‘Trend economic growth of 8% for India looks unlikely’- Axis Bank Chief Economist Neelkanth Mishra

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  • Опубліковано 15 вер 2024
  • In this freewheeling discussion on the economy, Axis Bank chief economist and part-time member of the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council Neelkanth Mishra speaks to Deputy Editor TCA Sharad Raghavan about why 8% growth looks challenging, the headwinds faced by the economy, and how to overcome them.
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 233

  • @brainindrain
    @brainindrain 9 днів тому +29

    Few people can explain macro and micro economics like Neelkanth. Absolute GOAT

  • @tubelz
    @tubelz 9 днів тому +67

    Fix the Judiciary! Millions and millions of pending cases , a great many involving land and credit. This is not some external factor to growth. Why cant the problem of Judicial capacity and quality be resolved?

    • @counterpoint9260
      @counterpoint9260 9 днів тому +4

      Because Modi isnt interested in solving any of these issues

    • @tubelz
      @tubelz 9 днів тому +3

      @@counterpoint9260 I don't understand him. He really needs to forget about upcoming elections and consider what does he want to be remembered for?

    • @SuperCanonX2
      @SuperCanonX2 9 днів тому +1

      Only one good thing modi did was removing 370. Even there not giving J&K its statehood was a really bad move. Most other things were good in theory but were implemented horribly.

    • @xxyz2023
      @xxyz2023 9 днів тому +2

      Justices of several High Courts have complained about lawyers leaving High court positions, because of their dissatisfaction due to Union govt inaction to provide to fill court staffing & appointments.
      CJI has said that it is already difficult to find lawyers to fill judicial vacancies in High Courts. Just 25 High Courts are handling 42 lakh pending civil cases.
      411 of 1,080 High Courts positions, have not filled in 10 years. We have just 25 High Courts, but they have very few court/support staff & limited high court judges.
      There is only one court staff in Kerala who is responsible for their state High Court to file/report the case to union govt in Delhi. Just one person for entire state to file lakhs of civil cases.
      25,628 judges for over 4.7 crore pending cases in the country. We have 21 judges for a million. The Chief Justice can't solve these problems in 2 years, that govt is unable to do so in decades.
      There are very few civil courtroom infrastructure & office basic facilities. The Chief Justice N.V. Ramana said India's lower court infrastructure does not even meet the lowest basic min standards.

    • @randomguy7175
      @randomguy7175 9 днів тому

      The opposition will go say any reforms in judiciary is attack on judiciary.
      And the judiciary itself doesn't want change or accountability, they are corrupt to core.. longer the cases take more money for them.

  • @achalgupta6689
    @achalgupta6689 7 днів тому +7

    Neelkanth Mishra needs to appear more and more in mainstream media. Very thoughtful perspectives.

  • @kallachi729
    @kallachi729 8 днів тому +15

    Why does not the media, including programmes in this space, discuss in details the role not played by the states in nation building? A federal republic lie India can’t depend only on the central government to deliver progress including jobs. fault the states and hold them too responsible for inaction… well, I can sense you will not do it

  • @sagnikguha2854
    @sagnikguha2854 9 днів тому +10

    Wonderful discussion. Very balanced views

  • @anindyabagchi6119
    @anindyabagchi6119 9 днів тому +13

    This is why I love thePrint - level headed discussions and analysis.

  • @indmusiclover
    @indmusiclover 4 дні тому +1

    Excellent podcast. Neelkanth was also spot on on the remark of decentralization. It is time everyone in India realize that the issue is with the states. States in India are so far backward/shortsighted in their political engagements that the analysts often forget their role in Indias overall growth and keep commenting on the union/central's role. Its a fallacy to think that a strong central mean less decentralized growth.

  • @hrp4566
    @hrp4566 2 дні тому

    Complete Indian economy lesson in one video. Great Sir

  • @2010anilshukla
    @2010anilshukla 8 днів тому +10

    Elephant in the room is corruption which no one talked about.

  • @mandarp9472
    @mandarp9472 7 днів тому +1

    Neelkanth Mishra is gem of a person and economic, investment expert.

  • @yash1158
    @yash1158 8 днів тому +6

    16:29 question : our people are low skilled and low income how to improve their income? Reply : let's hope there is some magic by which things become cheaper just like technology made banking in rural services cheaper. These experts believe we should build infrastructure to support 50 trillion economy but investing in people who are going to make this economy needs to rely on technology innovation.

