I'm new to forex trade and I have making huge losses but recently I see a lot of people earning from it. can someone please tell me what l'm doing wrong
So it seems he didn't take a single geopolitical view into his calculation. His predictions are made as if the US isn't part of a global system where other countries influence our markets.
Thx for posting the video 6 months later lol real vision really is the democratization of finance…no wonder Grant Williams jumps off the ship as he has some integrity left in him. Please prove me wrong.
You sound like a person with a personal axe to grind. I would want to know for sure if it was youtube who is recycling the content or Real Vision. Because UA-cam has a way of just dropping well known names of videos onto your phone to sell advertising. They monitor how long your phone has been untouched and send you advertising videos so you will pick up your phone. Also the market has dropped from when the video was actually created.
Astonishing content, looking at the chart, short term momentum in BTC has firmly shifted pointing upward, When these reports are bullish, take some quantities to trade, when news gets bearish start buying. "Keep it simple" even if the Feds are thinking of policy decisions, that bear/ correction was the best thing that happened to me ever since i started trading with Jennifer Wilbur, who uses amazing skills in reviewing all charts, trade and techniques for helping earn me 19.72 Btc in just 3 weeks.
I will forever be indebted to Jennifer Wilbur, I was able to build a massive income stream during the covid-19 pandemic trading with her. she revolutionized my trading experience.
I'm having trouble understanding the retirement being deflationary dilemma. It seems to me that the low inflation period from 2000 to 2020 was marked by a growing number of baby boomers trying to put an increasing amount away for retirement, creating a net drag on the economy since $1 in a 401k has a lower velocity as a $1 spent on goods/services, and ultimately results in fewer dollars chasing "real goods/services". Contrast that with today, where the pandemic has spurred many baby boomers to retire. I would think the flip from baby boomers being net savers to being net spenders would actually be an inflationary force as their nest eggs are gradually drawn down and the money is injected into the "real economy".
Completely agree. Not to mention the huge baby boomer cohort retiring results in a workforce shortfall (especially in highly skilled areas as these people have 30-40 years of experience). This is highly wage inflationary. The boomers think their $1m nest egg is enough to retire, but it's going to get cut in half x2 over >10 years. First, they need fixed income so much of these savings will be in negative real yield bonds, and with lets says 3-10% inflation over the next 10y your purchasing power also gets cut in half. So that $1m nest egg at 60 (very few people even have this much) is more like $250k by the time you're 70. Thanks for playing.
Problem is when their pensions/401k's get cut significantly, they won't be spending much money at all and will be living very frugally to make that money last.
I agree the fed will have to lower rates. But, real assets that are needed will stay high if not go higher. They can't print oil, food and fertilizer. I do believe the bubble assets with huge p/e's gets popped. All fiat will crash in real terms with the bond market.
I think as market participation increases with more investors participating, this will increase valuations and P/E's for stocks and some will be more hotter than others
I'm delighted to watch this video, thanks 🙏 😊 the greatest challenges investors face can range from controlling impulsiveness to the frailty of coercion. Most newbie’s investors often undermine and neglect the importance of technical analysis with regards to trading cryptocurrencies I would encourage investors to trade as I have been doing with Mr. Albert Johnson since the last bear market, increasing my portfolio daily.
If we see sustained trend without reversion, what 'mean' is there to revert to? That's what David is saying (25:00) when he says, "it's caused people's brains to get all... fuzzy". Another "irrational exuberance" moment, I suppose.
2% is like a dream, transitory what's another word you say...err temperary. The more money that gets printed the weaker it it. All around the world property is far too high, when crashes there will be lots of people with negative equity, as it has been in the past. Then they are left to keep paying a debt they don't want or can't afford or go bankrupt. Inflation doesn't affect everyone the same. Those who are in debt are always affected more. Before the 2008 crash all the financial papers were saying don't fix as rates will go up. I fixed all my money into 5 years bonds which at the time was 6% it slowly dropped over time but I am still getting 3% on some of that capital. Rates have hit a lull since the pandemic. Then once again they print money. Rates will rise and keep going. These guys should look into the history books. The difference now is energy will stay high. All countries want energy more than ever before. That will keep rates and costs higher. This information is also coming from two people in lockdown, that does things to your mind that is not normal.
The fear of ongoing inflation is due to the massive deficits US government is printing which could well lead to a devaluation of the dollar and an unwillingness of the rest of the world to sell to the US under present terms and conditions... compounded by an increasingly more desperate supply chain which is plainly not working
Rosie is a laughing stock now for his doom calls from years which never happened, he should immediately retire. Alf is going to be the next Rosie. Alf should should stick to bread making instead of Macro. His Bond calls from last two years are pathetic.
