Pete. Hand #2. I think one of the additional reasons solver would 3b flop with AxQs is that you can get called by nut flush draws. You'll also sometimes get jammed on sure. But When villain has nfd and calls, AxQs is ahead of it, dominates it, holds one of its outs, and theoretically wins every so often when future streets check down. Ive seen this pattern of solver aggressing with AKo/AQo while having the K/Q of the flush card suit in multiple spots.
Very "tekky" spot. Slight shifts in how he plays the sets pre or even AK & His XR range going to move this combo either way. It's likely ~indifferent at equil and think the Qs could overperform in reality as he probably isn't xr'ing KQs (alot) but if he's calling more AKo pre (which is a much more likely XR imo) then again... The equil shifts. Hes likely not finding the weak pair XR or the 33, 44 but it's conceivable that he could mix a ton of FDs for xr, perhaps knowing he doesn't oR 22. Hence why it's tricky as its doubtful he has a firm grasp of his specific range w/ regards to value /bluff ratios, specifically the sets in his range (perhaps he opens more small PPs w/ recreationals at the table developing flatting ranges IP or w/e the case may be. Point being, specifically w/ the low interaction on the board, these small PP sets are going to shift the Equilibrium quite considerably and it's hard to ascertain his strategy w/ FDs but I think on Khi boards, players, (the HJ) are going to be more passive than equil in general and we can safely assume he doesn't find enough mergy raises to discourage IP just 3b/gii w/ all his Kx indiscriminately so I think the momentum shifts towards call in that regards but there's lots of conflicting factors at play imo. I guess if it feels close, it's probably ~indifferent in reality and can't fault a tight fold. Visibility probably isn't great anyway. Even when we turn a FD, it's quite conceivable he sizes too large. Then again, maybe he mixes in some X on FC turn (when it's probably closer to RB) I like the heuristic of mixing in 3b w/ these high card combos unblocking the NFD but I think the fact his best TP is condensed around KQs disencentivizes the Qs slightly but in reality, again, probably better w/o the presence/prevelence of KQs xr. Interesting spot.
Absolutely the best poker analysis on UA-cam. The hand reading breakdown on hand 1 was extraordinarily useful. Would love a video entirely dedicated to hand reading in that same style
Bro, I discovered you channel recently and I can easily tell you that it's already in my top 3 poker channels on UA-cam for sure!!! Your channel, Saulo Costa and Finding Equilibrium are simply amazing. Thank you for all your time and knowledge bro. You are probably one of the best coahces nowadays by far.
there's minimal difference between NL25 and NL50, you will see a bigger difference in skill when you move up to 100NL/200NL, if you can beat NL25 you can bet NL50 at least this is the case on GG
@@dariomladenovski7047 That's interesting. On global poker I was crushing 20NL and the day I put a day's worth of volume at 50NL I was punting. There are certainly many bet sizing considerations of flops and turns (and some pot size and overbets on river), as well as making sure to continue a bit weaker hands on certain board textures to not get run over. But I adjusted very quickly. I would say 200NL plays extremely fast, but if you make sure to balance bluffing,semi-bluffing with the bottom of your range pre and post flop it is definitely possible to breakeven easily if you have some talent.
Discovered your channel/site via easty's Punt or no Punt and now rapidly becoming my fav cash game stuff out there. The Pio v Population essays are remarkable value when buying bundle. Super coherent and well put together. Cash injection looks great value too. Hope to grind the $$ for the full School in future! Cheers
Can’t say I agree with giving up on the river with QJ. Pools are over folding across the board to river bets with an inability to meet MDF requirements across all bet sizes in all nodes. Bluffing is negative EV for sure, but I’d say it still has more pot capture than checking. You might get snapped off here, but in the long run, even over folding by 2% is profitable. If you node lock an over fold of 2%, solver would certainly bet all non showdown hands in pure. And then on top of that, to be that selective with your bluffs on the river, you’ll end up missing many opportunities to bluff rivers due to too complex of a thought process and too much projection of what you’d have in your opponent’s shoes. You’ll easily start talking yourself out of bluffs in a pool that is folding too much.