    • @creativemaster007
      @creativemaster007 5 днів тому

      Indians don't want to improve their skills, it's evident when half the govt jobs are filled with incompetent half score dimwits.

    • @mr.whostheboss9884
      @mr.whostheboss9884 5 днів тому

      Did he not talk about health and education infrastructure?

  • @olderchin1558
    @olderchin1558 7 днів тому +5

    Looks like at least some Indian economists understands reality. Population size is more of a challenge than an opportunity. And a growing one is twice the challenge. Indian today has a problem giving them jobs and progress, in 2 decades India is going to have a problem feeding them.

    • @ShaileshKumar-io2zn
      @ShaileshKumar-io2zn 4 дні тому +1

      Population growth in India is not because of Indians. India needs indians. Are able to discriminate.😂 vande matram

  • @ckakunje
    @ckakunje 9 днів тому +2

    Great conversation without any political gossip

  • @shantanu_d
    @shantanu_d 8 днів тому +1

    Excellent questions TCA. This was valuable information. Thank You All.

  • @Jancan20
    @Jancan20 7 днів тому +1

    Aim at 5-6% consistently is better than aiming for 8%

    • @anshuecon
      @anshuecon 6 днів тому

      Without 8-10%, we will NEVER catch up with China.

    • @ij4674
      @ij4674 5 днів тому +2

      5% is what China is growing now - that is after decades of 10% or near 10% growth rates.
      If we are expecting 5-6% growth rate now, when we have a very low gdp percapita, that means our growth will stall before even reaching 10,000 USD GDP per capita and will be in middle income trap.
      Our growth is a wierd one, it is not creating enough jobs and SME sector isn't seeing adequate growth.

  • @prakadox
    @prakadox 9 днів тому +2

    Good discussion!

  • @DNJoshi-n4r
    @DNJoshi-n4r 9 днів тому +2

    Great conversation 👍

  • @rajkumarganesan9417
    @rajkumarganesan9417 8 днів тому +1

    Oh my goodness. Nice analysis brother.

  • @2010anilshukla
    @2010anilshukla 9 днів тому +1

    Learned discussion- thanks. 👍

  • @VivekShahMrIndia
    @VivekShahMrIndia 5 днів тому

    When is someone going to come forward and discuss the negative impacts of rampant corruption and dynastic business practices?

  • @Tatpunjiya
    @Tatpunjiya 7 днів тому +3

    indias growth on average under modi is less than 5%. this sarkari economist should admit it openly

  • @pavneetsingh9161
    @pavneetsingh9161 5 днів тому

    Talk to any owner of SME, they are all struggling, its disheartening right now.

  • @GROOVwithme
    @GROOVwithme 8 днів тому

    Empowerment of District and municipal governments is the new need of the hour!

  • @sandipmishra1651
    @sandipmishra1651 6 днів тому

    In addition centralisation has hurt economy very badly, specially opposition states. Inequitable devolution of funds, deleberate political instability created at state level, stoppage of central funds, etc are the real problem. Shortage of capital vs surplus of labour is complete bovine manure

    • @hrp4566
      @hrp4566 2 дні тому

      Which state? Those states are wasting resources with excess freebies for election win

  • @akrishnan1382
    @akrishnan1382 9 днів тому +5

    Did any minister tell you ? All these economists will change their views on a daily basis depending on how the stock markets function. Coming to the devolution of power each minister has to carry out the vision approved by the central cabinet headed by the PM and each minister has adequate power to function within their power. Furthermore the PM ensures that the ministers function transparently especially when awarding contracts to avoid misuse of power or corruption. This is the reason why no nepotism or corruption could not be established by anyone either the media or the opposition. People like you, it seems, wanted mega corruption scandals which were the hallmark of that Maino led UPA government.

    • @akrishnan1382
      @akrishnan1382 9 днів тому +1

      Are you referring to the private conversation you had with them? Can you corroborate them with any evidence?

