I explore the June 2024 drop rate table of Fasnacht in Fallout 76 and explain why thousands of players are complaining they can't get a rare glowing mask.
UPDATE 1: As of June 27th 2024 it has been datamined that you now only need to keep 1 robot alive instead of 5 to qualify for the relevant rewards. Not that I have ever met anyone that was bad enough to only have 1 left at the end! UPDATE 2: Some people are mistakingly thinking that the drop rate for a rare glowing mask is 5%, despite me telling everyone not to overthink the numbers... I will clarify this here because that is absolutely NOT the case! Simply put, 5% is just the combined total drop rate of ALL 21 rare masks combined into 1 loot pool. There is 21 items in the pool and the chances of getting each one is 0.238. So 21 x 0.238 = 4.998. That is where the 5% comes from. 5% is NOT your chances of getting each individual item and by NO means do you have 5% chance of getting a glowing mask. Your drop rate percentage per item is STILL 0.238%. I didn't think this would need to be stated, as it is basic common sense to go by the individual drop rate rather than a combined drop rate of all 21 items, and that's why the person who created the table displayed it as it is, but here we are! The whole point in my video was to avoid even bringing this up because it's a completely un-necessary calculation that doesn't even need to be discussed. As a result, all further comments on this will be removed to avoid the spread of misinformation. Judging by the comments on this video it looks like I was absolutely right - it’s a crazy free-for-all out there with the RNG - some people getting a glowing mask on their very first event, whilst some people doing 100+ and just getting repeats like the owl mask. Keep trying folks!
Last night was the first time I've ever seen it get down to just one left. And it was with the usual 10+ people over 500 and it was a cake walk like always, but this time when we got to the end where the puppies attack the robots, I've never seen them jump so hard on the robots, but by the time you could blink and everyone looked up it was just one bot left. I had never seen them take that much damage that fast, and to be honest it was the first time this event I've ever not finished with 5 alive. Still got a mask though, robot I believe that time, the drop rates seem wonky but I've got two of all the older ones, I'm just hanging in to try and get a glowing one at this point 🤷
@@ExcessInModerationI totally agree with you there I’ve had a ton of the ‘rare’ ones that are not glowing and barely any of the glowing ones even though they share the same 0.238%. The numbers do seem off but it’s what was in the datamine so only Bethesda themselves know what’s up at this point
@@trying3841I was constantly getting jester, the barrett, and the witch mask, but two days in a row I got the glowing robot, and the glowing devil mask, and now I've gone back to just getting constant common masks again.
I think they should remove older masks from the loot pool and give them to a new NPC Helvetia vendor for caps or bullion. There is such thing as too much RNG Bethesda!
Op forgot (or don't know) this year drop rates were changed because the rules were changed. You only need 1 robot to survive to get rare loot this year. There no restrictions except 1 robot survive. Check with nuka knights to verify. Newly data mined info is available.
I’ve managed to get 2 of the new glowing masks and I get messages from people or chased to trade for them I’m level 100 so some people think they can just keep pushing and and brake can tell you how many people I had to block I haven’t had an issue up till this event with anything like this
I’m not even trying to brag but I’m consistently getting rare masks everyday, like I’ve got 14 in total now and this is my first event ever, is this some sort of anomaly? Because I see people paying crazy prices for these
Same. I've been streaming the game at work and making my guy play the banjo for hours. Whenever I see someone afking at the event I just assume they're at work. The event can be done by one person which is why I don't understand why people get so annoyed
@@HolySmokes-_-probably because not everyone knows all the spawn locations, and probably don't have good enough builds to mass mow down enemies. I have no problem with it, but I imagine the newer level 50- players might feel overwhelmed trying to solo it.
Afk'ed an event last night as I was taking my dog out for a walk, came back to my first Glowing mask and had to laugh that the event that I wasn't there for gave me my best reward. 🤦♂
Man the exact same thing happened to me I went to the kitchen and left it running one day and came back to a glowing Minotaur mask. The 1 time I don’t look at the screen 🤣 its like they want us to cheat
@@finnaflexofficial Mine actually was the Glowing Minotaur as well, paired it with the imposter sheepsquatch outfit and it looks awesome, and yeah at times it does seem that way.
Someone nuked Helvetia and I afk'd there and got both a glowing mask and the butter churn plans. I had to start from scratch when I moved over from PS4 but still this isn't my first time and after like 10 times... Me being generous here but after a certain amount of runs it just gets boring. There really needs to be a Fasnacht vender that takes the old stuff so only the newer stuff can drop each year.
This just happened to me this morning while I slept through all of last night afking on the banjo. I slept through 11 fasnachts and woke up to a loon, glowing scorchbeast and and a glowing Robot.
More or less yeah 🤣 probably better fkn chances with your example though as you can roll the dice when you want but you have to wait 1 hour for Fasnacht 🤣
It’d be cool if we could exchange masks for a currency to possibly upgrade a mask to glowing or exchange for a rare variant. It would add value to all masks
They took away the joy. Now it's just 10 soldier masks in a row and sadness. I am not incentivised to play or grind. Heck, I'd just be happy to get one of the new common masks. A pox on you Bethesda
It’s kinda crappy that people are already brunt out just because of fomo (fear of missing out) and grinding the same thing over and over not getting rewarded for the grind plus the servers are filled of afk and alt accounts
Thanks so much for your insightful video. Im a level 1,800 been playing for 3 years now and I absolutely agree with everything you said. Well done mate, keep up the great work👌based on the effort you put into this Ive subscribed.
