region, probably most especially the fellow Inuits living in Cananda and Alaska. This can be seen in the Circumpolar Council that Greenland helped establish and has been used to advocate for the cause of indigenous peoples in the arctic. It's also pretty protective of it's environment, both for cultural reasons and because it's reliant on fishing, so Greenland has more or less completely banned mineral extraction and is probably gonna ban oil and gas drilling within it's EEZ. This means a lot considering that Greenland through Denmark lays claim to the majority of the arctic ocean.
great video.
Only 33 157 views? This deserves millions. The video is fantastic. The quality of the animation is as fluid as it can be. The work behind this historically and modernly is enormous. This is a tremendous geopolitical video. It deserves way more views. You could've mentioned that during the Cold War, the USSR didn't have any other maritime access other than the arctic sea. This is why they already had an advance in this area and that they had a massive amount of submarines to be able to go under the ice barrier. And that, Greenland is a very strategic position for both Europe and USA against Russia.
Other than that, probably one of the best animated video!
Thank you so much CAL! I appreciate! I'll keep it in mind for some next video which will probably be muchhhhhh shorter🙌
You're idea on why the EU is together and its main strategic objective is some what mistaken. While a positive connection with the USA is nice, it's not actually something all EU states agree on, especially France can be negative on that front at times. The actual real reason for the EU as even mentioned during its founding, is to maintain peace with in Europe. It is the replacement for the previous failed method 'The concert of Europe'. This also makes far more clear why the EUs reaction was so vehement to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
It's also worth noting the EU does not have interest in the Caucasus region and beyond for gas/oil that much, the EUs strategic goal here is to transition to non-fossil power sources instead. And in this war as well the reaction was once again to expand the amount of resources being put in this area. This will also stop them from becoming vulnerable to other countries on energy instead. So why are they so interested in the Caucasus region? Well it's because that area is considered European, and thus is considered as countries that could join the EU.
Also the EU differences on value and norms are more towards just against a few particular governments, it not really being that much of an issue in many a country otherwise. And it is as such a sign of an internal governance issue in the EU, where they have insufficient good means to penalize countries violating the EU charter. And one of its main challenges in the future is to thus reform that part of its institutions so they can better deal with bad actors violating the charter.
Lastly the standard geographic argument on Russia's security arguments are in a sense obsolete. While it seems like some of those in charge of Russia believe in it, this is far from a commonly held belief. And the reason for that is rather simple, nuclear weapons eliminate all those geographic weaknesses as realistic threats. And at least some Russians figured that eventually they could just join the EU to resolve matters as well, though this might not be a popular idea at this point of time.
There's quite a bit more that one could consider in various areas, but the post is already long as it is. The area has many matters going on in it, as one would expect for something that large, in any case.
Disagreement by France is only about France overstating its own importance. Ironically undermining the position of the alliance they wish they lead.
@@Freshbott2 1. Considering the Caucasus european is a stretch. 2. Considering Russia-Ukraine it isn't about security at all and about: a) competition in european energy market b) warm ports: without them russia is pretty much land locked-no trade influence in SA MENA and Africa and dependant on China c) competition in administrative european policy: euroasia with moscow as control as opose to EU with Bruxels model.
Overall I gave a like to your acessment, as it is a good one imo.
@@Freshbott2 it more because of the Auquus incident and the fact that the US is doing everything to sabotage France export market
You just described why I refuse to watch this video. That and the clickbaity title "why Europe is weak" (which he changed because it was dumb). This video is the opposite of research. Instead of starting with facts and reaching a conclusion this dude decided what the video was going to say about each side and then carefully added "facts" to support his conclusion.
@@puraLusa The reason the Caucasus should or should not be considered European are certainly one things can ponder about, though its historical links to for instance Rome and the Greeks, etc, have given it a fair deal of links. But none of that ultimately matters that much, as the real ultimate cut off point for if you are considered European and thus eligible to join the EU, is if you have a part with in the European continent, which they are. And thus they are also part of the European council, etc. So politically the matter is basically already settled, and culturally they're close enough it doesn't really matter either.
But overall Europe is a large place with a long history, so one can find complexities and nuances everywhere. So one can find arguments for many a point of view. It's always just a question of how much do they really matter.
