Watch this video's next part covering the ongoing Battle of Bakhmut on Nebula here: nebula.tv/videos/reallifelore-modern-conflicts-the-battle-of-bakhmut
Videos like this should NOT have to be almost an hour long…plus the enunciations of words is honestly cringy. It’s a reason why I’m starting to watch less of these videos.
There's a demographer, *Yi Fuxian,* who's said that revolutions primarily happens when you have a relatively large, young population, primarily around the age of 15-30 approximately. Russia has the opposite of that.
Yup, Putin knows what he's doing. Kill of the fighting age and indoctrinate the young and old then he can relax and not worry about any internal threats.
At least they’re able to change their minds. This video is an admission of being wrong and an attempt to correct it. Other geopolitical history channels have devolved into pure propaganda outlets.
He is just someone doing stuff based on what will give him more traffic and thus more ad revenue. He or their team are just spineless creatures. They can be neutral but their titles aren't because of clickbait. They only believe in money my friend. 😢
@@iliyasiliev9103 I always advice looking up information from multiple sources with different opinions on the matter and draw your own conclusions. That said, I found this video on my feed, where YT actually showed me at least 2 other videos (I think i saw 3, but might misremember) with titles suggesting that "Russia is collapsing" (one week long, 2nd not sure) - so it looks like some other creators think that people want to see bad news about Russia - which, similar to creators of articles cited in this video here, seems to be logical assumption. You are also not considering the fact that someone might change his opinion, with time more facts might become apparent, or there are generally things that are hard or even impossible to predict (like how fast Russia recovered their supply chain, how hard really Putin keeps his wealthy "friends" under his boots how China will act towards Russian Federation etc). Either case - multiple sources is always the best option.
Читая комментарии, понимаю как похожи люди, несмотря на то что живут в разных странах. Не зная в большенстве своем истории страны, не читая местных новостей, не побывав в этой стране люди невероятно уверены, что разбираются, что происходит в ней. Но прикольно почитать о стереотипах России от иностранцев)
Ты не представляешь, какие дегенераты живут в США! Эти ублюдки серьёзно считают, что невозможно жить без макдональдса и кока колы!)) И теперь после ухода всего этого дерьма из России, русские умрут с голоду, а Россия развалится)
Россия защищается. Россия борется с фашизмом и бандой мародерствующих убийц, желающих завоевать весь мир и править им. Россия - это маяк, который противостоит одностороннему правлению заокеанского гегемона и тем самым защищает не только свое существование, но и весь остальной мир. Кто бы противостоял этому, как не Россия-матушка. Слава России!
Дак для них это развлечение, эмоции, накал страстей, интриги и расследования 😂. А до реальности им дела нет, и на людей которые в Украине и в РФ живут им тоже похеру, как и похеру на то что они там думают, да и остальные "мелочи" их не будут волновать
I'm from India and your oil is certainly keeping things from going south here. I don't support your government at all but Russian people are very hardened so massive respect for that.
All this BS about "Russia/Putin falling" should be an eye-opener to most people. We're always being shown the absurd Russian propaganda, often without realizing how ridiculous our own propaganda really is.
Russia has humiliated itself and so have it's shills. I remember when all the pro-Russia fools were calling people hysterical for thinking Russia was going to invade Ukraine. And then it happened and they pretending like they never said it.
It’s insane how we went from the biggest drama in Europe a decade ago was the UK leaving the EU, or something along those lines. Now we are getting insane moments like these, and we are getting videos talking about “Will Russia Collapse?” or “What Will Happen after Russia Collapses?” The history books in a few years will be insane.
Future history books text: „Europe deindustrialized because it followed Usa‘s interests and russophobia. The beginning of the death of the former colonizers.“
Brexit was the dumbest thing my country has done *ever* in its long history. Impossible to prove, but I don't believe Russsia would have gone all in against Ukraine in Feb'22
Future history books text: Russia collapsed in 2014, Russia collapsed in 2020, Russia collapsed in 2021, Russia collapsed in 2022, Russia already collapsed but not yet collapsed, Russia collapsed but facist racist sexist antihomophobic abcxyz, Russia collapsed season II, Russia collapsed season III, Russia collapsed the prequel, Russia collapsed the prequel
Prigozhin spent months making videos complaining about losses, complete with images or videos of dead troops. One of his complaints was that supplies and proper equipment to Wagner was being throttled.
People need to realize that Russia is not Cuba, North Korea, or Iran. While those heavily sanctioned countries are small and weak, Russia is HUGE with a ton of resources and a well established industrial base. But more importantly the majority of Russians believe that the West poses a threat to them and are willing to make the sacrifices to make Russia strong and this to me is an important political victory for Putin that many Western politicians don't want to publicly acknowledge.
Russia has long shown itself capable of absorbing incredible amounts of suffering and deprivation. How? My theory is all the vodka. I am only half-joking.
That and murder, torture and rape is loved by all Ruzzies. At the beginning of the war, there were Ruzzies cheering on what happened in Bucha and the torture chambers. They can't live without inflicting horrors on themselves and others.
@@CarlosSpicyWang There's a saying in my language that translates to ''shared misery is less misery''. Russians want others to be as miserable as them so they feel less miserable. Instead of actually improving their country and removing their leaders, they prefer to attack others for having better lives.
No, Wagner did NOT "launch a full-scale rebellion against the Russian government." They launched a MUTINY against the Russian military and the Ministry of Defense, specifically. They've been at odds from the very beginning, and after lack of supplies led to high Wagner PMC deaths during the battle over Bakhmut, that's when Prigozhin launched a tirade against them. There was quite obviously a power struggle between them. Furthermore, the Ministry of Defense is close to Patriot PMC and Redut PMC, with Shoigu personally having links to the former.
Exactly, Prigozhin wanted to replace Shoigu and his corrupt idiot generals. No one else. Prigozhin was very loyal to Putin even if Putin didn't see it that way. PMC Wagner now cancelled is what Shoigu wanted so it now happening is clear evidence who actually killed Prigozhin, Shoigu himself.
Lets not forget that the EU is now importing oil from India, I don't think I need to explain where this Indian oil comes from and how idiotic it makes the whole situation.
as an indian its actually fuking funny as fuk watching eu poltician talk about why india is buying russian oil then they themselves buy the same russian oil with indian sticker on it from us pretending they dont know where it came from lmao
Its working though. It forces Russia to sell it's oil at a discount on the global market, India gets the profit instead of Russia. Russia has less money to buy missiles.
@@justinbourgeois4685 why subsidize India at all? If they are going to buy resold Russian oil then might as well buy it at the same prices India does, cutting out the middleman. Europe gets cheaper oil, Russia makes the same limited profits and India gets nothing. The current situation is just kabuki theater, and an expensive and farcical one at that.
@@darthmortus5702 Because India and China are friendly to Europe. But Russia is not. So the EU is trying the choke Russia income stream, to end the war. It is working.
It’s important to consider that the Wagner coup attempt wasn’t aimed at Putin, at least not directly. Prigozhin said during the coup that his only goal was to remove Shoigu and Gerasimov; he said that the “Tsar” was good.
It was all a Tactic by Putin. Putin never wanted the attacks to be on Bakhmut. He wanted to move from the East, focusin on the Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, while the main Trench Warfare would remain in Zapharozie. Bakhmut was an unnecesary front. Taking Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts basically would give all the Eastern Most regions of Ukraine under Russian control, making mobilization and re-supply far simpler, meaning their offensive would've most likely targeted on dividing Ukraine by the Dnieper River. But Prighozin got delusions of grandeur and wanted to attack from Bakhmut, this cut supplies to Zapharozie and Kherson Oblasts where were where the main of offensives of Ukraine were coming. Now Putin has decided to use the Wagner Group to create a Paramilitary in Belarus (specially since Poland is the only EU country that is open to actually send troops) so having them there is both a fear tactic as well as setting up a potentially worst case scenario. Lukashenko agreed to have the Wagner Group in Belarus, because i am sure Putin will try to have him to take a leadership role in the Wagner Group. A loyalist like Lukashenko would ensure Wagner Group would attack the targets that Putin believes are the ones that are necessary. Also Putin knows that this conflict is starting to become a 2nd Cold War, and China is still unwilling to join. So the Wagner Group is going to be used to spark conflicts in Africa, Asia and Latin America. Putin knows that the USA is still the most powerful nation in the world. The only way he can beat them is the same way the USA beat the USSR. Not by direct conflict, but by forcing them into conflicts that will gain them the hatred of the local population, and conflicts that devolve into Insurgency type of Wars. The USA has proven for the past 20 years, that they are not good at Insurgency Type of Wars. It only causes the people in those regions to resent them and hate them. Putin wants that hate to reach the point where they ditch the USA and EU entirely. This is why what the Republicans are planning with Mexico is incredibly concerning. Attacking the Cartels on Mexico is going to be a dumb move, just like how the USSR invaded Afghanistan. Putin knows this, he may be the President, but at his core he's still a KGB Agent. He knows how the USSR fell, and he knows those same tactics can be used by them as well. The conflict in the Sahel Region will destroy France both Economically and Energetically. Add the fact that France has allowed a huge influx of migrants from those same regions, and they will even spark resentment within France itself. Putin knows that a weak EU will force the USA to return to their role as the World's Police, but they no longer have the manpower to fulfill that role.
ABSOLUTELY FALSE! That’s the language you must use in communist countries! I’m from there, I know. Just like I knew day one Wagner was finished. Putin will never forgive a traitor, his only plan was to disarm him. Prigozhin absolutely attacked Putin. He knew that and Putin knew that. One just can’t say it publicly as not to panic the rest. Prigozhin, just like the rest, specially those who were as close to Putin knew that no decision was made without his approval and that everything that Wagner group was going through was on Putins orders. Nobody makes independent decisions there, this isn’t America.
Yeah, it's nice to see somebody who is not blindly saying that Russia is being crushed just to get views. I see those videos all the time since the war started.
Oddly refreshing to see a video that isn't titled something like "Why Russia WILL collapse in THREE DAYS". Important to look at things from a very grounded angle
Yeah it's refreshing to see a non biased coverage for once. Both sides for and against Russia are guilty of that. I just wanna know what is REALLY going on and not what MIGHT HAPPEN.
Specially because a lot the videos from this channel had a "collapse in THREE DAYS" vibe at some times, so it's good to know the information provided is changing as we know more things.
@@veden3383 What I’m implying is that Russia was never losing. Russia is a nuclear power with one of the strongeat armies on the planet. Anyone who srsly thought they were losing to the Ukrainians is delusional
@@itsnadaaaa They were losing, then they were resupplied by the well known freedom fighters: Xi JinFree, Kim Freeman, I don't know what he's called but from Iran. And many more.
The beginning of the video talking about people incorrectly predicting the end of Russia is funny when we’ve had multiple videos on this channel predicting that as well.
well the recent oil price increase, the lack of US support, and the good job Russian soldiers have done in building defenses ... all changed the picture
I grew up in Ukraine of the 90s, where there was no problem with russia and russians at all. And now seeing how two nations are destroying each other is very sad. Especially sad is how world media is treating it like some sports competition. Propaganda rules the world. Every political espablishment is as bad as each other. Simple people want peace.
@@Marlin123he called it "two nations", not his nation and russias. He doesn't even care that his homeland is being destroyed by foreign occupants. Even if his former homeland is reduced to rubble, he doesn't care. He now lives a comfortable life in the west while simultaneously bashing the west.
Still what's going on in egord's life is none of our business. It's already enough that we got propaganda all over the place and it takes a lot to find out where things truly stand. I know USA got some news media that BS things just as much as Russia. And I don't have much faith in specific figures knowing we got trouble in USA, partially or mainly caused by some of the people in Federal government. As for egord, only he knows if he truly feels anything for his home. But he definitely seems to dislike war.
Hello I am from Russia. I have known this channel for several years, I liked learning interesting facts about geography and history before. After some time, the author began to focus on politics, in particular the anti-Russian point of view. This really confused and upset me, not because I am a fan of Putin or the war - but because this point of view simply did not reflect the reality that I saw outside my window every day. Today I decided to watch it again, and I am pleased that the video at least contains more facts, although it is also imbued with a very one-sided view. But most of all I liked the comments - people at the same time believe that this video is sponsored by the Kremlin/West That's definitely a good sign😂
+, "ukraine should advance now despite possible losses", "it is to russia's advantage for the war to be protracted bloody and expensive" and they have these 2 sentences within the framework of "democratic europe"
There is a big difference between discussing the pros and cons of certain countries' geographic positions, an island full of snakes, or another island - "stuck" in the Stone Age, and discussing current politics, relationships between countries. In the end, politics can also be talked about in different ways. A dry summary of facts is one thing, and it’s quite another thing when the author or editor takes one of the sides. There is no need to be dramatic. @@tabascolovers
@@tabascoloverswhen we are living it… it sure is the politics. It will turn history some time later. Each country has its own history as well. Surprised? 😂
Soviet losses in Afghanistan were not catastrophic, and they had a fairly small force there at any time. But of course it cost at ton of money. But the continual arms race against the US along with the oil prices going down during the 1980s. Along with a stagnant economy that was mismanaged, was a tougher blow than the Afghan war ever were for the Soviets. That war have been heavily overblown as a reason for the collapse of the USSR.
Well the falling of the USSR had many reasons, but yes the trying to keep with the US' military budget with an economy many times smaller had a big role in this.
Wagner didn’t launch a coup and it wasn’t against Putin. Prigozhin wanted to rebel against Shoigu and Gerasimov, not the Russian government as a whole. Big difference there
So, it's been six months. Can we get a new video on the subject of 'Why Russia is collapsing', and six months later another video on the subject 'Why Russia is not collapsing'?
GDP is not a relevant metric to assess the health of economic structure. When you are at war, you produce a lot of ammunition, tanks and military goods that add to GDP but not to economy or society. GDP of the Soviet Union before the collapse was quite high, but over one-third of all production was military.
The US is going into that direction! 800+ bases all over the world that produce nothing. The moment the demand for US debt declines, the US deficit will kill the USA. Add to that the catastrophic infrastructure and the completely corrupted US gov that lives in a "La la land".
Aren't you the type of people that says billions given to Ukraine by the US will not affect it because the military industry is gonna get fat therefore, US too??? Why that doesn't apply to Russia?
It would be nice if you could put your used sources in the description. With a topic so much influeced by a lot of intrest groups it's good to know where the information that is presented came from.
you would be surprised by the amount of people that take youtube videos made to entertain as reputable journalism. lot of people take lazerpig seriously for example@@Vanceydress
Prigozhin rebelled not against the Russian government, but against two individuals: Defence Minister Shoigu and Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces Gerasimov. If you are in the know, then Prigozhin’s conflict with them began in Syria back in 2017.
@@paul.1337 Both of these guys are appointed by the president, that is, Putin. But they are often appointed out of some necessity. But these guys clearly do not shine with military leadership talents.
One does not start a mutiny to go from number 3 to number 2. There is no holding back in an armed coup, once you take up arms against your own government, you either go all the way or your life is over. Prigozhin flinched and got the latter.
Против правительства он восстал. Он воткнул нож в спину воюющей стране. Тварь он и предатель. И Бахмут этот захватывать не надо. Пригожин просто уничтожил своих бойцов ради собственного пиара и попытки устроить майдан в России
DM and CF are the direct subordinates of the president. Prigozhin going against them means going against the president and the people who elected him. It’s simple as that. The rest is meaningless blabber.
Ukraines population statistics are pretty misleading when they lost areas and people fled from the war. Reminds me of the old statistics joke, 'After interviewing 1000 players of Russian Roulette I can confidently say Russian Roulette is safer than the sport of Boxing since none of the players interviewed had suffered any ill effects.'
Anyone who runs at the first sign of war should be treated as a traitor in my personal opinion, but I guess I shouldn't just judge from my comfortable couch in Arizona lol
Russia also has massive food and steel production which allows them to be self sufficient in most categories especially since china which is the largest producer in the world still trades with them regularly
They're full of food resources but one of their first problems on the battle field was no rations for the soldiers. Some started muttanies beacause their food was stale or none at all.. 😂
Russia is useless at everything, they are going to be the fifth biggest economy in Europe in 2024 when Italy overtakes them with on average twice the population and the biggest land mass!?!
“They will not go away. We will not go away. We are doomed to live here together. And we have to choose whether to share this land, or to share the graveyard under it.”
Speaking about the "same military budgets", we should not forget that in Russia the salary is 3-4 times lower than in the EU/US. This means that the production of clothing, food, equipment will also be cheaper.
