A Moment With...Allan Lichtman

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  • Опубліковано 4 жов 2024
  • In this University of Maryland at College Park video, political historian Allan Lichtman describes his theory to predict which political party will win the presidency based on 13 historical factors. Lichtman is the author of The Thirteen Keys to the Presidency.

КОМЕНТАРІ • 32

  • @irockluculent961
    @irockluculent961 4 роки тому +23

    Why doesn't this video have millions of views? Lichtman makes so many painful but important observations trying to help us learn from history.

    • @MatthewGreer-h3k
      @MatthewGreer-h3k 3 місяці тому

      Look at the college protest now history repeats itself it reminds me of divesting from South Africa and it reminds in in some ways of Vietnam but we some how think that the pro Palestine protesters are wrong even though history proves that they’re going to be right.

  • @MichaelGeorge161
    @MichaelGeorge161 Місяць тому +13

    Weird seeing 2008 look like 1995

    • @TonecrafteLuthiery
      @TonecrafteLuthiery Місяць тому

      I have some weird nostalgia for the days when TV looked like this 😂.

    • @deathfliez627
      @deathfliez627 29 днів тому

      It’s 2006 actually

  • @sglbeta
    @sglbeta 7 років тому +20

    Lichtman really hits this right on the mark, no wonder he correctly predicted Trump

    • @thehalloweenheavymetalmusicwar
      @thehalloweenheavymetalmusicwar 3 роки тому +4

      This guy is a genius. As he said and he is right, you can't be partisan in making these predictions. And he does this him being a Democrat and he does an awesome job in putting all of that aside making these predictions very early on.

    • @nateisawesome766
      @nateisawesome766 2 місяці тому +1

      In 2016 he said his predictions were for the popular vote. Trump lost the popular vote

    • @JeanValjean875
      @JeanValjean875 21 день тому +2

      ​​@@nateisawesome766If you watch interviews from that time, he's pretty clear that he was predicting Trump would win "the election." Which implies the electoral college.

  • @57pickles
    @57pickles Місяць тому +4

    As a Christian, I do believe that Mormonism is a heresy, however, I’d vote for Mitt Romney 1,000 times over before voting for Trump.

  • @matthewmorgan7106
    @matthewmorgan7106 3 місяці тому +3

    July 2024. Trump is history folks, regardless of who the Dems have as their nominee.

    • @smellyarmpit23
      @smellyarmpit23 Місяць тому

      I'm not as confident as you are. The social unrest key could very easily flip from anti-Israeli protestors + there's always room for third parties to pick up more votes/a scandal to come out. I wouldn't say this is in the bag quite yet - and that's not even touching on Trump's intention to overturn the results in the case that he loses once again.

  • @katherinekaufman9856
    @katherinekaufman9856 Місяць тому

    Professor Lichtman is dynamic and brilliant.

  • @vgcq02
    @vgcq02 12 років тому +1

    He said that is embedded in the WPV which is something they deeply harp on. He did not say it was not part of other groups.

  • @theterriblechildren9018
    @theterriblechildren9018 Місяць тому

    Man... interesting time capsule. As time goes on Allan Lichtman looks less crazy or lying. I think hes actually onto something with this.

  • @maribeldiaz8878
    @maribeldiaz8878 3 роки тому

    kien gana en gorilla lasenadoria

  • @matyaksenton4301
    @matyaksenton4301 Місяць тому +1

    Damn, seeing this in 2024, makes me yearn for 2008 as a bygone golden age of unity and civility! 🤯

  • @anton5479
    @anton5479 Місяць тому

    Alan getting one wrong seeing he doesnt think Obama can get elected.

    • @YTTerm
      @YTTerm Місяць тому

      He noticed more people were ready to elect a black Africa than voting for a woman.

    • @YTTerm
      @YTTerm Місяць тому

      He also said whoever got nominized for the democrats would win.

    • @YTTerm
      @YTTerm Місяць тому +1

      He said more people were ready for a black African than for a woman.

    • @mozz7867
      @mozz7867 Місяць тому +2

      But in his final prediction he did predict Obama. The keys came through for him.

    • @socialminds9894
      @socialminds9894 Місяць тому +2

      He predicted Obama's victory

  • @customedge1
    @customedge1 7 років тому +2

    is that a rug on his head???

    • @katherinekaufman9856
      @katherinekaufman9856 Місяць тому +1

      No, that is Professor Lichtman's natural hair. He truly won the "hair-lottery"!