Amazing video. Make more tho man
Thank you so much connenenco!🙇♂️ I will! More videos to come in the next weeks
Great content
Thank you Anok!!
I love this sponsor. It's like hearts of iron.. but bad..
but yes, your editing is absolutely phenomenal. I realised that on your first video.
Excellent!
Thank you so much Lam!!
Keep it up!! Whenever I see your new content, it's an instant click.
Objective video! 🙌👏👏👏 Subbed! 🫡
Yes new video
Finally!!!
Best maps on youtube!
Yes. This is correct.
Hey Kanome, I'm sure you remember me, glad to hear the spoiler alert. Libya will be a fantastic topic to discuss especially regarding it's geopolitical important and strategic value in transporting sub Saharan goods. Look towards to a new video as always. Keep up your great work.
Masterpiece ❤️
Thank you so much😭🙇♂️
Great video! Thank you!
Also what do you use to make those maps?They are incredible. I would like to use create similar maps
Hey Gabriel! Thanks for the compliment! I use Blender, you can find lots of tutorials on UA-cam!
I was surprised when I saw how many views and likes this had, it deserves way way more
Fantastic video! Great job! I`m from Eastern Europe. :):):)
Thank you so much Irina! That means so much!🙌
I just found your channel today and just wanted to say thank you for your valuable work! I was wondering though, if it were possible if you could do a video on reliable sources you use to process and disseminate all information you use in your videos. If you have already done this than my apologies for asking. I will look over your channel. And just to be clear what I am asking is for the source's of information, NOT how you actually make a video. Some sources I am highly interested in is world maps indicating any and all analytics of a region and or country at any given time in history. I am working on something very important and would appreciate the help! Godspeed...!
Hell yeah, we are important! 🇺🇦
Andrij! You are and you are also showing everyone that we need to fight to protect our values
@@Kamome163 thank you for your kind words❤
On one hand, you are judging the European Union far above its real weight, examining it's failure to be superpower controlling or strongly influencing Eastern Europe, Caucasus, Middle East, Africa and Arctica. EU isn't a superpower and so far don't have a drive to become one. It's federation of multiple countries, with different size, strengths and goals. It has no real power and only limited influence outside it's border (including Eastern Europe, Caucasus, Middle East, Africa and Arctica). By design. Because no EU institition has a mandate and resources to pursue aggresive foreign policy, such as is tried by USA, China, Russia and lot of other "players".
EU is very influential, on global scale, because it's economic and cultural powerhouse, and its standards - scientific, political, cultural and industrial, are widely accepted and shared with another powerhouses, such as USA or Japan. Those who don't comply with them, are banished from the center of the world to the sidelines. Also, because all of its countries are functioning quite well, comparing to the rest of the world, even considering some malicious influences trying to disrupt it from inside.
About power of geography and other stale geopolitical issues - you cannot explain shape of today's outside border of EU by geography. Nations which are included weren't destined to do so. They CHOOSE to adhere to some set of rules They WANTED to join European hub of common economic activity, far exceding core countries and pumping continously valuable ideas, money and goods. EU is a only soft power project. Plays cooperation games, not domination games. This is EU strength and this is also an limitation. In its borders - EU is quite secure, quite rich and quite attractive to outsiders. But EU is not ready yet to shape and rule outer realms. Sometimes it bugs me and I want it to change. Especially considering tragedy of Ukraine. World appears still to be ruled and divided by "strong" rulers desperately trying to save their face. This is a leitmotive now. X wants to save face. Y wants it also. EU has no face, is amorphous and passive. EU has no holy strategy and illustrious leaders with agenda. Instead, it shifts constantly. And maybe EU is BETTER prepared for decentralized world of future than aggresive powers, which are currently trading remnants of their reputation and resources to maintain illusion of being in control. Because you cannot radiate only negative influence. You cannot only scare and bully others. To be really powerful, you can convince others to want to cooperate with you. And EU has more incentives in their sleeves than most. In long term, ability to burn cities don't increase your power. Ability to build them do.
Firstly I appreciate your recognition of the primacy of power but you still have a very large misconception.
The thing is you are separating two fundamentally inseparable domains of power.
