Any investor will tell you that support on that median home price chart is 1 million. You could see it test that level twice in 2018/19 as a resistance. And traders will always tell you, what goes up quickly comes down quickly because there's no support or volume at those higher prices. DO NOT buy when the interest rate is still being adjusted and volume is relatively low. Wait for a volume increase that acts like support. I can't believe the government and the real estate industry hasn't called the real estate sector an emergency situation 10 years ago. It's had hyperinflation since 2009. Everybody needs to get a grip.
Excellent analysis. How would someone go about determining when price support and volume has been established? (Which resources do you personally use?) Thank you!
@@dukemocchi for real estate, your agent will have all of this information. I would say start by watching Bank of Canada interest rate announcements and targets. 3-3.5% BOC rate is generally acknowledged as a drag on inflation. Obviously there are other inputs but overall inflation rates are quite high so I’d be very surprised if they don’t overshoot in an attempt to control this record high inflation. American CPI numbers come out next week and the BOC rate increase is next week as well. The American Fed already raised 0.75% so the BOC will probably match that.
I don't know about other parts of canada but the bank data showed moms and dads in ONTARIO ALONE funded their adult children 10billion $$ in 2021- 22 to make home purchases they used home equity to do this " gifting" without the equity this is permanently gone and loans owed back to mom and dad will not be repaid and $$ gifted have been permanently lost in my opinion this was a big part of the game in 2021/22 this needs to be taken Into account it will cause hell down the road...
It’s only a problem if the person plans to sell and try to get their equity out in the next 5 years. Which begs the question, why would someone buy a home and worry about the price 6 months in?
@@chrisb5048 well the value in 5 years is likely going to be better than it is today. But even if it isn’t, the banks don’t do an appraisal at renewal so there wouldn’t be an issue. The market value of the house really doesn’t matter much unless you’re selling and trying to get your equity out. But again, why would a buyer try to do that 6 months in? The people that are going to get hurt with this housing downturn are the people that leveraged too much and can’t handle an interest rate increase, and/or people who were speculating and trying to make a quick buck.
@@m.b5777 I highly doubt the “vast majority of buyers” were buying to flip a house. Where is the evidence of that? But if it is the case - how dumb are these people to leverage and try to flip a house at inflated lower mainland prices…. Sorry, but they kind of deserve to get rekt. The Darwin theory at work …🤦🏻♂️
Had eight Vancouver + Whistler properties at one time and sold the last two years ago. The need for a massive correction has been obvious for some time and wanted to get out ahead of the crash. What I never foresaw was Trudeau trashing the most basic of Canadian freedoms, so doubly glad that not only did I sell but that I personally left Canada and got my money out. Feel sorry for my highly leveraged friends I left behind and miss the Canada that used to be.
Na..that was the provincial duly appointed medical health officer and their science panel..in worldwide pandemic where 21 million people have died..feds don't even have jurisdiction ..laughable theory.
You whine about your 'freedoms' ? yet you carry a C-phone(tracking device) that tracks everywhere you go and when in real time...... and that listens to everything you say(or do you really believe it was only 'hey Suri' ?)..... you gladly PAY/TAP with that same C-Phone or use a Debit Card so the same Bank your paycheque gets direct deposited at knows everything that you EARN Versus SPEND and WHERE you spend it..... You were vaccinated as a child against Measles, Mumps, Rhuebella, Polio, Chicken Pox, etc., etc...... AND NOW YOU BELIEVE SOME NITWIT POLITICIAN TRASHED YOUR 'FREEDOMS' ???????????????? Go LOOK in the Mirror !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@@Harhar911 And I don't think Canadians realize how much that must impact foreign capital flows. Who would invest in a country that is prepared to arbitrarily confiscate your assets?
There was a bubbling developing since 2000, with no adequate correction happening to revert the market to sensibility. 4 months of inventory is still not enough to be a buyer's market. It's a market where the buyer's have some influence. 6 months or more is a buyer's market.
Elevated YoY price increases fed by 'DONUT' monetary costs(rates).... include substantial ancillary speculative pressures that can be difficult to quantify. Nonetheless..... Fraser Valley and GTA macro economic fundamentals have been completely out of whack and NOT supportable in their respective markets ~48 Months past.... suggesting a high degree if speculative based market sentiment based increases to 'get in' ? I think this could be a 50% correction in REAL terms...... offset/distorted by cpi inflation/currency devaluation to 35% in strictly numerical terms from Q1/2022. No matter.... but this one will hurt !
Get a real estate lawyer, wait till house prices come down to at least November 2019 between 35 to 40% lower than they are today, simply knock on the sellers door tell them you have a lawyer and money for a down payment and take it from there. Nobody knows the future but you will probably have to wait till December or early next year to get a realistic deal on a house. Nobody knows the future so pay attention to what's going on with real estate selling prices are the only thing that counts not talking heads on the internet. Good luck:)
@@10mudpuppy Thank you sir. I'm hoping for a big crash in real estate but the govt seems to keep wanting to inflate it and ensure taxpayers, wage earners, pensioners and savers suffer the consequences.
$1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month $1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month $1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month $1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month $1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month $900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates.
Just like back in 2019 sales slowed down but prices didn't drop much. The interest rate hasn't even reached 2019 levels yet. Did you even look at Canada's interest rate chart? It will only be a little above the 2019 level even after the .75% rate hike
$1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month $1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month $1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month $1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month $1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month $900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates.
@@Observer168 it's not just about RAW numbers, a lot of people were under the delusion that their house would be worth hundreds of thousands more in 6 months. They would have to be cash flow negative but the Reward of taking on a huge mortgage outweighed the Risk for years on end...... Until it didn't. a 5500 dollar mortgage is A LOT of money to be paying for shelter. Not many jobs out there that can support that for too long.
@@ts9271 A million dollar home isn't backed by the CMHC so the person has to come up with at least a 20% down payment and pass the stress test. If the person doesn't have the income to qualify, then a larger down payment is required. This isn't like the US where they had zero down mortgages with no proof of income. A $5500 mortgage is more than what most people can afford but there are still plenty of people that can afford it. The investor can just rent it out for a few years. A typical 2 bedroom basement rents for $2000 and a top floor with 3 bedrooms can be rented for $3000 per month so the investor isn't losing very much each month. You make it sound like the investor is losing the full amount of the mortgage every month. No pain no gain...