Here's an analogy.. Your chances of getting a glowing mask is like spinning a roulette wheel and calling a number between 1 and 410 (very close estimate when calculated with the .238%) and it landing on the number you called. And, like the OP said, your probabilities haven't changed for the next round. Everything is reset, and your odds do not increase over time...
fasnacht has always caused some burnout, rewards are fine in my experience but the way things are going with so many new rares and other stuff being added each year, it's not good. skipping the grind this time, afking for an abysmally low chance of getting a glowing is a waste of power. trading for them is much more achievable
Fasnacht brings out the worst in the community. I've been playing since launch and the arguing, AFK-ing (which I do as well), trying to mess with the AFK-ers, scamming new players out of their masks, etc. It's absolutely horrible. This is coming from someone who wears the full Responder Fireman outfit - screw the rarity. Everyone should be able to get what they want within reason. I was so happy when mutated events came out and all the rare plans became achievable by everyone. Maybe if the event participation stopped, Bethesda would do something.
More people AFK than anything and it ruins the game for those that want to play. So many people in one area with ungodly full inventory drags the servers bandwidth. Half the servers don't even have enough people playing to be able to finnish the event successfully.
@@EndtimeEnterprises I disagree. Whether the players are loaded into one area (AFK or active) doesn't have a visible effect on performance. The server has to render them, but not their full inventories (maybe aside from their equipped items), there is a reason when you trade with a player it takes a few seconds to see their items - that's when the server has to load them. If too many people have their CAMPs nearby that can hinder the performance, but not the bodies of players. That being said, Fasnacht is the only event that makes people think this way, I'd wager mainly due to the frustration of the RNG. Meat Week AFKs never get any hate, even if they just stand there and not play the drums.
I think Bethesda should try awarding tokens in an event based on participation. For example if I donate beeswax, wood, intestines, kill 20 squirrels and a few super mutants I should get let’s say 10 tokens when the event ends whereas if someone is afk they maybe get 2-3. While I don’t mind people afk I’m sure Bethesda would rather people be actively playing the game rather than afking and this gives people an incentive to participate in the event. Now for what to do with the tokens, there should be a Fasnacht vendor where you can buy a mask roll from each pool for let’s say 250 tickets for a rare so after 25 events where you are active and participate you are guaranteed to get a rare mask. I think the roll should still be random just for the novelty of it and so there is still incentive to trade masks for the one you want. I think if Bethesda made an event like this it would be more successful and engaging
Well that makes sense considering I've gone to the event as MUCH AS POSSIBLE and still have not gotten anything substantially good. Not one glowing mask and yet people everywhere have them. I saw people with glowing masks the first hour when this event finally hit. Like HOW?!?!
@@vessvmr6l they got the glowing masks right off the first shot of fashnaught. First hour event and after rewards I saw people putting on glowing masks.
Not only you waste ammo trying to make sure the robots dont get destroyed but you can do fasnacht 50+ times & not get one single glowing mask but the odd individual whos spinning in the corner will get 3 or 2 glowing masks, absolute madness lol Oh the drop rates are so 'Random' but i got a skull mask back to back 🫥😂
So get this, I got com banned on Xbox because i made a looking for group post where I wanted to sell plasma thrower mod for enclave plasma rifle, and it was simple, I put READ CAREFULLY: I want to sell plasma thrower true mod for 30k then buy your glowing robot mask for 38k and immediately people started clowning on me through messages and I still do not understand what I did wrong or how I ended up getting com banned. Like wtf? This community sucks. I actually thought it was good community but it seems there's alot of children playing these days.
I havent got a glowing one to drop yet but i managed to find the glowing minator one in a players vendor for 800 caps so i dont need the luck i guess lol
i'd just like 1 glowing mask. I don't even care what it is i've done the event 100+ times Heck i'd even be happy with the flower planter, haven't gotten that yet either.
its honestly a joke, i work 5 12 hour shifts so ive been afk non stop as well as playing on my 3 off so ive basically not missed 1 event since it started and I have not yet got a single glowing mask
Ok, I thought it was just me. I ran Fasshit 25 times and the masks I was getting were all the old ones and oh so common. I really only wanted the motorized butter churn and I FINALLY got it this morning, when for the first time, I went AFK.
So far, I have bought one rare mask, got one from the event, and picked one up from a player that dropped it. All of those were the old masks btw. Never got a single glowing mask in my entire life.
yep. plus it's boring as hell event. there's nothing to really do but wait around. somebody is gonna be vats instant killing everything that spawns so theres nothing to shoot
I find it annoying how there's people who sit and spam collet on the mask sharing box in an attempt to hoard everything, i saw 3 plain alien masks go in and get swiped in a split second
Yes that has been a big problem since the donation box started out. There’s a lot of selfish people out there for sure, but it is the wasteland so I guess we can’t really complain, it is a free for all
Total of 336 possible events (2 wks x 24 hrs /day), unless you are server hop'n. Between playing and AFK'n the event, I got around 20 events / day (280 over the two weeks). Half those events, minimum, I was able to double dip 10 per day (another 140 events/2wks), atleast 4 of those / day were triple dips (another 56/2wks), and always got a minimum of 1 Quad/day (+14), ... I totaled around 490 events completed in 2 weeks. These are low ball numbers, actual number is easily over 500. I would get to the event early, have all the stuff needed (beewax, wood, intestine, etc), I would have all the robots ready to march (most times) w/in 3 min. As long as the robots were not going super slow, we would get done in less than 9 min. I would hop, and hop, and hop... until 20 minutes after. This was a grind, not for the casual Wastelander. This event gave me 16 rare masks out of a total of 490+ events. The masks did not come steady either. First day I got the Glowing Pig, then nothing for 3 days. Then I got 6 in a day (glowing + old rares). No rhyme or reason I could make of it. Most of the newer masks I got, were while I was afk, from a hop, and/or did nothing. a Few were from doing the event almost solo (3-4am, is all afker's). Btw, if you do afk the event, please do it at the 3 music spots on the stage, helps alot if we get the music bot, he's always the slowest!