Hi Pete great video and great explanations. Bluff is a litlle part of the game. First we have to understand how play for value. We should understand all the think , reactions and how to get the maximum EV. I see a lot of people worry about how to bluff but dont even know how to play for value. I absolute love this format of your videos as I said before. Have a nice day.
I had a hand like the last one in the video at nano stakes. After his dbl barrel on a dry board I shoved JJ and the guy "trap" check/called the river with QQ. :D So it's true, some people try to trap villain on the river for some reason.
well, the Easter sale helps w/ 2 of my problems 1) the high value of the pound recently vs USD 2) me using my 10% off for signing up for the newsletter on Cash Injection and then learning I could not use it again for the Poker School. also, great video, Pete. make more like this. make more in general.
@@CarrotCornerPoker it was tilting to realized htat I had used it to save 10 pounds when I could have used it to save 100. but, it's all worked out in the end.
In the SB vs MP 3Bp A76 flop, if IP is building a range just around a good Ax then shouldn't they only choose a larger size? Am I thinking about this the wrong way? Great stuff as always
I like that you get through some number of hands here, compared to talking very much about the same hand (of which some of it is just saying the same thing over and over again in a heuristic, trying to be funny kind of way). For instance, Id love to see more hands in the student videos (hauling mauling etc). That's just me tho. I don't know if the other viewers want that, although I guess they do. Anyway. Love your content!
Just another thought after seeing the last hand on the river. Doesn't your equity framework for value betting kind of fail in nodes like this where villain is meant to seriously over fold to a bet? Like KJ is a jam, not arguing there, but a hand like JJ has 85-90% equity in my sim when checked to yet it is pure checking because villains line is primarily give ups and he is meant to fold around 80% of his range to a less than pot size jam
Yep, there are definitely exceptions to the Tier System as we call it, but it's great in 96% of spots. We do need to look out for nodes where Villain is very polarised though and adjust it
Nice video. Played almost the same as the student. Only the 99 i would have bet the turn and check river (or checked turn and bet river but prefer turn bet)). And I dont want to talk about the AA river decision :) Because I was quite off there --> hope Pete will forgive me.
Hey Pete, is the 25%-off Easter sale only this Friday or all throughout the weekend? I'm considering the "Full Scholarship" Grades 1-3 + Cash Injection. Cheers!
17:54 When you say that is terrible to bet the river do you mean on practice and/or reality is terrible??? I am saying that because the solver want to use tiny bets or Check on the river. The 10%pot size is used with the whole range actually...and AA bets 10% on a frequency. Apparently the EV of Checking is = EV of blockbetting on the GTO land. In practice if population can't find raise bluffs on the river ,then i guess Checking is mutch superior! Great content btw! Keep pushing!
I mean if you use 10% pot it's so close to checking that I don't mind at all, but yeah, don't bet any meaningfully big size. That would be horrible both theoretically and practically.
@@CarrotCornerPoker I would say that 10% bet is a meaningfully bet by any means. . Actually, i think that some theoritical concepts behind tiny bets on the river ,can expand the horizontal of the poker theory. I can imagine some concepts behind that. 1) There are hands that want/can value bet thin enough on the river 2)Some hi EQ hands , gain more EV by getting raised 3)If the calling range of villain is blocked heavily( like that example AA,block top pairs)
Because there is no reason to arbitrarily play against a tiny part of Villain's range especially since these hands usually won't get here, but even if they did there's no reason to take a line simply because you like it against those hands alone. Targeting is such a horrible disease of a thought process. It's not your fault that you've been infected by it but yeah, it's the worst.
There's absolutely no way this is a student that "makes very little mistakes". At his worst he was -75 buyins at almost 250k hands of 200NL. what the fuck?
@@CarrotCornerPoker I just don’t find it fascinating how a perfect robot plays against another perfect robot. To me it’s a super irrelevant thought process and gives you just horribly incorrect assumptions against normal bad humans which most people are
This 20-min detailed hand review was awesome! Love the format!
Thanks, good to know.
Love this format. Enjoy your breakdown followed by the action and what our hero did at the time and his thought process. More please
Thanks for the kind words, Mike.