Just like back in 2019 sales slowed down but prices didn't drop much. The interest rate hasn't even reached 2019 levels yet. Did you even look at Canada's interest rate chart? It will only be a little above the 2019 level even after the .75% rate hike
@@DTrent-uy1wl The poor ones make very good tenants since they come from countries with very low standards of living. Have you ever heard of 6 people living in a two bedroom apartment with each paying $600 each? There are endless amounts of homes in Vancouver and Toronto where 6-8 people are packed into the upstairs and basement of a home. These guys are happy with cheap rent and just need a bed to sleep in. They don't own cars and take public transit so neighbors don't complain.
I sincerely appreciate the work you've done and the knowledge you share. Technical analysis can be helpful, but I think It is quite puzzling that well-known cryptocurrency UA-camrs just pay attention to pure T.A and entirely ignore the bigger narrative of why BTC is inflating and why the outlook for the future is even more encouraging than it seems. Ignoring the reality that each ETF launch to this point has caused a sizable decline from BTC highs is somewhat dangerous. We were already in a perilous position and only survived a protracted bear market due to historically low volume and nearly entirely whale pumps. Day trading should be given greater consideration because it is less affected by the market's turbulence. trading daily with Jeff Erno I have earned over $ 8BTC using his insights and charts. His insight has always been a step ahead of others.
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It’s funny that when markets are weak and falling, the headlines and discussion is always worse than what actually happens. And conversely, when markets are rising, all the headlines and discussion is always better than what actually happens ( 🚀 ). And most investors do exactly the wrong thing. They listen to the day-to-day headlines, and they try to guess what’s going to happen….- and they sell low and buy high. Just invest in the market in low cost diversified ETF’s, and buy a home you can afford - and become a millionaire over time.
The best time to buy in this case is when/IF the FED FLIPS! No point fighting a printing press as its catching Knives until this happens! Anyone saying they plan to buy Vancouver @ 50% won't be able to qualify for a 50% reduced priced home Mortgage! LOL CATCH 22
Only cash rich people can buy homes at this point lol, but with an energy crisis on our hands i'd reckon after the flip this whole situation benefits the foreign investors buying the houses as they can use all cash. We have an energy crisis on our hands and in my opinion commodities ( while many are dropping atm) will continue to go up, so its hard to see housing,especially in bc to fall that much. price of lumber has been steadily going up since mid june
Looking at that chart 6:12 and the infusion of cheap credit really did so much destruction to housing affordability. To see it return to trend pre pandemic will sink so many who bought into it.
The point here is the downside would have to be enormous for many of us to be under water. Many people cherry picking stats based on someone that paid over asking in January/Feb this year
Also keep in mind the cost to service the debt on a property that’s dropped 20% might actually be higher now given rates are 2-3% higher, so unless you come with cash it’s almost a non event
its now a question of will these mortgage losses from flippers and speculators be transferred onto the backs of taxpayers via bailouts, "stimulus" or/and savers via (what is already) negative interest rates. Will these flippers simply "walk away" with the loss being transferred to taxpayers, wage earners, savers and pensioners who did not part take in the speculation and had no gain from the upside and only losses from this downside? Sounds like a scam if so.
$1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month $1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month $1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month $1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month $1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month $900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates.
Just like back in 2019 sales slowed down but prices didn't drop much. The interest rate hasn't even reached 2019 levels yet. Did you even look at Canada's interest rate chart? It will only be a little above the 2019 level even after the .75% rate hike
Steve totally wrong on the benchmark HPI, as it is the very best indicator, it is like for like comparison, not an average aggregate. Pretty much an instant DQ as far as taking his advice seriously. HPI is specifically designed to take product mix sales swings out of the equation. The rush of work from home / low rates lead to a massive amount of country SFH sales which drove up the average/median. The lack of those high priced sales (sales down 50% and most of that absence being that) is driving average/median back down. Meanwhile condos/lower end houses/towns still going up because people are priced outta high end. That is what benchmark HPI shows which is why it is better. Also when sales go down 50% that automatically 2x months of inventory. The actual # of houses for sale is exactly the same.
Suppose sales mix is 4 SFH @ 900k and 2 condos @ 600k. Average 800k and median is 900k. Now sales drop 50% to 3 sales, one SFH @ 905k, 2 condos @ 610k. Average is now 700k and median 600k. Notice how average/median went down when both the SFH and condo sales were actually up. That is why HPI is the best. That like for like comparison showed units up 1%, not down 15%. Benchmark HPI takes sales mix out of the equation. Sales mix of high priced luxury which has dropped off a cliff vs the low end affordable stuff. That is why average/median even within just SFH is also bad data. The only thing the average/median shows is that work from home sales of country SFH boosted the # of sales disproportionately and drove average/median up, even as actual prices sometimes did not reflect the average... the average/median will naturally drop when sales mix returns to normal times aka more lower end sales than high end SFH sales.
Anybody saying everybody's house just went down 15% because the average is down 15% is INTENTIONALLY misinforming/ distorting what is actually happening
@@v.p9412 This guy is gonna say anything to save his ass and justify the market. Anyone with a brain knows shit's going to hit the fan. Judgement day is here. Pain is gonna be felt.
When Q2 data is released I expect we will see a sharp correction in interest rate expectations for Septembers BoC meeting. July will be the last rate hike of more than 25bps, and I would not be surprised if they pause in September.
Its all about what The Federal Reserve does. If the fed doesn't slow down, it could be very dangerous for bank of canada to pause while they continue. Canadian dollar could fall quite a bit and that would add even more to the inflation. Whole point of hiking rates was to bring inflation down (core inflation, not CPI).
It's not rocket science. Who in their right mind would pay $2M to live in a place that is wet for 🌧 8 months of the year. Good God. Gives a whole new meaning to money laundering.
Not only rains 8 months a year but has sky high food prices, no well paying jobs and the government reserves the right to seize your bank account if you disagree with them.
