Wargaming Nuclear Deterrence and Its Failures in a U.S.-China Conflict over Taiwan

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  • Опубліковано 13 гру 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 15

  • @CyanTeamProductions
    @CyanTeamProductions 14 годин тому +5

    Can they release that Boardgame?

  • @custossecretus5737
    @custossecretus5737 9 годин тому +2

    I think its more about preventing the Chinese gaining access to the semi conductor processing facilities in Taiwan.

  • @olderchin1558
    @olderchin1558 6 годин тому

    The main weakness of these games is that all the participants are Americans. They are all emotional invested in USA.
    What is lacking is.
    China decisions are based on Chinese emotions.
    Japan, Guam and Hawaii, and even Philippines are battlefields so they are where tactical nukes will be used in.
    The war is between China and the USA, if either of their mainland are bombed general nuke strike will always ensues.
    China is becoming more and more likely to go full nuclear. Their development of hypersonic and missile defense will make this decision more likely.

  • @tevynwilliams2725
    @tevynwilliams2725 11 годин тому

    what I don't get about the US policy is "why does the United States need to protect Taiwan???" (but still a thumbs up) ...P.s> If somebody uses an tactical nuke, the big nukes are coming out.

  • @yehoshuaosei3133
    @yehoshuaosei3133 Годину тому +1

    Simulations aren’t real life

  • @sengkim8026
    @sengkim8026 11 годин тому +1

    We need to defend Taiwan to keep our edge on semiconductor manufacturing capability.

    • @TuanTran-h5f
      @TuanTran-h5f 10 годин тому +1

      Ta wan is not defendable anymore. I don't know how old you are but things have changed.

  • @itsme-nt6yu
    @itsme-nt6yu 6 годин тому

    This wargame is insane, especially by assuming China initiating nuclear attack. After WWII, US and China fought two wars, even when China was extremely poor and backward. In Korea war, they fought to a stalemate. In Vietnam war, US lost while China suffered much less casualties. What made Americans think that China would lose a battle near China's coastline in a conventional war?