Your last few sentences give up the game though...
The EU can not and often does not have the ability to convince others to cooperate with them as their presence often doesn't extend prominently very far and often when it does it is often disjointed and incoherent. Considering the fact that many of the world's markets not already taken (and a fair number already taken) also have security concerns of which the US has historically been their chief guarantor. this is why the US has such enduring deep ties in very far-flung regions of the world in a way the EU simply doesn't and your estimation of it shows why.
The EU consequently is both less capable to either build or burn cities than either the US or China (and In a generation I'll bet India too).
As an African, it often amuses me why you Europeans think you are above the game and delude yourselves into thinking you're playing a different game when in fact you are simply players on a larger "Western" Team that includes the US, Canada, Japan, Korea, etc. While the US is your forward and Team Captain, you're all still playing on the same team and the same game even tho you are all doing different things, serving different roles, and interacting with the world differently.
And this is not an insult, indeed it is a rather impressive team you westerners form and Europe's inclusion only makes both sides better off (Europe would be far weaker were the USA not a key ally).
In soft power terms, the EU is weaker than the US and China, Diplomatically, it is weaker than Russia (due to its security ties).
And that's okay because the EU is only one part of a larger team it's strength, as well as that of the US comes from the Grand Alliance.
@@BasicLib World isn't understable is you looking on it primary though the lens of power. If power is so important, why weaker countries, organisations and people ARE EXISTING, existed and probably still will exist? Widening this analogy, why smaller and less armed animals and plants also exist? Lacking power, you can be still well adapted to survive and thrive. Power is a good thing to have, but power, like everything in the world, cost you something. It can make you unstable and too resource-hungry. There is more winning strategies then one. Europe of course is the part of larger team, and use it for own advantage. No need to deny it. It's not making UE the clear future winner. It could change for worse, or better, depending how whole world will change in future. Nobody knows, this is game of guesses. I don't even fathom, how will it look after 50 years. In shorter terms, I have some suspitions. My guess is, that in immediate future, cooperation will be more important than competition. Europe lack some cooperation-inducing tools which make USA or China so powerful, but beats it with attitute and being less dangerous. It good to be friend with someone very powerful, but powerful often not means friendly.
I don't want to be understanded as someone who is boasting how excellent is my continent and how bright is it's future. I apparently wasn't clear enough.
Not only Europe is quite good. I, for example, have some serious hopes about future of Africa.
Still, I see in European Union some potential and some underestimation which is caused by historical perspective.
Europe is seen - both by insiders and outsiders, as an fallen power and measured in terms of falling power dynamic. Which is misleading. Because it's not taking into account mechanisms, through which cultures regenerate themselves. Europe, which was fallen, almost died century ago and act of it's destruction was sealed by II World War. Europe of today is a quite new continent which was risen from ashes of war. From destruction and poverty, severe but now almost forgotten. If you see 1945 as starting point, picture is completely different. But I have to admit, this misunderstand is very difficult to avoid. Some European countries after II WW had colonies, which allowed them to APPEAR more powerful then in reality. But in the course of generation, that illusion was shattered.
"It's federation of multiple countries"
No. If it were a federation, it'd be a state/country. The EU is a union.
"EU isn't a superpower and so far don't have a drive to become one. It's federation of multiple countries, with different size, strengths and goals. It has no real power and only limited influence outside it's border (including Eastern Europe, Caucasus, Middle East, Africa and Arctica)."
Whilst the EU has no desire to become a world power, the final idea is to unite into one state. And a united European (EU) state would almost instantly become a superpower. For it having no real power, are you serious? Sure, the EU has no military power, even though some of its member states have quite a bit of it, but economically it's just as powerful as the US and China. And yes, that definitely qualifies as "real power".
"EU is a only soft power project."
Ehm, nope. The EU's economic capacity is strong enough to project hard power both inside and outside the EU.
"But EU is not ready yet to shape and rule outer realms"
This is not an "EU issue", but a post-WW2 issue, where "ruling outer realms" isn't really something most states are too happy about. Sure, some states are capable of influencing other states to great lengths, but actually ruling them? Ahem, Afghanistan...
"EU has no holy strategy"
Well, it does?
