Always love the analysis Anthony! My only comment on NVDA vs everybody is that while we understand the narrative that is being put forth from NVDA and bought hand over fist by the market, is that MSFT AAPL GOOGL etc didnt become what they are in 6 months, it took many years, decades in some cases. I know NVDA has 'been around' for quite a long time, but not this version of NVDA. So, it is what it is and being long is the smart move, but regardless of market cap vs AAPL et al, I do think caution is warranted given the extreme nature of the move last 12 months.
To calculate the MOVE index, the following steps are taken: Select a basket of at-the-money (ATM) call and put options on US treasury bonds with a one-month time to expiration. Calculate the implied volatility for these options. ... Average the implied volatilities of the selected options to arrive at the MOVE index value.
On Friday the story was that we love the Russell 2000 and we hate tech. On Monday the story was that we hate the Russell 2000 and we love tech. Someone is lying. If they'd loved SMH the whole time, then I wouldn't have had to have dumped it last week.
@@AreteTrading I was also reacting to Anthony saying that people on X were saying that they never gave up on semiconductors. I wish that I had a 100% win rate.
Ok but key difference is Apple was much smaller in runup. Nvidia is not going to 10T. The chart looks exactly like csco 91-99, this time is different though.
The difference between apple, microsoft and nvidia is that apple and microsoft revenues were driven up by their B2C while nvidia is being driven rn by B2B. Chips have boom and bust cycles. Wait for the next bust if you want to get in.
Kudos to you for holding. Now do the numbers with same demand but with markup of their products at say 2x not 5 x it's more overvalued than Cisco was in 2000 immediately. Anyway it's here trading at the prices it is. Indefinite growth at 5x markup and 100% yearly growth forever!
Next check box will be Microsoft. Remind anyone of Cisco? Revenues and Profits on NVDA is abysmal compared to Apple, Microsoft, META and many others. When it pops will be historic
trillion dollar bubble on Artificial Intelligence that will put hundreds of millions out of good paying jobs - Artificial Intelligence - a technology the 'free markets' did not ask for - yet happily selling your fellow human's livelihood for short term portfolio gains - Humanity is so short-sighted! "Seeds - seeds are the next currency...."
I would appreciate it if you could explain a little about the “options whale alerts” Sometimes, puts are labeled as bullish, calls as bearish. I’m not sure how you tell if they’re being bought or sold.. nor am I sure if the information is actionable even if I do understand it. I figure the man who supervised options trading should have a reasonable grasp on what it all means and how to interpret it. I also assume I’m not the only one interested yet ignorant..
They are always being bought and sold, you can't buy an option if nobody will sell it and vice versa, the question is are they hedging their positions. Hence the real reason options were created.
Nvidia is yesterday’s story Quantum is next - that is how our brains are wired And is linearly scaled and energy efficient Around the corner when no one is expecting holding bags of outdated technology
CONGRATS once AGAIN to all those who play the ZERO risk free money just buy the SPX dips and collect the cash $$$ markets CRUSHING shorts one permabear youtuber at a time $$$ I love ZERO risk free money $$$ Kachingo$$$
cant wait for elevator music and boomer bonding tomorrow
All day every day!
Always love the analysis Anthony! My only comment on NVDA vs everybody is that while we understand the narrative that is being put forth from NVDA and bought hand over fist by the market, is that MSFT AAPL GOOGL etc didnt become what they are in 6 months, it took many years, decades in some cases. I know NVDA has 'been around' for quite a long time, but not this version of NVDA. So, it is what it is and being long is the smart move, but regardless of market cap vs AAPL et al, I do think caution is warranted given the extreme nature of the move last 12 months.
This should be compared to tsla. Csco to a certain degree.
10x in one year is pretty wild, 1T in less than 90 days is even wilder
You’re an absolute badass. My gains have steadily increased the more I watch your videos. Keep them coming. Officially in sponge mode.
Great to hear! I am just presenting information and education. Well done Zach !
On NVDA…the best time to plant a tree was 50 years ago. The second best time is today.
20 years ago
Facts !
Your content is very helpful to me. Thank you.
Glad to hear that!
To calculate the MOVE index, the following steps are taken:
Select a basket of at-the-money (ATM) call and put options on US treasury bonds with a one-month time to expiration.
Calculate the implied volatility for these options. ...
Average the implied volatilities of the selected options to arrive at the MOVE index value.
Thank you for posting that Jim
Yesterday the market wizard himself Tom Lee said S&P 500 5500 by end of June bought calls at open. In Tom I trust
Its funny he gets so much hate but is accurate lol
I feel like Tom Lee goes to some wild parties
On Friday the story was that we love the Russell 2000 and we hate tech. On Monday the story was that we hate the Russell 2000 and we love tech. Someone is lying. If they'd loved SMH the whole time, then I wouldn't have had to have dumped it last week.
market is dynamic not static. News changes . Adapt or die. No one knew ASML was getting that order and TSM was going to 2nm a year early.
@@AreteTrading I was also reacting to Anthony saying that people on X were saying that they never gave up on semiconductors. I wish that I had a 100% win rate.