Food yes, but not clothing or equipment of which perhaps 90% are imported. Russia failed and continues to fail to manage domestic production of anything except home-grown food (so-called "импортозамещение", import replacement, has been a total failure). They have to import electronics, clothes, high-tech components and so on from abroad - and they buy them in dollars, which weakens the ruble and makes prices higher. Before the war, I once compared the prices in US and Russia for common goods out of interest, and while salaries/rent/food prices were at least 2 times higher in US, the price for iPhone or Playstation or any other consumer electronic in both countries were about the same, which means for Americans these things are vastly cheaper (since higher salaries) than for Russians. Most of Russians now exist below the poverty line (Russian economic authorities even had to change the definition of povery in order to change that and make it seem like things are OK) and are very vulnerable to any economic changes. This makes them susceptible to enlisting in Ukraine war as a cannon fodder from a purely practical standpoint ("if I die, at least my family will have the money to go on"), but it also makes them desperate since they have nothing to lose (more fuel for possible revolution) and it further strains the economy, since poor people are increasingly dependent on government handouts, do not contribute as much in taxes and are taking more and more credits from Russian banks which they have no hope of returning. This credit bubble is getting so bad some economists are already warning that it can collapse just like it did in the West in 2008. Bottom line: nothing is ever simple, but I would avoid the conclusions along the line of "Russian economy is doing fine because it didn't collapse yet" or "Russians love Putin just because they are", which some may draw from this video. There could happen some very drastic and sudden changes in the coming year.
@@Mir0v0iwdym, Russia produced a lot of its own equipment, they are a leader in weapons production for example... Russian economy is not doing fine, but they are at war and they are holding up very well for being in a war and sanctioned by half the world.
@@harryshuman9637 Well, already 1,500 years ago you have the first Eastern Slavic principalities. If by some chance there were already Christian faiths then, they would have been remembered in history. Thus, Russian history begins with the Holy Prince Vladimir Ryurikovich, Prince of Novgorod, who took over the "golden city of Kiev" from his brother, and then went to the Holy City of Constantinople, so that the Byzantine Emperor would send a multitude of clergy to "Baptize Russia". These are the 970s, 980s.. So the late 10th century. But it is known that were, centuries before that, only as pagans (polytheists) , lived on that territory for centuries before the Christianization of Russia, the Eastern Slavs, the ancestors of today's Russians (as well as Belarusians, as well as Malorussians, Russian: Малороссы, Ukrainian: Малороси, that is, today's Ukrainians)..
RLL 9 months ago: How the war in Ukraine is destroying Russia RLL Now: Why Russia isn't actually collapsing Every Russia based video you've made recently has been about how much of a trouble it's in and how it feels like they're losing the war and are about to collapse. Now all the sudden they aren't? Maybe dial down on the exaggerated and over sensational phrasing you constantly use in your descriptions of events.
RECOMMENDED PEOPLE TO LOVE YOUR CHILDREN AND THINK FOR YOUR CHILD'S SAFETY AND FUTURE. A year, local and school officials only have 1 or 2 propaganda sessions for students at school about knowledge and life skills on drug prevention and social evils (1 to 2 times a year). too little and cannot achieve the quality ) . ( Officials and Teachers must read and re-read the teaching lesson plan and guidelines and policies of the Government to remember the guidelines , policies and guidelines of the Government ) . I hope that the Party and State of Vietnam instruct the Youth Union Officers and Union members and the School to all work together to equip students with more life skills. I hope the Youth Union, local officials and the school, staff at the commune health station regularly work together to go to school to propagate more useful knowledge and equip students with life skills to students , students have knowledge of drowning prevention and drug prevention , prevention of social evils , propaganda about the law on traffic order and safety , propaganda to keep students away from the game of fainting online, propagandize for students to no longer fight, no school violence, regardless of region, propagate for students to say no to racism and color discrimination, propagate for students to live gender equality , pay more attention to sex education and safe sex for students (each year in Vietnam there are more than 300 thousand cases of abortion at school age "a very high number and very dangerous for students. students" (a lot of teachers are afraid of students and do not dare to equip students with safe sex knowledge, so the knowledge of students' sex safety is still lacking a lot, so teachers don't be afraid. but try to overcome the barrier of fear for the health and safety of our dear students). One day should be propagated at the School a month, education is substantive and in-depth. 20 days should propagate to the Youth Union members at the headquarters of the Commune Committee 1 day. People should boldly contribute ideas to the Officer. Only afraid that students lack useful knowledge and life skills, not too much. During summer vacation and when not at school, students have a lot of time at home to hang out with friends, so parents should equip their children with useful knowledge and life skills every day and remind When going out with friends , do not invite each other to fight , do not discriminate on the basis of race and color , are not allowed to use drugs , are not allowed to smoke marijuana , are not allowed to smoke ketamine , are not allowed to smoke Laughing ball, not smoking American weed, not playing online poker games, not playing soccer betting, not trusting groups for online lottery numbers, not playing lottery, not playing poker online, not allowed. play football betting (playing lotteries to play poker online, playing football betting is drinking alcohol for refreshment). do not invite each other to swim in the sea , do not go swimming in the river without an adult accompanying them . Parents should tell their children when going to school to listen to the teacher, not to be rebellious, if the rebelliousness is punished by the teacher, they must not scold the teacher. Students who are 14 or 15 years old are going to hit puberty, so parents should remind students that if they have feelings for boys and girls, they must know how to control themselves and if they cross the limit, wear condoms or take birth control pills. after sex " every year in Vietnam there are more than 300,000 cases of brain abortion at school age " a very high number and very dangerous for students " Parents also have to train and be strict with themselves so that they themselves do not get involved in social evils in order to educate their children so that their children do not get involved in social evils. Parents, when going to a parent meeting or a meeting in the neighborhood, please boldly contribute ideas to the School and to the Village or Commune Officials, don't wait until the water reaches your feet to jump "social evils in Vietnam as much as possible. increasing, so people should join hands with the School and the Officials to repel social evils" the bold contribution of parents is saving the lives of students, students and the future. Vietnam country . When the staff and the School, diligently dedicated teachers, are equipped with useful knowledge and life skills for students, students are saving the lives of students, students and for the future of the country. Therefore, when the staff and the School and the Youth Union members regularly equip students with useful knowledge and life skills, parents should appreciate the affection and dedication of the staff. School , Teachers and Youth Union members for students . The source of the video article comes from Vietnam to help people in other countries build their country. 🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳
@@fgfgsl-l1inah, industrial areas nowadays are better then ever, a lot of factories started working after 20-30 years of being abandoned because of the sanctions, people there now have a steady job and a purpose
Sometimes sanctions help Russian economy. For example, I can't go to from St. Petersburg to Finland to purchase some goods or spend my vacation, so I spend money locally and support local business. Also, sanctions hit people, who were initially against the war. This proves Putin's narrative about hostile western countries.
I wouldn't say The western countries were the hostile ones, when the sanctions were put in place after a military invasion started. That sounds peretty hostile to me
Only 5,000 members of Wagner marched with him. The main issue was that the Donbas has been legally codified as "Russian territory," and Wagner can not legally operate within Russian territory. The Russian MOD then told Wagner they would be dissolved into the Army, and Prigozhin lost his shit. Edit: Spelled Donbas wrong.
can you blame him? Watching your relatively capable small army you built get dissolved into a larger less competent mess is not something that most people would like.
We need to be aware how engineered what we are all fed as information, constantly, strategically and algorithmically. This is not going away and it would just get worse.
One thing that needs to be understood about the Wagner rebellion is that it didn't happen because how the war was going, but because the MoD (ministry of defense) ordered the dissolution of Wagner and the incorporation of it's equipment and troops to the Armed Forces. Prigozhin achieved his main goal, making Wagner survive, at least for now Edit: Prigozhin is NOT Wagner. Don't be so dramatic
Not really, taking into account all the Higher ranks of wagner are now dead including Prigozhin, the russian government will elect the next leader of wagner making it just an other branch of the Russian ministry of defense.
@@ixthebest8325 That's actually good. The main russian army have prooved thoroughly sub-par, Wagner will be much easier to deal with in Ukraine should Russia take over it's command.
@@captainharlock3998 That's a very optimstic perspective. In my opinion it was much better to have Prigozhin as a counter part of the russian government, but maybe you are right.
The problem is that both Russians and Ukrainians lie about what is happening on the ground. This naturally leads to all kinds of speculation from "Oh no Russia will disband, poor Vova!" to "The degenerative West decays!" Apart from not covering the topic, what would you suggest to do, to get the truth of what's happening on the ground?
Yeah I used to think that. But kyiv didn't fall in 3 days. And then they were pushed back, and then Kharkiv, and then Kherson. Then there was the Russian spring offensive, or lack of. The one tank in the May parade. Prighozhin talking shit about how Russia was doing in the war. And now the counter offensive making slow progress, and the media coverage I think has accepted that.
@@visible5000 The Russian government/military never actually claimed Kiev would fall in three days, that was actually an American general. Showing a bunch of podcasters saying it will be instant means nothing. And honestly Ukraine didn't push anyone back from the city, there wasn't any significant fighting to say they won anything. That giant Civ style stack of doom just sort of left. Putin, and I don't swear this is true, recently commented that the army leaving the area was part of a peace deal to end the war. Which Ukraine broke almost instantly. Also don't take what Prighozhin said too serious, he also said he was about the be completely out of ammo and abandoning the war literally the day before his troops took Bakhmut. His "20,000 KIA" numbers are also completely batshit insane, and he had nothing approaching that many men actually join his coup attempt (it was hundreds, not tens of thousands. Most of Wagner didn't participate). There are a lot of theories as to exactly why, from he's feeding his enemies disinformation to exaggerating for dramatic effect to he's a pathological liar, but he made a LOT of shit up.
@@visible5000 Russian officials didn't say Kyiv fall in 3 days. It's actually from a USA general, another western propaganda to make Russia looks stupid.
A lot of mistakes were made in this video. RealLifeLore called right now "The Second Phase of the Cold War" what happened at the end of that? Russia collapsed.
A lot of russian oil is now going to gulf states, and blended together to be sold as gulf oil to buyers across the world. On the comparison to WW1. The average assault in WW1 gained on average 900m of ground before counter attacks stopped them. In the current war, it's only 50m.
Modern weapons are just too good to attack against. You probably had a better chance charging across of smoked trench than you would across a modern battlefield.
As a Russian, i can say it''s the short version. It was 23 years of non-stop "Just you wait, Putin \ Russia is done" narrative. Imagine Trump Derangement Syndrome for 23 years. Just constant media hysteria.
Not exactly true. It depends on the type of war and beaurocracy. The US had low casualties compared to the Afghans and Vietnamese but lost both due to beaurocracy. Those weren't basic wars. The US was completely defensive in South Vietnam and was fighting a massive guerilla force in Afghanistan. The Russo Ukraine war is a simple invasion where both sides are organized militaries. Land and casualties are the best measure as Russia is relatively stable and so is Ukraine.
The point about the military casualties was the public's reaction to many wives and parents losing their spouses and sons to what could be perceived as a "senseless war." The surprising part is that it seems a majority of the public is unaffected and even content with the reparations the Putin regime is sending to military families.
@@SpeakerWiggin49 But why would it be considered "senseless war"? A lot of people inside Russia thinking that Putin is too soft and call for carpet bombings of ukrainians and other shit like that. That's amusing, but many think that Putin is somehow not a pro-western goon out of the 90s that he is. He only fights back because he was driven into a corner by shortsighted western politicians. Well, better that nothing I guess...
yeah it's very rare in warfare that a side loses because it runs out of manpower. This has been true for thousands of years. I don't know why this video brought that point up. Was a very odd video overall. If you want to understand what's going on in Russia, take the word of a russian rather than some random american youtube channel. The idea that russia would ever collapse is absurd, it didn't need a 50 minute video
The reason this war is happening is because the USA is telling China what happens when you Fck with other democracies. He includes australia, because australia is a MEGA trading partner with china. All the chinese steel was dug out of the ground in Australia, a ton of the copper, and even some coal.
The author says nonsense: Prigozhin did not rebel against the Russian government. He did not capture Rostov. It was an internal showdown between the military.
А как ещё назвать вооружённый мятеж против правительственных сил с вводом войск и танков в город и захватом административных зданий? Пригоженский мятеж действительно не позиционировал себя именно как антиправительственный, но это факт что "Вагнер", созданный Путиным и правительством, и обласканный пропагандой за время войны, выступил против армии государства где Путин верховный главнокомандующий и двинулся на Москву. Выглядела эта позиция с борьбой только против армейского командования очень абсурдно и закончилось соответствующе - с прямым признанием Путиным мятежа как попытки госпереворота и гибелью Пригожена.
The population of even 40 million before the war looks too optimistic. Most likely, now in Ukraine there are no more than 27-30 million "present" population. This means that Ukraine does not have any reserves, given that about 2 million people are now in various security structures, making it the most militarized nation in the world.
40 mil in February 2014 10 millions in Europe now. 7 million in Russia Crimea and donbass is around 5 million. New territories is also around 2 million
I still find it crazy that Prigozhin would put himself so much at risk in going on an internal private flight in Russia. I’m not saying that he wasn’t on that plane ,but there’s still a lot about it that just doesn’t make sense!
He was on that plain indeed, but what if he was already dead for some days, weeks before? They just staged his death in a fashionable manner and in their own convenient time.
@@laloelsalamanca For all we know they dumped Prigozhin’s body at the crash site after having staged the crash itself. The point is that one cannot believe anything Putin says without drawing upon independent verification - not that you’ll find much of that in Russia!
They probably had some of his family and told him to come back to Moscow or else. That’s one of the leading theories as to why he turned his forces away from Moscow. But who knows
Bro just gonna act like he wasn't one of the ones producing the hundreds of videos of hypothetical scenarios making it sound like it was everyone else ☠☠☠☠
I am an orphan, the state paid for my education in one of the best universities in my city, while I was studying, fully provided for me, I even had enough for a rented apartment. After graduation I had a choice between an apartment and a certificate for the purchase of housing, I chose an apartment, 42 square meters with good repair. the city of Yekaterinburg. That's how bad things are in Russia, sorry, but in what other country do they care about people in my situation?
True. In the US you're on your own. Especially where I'm from(California) if you can't make it you end up dead or homeless on the streets or just living in absolute squalor.
The oil production cut has more to do with decrease in global demand than the import of Russian oil to India and China. I'd imagine the Saudi loss of oil export to India & China would be more than compensated by their increased export to Europe at a higher price.
Don’t forget how many countries who are playing the EU for suckers by buying Russian oil, bringing it to their country then sending it to the EU for a premium. They are pretty much printing free money with this tactic. Is Biden ready to admit the sanctions on Russia have been a dismal failure yet?
Good follow-up to watching this video is Perun’s exceptional “Why Wartime Economies Don’t Collapse - Until They Do” as it covers why rosier looking economic figures don’t necessarily mean resilience in the face of wars as intense as the one being fought in Ukraine.
Perun is openly pro-Ukraine, which is why you have to listen to multiple neutral or pro-Russia sources to avoid getting misinformed by a narrow perspective.
Geopolitical "experts" calling out *this* as the end of Putin for the past quarter of a century are about as accurate as Gargamel was about the Smurfs.
Why did you wait for Russia to fall apart? I was born and live in Russia, my family and I have never had the thought that it would be bad in a foreign country. Until 2020, we actively traveled to different countries and loved to study the history and culture of different peoples. Reading the comments, it is bitter for me to understand that we went to you, left money in your country, and wished us harm. You need to be less exposed to propaganda, hate is slavery!
The Wagner Uprising was not staged by 20+ thousand men, but by 2-3 thousand. The rest stayed put. That’s why Prigoshin took the first straw to get out of it since he knew he couldn’t really storm Moskow.
Thing is, most of the Russian military and security forces stayed put as well. There were very few people actually willing and able to defend the government in Moscow had Prigozhin decided to press on. Of course it is likely that at the moment, Prigozhin was not aware of this. The whole uprising appeared to have been a bit of 'heat-of-the moment' decision so it all probably wasn't planned out too well and I doubt Prigozhin had great intelligence to act on.
@@jodofe4879 the problem is that the entire government fled moscow, and there was no point in storming it. Prigozhin really didn’t think through his uprising well, but one must understand that this is a poorly educated person who spent 10 years in prison for robbery, and then engaged in fast food. Putin gathers the most stupid around him so that they cannot create competition.
I watched the video thinking it was a 12 minute video and only 42 minutes in did I realize that i was watching a full long form documentary 😂 great stuff.
🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation: 00:00 📺 Video discusses the impact of Russia's actions in Ukraine. 00:28 💥 Wagner Group, a Russian private military company, rebelled against Russian government. 01:39 🚁 Armed rebellion led by Wagner Group resulted in capturing cities in Russia. 02:51 🌍 Global concern as Russia seemed to be heading toward civil war. 03:47 📈 Long history of predictions about Putin's regime ending. 07:05 👥 Putin maintains high public approval despite predictions of downfall. 10:03 🛫 Russian tourists continue to vacation abroad despite sanctions. 11:13 🛢️ Russia's power comes from vast oil and gas reserves. 18:00 ⛓️ Price cap sanctions limit Russian oil sales to world markets. 20:45 🌏 Russia redirects energy exports to Asia and Africa due to sanctions. 22:25 ⛽ Global oil war between the U.S. and Europe vs. Russia and Saudi Arabia due to oil production cuts. 23:21 🛢️ Russia selling oil and gas to neutral countries like China, India, and Turkey. 24:34 💰 Russia's defense spending increase, shifting towards a wartime economy. 25:45 🛠️ Russia's industrial output for war effort includes uniforms, weapons, and more. 26:55 💸 Russian soldiers' higher wages and payments to families of fallen soldiers. 27:38 📉 Russia running a historic deficit to sustain payments despite oil and gas revenue decrease. 28:18 🏦 Russia's low national debt compared to GDP, potential cracks in the economy. 32:00 🌍 Ukraine's demographic decline, labor force shortage, and worker migration. 34:44 🇷🇺 Russia's larger manpower compared to Ukraine, impact of worker mobilization. 37:04 💰 Ukraine's increased defense spending, dependence on foreign aid. 40:07 🇺🇦 Ukraine's financial challenges, need for post-war rebuilding funds. 42:11 💣 Ukrainian dependence on Western aid, potential shifts in U.S. policy. 43:07 🕊️ Russia's strategy: prolonging stalemate, financial pressures, public support. 44:31 🔴 Potential for instability in Russia due to war's impact on soldiers and economy. 45:11 📊 Ethnic composition impact on separatist movements in Russia's history. 45:53 🇷🇺 Russia's current ethnic composition emphasizes its nation-state status. 46:21 🔴 Areas with histories of separatism in Russia: Dagestan, Chechnya, Ingushetia. 47:03 💰 Possible factors for Russian economy decline: oil price collapse, casualties in Ukraine, sanctions. 47:46 🛢️ Wagner Rebellion launched despite favorable conditions. 48:27 ⚔️ Enormous battle for Bakmut, Ukraine, and its significance. 49:10 🌍 Historical importance of Bakmut battle for Europe's future. 50:07 💻 Nebula platform for exclusive content on modern conflicts. 51:04 🎥 Nebula classes for creators to learn and share expertise.
Prigozhin was loose cannon and I'm surprised it took that long to get rid of him. As for Russian economy, they inherited a Soviet era industry, which is primarily a heavy industry. Because it generates good revenue stream they continued in that direction. With sanctions now they have focus on import substitution. Therefore, just like in Soviet era, now again they have to rely on their own efforts and just like in Soviet era they will do just fine. With sanctions, the west is creating the new Russia and the result will not be what they wanted. Will they ever learn? It is clear as to what the Americans wanted with the sanctions: breaking the economic relations of the EU and Russia and they succeeded. But what did the Europeans get out of this ? From now and next 5 years the EU public will demand accounting. Watch the governments fall like dominoes.
Nah, the wrong political parties will be banned under the pretext of being far-right, sponsored by Russia or whatever other excuse is necessary. Look at how hard Germany is trying to ban AfD and how every other conservative party is smeared in shit by propqganda machines in every EU country. Not to mention that the EU executives are not even elected to begin with
I think showing oil imports in quantity rather than percentage would paint a cleaner picture as I suspect the import quantities might fluctuate from year to year
You're expecting too much from this guy. He paints the narrative he wants to paint. I'm not saying this as some "Russia supporter" (I'm not) I'm saying that as a disappointed former optimist about his channel. Every single video he twists stats to his own opinionated narrative and treats everything like a game of of EU4.
Even more so since Russias oil industry differs from most others in that they are often in regions where the oil difficult to extract due to being frozen or at least so viscous it has to be extracted through special means (freezing point for crude oil is -30 degree celsius). If the production has to be stopped in any way because there is no more storage capacity since export quantities dropped below their production capabilities restarting is gonna be quite difficult.
and he totally ignore uranium exports to US that match in value US help to Ukraine xd just a money spiral that corporation gain in expanse of human life
Yup. I think he’s just going for clicks now. Not sure if he’s hired others to do research for him also now, but it seems like he’s kind of phoning it in.
Both could be true. One doesn't exclude the other. At no point did he say that Ukraine taking back all its territory wouldn't destroy Russia. Edit: I do of course mean the current Russian regime.
- Either rival African country who is friendly with France or deposed dictator who is friendly with France complain about new dictator who is not friendly with France - France invades African country with new dictator, re-establishes order with now formerly deposed dictator, thus also pacifying rival African country - France gets diamonds and natural gas, business resumes as usual. Compare current Niger crisis with Azawad revolt and whatever happens in Central African Republic every other year.
I think that fact that N. Korea and Iran governments are still in power after decades of sanctions should prove they're not effective as a deterrent or penalty.
You are absolutely right. For the collapse, it is necessary to split society, and for this it was necessary to do everything so that Russians could start living better with the help of the EU and the United States, but instead of gifts to the people, they turned against the whole people, trying to destroy the country by doing badly to the entire population, which prompted them to take off rose-colored glasses and look at the wrong policy of the West, many saw that They want to harm us,but not the political leadership. It was a major miscalculation. President Putin was losing power, but Western countries did the opposite. And the people rallied around him again, as he saved the largest country from collapse. He succeeded and again gained the support of the population, only in an even larger percentage. I think, why did they use this particular variant of the split of society? Because in the USA it would have worked. Americans probably live better than us (let's miss many points), and if you take away from them what they are used to, it will immediately create a lot of problems for the government. Russians have not yet forgotten how it was after the collapse of the USSR, respectively, we are not yet used to bathing in luxury. Our whole life has been a struggle for existence. Everyone remembers how they starved some 30 years ago and now history has repeated itself. Only the leader in Russia is of a completely different material, it is a flint or a diamond of its kind. Standing under the pressure of the "civilized world". Let them remain savages for many, but with their own principles.
I hate it when people think they know the approval ratings in countries. As if collecting those stats wasn't so convoluted as to make any estimate laughable
as soon as a well dressed man walks up and asks you a question about your country, with something to record your answer, like a pen and paper or voice recorder, you gotta become the most patriotic version of yourself
Russia didn't invade in Georgia. In 7-8 august 2008 Georgia invade in South Ossetia and attak russian peeskeepers in this region. So Russia came and stop Mikhail Saakashvilli.
@@AlexanderBrown77 Jesus as God within the Christian belief of Trinity, also kills newborn children. 1 Samuel 15:3 Now go and smite Amalek and utterly destroy all that they have, and spare them not; but slay both man and woman, infant and suckling, ox and sheep, camel and ass. And that is not the only occasion in the Bible when God does that.
@@AlexanderBrown77Amen. However, this is an unnecessary response to this comment as it's *completely* unrelated to the topic at hand. There's no problem with you practicing your religion, preaching what you believe and whatever, but please do so in an appropriate place, thanks.
The approval rating figure from polls is almost meaningless. Due to the heavy repressions, people who oppose the government usually avoid answering this question when asked.
While true, I've listened to 538 discuss this. The polls are independent and scientific. They use psychology and carefully phrase the questions to assess approval or disapproval in ways people wouldn't think they'd get in trouble for. People put a lot of thought and man hours and testing for these.
That's right. In the year 21, during the parliamentary elections, a girl approached me and asked whom I would vote for. I replied that I would vote for the "Yabloko" party. Suddenly, a black van pulled up, and FSB agents grabbed me. Later, they took me to Lubyanka and executed me there. Such life in Russia.
7:15 these numbers mean nothing. It doesn't matter how independent the source is, most people will simply give you whatever response will get them in the least amount of trouble in a country where anything that can remotely be considered dissent will get you 15 years in a labor colony. The tiny sample size of these surveys alone should already raise suspicion, they have a lot of trouble finding people willing to respond to surveys in the first place because no one wants to do hard time for answering a phone call
It sounded like he was. I was really confused because he would usually be the first person to say that the poll wouldn’t be reliable; but just accepted it and moved on.
Довольно забавно наблюдать за тем, как подобные ему западные блогеры и горе аналитики. Абсолютно ничего не зная про Россию, переобуваются налету, и делают вид что так всё и задумано
This idea of Russian economy potentially collapsing... well, I don't see it happening. I work in a company which is involved in NPP construction: Russia is currently building a lot of NPPs for "friendly" countries. Of course, many locals are involved in those countries. Those are high-tech projects with a large margin. So, we don't really need as many people to run our economy, as someone might think. And, our domestic market is quite big. A lot of stuff and services we produce are consumed internally. It keeps economy going. Take residential construction, for example. It's prospering.
Housing markets usually boom before a crash as high interest rates and everything else goes up ppl can't afford it and never get caught up then there's a crash.
@@camerbotRussians have never known what it means to be rich or educated. Therefore, the whole world reads Dostoevsky and Tolstoy, uses the periodic table, which was created by Mendeleev. The first nuclear power plant in the world, the first man in space, the world's first lunar rover etc - all these are inventions of an "uneducated" nation 🤡
46:45 key point: those Caucasus republics are heavily subsidized. So for them to become independent is to lose their main source of income. And the rest of the Russia won't shed a tear if they'll leave.
They would likely just blast them into oblivion using drones and artillery, and try to settle in ethnic Russians with goodies like a low cost house or apartment. Something similar is being done with Mariupol.
Субсидируются не только кавказские республики. И наличие природных ресурсов не сделает другие регионы процветающими государствами, прежде все будут кровопролитные войны, потому что вопрос с территориальными границами до сих пор не решён даже внутри России
@@hj8750 жить на что будете? Зачем нам африка и мексика в одном флаконе? Уже сидите на пособии, не выделывайтесь. В театр ходите, литературу читайте, в камеди развлекайтесь- чем нибудь полезным займитесь. Вот смотри: кавказ ноет что нет работы, призжают, им дают работу- как у всех. Нет, гордый орёль выпячивает грудь - это не нравится, то не подходит.. у всех один итог: такси и халтура где поменьше шевелиться. 40 лет стажа- ни одного нормального работника вспомнить не могу, все с душком. Уже сидите не трепыхайтесь
Russia is a country that, over the 20th and 21st centuries, has suffered perhaps the most pain and loss, has participated in more wars than all other countries and still remains a strong country. I hope that soon the whole planet will calm down and peace will come.
Russia suffered the most? What about Belarus, Poland and Ukraine that each lost a way higher share of population in WW2 (25% & 20% & 20% respectively) What about China, which lost unimaginable numbers of people to its civil war? What about Afghanistan, which has been in continuous war & anarchy for over 30 years. What about North Korea, which has a way more repressive & regressive regime that even Stalin was back in the “Good Old Days”, to the point of being under continuous near famine for decades. What about the island countries in the Pacific like Micronesia, who are literally disappearing into the sea? What about the Baltic states, suffering under 50 years of military occupation directly after being the ‘background’ of Nazi-Sovjet not once but twice. Don’t get me wrong, the Russian people have had more then their fair share of tragedy. But they are far from the worst victims in this cruel world
I am very sceptical about any conclusions made based on official data comming from Russia or any other country that is known exporting propaganda. Ofcourse I'm not saying it is incorrect, but them trying to convince the world that sanctions are less effective than they are is definately something I'd do if I were them.
lol, you eat western propaganda everyday and saying "russian propaganda". I love that "russians only have shovels, they are out of rockets, they lost 300k" and other bs. you are brainwashed
Yeah you should be because the data is biased heavily towards the best estimates he could find and the very lowest figures for death tolls, he failed to mention the actual covid deaths and many other things that don't fit the narrative. This means the longevity of this video will be short lived when reality overtakes wishful thinking.
I live in Novosibirsk and everything is practically the same from before the war, to access some online services I need vpn but majority of them are still available, brands like Coca Cola and McDonald’s are still here just under a different name and we ain’t starving
Most westerners are too lazy to do independent research- they worship their TV and media industries "They can never lie to us" "They are world class standard"
Let´s be real McDonalds and Coca Cola were never that special in the first place, only reason their products are popular is because of brand recognition. Anyone can make burgers or put enough sugar into a drink it rots your teeth.
If you haven't noticed any changes - that doesn't mean that these changes haven't been made. Говорю тебе как человек, который также живет в РФ по определённым обстоятельствам.
What is truly insane is that the projected total cost of rebuilding the entire country of Ukraine after the war ends is still LESS MONEY than the cumulative wealth of the two richest men in the world. Makes you think
Meanwhile we in Western Europe are suffering from huge energy hikes.....massive increase in food prices and now huge hikes in interest rates doubling and even trebling our mortgages and rent!
Not much different in US. Cost of going grocery shopping has more than doubled. Mortgage rates went from sub 4% to 7.5% Remember when we shamed Elon Musk for not ending world hunger for 6 Billion dollars? Meanwhile, we send 75 Billion to Ukraine to more efficiently kill people like its a drop in a bucket.
Oo poor us europeans suffering. 20 holidays per year by the sea, nonstop in the mountains, new cars, electronic toys...and rich russians but 2/3 still do not have proper toilet😅
I laughed at people who said it is because USA wanted to sanction Russia. USA always thinks that they are the world's only consumer or something. Not to mention that Russia and Saudi Arabia are the biggest oil distributors in the world because they have lots and lots of it. We also use oil for a lot of other things beyond gasoline like products that we use are made from Oil as well and this does not include the fact that our electricity are generated by oil.
US propaganda about their Monopoly on Consumerism totally laughable, like they threaten China with protectionism and cuts of imports. China overtook more than 3/4 of Global trade and expanding. At the same time Wallmart and Amazon - US companies sell primarily imports from China within USA, Canada and globally. It's too late. US should never deal with State Capitalism countries like China, strengthening them, cause they are more efficient than US Corporate Capitalism. Now it is too late. Now US has to convert to State Capitalism model in order to compete with China and survive
The sanctions are aimed at ordinary people, not the country, waiting for us to rise up and overthrow Putin. Only it doesn’t work like that, but rather the opposite.
@@TheGrateful108The thing is, on a per person on average basis, the average person in the USA is likely at the top when it comes to consuming resources.
Let's be honest here: If a dictator puts out his "overwhelming positive reviews" of himself, it's a little suspect. Yeah, Saddam had a 99% approval rating.
Well it's hard to argue with Saddams reviews of himself when Iraq was doing better under him. Iraq is kind of a huge mess now with rampant corruption everywhere and wealth traveling out of the country. Dictators aren't good guys, but they are in charge of governments which are inherently evil. It's not like it's massively better when you put democratically elected and corporate/foreign owned sockpuppets in charge of said evil organization. It ends up being the same shit with the poor people becoming poorer and the corporations and oligarchs becoming richer. At least the dictator man can offer some stability through his iron fisted rule which could really help in some of these areas.
@@zhaunjuwait isn’t that the Putin puppet guy who’s there to make sure Chechnya doesn’t rebel again and beats protesters? Yeah, “real democracy” my ass. The only time approval ratings go up that much is during big events, like a national tragedy or a war. A great example would be approval of George bush skyrocketing after 9/11 terrorist attacks, or Zelenskyy right now because Ukraine’s in the middle of a massive war.
What was missed is actual cost for Russia to extract their oil and transport it. Not to mention loss of sales of refined products. It’s all about detail and I feel this was all missed and wrong conclusions drawn.
25:28 You said "Gifted Military aid" Every cent of military, financial and training aid sent by the US is LOANS under the "Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act of 2022". Much of what is sent by NATO and European countries is also loans.
@@rock3tcatU233 The light that russia is a 4th world economic power, yes. Russia is a joke, russians are dying in troves in Ukraine, they're pathetic genocidal fucks. Russia has gone back 30 years economically.
@@mitchellcouchman6589I think in order to keep sending money to Ukraine, the govenments need to convince general public that its worth it. Hence the propaganda. UKraine is not doing that well at all. I watch Weeb Union, who updates the situation on the battlefield based on ukrainian and russian battlefield footage and reports. Try him, you may see very different situation from what media tells us.
@@Serg-t1twho told you that there was no results? Educate yourself. Pro-soviet regime of Mohammad Najibullāh was holding until 1992 when drunk Yeltsin betrayed it and cut all military supplies. How long was holding pro-american regime after us forces withdrew?
@@Serg-t1t The communist government in Afghanistan ruled independently with very little foreign money for 3 years. They fell because USSR fell. It was not zero result. Soviet military in Afghan had immense success, nearly all rebels were driven out of the country or were brutally killed. Had the Americans supported the communist government even after USSR, they could have avoided tons of trouble. But of course enmity never dies even at the cost of your own. Afghanistan lost the last chance to be a beautiful good country that time.