  • @stacyhackney6100
    @stacyhackney6100 5 годин тому

    Part 1 of 2
    The strategists are discussing China but most of my comments reference Putin and the Russian Mafia because they and the Soviet Union are the belligerents who've covertly attacked me for 54+ years. I have the most experience with them. But I do have opinions about China, which I can't prove, but which may interest some readers.
    (My phone is hacked and while I was typing hackers rang to read what I was saying. I've tried to better protect my phone but I'm not yet tech savvy enough to do so.)
    Opinion re China - I believe but can't prove Mr. Jinping, the PRC, and the Chinese mafia are owned by Putin, and are being groomed and mentored by Putin to attack us. Were it not for Putin and his Mafia, the PRC would be our competitor, not our enemy.
    I believe Putin is in the process of grooming/acquiring the PRCs military for his use. The Soviet Union began wooing/acquiring the PRC from at least the 1970s, when they made the PRC a beneficiary of I think it was the Jackson Vanik Act, in which the Soviet Union blackmailed some of our leaders into agreeing to normalized trade relations between America and the Soviet Union. I think the Soviet Union brought China, and some other countries in on that deal. The Soviet Union has always been the pointman in covertly attacking America, but they cut China & other govts in because those countries provide Russia essential backup.
    As you see w/the Russia-Ukraine War, China isn't a belligerent but is providing essential supplies and services to Putin and his Mafia. Without that support, Putin couldn't continue the war. That support is partially because the Soviet Union helped China become a trade partner with America when China was trying to grow last century.
    By the time of Jackson-Vanik (1970s) the Soviet Union had assassinated or otherwise removed 2 to 3 American Presidents, covertly assassinated multiple beloved public figures, seuzed control of our media, and was well along in destroying American families. (I speak from direct, personal experience with regards to family destruction.)
    As you know the Soviet Union used Jackson-Vanik to seed over half a million possible ops, spies and slaves here and is how Putin conned over 70 million innocent Americans to vote for his preferred candidate in 11/2024.
    I can't say this loudly enough: we're in trouble. I explain why I believe that in my book Genocide Against Americans, my website of the same name, and my below comments.
    If you look at Mr. Jinping and Putin in photo ops on video, I've noticed Mr. Jinping's impulse is to physically hold Putin's hand.
    I've noticed a version of this emotionally clinging behavior on Mr Trumps side when he physically interacts w/Putin.
    Putin has mastered psychological warfare. He is cruel, a sadist, and evil. In any relationship he is the dominant. It is my opinion that he gets in on the ground floor of slave potentials he intends to place in leadership positions, and he grooms them. I suspect, but cannot prove, he's had a hand in seating &/or maintaining in power Trump, Jinping, Modi, the Supreme Leader (Iran), Netanyahu, Sinwar, Erdogan, and many more "leaders." He expects to own the world on 1/20/2025. Americans have a very serious life & death problem: Putin and the Russian Mafia.
    I'm a prepper. Putin built that construct and later attached it to Trump. I'm not owned by anyone but I used to watch many prepper videos. About 10 years ago when I watched many more UA-cam prepper videos I noticed an extremely strong anti-China racism from American preppers. Putin inserted and flamed racism in prepper communities to convince China that Americans are racists and anti-China. He did so because he wants China to help him continue to flood our nation with drug poisons, and also to con the PRCs military into believing that Americans hate China. When Putin calls on the PRC militarily, he wants there to be enough anri-American antipathy the PRC won't hesitate.
    In NYTs articles I've read the last two years I noticed Putin and the Russian Mafia covertly baiting and taunting the PRC, using American proxies. This was right before the Biden Adm was set to work to improve China-U.S. relations, and I noticed the disrespectful tone because it was the exact opposite of what President Biden wanted.
    Putin and his Mafia sabotaged those initial talks. I commented in the NYTs about the discourteous tone, which I knew wasn't from the Biden Adm, but was from Putin and his Mafia. I seem to have a sensitivity to them, an ability to recognize them when they camoflage themselves behind proxies. It's probably because they attacked me for over half a century without ever identifying themselves, so I had to recognize them by their behavior. I compare it to a native speaker versus a second-language speaker. I had to learn their essential self so now I see them, whether they identify themselves or not. I think I recognize sleeper ops who haven't been outed. Something about their behavior. I won't mention names but I feel a slight twinge of unease. They betray themselves but I can't explain why I think they're compromised. It may be because they do something not in our nation's best interests, but they have a believable explanation ready.
    As a prepper a decade ago I witnessed the deep, inexplicable anti-China racism in the prepper community.
    Putin and before him the Soviet Union build & deploy racism to get people to do violence. In the Israel-Hamas War, which I believe Putin ordered & is running, he took years building anti-Palestinian hatred in individuals in the Israeli govt. With the unrelenting bombing in Gaza, Putin is building hatred against Israelis he'll later use to covertly attack Israelis. Despite what some Israelis think, the evildoers are Putin and his Mafia, not Palestinian civilians.
    Putin builds hatred & then triggers the hater 2 attack individuals or groups he wants attacked. He and before him the Soviet Union exploited the KKK similarly in America. (cont part 2)

  • @gregstadermann
    @gregstadermann 6 годин тому

    This video discusses a potential nuclear exchange between the US and China over Taiwan.
    Why was my comment with the most upvotes at the time removed for proposing a non-lethal way for the US to withdraw without losing face?
    Surely the horrors of a nuclear exchange where the ballistic missiles carry 100 smaller warheads, each a Hiroshima to itself, is far worse than my proposal?
    If Taiwan’s independence holds no strategic value - ie we have reshored chip manufacturing via the CHIPS act so China has no chance of an asymmetric advantage and the Taiwanese render their fabrication facilities and data useless/evacuate key scientists and citizens before the Chinese attack thus maintaining the US strategic advantage - then we don’t have to fight a war across an entire ocean while the opponent is on their home turf.
    We won’t lose face in the eyes of European and South Korean allies - we will be seen as pragmatic and realistic. We don’t even have a commitment to defend Taiwan. In fact we have maintained a strategic ambiguity over Taiwan for decades.
    That was the gist of it - there’s no need to fight a war and risk a nuclear exchange.