Hey guys, get into the alberta real estate market, especially calgary!! Calgarys market hasn't gone down yet, especially the multi families. Stuff is kinda sitting on the market in calgary at the moment and all the over inflated Properties are starting to reduce there pricing. Properties are still selling in calgary, especially the Properties that are decently priced. Lots of people are moving to calgary at the moment from Vancouver and Toronto. I highly recommend everybody to consider calgary. Just letting you guys no.
@@Alex-vf8ww not necessarily.. 2017 peak bottomed in 2018. Many factors could make it 6 months or 2 yrs. Artificial recession being fabricated. So its hard to say. Think of how hot the market was, to soon a stand still. Once word is out bottom is in. It will be a rush to buy and priced will jump 100k to 200k very quickly. All up to the fed or boc really.. Immigration will keep coming here with far less being built into a recession. A 5th or 7th wave whatever one is next would definitely spike prices and rates to drop
@@baseline6786 You should write a book you got a good imagination. You were probably screaming there would be no interest hikes before they even started lol Buckle up boys! immigration won't save you
@@Alex-vf8ww lol immigration always plays a factor. Saresky didnt think they could raise rates. They are only raising them for inflation purposes. So once inflation peaks which should be shortly. Rates should come down, not to record low levels unless we have bs covid 2.0 come through.. but will drop accordingly. And the rental market is hot now. So renting is a terrible strategy. Spending +30k a year to not own it. So that will be a 1 yr lease for many then jump back in.
$1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month $1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month $1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month $1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month $1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month $900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates.
Still betting the average detached home in Vancouver will not drop below $1 million. It only took a 5% interest rate to cause a financial crisis in 2008. Of course they went into panic mode and dropped rates down to 1% for a very long time after that. Fed actually did a good job in the first part of the crisis and acted swiftly. It aggressively cut interest rates from 5.25 percent in September 2007 to 2 percent in April 2008. It's very simple.... The FED and BOC are doing a forced recession to get rid of inflation and the market bottoms when the FED is forced to cut rates again because of recession. Stack Cash! Stack Cash! Stack Cash! We are about to see the best buying opportunity in assets in a decade. They have already mentioned that the mandate is 2% inflation. They are raising rates too fast which will mop up all the excess money that was printed during the pandemic. The rate hikes will cause a recession but the pandemic has proven that the the FED and BOC are willing to print trillions to save the economy. Will go all in as soon as we see rate cuts because that will be the bottom. The economy on low interest rates is like a mega cruise ship with 30 million passengers going at full speed which is hard to slow down so it really takes time to see the results. The ship is starting to slow down but the BOC and FED are expecting it to stop like a car by rapidly pumping the breaks. This is definitely not the Titanic and the only iceberg on the horizon will be WW3 to sunk this ship. Going to jump back onto the boat when we see rate cuts. Don’t get left behind Hoards of people from Shanghai will come to Canada after the lockdowns. Most wealthy people in Shanghai are already planning to leave after what happened with the severe lockdowns. The Fed and Canadian government will most likely over do it with the rate hikes and cause a short term recession. They will be forced to drop interest rates back to 1%. Sitting on the sidelines while rates go up and stacking cash is great advice for a investor. Jump back in as soon as they start cutting rates again to ride the next bull market!!!! The only solution to our housing crisis is government housing. Investors would buy up multiple units if the developers sold these units at affordable rates, so it doesn't make any business sense. This will provide millions of jobs to avoid a recession and make housing much more affordable. Housing is a social problem, and it's the government's job to solve it. Hong Kong and Singapore has been building government housing for decades and can't even keep up with demand. The government should follow the Hong Kong Model and lease land around future skytrain stations to developers to build condos. The revenue can be used to further expand the transit system just like in Hong Kong. They can’t even build fast enough to satisfy the need for public housing. Rate hikes will cause housing prices to go down but the BOC will panic again when we are in a recession and cut rates again. The people that held in previous corrections did very well because the money supply will keep rising over time. How much do you think a house will cost if the Canadian money supply hits 4 Trillion? Fun Facts Canada's money supply went from 32.9 Billion in 1970 to 2.3 Trillion by the end of 2021. Now the world is full of billionaires and there will be Trillionaires in the future. Canada's population went from 21.3 million in 1970 to 38 million in 2020. 43% of Canadian homeowners had paid off the mortgage on their principal residence, down from 46% in 1999. Canadian households accumulated a record amount of savings during the pandemic, but the gains have not been evenly distributed. Higher-income households built the biggest savings stockpile, and now hold more than 30% of overall pandemic savings, compared to just 10% held by the lowest income households. Though lower-earning households saw the fastest rise in disposable income, much of that was likely spent or used to pay down debt. Canadian households accumulated the highest amount of excess savings among G7 countries during the pandemic, as estimated by the IMF in October. By our count, household put away about $280 billion in extra savings compared to pre-pandemic trends. Some of those savings were used to pay down non-mortgage debt, some has flowed into financial and housing market investments (which also count as a form of ‘savings’) and a large chunk of the rest sits in cash deposits, which have also surged above from pre-pandemic levels. That savings trove represents over 10% of annual Canadian GDP, enough to support around 3.5 years of pre-pandemic restaurant sales. How and when those savings are spent will have significant implications for GDP, inflation, and ultimately monetary policy going forward. About 15.7% of Canadians have an annual income of $100,000 or more. 764,033 individuals in Canada have between $1 million and $5 million USD Canada ranks #5 10,395 with $30 million or more Canada ranks #8 with 1,681,969 millionaires 764,033 individuals in Canada have between $1 million and $5 million USD 91,823 individuals in Canada have between $5 million and $30 million USD 10,395 individuals in Canada have greater than $30 million USD Less than 11% of Canada's land is in private hands; 41% is federal crown land and 48% is provincial crown land. BC is worst with B.C. is comprised of 94% provincial Crown land, 1% federal Crown land and 5% private land. The population of Canada has gone from 20 million in 1970's to close to 40 million by 2021 and increasing by 350,000-400,000 per year. The Canadian money supply was 25.52 billion Canadian Dollars in January 1968 and a maximum of 2310.22 billion Canadian Dollars in November 2021. Only 25.52 billion? Is that correct? Now there are even people with more money than that. Stats Canada Money supply and credit Table 7.3 1970 M2 (Gross) 32,945 (millions of dollar) 32.9 Billion 1980 M2 (Gross) 135,924 (millions of dollar) 135.9 Billion 1990 M2 (Gross) 358,338 (millions of dollar) 358.3 Billion 2000 M2 (Gross) 491,801 (millions of dollar) 491.8 Billion 2010 M2 (Gross) 993,262 (millions of dollar) 993.2 Billion 2021 December 31, 2021 2.301T The next step would be for developers to slowly buy up all detached homes in Vancouver to build condos 10-30 years from now..... People keep saying land is in limited supply but nobody really understands why. The Oath of Citizenship / Le serment de citoyenneté “I swear (or affirm) that I will be faithful and bear true allegiance to Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth the Second, Queen of Canada, Her Heirs and Successors, and that I will faithfully observe the laws of Canada and fulfil my duties as a Canadian citizen. #1 Queen Elizabeth II With her 6.6 billion acres, Elizabeth II is far and away the world's largest landowner, with the closest runner-up (King Abdullah) holding control over a mere 547 million, or about 12% of the lands owned by Her Majesty, The Queen. Most of the land falls under the Crown Estate, which essentially operates as a real estate business. According to The Independent, all of the profits of the Crown Estate go to the United Kingdom’s Treasury, but it should be noted that the queen receives 15% of those profits. (Real estate has played a major role in the royal family’s net worth.) In the U.K., the queen’s real estate operations hold more than $16 billion in property. This includes many of the royal family’s residences, including Buckingham Palace, Kensington Palace, and Windsor Castle. Within Canada, Crown land is a designated territorial area belonging to the Canadian Crown.[7][8] Though the monarch owns all Crown land in the country, it is divided in parallel with the "division" of the Crown among the federal and provincial jurisdictions, so that some lands within the provinces are administered by the relevant provincial Crown, whereas others are under the federal Crown. About 89% of Canada's land area (8,886,356 km2 or 3,431,041 sq mi) is Crown land: 41% is federal crown land and 48% is provincial crown land. The remaining 11% is privately owned.[9] Most federal Crown land is in the territories (Northwest Territories, Nunavut, and Yukon) and is administered by Indigenous and Northern Affairs Canada. Only 4% of land in the provinces is federally controlled, largely in the form of national parks, Indian reserves, or Canadian Forces bases. In contrast, provinces hold much of their territory as provincial Crown land, which may be held as provincial parks or wilderness. Crown land is the equivalent of an entailed estate that passes with the monarchy and cannot be alienated from it; thus, per constitutional convention, these lands cannot be unilaterally sold by the monarch, instead passing on to the next king or queen unless the sovereign is advised otherwise by the relevant ministers of the Crown. Crown land provides the country and the provinces with the majority of their profits from natural resources, largely but not exclusively provincial, rented for logging and mineral exploration rights; revenues flow to the relevant government and may constitute a major income stream, such as in Alberta. Crown land may also be rented by individuals wishing to build homes or cottages.
$1.85 million at 1% is $55xx per month $1.7 million at 1.7% is $55xx per month $1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month $1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month $1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month $1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month $1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month $900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates. A $5500 mortgage is the sweet spot for the average detached home in Vancouver. You can pretty much gauge how much the homes will drop or go up based on interest rates.
@@dwightcarlson7136 he wouldn't, he used to tell us how housing always is scarce and nothing left to buy, now with inventories on record numbers, came up with other options to sustain the hope, while RE agents are in panic and preparing for career change lol
Thanks Steve for the market updates! Congrats on your upcoming wedding this week and have a ton of fun!
Thank you
Have a super wedding weekend! Thanks for the update:)
Any investor will tell you that support on that median home price chart is 1 million. You could see it test that level twice in 2018/19 as a resistance. And traders will always tell you, what goes up quickly comes down quickly because there's no support or volume at those higher prices.
DO NOT buy when the interest rate is still being adjusted and volume is relatively low. Wait for a volume increase that acts like support.
I can't believe the government and the real estate industry hasn't called the real estate sector an emergency situation 10 years ago. It's had hyperinflation since 2009. Everybody needs to get a grip.
Excellent analysis.
How would someone go about determining when price support and volume has been established?
(Which resources do you personally use?)
Thank you!
@@dukemocchi for real estate, your agent will have all of this information. I would say start by watching Bank of Canada interest rate announcements and targets. 3-3.5% BOC rate is generally acknowledged as a drag on inflation. Obviously there are other inputs but overall inflation rates are quite high so I’d be very surprised if they don’t overshoot in an attempt to control this record high inflation. American CPI numbers come out next week and the BOC rate increase is next week as well. The American Fed already raised 0.75% so the BOC will probably match that.
true
The best part is looking into the faces of housing speculators.
I don't know about other parts of canada but the bank data showed moms and dads in ONTARIO ALONE funded their adult children 10billion $$ in 2021- 22 to make home purchases they used home equity to do this " gifting" without the equity this is permanently gone and loans owed back to mom and dad will not be repaid and $$ gifted have been permanently lost in my opinion this was a big part of the game in 2021/22 this needs to be taken Into account it will cause hell down the road...
The Bank of Mom and Dad
is a bank we can rely on.
Did I hear correctly, you’re having a wedding in Penticton?. I grew up in the Okanagan. It will be warm and beautiful !
Great update Steve!!
Imagine putting 10% down and your homes worth 20% less than you bought.
It’s only a problem if the person plans to sell and try to get their equity out in the next 5 years. Which begs the question, why would someone buy a home and worry about the price 6 months in?
@@maxpayne7419 would refinancing matter after 5 years?
@@chrisb5048 well the value in 5 years is likely going to be better than it is today. But even if it isn’t, the banks don’t do an appraisal at renewal so there wouldn’t be an issue. The market value of the house really doesn’t matter much unless you’re selling and trying to get your equity out. But again, why would a buyer try to do that 6 months in? The people that are going to get hurt with this housing downturn are the people that leveraged too much and can’t handle an interest rate increase, and/or people who were speculating and trying to make a quick buck.
@@maxpayne7419 vast majority of recent buyers bought to flip for a profit so of course the value matters after 6 months
@@m.b5777 I highly doubt the “vast majority of buyers” were buying to flip a house. Where is the evidence of that? But if it is the case - how dumb are these people to leverage and try to flip a house at inflated lower mainland prices…. Sorry, but they kind of deserve to get rekt. The Darwin theory at work …🤦🏻♂️
Do you have a video where you talk about Home Price Index and how it lags in showing what is going on in the market?