"illustrious leaders with agenda."
Pretty sure it does too. It just has checks and balances to limit those people from becoming too influential/dominant.
"To be really powerful, you can convince others to want to cooperate with you."
In today's world, there's definitely truth to that.
"In long term, ability to burn cities don't increase your power. Ability to build them do."
Well, destroying competition means more opportunities for you. Like how after the sack and blockade of Antwerp, Amsterdam suddenly became the most important trading port of Europe/the world. The rich and skilled people from Antwerp migrated and a large portion went to the region of Amsterdam where they "built" their new Antwerp with the already present population. Or how the US was the real "winner" of WW1.
Also, being able to protect those cities (and possibly rebuild - Antwerp is once again one of the most important ports (2nd busiest, 1st is Rotterdam) of Europe, although it took about 400 years) is equally important.
@@ewoudalliet1734 1. Terminology-wise - I don't know what EU is and what will become. Defined terms are not helpful to me if the new phenomenon emerges. You are correct of course, but you should be careful with use of that word "union" and implication of it. And being content that now, when you have word - you suddenly understand all properties of EU as union. Because constituents of this union often have way more power than union itself and it fluctuates wildly depending of circumstances. Even the nature of binds which keep EU together, are quite unclear.
That's the reason I use term, which is not defined - "federation of multiple countries" - to signal ambiguity.
2. This final idea of fully united Europe is not only one. And there is a lot of opposite sentiments. IF EU will become single state, therefore will have all atributes of state, and will be a powerful entity on global scale. With its own "sphere of influence" probably. Still - I don't know if this happen. Even if happens, it probably will take decades to finish this process, if not more.
Let's see on unification of United States of America as a comparison.
3. To wield combined European economic power as a weapon, you need concert of wills. This is possible to achieve, as sanctions against invading Russia can attest, but difficult to wield and not without sacrifices. This still not comparable to ease and quickness with which single country can use its economic power. So, as today - EU still is a soft power project. In future - who knows?
4. After WW2 trauma EU countries aren't prone to rule another countries. We know, how crippling costs are, and revenues how shaky. But not every country in the world achieved this wisdom. Some still want to rule another countries, even by crude and outdated conquest.
5. "Holy strategy" and "illustrious leaders" are jab against some authoritarian countries. I despise strategies which not meant to criticize, and leaders who can't do nothing wrong. This is an anathema to strategic thinking. Europe has it's flaws, but overcentralization of power and lack of ability to discuss things aren't among them.
6. Glad to agree.
7. World as it now, is a multiplayer game. As a rule for peaceful world, if you have 200 players, destroying your neighbour on the cost of crippling your resources, is not winning strategy. 198 players is ahead of you. But, rules are general, and situations are unique, especially in past, where cooperation/competition balance was more biased towards competion. So there was many wars fought that way. Today everybody can be rival. So, keeping healthy portfolio of friends is more important than open conflict with enemies.
If world become in future even more dangerous place, and conflicts will grow, Europe have to be more united, more tough, and more ruthless then now. Maybe even become an empire. But I belive, that not now. Because aggression now is from strategic point of view - toothless. In last decade we see long, bloody conflicts in such places as Afghanistan, Syria and Ukraine, where even superpowers cannot achieve much. Because fighting is hard, and costly, and dangerous. Army as tool of domination? Way overrated. Army as an tool to defend themselves? Priceless.
@@jansmuga2069 1. A federation is actually very well defined. It's basically a political system that's more centralised than a union. As you pointed out, in a union most of the political power lies with the member states themselves.
If the EU would ever become a single state, then it'd most likely be a federation (probably styled a little like the US; which is also a federation, just like Germany etc.).
2. That's indeed not something for the immediate future. Do note; polls (for how much we can rely on those) have repeatedly shown that a majority of EU citizens supports a "future" federalisation of the nation states of the EU. That figure is even higher among younger people, so it's plausible that this support may grow.
3. Ehm, no. The EU functions as a single market (for example, sanctions against Russia were decided at the level of the EU). Sure, there's still a voting process, but if the EU were to be a single country (just like the US) that'd still be the case. Sure, if the EU were a country the outcomes would be different, not because of the power dynamics, but due to member states being more cohesive.