@@Reumaut13 I’m on PS5 too. I’ve only had 1 or 2 blue screens in about 40 events I’ve done here. I tend to find that if you are moving through season menus too fast it will blue screen so in the event I just don’t touch my main menu at all 😂
I’ve been doing this event for 4 years, only just started AFK’ing this year because of the HORRIFIC drop rates! While I have managed to get 3 of the Rare masks, they’ve all dropped on the same character. I average 50+ events every time this event is active, and I only have 3 Rare masks to show for my time. You’re right. The rise of the AFK’ers fall solely on Bethesda themselves!!
Yeah... drop rates are crap.. I run the event at least 3 times per day I always get the same recipes and the same common and uncommon masks or one rare every 2 or 3 days that I alreayd have repeated in my inventory. It is a bit non-sensical. It was the same when they adjusted the Daily Ops to drop what you dont have... it took months before I could get the unknwnon plans as they were so rare (alien PA paint) that I always got BOS Medallions and Enclave Medallion... I got at least 50 plans for each, which I have dropped in the red box at Nuka World and the Dnonation Box that was located in Vault 76
Have played since beta and at release, have done every single fasnacht except for the one in February this year. 0 rare masks dropped for me in all those years. I only have the demon mask because a friend gave it to me.
New subscriber and thank you for the video. I like the drop rate, changing it just makes people feed into the fast food mentality. It leaves something to get the next time or to look for vendors that will probably sell these things for a high price. It's a grind to get to the point you can get caps rather quickly compared to early levels. I've only gotten one glowing mask for almost 40 events. I prefer them making it a grind for harder to get masks or items. People want the game too easy and everything rather easy. It's something to come back to the game for. People will end up being able to pay atoms for ultra rare apparel items like the tattered field jacket which will suck. Like buying end game weapons starting out.
good luck finding new glowings in vendors. they're worth approx 1mil~1.5mil caps equivalent each. if you're wondering how people are bypassing the 40k cap limit, they're trading in currency like bobbleheads/magazines or high value godroll weapon/armor.
sure my man... try having 20 of each uncommon masks in your stash box, that noone wants to buy and then are dropped in the Donation Box or the red box at Nuka World. I am tired of gatting the same confetti plans, the sausage recipe, the same masks all over again... Same with Meat Week... I got 30 copies of the Flag for example and only 1 new plan... that is BS.
@@BxBxProductions I think that's great. If everyone could get them easily than it would ruin their value. It's a grindy game and I love having ultra rare items to get. I understand the frustration, I don't care much for masks so I just want another for the trade value when I need a lot of caps in a rather short period.
Great video you have convinced me its not worth grinding for.if i. Playing ill do the event but im not gonna turn off what ever game im playing just to do thos at the top of every hour.
Why adding very cool items that almost impossible to have … Bethesda really wants us to become crazy for real.. I’m so disgusted about this fcking event …
So far I have had good luck got 2 glowing turkey masks and 2 glowing blue devil mask plus old man winter helmet but that been 4 days if afking on 2 accounts
Yea I have been playing for a little over 2 years now I still have not gotten one of the top tear masks. I also get the same one over and over and over again I mean how many witch masks can one have. I might be crying about it lol but I'm still going to do the event because of that 0.238% chance😢
I got a glowing honey bee mask on my second event cut 70 hours later (missing roughly 10 of those 70 from sleep n afk crashing) and just got my second glowing last night as I was falling asleep we are 4 days in and I’ve essentially just gotten trash I’m def going to be afk city from here on out you can expect me to keep playing the game for a 0.0238% chance I’ll get on to see if the server is active enough to sit n do nothing but beyond that nah
Yes I know my 2 glowing masks are more than others but when I tell you I deadass been doing event for legit copies it feels extra bad when I see a afk person get off the dumbass piano n put on a fresh glowing I’m joining yall
usually skip this event. been grinding it since it started this week. probably done 40 runs. Just got my glowing alien mask. gonna use it with the dr zorbo robes. good shit. good luck everyone
No it doesn’t. A lot of limited time events like The Mothman Equinox 2024 had their rewards set so that you couldn’t get duplicates. Duplicates have also been removed from elder tier daily ops as I already explained in the video. You also can’t get duplicates of expeditions plans either.
@@finnaflexofficial ok so they changed it for one seasonal event, but as i remember correctly all the others like Alien Invasion, Fastnacht, Meat Week, Christmas scorched, Treasure Hunt and Spooky scorched, all still give out duplicates and the rewards like weapons or cosmetics in most cases all share the same drop lists. That the daily ops drop list changed is nice, i already got all the new plans that were included in the skyline valley in a row and now i get duplicates again like Alien skin PA plans. Expeditions are also made as it should be, but they are Expeditions not seasonal events, and when i learn all the plans i hope that they start to drop duplicate plans, so i can put them into my camp shop as it is a nice additional caps income. Especially for Fastnacht the drop list is getting huge, maybe excluding the old common masks from the list and including a trader and additional fastnacht currency might be a solution to get rid of such a huge drop list. Players still would need to do the event to get that currency, so even new players might get a chance to get the old masks, but old players wont get frustrated to end up with a lot of old masks instead of new ones.