@@CarrotCornerPokerbetting for protection = fold equity = forcing ( maybe not the right word) your opponent to fold
Pete. Hand #2. I think one of the additional reasons solver would 3b flop with AxQs is that you can get called by nut flush draws. You'll also sometimes get jammed on sure. But When villain has nfd and calls, AxQs is ahead of it, dominates it, holds one of its outs, and theoretically wins every so often when future streets check down. Ive seen this pattern of solver aggressing with AKo/AQo while having the K/Q of the flush card suit in multiple spots.
Thank you sir for providing me with an aha moment! Cheers
This is really helpful thanks ☘️
Yeah absolutely. We typically prefer to have this suit than to not on earlier streets. The reasons you give are good ones.
Very "tekky" spot.
Slight shifts in how he plays the sets pre or even AK & His XR range going to move this combo either way. It's likely ~indifferent at equil and think the Qs could overperform in reality as he probably isn't xr'ing KQs (alot) but if he's calling more AKo pre (which is a much more likely XR imo) then again... The equil shifts.
Hes likely not finding the weak pair XR or the 33, 44 but it's conceivable that he could mix a ton of FDs for xr, perhaps knowing he doesn't oR 22.
Hence why it's tricky as its doubtful he has a firm grasp of his specific range w/ regards to value /bluff ratios, specifically the sets in his range (perhaps he opens more small PPs w/ recreationals at the table developing flatting ranges IP or w/e the case may be.
Point being, specifically w/ the low interaction on the board, these small PP sets are going to shift the Equilibrium quite considerably and it's hard to ascertain his strategy w/ FDs but I think on Khi boards, players, (the HJ) are going to be more passive than equil in general and we can safely assume he doesn't find enough mergy raises to discourage IP just 3b/gii w/ all his Kx indiscriminately so I think the momentum shifts towards call in that regards but there's lots of conflicting factors at play imo.
I guess if it feels close, it's probably ~indifferent in reality and can't fault a tight fold. Visibility probably isn't great anyway. Even when we turn a FD, it's quite conceivable he sizes too large. Then again, maybe he mixes in some X on FC turn (when it's probably closer to RB)
I like the heuristic of mixing in 3b w/ these high card combos unblocking the NFD but I think the fact his best TP is condensed around KQs disencentivizes the Qs slightly but in reality, again, probably better w/o the presence/prevelence of KQs xr.
Interesting spot.
You seem to explain concepts very well. Burning building analogy, bluffing broth, etc. Well done.
Absolutely the best poker analysis on UA-cam. The hand reading breakdown on hand 1 was extraordinarily useful. Would love a video entirely dedicated to hand reading in that same style
This is really kind of you to say. Thanks!
Really enjoyed this one. Would vote for more of this.
Love the reviews! Thank you Pete! Definitely improving my game and I also always recommend your content on my streams. 👍
This means a lot mate, cheers 🙂
Bro, I discovered you channel recently and I can easily tell you that it's already in my top 3 poker channels on UA-cam for sure!!! Your channel, Saulo Costa and Finding Equilibrium are simply amazing. Thank you for all your time and knowledge bro. You are probably one of the best coahces nowadays by far.
The discussion on the last hand was very helpful! 🤩
Loved this format. The active coaching videos are what i crave.
What a great video, I get you so much, ty !
You’re a great teacher and coach. Love the format!! Your guidance has really helped me with my 25NL game and I’m soon looking to move up to 50NL.
there's minimal difference between NL25 and NL50, you will see a bigger difference in skill when you move up to 100NL/200NL, if you can beat NL25 you can bet NL50 at least this is the case on GG
@@dariomladenovski7047 That's interesting. On global poker I was crushing 20NL and the day I put a day's worth of volume at 50NL I was punting. There are certainly many bet sizing considerations of flops and turns (and some pot size and overbets on river), as well as making sure to continue a bit weaker hands on certain board textures to not get run over. But I adjusted very quickly. I would say 200NL plays extremely fast, but if you make sure to balance bluffing,semi-bluffing with the bottom of your range pre and post flop it is definitely possible to breakeven easily if you have some talent.
Discovered your channel/site via easty's Punt or no Punt and now rapidly becoming my fav cash game stuff out there. The Pio v Population essays are remarkable value when buying bundle. Super coherent and well put together.
Cash injection looks great value too.
Hope to grind the $$ for the full School in future!