The ability to use economic power to enforce demands on another country = hard power. Hard power isn't limited to just military power.
4. This isn't a "country" problem. This is an "individual" problem. Many Russians also have no desire to annex territories from Ukraine, Moldovia or Georgia, let alone invade them.
5. I think I agree with that point.
7. Wait, ehm, the US invasion of Iraq... did it cripple US resources? Mmh, no, quite the opposite even. Did it put them behind anyone? Mmh, no. In fact, it even hurt European countries - some of which joined that war too - more as they had to deal with the massive influx of migrants (same for Afghanistan). Here's the thing: there are more factors than just resources, development etc. there's geopolitics, ideologies, alliances, money, trade, peoples, and a bunch of other factors. Sure, the war in Iraq had downsides too, the US worsed its diplomatic reputation (although it already was a little shakey and Iraq wasn't the popular kid on the block)
"So, keeping healthy portfolio of friends is more important than open conflict with enemies."
This is definitely true. But just think about the Containment Policy for a second and that sentence. Because it goes both ways. Hence the prevalence of proxy wars.
8. Well, ehm.
"Because fighting is hard, and costly, and dangerous. Army as tool of domination? Way overrated. Army as an tool to defend themselves? Priceless."
I agree, but...
"Maybe even become an empire."
That's contradictory. If Europe became an empire it'd have imperial ambitions, which means conquest.
Also:
"In last decade we see long, bloody conflicts in such places as Afghanistan, Syria and Ukraine, where even superpowers cannot achieve much."
Yes, hence another reason for proxy wars, as I said before. However, I also somewhat disagree. Superpowers in these conflicts either barely got invested (Syria: Russia minimal effort; US: proxy war, unless ISIS in which case a success - Ukraine: Russia doesn't use its full military capacity) or had unrealistic goals (Afghanistan: NATO coalition actually achieved the initial casus belli and won the war; however, the US decided later on to stay longer and build a democratic state - probably hoping to expand its network of alliances - which failed). Also, one needs to mention conflicts like Iraq (2x)).
great job man! Keep up the good work!
So pretty and informative
Thank you so much Ryuichi san! Really appreciate🙇♂️
It's so amaizing, that Southern Canadians still divide Europe the same as if Cold War hadn't ended over thirty years ago.
Astonishing quality
Thank you so much Spicy!!!🙇♂️
The artic is my main concern, especially with climate change.
Absolutely. The arctic is becoming the main focal point of modern geopolitics and we are already starting to see its effects
The climate change is a forgotten problem.
@@Darium147 i don't fully agree with that statement. Their are a lot of People working on climate change (on technical, regulatory, financial side,... . They are actively working on this big issue.
The only thing is that the media doesn't cover it that much, so the public interest declines heavily, but forgotten is imo to not the right word!
@@camilkegels3640 The thing is we need all the world to interest, so somebody really does something.
That was super throughout ty!
Thank you! 🙌
17:40 As a Nigerian, I am impressed, again, by how objective this video is. No wasteful emotional responses; just the bare facts.
Insane video, had to subscribe immediately.
Wow, thank you so much Charles! 🥹
What software are you using for the map ? Those are so beautiful
I use a 3d software called Blender! Thank you for the compliment, I really appreciate that!🙇♂️
Common weaknesses in strategic European industrial sectors include high dependency on critical raw materials (CRMs) - for instance around half of the materials needed in aircraft production come from third countries.
Totally agree! Wanted to make a video on that but @IntoEurope was faster! I highly recommend checking it out
this editing is nuts
Underrated Channel
Thank you so much Christian!
Nice
Thank you so much!!
Good to see your videos again. i find it funny that even though this looked like it would be a video on Europe it turned into a video almost about the major areas of the world. Referring to Africa and the Arctic. These are areas of heavy discussion right now in foreign politics. Can't wait to see your video on Libya. Though I recommend in the future thinking about making a video on Africa and going more detail into their situation.
kamome I love you as much as the next guy but that transition to the ad at the end was quite painful. I feel like when you're talking about such serious things it's best to avoid that kind of smoothed out transition 😬 otherwise great vid as always!
Great video. It would be even better if you add subtitles.