In Toronto, the condo market seems to be weakening as well based on the data I am seeing. Not sure of the ground reality.
Had eight Vancouver + Whistler properties at one time and sold the last two years ago. The need for a massive correction has been obvious for some time and wanted to get out ahead of the crash. What I never foresaw was Trudeau trashing the most basic of Canadian freedoms, so doubly glad that not only did I sell but that I personally left Canada and got my money out. Feel sorry for my highly leveraged friends I left behind and miss the Canada that used to be.
thanks for making space!
Na..that was the provincial duly appointed medical health officer and their science panel..in worldwide pandemic where 21 million people have died..feds don't even have jurisdiction ..laughable theory.
You whine about your 'freedoms' ?
yet you carry a C-phone(tracking device) that tracks everywhere you go and when in real time...... and that listens to everything you say(or do you really believe it was only 'hey Suri' ?)..... you gladly PAY/TAP with that same C-Phone or use a Debit Card so the same Bank your paycheque gets direct deposited at knows everything that you EARN Versus SPEND and WHERE you spend it..... You were vaccinated as a child against Measles, Mumps, Rhuebella, Polio, Chicken Pox, etc., etc......
AND NOW YOU BELIEVE SOME NITWIT POLITICIAN TRASHED YOUR 'FREEDOMS' ????????????????
Go LOOK in the Mirror !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
@@Harhar911 And I don't think Canadians realize how much that must impact foreign capital flows. Who would invest in a country that is prepared to arbitrarily confiscate your assets?
When’s the bottom.. Not yet!
What about West Vancouver's luxury market?
I've been looking at sales in Richmond. Absolutely fucking nothing. Insane prices median over 2 million for sure.
Thanks Steve!
There was a bubbling developing since 2000, with no adequate correction happening to revert the market to sensibility. 4 months of inventory is still not enough to be a buyer's market. It's a market where the buyer's have some influence. 6 months or more is a buyer's market.
Time to buy is when the house price yo income ratio is back to international norms.........
Elevated YoY price increases fed by 'DONUT' monetary costs(rates).... include substantial ancillary speculative pressures that can be difficult to quantify.
Nonetheless..... Fraser Valley and GTA macro economic fundamentals have been completely out of whack and NOT supportable in their respective markets ~48 Months past.... suggesting a high degree if speculative based market sentiment based increases to 'get in' ?
I think this could be a 50% correction in REAL terms...... offset/distorted by cpi inflation/currency devaluation to 35% in strictly numerical terms from Q1/2022.
No matter.... but this one will hurt !
Always appreciate your videos, great job man. If you were in Ontario, I’d certainly have you as my agent.
You don't need an agent to buy a house just a good lawyer. That's what I did. A lot cheaper.
@@10mudpuppy
how did you do it sir.
could you elaborate?
Get a real estate lawyer, wait till house prices come down to at least November 2019 between 35 to 40% lower than they are today, simply knock on the sellers door tell them you have a lawyer and money for a down payment and take it from there. Nobody knows the future but you will probably have to wait till December or early next year to get a realistic deal on a house. Nobody knows the future so pay attention to what's going on with real estate selling prices are the only thing that counts not talking heads on the internet. Good luck:)
@@10mudpuppy
Thank you sir.
I'm hoping for a big crash in real estate but the govt seems to keep wanting to inflate it and ensure taxpayers, wage earners, pensioners and savers suffer the consequences.
can't wait to see 2008 prices again!
$1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month
$1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month
$1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month
$1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month
$1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month
$900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month
If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates.
@@Observer168 I don't give a damn, as long as prices are down.
@@mmustap3 LOL
@@DTrent-uy1wl More lies
Just like back in 2019 sales slowed down but prices didn't drop much. The interest rate hasn't even reached 2019 levels yet. Did you even look at Canada's interest rate chart? It will only be a little above the 2019 level even after the .75% rate hike
I’m looking forward to buying at a 50% discount next year.
$1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month
$1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month
$1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month
$1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month
$1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month
$900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month
If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates.
@@Observer168 it's not just about RAW numbers, a lot of people were under the delusion that their house would be worth hundreds of thousands more in 6 months. They would have to be cash flow negative but the Reward of taking on a huge mortgage outweighed the Risk for years on end...... Until it didn't. a 5500 dollar mortgage is A LOT of money to be paying for shelter. Not many jobs out there that can support that for too long.
@@Observer168 Didn't you know? All the bears have Millions sitting in a bank account ready to buy. 🤣
@@JaBlanche lol..that's been vaporized in so called balanced funds..with a 30 percent decline in its bond component.
@@ts9271 A million dollar home isn't backed by the CMHC so the person has to come up with at least a 20% down payment and pass the stress test. If the person doesn't have the income to qualify, then a larger down payment is required. This isn't like the US where they had zero down mortgages with no proof of income.
A $5500 mortgage is more than what most people can afford but there are still plenty of people that can afford it. The investor can just rent it out for a few years. A typical 2 bedroom basement rents for $2000 and a top floor with 3 bedrooms can be rented for $3000 per month so the investor isn't losing very much each month. You make it sound like the investor is losing the full amount of the mortgage every month. No pain no gain...
looks like you are not keeping an eye on unemployment rate which came in lower than expected which means 75 BPS coming next week!
Just like back in 2019 sales slowed down but prices didn't drop much. The interest rate hasn't even reached 2019 levels yet. Did you even look at Canada's interest rate chart? It will only be a little above the 2019 level even after the .75% rate hike
You have to learn from Japanese RE crash..end of story..60-70% collapse and stagnating forever
Japan’s population doesn’t grow like Canada’s. Canada has 450,000 immigrants a year
@@DTrent-uy1wl The poor ones make very good tenants since they come from countries with very low standards of living.
Have you ever heard of 6 people living in a two bedroom apartment with each paying $600 each? There are endless amounts of homes in Vancouver and Toronto where 6-8 people are packed into the upstairs and basement of a home. These guys are happy with cheap rent and just need a bed to sleep in. They don't own cars and take public transit so neighbors don't complain.