If inflation is always and eveywhere a monetary phenomena how can higher wages lead to inflation? The asnwer is only if the higher wage demands precipitate higher corporate debt. I do think inflation will peak soon and most economies will avoid a technical recession, but there will be enough private debt momentum and commidty price demand to keep levels above pre pandemic levels until the next GFC when the housing market turns, which is most likely around 2026/7
How can ageing demographics cause deflation when the older cohort is the wealthiest segment of society, invested in politically protected asset classes, and determined to keep spending til they die?
Younger people spend more I believe like millennials for the past 15 years. Boomers spend money may spend more on healthcare towards end of life but they don’t really have to spend much to enjoy life.
I lasted 2 minutes. I cannot get through these interviews when the only thing I hear is "ah, ah, um, ah ah ah." You can't start every sentence with "ah".
I hope he is right but then where is the fun in what he predict . I hope to see inflation is exploding and the working class getting poorer and poorer and poorer
Dude was on drugs in the second half of this interview forsure. Please get more respectable people into your videos. Can't trust anything these drugged out people say.
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I'm new to forex trade and I have making
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Remember this was recorded early January
So it seems he didn't take a single geopolitical view into his calculation. His predictions are made as if the US isn't part of a global system where other countries influence our markets.
Doubt that changes the thesis much.
i think yields are mostly done pricing in the rate hikes. if you look at the 2 year it seems to be making a topping pattern
Thx for posting the video 6 months later lol real vision really is the democratization of finance…no wonder Grant Williams jumps off the ship as he has some integrity left in him. Please prove me wrong.
Just proving you wrong in counting: how many months are there between January and April?
You sound like a person with a personal axe to grind. I would want to know for sure if it was youtube who is recycling the content or Real Vision. Because UA-cam has a way of just dropping well known names of videos onto your phone to sell advertising. They monitor how long your phone has been untouched and send you advertising videos so you will pick up your phone. Also the market has dropped from when the video was actually created.
yeah its a joke to post this old material
Posted around noon April 18, recorded around Jan 10
@@aerok4880 even a month old would be too much
This did not age well
Astonishing content, looking at the chart, short term momentum in BTC has firmly shifted pointing upward, When these reports are bullish, take some quantities to trade, when news gets bearish start buying. "Keep it simple" even if the Feds are thinking of policy decisions, that bear/ correction was the best thing that happened to me ever since i started trading with Jennifer Wilbur, who uses amazing skills in reviewing all charts, trade and techniques for helping earn me 19.72 Btc in just 3 weeks.
I stopped worrying about bitcoin price ever since i started using Wilbur strategy, it gives me gain daily even with the downtrend.
Very nice, I was just holding before I found Jennifer. In my opinion she is the best out there.
Wilbur literally saved me, just before the crash she advised me to get out of my long position. I'll recommend her any day.
I will forever be indebted to Jennifer Wilbur, I was able to build a massive income stream during the covid-19 pandemic trading with her. she revolutionized my trading experience.
Sincere thanks to REAL VISION and all of their affiliates
Are these same treasury bills that are used to start or pay for wars?
Ngl, the contrarian in me is a bit bullish now
The 10-year yield is not quite at 1.7%.
If you want to know when this was filmed... There's your clue.
Way to go waiting more than 3 months to publish time sensitive content! 👎
Sounds like Lacy Hunt on bonds and debt.
I'm having trouble understanding the retirement being deflationary dilemma. It seems to me that the low inflation period from 2000 to 2020 was marked by a growing number of baby boomers trying to put an increasing amount away for retirement, creating a net drag on the economy since $1 in a 401k has a lower velocity as a $1 spent on goods/services, and ultimately results in fewer dollars chasing "real goods/services". Contrast that with today, where the pandemic has spurred many baby boomers to retire. I would think the flip from baby boomers being net savers to being net spenders would actually be an inflationary force as their nest eggs are gradually drawn down and the money is injected into the "real economy".
Completely agree. Not to mention the huge baby boomer cohort retiring results in a workforce shortfall (especially in highly skilled areas as these people have 30-40 years of experience). This is highly wage inflationary. The boomers think their $1m nest egg is enough to retire, but it's going to get cut in half x2 over >10 years. First, they need fixed income so much of these savings will be in negative real yield bonds, and with lets says 3-10% inflation over the next 10y your purchasing power also gets cut in half. So that $1m nest egg at 60 (very few people even have this much) is more like $250k by the time you're 70. Thanks for playing.
Problem is when their pensions/401k's get cut significantly, they won't be spending much money at all and will be living very frugally to make that money last.
Rosen wrong eh
He's been calling for disinflation since early 2021 (amongst other calls he's been way off on).
I agree the fed will have to lower rates. But, real assets that are needed will stay high if not go higher. They can't print oil, food and fertilizer. I do believe the bubble assets with huge p/e's gets popped. All fiat will crash in real terms with the bond market.