Cheers
Pete with the hilarious mirror quote. 😂
Amazing format, great commentary, best poker video I've seen in a long time
Love this Pete - thanks ☘️
awesome video great work as always
Love the format mate, the hand analysis is helping me improve the holes in my game a ton
Thank you for this loving it, especially the last two hand. It's is very interesting and help me improve my game.
Enjoyed this format, Pete. Thank you for continuing to bring us a mix of formats.
Can’t say I agree with giving up on the river with QJ. Pools are over folding across the board to river bets with an inability to meet MDF requirements across all bet sizes in all nodes. Bluffing is negative EV for sure, but I’d say it still has more pot capture than checking.
You might get snapped off here, but in the long run, even over folding by 2% is profitable. If you node lock an over fold of 2%, solver would certainly bet all non showdown hands in pure.
And then on top of that, to be that selective with your bluffs on the river, you’ll end up missing many opportunities to bluff rivers due to too complex of a thought process and too much projection of what you’d have in your opponent’s shoes. You’ll easily start talking yourself out of bluffs in a pool that is folding too much.
Hi Pete great video and great explanations. Bluff is a litlle part of the game. First we have to understand how play for value.
We should understand all the think , reactions and how to get the maximum EV.
I see a lot of people worry about how to bluff but dont even know how to play for value.
I absolute love this format of your videos as I said before. Have a nice day.
Excellent video, thanks!
Great as usual!
7:40. No Solver View. YES !
brilliant thnks pete
Fantastic, I am winning online and live, but I certainly need this. I do make betting mistakes for sure.
Loved the analysis, thank you!
pls to more this kind of video, love it so much!
Great vid, ty for sharing your thought process
This is great!
Show you love for that format, thank you!
one of your best video ! very usefull format
Great format! Thank You.
I had a hand like the last one in the video at nano stakes. After his dbl barrel on a dry board I shoved JJ and the guy "trap" check/called the river with QQ. :D So it's true, some people try to trap villain on the river for some reason.
Nice job man, tks a lot!
first of your videos that popped into my stream. liked, subbed and here's a comment
Great video!
imagine getting called out for being a scam coach. amazing vid as always mate!
There always has to be some sort of witchhunt. Humans gonna human.
I just realised who this is. I was wondering what you were up to the other my guy.
Your a bloody terrific coach man
I love you smart talk guys that business well. Luck good forever!
well, the Easter sale helps w/ 2 of my problems
1) the high value of the pound recently vs USD
2) me using my 10% off for signing up for the newsletter on Cash Injection and then learning I could not use it again for the Poker School.
also, great video, Pete.
make more like this.
make more in general.
Yeahsadly that 10% code is a one off thing, but yes the Easter Sale is now live!
@@CarrotCornerPoker it was tilting to realized htat I had used it to save 10 pounds when I could have used it to save 100.
but, it's all worked out in the end.
great vid
What about a 10% block bet with Aces full? Wouldn’t we be doing that with a lot of Ax?
Sure, by don't bet I mean don't bet anything meaningfully large.
In the SB vs MP 3Bp A76 flop, if IP is building a range just around a good Ax then shouldn't they only choose a larger size? Am I thinking about this the wrong way? Great stuff as always
A fUlL HoUse Is A GoOd HanD I caLl
What's the showdown with AA top boat? 17:50
Villain had QQ
please more
I like that you get through some number of hands here, compared to talking very much about the same hand (of which some of it is just saying the same thing over and over again in a heuristic, trying to be funny kind of way). For instance, Id love to see more hands in the student videos (hauling mauling etc). That's just me tho. I don't know if the other viewers want that, although I guess they do.
Anyway. Love your content!
Nah i think a lot of people share this view with you. I've taken this on board.
This episode made me realize how much I didn't know
Just another thought after seeing the last hand on the river. Doesn't your equity framework for value betting kind of fail in nodes like this where villain is meant to seriously over fold to a bet? Like KJ is a jam, not arguing there, but a hand like JJ has 85-90% equity in my sim when checked to yet it is pure checking because villains line is primarily give ups and he is meant to fold around 80% of his range to a less than pot size jam
Yep, there are definitely exceptions to the Tier System as we call it, but it's great in 96% of spots. We do need to look out for nodes where Villain is very polarised though and adjust it
This is really good content
Nice video. Played almost the same as the student. Only the 99 i would have bet the turn and check river (or checked turn and bet river but prefer turn bet)). And I dont want to talk about the AA river decision :) Because I was quite off there --> hope Pete will forgive me.
