How 1 Quarter Caused the NFL's Scoring Decline

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  • Опубліковано 21 вер 2024
  • Thanks for watching!
    Feel free to check me out elsewhere.
    Twitter: / dr_pigskin
    Wordpress (written stories/blog): drpigskin.word...
    Article by Kevin Clark (a good read! Shoutout to him for some nice work referenced in this video): www.theringer....
    Credit to Infraction and LAKEY INSPIRED for the music.
    No copyright infringement intended. Roger Goodell please don't hunt me down, I'm sorry I used CBS clips for the Tyreek montage!

КОМЕНТАРІ • 591

  • @buccaneers
    @buccaneers 4 місяці тому +2087

    Todd Bowles is just that guy.

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +261

      He really is! What a home run hire for Tampa Bay

    • @BENgalFan1369
      @BENgalFan1369 4 місяці тому +117

      Wait is this frfr the bucs social media dude

    • @stuffanimalsfnaf4363
      @stuffanimalsfnaf4363 4 місяці тому +89

      That’s crazy lmao the BUCCANEERS commented 😭😂😭🤯😭👀 u going places for sure Mr.Pigskin

    • @brittaneymaggard9641
      @brittaneymaggard9641 4 місяці тому +1

      @@BENgalFan1369I think

    • @SycoticForeverNeverAF
      @SycoticForeverNeverAF 4 місяці тому +23

      To be fair mahomes carved up tod bowls in embarrassing fashion the next time they played lmao

  • @SOCCERADDICT91
    @SOCCERADDICT91 4 місяці тому +429

    For me this solidifies why the Legion Of Boom defense in 2013 is one of the very best in NFL history. Being able to shut down team during the midst of all the advantage shifting to the offense is a monumental feat.

    • @JohnGramer06
      @JohnGramer06 3 місяці тому +20

      Billie Stephens explained this really well. An extra box defender to stop the run, stock Cover 3, an elite free safety who can cover both sidelines at once (like Earl Thomas), and great defensive backs.
      Brandon Staley in 2020 designed a scheme using the Tite Front that does the same job.

    • @neomarioism
      @neomarioism 3 місяці тому +11

      same with the 2015 broncos. going against big ben, tom brady, and MVP cam newton on their superbowl run

    • @Crafty-Cam1992
      @Crafty-Cam1992 3 місяці тому +9

      Back then safeties could still light up receivers so Kam chancellor was an enforce and could hit.

    • @legacy_the_archer
      @legacy_the_archer 27 днів тому

      The 49ers of those years had the inverse defense mindset , They were by far the best run defense in recent memory but in the end it didnt matter because The LOB had what mattered .

    • @vegasailor1309
      @vegasailor1309 22 дні тому

      And the league created more rules to hinder defenses because of the LOB.

  • @Slayer727
    @Slayer727 4 місяці тому +233

    Something I'd like to note, Todd Bowles didn't wait until the Super Bowl to implement the strategy. Check the second half of that KC/Tampa game. The seeds were sown then.

    • @o0usf0o
      @o0usf0o 3 місяці тому +34

      Yup! Bowles figured them out and people forgot that the Bucs were coming back in that game.

    • @delopez4438
      @delopez4438 3 місяці тому

      People like the cheifs

    • @seandillon1359
      @seandillon1359 28 днів тому +7

      We almost came back. If the game had 1 more quarter. The best second half adjustment I’ve ever seen

    • @newerest1
      @newerest1 25 днів тому

      Mahomes was a legitimate superhero in that game. That was one of the most important games in the history of NFL. It was truly amazing.

  • @ToyeCalvin91
    @ToyeCalvin91 4 місяці тому +321

    If you’re patient enough seemingly everyone can move the ball in between the twenties. The Meta is have a QB that can improvise and create passing opportunities in the redzone when it gets tight and has to be accounted for in the run game, and have a creative offensive scheme that can incorporate RPO’s.. This vid captures that perfectly

    • @georgerojas1949
      @georgerojas1949 4 місяці тому +10

      Facts, there are probably more than 15 qbs in the league that I think with the right ppl around could compete for a ring. Also defense is wildly underrated in team success perceived by the media and fans

    • @dongdoodler
      @dongdoodler 3 місяці тому +2

      You need an insane o-line or a goated qb/skilled position players who make room when there is none for sure in the redzone. But it is kinda funny seeing the teams that cant even move the ball in the middle of the feild, like how bad is that offense with all that space

    • @yoboychris4149
      @yoboychris4149 24 дні тому

      Meta?? Bro this not a video game

    • @ToyeCalvin91
      @ToyeCalvin91 24 дні тому

      @@yoboychris4149 but football is a GAME and games have metas that can be exploited

    • @kevpsp101
      @kevpsp101 6 днів тому

      @@yoboychris4149 Meta stands for Most Effective Tactics Available, and while the gaming sphere uses that word the most, it has many applications outside it too.

  • @UriAviani
    @UriAviani 4 місяці тому +82

    this shows that the chiefs knew this when they traded hill and basicly their whole reciver group, they knew they needed a change after the changes in the NFL after they got beat in the AFC championchip by the bengals. In my opinion, the change in the big play frequency actully helps the enjoyment because their more valuable. Really enjoyd this, great video!