@@Keshaw-ht3xkверно, сотрудничество этих двух стран могли бы принести очень много полезного и уничтожить террористов. Но куда бы не приходили русские для защиты граждан от террористов появлялось современное оружие от Америки. Откуда у террористов были стингеры? Которые начали сбивать наши вертолеты...
Putin popularity is under serious question and doubt. As some of that came from former USSR, And who has family members that still live in Russia I can tell you the conversation spoken in the kitchen are completely different to answers given to poles on the street.
Exactly. Demographers will tell you that you don't poll people who live in dictatorships because these people know no poll is truly anonymous. No intelligent person is going to say they don't support their government and risk jail time/ losing their job.
Exactly. They are just scared. Communism is evil and brutal, there is no free speech. As all left extreme ideas, socialism, communism, fascism and nationalsocialism, all the exact same thing disguised a little bit different (marxist or nationalist reason for exactly the same). As long as there is extreme leftism on earth, there will never be peace. Sadly after left extremisn there's religion also preventing peace... That also needs to go. Any system or country controlling the people like communist or islamist states will lead to war. Because they are all absolutist, they couldn't exist otherwise, and that is just waiting for a Putin to use that for himself and cause problems. Democracies, where free citizens have a say, don't start wars. Because the people are the ones always losing in war. Democracy isn't perfect, but the best possible and a peacekeeper. Preferentially direct democracy as in Switzerland, where the people vote on everything, though here too leftists started ignoring votes...
I'm not sure about the US, but in Argentina we have never heard about the possibility of Putin being ousted... When the Wagner group thing happened, we were betting how long it would progress before Prigozhin was shot down. Perhaps we are a lot more used to dynastic rulers and parties staying in government even when logic would dictate people should riot...
I think that most people in the US and Europe think that the war will only end when Putin dies. We aren’t sure how that will happen or if it will be natural causes, but I doubt anyone else would have the power to do what Putin is doing to quell internal rebellion.
Pero no percibes que los EEUU tienen una característica dinástica mucho mayor que Rusia? Desde su independencia el régimen estadounidense es lo mismo: la misma carta de constitución, los mismos dos partidos (que en verdad, trabajan para los mismos intereses) mientras Rusia ya pasó de una monarquía para un estado de economía más socialista, y ahora con mayores libertades para su burguesía local. Estoy intentando hacerte percibir lo cuanto somos influenciados por los medios y por las narrativas occidentales. Democracia, dictadura, libertad de expresión, todo eso son términos vacíos.
@@realperson6713wow you’re very educated on the reality of the US! But truly the US and russia are equally corrupt it would seem, just that the US is better at hiding it
I think predicted economic growth is premature. While I agree with the conclusion, the Russian Federation isn't primed for complete collapse, I think it is reasonable to expect financial issues. Russia has used foreign asset seizures and the international oil crisis to stave off bleeding.
One of MANY reasons we need to be taking renewable options more seriously, and why the west should've considered rationing if we were actually serious about the threat posed. Or, at minimum, active public efforts to reduce oil usage. But the public had no appetite for even that.
Yes it's hard to say what is really going in with the Russian economy or even the war in Ukraine as the two narratives are so far apart at times. My best guess is that the Russian economy can get by for the foreseeable future and that Ukraine can't win a war of attrition with Russia even with a lot of support from the West. So short of direct intervention by NATO, which carries other risks, it's not looking good and you have to wonder why Western countries pursued these policies to begin with. Russia can produce most of what it needs, can trade for what it doesn't, maybe it doesn't produce a good economy on paper but it can get by. Maybe the Western countries try to do another shutdown/lockdown of their economies going into the winter to get energy costs down, hearing something along those lines but have no idea how that would pan out or if will happen.
@Joesolo13 why should we? Ukraine is a country full of currupt racist nazis. They are not much better than Russians. Why should suffer for any of them.
Why shouldnt they, they have to recoup from all their bank account siezures. The govts that siezed russian accounts should be forced to make the western companies whole from asset seizures.
Correction or additions on some things in the video: Nord stream 2 was destroyed/damaged but Nord Stream 1 is still operational, India imported Oil from Russia as a middle man to then sell it off to Europe for profit, Russian oil was already selling cheaper than the 60 dollar price limit even before the war due to contract pricing so most of the revenue dip is from Natural Gas exports that would normally go to Europe Western Europe still buy Russian Oil and/or Gas but in much less units and higher prices than before and through "middle men" East European countries and India Japan and South Korea have increased imports of Russian Oil & Gas through the Sakhalin Pipeline Ukrainian civilians refugees not only left the country to go West to Europe but also East into Russia as some of them have friends and family there Due to less imports from Western Countries, Russia has replaced most of those imports with either goods from China or more locally made stuff
thank you for addressing all of this, I can confirm that we're having a lot more Chinese things everywhere, from clothes to cars - for example I've never heard of car brands like "Haval", "Chery", "Exeed" and others. Russia had became the biggest importer of Chinese cars, and we do import a lot of their clothing, electronics etc. Nord steam was most likely bombed, it's a terroristic act against crucial infrastructure, just like what Russia is doing in Ukraine. RLL didn't accentuate on this fact in the video, but it was an act of terrorism.
Also missing is the impact on Europe. Sanctions on Russian energy are hurting European industry and overall standard of living badly. Presuming the (incorrect) inference made in this video that Russia's plan is to wage an attrition war while it waits for Western aid to Ukraine to grind to a halt, then we should expect European aid to go down first.
ХВХАЭВХАХАЭА Ну а с чего она должна была рушится, лол? Мне так нравится как американские сми распространяют ложную информацию о стране, в которой сами никогда не были чтоб оценить.
I don't think you can take any surveys coming from a Russia seriously. If you can get arrested for holding an empty piece of paper or wearing blue and yellow sneakers, many people probaly think the same can happen if you answered "wrong" in the survey (even if it is supposedly independent)
As far as I know the surveys are generally quite reliable as the government also want to have access to good statistics to know whether the public needs some love or of they can continually be screwed over for other sources of power (military, secret service, oligarchs etc.) See Weak Strongmen for the phenomenon
Since the start of the war he was always leaning a bit west in his analysis, not that he was wrong but this is influecing the information he wants to underline.
Okay fr tho are we really trusting the IMF’s growth projections when all that data comes from ROSTAT with no independent verification on things like government spending, investment, and consumer spending? The only hard data we have is export/import data from their trading partners. Also how do we not address the recent collapse of the ruble to a penny on the dollar.
Much as I do like RealLifeLore, I think the situation is too fast moving for everything to be addressed and while I'm sure he does his best, it's quite obvious this was produced before the death of Prigozhin, and before the recent developments on the front lines.
Watch this video's next part covering the ongoing Battle of Bakhmut on Nebula here: nebula.tv/videos/reallifelore-modern-conflicts-the-battle-of-bakhmut
Hi
Congrats for 7 million. And thanks for the video, keep it up! 👍👍
Videos like this should NOT have to be almost an hour long…plus the enunciations of words is honestly cringy. It’s a reason why I’m starting to watch less of these videos.
@@BurningPixelz everyone get Nebula!
@@Labyrinth6000you crying about it is cringe.
There's a demographer, *Yi Fuxian,* who's said that revolutions primarily happens when you have a relatively large, young population, primarily around the age of 15-30 approximately. Russia has the opposite of that.
Boomerocracy
Yup, Putin knows what he's doing. Kill of the fighting age and indoctrinate the young and old then he can relax and not worry about any internal threats.
Mostly cause Russia keep killing off their young :(
@@MrRrusiiigerontocracy*
Cause Putin is sending youths to the meat grinder of Ukrain, right?
RealLifeLore 9 months ago: How War in Ukraine is Destroying Russia.
RealLifeLore now: Why Russia Isn't Actually Collapsing.
At least they’re able to change their minds. This video is an admission of being wrong and an attempt to correct it. Other geopolitical history channels have devolved into pure propaganda outlets.
Character development
RealLifeLore in 10 years: Good Evening Comrades!
Seems like Western Propaganda is crumbling like the Much Hyped Ukrainian Counter Offensive
Because dollar isn't everything Russia has. Time to think about that first.
In 2022, this guy said "Russia is collapsing" now I love how he changed side so fast
Edit: Aisha was 6
Such actors mostly say what ppl want to hear
He is just someone doing stuff based on what will give him more traffic and thus more ad revenue. He or their team are just spineless creatures. They can be neutral but their titles aren't because of clickbait. They only believe in money my friend. 😢
@@iliyasiliev9103 I always advice looking up information from multiple sources with different opinions on the matter and draw your own conclusions. That said, I found this video on my feed, where YT actually showed me at least 2 other videos (I think i saw 3, but might misremember) with titles suggesting that "Russia is collapsing" (one week long, 2nd not sure) - so it looks like some other creators think that people want to see bad news about Russia - which, similar to creators of articles cited in this video here, seems to be logical assumption.
You are also not considering the fact that someone might change his opinion, with time more facts might become apparent, or there are generally things that are hard or even impossible to predict (like how fast Russia recovered their supply chain, how hard really Putin keeps his wealthy "friends" under his boots how China will act towards Russian Federation etc).
Either case - multiple sources is always the best option.
almost like things change over time
He said Zelensky has a 91% support in Ukraine😂 Zelensky is not even considering re-election considering how low his popularity is.
Читая комментарии, понимаю как похожи люди, несмотря на то что живут в разных странах. Не зная в большенстве своем истории страны, не читая местных новостей, не побывав в этой стране люди невероятно уверены, что разбираются, что происходит в ней. Но прикольно почитать о стереотипах России от иностранцев)
Why's your name user-hv2uo6rh6k mister "real russian resident"
Ты не представляешь, какие дегенераты живут в США! Эти ублюдки серьёзно считают, что невозможно жить без макдональдса и кока колы!)) И теперь после ухода всего этого дерьма из России, русские умрут с голоду, а Россия развалится)
Россия защищается.
Россия борется с фашизмом и бандой мародерствующих убийц, желающих завоевать весь мир и править им.
Россия - это маяк, который противостоит одностороннему правлению заокеанского гегемона и тем самым защищает не только свое существование, но и весь остальной мир.
Кто бы противостоял этому, как не Россия-матушка.
Слава России!
Дак для них это развлечение, эмоции, накал страстей, интриги и расследования 😂. А до реальности им дела нет, и на людей которые в Украине и в РФ живут им тоже похеру, как и похеру на то что они там думают, да и остальные "мелочи" их не будут волновать
I'm from India and your oil is certainly keeping things from going south here. I don't support your government at all but Russian people are very hardened so massive respect for that.
All this BS about "Russia/Putin falling" should be an eye-opener to most people. We're always being shown the absurd Russian propaganda, often without realizing how ridiculous our own propaganda really is.
No, it’s very effective. Some Ukrainians are know that 80-90% Russians approve this war. Propaganda works when all people talk there words
Russia has been falling and has lost the war for nearly two years now
So many fact checks for this episode, I cannot even ....
@@pyropulseIXXIokay NATO bot
Russia has humiliated itself and so have it's shills. I remember when all the pro-Russia fools were calling people hysterical for thinking Russia was going to invade Ukraine. And then it happened and they pretending like they never said it.
It’s insane how we went from the biggest drama in Europe a decade ago was the UK leaving the EU, or something along those lines. Now we are getting insane moments like these, and we are getting videos talking about “Will Russia Collapse?” or “What Will Happen after Russia Collapses?” The history books in a few years will be insane.
What if West gonna collapse how's that for History books?
Future history books text: „Europe deindustrialized because it followed Usa‘s interests and russophobia. The beginning of the death of the former colonizers.“
Brexit was the dumbest thing my country has done *ever* in its long history.
Impossible to prove, but I don't believe Russsia would have gone all in against Ukraine in Feb'22
May you live in interesting times.
Future history books text: Russia collapsed in 2014, Russia collapsed in 2020, Russia collapsed in 2021, Russia collapsed in 2022, Russia already collapsed but not yet collapsed, Russia collapsed but facist racist sexist antihomophobic abcxyz, Russia collapsed season II, Russia collapsed season III, Russia collapsed the prequel, Russia collapsed the prequel
Prigozhin's uprising was not because of losses, but because of a personal conflict with Shoigu and ambitions to climb higher.
The narration on this video is too much.
Its like listening to a gadget salesman.
Take a breath, turn the volume down. Turn the quantity down.
personal conflict with Shoigu because of losses
Prigozhin spent months making videos complaining about losses, complete with images or videos of dead troops. One of his complaints was that supplies and proper equipment to Wagner was being throttled.
and he had a personal ego.
Well, nobody know why it happened, and since mr Prigozhin is recently "nullified" probably we'll never know what was the reason of this "performance"
People need to realize that Russia is not Cuba, North Korea, or Iran. While those heavily sanctioned countries are small and weak, Russia is HUGE with a ton of resources and a well established industrial base. But more importantly the majority of Russians believe that the West poses a threat to them and are willing to make the sacrifices to make Russia strong and this to me is an important political victory for Putin that many Western politicians don't want to publicly acknowledge.
"well established industrial base" a controversial statement, maybe true in the military branch, but definitely not in all critical areas.
@@fgfgsl-l1i its enough to have rocket space troops with the world's most advanced nuclear arsenal. Learn about Sarmat (Satan)..
@@fgfgsl-l1iчтобы иметь хорошую военную промышленность - надо иметь развитие во всех других областях. От образования до производства всего.
Aprove as russian who hate putin. Russian people don't see support
I am from Moscow and consider the West my friend, and the Russian government my enemy.
Russia has long shown itself capable of absorbing incredible amounts of suffering and deprivation. How? My theory is all the vodka. I am only half-joking.
Sanctions are hurting US/EU more than Russia
That and murder, torture and rape is loved by all Ruzzies. At the beginning of the war, there were Ruzzies cheering on what happened in Bucha and the torture chambers. They can't live without inflicting horrors on themselves and others.
@@CarlosSpicyWang No, not really. You're just over-generalizing the Russians and typing that they all love to kill. Typical anti-Russian behavior.
@@CarlosSpicyWang😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭😭 your self to sleep little baby
@@CarlosSpicyWang There's a saying in my language that translates to ''shared misery is less misery''. Russians want others to be as miserable as them so they feel less miserable. Instead of actually improving their country and removing their leaders, they prefer to attack others for having better lives.
The Wagner coup is like a textbook example of "If you're gonna go for the king, dont miss"
*aim
Sounds like a The Wire reference
He never challenged Putin. He had beef with his lieutenants.
Prigozhin wasn't aiming for the king. That's why the whole thing was designed to fail, no matter the details of the course of actions.
That was just an act. Prigozhin was not a mad man 😆 😆
No, Wagner did NOT "launch a full-scale rebellion against the Russian government." They launched a MUTINY against the Russian military and the Ministry of Defense, specifically. They've been at odds from the very beginning, and after lack of supplies led to high Wagner PMC deaths during the battle over Bakhmut, that's when Prigozhin launched a tirade against them. There was quite obviously a power struggle between them. Furthermore, the Ministry of Defense is close to Patriot PMC and Redut PMC, with Shoigu personally having links to the former.
Exactly, Prigozhin wanted to replace Shoigu and his corrupt idiot generals. No one else. Prigozhin was very loyal to Putin even if Putin didn't see it that way. PMC Wagner now cancelled is what Shoigu wanted so it now happening is clear evidence who actually killed Prigozhin, Shoigu himself.
PMC Redan
@@thethiamat8712 haha
It wasn't coup, mutiny or whatever else you wanted it to be, it was "march for justice" and it accomplished every single goal they set.
@@Mad_Dog_of_the_Regime it didn't achieve anything you clown,shoigu and grassimov are still in power and prighozin is in hell
Lets not forget that the EU is now importing oil from India, I don't think I need to explain where this Indian oil comes from and how idiotic it makes the whole situation.
as an indian its actually fuking funny as fuk watching eu poltician talk about why india is buying russian oil then they themselves buy the same russian oil with indian sticker on it from us pretending they dont know where it came from lmao
Its working though. It forces Russia to sell it's oil at a discount on the global market, India gets the profit instead of Russia. Russia has less money to buy missiles.
@@justinbourgeois4685 why subsidize India at all? If they are going to buy resold Russian oil then might as well buy it at the same prices India does, cutting out the middleman. Europe gets cheaper oil, Russia makes the same limited profits and India gets nothing. The current situation is just kabuki theater, and an expensive and farcical one at that.
@@darthmortus5702 Because India and China are friendly to Europe. But Russia is not. So the EU is trying the choke Russia income stream, to end the war. It is working.
@@darthmortus5702 Well Germany didn't blow up Northstream.
That one wasn't much of a choice. Overall I agree.
It’s important to consider that the Wagner coup attempt wasn’t aimed at Putin, at least not directly. Prigozhin said during the coup that his only goal was to remove Shoigu and Gerasimov; he said that the “Tsar” was good.