Simply beautiful video!
Thank you so much Astuar!!
incredible
just wow!
another banger from señor kamome
Hahahahahahahahahah muchas gracias Zhek!
Reminds me of playing civilization. It's just a little more complicated than you can tackle in a 1, 3 5 hour video
Nato did not push anything East. The people of those countries opted to join...
Head to Berlin, pick your hostel, there you'll see the NATO meme program, a neo nazi simulation program designed to sell parties, and narcotics. The merchants, all tied to the coastal pirates of the past and the groups with ties to cults who are centuries old. The FBI has all the information you need about them, and the infamous hearing about the mafia.
Great production quality!
Thank you so much Zicada!
This is why we need to invest in modern advanced nuclear energy options. Small form reactors, LFTRs, Thorium Reactors, liquid reactors, with modern technology, engineering, material science, safety measures understandings and designs, computer technology, robotics, It will really allow any nation to be pretty much be energy independent. Less reliant on fossil fuels. They'll have efficient, stable electrical grids and the rest of the grid could experiment with alternative power sources, etc.
That's not a solution to the whole of europe, the seismic part of it better stay away as there is no security measure for that.
Nuclear energy sector just doesn't have the means of propaganda/manipulation fossil fuel industry have. Greepeace is selling Russian gaz you know. any accident (even when not causing any deaths or any actual destruction) will be used against Nuclear energy, while not talking about coal mining accidents, deaths from air pollution, or the war in Europe that was largely caused by pro-fossil energies policies for decades.
You still need to import uranium and thorium, most of Europe's uranium comes from Africa and China for example. There's no single energy source that makes a country energy sovereign, it's all dependent on the locally available resources, in most cases that will mean renewables like wind, solar and hydro. Also energy sovereignty isn't necessarily all it's cracked up to be, Denmark has technically been energy sovereign since oil extraction in the North Sea started but it was still impacted by the energy crisis caused by the Ukraine war. Less so than say Eastern European countries but that also had a lot more to do with the technologies used, Denmark is by far the largest user of district heating and that completely shielded the 60% of the population that uses it from any increase in their heating bill, compared to Eastern Europe that is almost entirely reliant on gas for heating.
top notch work brother. keep it up man 100%....💯😎👍👏
Thank you so much Shane! Much appreciated
I really like your maps.
Thank you so much!
The Danube and Dneiper are navigable rivers for ships. This means a stable Caucuses region can act as a trade hub between Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Trade through Turkey can help Southern and Western Europe become connected with Central Asia.
In addition, the EU can provide educational services to Central Asia. Tuition paying students under scholarships from Central Asia can be educated in Europe and then return home to benefit their homeland with their advanced skills and knowledge.
The Dneiper isn't navigable along it's entire length, the southern part of it has many rapids that'd require major canal projects to tame.
Lovely map / thumbnail ... But you do know Ireland is also in the EU?
I'm so sorry Damian, I totally missed it. My bad!🙇♂️
YEAAAAAH
Yeahhh let's go Tony!!
You are by far the most impressive geopolitical channel I have seen as of yet on UA-cam. I have watched all of your videos and you are incredibly astute. You are perfectly balanced with thorough and accurate information, but being as succinct as possible. I know how hard it is to get so much information in such a small amount of time. I am very impressed with your channel and I am glad I found it from the very beginning, I have been watching your channel since the third video. Please keep it up, you are in the top 5 of the channels I watch and you are the youngest channel, that is an incredible feat.
Wow, thank you so much squiggles!!! really appreciate your support and kind words!! I-ll keep giving it my best💪
@@Kamome163 No no, thank you! You are the one providing such great content for free, I am glad to support you in anyway I am able. I look forward to your future videos and while I may not comment on every one of your videos you can guarantee that I will watch every single one you put out. I am excited about Lybia!
Regarding the new passage between Asia and Europe through the Arctic, I don’t really understand why this would stick to the coast of Russia rather than that of Canada. It would seem they are relatively equidistant. And given that Canada is less likely to manipulate….this would seem the better route??? Thanks for the report
The new globe animations looks great! The wait was well worth it!
Thank you so much man!!! That's also thanks to you!
One of the best definitions of Eastern Europe: from France to Japan.