  • @pathutchison7688
    @pathutchison7688 4 місяці тому +197

    I noticed in the Super Bowl that Mahomes didn’t make those crazy creative plays anymore. Now he just makes the right read and walk the offense down field with high percentage passes. He’s still the best QB I’ve ever seen.

    • @rogerl6212
      @rogerl6212 4 місяці тому +30

      Brady is better.

    • @BossKing1243
      @BossKing1243 3 місяці тому

      @@rogerl6212”i’ve ever seen”

    • @null_reference
      @null_reference 3 місяці тому +25

      ​@@rogerl6212only in stats. Mahomes has more raw talent

    • @KeegoTheWise
      @KeegoTheWise 3 місяці тому +65

      @@rogerl6212 brady fans are so tiresome with their insecurity

    • @andrewkiehlbauch
      @andrewkiehlbauch 3 місяці тому +18

      @@null_reference best thing is mahomes is way better statistically per year than brady ever was

  • @BENgalFan1369
    @BENgalFan1369 4 місяці тому +237

    Dawg talked ab his first Chick-fil-A like his first time performing coitus, never chabge doctor! 😂

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +30

      Out of every comment I’ve ever received, I think this one has made me laugh the most 😂 thanks for watching!

  • @WarEagleGaming
    @WarEagleGaming 4 місяці тому +334

    Mahomes and the Chiefs were so good that the entire NFL changed the way they played defense just to stop them and other high flying offenses. And they still won back to back Superbowls.

    • @mistersunshine1330
      @mistersunshine1330 4 місяці тому +27

      Because they actually played like a real team. Instead of bazookaing their way down the field

    • @netconner
      @netconner 4 місяці тому +49

      I think the Tampa Super Bowl also changed them forever. They learned that tyreek was expendable and invested heavily on defense in the draft. If you go and look at how well they’ve drafted since 2020 it’s absurd

    • @HitByAPlane
      @HitByAPlane 4 місяці тому +9

      Yeah because they went and completely changed the way offense played and now Mahomes went from 9.1 ypa to like 4

    • @dukeonwheels
      @dukeonwheels 4 місяці тому +20

      The league adjusted, and then Mahomes and the Chiefs adjusted. Great teams do that.

    • @WaitingforGodel
      @WaitingforGodel 4 місяці тому

      Mahomes with the reverse Brady career arc

  • @JesseVBuddyTV
    @JesseVBuddyTV 4 місяці тому +43

    Those years had…Tom Brady, Ben Rothilsberger, Aaron Rodgers, Kurt Warner, Both Manning brothers, Drew Breeze, Phillip Rivers. Those are just the ones I can remember I’m sure I’m missing some but it was a blessed era for offenses.

    • @bigdug13
      @bigdug13 4 місяці тому +15

      Lions sucked but Stafford was still a killer, especially with Megatron.

    • @troybaxter
      @troybaxter 3 місяці тому +9

      ​@@bigdug13 Stafford was never the Lions' problem.

    • @Zalis116
      @Zalis116 3 місяці тому +2

      Warner retired after '09, but I'd also add (along with Stafford) Tony Romo, Russell Wilson, Matt Ryan, Jameis Winston, Cam Newton, and Andrew Luck to the list. Some guys like Derek Carr, Nick Foles, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Carson Palmer had a few good seasons in there as well.

    • @_Xds_
      @_Xds_ 5 днів тому

      ​@@Zalis116James? Lol

    • @renardcerise7883
      @renardcerise7883 День тому

      ​@@_Xds_30 for 30 and i think he also had 5K yards that year, yeah he was ugly to watch but the production was there

  • @harrymills2770
    @harrymills2770 4 місяці тому +158

    It's always been this way in the NFL. Defenses eventually catch up.
    It was because the KC O-Line was being dominated by the TB D-Line that they could play shell. KC's OTs were being dominated. TB didn't fear the run and Mahomes had no time to throw. They could mostly play off and come crashing, because they knew the ball was coming out quickly.

    • @introvertedextrovertedtraver
      @introvertedextrovertedtraver 4 місяці тому +9

      In reference to the SB the chief Oline got injured just before the superbowl where 2 starters went down.

    • @LuckyAJC
      @LuckyAJC 4 місяці тому +11

      ​@@introvertedextrovertedtraverwasn't it more them that? I think a couple of the backups also went down, had some 3rd stringers out there

    • @nautgamingnautgaming9949
      @nautgamingnautgaming9949 4 місяці тому +2

      I really agree with Harry mills
      It's teams CANT throw deep because the pass rush talent is much superior to the offensive line talent currently
      Literally a top 3 offensive lineman last year was ALMOST 43 years old
      That speaks volumes
      This also explains the rash of qb n running back injuries

    • @dreb5089
      @dreb5089 4 місяці тому +4

      The Bucs got the blueprint in their first matchup. They outscored them after that first quarter 24-10 when they started playing 2 high.