It’s all rigged
Current PE Ratio of NVDA is actually 67.42 Historical average is 42.
go forward not backward. EPS projections now are $40 NTM EPS
Ok but key difference is Apple was much smaller in runup. Nvidia is not going to 10T. The chart looks exactly like csco 91-99, this time is different though.
You didnt mention Canada Bank rate cut today or Ecb meeting tomorrow morning planning to cut rates too
I think that matters yes. I do not know how to pack it all in in such a short time
Yah i think the meeting tomorrow 8:15am could have impact on us market if they cut rates.
@Agooo13431 so are saying there will be more pressure for feds to cut?
To understand navidia, you need to listen to the conference call. They have a competitive molt around their business.
100%
The difference between apple, microsoft and nvidia is that apple and microsoft revenues were driven up by their B2C while nvidia is being driven rn by B2B. Chips have boom and bust cycles. Wait for the next bust if you want to get in.
If you do not have NVDA product your business becomes obsolete. Google Druckenmiller Bloomberg NVDA speech
ARETE FOR PRESIDENT!🇺🇸😎
el presidente ! ? seems like a lot of work
Isnt some part of yields falling, the fact that QT tapering and treasury buybacks? Not a single up-day in US10 since it started
Good thought
Nvda is the biggest mania you will ever witness
OH can think of a bigger one. The mania of the people calling it a mania that did not buy the stock.
Kudos to you for holding. Now do the numbers with same demand but with markup of their products at say 2x not 5 x it's more overvalued than Cisco was in 2000 immediately. Anyway it's here trading at the prices it is. Indefinite growth at 5x markup and 100% yearly growth forever!
MVD was the German trade of NVIDIA. This video was awesome. You are great.
ordered the book
Its a great book
Next check box will be Microsoft. Remind anyone of Cisco? Revenues and Profits on NVDA is abysmal compared to Apple, Microsoft, META and many others. When it pops will be historic
19 Years for MSFT stock price to recover 1999-2018 after adding in inflation.
Woke up to my soxl calls up 250% that was fun
congrats !
@@AreteTrading thanks, what do you think of Starbucks? I see whales shorting
None of these youtubers wanna call the top,. LOL, even the most ardent bears are calling csco like top for NVDA, it is time to go full short.
I am a youtuber LOL. I cant wait to tell my son. Maybe then he will think I am hip
LULU did not crush imo. It was the buyback.
Yes and it faded
1400 for NVDA
1,500 :D
1100
1100 ??? boooo
@@AreteTrading history shows after splits like this…. I hope I’m wrong
7th? You mean the jobs bombshell no?
Yes lol
You were way off on the reaction being bad if services came in hot again lol
WAYYYYYYY OFF . I was trading live and waiting for he crack instead NVDA went up lol
@@AreteTrading I honestly can't believe it reacted so positively. Regardless, great work as always and enjoy the videos!
First
BOOOM
Yeah!!!! 🫡Pull that time stamp out! 🫡So let it be written, so let it be done. 🫡Now tell him how cheap it still is. 🫡
35X40 = 1400 that is the historic 3 year valuation model to be at AVERAGE pricing. but what do i know lol
You know the market. Your videos have taught me a lot. I thought it was something about MARA. Now it's all about NVDA. 🫡
If i bought nvda it would be at 0
if i bought it, it'd go to negative and a holder would have to pay to get rid of it.
I now feel better that assessment of those numbers and confusion about the rally was the same as Ant.
MEXX, let's go 🇲🇽
NICE
trillion dollar bubble on Artificial Intelligence that will put hundreds of millions out of good paying jobs - Artificial Intelligence - a technology the 'free markets' did not ask for - yet happily selling your fellow human's livelihood for short term portfolio gains -
Humanity is so short-sighted!
"Seeds - seeds are the next currency...."
Buy from companies that dont use it. Its simple
I would appreciate it if you could explain a little about the “options whale alerts” Sometimes, puts are labeled as bullish, calls as bearish. I’m not sure how you tell if they’re being bought or sold.. nor am I sure if the information is actionable even if I do understand it. I figure the man who supervised options trading should have a reasonable grasp on what it all means and how to interpret it. I also assume I’m not the only one interested yet ignorant..
They are always being bought and sold, you can't buy an option if nobody will sell it and vice versa, the question is are they hedging their positions. Hence the real reason options were created.
Nvidia is yesterday’s story Quantum is next - that is how our brains are wired And is linearly scaled and energy efficient Around the corner when no one is expecting holding bags of outdated technology
What happened to U ... Unity Software :(
It’s trash
They rolled the dice on vision pro headsets by Apple. Guys decided they rather have a girlfriend.
20 minutes is the sweet spot. 20-25 max for daily videos.
It took NVDA 385 days to!
CONGRATS once AGAIN to all those who play the ZERO risk free money just buy the SPX dips and collect the cash $$$ markets CRUSHING shorts one permabear youtuber at a time $$$ I love ZERO risk free money $$$ Kachingo$$$