What is the treasury yield? Yahoo Finance explains

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 27 кві 2024
  • Yahoo Finance's Brian Cheung breaks down the treasury yield curve in detail and explains why it can be an indicator of a recession.
    Subscribe to Yahoo Finance: yhoo.it/2fGu5Bb
    About Yahoo Finance:
    At Yahoo Finance, you get free stock quotes, up-to-date news, portfolio management resources, international market data, social interaction and mortgage rates that help you manage your financial life.
    Connect with Yahoo Finance:
    Get the latest news: yhoo.it/2fGu5Bb
    Find Yahoo Finance on Facebook: bit.ly/2A9u5Zq
    Follow Yahoo Finance on Twitter: bit.ly/2LMgloP
    Follow Yahoo Finance on Instagram: bit.ly/2LOpNYz

КОМЕНТАРІ • 128

  • @1Esteband
    @1Esteband 4 роки тому +419

    1:22 OMG Yahoo Finance the 2.18% return for $1000 is $21.80 NOT $218.00

    • @bobbystotmisc
      @bobbystotmisc 4 роки тому +24

      Dammit. Beat me to it

    • @TC-cv1dg
      @TC-cv1dg 4 роки тому +22

      He had over 4 mistakes...hes actor posing as influencer...program TV is here

    • @coffeehigh8624
      @coffeehigh8624 4 роки тому +18

      Are we to trust them if they can't do math on the subject matter

    • @bobgio90
      @bobgio90 4 роки тому +12

      Embarrassing!!!!

    • @amyth9004
      @amyth9004 3 роки тому +22

      His teleprompter has it wrongly worded .... at the end of 10 year the 10 year bond at 2.18 percent yields 218 dollars

  • @inNYCC
    @inNYCC 3 роки тому +69

    Anyone else still confused? 😳

    • @itsclaver7125
      @itsclaver7125 2 роки тому

      💀😜🤪🥶🤣🤙🤙😈💀💀

  • @MrNetsecure
    @MrNetsecure 3 роки тому +31

    did anyone come here after the current market sell off??? :D

    • @tungphan3900
      @tungphan3900 3 роки тому +1

      I'm too scared to look at my portfolio everyday 🤣😭

  • @rebecapimentel3050
    @rebecapimentel3050 7 місяців тому +7

    Great explanation but there is a typo on your chart. It says 2009 before 2010. I think that was suppose to be 2004. Also, 2.18% of $1000 is $21.80. Other than that great break down.

  • @davidhidalgo8465
    @davidhidalgo8465 4 роки тому +46

    Invest $1000, receive $218 yearly from 2.18%? I think that math is all jacked up. I think he meant invest $10k and receive $218 yearly.
    $10,000 x .0218 = $218

    • @hvac3rd
      @hvac3rd 2 роки тому +2

      10yr not year

  • @IVIicro
    @IVIicro 3 роки тому +26

    Also, he said more demand caused the rates to go down. next sentence, "conversely when there's MORE demand the yield goes up". Lolol

    • @rinosumang864
      @rinosumang864 3 роки тому +6

      yeah. i thought i didnt understand this. had to replay several times assuming my undrestanding is wrong. all his logic does make sense. not like stock that up means good. seems it is kn his redundant statements.

    • @weebgrinder
      @weebgrinder 2 роки тому +3

      I JUST commented on that. Glad it's not my ADHD making me zone out and miss things.

    • @brv1111
      @brv1111 2 роки тому +1

      Spotted that too! He meant to say when LESS demand yield goes up! 😂

    • @johnpettiford6547
      @johnpettiford6547 2 роки тому +4

      That part ruined the whole video for me.

  • @Discovery_and_Change
    @Discovery_and_Change 2 роки тому +5

    1:33 Treasury Yields go down when there's more demand for them
    1:47 When there's more demand, rates will go up

  • @teddmented
    @teddmented 2 роки тому +10

    1:35 When there’s demand for bonds rates go down, but “conversely” when there’s more demand for “rates” they go up. Huh 🤔. This guy is like every college professor I had.

    • @whatchandstudy7
      @whatchandstudy7 2 роки тому +1

      Yeah had to rewind it.

    • @algae_rhythms
      @algae_rhythms 2 роки тому +2

      Yeah I don't understand that. Can you please explain?