    • @xxyz2023
      @xxyz2023 9 днів тому +2

      @@akrishnan1382 H D Kumaraswamy is son of H D Deve Gowda,
      Jyotiraditya Scindia is son of Madhav Rao Scindia,
      Kiren Rijiju is son of Rinchin Kharu,
      Raksha Khadse is daughter-in-law of Eknath Khadse,
      Jayant Chaudhary is grandson of Chaudhary Charan Singh,
      Chirag Paswan is son of Ram Vilas Paswan,

    • @xxyz2023
      @xxyz2023 9 днів тому +1

      @@akrishnan1382 J P Nadda is son-in-law of Jaysree Banerjee,
      Ram Nath Thakur is son of Karpoori Thakur,
      Kinjarapu Ram Mohan Naidu is son of Yerren Naidu,
      Jitin Prasada is son of Jitendra Prasada,
      Rao Inderjit Singh is son of Rao Birendra Singh,
      Piyush Goyal is son of Ved Prakash Goyal,
      Ravneet Singh Bittu is grandson of Beant Singh,
      Anupriya Patel is daughter of Sonelal Patel,
      Kirti Vardhan Singh is son of Maharaj Anand Singh,
      Kamlesh Pasawn is son of Omprakash Paswan,
      Dharmendra Pradhan is son of Debendra Pradhan
      etc

    • @noneoftheabove666
      @noneoftheabove666 9 днів тому +1

      ​@@xxyz2023Nice Whatsapp forward copy pasta 😀
      But who cares?
      Most of the people you mentioned are not even big leaders in the party, some are not even elected representatives. Ha ha

    • @xxyz2023
      @xxyz2023 8 днів тому +1

      @@noneoftheabove666 Not even elected representatives but who cares?

  • @DavidHurst-g5h
    @DavidHurst-g5h 7 днів тому

    We need strong social benefits and direct cash transfers. Thus would pump up wages and incentiveze technology

  • @jusmeetsingh1907
    @jusmeetsingh1907 8 днів тому

    Domestic sales ( and production ) will grow only if there is a robust export sector at the margins which keeps bringing in new technology into the domestic market. I dont think one can play down the export competitiveness as an important driver to expand domestic sales.

  • @sanjeevbhatia1582
    @sanjeevbhatia1582 4 дні тому

    3 to 4 times increasing prices gives jump to growth n unwanted product demand creation gives growth to gdp all rich games

  • @akrishnan1382
    @akrishnan1382 9 днів тому +1

    When you've economist like this person you do not need any competition to take your market share- it will go down without it.

  • @tapk1995
    @tapk1995 4 дні тому

    I do not agree china exports is 1/20 of its 20 Trillion $ economy. Possibly he he saying the present status of china and not the bill run past 20 yrs before covid

  • @DileepKumar-qt9nd
    @DileepKumar-qt9nd 9 днів тому +1

    Nice ❤

  • @mg.f.9023
    @mg.f.9023 9 днів тому +2

    “India is a country where people are burdened by a system that thwarts progress.”the prominent investor Charles Munger said, when asked about the prospects for the nation’s economy.

    • @ckakunje
      @ckakunje 9 днів тому +3

      He may not be well informed on India. His views are based on how he can invest large amount of money and India was not large enough for him to focus at that time

    • @mg.f.9023
      @mg.f.9023 8 днів тому +3

      @@ckakunje His issue was 1. Bureaucracy 2. Being short of skilled workforce comparing to China where there is ample of high skill workers for manufacturing industry.

  • @zostube
    @zostube 8 днів тому

    The interviewer just nods his head and accepts sweeping statements made by the speaker, when the speaker is explaining the "reasons" behind the slowdown. I expected the conversation to be probing and thereby insightful for the viewer, rather than a monologue. The guy is answering as if everything is clear like in the hard sciences (like math), with Sharad Rahavan nodding his head as if it couldn't be any clearer.

  • @deadlyninja8391
    @deadlyninja8391 7 днів тому

    People have failed this country. Govt has failed and beaurocracy has failed

  • @zostube
    @zostube 8 днів тому

    Watch at 1.25x.

  • @asifibrahim4746
    @asifibrahim4746 8 днів тому +3

    Sir , govt has reduced spending due to election 🗳️ etc now there is no investment of private is seen . So my question GDP number is farce , at ground level there is not much growth of companies so where is gdp numbers coming from? .

  • @nvspraneeth901
    @nvspraneeth901 9 днів тому +7

    Prime minister says one thing does something else, totally opposite.. he is absolutely against devolution of power, he doesn't even share power with his cabinet forget sharing with district

    • @rajkumarganesan9417
      @rajkumarganesan9417 8 днів тому +3

      Rightly said brother

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 8 днів тому +3

      What's stopping all the Chief ministers from devolving power? .. Why the expectation only from the PM?