I’ve done this event every hour so far and have not received any rare masks. I’ve afk and still nothing. Same stupid skull, giant, owl, blue devil mask etc ima lose my mind if I don’t get something good at the end of the event. Kinda terrible how low of a drop it is to get a stupid freaking mask. Getting angy. I’d drop 40k caps on a rare mask if anyone would be willing to but everyone just wants to trade them for other masks. I’m never gonna get one 😭😭😭
don't care for event or current season. i want new weapons, armor, mods, and new perks or even something worth spending my atoms i earned in the shop. and i dont understand streamers saying get the new oil resource making machine if i need fuel i just do a campaign mission
Been playing since the beginning,an never gotten a mask worth anything, work 12s an xbox one wont AFK controller goes asleep after 15mins or get booted for inactive
I like that the drop rates are low to get a rare reward would really be considered rare if the drop rates were higher, I mean it's a chance to get a mask. I did the event 12 times and got Glowing Queen mask, it's all luck. Can't be salty if you don't get a glowing mask right away lol
Every glowing mask is the one you desire and they are all 0.238%. Overthinking it is exactly what I said not to do in. There's no point in saying you can get a mask at 5% but it's 0.238% for a certain one because the rate is the same for each one.
@@legitgingerxz combined yes, the 5% is just the combined percentage drop rate of all 21 rare masks combined into 1 big rate. But it would make absolutely no sense to use this as the individual drop rate to get 1 mask lol. Hence why I explained the real individual drop rate of 0.238%. The 5% you are talking about is literally 21 x 0.238
The odds do technically come out to 1 out of 420 but because of the reset after every event its displayed as a percentage... however the math isnt wrong .23% is 1 out of 420... funny thing is, there isnt 420 events in 2 weeks of the event 😂
😅 you know whats funny about this event, I saw a camp fill with sun mask in the glass display. Must be how that fella showing protess to Bustesda I guess. This is in PS so you know.
UPDATE 1: As of June 27th 2024 it has been datamined that you now only need to keep 1 robot alive instead of 5 to qualify for the relevant rewards. Not that I have ever met anyone that was bad enough to only have 1 left at the end!
UPDATE 2: Some people are mistakingly thinking that the drop rate for a rare glowing mask is 5%, despite me telling everyone not to overthink the numbers... I will clarify this here because that is absolutely NOT the case! Simply put, 5% is just the combined total drop rate of ALL 21 rare masks combined into 1 loot pool. There is 21 items in the pool and the chances of getting each one is 0.238. So 21 x 0.238 = 4.998. That is where the 5% comes from. 5% is NOT your chances of getting each individual item and by NO means do you have 5% chance of getting a glowing mask. Your drop rate percentage per item is STILL 0.238%. I didn't think this would need to be stated, as it is basic common sense to go by the individual drop rate rather than a combined drop rate of all 21 items, and that's why the person who created the table displayed it as it is, but here we are! The whole point in my video was to avoid even bringing this up because it's a completely un-necessary calculation that doesn't even need to be discussed. As a result, all further comments on this will be removed to avoid the spread of misinformation. Judging by the comments on this video it looks like I was absolutely right - it’s a crazy free-for-all out there with the RNG - some people getting a glowing mask on their very first event, whilst some people doing 100+ and just getting repeats like the owl mask. Keep trying folks!
Me and my friends were running around heads in the clouds and ended with one alive.
Last night was the first time I've ever seen it get down to just one left. And it was with the usual 10+ people over 500 and it was a cake walk like always, but this time when we got to the end where the puppies attack the robots, I've never seen them jump so hard on the robots, but by the time you could blink and everyone looked up it was just one bot left. I had never seen them take that much damage that fast, and to be honest it was the first time this event I've ever not finished with 5 alive.
Still got a mask though, robot I believe that time, the drop rates seem wonky but I've got two of all the older ones, I'm just hanging in to try and get a glowing one at this point 🤷
@@ExcessInModerationI totally agree with you there I’ve had a ton of the ‘rare’ ones that are not glowing and barely any of the glowing ones even though they share the same 0.238%. The numbers do seem off but it’s what was in the datamine so only Bethesda themselves know what’s up at this point
I got a glowing unicorn mask on my second event. I just got a glowing robot head. I have done about 15-20 events so far
@@trying3841I was constantly getting jester, the barrett, and the witch mask, but two days in a row I got the glowing robot, and the glowing devil mask, and now I've gone back to just getting constant common masks again.
Endless owl masks, flag poles and old Mann winter effigies.
I think they should remove older masks from the loot pool and give them to a new NPC Helvetia vendor for caps or bullion. There is such thing as too much RNG Bethesda!
Op forgot (or don't know) this year drop rates were changed because the rules were changed. You only need 1 robot to survive to get rare loot this year. There no restrictions except 1 robot survive. Check with nuka knights to verify. Newly data mined info is available.
@@reburgcamthank you I have added this into the comments section and pinned it at the top!
I’ve managed to get 2 of the new glowing masks and I get messages from people or chased to trade for them I’m level 100 so some people think they can just keep pushing and and brake can tell you how many people I had to block I haven’t had an issue up till this event with anything like this
I keep getting the scorchbeast mask smh
I’m not even trying to brag but I’m consistently getting rare masks everyday, like I’ve got 14 in total now and this is my first event ever, is this some sort of anomaly? Because I see people paying crazy prices for these
I work a full time job the afking for events is sometimes the only way i can get em dome
Same. I've been streaming the game at work and making my guy play the banjo for hours. Whenever I see someone afking at the event I just assume they're at work. The event can be done by one person which is why I don't understand why people get so annoyed
@@HolySmokes-_-probably because not everyone knows all the spawn locations, and probably don't have good enough builds to mass mow down enemies.