    • @JakeAllen3
      @JakeAllen3 Рік тому +2

      Because bonds are sold at a rate to maintain supply. If the gov’t sells debt at 3% and then everyone wants it, they can reduce it to 2%. If noone wants it, the yield has to go up to make it more appealing to actually buy

    • @x_DaPrequel
      @x_DaPrequel Рік тому +1

      @@JakeAllen3 thank you i was like he said that wrong.

    • @kingtigercrownestate9102
      @kingtigercrownestate9102 Рік тому

      I was thinking the same thing!

  • @nzshareman
    @nzshareman 3 роки тому +14

    Makes no sense in one hand you say when people buy treasuies the yield goes down then when there is more demand the rate goes up ? what ?
    The first part is correct 2nd not.

  • @douglarsen4801
    @douglarsen4801 4 роки тому +6

    This was one of the most informative explanations of the Yield Curve and overall Government Treasuries

  • @roberte.6892
    @roberte.6892 3 роки тому +5

    The only thing I got from this was that yields go up and down because of market forces, and that people want to hold long term government debt. No explanation of either statement though.

  • @amyth9004
    @amyth9004 3 роки тому +7

    At 1:25 his script has it wrongly worded, or he just glanced at it and worded it incorrectly.... at the end of 10 year the 10 year bond at 2.18 percent yields 218 dollars (not at the end of the year ), at the end of the year its 21.8 dollars. And that’s not the only mistake in this video ... I think they should remake it ... if they say they are yahoo finance ... this makes them look pretty sad

    • @SuperTsogo
      @SuperTsogo 2 роки тому +1

      Brian himself even said he's a 'washed up' economist.

  • @cbz4321
    @cbz4321 3 роки тому +9

    When you present with confidence , even wrong facts can look true . 2.18% returns 218 dollars on 1000$ .

  • @dilahmed5003
    @dilahmed5003 4 роки тому +11

    3:44 Chart says 2009 instead of 2000
    1:22 I think he meant over the year year hold not per year...
    Deffo need to proof before you publish.

    • @TC-cv1dg
      @TC-cv1dg 4 роки тому

      The guys a straight financial moron...treasures arent called "safe assets"...he reading of cue cards.

  • @helsonkumar8173
    @helsonkumar8173 2 місяці тому

    Thought it was only me not getting it right. Glad that even others are also confused. Happy learning

  • @richardhumphrys7907
    @richardhumphrys7907 3 роки тому +7

    Yields go up with the prospect of an economic recovery based on Government stimulus or infrastructure projects.
    Gold goes down.

  • @moneyprov
    @moneyprov 3 роки тому +1

    I'm confused. Wth did I just watch? Someone please explain why the nasdaq is taking such a hard hit, when the yields is only 1.6 and this video is showing that it was 2.18 before or higher

  • @YallahYah
    @YallahYah 3 роки тому +2

    1:33 - 1:51 this is it!

  • @jpdeugenio
    @jpdeugenio 2 роки тому

    right at the point!!

  • @weebgrinder
    @weebgrinder 2 роки тому +2

    01:45 wait when there's more demand yield goes up? I thought he just said it goes down when there's more demand

    • @teddmented
      @teddmented 2 роки тому

      He just said the inverse of what he just said.

  • @RealityChavers
    @RealityChavers 11 місяців тому

    Shoutout to y’all for this video. Thank you. I get it now

    • @rajbeer1580
      @rajbeer1580 9 місяців тому

      did you get how fed move affect short time treasuries ?

  • @blipblop92
    @blipblop92 2 роки тому +1

    I have more questions aftet watching this wondeful lesson.

  • @mbrad8544
    @mbrad8544 4 роки тому +3

    Good educational content. Thanks!

  • @pemcodegame4918
    @pemcodegame4918 Рік тому +1

    Why is ^TNX up 99% YTD yet TLD is down 22%? What is the difference between ^TNT and TLD?

  • @kenji424
    @kenji424 3 роки тому +1

    Don’t take it too seriously, it’s Yahoooooo!

  • @kaiwang2924
    @kaiwang2924 4 роки тому

    I went back and listened it twice to make sure it is correct. Or... is it?

  • @avarmauk
    @avarmauk 3 роки тому

    I do find it strange that gambling is not allowed in many places in the world, but "investing" is encouraged.

  • @sspinosa77
    @sspinosa77 2 роки тому

    thanks

  • @weebgrinder
    @weebgrinder 2 роки тому

    I want to know more about the instruments. How does the 10 year yield change intraday? What is causing the fluctuating? Is it a future? I know the ZB futures exist but I think those are longer term like 15 to 30 years.