Good job. I forgive you but hope you have had a good hard talk with yourself.
@@CarrotCornerPoker i refuse to look at myself in the mirror for the coming weeks😎
yes we like. Give us more
Soooo what did V have in the AA hand? You cut off the showdown
QQ
What does a graph mean without ev line?
Slightly less than with the EV line. There are many types of variance other than all in EV.
I'm not able to see the discount (trying to get cash injection)
The sale will be live from 12pm UK time so in about an hour and 40 minutes.
@@CarrotCornerPoker Thank you Sir
Hey Pete, is the 25%-off Easter sale only this Friday or all throughout the weekend? I'm considering the "Full Scholarship" Grades 1-3 + Cash Injection. Cheers!
Finished the video, learned it's 7th to 11th. Thank you for the great content Pete!
17:54 When you say that is terrible to bet the river do you mean on practice and/or reality is terrible??? I am saying that because the solver want to use tiny bets or Check on the river. The 10%pot size is used with the whole range actually...and AA bets 10% on a frequency. Apparently the EV of Checking is = EV of blockbetting on the GTO land. In practice if population can't find raise bluffs on the river ,then i guess Checking is mutch superior! Great content btw! Keep pushing!
I mean if you use 10% pot it's so close to checking that I don't mind at all, but yeah, don't bet any meaningfully big size. That would be horrible both theoretically and practically.
@@CarrotCornerPoker I would say that 10% bet is a meaningfully bet by any means. . Actually, i think that some theoritical concepts behind tiny bets on the river ,can expand the horizontal of the poker theory. I can imagine some concepts behind that.
1) There are hands that want/can value bet thin enough on the river
2)Some hi EQ hands , gain more EV by getting raised
3)If the calling range of villain is blocked heavily( like that example AA,block top pairs)
i think he has a course not sure tho
Why can't we bet 12-15bb at 17:00 mark to target 88-TT?
Because there is no reason to arbitrarily play against a tiny part of Villain's range especially since these hands usually won't get here, but even if they did there's no reason to take a line simply because you like it against those hands alone. Targeting is such a horrible disease of a thought process. It's not your fault that you've been infected by it but yeah, it's the worst.
I prefer this format that the one you are with the student it takes so long to analise just one hand.
Myself I prefer like this
Yeah I agree - we do need more of this faster format.
I'm happy my gut was telling me to turn the 99 hand into a bluff on the turn as well. Maybe I'm not as big a bozo at the tables as I thought.
Yeah the multi-way-ness really demotes our SDV and increases fold equity.
Should villain be shoving that river with value by the way on AAA?
Yep
There's absolutely no way this is a student that "makes very little mistakes". At his worst he was -75 buyins at almost 250k hands of 200NL. what the fuck?
Which site /pool is this?
Not sure the student wants me to divulge that.
Commenting just to help give the video some visibility. Thanks!
Appreciate it.
BB QQ turn barrel in the last hand is awful Vs population
I take that back, maybe not awful, but not highest EV imo.
How much do you charge per hour mate? Have same situation like your student...
It's £250 an hour. That's reasonable from what I've seen for a top-notch coach, which Pete definitely is.
Im a poker pro playing up to 500nl, 3.5bb/100 on 200 fast fold, I'll do it for 100/HR first session free, I really enjoy teaching and talking poker.
The AQ with ace of spades continue flop v aggro whale just ain’t it. there’s just no way regardless what a solver says
I agree but the theory is still fascinating.
@@CarrotCornerPoker I just don’t find it fascinating how a perfect robot plays against another perfect robot. To me it’s a super irrelevant thought process and gives you just horribly incorrect assumptions against normal bad humans which most people are
like. how about more live play.. short max 10 min.
Can certainly do this.
Can’t wait to purchase the Carrot Corner how to play like a little bitch course 🔥 🔥
First! I finally get to say it!
Alright Petey fella 👊
Hey mate! Folded any 99 recently?