Good video Steve.
How can someone without an account with MLS do a price comparative analysis?
Zoocasa
Zealty
Zealty
@@saretsky thanks!
Good luck happy wedding day!
Rush is buying you will end up more cost and headaches.
I sincerely appreciate the work you've done and the knowledge you share. Technical analysis can be helpful, but I think It is quite puzzling that well-known cryptocurrency UA-camrs just pay attention to pure T.A and entirely ignore the bigger narrative of why BTC is inflating and why the outlook for the future is even more encouraging than it seems. Ignoring the reality that each ETF launch to this point has caused a sizable decline from BTC highs is somewhat dangerous. We were already in a perilous position and only survived a protracted bear market due to historically low volume and nearly entirely whale pumps. Day trading should be given greater consideration because it is less affected by the market's turbulence. trading daily with Jeff Erno I have earned over $ 8BTC using his insights and charts. His insight has always been a step ahead of others.
His Te-le-gr am ( @Jefferno7
my investment double working with him 🌌
I have traded with a lot of individuals but I have never come across anyone as good as Mr Jeff A white just by applying his strategies I now trade independently. he is the best I'd advise any novice in investing to trade with him.
Amazing I also just started trading with him, his the best at what he does with an initial investment of$1400 i made up to $5230 in just a week of trading with his strategies are mind blowing.
Accumulating losses when trading alone can lead to psychological anxiety. I was fortunate enough to reach out to Jeff, which has been profitable for several months since my trade
Prices are NOT "crashing".
It’s funny that when markets are weak and falling, the headlines and discussion is always worse than what actually happens. And conversely, when markets are rising, all the headlines and discussion is always better than what actually happens ( 🚀 ). And most investors do exactly the wrong thing. They listen to the day-to-day headlines, and they try to guess what’s going to happen….- and they sell low and buy high. Just invest in the market in low cost diversified ETF’s, and buy a home you can afford - and become a millionaire over time.
Fair co
Now do this for toronto
The best time to buy in this case is when/IF the FED FLIPS! No point fighting a printing press as its catching Knives until this happens! Anyone saying they plan to buy Vancouver @ 50% won't be able to qualify for a 50% reduced priced home Mortgage! LOL CATCH 22
Only cash rich people can buy homes at this point lol, but with an energy crisis on our hands i'd reckon after the flip this whole situation benefits the foreign investors buying the houses as they can use all cash. We have an energy crisis on our hands and in my opinion commodities ( while many are dropping atm) will continue to go up, so its hard to see housing,especially in bc to fall that much. price of lumber has been steadily going up since mid june
Price declines led by multiproperty investors on margin..
Looking at that chart 6:12 and the infusion of cheap credit really did so much destruction to housing affordability. To see it return to trend pre pandemic will sink so many who bought into it.
These greedy speculators and gamblers deserve it
personally for timing buys i want to see a recession and buying approximately 6 months out from the bottom in equity markets. best r/r time to buy.
No surprise at all, living in the suburbs sounds pretty dreadful.
It is indeed dreadful in the burbs…having paid $210k for a condo now worth $500k and a detached for $900k now worth $1.5M….I’m for sure hard up now
@@MegaJiat wow a condo worth 500k! That is nothing, same property in Vancouver would be 750k+.so you have little to brag about.
The point here is the downside would have to be enormous for many of us to be under water. Many people cherry picking stats based on someone that paid over asking in January/Feb this year
Also keep in mind the cost to service the debt on a property that’s dropped 20% might actually be higher now given rates are 2-3% higher, so unless you come with cash it’s almost a non event
its now a question of will these mortgage losses from flippers and speculators
be transferred onto the backs of taxpayers via bailouts, "stimulus"
or/and savers via (what is already) negative interest rates.
Will these flippers simply "walk away"
with the loss being transferred to taxpayers, wage earners, savers and pensioners
who did not part take in the speculation
and had no gain from the upside and
only losses from this downside?
Sounds like a scam if so.
@@DTrent-uy1wl lol, good one
60%-70% crash in Vancouver suburbs with 6% variable mortgage rate
Lmao
$1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month
$1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month
$1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month
$1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month
$1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month
$900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month
If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates.
The more the rates increase, more buyers will be unable to afford, and with more buyers disappearing, prices will get crushed
@@gemg.5888 Good because I am waiting on the side lines to buy more
Just like back in 2019 sales slowed down but prices didn't drop much. The interest rate hasn't even reached 2019 levels yet. Did you even look at Canada's interest rate chart? It will only be a little above the 2019 level even after the .75% rate hike
Liquidate them all
Good morning. This fail just wake up after preaching that prices will never drop
Steve totally wrong on the benchmark HPI, as it is the very best indicator, it is like for like comparison, not an average aggregate. Pretty much an instant DQ as far as taking his advice seriously.
HPI is specifically designed to take product mix sales swings out of the equation. The rush of work from home / low rates lead to a massive amount of country SFH sales which drove up the average/median. The lack of those high priced sales (sales down 50% and most of that absence being that) is driving average/median back down.
Meanwhile condos/lower end houses/towns still going up because people are priced outta high end.
That is what benchmark HPI shows which is why it is better.
Also when sales go down 50% that automatically 2x months of inventory. The actual # of houses for sale is exactly the same.
Suppose sales mix is 4 SFH @ 900k and 2 condos @ 600k. Average 800k and median is 900k. Now sales drop 50% to 3 sales, one SFH @ 905k, 2 condos @ 610k. Average is now 700k and median 600k.
Notice how average/median went down when both the SFH and condo sales were actually up.
That is why HPI is the best. That like for like comparison showed units up 1%, not down 15%. Benchmark HPI takes sales mix out of the equation.
Sales mix of high priced luxury which has dropped off a cliff vs the low end affordable stuff. That is why average/median even within just SFH is also bad data.
The only thing the average/median shows is that work from home sales of country SFH boosted the # of sales disproportionately and drove average/median up, even as actual prices sometimes did not reflect the average... the average/median will naturally drop when sales mix returns to normal times aka more lower end sales than high end SFH sales.