    • @itsmeflacko1618
      @itsmeflacko1618 4 місяці тому

      ​@@dreb5089bruh the chiefs was up by damn near 30. If they was figured out they wouldn't have put up 27 first quarter points 😂

  • @joshtaylor9884
    @joshtaylor9884 4 місяці тому +40

    Cool. Maybe throwing for 400 yards will actually start to mean something again.

  • @Michael-sb8jf
    @Michael-sb8jf 4 місяці тому +28

    And the Chiefs traded away Hill and signed two decent WR's and dinked and dunked their way to 2 more superbowls

    • @moalston4203
      @moalston4203 4 місяці тому +1

      Dink and dunked huh

    • @moalston4203
      @moalston4203 4 місяці тому +3

      They just adjusted and proved he didn't need A star receiver to win

  • @BrothamanASMR
    @BrothamanASMR 4 місяці тому +50

    I've been waiting for someone to make a video on this topic for years. Good work, you took the time and really put a lot into this. Thank you

    • @jt8696.
      @jt8696. 4 місяці тому +2

      I was literally about to make this comment but you already did lol. I've been waiting for a real good one on this too

    • @steph_566
      @steph_566 4 місяці тому +1

      You should watch Brett koleman. He made a video about this at the beginning of the season. This guy did a pretty good job covering it too

    • @jt8696.
      @jt8696. 4 місяці тому

      @steph_566 hell yeah I enjoyed that one too. I appreciate when people dive into some x's and o's

  • @hiLaywell
    @hiLaywell 4 місяці тому +40

    This was a REALLY good video. Completely opened my eyes to a new dimension of the game and what's been happening with it. Extremely well researched and put together. Love this content and I can't wait to see more like it! Dr. Pigskin knows ball.

  • @kylescott9529
    @kylescott9529 4 місяці тому +73

    Additional point: Defenses were so blitz and man heavy in the past (at the early part and prior to the 2010s) because the best QBs would dice them up if they played zone. Brady was the king of this. I think the NFL saw the Giants beat Brady twice by having a relentless pass rush and assumed “I must pressure the QB by any means necessary”. I wonder if DCs went that route because they assumed “we are gonna get scored on anyways” so they took an aggressive approach to try and get TOs.
    Also the blitz heavy, single-high, man-coverages are a lot less attractive if your offense also sucks and you are down by 14+ and aren’t forcing the other teams offense to pass. Meanwhile if you have an awesome offense and get UP by 14+ you can send the house and scar a QB for life 😅.

    • @BigGaggle
      @BigGaggle 4 місяці тому +3

      Very good points. I would like to also add that the Chiefs played a decent amount of man this year. So it can still be done with the right personal

  • @pipesito182
    @pipesito182 3 дні тому +1

    Dude what a refreshing channel. Love your stuff doc

  • @yeshuaisking1247
    @yeshuaisking1247 4 місяці тому +62

    Ironically that just made it easier for the chiefs to win, because Patrick can adapt the best to the new defenses that were created to beat him, while others haven't managed to adapt as well.
    That's crazy.

    • @lydiavalentino
      @lydiavalentino 4 місяці тому +8

      And with the additions of Xavier Worthy & Hollywood Brown, the Chiefs are re-opening the possibility of going back to just beating defenses downfield. The Chiefs didn't find themselves in an easier situation, they just adapted.

  • @landonw3327
    @landonw3327 4 місяці тому +57

    It’s a tuff pill to swallow that the most hated team in the league is the reason my favorite team can’t score 💀

    • @yeshuaisking1247
      @yeshuaisking1247 4 місяці тому

      And they keep winning and taking advantage of it, it's like you had a billionaire so rich that the gov had to find a heavy tax for everyone, but ironically it only hurts the millionaires the billionaires still have the most cushion.

    • @terrencesteele753
      @terrencesteele753 4 місяці тому

      You spelled best wrong

  • @stuffanimalsfnaf4363
    @stuffanimalsfnaf4363 4 місяці тому +16

    This video was so good it really helped me understand why the NFL is less scoring but yeah defenses have truly gotten better and picked up what offenses do and how to play against them.

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +1

      Thank you, I’m glad you liked it!

    • @mikemike6182
      @mikemike6182 4 місяці тому +1

      this suck for the audience and NFL knew it, thats why they make it harder to tackle next season

    • @marcusrudolph5961
      @marcusrudolph5961 4 місяці тому

      Nfl defenses now just give up unlimited yards and trying to give up 3

  • @starwarsROXmy
    @starwarsROXmy 4 місяці тому +5

    i like a happy medium between defense and offense. I don't want every game to end in a 7-3 slugfest, but I also don't need every game to be a 42-35 shootout.

  • @poeticalvision
    @poeticalvision 3 місяці тому +6

    Pretty impressive that the Chiefs and Mahomes were able to completely pivot in early 2021 to a different style of play, and since they have won 2 Superbowls.

  • @ChumblesMumbles
    @ChumblesMumbles 4 місяці тому +5

    Teams also are simultaneously de-valuing the running game and running backs as well as run-blocking traits in o-linemen, so when the passing game struggles or isn't putting up big yards and big points, they no longer even have the tools available to switch up to a heavier run game.

