thank you for this great content and thank you for the cmr community. i just joined as a total newbie and a few of the members had pitty on me and pointed me in the right direction. the community by itself is worth it. thanks again!
I don’t know if you will Read this but mate you helped me a lot. Everyboey is Talking about success and everything, man iam struggling for almost 7 years being full time in this job. I listen to some of your yt videos and you changed my view and I see a light… t least I made some progress with some of the questions I had. For many it is just a normal yt channel, for me it is the nudge I need. I would like to say thank you for that. God bless you and your family!
Just came across your channel and recognized your name from Market Wizards, I liked your interview with Jack S. Great content and appreciate your honest, humble, straight forward approach to presenting it.
A quick web scraper and a little Prometheus and Grafana running in some containers would make fast work of the available CFTC delimited files that are published weekly at the same URL.
Interesting vid, as always! One question: who are the "commercials" when it comes to financial instruments such as index and bond futures for instance. It's not as obvious to me as it is with commodity futures. Thanks,
@@osman3404 yes COT "commercials" in the stock indexes are the ones hedging their funds, while the "liquidity providers" (seat holders on the exchanges) use constant arbitrage with the cash market, they're technically pro traders but they leave the market completely (both stock and futures sides) on announcements and in high volatility environments, thus making markets even MORE volatile... while commercials see futures as insurance to their long term stock positions (during those same volatile periods) and thus they tend to short harder during falling (volatile) markets😨
great content and explanation how you use it, first time i hear about this data. Thanks!!! Would be great to know what are your lookback periods that you found working for you.
Thanks Jason. Of course I’ve read about your approach in a popular book and recently have been watching and learning from you. Great stuff! I understand the “commercials” for commodities. Who are the “commercials” for Nasdaq futures if hedge funds are large speculators? Are these market makers hedging options?
Hi Jason, thanks for the great content, I always look forward to it! Just wondering how you consider exiting trades. Do you systematise it by percentages or fixed cot index numbers or use a similar news confirmation as with entries? Maybe an idea for a new video too. Thanks.
Very good video Jason, thanks! I have one question in general. How do you build confidence to trade so many markets? Isn't convention like pick one market/product and be very good at it to be consistent trader?
@@jasonshapiro4369 got it! More like deploying trend following across universe of markets. Do you feel/observed your contrarian approach works better in one market than the other?
Doesn’t make sense that commercials shorted for many years one of the biggest bull run in Nasdaq. Should be the other way around. Any explanation for it?
thank you for this great content and thank you for the cmr community. i just joined as a total newbie and a few of the members had pitty on me and pointed me in the right direction. the community by itself is worth it. thanks again!
I don’t know if you will Read this but mate you helped me a lot. Everyboey is Talking about success and everything, man iam struggling for almost 7 years being full time in this job. I listen to some of your yt videos and you changed my view and I see a light… t least I made some progress with some of the questions I had. For many it is just a normal yt channel, for me it is the nudge I need. I would like to say thank you for that. God bless you and your family!
Just came across your channel and recognized your name from Market Wizards, I liked your interview with Jack S. Great content and appreciate your honest, humble, straight forward approach to presenting it.
Beautifully explained. Thank you so much for walking us through how you read your COT charts, Jason. Really appreciate the thoughtfulness here. =)
Thanks! this was very helpful for me
Excellent video - was searching up COT data just today
Great stuff...I appreciate the education
Jason, you are the man!
Thank you Jason
Awesome video, thanks for this. Really learned a lot
A quick web scraper and a little Prometheus and Grafana running in some containers would make fast work of the available CFTC delimited files that are published weekly at the same URL.
Interesting vid, as always! One question: who are the "commercials" when it comes to financial instruments such as index and bond futures for instance. It's not as obvious to me as it is with commodity futures. Thanks,
this is a question I hear alot, and truth is there is not obvious answer. I know investment banks qualify as commercials
Thank you for sharing your ideas about how to approach the market. I find it interesting.
effing awesome, jason. so much appreciated.
Nice work
Good explanation
Informative! Thanks!
Very pleased I found you but could you explain who is the Commercial for equities, currencies, treasuries and any other non commodity asset
Very helpful. Great info!
In the wheat market commercials are farmers. Who are considered commercials in the Nasdaq?
funds with huge amounts of stock that use thousands of contracts in futures as insurance for their actual holdings
@@DiscoBlissso that means the Commercials ALWAYS (or majority of the time) have short positions to hedge their long Stock Positions?
@@osman3404 yes COT "commercials" in the stock indexes are the ones hedging their funds, while the "liquidity providers" (seat holders on the exchanges) use constant arbitrage with the cash market, they're technically pro traders but they leave the market completely (both stock and futures sides) on announcements and in high volatility environments, thus making markets even MORE volatile... while commercials see futures as insurance to their long term stock positions (during those same volatile periods) and thus they tend to short harder during falling (volatile) markets😨
great content and explanation how you use it, first time i hear about this data. Thanks!!! Would be great to know what are your lookback periods that you found working for you.
So good video about trading and finance
is there any reason you prefer to use the legacy report rather than the disaggregated report?
just what I have found works best for me.
For the Nasdaq futures, who are the Commercial participants ?
Thanks Jason. Of course I’ve read about your approach in a popular book and recently have been watching and learning from you. Great stuff!
I understand the “commercials” for commodities. Who are the “commercials” for Nasdaq futures if hedge funds are large speculators? Are these market makers hedging options?
I believe that is one group yes
@@jasonshapiro4369 can you please say a bit more about that? i wanted to ask the same exact question.
thanks!
Hi Jason, thanks for the great content, I always look forward to it!
Just wondering how you consider exiting trades. Do you systematise it by percentages or fixed cot index numbers or use a similar news confirmation as with entries? Maybe an idea for a new video too. Thanks.
when cot goes back to neutral levels I exit
So useful. Thank you!
Jason - nice video. Is it possible to get this data for individual stocks - at least the large caps?
Can you use this info to trade stocks not just commodities
thanks Jason
Very good video Jason, thanks! I have one question in general. How do you build confidence to trade so many markets? Isn't convention like pick one market/product and be very good at it to be consistent trader?
I trade 1 process across many different markets. its like waiting for the card count on a certain table to go up and then stepping into that table.
@@jasonshapiro4369 got it! More like deploying trend following across universe of markets. Do you feel/observed your contrarian approach works better in one market than the other?
@@chr971 not really. seems to work and not work pretty evenly across markets
@@jasonshapiro4369 thanks for the reply!
First!!!! Since the other guy is a bot. 😄
10:35 I wonder why he said backtesting can be very dangerous?
curve-fitting and other cognitive errors leading to false conclusions
Hey Jason, thank you for the good explanation! Cheers from Germany (Mathias)
So, the large speculators tend to get it wrong more often than the commercials and that's why we are more interested in their data?
at major turning points yes. there are other ways to use the data depending on your trading goals/style
How do you tell difference between large and small speculators on cot data?
the color or the bar
@@jasonshapiro4369 sorry i meant in the actual legacy reports. is non-reportable small speculators?
@@lavs8696 yes exactly
Doesn’t make sense that commercials shorted for many years one of the biggest bull run in Nasdaq. Should be the other way around. Any explanation for it?
And who were these Commercials in the Nasdaq futures?
Thanks
I am more of a hodler 🧙🏼♂️
Can you please post a course on udemy business?
real recognize real
*PromoSM* 😩
Interesting how once all these people start doing this as contrarians, that will also get crowded. You’ll have to be a contrarian of contrarians lol
Jason, In any given moment, why is the sum of the bars above the horizon equal to the one below or the shorts/longs ratio appears 1?