Anybody saying everybody's house just went down 15% because the average is down 15% is INTENTIONALLY misinforming/ distorting what is actually happening
Hes wrong on alot of stuff. What do you expect from a RE broker
@@v.p9412 This guy is gonna say anything to save his ass and justify the market. Anyone with a brain knows shit's going to hit the fan. Judgement day is here. Pain is gonna be felt.
This is probably the worst take I’ve seen on UA-cam. For starters the HPI uses a 6 month rolling average.
When Q2 data is released I expect we will see a sharp correction in interest rate expectations for Septembers BoC meeting. July will be the last rate hike of more than 25bps, and I would not be surprised if they pause in September.
Its all about what The Federal Reserve does. If the fed doesn't slow down, it could be very dangerous for bank of canada to pause while they continue. Canadian dollar could fall quite a bit and that would add even more to the inflation. Whole point of hiking rates was to bring inflation down (core inflation, not CPI).
lmao ya their gonna destroy the Canadian currency because Johnny bought a house he can't afford
don't hold your breath
It's not rocket science. Who in their right mind would pay $2M to live in a place that is wet for 🌧 8 months of the year. Good God. Gives a whole new meaning to money laundering.
I know many people who bought solely to flip for a profit
Not only rains 8 months a year but has sky high food prices, no well paying jobs and the government reserves the right to seize your bank account if you disagree with them.
Hey guys, get into the alberta real estate market, especially calgary!! Calgarys market hasn't gone down yet, especially the multi families. Stuff is kinda sitting on the market in calgary at the moment and all the over inflated Properties are starting to reduce there pricing. Properties are still selling in calgary, especially the Properties that are decently priced. Lots of people are moving to calgary at the moment from Vancouver and Toronto. I highly recommend everybody to consider calgary. Just letting you guys no.
Congrats on getting married Bro hopefully we'll kick you a deal sometime soon appreciate all the content
Thank you
Hi Steve, thanks for the contents you create, just could you please speak a little slower. I watch tech tutorials at 1.5
Perhaps watch at .75x
I watch Steve at 1.25x usually
Rates will reverse before year end...the yield curve and Euro dollar curve has already signaled this...mark this post.
Lol yes interests at 0% forever 🤣
lmao
@@Alex-vf8ww not sure what's funny....so many people that are clueless out there...like you.
Euro dollars are now disconnected FED actions. Europe is still on LIBOR, US is now on SFR. A whole different paradigm
By this time next year the bottom of the market will already be in and passed.
nah gonna take 3 years at least
@@Alex-vf8ww not necessarily.. 2017 peak bottomed in 2018.
Many factors could make it 6 months or 2 yrs.
Artificial recession being fabricated. So its hard to say. Think of how hot the market was, to soon a stand still. Once word is out bottom is in. It will be a rush to buy and priced will jump 100k to 200k very quickly.
All up to the fed or boc really..
Immigration will keep coming here with far less being built into a recession.
A 5th or 7th wave whatever one is next would definitely spike prices and rates to drop
@@baseline6786 You should write a book you got a good imagination.
You were probably screaming there would be no interest hikes before they even started lol
Buckle up boys! immigration won't save you
@@Alex-vf8ww lol immigration always plays a factor.
Saresky didnt think they could raise rates. They are only raising them for inflation purposes. So once inflation peaks which should be shortly. Rates should come down, not to record low levels unless we have bs covid 2.0 come through.. but will drop accordingly.
And the rental market is hot now. So renting is a terrible strategy. Spending +30k a year to not own it. So that will be a 1 yr lease for many then jump back in.
$1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month
$1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month
$1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month
$1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month
$1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month
$900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month
If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates.
Still betting the average detached home in Vancouver will not drop below $1 million. It only took a 5% interest rate to cause a financial crisis in 2008. Of course they went into panic mode and dropped rates down to 1% for a very long time after that. Fed actually did a good job in the first part of the crisis and acted swiftly. It aggressively cut interest rates from 5.25 percent in September 2007 to 2 percent in April 2008. It's very simple.... The FED and BOC are doing a forced recession to get rid of inflation and the market bottoms when the FED is forced to cut rates again because of recession.
Stack Cash! Stack Cash! Stack Cash! We are about to see the best buying opportunity in assets in a decade. They have already mentioned that the mandate is 2% inflation. They are raising rates too fast which will mop up all the excess money that was printed during the pandemic. The rate hikes will cause a recession but the pandemic has proven that the the FED and BOC are willing to print trillions to save the economy. Will go all in as soon as we see rate cuts because that will be the bottom.
The economy on low interest rates is like a mega cruise ship with 30 million passengers going at full speed which is hard to slow down so it really takes time to see the results. The ship is starting to slow down but the BOC and FED are expecting it to stop like a car by rapidly pumping the breaks. This is definitely not the Titanic and the only iceberg on the horizon will be WW3 to sunk this ship. Going to jump back onto the boat when we see rate cuts. Don’t get left behind
Hoards of people from Shanghai will come to Canada after the lockdowns. Most wealthy people in Shanghai are already planning to leave after what happened with the severe lockdowns. The Fed and Canadian government will most likely over do it with the rate hikes and cause a short term recession. They will be forced to drop interest rates back to 1%.
Sitting on the sidelines while rates go up and stacking cash is great advice for a investor. Jump back in as soon as they start cutting rates again to ride the next bull market!!!!
The only solution to our housing crisis is government housing. Investors would buy up multiple units if the developers sold these units at affordable rates, so it doesn't make any business sense. This will provide millions of jobs to avoid a recession and make housing much more affordable. Housing is a social problem, and it's the government's job to solve it. Hong Kong and Singapore has been building government housing for decades and can't even keep up with demand.
The government should follow the Hong Kong Model and lease land around future skytrain stations to developers to build condos. The revenue can be used to further expand the transit system just like in Hong Kong. They can’t even build fast enough to satisfy the need for public housing.
Rate hikes will cause housing prices to go down but the BOC will panic again when we are in a recession and cut rates again. The people that held in previous corrections did very well because the money supply will keep rising over time. How much do you think a house will cost if the Canadian money supply hits 4 Trillion?
Fun Facts
Canada's money supply went from 32.9 Billion in 1970 to 2.3 Trillion by the end of 2021. Now the world is full of billionaires and there will be Trillionaires in the future. Canada's population went from 21.3 million in 1970 to 38 million in 2020.