In a sense Putin was a sort of mediator between the Wagner group and Shoigu.
It was all a Tactic by Putin.
Putin never wanted the attacks to be on Bakhmut. He wanted to move from the East, focusin on the Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts, while the main Trench Warfare would remain in Zapharozie. Bakhmut was an unnecesary front.
Taking Kharkiv and Sumy Oblasts basically would give all the Eastern Most regions of Ukraine under Russian control, making mobilization and re-supply far simpler, meaning their offensive would've most likely targeted on dividing Ukraine by the Dnieper River.
But Prighozin got delusions of grandeur and wanted to attack from Bakhmut, this cut supplies to Zapharozie and Kherson Oblasts where were where the main of offensives of Ukraine were coming.
Now Putin has decided to use the Wagner Group to create a Paramilitary in Belarus (specially since Poland is the only EU country that is open to actually send troops) so having them there is both a fear tactic as well as setting up a potentially worst case scenario.
Lukashenko agreed to have the Wagner Group in Belarus, because i am sure Putin will try to have him to take a leadership role in the Wagner Group.
A loyalist like Lukashenko would ensure Wagner Group would attack the targets that Putin believes are the ones that are necessary.
Also Putin knows that this conflict is starting to become a 2nd Cold War, and China is still unwilling to join.
So the Wagner Group is going to be used to spark conflicts in Africa, Asia and Latin America.
Putin knows that the USA is still the most powerful nation in the world.
The only way he can beat them is the same way the USA beat the USSR.
Not by direct conflict, but by forcing them into conflicts that will gain them the hatred of the local population, and conflicts that devolve into Insurgency type of Wars.
The USA has proven for the past 20 years, that they are not good at Insurgency Type of Wars. It only causes the people in those regions to resent them and hate them.
Putin wants that hate to reach the point where they ditch the USA and EU entirely.
This is why what the Republicans are planning with Mexico is incredibly concerning.
Attacking the Cartels on Mexico is going to be a dumb move, just like how the USSR invaded Afghanistan.
Putin knows this, he may be the President, but at his core he's still a KGB Agent.
He knows how the USSR fell, and he knows those same tactics can be used by them as well.
The conflict in the Sahel Region will destroy France both Economically and Energetically. Add the fact that France has allowed a huge influx of migrants from those same regions, and they will even spark resentment within France itself.
Putin knows that a weak EU will force the USA to return to their role as the World's Police, but they no longer have the manpower to fulfill that role.
He also said Russia could have a new President in 48h
@@trifarianboi3043, well, it's more like "bro, I like you, but you've got to remove these jerks, or I'll have to take your place and do it myself"
ABSOLUTELY FALSE! That’s the language you must use in communist countries! I’m from there, I know. Just like I knew day one Wagner was finished. Putin will never forgive a traitor, his only plan was to disarm him. Prigozhin absolutely attacked Putin. He knew that and Putin knew that. One just can’t say it publicly as not to panic the rest. Prigozhin, just like the rest, specially those who were as close to Putin knew that no decision was made without his approval and that everything that Wagner group was going through was on Putins orders. Nobody makes independent decisions there, this isn’t America.
I really appreciate videos like this
Good
Yeah, it's nice to see somebody who is not blindly saying that Russia is being crushed just to get views. I see those videos all the time since the war started.
Why is it so repetitive? Take a shot every time he mentions the USA has given 60 billion in military aid.
@@One.Zero.One101 Because it is camouflaged Russian propaganda.
@@One.Zero.One101once? Twice? Did you even watch this video..?
Oddly refreshing to see a video that isn't titled something like "Why Russia WILL collapse in THREE DAYS". Important to look at things from a very grounded angle
I think ever westerner will now pretend they never said Russia would collapse...
Yeah it's refreshing to see a non biased coverage for once. Both sides for and against Russia are guilty of that. I just wanna know what is REALLY going on and not what MIGHT HAPPEN.
Specially because a lot the videos from this channel had a "collapse in THREE DAYS" vibe at some times, so it's good to know the information provided is changing as we know more things.
aka infographics, used to love that channel, hard to like it now
Rare W reallifelore
From “Russia is losing and collapsing” to “why Russia isn’t collapsing” LMAOO
Things change? What are you implying?
@@veden3383 What I’m implying is that Russia was never losing. Russia is a nuclear power with one of the strongeat armies on the planet. Anyone who srsly thought they were losing to the Ukrainians is delusional
@@itsnadaaaa They were losing, then they were resupplied by the well known freedom fighters: Xi JinFree, Kim Freeman, I don't know what he's called but from Iran. And many more.
Stupid question: what the hell does Russia want with Ukraine
@@itsnadaaaa One of the strongest armies can't defeat one of the poorest European countries for nearly 3 years
The beginning of the video talking about people incorrectly predicting the end of Russia is funny when we’ve had multiple videos on this channel predicting that as well.
Yes. I was surprised at this video.
Turning around gives more clicks.
@@dwightmanne reality forces even the most ignorant and wrong to the truth in the end.
well the recent oil price increase, the lack of US support, and the good job Russian soldiers have done in building defenses ... all changed the picture
@@eugenmalatov5470
Lack of US support? 65 billion is larger than the gdp of Panamá or Costa Rica. That amount of money went straight to Ukraine
I grew up in Ukraine of the 90s, where there was no problem with russia and russians at all. And now seeing how two nations are destroying each other is very sad. Especially sad is how world media is treating it like some sports competition. Propaganda rules the world. Every political espablishment is as bad as each other. Simple people want peace.
Quite a detached comment from reality, though it's easier to digest when you look at everything with the same vision.
@@Ollay245what vision?
egord's words are simple: war bad
@@Marlin123he called it "two nations", not his nation and russias. He doesn't even care that his homeland is being destroyed by foreign occupants. Even if his former homeland is reduced to rubble, he doesn't care. He now lives a comfortable life in the west while simultaneously bashing the west.
Still what's going on in egord's life is none of our business. It's already enough that we got propaganda all over the place and it takes a lot to find out where things truly stand. I know USA got some news media that BS things just as much as Russia. And I don't have much faith in specific figures knowing we got trouble in USA, partially or mainly caused by some of the people in Federal government.
As for egord, only he knows if he truly feels anything for his home. But he definitely seems to dislike war.
There's always been a problem with russians. Perhaps, soviet-russian propaganda has managed to create another image for you. Gross..
Hello I am from Russia. I have known this channel for several years, I liked learning interesting facts about geography and history before. After some time, the author began to focus on politics, in particular the anti-Russian point of view. This really confused and upset me, not because I am a fan of Putin or the war - but because this point of view simply did not reflect the reality that I saw outside my window every day.
Today I decided to watch it again, and I am pleased that the video at least contains more facts, although it is also imbued with a very one-sided view. But most of all I liked the comments - people at the same time believe that this video is sponsored by the Kremlin/West
That's definitely a good sign😂
It was "history and geography"when it's about some other countries but now it's suddenly "politics" when it's about your own country
+, "ukraine should advance now despite possible losses", "it is to russia's advantage for the war to be protracted bloody and expensive" and they have these 2 sentences within the framework of "democratic europe"
There is a big difference between discussing the pros and cons of certain countries' geographic positions, an island full of snakes, or another island - "stuck" in the Stone Age, and discussing current politics, relationships between countries.
In the end, politics can also be talked about in different ways. A dry summary of facts is one thing, and it’s quite another thing when the author or editor takes one of the sides.
There is no need to be dramatic. @@tabascolovers
@@tabascoloverswhen we are living it… it sure is the politics. It will turn history some time later. Each country has its own history as well. Surprised? 😂
😂😂😂 Russia and the Empire of Lies 😂😂
Soviet losses in Afghanistan were not catastrophic, and they had a fairly small force there at any time. But of course it cost at ton of money. But the continual arms race against the US along with the oil prices going down during the 1980s. Along with a stagnant economy that was mismanaged, was a tougher blow than the Afghan war ever were for the Soviets. That war have been heavily overblown as a reason for the collapse of the USSR.
Didn't oil drop down till almost nothing? That rekt them
Well the falling of the USSR had many reasons, but yes the trying to keep with the US' military budget with an economy many times smaller had a big role in this.
hyeah
We can't forget Chernobyl Disaster too. which might be a bigger factor in Soviet's collapse
@@danieln6700 So... to defeat the Russians, we need to do is save the environment?
Wagner didn’t launch a coup and it wasn’t against Putin. Prigozhin wanted to rebel against Shoigu and Gerasimov, not the Russian government as a whole. Big difference there
it doesn't matter kid.
@@kjererrrt2381 Definitely does
@@benmm01 that was a grave crime they committed. you don't knoe shit about that shit.
The frog fucked a viper
@@benmm01 Still a traitor, just like you.
Regardless on how you feel about the man, no one can deny Prigozhin did finally get that ammo he wanted
@AdolfRainbowSo is Prigozhen😬
Cold😂😂
😂😂 Dark
Nice one))
😅😅😅😅😅😅
So, it's been six months. Can we get a new video on the subject of 'Why Russia is collapsing', and six months later another video on the subject 'Why Russia is not collapsing'?
Idk let's wait 10 or 20 years how this war effect them
GDP is not a relevant metric to assess the health of economic structure. When you are at war, you produce a lot of ammunition, tanks and military goods that add to GDP but not to economy or society. GDP of the Soviet Union before the collapse was quite high, but over one-third of all production was military.
Tis why you must look into PPP GDP and not Nominal GDP
War literally brought the United States out of the great depression.
The US is going into that direction! 800+ bases all over the world that produce nothing.
The moment the demand for US debt declines, the US deficit will kill the USA. Add to that the catastrophic infrastructure and the completely corrupted US gov that lives in a "La la land".
He always goes for average per capita which is as close as it gets to reality
Aren't you the type of people that says billions given to Ukraine by the US will not affect it because the military industry is gonna get fat therefore, US too??? Why that doesn't apply to Russia?
It would be nice if you could put your used sources in the description. With a topic so much influeced by a lot of intrest groups it's good to know where the information that is presented came from.
@@Runeboi69
Source "Trust me bro"
@@mironov151
Come on buddy. It's a youtube channel. It isn't serious investigative journalism by a reputable journalist. No need to take it seriously.
you would be surprised by the amount of people that take youtube videos made to entertain as reputable journalism. lot of people take lazerpig seriously for example@@Vanceydress
UA-cam feed be like:
1. RUSSIA AT THE EDGE OF COLLAPSE
2. Why Russia isn't actually collapsing
So true.
Nazi Germany was not collapsing until it was.
cause the first point is what the political elite of the USA and the EU wants, and the second is the truth of the current days
It's based on your Google and UA-cam search history, its on you lol. I get true crime documentaries and debates, and this.
Number 1 is by NATO bots.
А теперь опустимся в комментарии и почитаем мнение экспертов)
из 6б класса ))
Ну давай экспЭрд, бухти.
Heh!
Prigozhin rebelled not against the Russian government, but against two individuals: Defence Minister Shoigu and Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces Gerasimov. If you are in the know, then Prigozhin’s conflict with them began in Syria back in 2017.
@@paul.1337 Both of these guys are appointed by the president, that is, Putin. But they are often appointed out of some necessity. But these guys clearly do not shine with military leadership talents.
One does not start a mutiny to go from number 3 to number 2. There is no holding back in an armed coup, once you take up arms against your own government, you either go all the way or your life is over. Prigozhin flinched and got the latter.
Против правительства он восстал. Он воткнул нож в спину воюющей стране. Тварь он и предатель. И Бахмут этот захватывать не надо. Пригожин просто уничтожил своих бойцов ради собственного пиара и попытки устроить майдан в России
DM and CF are the direct subordinates of the president. Prigozhin going against them means going against the president and the people who elected him. It’s simple as that. The rest is meaningless blabber.
Prigozhin is Putin’s friend and will be allowed to run for election in 2024!!
Ukraines population statistics are pretty misleading when they lost areas and people fled from the war. Reminds me of the old statistics joke, 'After interviewing 1000 players of Russian Roulette I can confidently say Russian Roulette is safer than the sport of Boxing since none of the players interviewed had suffered any ill effects.'
That's the point... they are no longer part of Ukraine, or contributing to the Ukrainian economy.
Yeah but if you’ve lost them from losing territory and then fleeing the country, that means they aren’t in the economy or able to go for the military
Do you think those 1000 men were lying?
@@lucakrokrowinkel9576 so you think those that lost the game dont count towards the safety of the game?
Anyone who runs at the first sign of war should be treated as a traitor in my personal opinion, but I guess I shouldn't just judge from my comfortable couch in Arizona lol
Russia also has massive food and steel production which allows them to be self sufficient in most categories especially since china which is the largest producer in the world still trades with them regularly
They're full of food resources but one of their first problems on the battle field was no rations for the soldiers. Some started muttanies beacause their food was stale or none at all.. 😂
@@thebookdetect1vecope harder
If they're so good at producing food, why are they trying to seize a breadbasket?
@@robertrockwell8995 Remove the main competitor, how do you like this plan?
Russia is useless at everything, they are going to be the fifth biggest economy in Europe in 2024 when Italy overtakes them with on average twice the population and the biggest land mass!?!
“They will not go away. We will not go away. We are doomed to live here together. And we have to choose whether to share this land, or to share the graveyard under it.”
Hi! Can you tell, please, hwo said that?
@@pavel8485 don't know man, i've heard it in some interview. His name as i recall was Rami Elhanan
@@pavel8485 it was "5 things" podcast.
Speaking about the "same military budgets", we should not forget that in Russia the salary is 3-4 times lower than in the EU/US. This means that the production of clothing, food, equipment will also be cheaper.
I mean no one in Germany would fight in a war for a 1.740$ salary
Food yes, but not clothing or equipment of which perhaps 90% are imported. Russia failed and continues to fail to manage domestic production of anything except home-grown food (so-called "импортозамещение", import replacement, has been a total failure). They have to import electronics, clothes, high-tech components and so on from abroad - and they buy them in dollars, which weakens the ruble and makes prices higher.
Before the war, I once compared the prices in US and Russia for common goods out of interest, and while salaries/rent/food prices were at least 2 times higher in US, the price for iPhone or Playstation or any other consumer electronic in both countries were about the same, which means for Americans these things are vastly cheaper (since higher salaries) than for Russians.
Most of Russians now exist below the poverty line (Russian economic authorities even had to change the definition of povery in order to change that and make it seem like things are OK) and are very vulnerable to any economic changes. This makes them susceptible to enlisting in Ukraine war as a cannon fodder from a purely practical standpoint ("if I die, at least my family will have the money to go on"), but it also makes them desperate since they have nothing to lose (more fuel for possible revolution) and it further strains the economy, since poor people are increasingly dependent on government handouts, do not contribute as much in taxes and are taking more and more credits from Russian banks which they have no hope of returning. This credit bubble is getting so bad some economists are already warning that it can collapse just like it did in the West in 2008.
Bottom line: nothing is ever simple, but I would avoid the conclusions along the line of "Russian economy is doing fine because it didn't collapse yet" or "Russians love Putin just because they are", which some may draw from this video. There could happen some very drastic and sudden changes in the coming year.
@@Mir0v0iwdym, Russia produced a lot of its own equipment, they are a leader in weapons production for example...
Russian economy is not doing fine, but they are at war and they are holding up very well for being in a war and sanctioned by half the world.
@@Mir0v0i ты ври, ври, да не завирайся. :) Придумывают, блин, аж удивительно, как мы тут живём. В нищете, в отчаянии, без надежды. :D
@@olcankanicok9125 Say that to the French Foreign Legion....
Russia for the last two thousand years: “That’s my secret, I’m always collapsing”
two thousand years ... maybe you meant two houndred? ... and still wrong
Nope, he isn't. Read the history. They change the name but never fully collapse
@@Andrew-qu5bqDude, 2000 years ago Russian territory barely had any civilization at all. Just a few dispersed tribes.
@@harryshuman9637 Well, already 1,500 years ago you have the first Eastern Slavic principalities. If by some chance there were already Christian faiths then, they would have been remembered in history. Thus, Russian history begins with the Holy Prince Vladimir Ryurikovich, Prince of Novgorod, who took over the "golden city of Kiev" from his brother, and then went to the Holy City of Constantinople, so that the Byzantine Emperor would send a multitude of clergy to "Baptize Russia". These are the 970s, 980s.. So the late 10th century. But it is known that were, centuries before that, only as pagans (polytheists) , lived on that territory for centuries before the Christianization of Russia, the Eastern Slavs, the ancestors of today's Russians (as well as Belarusians, as well as Malorussians, Russian: Малороссы, Ukrainian: Малороси, that is, today's Ukrainians)..
@@ilijaspasojevic7031 But we aren't talking about 1500 year ago, or 970s... we are talking about 2000 years ago here.