    • @g.t.c7647
      @g.t.c7647 2 роки тому

      most people don’t fully explain how yields work. All they say is, “when prices of treasuries go up, yields go down. And vice versa”. Nothing more than that. And in this case, they say it in one of the most convoluted ways possible.
      It has to do with supply and demand for treasuries.
      Higher demand = higher prices. Then, given that the coupon rates on treasuries are set upon issuance and do not change, the actual cash flows that you get over duration of bond are static (for example: $20/year for a 2%, $1,000 face value bond). As such, the yield is the return you get (i.e., coupon payments + face value) on your investment (i.e., market price you paid which is driven by supply and demand). So if prices are driven up because investors are dumping money into treasuries, the resulting higher prices equal lower yields, because, again, the cash flows received (I.e., your return) over duration of bond are static.

  • @vanzypubg8469
    @vanzypubg8469 3 роки тому +2

    Lol I hate when people say things to try to sound smart and then make it worse by messing up. Doesn't really help people to understand better either.
    It's simple demand and supply. In normal times of growth, people are pretty much more optimistic about the short term, because it's easier to see what's just up ahead versus what's 10 miles down the road. Therefore, people will buy more short term bonds which will cause those shorter term bond prices to go up. Bond prices move inversely with interest rates (yields), because you can think of interest rates as the incentive for people to want to buy what you're selling. If more people start gravitating to the intrinsic value of my offer, I can offer less perks (lower yields), while raising the price to suffice the demand. And the inverse is true for longer term bonds like the 10-year. The future holds a lot of uncertainty, so it usually requires more incentive (yield) to persuade people into taking on that kind of time-factor risk. And if you can visualize that, and plot it on a curve, you'd get an upward sloping trend line they call the yield curve. Now with that same logic, you can understand the general economic/market sentiment by looking at that curve. If people aren't too ecstatic about the present or near future, the curve will start to flatten and/or slope downwards.
    Sorry if this was too long, but I hope it helped. Lots more to fully understanding bonds (still learning myself), but that's the basic idea

  • @Madcracka
    @Madcracka Рік тому

    3 years ago, good times

  • @cryptomaniac3327
    @cryptomaniac3327 3 роки тому

    Are mortgage interest rates going to drop even lower?

    • @0_1_2
      @0_1_2 Рік тому

      No they ended up going up

  • @kingtigercrownestate9102
    @kingtigercrownestate9102 Рік тому

    Why is 2009 before 2005 on the chart?

  • @andreswang6666
    @andreswang6666 3 роки тому +1

    There are at least 3 mistakes in this video. It's a nice and educational but please make sure things are correct.

  • @eugenegross470
    @eugenegross470 2 роки тому

    Mistakes happen, but note that he made a big mistake in a comment. He said that you'd get a $281 return on a $1000 investment in his example, but it would be $28.10.

  • @RodriguezRenderings
    @RodriguezRenderings Рік тому

    Here we are. Time to pay back the ignored recession.

  • @TC-cv1dg
    @TC-cv1dg 4 роки тому +2

    Hes so smart hes reading what yield curve is off a cue card...this is ment for retail consumerz... motley fools

  • @fusionwave7982
    @fusionwave7982 5 місяців тому

    I'm not being a racist bigot; but leave it to the well educated Asian Person to always give a good, through explanation on Any Topic.

  • @tareq705ksa
    @tareq705ksa 3 роки тому

    I had better understanding before i watched this video

  • @chaderbe3426
    @chaderbe3426 4 роки тому

    Just hit 0.50% on 03/08/2020 .... terrifying

  • @melophonic
    @melophonic 3 роки тому

    Man, he really messed that up didn't he? 2.18% of $1000 is not $218. Also his chart at the end says 2005 instead of 2000. I think someone may have been in a bit of a rush...

  • @keithcarron
    @keithcarron 4 роки тому +1

    Move before the bank

  • @gcastroism
    @gcastroism 4 роки тому

    Ayayay!

  • @ravipradhan8541
    @ravipradhan8541 Рік тому

    For investors, inverted curves are not a very predictive tool as recessions happend 6-23 months..so not very accurate

  • @Madcracka
    @Madcracka Рік тому

    So basically when the economy turns to s*** people are looking for a safe investment in bonds and then the yield goes up. When the economy is excellent like this video time period. People purchasing more stocks and less need for bonds. So the yield today is 3.5%, people are looking for a safe bet and bonds but bonds are tanking as well in the stag inflation. The difference is we didn't have inflation 3 years ago 🤷.