  • @dfp_01
    @dfp_01 4 місяці тому +5

    Awesome video! You're absolutely right that the Chiefs' depleted O-line allowed Tampa to rush four and keep two safeties high while still creating pressure and therefore dominate Super Bowl LV. But I think we can use the same logic to figure out why Mahomes has been so good in his career against the blitz: more often than not, sending more than 4 defenders after the QB means only a single safety can play high, which opens up big play opportunities-or, if they blitz and leave two high, the middle of the field is wide open for chunk plays by YAC guys like Kelce, who may be the best non-QB at reading defenses and scheming himself open. And if those are covered too, it usually means there's running room for Mahomes to pick up a first down with his legs.

  • @vortex3419
    @vortex3419 4 місяці тому +19

    Interestingly enough, the guy who arguably started this trend, and also crafted a fantastic game plan to stop the Chiefs (Todd Bowles). Has mostly reverted back to his (and the league's) old ways. The Bucs were bottom 3 in the league in explosive pass plays allowed in 2023, still relying on a lot of single-high coverage and classic spot drop zone, which once dominated the NFL of the past. Tampa also blitzed at one of the highest rates in the league. Personally, as a Bucs fan, I think it would behoove Bowles to pivot towards what the rest of the league is doing.
    Great vid btw

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +7

      Thank you! And that’s an excellent point, when I was looking at blitz rates I couldn’t help but notice the Bucs were 3rd in the NFL in 2023 with a whopping 45%. Fascinating how Bowles has more or less managed to start this trend and then turn around and buck it!

    • @o0usf0o
      @o0usf0o 3 місяці тому +4

      I think it’s important to note that the Bucs D-line isn’t what it was in 2020. No more JPP and Suh. Others took a step back. They had trouble generating pressure with 4 last year.

  • @akimhamlet5092
    @akimhamlet5092 4 місяці тому +3

    Carlton Davis recovering in the SuperBowl to shut down Hill after Hill took his soul in that game is incredible

  • @jackgaleotti2297
    @jackgaleotti2297 4 місяці тому +31

    My favorite NFL UA-camr. The Dr. is a cut above the rest

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +7

      Wow, thank you! Those are some kind words, I’m glad you enjoy my content!

    • @harrymills2770
      @harrymills2770 4 місяці тому +2

      Good product. Sits too close to the camera.

    • @choosecarefully408
      @choosecarefully408 4 місяці тому +1

      @@harrymills2770 I didn't want to _say_ anything, but yeah, when he goes from footage back to his room, my personal space feels infringed upon.

    • @harrymills2770
      @harrymills2770 4 місяці тому

      @@choosecarefully408 Most people use phones, I bet. So most people don't notice. But yeah. If you have a large screen computer, it's dental-appointment time, with you as the dentist.
      I never let anyone stand that close to talk to me in person.
      People put their cameras on top of their desktop screen. Back that camera off if you intend a career of YouTubing.

  • @seandillon1359
    @seandillon1359 9 днів тому +2

    DUDE! THEY LITERALLY JUST SAID WHAT YOU SAID ON TNF! “Ever since teams starting using two high safeties on mahomes everybody has been doing it and QBs have had to adjust. That’s why QB numbers are lower”

  • @dr.pigskin
    @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +11

    Wow, seems like this video has taken off, thank you to everyone for watching! I appreciate all of the kind words and feedback, I’m glad you guys enjoy this, and your feedback and input is how I get better. Let’s keep it rocking and rolling!

  • @doctorbarber1
    @doctorbarber1 4 місяці тому +20

    I remember that Super Bowl. Mike Remmers was their starting RT, the same dude who got Cam Newton basically killed on the field by Von Miller in Super Bowl 50.

  • @derekwhitmire7273
    @derekwhitmire7273 4 місяці тому +1

    One of the coolest analysis videos I’ve ever seen. Great balance between deep insights and approachable explanations!

  • @sauravgiri7810
    @sauravgiri7810 23 дні тому

    One of the best NFL videos I've seen. The evolution of football is beautiful to watch. Great work!

  • @gotoastal
    @gotoastal 4 місяці тому +4

    Your upbeat cadence is something I thought I would hate, but actually I warmed up very quickly. Nicely done.

  • @zickyd42
    @zickyd42 4 місяці тому +3

    Really well put-together video! I thought it was a clickbait title and was skeptical, but you clearly put so much thought into this! This is such a breath of fresh air on NFL youtube (a landscape riddled with the likes of fivepoints and TGS)

  • @foreversevenfold1666
    @foreversevenfold1666 4 місяці тому +2

    Great video! Earned my sub for sure.
    The evolution of NFL playcalling is so fascinating. With the way the defenses adjusted to this style of offense, I can't wait to see how offenses counter it. Wonder if we'll go back to a big reliance on running with less men in the box with all these 2 high safety looks.

  • @kaiklindworth1916
    @kaiklindworth1916 4 місяці тому +3

    This is an amazing video, entertaining and informative! I hope scoring doesn't get back to the previous level. I personally don't care for offense and all those flashy plays getting hyped up, and was really happy about the first half of this past SB. It's great to see it explained, and to be able to recognize it as part of the cycle of adapting :)

  • @christinesuh5
    @christinesuh5 4 місяці тому +10

    he’s back!!!