I think as market participation increases with more investors participating, this will increase valuations and P/E's for stocks and some will be more hotter than others
What David says here fascinates me completely; he appears to have complete power over what could happen next
We are at 3% now. Lol
Has Rosen ever been bullish? Ever?
1/2 of his predictions have been waaaay off. He's been calling for disinflation since early 2021.
Rosenberg is correct!
About his call for disinflation since early 2021?
If it's not a Daily Briefing or a crypto-shill, assume the video is old
Lol - video is 3 months old!
I'm delighted to watch this video, thanks 🙏 😊 the greatest challenges investors face can range from controlling impulsiveness to the frailty of coercion. Most newbie’s investors often undermine and neglect the importance of technical analysis with regards to trading cryptocurrencies I would encourage investors to trade as I have been doing with Mr. Albert Johnson since the last bear market, increasing my portfolio daily.
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Lot of demand pull discussion with little to no acknowledgement of supply push.
You can recession through a high inflation environment
If we see sustained trend without reversion, what 'mean' is there to revert to? That's what David is saying (25:00) when he says, "it's caused people's brains to get all... fuzzy". Another "irrational exuberance" moment, I suppose.
Soon? I'm wondering what you call the last 4 months of stocks and crypto?
Jan????
Solid!
Great video ! Thanks
2% is like a dream, transitory what's another word you say...err temperary. The more money that gets printed the weaker it it. All around the world property is far too high, when crashes there will be lots of people with negative equity, as it has been in the past. Then they are left to keep paying a debt they don't want or can't afford or go bankrupt. Inflation doesn't affect everyone the same. Those who are in debt are always affected more. Before the 2008 crash all the financial papers were saying don't fix as rates will go up. I fixed all my money into 5 years bonds which at the time was 6% it slowly dropped over time but I am still getting 3% on some of that capital. Rates have hit a lull since the pandemic. Then once again they print money. Rates will rise and keep going. These guys should look into the history books. The difference now is energy will stay high. All countries want energy more than ever before. That will keep rates and costs higher. This information is also coming from two people in lockdown, that does things to your mind that is not normal.
The fear of ongoing inflation is due to the massive deficits US government is printing which could well lead to a devaluation of the dollar and an unwillingness of the rest of the world to sell to the US under present terms and conditions... compounded by an increasingly more desperate supply chain which is plainly not working
About stock market or crypto?
bonds>stock down. Gold flies. And BTC sideway
Rosie is a laughing stock now for his doom calls from years which never happened, he should immediately retire. Alf is going to be the next Rosie. Alf should should stick to bread making instead of Macro. His Bond calls from last two years are pathetic.
Seems like we are already in a bear market, how much worse can it get?
A WHOLE lot worse, is the answer.
Look at the stock market + inflation charts for the period 1966-1985 or so.
Yeah, I don't think the Fed will take FFR (Fed funds rate) above 1%.... and if they do $100 billion/month in QT, they won't even get to 1% on the FFR.
If inflation is always and eveywhere a monetary phenomena how can higher wages lead to inflation? The asnwer is only if the higher wage demands precipitate higher corporate debt. I do think inflation will peak soon and most economies will avoid a technical recession, but there will be enough private debt momentum and commidty price demand to keep levels above pre pandemic levels until the next GFC when the housing market turns, which is most likely around 2026/7
This is old, Toronto is not on lockdown
I must say I hesitate to watch any real vision video because anything free and a value is typically months old.
🐻
How can ageing demographics cause deflation when the older cohort is the wealthiest segment of society, invested in politically protected asset classes, and determined to keep spending til they die?
Younger people spend more I believe like millennials for the past 15 years. Boomers spend money may spend more on healthcare towards end of life but they don’t really have to spend much to enjoy life.
Not sure you did not post this months ago instead of very late like this
provide your investment to proof it ..
I'm just gonna own inflationary~deflationary assets
I lasted 2 minutes. I cannot get through these interviews when the only thing I hear is "ah, ah, um, ah ah ah." You can't start every sentence with "ah".
The BOJ is willing to ruin the yen to attract future business?
Inflation is a non issue. Wait til the ports unload all there product.
Tell that to the people rioting around the world in multiple countries who cannot afford food.
I hope he is right but then where is the fun in what he predict . I hope to see inflation is exploding and the working class getting poorer and poorer and poorer
Its tiring to listen to it.
I had to jump off after the 72nd "UMMM"....
This guy is going long government debt lol
Dude was on drugs in the second half of this interview forsure. Please get more respectable people into your videos. Can't trust anything these drugged out people say.
Inflation is going to be below 2%, but everything you want to buy will be orders of magnitude more expensive. Love these a-holes.
January 5, 2022.
FFS
$hbar
Quarter-year old
Classic one trick pony.