43% of Canadian homeowners had paid off the mortgage on their principal residence, down from 46% in 1999.
Canadian households accumulated a record amount of savings during the pandemic, but the gains have not been evenly distributed.
Higher-income households built the biggest savings stockpile, and now hold more than 30% of overall pandemic savings, compared to just 10% held by the lowest income households. Though lower-earning households saw the fastest rise in disposable income, much of that was likely spent or used to pay down debt.
Canadian households accumulated the highest amount of excess savings among G7 countries during the pandemic, as estimated by the IMF in October. By our count, household put away about $280 billion in extra savings compared to pre-pandemic trends. Some of those savings were used to pay down non-mortgage debt, some has flowed into financial and housing market investments (which also count as a form of ‘savings’) and a large chunk of the rest sits in cash deposits, which have also surged above from pre-pandemic levels. That savings trove represents over 10% of annual Canadian GDP, enough to support around 3.5 years of pre-pandemic restaurant sales. How and when those savings are spent will have significant implications for GDP, inflation, and ultimately monetary policy going forward.
About 15.7% of Canadians have an annual income of $100,000 or more.
764,033 individuals in Canada have between $1 million and $5 million USD
Canada ranks #5 10,395 with $30 million or more
Canada ranks #8 with 1,681,969 millionaires
764,033 individuals in Canada have between $1 million and $5 million USD
91,823 individuals in Canada have between $5 million and $30 million USD
10,395 individuals in Canada have greater than $30 million USD
Less than 11% of Canada's land is in private hands; 41% is federal crown land and 48% is provincial crown land. BC is worst with B.C. is comprised of 94% provincial Crown land, 1% federal Crown land and 5% private land. The population of Canada has gone from 20 million in 1970's to close to 40 million by 2021 and increasing by 350,000-400,000 per year. The Canadian money supply was 25.52 billion Canadian Dollars in January 1968 and a maximum of 2310.22 billion Canadian Dollars in November 2021. Only 25.52 billion? Is that correct? Now there are even people with more money than that.
Stats Canada Money supply and credit Table 7.3
1970 M2 (Gross) 32,945 (millions of dollar) 32.9 Billion
1980 M2 (Gross) 135,924 (millions of dollar) 135.9 Billion
1990 M2 (Gross) 358,338 (millions of dollar) 358.3 Billion
2000 M2 (Gross) 491,801 (millions of dollar) 491.8 Billion
2010 M2 (Gross) 993,262 (millions of dollar) 993.2 Billion
2021 December 31, 2021 2.301T
The next step would be for developers to slowly buy up all detached homes in Vancouver to build condos 10-30 years from now..... People keep saying land is in limited supply but nobody really understands why.
The Oath of Citizenship / Le serment de citoyenneté
“I swear (or affirm) that I will be faithful and bear true allegiance to Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth the Second, Queen of Canada, Her Heirs and Successors, and that I will faithfully observe the laws of Canada and fulfil my duties as a Canadian citizen.
#1 Queen Elizabeth II
With her 6.6 billion acres, Elizabeth II is far and away the world's largest landowner, with the closest runner-up (King Abdullah) holding control over a mere 547 million, or about 12% of the lands owned by Her Majesty, The Queen. Most of the land falls under the Crown Estate, which essentially operates as a real estate business. According to The Independent, all of the profits of the Crown Estate go to the United Kingdom’s Treasury, but it should be noted that the queen receives 15% of those profits. (Real estate has played a major role in the royal family’s net worth.) In the U.K., the queen’s real estate operations hold more than $16 billion in property. This includes many of the royal family’s residences, including Buckingham Palace, Kensington Palace, and Windsor Castle.
Within Canada, Crown land is a designated territorial area belonging to the Canadian Crown.[7][8] Though the monarch owns all Crown land in the country, it is divided in parallel with the "division" of the Crown among the federal and provincial jurisdictions, so that some lands within the provinces are administered by the relevant provincial Crown, whereas others are under the federal Crown. About 89% of Canada's land area (8,886,356 km2 or 3,431,041 sq mi) is Crown land: 41% is federal crown land and 48% is provincial crown land. The remaining 11% is privately owned.[9] Most federal Crown land is in the territories (Northwest Territories, Nunavut, and Yukon) and is administered by Indigenous and Northern Affairs Canada. Only 4% of land in the provinces is federally controlled, largely in the form of national parks, Indian reserves, or Canadian Forces bases. In contrast, provinces hold much of their territory as provincial Crown land, which may be held as provincial parks or wilderness.
Crown land is the equivalent of an entailed estate that passes with the monarchy and cannot be alienated from it; thus, per constitutional convention, these lands cannot be unilaterally sold by the monarch, instead passing on to the next king or queen unless the sovereign is advised otherwise by the relevant ministers of the Crown. Crown land provides the country and the provinces with the majority of their profits from natural resources, largely but not exclusively provincial, rented for logging and mineral exploration rights; revenues flow to the relevant government and may constitute a major income stream, such as in Alberta. Crown land may also be rented by individuals wishing to build homes or cottages.
Maybe you could summarize your comment? Way too long for me to bother to read it in it's present format.
$1.85 million at 1% is $55xx per month
$1.7 million at 1.7% is $55xx per month
$1.5 million at 2.8% is $55xx per month
$1.35 million at 3.8% is $55xx per month
$1.2 million at 4.8% is $55xx per month
$1.1 million at 5.8% is $55xx per month
$1 million at 6.8% is $55xx per month
$900k at 7.8% is $5500 per month
If you couldn’t afford to buy a $1.5 million dollar home in 2020 then you also won’t be able to buy with higher rates. A $5500 mortgage is the sweet spot for the average detached home in Vancouver. You can pretty much gauge how much the homes will drop or go up based on interest rates.
@@dwightcarlson7136 he wouldn't, he used to tell us how housing always is scarce and nothing left to buy, now with inventories on record numbers, came up with other options to sustain the hope, while RE agents are in panic and preparing for career change lol
@@gemg.5888 Vancouver still has low inventory, how many detached homes do you see under $1.5 million? 10-15?
@@DTrent-uy1wl More lies.... LOL