Відео

TB 1.07 EV , ATL .94 EV ( both are the highest i have avail ) Balt , GB , Den are the other's which i dont have

hey guys - well i made it thru , by the skin of my teeth - Lar ( that was a close as close can get with the INt endzone ) also last second switched INdy - TB , thank god i did - ice cream , and 25% of the pool eliminated - finish line is here - and im already set on who i am taking TB , ATL - both have the most to play for , both are the highest % picked this week going to be - TB is my 1st - was considering Sea , Arz , Wash , but thinking ATL at home with Bijan / Pennix vs this horrrible Car D - 22% on TB , 20% on ATL , 12 teams going be selected this week at least , and as of now 1 game with picks on both sides , (might be 2 by kickoff ) - any last minute insight - or advice be much much appreciated - love all the help , and cannot wait till Week 1 next year already ,

Happy Holidays guys - keep killing it with the Pod - - great info on the hedging parlay - gave me some great ideas

got thru again with Atl & Cin ( no sweat for survivor this week : ) ... - week 17 is 1 week not A n B - What are ur guys thoughts on even if Hurts is in - i was going take PHI up until Sunday - curious to know ur thoughts - Now im leaning Wash , Indy ( I do have TB , Lar , Sea as well avail ) - as of now 30% on Indy , 20 % on BUff , 17 % on TB , 10% Lar , 10% LAC , then the rest is 2 - 4 % on few teams - even if Jalen is ruled in - im a little skeptical - any thoughts / advice be much appreciated as always - thanks

Mike and Russ, you guys have done a great job all year with the podcast and tips! Figured since we're out now, I can go ahead and say that we were going to split our sheets and take 1 KC and 1 Pitt. As far as the reason why we chose Arizona over Buffalo was because our only options for wk 17b were going to be Indy, Jags, and Saints with Indy being the only decent option. However, Indy was going to more than likely be the chalk play so we were basically conceding that if we took Buffalo that we had no other path to win that wouldn't result in the majority getting through as well. We asked ourselves would we rather just get to the end with 15+ people or would we rather try and give us a chance where we could be potentially get under 10 people left even it meant we were eliminated. We chose the latter and still don't regret it. The only thing we kinda regret is not taking Atlanta instead. I know Arizona lost, but if a terrible roughing the passer penalty in the first quarter and James Conner getting injured in the first series of the second half didn't happen, I think we would've had a different ending. Hard to account for injuries and refs. So splitting this thing between 3 of us and also the people we sold equity to, getting to the end with 10+ people wasn't going to be a huge financial win that would change anything in our everyday lives. Honestly, if we got to the end with 10+ people, my portion would've had a better chance at making it to the Aria HL baccarat tables than my bank account! Anyways, just wanted to attempt to provide some clarity since I've been watching your podcast all season long. Appreciate your efforts in helping the community and good luck with your remaining pieces in the contest!

or if not ATL - maybe TB ( I agree Pennix unproven - i like the idea of 25% of moving on instead of 50% taking 2 teams ) CIN is going to be one , ATL or TB for the other - PHI is avail but on road division rather use them next week - I could take TB this week on 1 entry , have them still next week on other entry

Got thru with Balt / Minny - still alot left 1100/18k - this week 50% on GB 25% on Buff 10% Atl 10% Cin , 2-3% on few others - Im saving Philly TB Week 17 - this week really like Cin ( chubb out DTR QB - Cle ) also thinking ATL even with Pennix - ur thoughts ? using Atlas EV - Cin + .97 , ATL + .98 ( dont have Buff / GB ) - also should i keep taking twin entries every week or let it ride on say CIN - whats the highest EV play - love the content guys keep it up

@5:23 Is this a reference to last year's Monday Night loss to Tennessee? Implying that it was the game that you guys lost out on your last entry last year? It's hard to tell what inevitably "PRIVILEGED" Russ is implying at times.........,..........

The only weeks you can have no possible pick for is Thanksgiving and Christmas. Every other week at least 20 teams are playing, so you will always have an option (even if it's an underdog).

love the poker analogy

survived last week PIT MIA - still large pool 1100 left out of 18K ( 2nd chance week 5 started ) - i can see the pick % - 45% on Balt - I was thinking Balt & Minny - but also considering fading that chalk - going with Minny ARZ or Minny Wash ( dont really like Wash on the road in a dome ) - what are your thoughts on this

Very witty and fluid!

nice pokergo hoodie

Great podcast. Very informative.

