How could I have made this mistake? (Predictions for 2023)
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- Опубліковано 28 вер 2024
- Over the course of the past year, I've been making some predictions on many different topics, from geopolitics to tax laws.
Today let's cover all the predictions I've made and let's see if I was right or not.
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What I predicted:
1. War in Ukraine wouldn't end
2. Inflation sub 5% by June
3. Fed won't raise rates but they will pause
4. Risk on assets will rally but not sustain
5. Offshore will not have much change few new programs and few programs closing
6. Biggest winners AI start ups
7. Biggest losers real estate developers/investors who need short term cashflow (noted specific to location, etc)
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Get personalized advice about tax, asset protection, offshore banking, residency, and citizenships.
☎️ Book a call with Michael:
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I appreiciate your transparency of thought and open reflection. Thanks.
Here’s the better question about inflation. Why do people still base the economy off a centrally controlled, inflation rate changing, debt based fiat currency?
Bitcoin: decentralized, inflation rate cut every 4 years, no debt involved.
Because there is no military behind bitcoin and people adopt things slowly.
Honest self-reflection is time well spent. Currently in Malaysia for a month long trip - much better than we remember.
Good to hear! How do you like it?
Have you reflected on 2023? Any conclusions?
@@OffshoreCitizen Malaysia - amazing. Reflections, government policies can and do change without warning and maybe without logical reasons. If a residency/citizen program is available today - don’t think it will be around tomorrow. Inflation and shrinkflation also applies to these programs too!
@@OffshoreCitizen applying for S-MM2H while we are here - a plan B is never wasted!
My big GBTC order at $7.50 was never filled. Also a lesson learned here about bottom fishing.
Can you make a video about opening brokerage accounts for trusts and foundations?
I really love the way you think - straightforward and confident, while keeping it humble. Clarity of thought and intellectual honesty like yours are pretty hard to come by these days (or probably ever). I know it's not your main gig, but it'd be awesome if you could put together a book (or even a course 👀) on something like thinking and mental models.
he is humble, not like the other guy in the space.
It's necessary to watch your videos on 1.5x speed.
I watch all of his videos at double the speed, but many people interested in this topic may not be native English speakers, and may be appreciative of his clear delivery. I like videos in French and Spanish, but often have to slow them down.
Lol. No it's not
What is the purpose of your comment? What a miserable life you must live.
So do,I. There is a lot of fluff.. but some good information in there. This is how UA-cam is unfortunately
Historically, while FED starts to lower rates, crypto just topped or is topping and stock markets have one last 1-2 months push up before starting a downturn. It seems the most precise and obvious while you look at History of charts. I will base my markets decisions based onto FED pivot moment first before all other elements (halving for crypto, etc). As if, once FED starts lowering rates, markets were dropping anticipating the next crisis that would bring rates to 0 and then to be raised again.
You're confused
@@admin6228 Why ? Please explain.
Sure, crypto just topped/topping and stock markets have only one last push of 1-2 months?! 😆😆
wanna bet you're too wrong?
you owe me $2,000 if you're wrong, i owe you $2,000 if i'm wrong. mostly based on crypto market outcome.
@@lorenk.775 If you read me carefully, I say "when FED starts to lower rates, crypto just topped or is topping". FED hasn't started to lower rates. I believe they will on 1st of may (to be confirmed). Therefore, I view a crypto top around april (halving) or so, assuming in the example their first rate cut is on 1st of may. Current period should likely be the most bullish (pause) and the last big uptrend rally until the cutting cycle begins.
do you think the value of btc will double by the end of the year?
It will be around $150k by end of 2025. Remember this post.
Funny how the only mistake was from your own industry 😂😂😂
This phenomenon is actually not so uncommon 😂
I have no predictions but I know their plans, when their messiah comes he should own all property of humankind and they stage all to this goal. Maybe property is our least problem since they want also our lifes.
Well, better to be roughy correct than precisely wrong. Nice reflection content!
I predict that the S&P 50p will reach 5200 this year.
It seems you were mostly right, Michael. We think similarly.