I3 Bayesian parameter estimation with a binomial model example

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  • Опубліковано 24 лип 2024
  • Bayesian statistics uses Bayes' Rule to make decisions. In the context of a parametric model, parameters are updated from the prior using data to obtain the posterior using Bayes' Rule. From this posterior, Bayes' estimators and credible intervals can be obtained. The video discusses the posterior expectation and equal-tail credible intervals. As an example throughout, the video uses a binomial model with a uniform prior on the probability of success. The posterior is shown (but not derived) to be a beta distribution. A brief detour to discuss the beta distribution ensures. R code is provided to perform all of the Bayesian analyses for binomial data.
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    00:58 - Bayesian statistician
    02:24 - Bayes' Rule
    04:54 - Bayesian parameter estimation
    07:10 - Bayesian notation
    08:10 - Binomial model
    10:53 - Beta distribution
    12:52 - Beta densities
    13:42 - Binomial example
    15:09 - Posterior density
    16:03 - Posterior expectation
    17:44 - Credible intervals
    19:37 - Credible interval visualization
    20:05 - Summary
    20:46 - Bayesian analysis for binomial model summary
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