Denver's 1918 'Double Hump' Shows Danger Of Ending Quarantine Too Soon

With quarantines in effect worldwide, the obvious question is: When will it end? An example from history shows why we shouldn't end lockdown too soon.
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[@prestokowask5260]

Please open up community contributions to the subtitles. I wanna send this to so much people here in Brazil who don't speak English…

[@trmo8320]

Also Arabic

[@AcerbusUmbra]

I fear we're about to see this come to pass in Texas.

[@oneironaut420]

This is what protesters are going to cause.

[@chilidogg2047]

The history in this video is inaccurate. In Denver, in October 1918, they did not lock down the city. Some businesses were forced to close, but others weren't. That's why the people whose business were closed complained. In addition, people were not fully complying with the rules and restrictions even before Nov. 10.
The event that caused the increase from November 10th to the end of November was a one off: It was the celebration of the end of World War I. We don't and can't know whether the previous level of restrictions would have stopped the thousands from celebrating publicly. Tens of thousands of people went into the streets to celebrate. 8,000 people were in one auditorium. Dr. Sharply stated that it was this one time celebration at the end of the war that caused the increase in flu cases that occurred over the next few weeks, not the change in restrictions.
Contra this video, Denver did not end the restrictions on November 10th. They reduced them, but they did not end them. Later in November they increased the restrictions, but they were not fully applied or enforced.
A huge difference between now and 1918 is the vast improvement of the medical system over the last century.
We simply cannot extrapolate from an exceptional situation in Denver 1918 to argue that anything short of a lockdown now would cause a massive increase in deaths from COVID-19.
This video does not provide evidence that, without the celebration of the end of the war, the reduced regulations alone would have caused such a spike in the number of cases. It conflates the two factors. It looks like an attempt to promote a partisan agenda in favor of a lockdown, but it cannot sustain that with these facts.

[@chilidogg2047]

P.S. The narrator's voice is annoying.

[@iGame3D]

Looks like once the business owners/workers died in the second hump the deaths declined.

[@petersrightbut8297]

I think the fact that armistice day was celebrated on the downhill run of the original slope,nullifies your comparison to modern day circumstances. (We are not in any world wars).

[@TheRyanbossxx]

That's, not the point it was that on that armistice day the city was crowded which allowed the flu to gain that second lump

[@petersrightbut8297]

@@TheRyanbossxx Im aware, that's my point! Who cares?

[@TheRyanbossxx]

@@petersrightbut8297 umm the world regardless if it was post war or not it seves as a warning and a stituation to avoid.

[@petersrightbut8297]

@@TheRyanbossxx ok, so no armistice day this time.😂

[@blackearl7891]

@@petersrightbut8297 world is more connected now then they were in 1918 armstice day.