George Friedman, Ph.D. | The Storm Before the Calm: What's ahead for the U.S. and the world
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- Опубліковано 15 чер 2024
- On Season 2, Episode 13 | Some say no one could have predicted 2020. We challenge them to speak with geopolitical forecaster George Friedman.
George joins Council CEO, Megan Torrey to explore his prediction that the 2020s will bring dramatic upheaval and reshaping. He also shares an expert forecast on the global trends businesses and citizens need to watch.
George Friedman is a geopolitical forecaster, strategist on international affairs, chairman of Geopolitical Futures, and author of The Storm Before the Calm: America's Discord, the Coming Crisis of the 2020s, and the Triumph Beyond.
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Cover Image Credit: Anchor Books, The Storm Before the Calm
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George Friedman has the prescience of a latter day Thucydides. Without resorting to rhetoric, he points to past military conflicts and socio-economic crises as reminders that, while change is certain, progress is not. From a generational perspective the 50-year cycle is instructive. Baby Boomers who had the good fortune to be all but raised by their grandparents might, as I did during the 1957 Asian ‘Flu epidemic - a time when antibiotics were in their infancy and viruses not yet well understood - have learned first hand about the wisdom of staying home at the first sign of illness, avoiding contact with other children while still infectious, and taking it easy for a fortnight after well enough to return to class. The reasons for all this were many but, most significantly, my grandmother was 18 in 1918, the pandemic following hard on the heels of a war which shattered the myth of Western Europe as a beacon of civilisation and progress, an example to the rest of the world.
I could go on with my late mother’s tales of a childhood during the Great Depression when my modestly successful middle class grandparents lost everything when the wool market collapsed.
The point I am making is that my own children, born in the 1980s and growing up in another country a long way from their ancestral families, educated at a time when school curricula favoured amorphous social studies over geography, history and current affairs, lack both an historical and a global perspective in spite of being well-traveled by now. By comparison with many of our elected representatives, however, my offspring are fountains of knowledge and wisdom. I owe them an apology, but for the fact that they stopped listening to me when mobile phones took off ;).
This is a convoluted way of saying that we forget the lessons of the past, as we mostly do, at our peril. ‘Happy is the nation without a history’, until it’s ‘leaders’ make the same mistakes as those made in the past for much the same reasons. There is something in the 50-year cycle; it’s long enough for a society to all but forget the oft times bitter lessons of the past. Thanks as always to George Friedman and to all those who make it possible for me to listen to him.
Thanks for sharing that personal history and reinforcing why we should never forget the lessons of the past. Appreciate you watching!
@@ctwac Only a pleasure, an inspiring reminder that the internet was once predominantly populated by representatives of academic institutions and was, for ordinary users, a forum for sharing news, opinion and reliable information in a civil manner.
By the end of the 1990s, regrettably, embryonic social media such as interactive bulletin boards and threaded discussion forums were already looking for volunteer moderators, and evolving registration protocols, as the proliferation of affordable devices with internet connectivity and 'user friendly' software empowered antisocial, misogynistic and xenophobic mischief makers, so-called 'trolls', many of whom apparently, have no purpose other than seeking a reaction from those who fall into the trap of responding to them.
Back in the early '90s, few of us foresaw that our virtual library, seminar room, news agent and encyclopaedia would grow within 15-years to something not unlike the WWW of 2021.
If, in 1993, the WWW opened a virtual window on the world enabling one to undertake a virtual tour of human society and learn about cultures ancient and modern then, in 2021, we could be seen as struggling with the consequences of opening Pandora's Box.
I am indeed grateful to those, such as yourselves, who have harnessed the power of good in this almost magical, for those who can afford it and know how to use it, technology.
@@jamesstuart9528 you're very astute, thanks for sharing.👍✌️
There one major difference between Covid-19 and the Spanish Flu. The flu caused much of the serious illness in young healthy people, Covid-19 in old frail people.
17:17 This is so performative; it drives me nuts. How was the interview made better by the host trumpeting her vaccination status? It wasn't even done elegantly enough to lead into a question about the book or the world.
