You've missed covering some really surprising data on Kerala male(22/22) vs female(3/22) ranking Refer Page 255-256 (Table A2.19b and Table A2.19c). Would be interesting to understand what exactly is the cause of the skew.
We cannot shift employment opportunities from agriculture to manufacturing without bringing certain reforms in labour laws, land acquisition, agriculture and farming sector. On infrastructure front, we have certainly done a tremendous work in last 10 years but on policy, judicial and administrative reforms we have not yet started. Unless we do this, there is little hope for improvement.
Major mess up in the 21st minute. The slide on statewise employement is ranked on 2005 basis and not on 2022 basis. For Instance, Kerala had the best story in the chart, as it climbed from 20th rank in 2005 to 6th rank in 2022. Please note the correction by a text or edit the video please.
+1. Shekar Gupta seems to have accidentally referred to 2005 data. The table was a bit misleading as well since they seem to have sorted based on 2005 column instead of the 2022 column even though the ranking was mentioned correctly next to 2022. Reference document - www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---asia/---ro-bangkok/---sro-new_delhi/documents/publication/wcms_921154.pdf ( Page No: 49 )
Indian politicians and media just say that we need to pull agricultural workers out of that sector and into manufacturing and services, but all their policies show otherwise. You cannot say you are going to have protectionist policies towards a sector and simultaneously want people to leave that sector. Even our most basic laws like property laws for buying farmland which should ensure equality are almost as protectionist as the tribal land laws, and similar to article 370, where people need a farmer ancestry to buy agricultural land, this obviously drives the price of that land down due to low demand (similar to reservation laws seen in usa). There's reformist laws like the farmers bill that the government completely blundered. There are endless loan wavers and subsidies for farmers who are making bad decisions and losses, instead there should be things like government/private insurance for climate/bad weather and other insurances that farmers can pay into in order to secure themselves in case of such calamities), otherwise how do you get farmers to be more responsible and more ready to consolidate or sell their small land holdings if you are going to bail them out as a matter of policy? We don't even have income tax for the sector to pay for such things.
You have covered several points succintly. Perfect analysis. Modi govt did try to improve the situation by bringing farm.laws. But Modi under pressure from vested interests, withdrew those.Clearly it was a bad decision. Look at China. All land is owned by govt and leased out to farmers/ cooperative communities etc . Their farm productivity is very high
Unfortunately, if any politician makes these points on a public platform consider his career over. Such is the hold of socialistic brainwashing on society. They should try and introduce gist of farm laws state wise atleast.
We should follow the Soviet model for agriculture as it was in the republics not in Russia. All lands of separate farmers should form collective farms where the government will supply seeds, fertilisers, machines and purchase the products. Wholesale markets for all agricultural products should be in the hands of the government and if the industry needs land it should negotiate with the cooperative farm. That will eliminate uncertainty from the farm sector and create prosperity for the rural areas. ,
India's overall skills competency is now ranked 68th globally, down four spots from its previous position. India is now ranked 19th in Asia. - IMD Nov9, 2023
Without land reforms mass industializaion is not possible. The services sector is not big enough to accommodate all. It also requires sophisticated human capital not so easy to develop.
@@motei1853What fo you want Modi to do? Govt can't create jobs. Govt can only enable private sector to create jobs, and Modi givt jas done much better. One area, of improvement is logistics and transport. Other is, cleanup of NPAs, so that lending to private sector can resume. But we need labour reforms, to help private sector can expand without bureacratic terrorism. But leftist people will start crying Adani Ambani. So, fix that hypocrisy.
@@rajx7120who will be fix this modi Or me railway increasing roadways increasing 2 x but crown is not decreasing but employees or new job creation by using privatisation or public or semi public is not increasing even it's decreasing what about entrepreneurs no one knows that what modi government did for chemical industry, textile industry army railway chodo what modi did for ordinance factory now which is psu nothing report shows arm exports increasing 200% budget of defence increases 50 billion to 78 billion but no employment nothing to create new vacancy what a Hypocrite situation
Guptaji. Please read the table 2:15 again. The table is sorted in the ranking order of year 2005 not in 2022. Can you go through the table again ? The Rank of Kerala is 6 in 2022 and you can see the below details under that table The economically advanced Kerala State in the southern region demonstrated consistent improvement in its employment condition index ranking over time, landing among the top ten states in 2022. This transformation was attributed to a reduction in the share of youths not in employment, education or training and an increase in the proportion of formal regular workers, particularly among women
@@lazydamsel let guptaji do a story on that but at the same time he has to correct the wrongly presented data in this video. Let us fix it first. As a data journalist Guptaji has to correct it otherwise his credibility will be affected
Self employed is too wide a category.....it could be a successful doctor, lawyer, entrepreneur earning in crores and also a rikshaw puller earning enough just to survive
The report says that out of the 55 something percent self employed 21 something percent has regular employment, the rest are casually employed. That is not a good thing. And even that 21 something percent could be any kind of employment like you said.