    • @nvspraneeth901
      @nvspraneeth901 8 днів тому +1

      @@arunsar7893 example is set at top

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 8 днів тому +1

      @@nvspraneeth901 Fair enough. Just so you know, Centers power are quiet devolved to the states. It's the states which need to devolve power to the Cities and Districts. That's where the problem is. That's the reason India's urban infra is f**ked.

  • @TheGreatVivek7
    @TheGreatVivek7 8 днів тому +1

    With our huge (and cheap) labour force, our growth numbers should be in double digits lol

  • @RaymondRobinson-c5x
    @RaymondRobinson-c5x 8 днів тому

    Lee George Robinson Jessica Wilson Donald

  • @user-nq5hy7vn9k
    @user-nq5hy7vn9k 5 днів тому

    jisse o, ozij joa 🤭😅🥕(❁´◡`❁)( ✧Д✧) YES!!(❁´◡`❁)(❁´◡`❁)(∿°○°)∿ ︵ ǝʌol◌⑅⃝●♡⋆♡LOVE♡⋆♡●⑅⃝◌ちわ~v( ̄∇ ̄)v(*・∞・)ノ。ԅ( Ơ∀ Ơԅ✿)❤ちわ~v( ̄∇ ̄)v(*^^*)//ԅ( Ơ∀ Ơԅ✿)❤(*・∞・)ノ。𓃰𓃯𓃯𓃬☆(ノ◕ヮ◕)ノ*♥*♡∞:。.。  *+:。.。 。.。:+**+:。.。 。.。:+*(๑ ⁍̥̥̥᷅ ᴈ⁍̥̥̥᷅)人(⁌̥̥̥᷄ε ⁌̥̥̥᷄ ๑)ー(๑ ⁍̥̥̥᷅ ᴈ⁍̥̥̥᷅)人(⁌̥̥̥᷄ε ⁌̥̥̥᷄ ๑)ー૧(ꂹີωꂹີૂ) ( -̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥᷄◞ω◟-̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥̥᷅ ) (Ω Д Ω)(´;д;`)(-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩___-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩)☆(ノ◕ヮ◕)ノ*(❁´◡`❁)(❁´◡`❁)✙𓃡𓃱𓃯🐻media.tenor.com/bF80Hx_ihvcAAAAM/chizuru-mizuhara.gif🙊🐣⛳😅😮😂😂😢😢Yz iyjoo hu jj j🥏🐦

  • @karate2252
    @karate2252 9 днів тому +7

    Bhakts bhi like fir bhi aega to Modi hi 😂. Man even if Modi is harming them they will still blame congress.

    • @JohnWick-uj4gh
      @JohnWick-uj4gh 9 днів тому +1

      Librandu after khata khat in Himachal and Karnatka~ Modi ne desh bech diya 🤡🤡

    • @sukanta6682
      @sukanta6682 9 днів тому +1

      Tell me that you didn't understand any of his arguments without telling me anything. Clown!

    • @NikolasTesla-g1s
      @NikolasTesla-g1s 9 днів тому +2

      How will you explain fools in Congress impacted our growth for the last 50 years also allowing China,Korea,Taiwan to go ahead? Modi is now correcting all Congress mistakes and bringing back India into a track.. Fools like you are in fools paradise..

    • @noneoftheabove666
      @noneoftheabove666 9 днів тому +14

      Khatakhat khatakhat!
      That is because people can see how the Congress governed states are being run.

    • @NikolasTesla-g1s
      @NikolasTesla-g1s 9 днів тому +3

      @@noneoftheabove666 yes..pappu gandhi strategy is to give away all the money bjp government able to build in exchange of votes.. And slash the economy, make India equal to Pakistan,srilanka economy situation with no food and essentials finally.. Them finally he can go to his friend China for begging..

  • @heyajit
    @heyajit 9 днів тому +1

    Is he an economist? Sounded like armchair economist graduated from Whatsapp university 😝😝😝

    • @arunsar7893
      @arunsar7893 8 днів тому

      Please feel free to jerk off to Jayati Ghosh. It's quiet clear that you already do.

  • @samantrae
    @samantrae 9 днів тому

    atrocious arguments.

  • @heyajit
    @heyajit 9 днів тому

    Is he an economist? Sounded like armchair economist graduated from Whatsapp university 😝😝😝

    • @noneoftheabove666
      @noneoftheabove666 9 днів тому

      Still knows more economics than 🤡 like you 😅