I have no problem with it, but I imagine the newer level 50- players might feel overwhelmed trying to solo it.
As a sahm I have to afk, I can't spend all day on the game
I’m sick of getting the same masks every time I do this crap.
I got a glowing unicorn on my second event I ever did for fasnacht
@Shifty2319 same its bad day 5 no butter churn or rare mask
I got a deathclaw my 2nd try 😆
@@SG-sj6cw Nice 👍
getting the jester mask feels like a slap in the face
Can't complain about AFK ing with those drop rate chances
Afk'ed an event last night as I was taking my dog out for a walk, came back to my first Glowing mask and had to laugh that the event that I wasn't there for gave me my best reward. 🤦♂
Man the exact same thing happened to me I went to the kitchen and left it running one day and came back to a glowing Minotaur mask. The 1 time I don’t look at the screen 🤣 its like they want us to cheat
@@finnaflexofficial Mine actually was the Glowing Minotaur as well, paired it with the imposter sheepsquatch outfit and it looks awesome, and yeah at times it does seem that way.
Someone nuked Helvetia and I afk'd there and got both a glowing mask and the butter churn plans. I had to start from scratch when I moved over from PS4 but still this isn't my first time and after like 10 times... Me being generous here but after a certain amount of runs it just gets boring. There really needs to be a Fasnacht vender that takes the old stuff so only the newer stuff can drop each year.
With that luck I'd go buy a lottery ticket also 🤑🤗
This just happened to me this morning while I slept through all of last night afking on the banjo. I slept through 11 fasnachts and woke up to a loon, glowing scorchbeast and and a glowing Robot.
Its basically shiny hunting in pokemon; essentially rolling a dice with 8000 sides and hoping to land on 1 number
More or less yeah 🤣 probably better fkn chances with your example though as you can roll the dice when you want but you have to wait 1 hour for Fasnacht 🤣
It’d be cool if we could exchange masks for a currency to possibly upgrade a mask to glowing or exchange for a rare variant. It would add value to all masks
Not a bad idea.
I’m level 600 and I have not a single fancy mask and I see level 1-100 players have the rarest masks
People wouldn’t be afking for masks if the rates weren’t horrible, but it’s all good keep giving me the fasnacht beret
Facts!
They took away the joy. Now it's just 10 soldier masks in a row and sadness. I am not incentivised to play or grind. Heck, I'd just be happy to get one of the new common masks. A pox on you Bethesda
The best thing they could do is making the rewards drop whatever you don't have until you have everything then get duplicates
It’s kinda crappy that people are already brunt out just because of fomo (fear of missing out) and grinding the same thing over and over not getting rewarded for the grind plus the servers are filled of afk and alt accounts
30+ events done not a single rare mask i keep seeing people get rare masks my luck sucks
Thanks so much for your insightful video. Im a level 1,800 been playing for 3 years now and I absolutely agree with everything you said. Well done mate, keep up the great work👌based on the effort you put into this Ive subscribed.
Thank you! Comments like this is what makes me want to keep making videos!
Here's an analogy..
Your chances of getting a glowing mask is like spinning a roulette wheel and calling a number between 1 and 410 (very close estimate when calculated with the .238%) and it landing on the number you called.
And, like the OP said, your probabilities haven't changed for the next round. Everything is reset, and your odds do not increase over time...
everytime i do the event fallout told me im not butter enough for the churn
I have like 4 of them if you wanna buy one from me. I'll sell ya one for 20k caps lol
fasnacht has always caused some burnout, rewards are fine in my experience but the way things are going with so many new rares and other stuff being added each year, it's not good.
skipping the grind this time, afking for an abysmally low chance of getting a glowing is a waste of power. trading for them is much more achievable
Fasnacht brings out the worst in the community. I've been playing since launch and the arguing, AFK-ing (which I do as well), trying to mess with the AFK-ers, scamming new players out of their masks, etc. It's absolutely horrible.
This is coming from someone who wears the full Responder Fireman outfit - screw the rarity. Everyone should be able to get what they want within reason. I was so happy when mutated events came out and all the rare plans became achievable by everyone. Maybe if the event participation stopped, Bethesda would do something.
More people AFK than anything and it ruins the game for those that want to play. So many people in one area with ungodly full inventory drags the servers bandwidth. Half the servers don't even have enough people playing to be able to finnish the event successfully.
@@EndtimeEnterprises
I disagree. Whether the players are loaded into one area (AFK or active) doesn't have a visible effect on performance. The server has to render them, but not their full inventories (maybe aside from their equipped items), there is a reason when you trade with a player it takes a few seconds to see their items - that's when the server has to load them.
If too many people have their CAMPs nearby that can hinder the performance, but not the bodies of players.
That being said, Fasnacht is the only event that makes people think this way, I'd wager mainly due to the frustration of the RNG. Meat Week AFKs never get any hate, even if they just stand there and not play the drums.
I think Bethesda should try awarding tokens in an event based on participation. For example if I donate beeswax, wood, intestines, kill 20 squirrels and a few super mutants I should get let’s say 10 tokens when the event ends whereas if someone is afk they maybe get 2-3. While I don’t mind people afk I’m sure Bethesda would rather people be actively playing the game rather than afking and this gives people an incentive to participate in the event. Now for what to do with the tokens, there should be a Fasnacht vendor where you can buy a mask roll from each pool for let’s say 250 tickets for a rare so after 25 events where you are active and participate you are guaranteed to get a rare mask. I think the roll should still be random just for the novelty of it and so there is still incentive to trade masks for the one you want. I think if Bethesda made an event like this it would be more successful and engaging
So far I gotten one of each of the new ones, a crazy guy mask and a glowing Blue Devil so not too shabby as of now.