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +2

      Back and better than ever 😎

  • @thattimestampguy
    @thattimestampguy Місяць тому +1

    4:27 Chapter 1: Uncommon Advantageous set of circumstances.
    5:22 3-5,000 Passing Yard Season
    5:58 The NFL Passing Golden Age, The 2010s
    10:35 The Pinnacle
    11:39
    13:08 Bucs 31 Chiefs 9
    13:34 Todd Bowles Blitz Defense
    14:07 Todd Bowles 2 Safety Defense to guard the Pass Attack
    17:45 Rams vs Bills 🦬
    Zone Coverage W
    18:13 2022 Pass Defensive Revolution 🛡️
    18:52 ADOT Leaguewide 2018 to 2023
    19:52 Two High Safeties, Zone Coverage Rate, Blitz Rate
    20:52 Creative, Adaptive Defensive Schemes
    21:31 Brian Flores Vikings

  • @JediJack16
    @JediJack16 4 місяці тому

    I love this video so much because as a dude who loves defense, it's infuriating how many people just say that offenses have gotten worse, when in reality it's very clearly the defenses getting better

  • @jtwk3400
    @jtwk3400 4 місяці тому +6

    final papers can wait, Dr Pigskin posted!

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +5

      Hey, after watching this you’ll feel motivated to dominate those papers like Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill dominated in the 1st quarter of Week 12 of the 2020 season!

    • @jtwk3400
      @jtwk3400 4 місяці тому +3

      @@dr.pigskin considering I had Tyreek Hill on my fantasy team that year, I concur

  • @savagedamage8901
    @savagedamage8901 4 місяці тому +8

    this a damn good video. title was interesting and vid explained and answered a question many football fans have been wondering about. watched every second

  • @holdenrayl7953
    @holdenrayl7953 3 місяці тому +2

    Ironically this is also a video that speaks to Mahomes and Reid’s brilliance. Not only did they survive and adapt but they survived and thrived. The marquee of a HOF HC and QB. I believe offense will shift back to mid 2010 numbers as more teams figure out running the ball will open up so much for them. Hence, why so many offensive lineman were taken early in this years draft.
    God damn this game is a beautiful game 🏈

  • @crazycarrot6387
    @crazycarrot6387 4 місяці тому +4

    good job bro you deserve way more subscribers for this content

  • @samwozniak1875
    @samwozniak1875 4 місяці тому +3

    This video was great! I'm a big believer that the NFL is cyclical and certain trends are going to come back. I'm expecting Fullbacks and bigger Running Backs to make a return soon with more defenses playing 2 high safety and smaller/quicker defensive linemen who are chasing down athletic quarterbacks will get bodied... Expect more space-eating DL's and man coverage within 10 years.

  • @henryvencill8758
    @henryvencill8758 4 місяці тому +3

    he’s done it again!! another certified classic

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +1

      Thank you Henry! Happy to hear you enjoyed it

  • @Aunny123
    @Aunny123 2 дні тому

    This is exactly why the Legion of Boom was so impressive. Dominate defense during the time where the league was offensively peaking.

  • @RipliWitani
    @RipliWitani 4 місяці тому +4

    Playing under center or having an effective run game is the key to beating quarters/cover 6.
    Defeating the 46 defense of the Ravens is more complicated, having a quick pass game that has multiple options or a run game that is overwhelming.

    • @koodigocrxzy465
      @koodigocrxzy465 4 місяці тому +1

      The ravens don’t play a 46

    • @speedlife301
      @speedlife301 25 днів тому

      Ravens play 3-4 even that looks like a 4-3. And you aren’t going to beat them by running the front 7 is to strong and big . You have to spread them out.

  • @gregoryroth2180
    @gregoryroth2180 4 місяці тому +4

    Notice the league pass leader promply became the quarterback throwing to..... Tyreek Hill :/

  • @pearchamp
    @pearchamp 4 місяці тому +9

    Great video doctor, going to need a prescription for more content

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +2

      Pearchamp, thank you! Don’t you worry, I’ve got some exciting stuff planned for this summer 👀

  • @aaronstark5060
    @aaronstark5060 3 місяці тому

    As someone who had been bemoaning the lack of quality defense in the NFL over that stretch, I love to finally see some. It kinda sucks the drama and tension from the game when you know that if Mahomes, Brady, Rodgers, etc. has the ball at the end of the game, they were GOING to score. There was no”let’s see what happens”. You may as well just fast forward to the touchdown. But while I’m happy to see it, I’m also scared to death that this is temporary and in 3-4 years, offenses will figure it out and go right back to being unstoppable.

  • @michaelsanantonio6971
    @michaelsanantonio6971 8 днів тому

    This channel is gonna be huge

  • @PhilP8980
    @PhilP8980 4 місяці тому +2

    I remember watching a game 2019 where Mahomes threw 5 TD passes in the 2nd quarter against the Raiders, in Oakland. It was embarrassing. That's why the cover 2 shell is the base defense now.