  • @Jing34271
    @Jing34271 3 роки тому

    He meant 10K

  • @mypeteskimo5307
    @mypeteskimo5307 4 роки тому +1

    Down .9 lmao

    • @STXRBOY999
      @STXRBOY999 4 роки тому

      Tesla Op down .74 lmao

  • @tgsharp1158
    @tgsharp1158 4 місяці тому

    $21.80. Not $218.

  • @tonysoprano1454
    @tonysoprano1454 3 роки тому

    $2180

  • @vterminaterr
    @vterminaterr 2 роки тому

    From now on i will make sure to read comments more. They seem to be smarter and correct (218 yearly was funny 🤣 ) than the video itself.

  • @KazimaliMawji
    @KazimaliMawji 2 роки тому +1

    Huh?

  • @ripdipcity3322
    @ripdipcity3322 2 роки тому

    The math was wrong, the explanation of the demand was wrong, etc. If he’s inaccurate on things that I DO understand, then I’m afraid to trust what he says on everything that I don’t.

  • @roberte.6892
    @roberte.6892 3 роки тому

    What?

  • @jasonkelsey3868
    @jasonkelsey3868 2 роки тому

    2% of $1000 is not $200

  • @abkuiling
    @abkuiling 2 роки тому

    Brain has a typo, again....

  • @-SANDMAN-
    @-SANDMAN- Рік тому

    From the beginning of this video, the layman is lost. It starts with the assumption that people have a grasp of the concept of what a bond is, what the hell “maturity” has to do with money. UA-cam is full of these videos LOADED with information, but the video doesn’t even TRY to “teach” and of the info it is presenting.

  • @adeonyreid8887
    @adeonyreid8887 2 роки тому

    Damn the female presenter, camera guy, editors isn’t know better themselves to correct this guy 😂

  • @stchronos
    @stchronos Рік тому

    Getting the basic arithmetic wrong bro. No bueno

  • @mexticancun7521
    @mexticancun7521 Рік тому

    Welp. Recession came

  • @stoneyj1a1
    @stoneyj1a1 Рік тому

    no help

  • @noahschmartz2354
    @noahschmartz2354 2 роки тому

    ffs, ye kind of know when u see yahoo before the word finance that its going to be a circus.

  • @teambessick384
    @teambessick384 2 роки тому

    Bad explanation what yields are......

  • @antrixmusic
    @antrixmusic 3 роки тому

    Oh boy, this is full of errors. There is the obvious glaring error that 2.18% of $1000 is $21.80 not $218. But there is also no mention of the fact that T-bills are discount instruments, which means they don’t pay out anything, unlike corp bonds, but are instead priced at a discount to the future value. And that discount rate is the yield %. So a 1-year T-bill with a 2.18% yield means you can buy a 1-year T-bill today for $978.2 and can cash it in for $1000 one year from now. Or you can sell it before the one year is up on the secondary market.

    • @ArtHoward
      @ArtHoward 3 роки тому

      And since you're buying it closer to the maturity, that lowers the yield, right? Because one of two payouts on the coupon/yield may have already occurred, plus the hypothetical risk the bond issuer will vanish is cut in half so less reward for less risk?

  • @leonnalee2675
    @leonnalee2675 2 роки тому

    nice Brian is good looking but when someone goodlooking is also dumb I lose interest

  • @renebechtold8547
    @renebechtold8547 2 роки тому

    Is he mad 218$ yearly returns on 1000$ my god sing me up…..

  • @allysoobratty7565
    @allysoobratty7565 2 роки тому

    This is DEBTS.....

  • @nzshareman
    @nzshareman 3 роки тому

    Worst explanation ever i seen obviously just a mouth piece who ever wrote the script needs the sack.

  • @Hengmeister
    @Hengmeister 3 роки тому

    Not helpful

  • @hocinetgt
    @hocinetgt 3 роки тому

    WTF , this video is full of mistakes......

  • @stanaminana6307
    @stanaminana6307 4 роки тому

    Yahoo finance unistall your internet services and go back to 1st grade

  • @tonyreavis6915
    @tonyreavis6915 3 роки тому

    I’m a smart guy but this can be confusing to laymen.. blah blah 😕

  • @P37RU5
    @P37RU5 3 роки тому

    Worst explanation I ever heard

  • @rayniland3817
    @rayniland3817 3 роки тому

    This is so bad

  • @meassurendra
    @meassurendra Рік тому

    Useless