I literally got a glowing minotaur while watching this
I got lucky and got the glowing unicorn mask as my first reward for this event, just picked the game up 2 months ago
That is the only mask I want. All the other rewards… meh
Tbh that is some insane luck 🤣
I guess I’ll just have to be happy with deathclaw and glowing Minotaur after about 80 events.
Well that makes sense considering I've gone to the event as MUCH AS POSSIBLE and still have not gotten anything substantially good. Not one glowing mask and yet people everywhere have them. I saw people with glowing masks the first hour when this event finally hit. Like HOW?!?!
How? Did you watch the video? It’s completely RNG
@@vessvmr6l they got the glowing masks right off the first shot of fashnaught. First hour event and after rewards I saw people putting on glowing masks.
I got a glowing alien mask 4th attempt.
Not only you waste ammo trying to make sure the robots dont get destroyed but you can do fasnacht 50+ times & not get one single glowing mask but the odd individual whos spinning in the corner will get 3 or 2 glowing masks, absolute madness lol
Oh the drop rates are so 'Random' but i got a skull mask back to back 🫥😂
So get this, I got com banned on Xbox because i made a looking for group post where I wanted to sell plasma thrower mod for enclave plasma rifle, and it was simple, I put
READ CAREFULLY: I want to sell plasma thrower true mod for 30k then buy your glowing robot mask for 38k and immediately people started clowning on me through messages and I still do not understand what I did wrong or how I ended up getting com banned. Like wtf? This community sucks. I actually thought it was good community but it seems there's alot of children playing these days.
I havent got a glowing one to drop yet but i managed to find the glowing minator one in a players vendor for 800 caps so i dont need the luck i guess lol
A glowing mask for 800 caps is insane! Damn good find 🤣
i got one in my 5th try this month
@@finnaflexofficial it surprised me too
i'd just like 1 glowing mask. I don't even care what it is i've done the event 100+ times Heck i'd even be happy with the flower planter, haven't gotten that yet either.
its honestly a joke, i work 5 12 hour shifts so ive been afk non stop as well as playing on my 3 off so ive basically not missed 1 event since it started and I have not yet got a single glowing mask
Bro I just want ONE glowing mask. ONE.
Same 😂
Rare masks drop rate is insane. farming with 3 accounts and I haven't gotten a single glowing mask
I’m running 5 Xbox’s basically 24/7 I’m up to 9 glowing masks but only 4 different ones
Ok, I thought it was just me. I ran Fasshit 25 times and the masks I was getting were all the old ones and oh so common. I really only wanted the motorized butter churn and I FINALLY got it this morning, when for the first time, I went AFK.
I just got the glowing turkey and I have 2 plans of that butter churn
So far, I have bought one rare mask, got one from the event, and picked one up from a player that dropped it. All of those were the old masks btw. Never got a single glowing mask in my entire life.
Is this why there is so many AFK farming
Pretty much! It’s basically the only event in the whole game where people do it
yep. plus it's boring as hell event. there's nothing to really do but wait around. somebody is gonna be vats instant killing everything that spawns so theres nothing to shoot
@russmanYT that's so true feel bad now for all the afk farmers 😕
It's why I do. I've run it many times from the beginning. I have 3 rare, old masks. Nothing for years.
@mitchellfinley7721 yesterday was my first glowing mask by just doing it
I find it annoying how there's people who sit and spam collet on the mask sharing box in an attempt to hoard everything, i saw 3 plain alien masks go in and get swiped in a split second
Yes that has been a big problem since the donation box started out. There’s a lot of selfish people out there for sure, but it is the wasteland so I guess we can’t really complain, it is a free for all
Donating mask been helping me
I got 3 glowing and 3 rares . Like loon death claw and crazy guy
Total of 336 possible events (2 wks x 24 hrs /day), unless you are server hop'n. Between playing and AFK'n the event, I got around 20 events / day (280 over the two weeks). Half those events, minimum, I was able to double dip 10 per day (another 140 events/2wks), atleast 4 of those / day were triple dips (another 56/2wks), and always got a minimum of 1 Quad/day (+14), ... I totaled around 490 events completed in 2 weeks. These are low ball numbers, actual number is easily over 500.
I would get to the event early, have all the stuff needed (beewax, wood, intestine, etc), I would have all the robots ready to march (most times) w/in 3 min. As long as the robots were not going super slow, we would get done in less than 9 min. I would hop, and hop, and hop... until 20 minutes after.
This was a grind, not for the casual Wastelander. This event gave me 16 rare masks out of a total of 490+ events. The masks did not come steady either. First day I got the Glowing Pig, then nothing for 3 days. Then I got 6 in a day (glowing + old rares). No rhyme or reason I could make of it. Most of the newer masks I got, were while I was afk, from a hop, and/or did nothing. a Few were from doing the event almost solo (3-4am, is all afker's).
Btw, if you do afk the event, please do it at the 3 music spots on the stage, helps alot if we get the music bot, he's always the slowest!
More importantly why do I find all the robots, spend all my ammo just to get booted from the server before the fire is lit?
What platform are you on?