  • @matthewcomfort5894
    @matthewcomfort5894 3 місяці тому +4

    Mahomes got defenses buffed on purpose knowing he's the only guy that can still overcome them. Big brain move

  • @bistromathics6
    @bistromathics6 4 місяці тому +1

    Officials have also been allowing more and more contact downfield, while O-linemen and receivers are called more often for infractions that were usually ignored in the recent past. This has begun to make various defensive concepts valid, including more one-on-one coverage. Roughing the passer calls also went down last year, and that's both the officiating and the technique of D-linemen. Coaches and players keep pushing the officials on the boundaries. Since it's easier to get pressure on the QB's and it's harder to get separation, complex scheming and disguising looks on both sides of the ball have become more useful. From Spags (and others), you don't know who's blitzing. Offenses are more prone to turn receivers and backs into extra blockers. Also, with the very physical play being allowed (encouraged?) downfield, bigger, more physically dominating receivers, who are more willing and able to mix it up before, during and after the catch (as well as performing blocks on D-linemen), have become more valuable. Young, skinny, fast kids coming out of college, thinking they'll dominate in the NFL, are going to need to bulk up and learn a wider array of skills, no matter how talented. This is why someone like Xavier Worthy is truly a "wait-and-see" for KC (and Buffalo) fans. He's not tall, and at 172, he's going to get knocked around like a pinball. And he's just one example. Until they change the rules, or start calling more DPI, etc., it's going to be very physical downfield. I also noticed in 2023 that, given a possible penalty (when any offensive holding actually occurred) it was more likely to be called in a pass-blocking scenario than in a running scenario. I don't know how that stacks up to previous years, but with the clear trend toward less aggressive calling of personal foul calls for late and out-of-bounds hits, we're likely to see more strange things happening at the QB position (i.e. QB2 becomes much more strategically important). Can't wait to see what they do this year!

  • @milemarker301
    @milemarker301 4 місяці тому +5

    Very interesting take. Maybe the change in tackle rules for this upcoming season is an attempt by the League to undercut the defense trend? :)

    • @dr.pigskin
      @dr.pigskin  4 місяці тому +2

      You know, that’s a very good point! Obviously player safety was the main reason behind banning the “hip drop” tackle but I wouldn’t be shocked if the league’s scoring decline wasn’t at the very least a slight factor in the NFL’s decision

    • @lockout125
      @lockout125 4 місяці тому

      Defense has been neutered so hard by all the rules lower more skill based scoring is far more entertaining than just basically pussified flag football

  • @joebarton4947
    @joebarton4947 3 дні тому

    It's always annoyed me that people who have never played the game love to complain that low scores means bad play forgetting that defense is a while half of the game

  • @mattclose5490
    @mattclose5490 4 місяці тому +1

    Excellent video explaining what many fans, especially chiefs fans have known for years. This also perfectly explains the tyreek hill trade. I know it got criticized extensively but anyone who saw this all playing out knew exactly why it happened.

  • @CorpseHoarder
    @CorpseHoarder 4 місяці тому +1

    Please please please I beg you for a detailed breakdown like this of the browns defense! It is fascinating and It’s rare to see a football analysis video combine humor and an efficient teaching ability to make it both entertaining and easy to follow. It’d be awesome to understand my favorite team on a deeper level!
    Alternatively… a breakdown of each divisions defense and make it a series? Nonetheless this video rocks 👍🏼

  • @ruferd
    @ruferd 3 місяці тому +1

    What's funny is my dad went from saying "are we ever going to see some defense show up to a game for once?" to saying "this is unbearable to watch, I swear every score is 16-10." real quick.

    • @aaronstark5060
      @aaronstark5060 3 місяці тому +1

      I was kinda like your dad in the first part, but in the second part, I was more like “FINALLY! We’re seeing some goddamn defense for a change!”. I got so sick of the way it was where if you gave a good offense the ball in a late game situation, it felt like an automatic score.

  • @worldsgreatestdude1784
    @worldsgreatestdude1784 4 місяці тому +1

    I was happy to see scoring go down

  • @bigsav1984
    @bigsav1984 4 місяці тому +1

    The ravens simulated blitz sounds a lot like the zone blitzes were lineman dropped into coverage that teams most notably the Steelers ran in the 90s in response to the west coast offense.

  • @shanehubble
    @shanehubble 3 місяці тому +1

    Another reason for less blitzing is that you risk penalties when you try to tackle or disrupt the qb.
    2017: 86
    2018: 103
    2019:124
    2020: 104
    2021: 132
    2022: 82
    2023: 68
    The shift to two high safety and reduction in blitzes not only stopped the big play but also lowers the risk of getting a 1st down penalty called for making a football play and a qb lowering their head to protect themselves and causing a helmet to helmet collision…which is always the defenses fault.

  • @richborn6700
    @richborn6700 4 місяці тому +1

    Dr. Pigskin being a Vikings fan warms my cold Minnesotan heart. We suffered together but no more!

    • @KingSalemence3
      @KingSalemence3 4 місяці тому

      No more? You're objectively the worst team in the division, and that's assuming McCarthy is a hit.