RLL 9 months ago: How the war in Ukraine is destroying Russia
RLL Now: Why Russia isn't actually collapsing
Every Russia based video you've made recently has been about how much of a trouble it's in and how it feels like they're losing the war and are about to collapse. Now all the sudden they aren't? Maybe dial down on the exaggerated and over sensational phrasing you constantly use in your descriptions of events.
his sponsores said to change agenda, this is how western propaganda works. you can see other media changing its narrative too simultaneously.
RLL in 9 months: Why Russia has collapsed
Perfect reply 😅 paid one ☝️
😂
RECOMMENDED PEOPLE TO LOVE YOUR CHILDREN AND THINK FOR YOUR CHILD'S SAFETY AND FUTURE.
A year, local and school officials only have 1 or 2 propaganda sessions for students at school about knowledge and life skills on drug prevention and social evils (1 to 2 times a year). too little and cannot achieve the quality ) . ( Officials and Teachers must read and re-read the teaching lesson plan and guidelines and policies of the Government to remember the guidelines , policies and guidelines of the Government ) .
I hope that the Party and State of Vietnam instruct the Youth Union Officers and Union members and the School to all work together to equip students with more life skills.
I hope the Youth Union, local officials and the school, staff at the commune health station regularly work together to go to school to propagate more useful knowledge and equip students with life skills to students , students have knowledge of drowning prevention and drug prevention , prevention of social evils , propaganda about the law on traffic order and safety , propaganda to keep students away from the game of fainting online, propagandize for students to no longer fight, no school violence, regardless of region, propagate for students to say no to racism and color discrimination, propagate for students to live gender equality , pay more attention to sex education and safe sex for students (each year in Vietnam there are more than 300 thousand cases of abortion at school age "a very high number and very dangerous for students. students" (a lot of teachers are afraid of students and do not dare to equip students with safe sex knowledge, so the knowledge of students' sex safety is still lacking a lot, so teachers don't be afraid. but try to overcome the barrier of fear for the health and safety of our dear students). One day should be propagated at the School a month, education is substantive and in-depth. 20 days should propagate to the Youth Union members at the headquarters of the Commune Committee 1 day. People should boldly contribute ideas to the Officer. Only afraid that students lack useful knowledge and life skills, not too much.
During summer vacation and when not at school, students have a lot of time at home to hang out with friends, so parents should equip their children with useful knowledge and life skills every day and remind When going out with friends , do not invite each other to fight , do not discriminate on the basis of race and color , are not allowed to use drugs , are not allowed to smoke marijuana , are not allowed to smoke ketamine , are not allowed to smoke Laughing ball, not smoking American weed, not playing online poker games, not playing soccer betting, not trusting groups for online lottery numbers, not playing lottery, not playing poker online, not allowed. play football betting (playing lotteries to play poker online, playing football betting is drinking alcohol for refreshment). do not invite each other to swim in the sea , do not go swimming in the river without an adult accompanying them . Parents should tell their children when going to school to listen to the teacher, not to be rebellious, if the rebelliousness is punished by the teacher, they must not scold the teacher. Students who are 14 or 15 years old are going to hit puberty, so parents should remind students that if they have feelings for boys and girls, they must know how to control themselves and if they cross the limit, wear condoms or take birth control pills. after sex " every year in Vietnam there are more than 300,000 cases of brain abortion at school age " a very high number and very dangerous for students "
Parents also have to train and be strict with themselves so that they themselves do not get involved in social evils in order to educate their children so that their children do not get involved in social evils.
Parents, when going to a parent meeting or a meeting in the neighborhood, please boldly contribute ideas to the School and to the Village or Commune Officials, don't wait until the water reaches your feet to jump "social evils in Vietnam as much as possible. increasing, so people should join hands with the School and the Officials to repel social evils" the bold contribution of parents is saving the lives of students, students and the future. Vietnam country .
When the staff and the School, diligently dedicated teachers, are equipped with useful knowledge and life skills for students, students are saving the lives of students, students and for the future of the country. Therefore, when the staff and the School and the Youth Union members regularly equip students with useful knowledge and life skills, parents should appreciate the affection and dedication of the staff. School , Teachers and Youth Union members for students .
The source of the video article comes from Vietnam to help people in other countries build their country.
🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳🇻🇳
I travelled in Russia last week and it's thriving
lol
I don't think you've traveled to industrial areas
@@fgfgsl-l1inah, industrial areas nowadays are better then ever, a lot of factories started working after 20-30 years of being abandoned because of the sanctions, people there now have a steady job and a purpose
We didn't, I can say. 40% inflation.
7,42%, lol@@Энгримарин
Sometimes sanctions help Russian economy. For example, I can't go to from St. Petersburg to Finland to purchase some goods or spend my vacation, so I spend money locally and support local business.
Also, sanctions hit people, who were initially against the war. This proves Putin's narrative about hostile western countries.
I wouldn't say The western countries were the hostile ones, when the sanctions were put in place after a military invasion started. That sounds peretty hostile to me
Only 5,000 members of Wagner marched with him. The main issue was that the Donbas has been legally codified as "Russian territory," and Wagner can not legally operate within Russian territory. The Russian MOD then told Wagner they would be dissolved into the Army, and Prigozhin lost his shit.
Edit: Spelled Donbas wrong.
Lost his shit? He'll lose his life!
@@terencechaiwat6750he is talking about what was leading to him turning on kreml
@@terencechaiwat6750 You think he's alive?
can you blame him? Watching your relatively capable small army you built get dissolved into a larger less competent mess is not something that most people would like.
@@terencechaiwat6750he's already dead. He passed in what is reported as Plane crash just north of Moscow that killed all on board.
We need to be aware how engineered what we are all fed as information, constantly, strategically and algorithmically. This is not going away and it would just get worse.
100% agree, you gotta treat the internet with 3 grains of salt
One thing that needs to be understood about the Wagner rebellion is that it didn't happen because how the war was going, but because the MoD (ministry of defense) ordered the dissolution of Wagner and the incorporation of it's equipment and troops to the Armed Forces. Prigozhin achieved his main goal, making Wagner survive, at least for now
Edit: Prigozhin is NOT Wagner. Don't be so dramatic
Prigozhin is dead.
Not really, taking into account all the Higher ranks of wagner are now dead including Prigozhin, the russian government will elect the next leader of wagner making it just an other branch of the Russian ministry of defense.
@@ixthebest8325 That's actually good. The main russian army have prooved thoroughly sub-par, Wagner will be much easier to deal with in Ukraine should Russia take over it's command.
hes dead. wagner is screwed.
@@captainharlock3998 That's a very optimstic perspective. In my opinion it was much better to have Prigozhin as a counter part of the russian government, but maybe you are right.
A lot of the traditional media coverage around the war has felt based on wishful thinking rather than on what's actually happening on the ground.
The problem is that both Russians and Ukrainians lie about what is happening on the ground. This naturally leads to all kinds of speculation from "Oh no Russia will disband, poor Vova!" to "The degenerative West decays!"
Apart from not covering the topic, what would you suggest to do, to get the truth of what's happening on the ground?
As opposed to the “Ukraine will fall in 24 hours” line they gave before the war.
Yeah I used to think that. But kyiv didn't fall in 3 days. And then they were pushed back, and then Kharkiv, and then Kherson. Then there was the Russian spring offensive, or lack of. The one tank in the May parade. Prighozhin talking shit about how Russia was doing in the war. And now the counter offensive making slow progress, and the media coverage I think has accepted that.
@@visible5000 The Russian government/military never actually claimed Kiev would fall in three days, that was actually an American general. Showing a bunch of podcasters saying it will be instant means nothing. And honestly Ukraine didn't push anyone back from the city, there wasn't any significant fighting to say they won anything. That giant Civ style stack of doom just sort of left. Putin, and I don't swear this is true, recently commented that the army leaving the area was part of a peace deal to end the war. Which Ukraine broke almost instantly. Also don't take what Prighozhin said too serious, he also said he was about the be completely out of ammo and abandoning the war literally the day before his troops took Bakhmut. His "20,000 KIA" numbers are also completely batshit insane, and he had nothing approaching that many men actually join his coup attempt (it was hundreds, not tens of thousands. Most of Wagner didn't participate). There are a lot of theories as to exactly why, from he's feeding his enemies disinformation to exaggerating for dramatic effect to he's a pathological liar, but he made a LOT of shit up.
@@visible5000 Russian officials didn't say Kyiv fall in 3 days. It's actually from a USA general, another western propaganda to make Russia looks stupid.
A mistake was made in the video: the Wagner group did not capture Voronezh, but simply passed by on the outskirts of the city.
A lot of mistakes were made in this video. RealLifeLore called right now "The Second Phase of the Cold War" what happened at the end of that? Russia collapsed.
And it's pronounced as "vorOnezh" and not "voronyEzh"
It's not a mistake. Bro is just not objective. Listen to how he call head of belaruss dictator
@@kuokkamdamha1691 Head of Belarussia is Dictator.
@@kuokkamdamha1691But the head of Belarus is literally a dictator...
A lot of russian oil is now going to gulf states, and blended together to be sold as gulf oil to buyers across the world. On the comparison to WW1. The average assault in WW1 gained on average 900m of ground before counter attacks stopped them. In the current war, it's only 50m.
Modern weapons are just too good to attack against. You probably had a better chance charging across of smoked trench than you would across a modern battlefield.
The sheer amount of "And before that" at like minute five or so, left me in awe. I actually thought it wouldn't end at all anymore 😅
Just wait till you see how many there are for climate change, they use to tell us the world was going to freeze over.
Basically, as author says, it literally ends at USSR times))
As a Russian, i can say it''s the short version.
It was 23 years of non-stop "Just you wait, Putin \ Russia is done" narrative.
Imagine Trump Derangement Syndrome for 23 years. Just constant media hysteria.
One could bring it all the way back to the October Revolution where people back then were most likely thinking “this is the end of Russia” as well.
@@GodfatherActualand before that it was Rasputin having so much influence at court
Casualty figures don't really translate to who wins or loses a war, just take a look at every war and you'll find numbers all over the place.
Not exactly true. It depends on the type of war and beaurocracy. The US had low casualties compared to the Afghans and Vietnamese but lost both due to beaurocracy. Those weren't basic wars. The US was completely defensive in South Vietnam and was fighting a massive guerilla force in Afghanistan. The Russo Ukraine war is a simple invasion where both sides are organized militaries. Land and casualties are the best measure as Russia is relatively stable and so is Ukraine.
@@vyros.3234 my point is to be cautious, every war is complicated and has a lot of factors. For all we know Russia could lose millions and still win
The point about the military casualties was the public's reaction to many wives and parents losing their spouses and sons to what could be perceived as a "senseless war." The surprising part is that it seems a majority of the public is unaffected and even content with the reparations the Putin regime is sending to military families.
@@SpeakerWiggin49 But why would it be considered "senseless war"? A lot of people inside Russia thinking that Putin is too soft and call for carpet bombings of ukrainians and other shit like that. That's amusing, but many think that Putin is somehow not a pro-western goon out of the 90s that he is. He only fights back because he was driven into a corner by shortsighted western politicians. Well, better that nothing I guess...
yeah it's very rare in warfare that a side loses because it runs out of manpower. This has been true for thousands of years. I don't know why this video brought that point up. Was a very odd video overall. If you want to understand what's going on in Russia, take the word of a russian rather than some random american youtube channel. The idea that russia would ever collapse is absurd, it didn't need a 50 minute video
I love how he sounds so surprised every time he says "The G7 plus AUSTRALIA"
My Friends And Zoidberg
@@fighter5583if any country is Zoidberg it’s the US, just look at your presidents. The last non-clown president George H W Bush
The reason this war is happening is because the USA is telling China what happens when you Fck with other democracies. He includes australia, because australia is a MEGA trading partner with china. All the chinese steel was dug out of the ground in Australia, a ton of the copper, and even some coal.
bro cant say G8
He means the 7 dwarfs plus zelensky who has Snow White
The author says nonsense: Prigozhin did not rebel against the Russian government. He did not capture Rostov. It was an internal showdown between the military.
А как ещё назвать вооружённый мятеж против правительственных сил с вводом войск и танков в город и захватом административных зданий?
Пригоженский мятеж действительно не позиционировал себя именно как антиправительственный, но это факт что "Вагнер", созданный Путиным и правительством, и обласканный пропагандой за время войны, выступил против армии государства где Путин верховный главнокомандующий и двинулся на Москву.
Выглядела эта позиция с борьбой только против армейского командования очень абсурдно и закончилось соответствующе - с прямым признанием Путиным мятежа как попытки госпереворота и гибелью Пригожена.
The population of even 40 million before the war looks too optimistic. Most likely, now in Ukraine there are no more than 27-30 million "present" population. This means that Ukraine does not have any reserves, given that about 2 million people are now in various security structures, making it the most militarized nation in the world.
Source?
40 mil in February 2014
10 millions in Europe now.
7 million in Russia
Crimea and donbass is around 5 million.
New territories is also around 2 million
@@stikulzon801 Ukraine never had census in 21st century. Their real population is unknown.
19 millions
I still find it crazy that Prigozhin would put himself so much at risk in going on an internal private flight in Russia. I’m not saying that he wasn’t on that plane ,but there’s still a lot about it that just doesn’t make sense!
He was on that plain indeed, but what if he was already dead for some days, weeks before? They just staged his death in a fashionable manner and in their own convenient time.
@@laloelsalamanca For all we know they dumped Prigozhin’s body at the crash site after having staged the crash itself. The point is that one cannot believe anything Putin says without drawing upon independent verification - not that you’ll find much of that in Russia!
They probably had some of his family and told him to come back to Moscow or else. That’s one of the leading theories as to why he turned his forces away from Moscow. But who knows
@@SBN89could be true
@@SBN89Family makes you vulnerable. He should have flown them to safety and then proceeded with the rebellion
Bro just gonna act like he wasn't one of the ones producing the hundreds of videos of hypothetical scenarios making it sound like it was everyone else ☠☠☠☠
I am an orphan, the state paid for my education in one of the best universities in my city, while I was studying, fully provided for me, I even had enough for a rented apartment. After graduation I had a choice between an apartment and a certificate for the purchase of housing, I chose an apartment, 42 square meters with good repair. the city of Yekaterinburg. That's how bad things are in Russia, sorry, but in what other country do they care about people in my situation?
Spotted a bot
Don't worry you will pay it back twenty fold in the next 50 years
@@arislanbekkosnazarov9644 🤡
@@KubaBublandzki Of course I pay taxes, thanks to the state I now have a good job and a good life, so it's investing in me and you're talking rubbish.
True. In the US you're on your own. Especially where I'm from(California) if you can't make it you end up dead or homeless on the streets or just living in absolute squalor.
The oil production cut has more to do with decrease in global demand than the import of Russian oil to India and China.
I'd imagine the Saudi loss of oil export to India & China would be more than compensated by their increased export to Europe at a higher price.
😂😂😂 шиш вас не не нефть❤слышали слово БРИКС и ОТКБ очень интересные страны туда входят почитайте на досуге 😂😅для общего развития будет полезно
@@mariauvarova5168 what is maria smoking
@@TU7OV Vodka. Lots of vodka.
Don’t forget how many countries who are playing the EU for suckers by buying Russian oil, bringing it to their country then sending it to the EU for a premium. They are pretty much printing free money with this tactic. Is Biden ready to admit the sanctions on Russia have been a dismal failure yet?
Also Saudi Arabia is buying Russian oil, stocking up.
Good follow-up to watching this video is Perun’s exceptional “Why Wartime Economies Don’t Collapse - Until They Do” as it covers why rosier looking economic figures don’t necessarily mean resilience in the face of wars as intense as the one being fought in Ukraine.
Bump for Perun.
GOD TIER PowerPoints. literally a highpoint of my week.
Russia is thriving regardless, you american clowns stay being gullible
Yes. Perun's willing to go into the details and explanations for why these things are happening, rather than just stating that they are.
Yes never watched with more interest hour-long power points.
And he even links all his sources he use
Perun is openly pro-Ukraine, which is why you have to listen to multiple neutral or pro-Russia sources to avoid getting misinformed by a narrow perspective.
Geopolitical "experts" calling out *this* as the end of Putin for the past quarter of a century are about as accurate as Gargamel was about the Smurfs.
gargamel?
@@LeraRiemann Yeah, derp. Dunno how that mixup happened.
Yeah everything is going great lmfbo
Putin will come to an end, he just might have to be wheeled out of the Kremlin on a gurney. But the experts will eventually be right :P
Да, ты прав. Интересно, много ли среди вас тех, кому не запудрили мозги "либеральной" чушью?😂
2 years ago you said it was the end of Russia.... Oh lord.... I was expecting this.