@@finnaflexofficial ps5
@@Reumaut13 I’m on PS5 too. I’ve only had 1 or 2 blue screens in about 40 events I’ve done here. I tend to find that if you are moving through season menus too fast it will blue screen so in the event I just don’t touch my main menu at all 😂
I’ve been doing this event for 4 years, only just started AFK’ing this year because of the HORRIFIC drop rates!
While I have managed to get 3 of the Rare masks, they’ve all dropped on the same character. I average 50+ events every time this event is active, and I only have 3 Rare masks to show for my time.
You’re right. The rise of the AFK’ers fall solely on Bethesda themselves!!
Yeah... drop rates are crap.. I run the event at least 3 times per day I always get the same recipes and the same common and uncommon masks or one rare every 2 or 3 days that I alreayd have repeated in my inventory. It is a bit non-sensical. It was the same when they adjusted the Daily Ops to drop what you dont have... it took months before I could get the unknwnon plans as they were so rare (alien PA paint) that I always got BOS Medallions and Enclave Medallion... I got at least 50 plans for each, which I have dropped in the red box at Nuka World and the Dnonation Box that was located in Vault 76
Good video you explained the statistical reasoning behind the percentages and playtime well for a troglodyte like me
AFK'd overnight and woke up to a glowing alien on one of my two characters :)
That’s banging man!
I got a glowing robot mask the first time i did this event ever, almost threw it away didn't even know it was rare lmao
Have played since beta and at release, have done every single fasnacht except for the one in February this year.
0 rare masks dropped for me in all those years.
I only have the demon mask because a friend gave it to me.
Bro I’ve done almost every event I possibly could for the past 2 days. I know there is many more days to come for the event but I haven’t got shit lol
I honestly don't know how I've been so lucky, I've gotten 6 rare masks, I only have 1 duplicate, which would be the glowing alien.
New subscriber and thank you for the video. I like the drop rate, changing it just makes people feed into the fast food mentality. It leaves something to get the next time or to look for vendors that will probably sell these things for a high price. It's a grind to get to the point you can get caps rather quickly compared to early levels. I've only gotten one glowing mask for almost 40 events. I prefer them making it a grind for harder to get masks or items. People want the game too easy and everything rather easy. It's something to come back to the game for. People will end up being able to pay atoms for ultra rare apparel items like the tattered field jacket which will suck. Like buying end game weapons starting out.
good luck finding new glowings in vendors. they're worth approx 1mil~1.5mil caps equivalent each. if you're wondering how people are bypassing the 40k cap limit, they're trading in currency like bobbleheads/magazines or high value godroll weapon/armor.
sure my man... try having 20 of each uncommon masks in your stash box, that noone wants to buy and then are dropped in the Donation Box or the red box at Nuka World. I am tired of gatting the same confetti plans, the sausage recipe, the same masks all over again... Same with Meat Week... I got 30 copies of the Flag for example and only 1 new plan... that is BS.
@@BxBxProductions I think that's great. If everyone could get them easily than it would ruin their value. It's a grindy game and I love having ultra rare items to get. I understand the frustration, I don't care much for masks so I just want another for the trade value when I need a lot of caps in a rather short period.
All this afk grinding just to put it in the stash and never think about it again until the next fasnacht
This might be the best comment on the whole damn video
Great video you have convinced me its not worth grinding for.if i. Playing ill do the event but im not gonna turn off what ever game im playing just to do thos at the top of every hour.
I managed to get 3 glowing on the first day now just getting normal masks, goblin, jester, jester, owl.
Man I've been playing since it drop and your only fmer that makes sense
Makes sense why every server is just 14 afk players sitting in the event area
Nuke
Why adding very cool items that almost impossible to have … Bethesda really wants us to become crazy for real.. I’m so disgusted about this fcking event …
I got a glowing alien mask at my 4th event. Since then, the same old cr@p I got from 70 events in February.
I've done this event over 200x each time it runs. Last time, I got 3 glowing SQ masks. This time, zero glowing masks and no butter churner.
I don’t suppose you are on PlayStation and happen to still have 1 of those glowing sb or glowing sbq masks? 😂 I’m still missing them and could trade!
This guy understands my pain they really do need to fix this event it straight up makes me not want to play this game anymore.
I've gotten ZERO glowing, which is what I really wanted. However, I got the masks nobody cares about. Loon, Hag, Raven, etc
I walked on the dreamwalker path....luck will strike at one point, do not fear brothers, the moment will come.
If you can’t beat em..join em. I AFKed for about 3 days now. Glowing Scorchbeast queen ✔️
Glowing Unicorn ✔️
Winter man ✔️
Deathclaw ✔️
Praise be 🙏🤞
So far I have had good luck got 2 glowing turkey masks and 2 glowing blue devil mask plus old man winter helmet but that been 4 days if afking on 2 accounts
Got 5 toothy man masks in a row yesterday….not impressed Bethesda!
Yea I have been playing for a little over 2 years now I still have not gotten one of the top tear masks. I also get the same one over and over and over again I mean how many witch masks can one have. I might be crying about it lol but I'm still going to do the event because of that 0.238% chance😢
I do afk the event & I'm proud of it 😊
I got a fiend mask on my alt first time last year haven’t played it on that character since
This is why people dupe everything.