    • @47ejecting2
      @47ejecting2 14 днів тому

      ​@@KingSalemence3Hahaha, imagine thinking that da Bears won't absolutely shit the bed like they always do...
      t. cursed to be a Bears fan

    • @KingSalemence3
      @KingSalemence3 14 днів тому

      @47ejecting2 no no, I factored that in. Don't worry

    • @KingSalemence3
      @KingSalemence3 14 днів тому

      ​@47ejecting2 the bears will inevitably collapse and finish near the bottom. The vikings are starting at the bottom lmao

  • @seveng1147
    @seveng1147 4 місяці тому +9

    Chiefs receivers sold mahomes in the Super Bowl too

    • @ChirpingMatt
      @ChirpingMatt 3 місяці тому

      That is an interesting point here. I feel it's too often forgotten that in that game, Mahomes threw two would-be TDs that hit a receiver in the facemask, and somehow both were dropped. The game could just as easily have ended 31-23, and wouldn't have felt like such a domination.
      And that actually might be why the overall defensive shift was as gradual as it was, not really taking full effect until an entire season later. Teams weren't yet sure if that game was an aberration, or if it still works without such a lopsided battle in the trenches. It wasn't really until teams saw it consistently give Mahomes fits in 2021 that everyone bought in.

  • @debishop3359
    @debishop3359 4 місяці тому +3

    Someone get this man more views

  • @monitawhite4932
    @monitawhite4932 4 місяці тому

    Good job bud, really appreciate the time, effort, research and dedication

  • @s1ighted
    @s1ighted 4 місяці тому

    The production quality had me thinking this was a 100k+ sub yt channel,keep up the good work youre going to blow up soon trust

  • @yotemgote
    @yotemgote 4 місяці тому +1

    Shocked you didnt mention the jets and their integration of sauce into split field coverage. Even with a shutdown corner, you still HAVE to play zone with deep safeties, or get beaten.

  • @Lucky_9705
    @Lucky_9705 4 місяці тому

    I’m glad that defense is gaining more of a footprint in the league. The decline in scoring reflects better defensive play, and in a decade that was previously dominated by offense, a shakeup to balance the game was needed.

  • @Zack-lt4dx
    @Zack-lt4dx 24 дні тому

    Having Hill that year and being able to witness that game was incredible

  • @Deuce5x
    @Deuce5x 4 місяці тому +1

    I think guys like fangio,bowles,Macdonald, saleh,flores, anaroumo helped sculpt the blue print for defenses in todays nfl
    2) Which means nfl offenses will gear towards the Shanahan style/ west coast offense and are focused on establishing the run game to set up the passing game
    3) modern day examples of future offense prototypes are Eagles,chiefs,49ers, ravens,browns,packers, vikings,lions,colts

  • @holdenmuganda97
    @holdenmuganda97 27 днів тому

    This shows that the offensive adjustment will be towards going back to the running game. All of those men in coverage can’t stop the run as well. We see this with teams with powerful running attacks really dominating like SF and BAL. And how Buffalo steamrolled Dallas due to the running attack.

  • @thetimebinder
    @thetimebinder 4 місяці тому

    It's almost like it's Rock Paper Scissors. Heavy blitz gets blown out by deep throws. Deep Coverage gets beat by rushing, and rushing gets beat by a wall.

  • @InstinktzBTW
    @InstinktzBTW 4 місяці тому

    Your channel is a gem. I see big things for you.

  • @HoopsHuddles
    @HoopsHuddles 3 місяці тому +1

    Todd Bowles already credited the Falcons for what they did earlier that year against the Chiefs

  • @machiavellianos
    @machiavellianos 4 місяці тому

    I don’t know much about football but this is by far the most insightful trend analysis I have come across on YT. I have been wondering why chiefs collapsed in the SB and why their WRs struggled in recent years. I thought it was merely because the WRs weren’t good. I now understand why the old WR style of play is no longer the top on the book.

  • @DakotahFaye
    @DakotahFaye 4 місяці тому +1

    Aye North Dakota represent! Great video

  • @randomdude7359
    @randomdude7359 25 днів тому

    Something to note is that the Chiefs defense is one of the very few blitz heavy successful defenses because spags is able to scheme players to get free rushes at the quarterback

  • @tmac9972
    @tmac9972 5 днів тому

    Exellent video. The NFL is a league of trends that shift once something is a success,adapt and change or die. Listening to all the talking heads on TV and radio for the last 10 years all you heard was the demise of the running back ,now without a good backfield most teams are screwed. After 4 or 5 seasons this to will change then its time to adapt and change or die.

  • @xStrypes
    @xStrypes 4 місяці тому

    This actually makes way too much sense, awesome video

  • @jandrew1994
    @jandrew1994 26 днів тому

    2020 was the highest scoring year in league history for the most obvious reason: no crowds.

  • @mahball2933
    @mahball2933 4 місяці тому

    Hello fellow North Dakotan. Bismarck native here. Really enjoyed this video. Keep it up.