Still to find anyone, who could define this non-existent phenomenon.
Maybe coupling unicorn with gryphon will do?
Hahahahah good point. I had issues as well in researching that part because there’s so many different views on what Eastern Europe really is. In the video I decided (and if I was wrong all faults are on me) to depict the East as the countries that are East of EU’s core. Germany, France and Italy
First of all, I don’t know why you equate Europe (in your title) with the EU (in your video).
In any case the EU will prove with time that is anti-fragile. Meaning it grows stronger after pressure and stress. Brexit and the Ukranian war are a couple of things that are proving this concept.
This was not by design but a “happy accident” given how it was designed (federalised, multiple layers of government, right balance of dominant powers, loads of red-tape). Mind you efficiency is often very fragile.
Do not confuse being weak with being fragile. The EU is weak from US, Chinese, etc. standards but it’s not fragile. By the contrary.
Not Fragile? Then explain why one of its strongest members just abandoned the EU 2 years ago?
@@daddy_1453 you answered your own question. At any other point in history this would have been war but this time around it took three years of negotiations. That’s it. The reality is that Brexit made the EU more united. There were no fisures and disagreements and one can argue that by letting go one of the most, if not the most, disrupting members the EU is actually stronger and more in sync.
The problem imo is that many people think in terms of GDP, territorial size, armies, etc. Yes those things are very important but the EU is more of a system and that’s its biggest strength and weakness. A highly sophisticated system that serves and lubricates the biggest single market in the world. That’s the base of the pyramid. It’s not a nation state, it’s not a tyrant, it’s not even an identity although gradually the latter is growing. It’s a system and systems are not designed to be strong or weak but not to have a single point of failure. The proof is in the pudding. Hope it’s clear
@@daddy_1453 they'll be back once the nostalgic, small minded boomers have died off
@@Garcwyn This is wishful thinking as always. Brexit was only the beginning of a downwards spiral. I grew up in Germany and the integration process was as debated in my teenie years as they are today, if not more so. If the EU cant form a cohesive federation, meaning the poor, irresponsible and high indebted are by constitution of that new EU carried by the rich, more responsible and high earners, than your EU cant live another two decades. And I didn't even went into the question of difference in the understanding of human rights, democracy and law. And I'd like to highly underline that EU has no army, but a bunch of desolate national defense corps overly relying on the deterrent presence of the American army aka NATO, which is why Sweden and Finland don't trust in your EU article 42.7, but in the hoped Article 5 of NATO.
EU has many issues this video didn't even bother to go into like the demographic collapse that is ahead, and therefore will either go through a total change of its core identity (aka no more pretending to be the beacon of human rights and democracy) or it will simply cease to exist in its current borders, shrinking in size. I can already see people like you popping up that want to see Hungary, Poland and other Visegrad nations in their own exits whilst still claiming that this would be a plus for reasons I can't get behind like "anti-fragility" (have you even understood the book by Taleb lol). But it won't change basic facts here. The future is not very rosy for EU.
@@roenin I think you're also doing some wishful thinking. Brexit actually didn't hurt as much as everybody thinks, and It kinda made European politics a little stabler. Oh, the Visegrad group was causing trouble for the EU... before the Ukrainian War. Poland now needs the EU - both economically and militarily - more than it needs Hungary, despite Britain's delusions of fostering her own Little Entente in Eastern Europe.
As for NATO reliance, while it's true that the EU nations have low military spending and traditionally relied on the US, calling the French, Polish, German, Italian armies - among others - "desolate national defense corps" is a bit preposterous. Ukraine is giving a hell of a fight against Russia. The entire EU, as of right now, would WIN a conventional war against Russia with minimal military coordination. As for your point on Finland and Sweden not trusting article 42.7, Denmark is joining EU common defence right now, isn't she? Finland and Sweden will probably join too in the future.
Demographic collapse is a big concern, but it's a challange that Russia is already facing and China will face in the following decades as well - and this doesn't even take into account innovations in robotics, manifacturing and medicine, nor immigration rate from other countries. Immigration which strangely is triggered by Europe's holding on its core identity, yes, human rights, democracy, decent wages, welfare system.