Yes sir they do this shit to there self
I got a glowing honey bee mask on my second event cut 70 hours later (missing roughly 10 of those 70 from sleep n afk crashing) and just got my second glowing last night as I was falling asleep we are 4 days in and I’ve essentially just gotten trash I’m def going to be afk city from here on out you can expect me to keep playing the game for a 0.0238% chance I’ll get on to see if the server is active enough to sit n do nothing but beyond that nah
Yes I know my 2 glowing masks are more than others but when I tell you I deadass been doing event for legit copies it feels extra bad when I see a afk person get off the dumbass piano n put on a fresh glowing I’m joining yall
usually skip this event. been grinding it since it started this week. probably done 40 runs. Just got my glowing alien mask. gonna use it with the dr zorbo robes. good shit. good luck everyone
I am so over it, if I dont get one tonight. I'll stop doing this event
Idk I got 3 glowing mask back to back to back on Saturday. I doubt I’ll ever get another one lmao
It happens with all the event drop lists, they getting bigger and that makes it harder to get especial drops.
No it doesn’t. A lot of limited time events like The Mothman Equinox 2024 had their rewards set so that you couldn’t get duplicates. Duplicates have also been removed from elder tier daily ops as I already explained in the video. You also can’t get duplicates of expeditions plans either.
@@finnaflexofficial ok so they changed it for one seasonal event, but as i remember correctly all the others like Alien Invasion, Fastnacht, Meat Week, Christmas scorched, Treasure Hunt and Spooky scorched, all still give out duplicates and the rewards like weapons or cosmetics in most cases all share the same drop lists. That the daily ops drop list changed is nice, i already got all the new plans that were included in the skyline valley in a row and now i get duplicates again like Alien skin PA plans. Expeditions are also made as it should be, but they are Expeditions not seasonal events, and when i learn all the plans i hope that they start to drop duplicate plans, so i can put them into my camp shop as it is a nice additional caps income. Especially for Fastnacht the drop list is getting huge, maybe excluding the old common masks from the list and including a trader and additional fastnacht currency might be a solution to get rid of such a huge drop list. Players still would need to do the event to get that currency, so even new players might get a chance to get the old masks, but old players wont get frustrated to end up with a lot of old masks instead of new ones.
132 Faushnaught day events so far. Nothing but common masks.... So frustrating.
didnt get a single rar mask, and I was playing like crazy for this event 😂
Time to pull out the ol' rubber band! 🎭
I absolutely agree with you 👍
I’ve done this event every hour so far and have not received any rare masks. I’ve afk and still nothing. Same stupid skull, giant, owl, blue devil mask etc ima lose my mind if I don’t get something good at the end of the event. Kinda terrible how low of a drop it is to get a stupid freaking mask. Getting angy. I’d drop 40k caps on a rare mask if anyone would be willing to but everyone just wants to trade them for other masks. I’m never gonna get one 😭😭😭
don't care for event or current season. i want new weapons, armor, mods, and new perks or even something worth spending my atoms i earned in the shop. and i dont understand streamers saying get the new oil resource making machine if i need fuel i just do a campaign mission
Done my 50th fasnacht today. 1 rare Deathclaw mask, that's it. I don't mind some RNG but this is waaaaay too much
I got 4 glowing masks, I played it like 10 times, maybe a bit more. And traded them for god rolls
2 glowing turkeys and a raven here
Lemme get a turkey
@@JackBeano gave to my brother
I have done the event over 60 times and still haven't gotten a glowing mask
So I got a Glowing Robot mask and the Churning Butter machine.. that's fasnacht done for me :)
My mule on my other account got 2 rare mask back to back in 2 hours. Glowing blue devil an the Loon. My main account got glowing pig
Played about 15 times...and have 1 glowing Alien and 1 glowing Robot...guess I am lucky
Been playing since the beginning,an never gotten a mask worth anything, work 12s an xbox one wont AFK controller goes asleep after 15mins or get booted for inactive
I have been extremely lucky this fasnacht
Makes me not even want the rare masks 🙄
I just want the butter churn
You can get every mask and plan for cash outside the game. You cant tell me that B doesnt own these sites.
i watched this while AFKing
my First Fastnacht Event and i already have two Glowing Masks ( Minotaur and Pig ) i'll guess i better shut Up about Not getting the Moonface
I’m just missing the glowing pig, unicorn and turkey mask😭🤦🏻♂️
I like that the drop rates are low to get a rare reward would really be considered rare if the drop rates were higher, I mean it's a chance to get a mask. I did the event 12 times and got Glowing Queen mask, it's all luck. Can't be salty if you don't get a glowing mask right away lol
With afk'n I treat it like take a penny leave a penny, if you're gunna do it, just counter it by doing the event for other afk'rs
No wonder I keep getting the event streamers.
i got my butter churn today, boom.
It’s actually a 5% chance to get a rare mask. .23% is the chance to get the exact mask you desire.
Every glowing mask is the one you desire and they are all 0.238%. Overthinking it is exactly what I said not to do in. There's no point in saying you can get a mask at 5% but it's 0.238% for a certain one because the rate is the same for each one.
@@finnaflexofficial ok so you have a combined chance of 5% every time
@@legitgingerxz combined yes, the 5% is just the combined percentage drop rate of all 21 rare masks combined into 1 big rate. But it would make absolutely no sense to use this as the individual drop rate to get 1 mask lol. Hence why I explained the real individual drop rate of 0.238%. The 5% you are talking about is literally 21 x 0.238
The odds do technically come out to 1 out of 420 but because of the reset after every event its displayed as a percentage... however the math isnt wrong .23% is 1 out of 420... funny thing is, there isnt 420 events in 2 weeks of the event 😂
Exactly the reason why I told people to not overthink it and that the numbers don’t matter
😅 you know whats funny about this event, I saw a camp fill with sun mask in the glass display. Must be how that fella showing protess to Bustesda I guess. This is in PS so you know.
Honestly the dumbest event they made as I never got a mask legitimately other than in trades