Official 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast | Deciphering Weather
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- Опубліковано 30 тра 2024
- #2024AtlanticHurricaneSeason #HurricaneForecast #DecipheringWeather
In today's video, we decipher the Official 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast from Deciphering Weather!
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Disclaimer:
Please note that these videos reference the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, NOAA, and National Weather Service. Deciphering Weather interprets the forecast and available data to make their own prediction on weather events. Please refer to the NHC, NWS & NOAA when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service Office and emergency management officials. - Розваги
The auxiliary list has cooler names😁....Thank for the video. Stay safe during this hurricane season everyone!
Glad you got this out. Some of my favorite stuff, looking at the global oscillation patterns.
Cool, thanks!
Hurray for the fish storms! Thank you for helping us get warmed up for storm awareness this season. Appreciate your videos alot!
Great presentation. Thank you. Looking forward to your continued forecasts this season. Thank you for all your hard work.
Thanks and all the best for the season
Thanks, hopefully its not destructive if record-breaking!
Once we get to june, we may see 👀 Alberto forming.
Nope. Not this month. Alberto will form in July!
@@KyleTalcott-os4wz How do you know that?
@@Ahuntsicspotter because of 2024's weird nature. The NHEM started at its latest so ATL will be late as well in July.
Happy hurricane season! Good luck and stay safe everyone!
Looking at the track density it doesn’t look like texas will get hit this year
Not storm formation until the second week of june.
I’m back after 2022.
What did I miss?
Honestly, with the way that things are looking this year for the Atlantic Hurricane season, it looks Like we're going to have an active season this year, Because of higher sea surface temperatures and the Decreased wind shear Andy El Nina Among other factors, Storms may also rapidly intensify because of how hot the ocean is from the surface to down below, And at the same time if there are proper atmospheric conditions such as No wind shear And plenty of moisture in the atmosphere so all of that together is a very deep concern, So, in conclusion, we have to be careful this hurricane season I am not trying to make anybody scared just remember that anything can happen that's the reason I've mentioned all those things.
Are you sure? 😊
are you sure about this "hyperactive season" B?:C from my sights having no preseason storms has for the last 4 years it happened lead to a below average/near average season. Not going to be active. I'll spend my time worrying about Pacific storms because they could be more active than the Atlantic. Slow start to the season.
@@KyleTalcott-os4wzThere is absolutely no correlation between them at all. 2010 was a very active year and had no preseason storms.
@@antiksur8883 Screw 2010. I don;t think that is like this year.
@@antiksur8883 2010 did not have storms hit the USA so that's why I don't mention 2010. Having preseason storms at least for the past decade has lead to an above average season. not having them usually means a near average to below average season.
I think you used only the CFS model and no other models. All models should be included in a forecast for hurricane season so that we can accurately predict what may play out this season, and the CFS model always can be incorrect at times. Therefore, the high shear isn't a given and may not be the case due to La Nina. Though the forecast you made possibly can be correct, odds heavily favor you being incorrect.
2024 will be a absolute bust
time will tell
It’s always that one guy 🙄
@@gregd4633 the seasonal projections are wrong. it will be a horrible year for hurricane lovers. No storms will form until July. I can't wait for 30 more days for Alberto. So dumb that they always hype the season.
@@KyleTalcott-os4wz You have absolutely no scientific knowledge whatsoever regarding climatology and meteorology to defend your claim beyond reasonable doubt. I don’t know what your projective is, but you just made a claim against not only scientific evidence and scholars who actually does meteorology for a living without even making any theoretical argument. Not only has deciphering weather has made it clear that this season will be hyperactive, but the agency which my own daughter is employed by *National Weather Service* or *NWS* has also stated and shown why this year will be very active. Also *NOAA* and *NHC* had a 45 minute press conference yesterday in response to the current hurricane season and trying to get everyone prepared for this year’s hurricane season. Each agency director showed why this year will be hyperactive yesterday and I can post the link to the press conference by both NOAA and NHC. Yesterday, both Colorado State and University Of Miami my daughter alumni have increased their figures from their first prediction in April. They all showed why this season will be hyperactive, meanwhile you haven’t even explained why this year will be below average. This is why I always encourage UA-cam users and social media users to follow official stats from credible sources instead of listening to some random person, especially if they’re not presenting any evidence whatsoever that counteracts scholars who actually went to school for almost 12 years just to be a meteorologist.
Finally, just because every single government agency and collegiate institution said this season will be hyperactive that doesn’t mean that the season will start earlier than previous seasons. Even in 2020 and 2005 which both years have been considered as the most active seasons on record didn’t see the first named storm until late July early August. And most likely the mid level storm that transpired in January this year will most likely take the first name of the official 2024 hurricane season once the data is completed by mid June. So you’re wrong about that as well and both Michael Brennan NHC director who was my daughter professor and NOAA director explained that in yesterday press conference. Would you like a copy of the press conference? And let’s see your hypothesis on this subject matter instead of just saying that people will be wrong about this upcoming hurricane season. We don’t want to hear *”Everyone Is Wrong About The Upcoming Hurricane Season Because I Said So”* nonsense please
@@KyleTalcott-os4wzAnd do you have any reasons for saying so? Or is it just being contrarian?
And honestly, even if no storms formed till July, it makes no difference. Plenty of seasons have been extremely active even if they start late.
This is all hype. 2024 will be near or below average because the past 3 seasons with no pre season storms have been below average and look at your SST map, a below average pocket of AMO currently exists
time will tell
2005 started after the season did
La Nina and the above average sea surface temperatures is one of the main things that dictates whether or not an hurricane season is going to be active or not. Last year we had El Nino and that help inhibits most of the activity in the Atlantic basin. But as we go throughout this season we are expected get much deeper into the La Nina phase which is expected to peak in September. So this season is going to be active for sure.
Conditions surrounding will make this above average. Heat content is insanely hot and deep. Wind shear is slowly starting to decrease as the jet stream moves up north from the gulf. I live in FL and PR is my home, this year does not bode well. Prepare
Just because there are no pre season storms doesn’t mean it will be below average. 2023 was actually above average and 2022 was at average