Why did you wait for Russia to fall apart? I was born and live in Russia, my family and I have never had the thought that it would be bad in a foreign country. Until 2020, we actively traveled to different countries and loved to study the history and culture of different peoples. Reading the comments, it is bitter for me to understand that we went to you, left money in your country, and wished us harm. You need to be less exposed to propaganda, hate is slavery!
The Wagner Uprising was not staged by 20+ thousand men, but by 2-3 thousand.
The rest stayed put. That’s why Prigoshin took the first straw to get out of it since he knew he couldn’t really storm Moskow.
Thing is, most of the Russian military and security forces stayed put as well. There were very few people actually willing and able to defend the government in Moscow had Prigozhin decided to press on. Of course it is likely that at the moment, Prigozhin was not aware of this. The whole uprising appeared to have been a bit of 'heat-of-the moment' decision so it all probably wasn't planned out too well and I doubt Prigozhin had great intelligence to act on.
blud really typed moskow instead of moscow
@@jodofe4879 the problem is that the entire government fled moscow, and there was no point in storming it.
Prigozhin really didn’t think through his uprising well, but one must understand that this is a poorly educated person who spent 10 years in prison for robbery, and then engaged in fast food. Putin gathers the most stupid around him so that they cannot create competition.
It merely a show to the west who funded it and were decieved follow the excess money which was sent during that time and it can't be accounted for
ебать, бро, ты че их считал что-ли?
I watched the video thinking it was a 12 minute video and only 42 minutes in did I realize that i was watching a full long form documentary 😂 great stuff.
Even though the video was 52 since I'm heavily interested in foreign policy it didn't feel that long.
@@Comeback180 yup, same for me
Definitely not great.
@@Comeback180calling it foreign policy is so lame. Just say you like to learn about the world grandpa
🎯 Key Takeaways for quick navigation:
00:00 📺 Video discusses the impact of Russia's actions in Ukraine.
00:28 💥 Wagner Group, a Russian private military company, rebelled against Russian government.
01:39 🚁 Armed rebellion led by Wagner Group resulted in capturing cities in Russia.
02:51 🌍 Global concern as Russia seemed to be heading toward civil war.
03:47 📈 Long history of predictions about Putin's regime ending.
07:05 👥 Putin maintains high public approval despite predictions of downfall.
10:03 🛫 Russian tourists continue to vacation abroad despite sanctions.
11:13 🛢️ Russia's power comes from vast oil and gas reserves.
18:00 ⛓️ Price cap sanctions limit Russian oil sales to world markets.
20:45 🌏 Russia redirects energy exports to Asia and Africa due to sanctions.
22:25 ⛽ Global oil war between the U.S. and Europe vs. Russia and Saudi Arabia due to oil production cuts.
23:21 🛢️ Russia selling oil and gas to neutral countries like China, India, and Turkey.
24:34 💰 Russia's defense spending increase, shifting towards a wartime economy.
25:45 🛠️ Russia's industrial output for war effort includes uniforms, weapons, and more.
26:55 💸 Russian soldiers' higher wages and payments to families of fallen soldiers.
27:38 📉 Russia running a historic deficit to sustain payments despite oil and gas revenue decrease.
28:18 🏦 Russia's low national debt compared to GDP, potential cracks in the economy.
32:00 🌍 Ukraine's demographic decline, labor force shortage, and worker migration.
34:44 🇷🇺 Russia's larger manpower compared to Ukraine, impact of worker mobilization.
37:04 💰 Ukraine's increased defense spending, dependence on foreign aid.
40:07 🇺🇦 Ukraine's financial challenges, need for post-war rebuilding funds.
42:11 💣 Ukrainian dependence on Western aid, potential shifts in U.S. policy.
43:07 🕊️ Russia's strategy: prolonging stalemate, financial pressures, public support.
44:31 🔴 Potential for instability in Russia due to war's impact on soldiers and economy.
45:11 📊 Ethnic composition impact on separatist movements in Russia's history.
45:53 🇷🇺 Russia's current ethnic composition emphasizes its nation-state status.
46:21 🔴 Areas with histories of separatism in Russia: Dagestan, Chechnya, Ingushetia.
47:03 💰 Possible factors for Russian economy decline: oil price collapse, casualties in Ukraine, sanctions.
47:46 🛢️ Wagner Rebellion launched despite favorable conditions.
48:27 ⚔️ Enormous battle for Bakmut, Ukraine, and its significance.
49:10 🌍 Historical importance of Bakmut battle for Europe's future.
50:07 💻 Nebula platform for exclusive content on modern conflicts.
51:04 🎥 Nebula classes for creators to learn and share expertise.
You da real MVP
Thank you bruh
👑
Dropped this friend.
Saved me an hour; thanks friend
Ty
Prigozhin was loose cannon and I'm surprised it took that long to get rid of him. As for Russian economy, they inherited a Soviet era industry, which is primarily a heavy industry. Because it generates good revenue stream they continued in that direction. With sanctions now they have focus on import substitution. Therefore, just like in Soviet era, now again they have to rely on their own efforts and just like in Soviet era they will do just fine. With sanctions, the west is creating the new Russia and the result will not be what they wanted. Will they ever learn?
It is clear as to what the Americans wanted with the sanctions: breaking the economic relations of the EU and Russia and they succeeded. But what did the Europeans get out of this ? From now and next 5 years the EU public will demand accounting. Watch the governments fall like dominoes.
Nah, the wrong political parties will be banned under the pretext of being far-right, sponsored by Russia or whatever other excuse is necessary. Look at how hard Germany is trying to ban AfD and how every other conservative party is smeared in shit by propqganda machines in every EU country. Not to mention that the EU executives are not even elected to begin with
Why do you want governments to fall logically it’s a better system for citizen choice (when done correctly)
We'll wait for 5 years to see if European Union Governments do fall. 😂
I think showing oil imports in quantity rather than percentage would paint a cleaner picture as I suspect the import quantities might fluctuate from year to year
You're expecting too much from this guy. He paints the narrative he wants to paint. I'm not saying this as some "Russia supporter" (I'm not) I'm saying that as a disappointed former optimist about his channel. Every single video he twists stats to his own opinionated narrative and treats everything like a game of of EU4.
Yes, because higher price per barrel might be negated by less barrels sold. And Russia is cutting production.
Even more so since Russias oil industry differs from most others in that they are often in regions where the oil difficult to extract due to being frozen or at least so viscous it has to be extracted through special means (freezing point for crude oil is -30 degree celsius).
If the production has to be stopped in any way because there is no more storage capacity since export quantities dropped below their production capabilities restarting is gonna be quite difficult.
and he totally ignore uranium exports to US that match in value US help to Ukraine xd just a money spiral that corporation gain in expanse of human life
@@MrValgardIt doesn't match in value, it's $1B/year
Didn’t this guy literally make a video talking about how Ukraine taking Crimea will “destroy” Russia? So which is it?
Yup. I think he’s just going for clicks now. Not sure if he’s hired others to do research for him also now, but it seems like he’s kind of phoning it in.
Both could be true. One doesn't exclude the other.
At no point did he say that Ukraine taking back all its territory wouldn't destroy Russia.
Edit: I do of course mean the current Russian regime.
Russia will start using Nukes before losing Crimea. Losing Crimea means death of Putin and he knows that.
Both are true and he never said otherwise. The world isn't black and white.
Just reading a script Poor ukrain soldiers Being slaughtered just check the graveyard s hospital s
Would love to see a RLL video on the current situation in Niger and it's geopolitical implications.
almost none
- Either rival African country who is friendly with France or deposed dictator who is friendly with France complain about new dictator who is not friendly with France
- France invades African country with new dictator, re-establishes order with now formerly deposed dictator, thus also pacifying rival African country
- France gets diamonds and natural gas, business resumes as usual. Compare current Niger crisis with Azawad revolt and whatever happens in Central African Republic every other year.
Absolutely! @RealLifeLore should.
its* not it's.
who cares
19% interest rate in Russia. Australia is struggling at 4% someone has it wrong
I think that fact that N. Korea and Iran governments are still in power after decades of sanctions should prove they're not effective as a deterrent or penalty.
I think it's pretty evident how the impact of those sanctions have had a immense negative effect on the countries developments
Тоже самое надо сделать с США , надеюсь это страна скоро рухнет и съест сама себя изнутри , своими извращенцами
And N.Korea is even sanctioned by China
North Korea is a extremely poor country with its citizens eating rocks to survive and basically only existing as a buffer state
You are absolutely right. For the collapse, it is necessary to split society, and for this it was necessary to do everything so that Russians could start living better with the help of the EU and the United States, but instead of gifts to the people, they turned against the whole people, trying to destroy the country by doing badly to the entire population, which prompted them to take off rose-colored glasses and look at the wrong policy of the West, many saw that They want to harm us,but not the political leadership. It was a major miscalculation. President Putin was losing power, but Western countries did the opposite. And the people rallied around him again, as he saved the largest country from collapse. He succeeded and again gained the support of the population, only in an even larger percentage. I think, why did they use this particular variant of the split of society? Because in the USA it would have worked. Americans probably live better than us (let's miss many points), and if you take away from them what they are used to, it will immediately create a lot of problems for the government. Russians have not yet forgotten how it was after the collapse of the USSR, respectively, we are not yet used to bathing in luxury. Our whole life has been a struggle for existence. Everyone remembers how they starved some 30 years ago and now history has repeated itself. Only the leader in Russia is of a completely different material, it is a flint or a diamond of its kind. Standing under the pressure of the "civilized world". Let them remain savages for many, but with their own principles.
I hate it when people think they know the approval ratings in countries. As if collecting those stats wasn't so convoluted as to make any estimate laughable
The approval rating in a dictatorship will always be 100% for obvious reasons. Russia is a dictatorship.
ㄹㅇㅋㅋ
You mean 100% of the people don't love putin.
as soon as a well dressed man walks up and asks you a question about your country, with something to record your answer, like a pen and paper or voice recorder, you gotta become the most patriotic version of yourself
@@wintergreen9949 Except they don't ask people, they see how people react on social media or in phone calls because they are watching.
Hearing all this economic stuff makes it clear that economic warfare is like a giant chess match
I mean the economic war has never stopped from the Cold war times
And Europe is paying for the war. Long Asia, Short Europe
@@LeadLeftLeonEurope is paying for the war while gas and oil are cheaper now than when the war started?
This is the kind of shit that you say makes people think you're an idiot.
Yup and the everyday people are the pawns
Russia didn't invade in Georgia. In 7-8 august 2008 Georgia invade in South Ossetia and attak russian peeskeepers in this region. So Russia came and stop Mikhail Saakashvilli.
Also to note the US did not ban the Russian Uranium since the US depends on it for its own energy needs
@@AlexanderBrown77
Jesus as God within the Christian belief of Trinity, also kills newborn children.
1 Samuel 15:3
Now go and smite Amalek and utterly destroy all that they have, and spare them not; but slay both man and woman, infant and suckling, ox and sheep, camel and ass.
And that is not the only occasion in the Bible when God does that.
@@AlexanderBrown77Amen. However, this is an unnecessary response to this comment as it's *completely* unrelated to the topic at hand. There's no problem with you practicing your religion, preaching what you believe and whatever, but please do so in an appropriate place, thanks.
@@SpaceWalkerReal ♥️
Proverbs 15 kJV
3 The eyes of the LORD are in every place, beholding the evil and the good.
That's called as double standard
Also to note that only less than 10% of western businesses actually left Russia. For the rest 90% it's business as usual.
The approval rating figure from polls is almost meaningless. Due to the heavy repressions, people who oppose the government usually avoid answering this question when asked.
In China yes, in Russia no. People do not fear free speech in Russia.
@@tryfreeforexsignalstoday are you joking?
While true, I've listened to 538 discuss this. The polls are independent and scientific. They use psychology and carefully phrase the questions to assess approval or disapproval in ways people wouldn't think they'd get in trouble for. People put a lot of thought and man hours and testing for these.
Most people refuse to answer polls in Russia.
That's right. In the year 21, during the parliamentary elections, a girl approached me and asked whom I would vote for. I replied that I would vote for the "Yabloko" party. Suddenly, a black van pulled up, and FSB agents grabbed me. Later, they took me to Lubyanka and executed me there. Such life in Russia.
7:15 these numbers mean nothing. It doesn't matter how independent the source is, most people will simply give you whatever response will get them in the least amount of trouble in a country where anything that can remotely be considered dissent will get you 15 years in a labor colony. The tiny sample size of these surveys alone should already raise suspicion, they have a lot of trouble finding people willing to respond to surveys in the first place because no one wants to do hard time for answering a phone call
As if he's really trying to say putin's approval rating its that high LOL
It sounded like he was. I was really confused because he would usually be the first person to say that the poll wouldn’t be reliable; but just accepted it and moved on.
@@skipdip
That's what he was trying to say. NIce try though.
Exactly. Given how much the state has cracked down on its citizens i would be surprised if his actual approval rating was over 50%.
Yeah I thought it was weird he reported that number like it was a given fact
Довольно забавно наблюдать за тем, как подобные ему западные блогеры и горе аналитики. Абсолютно ничего не зная про Россию, переобуваются налету, и делают вид что так всё и задумано
Nah we know russia never has a plan!
2 guys for ever 1 gun in wwll was their "plan"
@@anything.with.motors Bruh, cringe. Have you studied history on call of duty?
@@anything.with.motors этот бро изучает историю по голливудским фильмам
2 reasons
1. They grow their own food
2. They are energy independent
3. The video is incorrect. Russia is collapsing, its just happening very slowly.
@@johnmc3862well then i guess same goes for EU and USA
@@johnmc3862 Same thing is coming for the US and Europe.
@@johnmc3862EU is falling apart more. UK, France and Germany are all in or going into recession. Their are riots and protests about cost of living.
@@christophercharalambouseventually
This idea of Russian economy potentially collapsing... well, I don't see it happening. I work in a company which is involved in NPP construction: Russia is currently building a lot of NPPs for "friendly" countries. Of course, many locals are involved in those countries. Those are high-tech projects with a large margin. So, we don't really need as many people to run our economy, as someone might think. And, our domestic market is quite big. A lot of stuff and services we produce are consumed internally. It keeps economy going. Take residential construction, for example. It's prospering.
Housing markets usually boom before a crash as high interest rates and everything else goes up ppl can't afford it and never get caught up then there's a crash.
Its a soviet era technology entirely run my aging designers Russians never knew what it means to be rich or educated so no wonder you think like that
@@camerbot "Russians never knew what it means to be rich or educated" - this is the funniest joke I've ever read! 🤣🤣🤣
@@clio5138 @camerbot- просто тупой.
@@camerbotRussians have never known what it means to be rich or educated. Therefore, the whole world reads Dostoevsky and Tolstoy, uses the periodic table, which was created by Mendeleev. The first nuclear power plant in the world, the first man in space, the world's first lunar rover etc - all these are inventions of an "uneducated" nation
🤡
46:45 key point: those Caucasus republics are heavily subsidized. So for them to become independent is to lose their main source of income. And the rest of the Russia won't shed a tear if they'll leave.
They would likely just blast them into oblivion using drones and artillery, and try to settle in ethnic Russians with goodies like a low cost house or apartment. Something similar is being done with Mariupol.
Субсидируются не только кавказские республики. И наличие природных ресурсов не сделает другие регионы процветающими государствами, прежде все будут кровопролитные войны, потому что вопрос с территориальными границами до сих пор не решён даже внутри России
И да, Кавказ в первую очередь будет "за" выход из состава России
@@hj8750 жить на что будете? Зачем нам африка и мексика в одном флаконе? Уже сидите на пособии, не выделывайтесь. В театр ходите, литературу читайте, в камеди развлекайтесь- чем нибудь полезным займитесь.
Вот смотри: кавказ ноет что нет работы, призжают, им дают работу- как у всех. Нет, гордый орёль выпячивает грудь - это не нравится, то не подходит.. у всех один итог: такси и халтура где поменьше шевелиться. 40 лет стажа- ни одного нормального работника вспомнить не могу, все с душком. Уже сидите не трепыхайтесь
@@hj8750 Какие конкретно регионы на Кавказе будут за выход из состава России?
Russia is a country that, over the 20th and 21st centuries, has suffered perhaps the most pain and loss, has participated in more wars than all other countries and still remains a strong country. I hope that soon the whole planet will calm down and peace will come.
yeah, "the whole planet will calm down" while russia will continue invading own neighbors?
Count in the Russian Empire as well
US has participated in more wars.
Russia suffered the most? What about Belarus, Poland and Ukraine that each lost a way higher share of population in WW2 (25% & 20% & 20% respectively)
What about China, which lost unimaginable numbers of people to its civil war?
What about Afghanistan, which has been in continuous war & anarchy for over 30 years.