The economy is worrying - but the indebted/not indebted nations debate is a bit outdated, after the Recovery Fund, and regarding this current crisis, all of Europe is on the same boat, isn't it? Germany may be in a worse spot than France, but it's the entire EU that needs to diversify its oil and gas import.
So, while it's not guaranteed that the future will be rosy - the EU is facing Economic and technological stagnation right now, and further integration is not guaranteed - the EU seems pretty stable to me.
Amazing video
Thank you so much man!🤩 Gonna ask you more tips on hoi4
@@Kamome163 go ahead! I’m on steam with the same name as UA-cam
I am late! But, what a great treat ;) this video covered so much area and so much future all in 25 mins!
Thank you Kamome
Thank you too Jeff!🙌🙌🙌 I was just wondering where you were man! Are you in the super secret Discord chat? (Link in the description)
I was waiting out the storm ;)
Oh….super secret chat! Let me download one first.
The discord link is expired :(
The baltic stares dont like being called easter europe
17:00 is true but you fail to mention how Mozambique particularly and increasingly Mali have been embarassing failures for Russia and the Wagner group and this is before they lost loads of equipment and veterans in Ukraine after they pulled out men to support that imperialist conflict there.
The wagner group doesn't have knowlege or good strategy when Africa is concerned because their world view (slave supremacy and whites above blacks etc). You can't train someone if u don't see a human in front of u.
@@puraLusa to be fair that should come as no surprise given the Wagner group is founded by 1. A Russian 2. With SS tattoss 3. Who named his group after Hilter's favourite musical inspiration and 4. serves Vladimir Putin who famously dosen't see others as human beings
@@cjbarrow46 yup basicly. And then people go around thinking it's the west screwing up countries development not even checking who is doing what. Meanwhile most crazy terrorist groups go around holding russian made weapons and trolls be like: it's the us that sponsers terrorism, it's for the usa military complex. Toyota japan brand and kalashnikov russian brand!!! Hello...
@@cjbarrow46 meanwhile Europe and the US are sending weapons to Neo nazi groups in Ukraine so cry me a river u guys are in no way better than Russians. As if Biden likes minorities also a big racist just a hypocrite. Us have always supported the wrong side.
@@Jolifo1978 ah yes because that is definitly true and not made up nonsense and even if it were Russia definitely isny sending weapons and money to neo-nazi groups. Putin is literally repeating fascist ideology to justify his war/ sorry special operation.
I'm at 19:12 and I've just learnt my first fact I didn't know before, DR Congo has Cobalt reserves. And I'm looking at the title and thinking, what had this got to do with the title of the video?
Thank you David for your feedback! My main point is that Ukraine is a wake up call for the EU in finally facing its main strategic weaknesses. Do you have any tip to improve the title?
He was explaining how Europe could diversify its reliance on Russia! How European countries are befriending Africans plus how tense that might be due to colonialism,Maybe watch the video with less critical mind and you might understand what he’s trying get across
Worring indeed
why is the map showing switzerland in the eu and nato and ireland outside of it?
That was a test to see how many people would've spotted it. Jokes apart, that's my mistake, I totally missed those 🙇♂️
Nice maps.
But Here 3:20, the massif central in France shouldn't be included in the northern European plain
Why doesn't this have more views?
Thank you Daniel!🥹
--Creates an amazing graphic maps of current political climate
-- spells worrying as worring
Putin: This should be good 🍿
Please talk about how Finland’s accession to NATO will grow its defense capabilities against Russia. Also talk about how Turkey and Hungary are not voting for Sweden to join NATO and why.
Do you have any further reading?
Absolutely. There's areally good book called prisoner of geography and the chapter on Europe there explain the basic issues of the continent. I'm gonna create a reading list in the video description
Hey! I'm curious. What map software do you use to create your maps? They are really well made.
I use Blender!
7:37 Russia didn't annex Georgian territory, but occupied it.
highest quality content on geopolitics
Wow, thank you so much Sergi!🥹
I mean to completely ignore the cultural, historic aspects of ukraine not to mention crimea is 90 percent ethnic russian as is donbass region......is amaizing.
Also, russia is far faaaaaaaar faaaAaaar more suspicious of the west than west is of russia.