That was so bad. I share your sentiment
She was virtue signalling because she so afraid to piss anyone off
Dr. Friedman is an expert with sensible reasoning who voices his opinions with calmness. I have his book on my shelf.
Dr/Prof/Ubermench George Friedman must be the best geopolitical strategist alive today, I like Peter Zeihan but I find he repeats himself verbatim speech after speech (see one see all), PZ's interviews are better but George, I could listen to his talks/speeches/interviews especially his Q&A's over and over AGAIN.
Fascinating interview!!
I love all my American brothers and sisters, even though both parties have become ridiculously radical.
I can have friends who disagree with me about politics. This is the traditional American way.
I love America and all Americans.
Almighty God bless 🙏🙏 everyone in the Global World based on Friendship, Mutual Understanding, Peaceful Coexistence,Non Violence And Justice For All.
Good presentation and healthy explanation
George... You are saying that China woudn't invade Taywan. Recently, you said Russia wouldn't invade Ukraine...
Long Live Indian American Friendship And Mutual Understanding.
The declining industrial class. That's a lot of angry people for any government to deal with.
Back in the day when we didn't have enough docters and high level collage degrees the government pushed hard and at a point in the early 90s they should've switched over to trades again but never did.
Our governments now adays do what they want when they want and u can't punish them cause the people whoed be punishing them are on there side and nobody cares anymore. Sorry not enough care who have the power
It will be useful to keep in sight, at or near the front of our minds, the likelihood that China, as a cultural, historical and ethnic entity, will almost certainly survive the Communist Party of China (CPC), commonly known as the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and the wind-down of that party’s administrative expression, the People’s Republic of China (PRC). It is neither necessary nor useful to regard potential Chinese successor states as inevitable aggressors or as permanent adversaries. During a containment phase it would be wise to maintain a clear view of the distinction between the CPC / CCP and the PRC (the particular aggressor power), and of China as an old and potentially enduring entity.
What and where's your proof ?
Something that came from Uranus ?
I see Mainland China joining with Taiwan under the Taiwanese existing Constitutional Republican Democratic political structure.
Tommy O Donovan really?
@@catrojana3694 it’s kind of common sense. China is a 5,000 year old culture. Somehow it seems to have outlasted a lot of competitors.
Why not ask about UAPs?
How unprofessional for the host to question the guests personal medical information live during the interview. 🤨
Leave your bias @ the house. Otherwise you are not interacting professionally.
George was potentially a great guest, who Iv seen great interviews from, he was limited by this host.
She's incredible unprofessional in every other way as well.
Do you have @lso the video, "The calm before The Storm" ? Technology it's the begining of the Storm.
Concerning US and Taiwan, what George says about alliances... Well US is famose in pissing off its alliances. I remember Trumpp in Europe ... The only one they can always reley on is UK. IMO
Love George. Don't understand why interviewer is so weak, stumbling over words, and weird eye movements
Ex CIA agent who worked against Bhopal victims, highly successful journalist - Julian Assange and the people of Austin when they protested against systemic injustices during occupy wall street in Austin. To be clear, there are plenty to learn from him but you never know when his biases towards government fetish might fu (ck) your reasoning chain. This is what makes him the least trustworthy especially near the sources like Juice Media who are simply awesome.
Thank for she stated her vaccination status. I almost through my she loved trump! Wait, he commissioned the vaccine! Oh nooo, she’s a trump lover.
May Jesus Christ bless you all and lead us in the right direction. Ok leave it at that
I predicted 2022, 2008 and 2000. He is a little like a charlatan who talks to the dead. He uses wildly vague language that captures a large swath.Friedman is way overrated and doesn’t understand what’s happening. For him to actually see what’s happening would be to alienate the system that makes him rich.
Terrible hosting by Megan Clark Torrey. Egregiously unprofessional and highly irritating 👎👎👎
I am fully vaxed! George are you? Virtue signal much?
America shall never fight with China. China is an American student.
Instead, America must be happy that it made China, the China.
Proudly admit Chinese rise now.
China has a lot to learn before it can properly rise.
@@Starbat88
Yes there are lot more to learn
But American must accept it.
Goodbye