  • @dubzy21
    @dubzy21 28 днів тому

    Really nice analysis bro great vid

  • @chairmanevan1865
    @chairmanevan1865 4 місяці тому

    I can't wait to see which qb/coach duo breaks the game open for offenses again

  • @bubband3782
    @bubband3782 4 місяці тому +2

    Nice job sir!! Very informative. SKOL!!

  • @isaiahscobel
    @isaiahscobel 9 днів тому

    We’re in our dead-ball era for sure

  • @rkbelmont1138
    @rkbelmont1138 3 місяці тому +1

    I really enjoyed this past SB between the Chiefs and the Niners. There was good offense and good defense both. It felt really balanced.

  • @crazestyle83
    @crazestyle83 4 місяці тому +32

    Let's be honest. Mahomes changed the nfl twice.

    • @ffllaasshh2067
      @ffllaasshh2067 4 місяці тому +12

      Yea he opened the door for big passing air the ball out offense and when the league saw how much Patrick was gonna abuse it and kill the NFL he scared every other team into slamming that hard as hard as they could... And he still prevailed

    • @Michael-sb8jf
      @Michael-sb8jf 4 місяці тому +2

      @@ffllaasshh2067
      it was inevitable

    • @alastairhaddix7436
      @alastairhaddix7436 4 місяці тому +2

      And he’ll change it again with Reid this year 😅

  • @masonmacomber
    @masonmacomber 4 місяці тому

    I remember when the colts locked up Mahomes on SNF a couple years ago and thinking how rare that was, now it’s not as rare to see defenses lock up a great QB

  • @alexweinstock943
    @alexweinstock943 4 місяці тому +2

    As a chiefs fan, as soon as I saw the empty seats, I knew the quarter…
    Terrible sign for things to come that season…

  • @sabishiihito
    @sabishiihito 4 місяці тому +1

    Usually when there's a scoring decline, the Competition Committee gets together and we end up having increased emphasis on PI/illegal contact/defensive holding (1996, 2004, 2014). But this time, it's simply due to defenses playing 2-high safeties as you mentioned. Unless they're going to outlaw that defense, there's not much that can be done other than teams going back to being run-heavy. Maybe it's time for the resurgence of the running back?

    • @johnchedsey1306
      @johnchedsey1306 4 місяці тому

      I think the new kickoff rules will boost the scoring average a bit. It'll have nothing to with defensive or offensive innovations, but will hopefully give us a few more exciting huge plays in games.

  • @glaciersmash4118
    @glaciersmash4118 4 місяці тому

    It's crazy that scoring is down but collosal blowouts are up. Especially that dolphins broncos game, 70 points off of 10 offensive TDs? Or that Raiders Chargers game, 63 points is unreal.

  • @MetallicJoK3r
    @MetallicJoK3r 23 дні тому

    I know offense will always be more fun, your team gets to drive the whole field if they score, celebrations, etc… but defense is fun to watch too. I love a good late game pick, defense huddles in the endzone for a big group celebration.

  • @pdraggy
    @pdraggy 3 місяці тому

    I watched this video and why am I now getting lots of Chic-fil-A videos in my algorithm??

  • @youbettube
    @youbettube 3 місяці тому

    I got no evidence to back this up but I think the QBs mid to late in their careers (Brees, rivers, manning, Brady etc) in the mid 2010s had so much more experience with full on practice than the defenders on the other side of the ball that they could put up huge numbers easier than the QBs joining the league after practices became more and more limited

  • @nin_tendo6458
    @nin_tendo6458 4 місяці тому +2

    Unless Todd Bowles somehow managed to make Toney line up offsides or let balls bounce off his hands to a defender I don't think this is why last year so many teams looked awful.
    I don't disagree that defenses have clearly caught up to offenses as a general statement but a lot of defenses looked bad last season too. The Ravens were the only consistently good looking team all year. Every other team had a stretch of absolute clunkers. Ugly football all year, and I'm a fan of good defense.
    Also Russell Wilson always had the issues he's had the last two years they were just masked by ref nonsense and a great defense.

  • @austincarlson9270
    @austincarlson9270 18 днів тому

    AYO FARGO MENTION you know whats good brudda

  • @johnnunez5659
    @johnnunez5659 14 днів тому

    I also like how this ties into the downfall of rbs in the NFL, long gone are the days of the workhouse power back, without them it caused a lot of modern offenses to struggle even more due to not being able to rely on run game. We saw lows in rushing production for rbs and it’s this kind of odd slump that offenses are currently in

  • @MIAFL1
    @MIAFL1 2 дні тому

    before watching the rest of this video, I feel like the point it got ridiculous was a week 1 matchup between the chiefs and jaguars. I think Tyreek had like 200 yards in the first quarter or half something insanely OP. He finished that week with like 60 fantasy points.

    • @MIAFL1
      @MIAFL1 2 дні тому

      Haha, right stats, wrong game 😂

  • @haydenperkins9982
    @haydenperkins9982 4 місяці тому

    This is the most I’ve ever heard someone talk about chick fil a ever. Let alone in a 30 minute video😂

  • @trogdor21997
    @trogdor21997 4 місяці тому

    Didn’t the patriots basically do this 3-4 years earlier in the Rams Super Bowl where they also held the best offense in the league to 9 points and no TDs?