What about North Korea, which has a way more repressive & regressive regime that even Stalin was back in the “Good Old Days”, to the point of being under continuous near famine for decades. What about the island countries in the Pacific like Micronesia, who are literally disappearing into the sea? What about the Baltic states, suffering under 50 years of military occupation directly after being the ‘background’ of Nazi-Sovjet not once but twice.
Don’t get me wrong, the Russian people have had more then their fair share of tragedy. But they are far from the worst victims in this cruel world
@@JABN97 А как насчет миролюбивых США, которые провели более 100 военных интервенций за последние 30 лет?
I am very sceptical about any conclusions made based on official data comming from Russia or any other country that is known exporting propaganda. Ofcourse I'm not saying it is incorrect, but them trying to convince the world that sanctions are less effective than they are is definately something I'd do if I were them.
lol, you eat western propaganda everyday and saying "russian propaganda". I love that "russians only have shovels, they are out of rockets, they lost 300k" and other bs. you are brainwashed
I agree 100%. The Russian government is a web of lies
Yeah you should be because the data is biased heavily towards the best estimates he could find and the very lowest figures for death tolls, he failed to mention the actual covid deaths and many other things that don't fit the narrative. This means the longevity of this video will be short lived when reality overtakes wishful thinking.
You mean the US and its mainstream media minions is telling the truth?
You must be living in a cave.
Every country is heavily exporting propaganda these days, especially in regards to the war
I live in Novosibirsk and everything is practically the same from before the war, to access some online services I need vpn but majority of them are still available, brands like Coca Cola and McDonald’s are still here just under a different name and we ain’t starving
Most westerners are too lazy to do independent research- they worship their TV and media industries "They can never lie to us" "They are world class standard"
Let´s be real McDonalds and Coca Cola were never that special in the first place, only reason their products are popular is because of brand recognition.
Anyone can make burgers or put enough sugar into a drink it rots your teeth.
о я тоже здесь живу
If you haven't noticed any changes - that doesn't mean that these changes haven't been made. Говорю тебе как человек, который также живет в РФ по определённым обстоятельствам.
@@denisgut Care to list the changes you observed? У меня друзья в нескольких городах, и ни у кого особо ничё не поменялось.
What is truly insane is that the projected total cost of rebuilding the entire country of Ukraine after the war ends is still LESS MONEY than the cumulative wealth of the two richest men in the world.
Makes you think
The world is effectively still ruled by kings.
value not money*
Ukraine is poor country, with very cheap labour cost. What do people think.
@@cactuslietuva That means great return on investment as the country rebuilds and develops
@@MihaiRUdeRONot if the corruption is not actually handled.
Meanwhile we in Western Europe are suffering from huge energy hikes.....massive increase in food prices and now huge hikes in interest rates doubling and even trebling our mortgages and rent!
Not much different in US. Cost of going grocery shopping has more than doubled. Mortgage rates went from sub 4% to 7.5% Remember when we shamed Elon Musk for not ending world hunger for 6 Billion dollars? Meanwhile, we send 75 Billion to Ukraine to more efficiently kill people like its a drop in a bucket.
Oo poor us europeans suffering. 20 holidays per year by the sea, nonstop in the mountains, new cars, electronic toys...and rich russians but 2/3 still do not have proper toilet😅
@@Baccardi83сколько раз в год европейцы могут себе позволить отпуск на другом континенте? 20? Для чего так врать)))
I laughed at people who said it is because USA wanted to sanction Russia. USA always thinks that they are the world's only consumer or something. Not to mention that Russia and Saudi Arabia are the biggest oil distributors in the world because they have lots and lots of it. We also use oil for a lot of other things beyond gasoline like products that we use are made from Oil as well and this does not include the fact that our electricity are generated by oil.
yep!!
US propaganda about their Monopoly on Consumerism totally laughable, like they threaten China with protectionism and cuts of imports. China overtook more than 3/4 of Global trade and expanding. At the same time Wallmart and Amazon - US companies sell primarily imports from China within USA, Canada and globally. It's too late. US should never deal with State Capitalism countries like China, strengthening them, cause they are more efficient than US Corporate Capitalism. Now it is too late. Now US has to convert to State Capitalism model in order to compete with China and survive
Wow it's almost like we watched the same video
The sanctions are aimed at ordinary people, not the country, waiting for us to rise up and overthrow Putin. Only it doesn’t work like that, but rather the opposite.
@@TheGrateful108The thing is, on a per person on average basis, the average person in the USA is likely at the top when it comes to consuming resources.
Let's be honest here: If a dictator puts out his "overwhelming positive reviews" of himself, it's a little suspect. Yeah, Saddam had a 99% approval rating.
На выборах в Чечне Рамзан Кадыров получил 99,9% голосов - вот это настоящая демократия!
Exactly. Every one of Putin's enemies turns up dead. You'd tow the line too, if there even was an honest survey and the numbers weren't just fake.
True but im pretty sure the number's coming from an independant source
Well it's hard to argue with Saddams reviews of himself when Iraq was doing better under him. Iraq is kind of a huge mess now with rampant corruption everywhere and wealth traveling out of the country. Dictators aren't good guys, but they are in charge of governments which are inherently evil. It's not like it's massively better when you put democratically elected and corporate/foreign owned sockpuppets in charge of said evil organization. It ends up being the same shit with the poor people becoming poorer and the corporations and oligarchs becoming richer. At least the dictator man can offer some stability through his iron fisted rule which could really help in some of these areas.
@@zhaunjuwait isn’t that the Putin puppet guy who’s there to make sure Chechnya doesn’t rebel again and beats protesters? Yeah, “real democracy” my ass. The only time approval ratings go up that much is during big events, like a national tragedy or a war. A great example would be approval of George bush skyrocketing after 9/11 terrorist attacks, or Zelenskyy right now because Ukraine’s in the middle of a massive war.
you forgot to mention that: EU imports lots lots of oil from India. And could you guess where does India get the oil?
Yes, and India must be very happy to get the profit from such a trade.
He already mentioned where India gets its oil..It's Russia
@@ManrajSingh4UIt was a rhetorical question...
What was missed is actual cost for Russia to extract their oil and transport it. Not to mention loss of sales of refined products. It’s all about detail and I feel this was all missed and wrong conclusions drawn.
@@XeonSX Agreed. It honestly just feels like lazy research being done to gather information, and then misrepresenting the data.
25:28 You said "Gifted Military aid" Every cent of military, financial and training aid sent by the US is LOANS under the "Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act of 2022". Much of what is sent by NATO and European countries is also loans.
A loan that with no fixed terms of repayment, no explicit rate of interest is indeed a GIFT. Likely to be forgiven/written off
Loans the countries barely count. Nobody seems to care about debt.
We went from titles like :"Why russia will collapse in 2 days"
To "Why russia wont collapse" youtube hypocrisy at its finest
And the copium huffing phase has started...
These Ukraine fanboys have started seeing the light.
its almost like circumstances change, also, sensationalism
@@mitchellcouchman6589 that's where the sensationalism comes in, gotta make a juicy title
@@rock3tcatU233 The light that russia is a 4th world economic power, yes. Russia is a joke, russians are dying in troves in Ukraine, they're pathetic genocidal fucks. Russia has gone back 30 years economically.
@@mitchellcouchman6589I think in order to keep sending money to Ukraine, the govenments need to convince general public that its worth it. Hence the propaganda. UKraine is not doing that well at all. I watch Weeb Union, who updates the situation on the battlefield based on ukrainian and russian battlefield footage and reports. Try him, you may see very different situation from what media tells us.
For those who thinks that Soviet Union lost in Afghanistan just compare how managed withdrawal Soviet Army and US Army in 2021.
10+years and 0 result isnt draw or win isnt it?
@@Serg-t1twho told you that there was no results? Educate yourself. Pro-soviet regime of Mohammad Najibullāh was holding until 1992 when drunk Yeltsin betrayed it and cut all military supplies. How long was holding pro-american regime after us forces withdrew?
@@Serg-t1t The communist government in Afghanistan ruled independently with very little foreign money for 3 years. They fell because USSR fell. It was not zero result. Soviet military in Afghan had immense success, nearly all rebels were driven out of the country or were brutally killed. Had the Americans supported the communist government even after USSR, they could have avoided tons of trouble. But of course enmity never dies even at the cost of your own.
Afghanistan lost the last chance to be a beautiful good country that time.
@@Keshaw-ht3xkверно, сотрудничество этих двух стран могли бы принести очень много полезного и уничтожить террористов. Но куда бы не приходили русские для защиты граждан от террористов появлялось современное оружие от Америки. Откуда у террористов были стингеры? Которые начали сбивать наши вертолеты...
Putin popularity is under serious question and doubt. As some of that came from former USSR, And who has family members that still live in Russia I can tell you the conversation spoken in the kitchen are completely different to answers given to poles on the street.
Exactly. Demographers will tell you that you don't poll people who live in dictatorships because these people know no poll is truly anonymous. No intelligent person is going to say they don't support their government and risk jail time/ losing their job.
Exactly. They are just scared. Communism is evil and brutal, there is no free speech. As all left extreme ideas, socialism, communism, fascism and nationalsocialism, all the exact same thing disguised a little bit different (marxist or nationalist reason for exactly the same). As long as there is extreme leftism on earth, there will never be peace.
Sadly after left extremisn there's religion also preventing peace... That also needs to go. Any system or country controlling the people like communist or islamist states will lead to war. Because they are all absolutist, they couldn't exist otherwise, and that is just waiting for a Putin to use that for himself and cause problems. Democracies, where free citizens have a say, don't start wars. Because the people are the ones always losing in war. Democracy isn't perfect, but the best possible and a peacekeeper. Preferentially direct democracy as in Switzerland, where the people vote on everything, though here too leftists started ignoring votes...
Everywhere people bemoan their politicians, that just puts Putin on par with other nations and is not an indicator of any intention of revolution
It's depends on the region. In St Petersburg's kitchens talks might be different from other regions.
Exactly. Like any Russian would give an honest answer to a stranger.
The UE is not member of the G7, it's France Germany and Italy but UE is member of G20.
I'm not sure about the US, but in Argentina we have never heard about the possibility of Putin being ousted...
When the Wagner group thing happened, we were betting how long it would progress before Prigozhin was shot down.
Perhaps we are a lot more used to dynastic rulers and parties staying in government even when logic would dictate people should riot...
I think that most people in the US and Europe think that the war will only end when Putin dies. We aren’t sure how that will happen or if it will be natural causes, but I doubt anyone else would have the power to do what Putin is doing to quell internal rebellion.
Pero no percibes que los EEUU tienen una característica dinástica mucho mayor que Rusia? Desde su independencia el régimen estadounidense es lo mismo: la misma carta de constitución, los mismos dos partidos (que en verdad, trabajan para los mismos intereses) mientras Rusia ya pasó de una monarquía para un estado de economía más socialista, y ahora con mayores libertades para su burguesía local. Estoy intentando hacerte percibir lo cuanto somos influenciados por los medios y por las narrativas occidentales. Democracia, dictadura, libertad de expresión, todo eso son términos vacíos.
@@realperson6713wow you’re very educated on the reality of the US! But truly the US and russia are equally corrupt it would seem, just that the US is better at hiding it
Argentina is just sympathizing with fascist ruzzia; maybe cause Argentina loved to host fascist in the past, who knows
@@ivandankob7112 you did not activate your brain when putting those words together in that comment. Please, try again.
I think predicted economic growth is premature. While I agree with the conclusion, the Russian Federation isn't primed for complete collapse, I think it is reasonable to expect financial issues. Russia has used foreign asset seizures and the international oil crisis to stave off bleeding.
One of MANY reasons we need to be taking renewable options more seriously, and why the west should've considered rationing if we were actually serious about the threat posed. Or, at minimum, active public efforts to reduce oil usage. But the public had no appetite for even that.
Yes it's hard to say what is really going in with the Russian economy or even the war in Ukraine as the two narratives are so far apart at times. My best guess is that the Russian economy can get by for the foreseeable future and that Ukraine can't win a war of attrition with Russia even with a lot of support from the West. So short of direct intervention by NATO, which carries other risks, it's not looking good and you have to wonder why Western countries pursued these policies to begin with. Russia can produce most of what it needs, can trade for what it doesn't, maybe it doesn't produce a good economy on paper but it can get by. Maybe the Western countries try to do another shutdown/lockdown of their economies going into the winter to get energy costs down, hearing something along those lines but have no idea how that would pan out or if will happen.
@Joesolo13 why should we? Ukraine is a country full of currupt racist nazis. They are not much better than Russians. Why should suffer for any of them.
Why shouldnt they, they have to recoup from all their bank account siezures. The govts that siezed russian accounts should be forced to make the western companies whole from asset seizures.
That's why you have to take your brain cell seriously.
The war ducked big time western countries, and we are paying for this bogus.
Correction or additions on some things in the video:
Nord stream 2 was destroyed/damaged but Nord Stream 1 is still operational,
India imported Oil from Russia as a middle man to then sell it off to Europe for profit,
Russian oil was already selling cheaper than the 60 dollar price limit even before the war due to contract pricing so most of the revenue dip is from Natural Gas exports that would normally go to Europe
Western Europe still buy Russian Oil and/or Gas but in much less units and higher prices than before and through "middle men" East European countries and India
Japan and South Korea have increased imports of Russian Oil & Gas through the Sakhalin Pipeline
Ukrainian civilians refugees not only left the country to go West to Europe but also East into Russia as some of them have friends and family there
Due to less imports from Western Countries, Russia has replaced most of those imports with either goods from China or more locally made stuff
thank you for addressing all of this, I can confirm that we're having a lot more Chinese things everywhere, from clothes to cars - for example I've never heard of car brands like "Haval", "Chery", "Exeed" and others. Russia had became the biggest importer of Chinese cars, and we do import a lot of their clothing, electronics etc.
Nord steam was most likely bombed, it's a terroristic act against crucial infrastructure, just like what Russia is doing in Ukraine. RLL didn't accentuate on this fact in the video, but it was an act of terrorism.
Also missing is the impact on Europe. Sanctions on Russian energy are hurting European industry and overall standard of living badly. Presuming the (incorrect) inference made in this video that Russia's plan is to wage an attrition war while it waits for Western aid to Ukraine to grind to a halt, then we should expect European aid to go down first.
Lol, careful with callin USA "terrorists". Freedom of speech etc )))
@@АндрейД-о9к ahahha just wanted to write it , but u did first)))
I can add such terms as "Latvian mix" and "Iranian shadow fleet". But of course you will never hear them in official media xD
If I got a penny every time i heard "Russia is collapsed in __some_timestamp_", i'd be rich man..
"seized control of Rostov"
They just drove through it unopposed
There is a big difference between killed in battle and casualties. They are not interchangeable
I also have no reason to believe the US's casualty estimates anymore than Russia's.
I love the channel dude but you really do need to put sources somewhere. It's extremely important.
ХВХАЭВХАХАЭА
Ну а с чего она должна была рушится, лол? Мне так нравится как американские сми распространяют ложную информацию о стране, в которой сами никогда не были чтоб оценить.
7:50 Forgot about Kim Jong-un with 117% approval rating 😅
Putin's party "Edinaya Rossiya" also had 146% rating once or twice, so Kim can rest peacefully
I don't think you can take any surveys coming from a Russia seriously. If you can get arrested for holding an empty piece of paper or wearing blue and yellow sneakers, many people probaly think the same can happen if you answered "wrong" in the survey (even if it is supposedly independent)
As far as I know the surveys are generally quite reliable as the government also want to have access to good statistics to know whether the public needs some love or of they can continually be screwed over for other sources of power (military, secret service, oligarchs etc.)
See Weak Strongmen for the phenomenon
Nobody cares what you think.
@@TheBobVova I care
@@Blue_Doge You don't
@@TheBobVova I do
Is nobody going to mention that RealLifeLore has made video's saying how Russia might collepse?
The main word is "might"
xdd повестка сменилась
Since the start of the war he was always leaning a bit west in his analysis, not that he was wrong but this is influecing the information he wants to underline.
@@ASS_aultplease wright ''ruZZian'' the right way. thank you
@@michaelm.2988 easy baby
You didn't mention that india is reselling Russian oil to the west 🤣
Okay fr tho are we really trusting the IMF’s growth projections when all that data comes from ROSTAT with no independent verification on things like government spending, investment, and consumer spending? The only hard data we have is export/import data from their trading partners. Also how do we not address the recent collapse of the ruble to a penny on the dollar.
Being asking same question about USDT for years lol
But how does that mean the "collapse of Russia by Tomorrow"?
Much as I do like RealLifeLore, I think the situation is too fast moving for everything to be addressed and while I'm sure he does his best, it's quite obvious this was produced before the death of Prigozhin, and before the recent developments on the front lines.