You guys are good together and very informative. TKS

5 weeks left - LFG im in a big pool Bet Online 2nd chance - still 1200 left out of 17K , i got 2 entries - should i keep splitting my picks every week - giving me the best chance to survive ? , also been using the +EV tool Atlas - and taking the highest EV pick while trying to avoid the most picked teams ( I can see the % every week of picks before making my picks )

Sorry Buchmiller 😢

Is your contest name Jed or something else?

Gotcha thanks

Great podcast again!

Great info this pod One of my survivor BOL I can see what % of entire r on which teams as they pick so before kickoff can see literally who is one what n make my decision Great points made about how many on Det / Mia n ur thought process with that

What does it mean when u say NFL wise guys out of the 6 entries 3 have a twin What does having a " twin " mean Love the pod / content 1st time survivor player BOL / Splash Thanks guys

Very much enjoyed this. I am 1 of 5 out of 255 @ 50$ a ticket. Darn near mirrors this contest for picks. Much respect!

man - so glad found this - been a huge fan follow the money - recently seen u guys on there - huge survivor player / fan ( smaller contest then circa ) n appreciate this content alot - will be coming along for the journey

You guys keep going on and on about week 16. Is there any reason why I wouldnt use the bills there. I specifically saved them for that week and I figured if someone didn’t save buffalo for that week then they weren’t really planning properly

You know who isn’t back; the 40 who took the bears

Hey guys Just saw your selections on X One question , are you just fading the chargers because of ev Or do you really feel an upset brewing

Hey guys I’m hoping to tail you after your circa selections post What’s the best way to find your choices Thanks

My circa plan was to keep packers for turkey day and chiefs for xmas. I was out week 5, great run guys

Btw what are your entry names Want to follow

Just found you guys, tremendous content! You guys were 2 Minnesota 1 Kansas City right

Always great content very knowledgeable host

Thank you for the show!! In one with 530 entries @50$ a play. We are down to 11. playing for 26gs as they trimmed 500$ to handle it. I Am 6-2 with NFC picks and have used up the NFC north teams + wash and S Fran. Using only 2 AFC teams so far I am thinking Titans for week 9.

Let’s say you are fortunate enough to still have 100% of a couple of live picks remaining. If you were to go to marketplace and purchase a percentage with control of additional picks, are you obligated to put those picks on teams that are more likely to win? If the scenario arises where I have 100% of my original entry still alive on the final week and multiple percentage picks with control still alive and there is value in trying to eliminate the other picks, is there anything stopping you from picking a big dog the final week?

22% difference between last year and this year is way understated. The "difference" between 25ish% and 3.5% needs to be calculated proportionately, not linearly. It's over a 600% difference in ROI per entry, the only meaningful metric. Good luck this week.

Great Podcast.. your adding to the excitement of it all!

Good stuff, guys. Quick question on your website. Why do the "Win Probabilities" for each game add to more than 100%? Example, this week San Fran (83.87%) is playing NE (20.41%)? Or Kansas City (80.95%) is playing LAC (23.26%)? Seems like every game has a 104% or so combined Win Probability? Statistically, that can't be true. If it is accounting for Ties, then it should add to less than 100% with the remainder being Tie. Especially true in Survivor because Tie definitely does not equal Push.

If Justin Herbert QB can’t go for the chargers on Sunday morning, do you think the Pittsburgh Steelers is sneaky? Good pick?

Heyy poker and football, you da man!!! Enjoyed that The process

You have a very neat buisness model. Sky is the limit for you guys. Great content!

Love me some Baker he's a Fucking Legend Poker and winning Contests great Accomplishments🏆🏆🏆

LoveMyBaxter in the House

Great Stuff Fellas

been a great start to the year...im only in the $10 dk survivor but i love ur guys content...still alive 5/5 thanks to u guys

Always super insightful !! Love it

Great pod! Are there any plans to add the record / points for each Circa Million entry on the Survivor Sweat website? Just in case someone wants to make an offer for it or if I ever want to sell it in the marketplace (just like Survivor entries).

Great commentary guys!

Good breakdown!

i signed up for survivor sweat but what does it mean when it says Football Contest doesn't support making picks from Survivor Sweat... so i cant edit my picks so if i want to buy they can see who i used?

I live in Nevada. Do I need a proxy service to sell a Circa Survivor entry? I don't see anything on this in FAQ. Thanks