Sir, the state wise unemployment ranking you provided contains ranks of 3 different time periods. But, unknowingly you missed to read the latest 2022 ranking, and instead, you were reading out the 2005 ranking.
Absolutely changes the story! Kerala is #6 (2022) and is shown 3rd from the bottom (2005) ; Kashmir is shown as ranking high but has dropped in the last 5 years.
@@crazydriver8818Why'd ThePrint want to deliberately put down Kerala😅 They always keep praising Kerala for its social indicators and everything. You sound delusional
@@noneoftheabove666Maybe few years back. Print has turned into full blown Godi media post covid. I'm seeing a lot of RSS propaganda on this channel for last 3 years.
@14:20 the three sector don't add up to 100% for 2019 ( they do for all other years). It adds up to 110% (42+36+32). I'm guessing the 36% in Secondary sector was supposed to be 26%.
Hi. I checked the report again, it scribes 36% only and I agree that the number doesn’t stack up to 100. But we wouldn’t know whether it’s 26 or 36 till ILO sends a Corrigendum 😅. So we can only write what they have written so far 😅😅😅
In the set theory there are overlaps, some body who owns a farm and is farming may also be a lawyer or a teacher which is counted in the service sector as well. Go and learn the maths and look at data sets more carefully to understand how those numbers are calculated, rather than blindly flagging the error.
@@krishnmohan8906 thanks for that, now go and learn why this overlap happened only in 2019
6 місяців тому+43
Employment in a country is based on its entrepreneurs. The reason is, the employment in an economy is created by its entrepreneurs, both big and as small as chaiwallah. As a rule of thumb: if there are 2 entrepreneurs per 100 in the population, the economy will sustain itself. If there are 5 entrepreneurs per hundred, it will be a flourishing economy. If there are 10 entrepreneurs per 100, that economy will be a super power. Sadly, in the erstwhile communist USSR, there were not even 2 entrepreneurs per 100 in the population. Instead, they had black marketers and pimps creating employment! No wonder that large country collapsed. So, while the government can not provide jobs, it can create the condition favourable to entrepreneurs, like China did.
Dumbo not everyone do upsc job fool In upsc there are different opportunities or employment in upsc itself @@rajx7120 These current incompetent govt refusing to create vacancies Who said they will create 2 crores jobs per year in 2014
Umm socialist policies do not really encourage entrepreneurship or free market capitalism. They might encourage crony capitalism to ensure control & “growth”. Capitalist ecosystem provides those opportunities (at least on paper).
@AnnoyedCassettePlayer-pf3iyI'm talking about total percent of people in economy, I'm not saying agriculture is shameful. In US they do much better farming with only 1% population. No need to be insecure.
Imagine a country boasting to be a 3rd largest economy have less than 5% of their population paying income tax. Compare this to our peers and look were we stand.
@@offred6013 Classes for what? His statement is factually correct, only 5% population pays direct taxes, which is the largest chunk of the taxes collected.
Shekharji, the state-wise Index you showed was sorted based on the 2000 year score, and not on 2022. As a result, Kerala which is no. 6 in the ranking in 2022, appears at the bottom. Please add a correction to it.
You can also find below in the report The economically advanced Kerala State in the southern region demonstrated consistent improvement in its employment condition index ranking over time, landing among the top ten states in 2022. This transformation was attributed to a reduction in the share of youths not in employment, education or training and an increase in the proportion of formal regular workers, particularly among women
@@carrad123456 that is a different topic we can debate in a kind of video. But here I just wanted to point out that Guptaji wrongly present the data. He always claim he is a data journalist .
I like the analysis but the dilema is would the country demands be met with more and more people going away to for high profit professions.. Farmers are respected for there sacrifice equivalent to that of military... However with the rise in technology such sacrifices may not be required anymore from farmers.
One thing clear from the report is that people are going back to low-income agriculture sector to find jobs and no reforms are taking place there. Despite all the rhetoric around manufacturing post pandemic, govt have failed to match the rhetoric to add much jobs in it. More self employed means more underpaid jobs, which certainly affects consumption. Kudos SG for bringing it up. Time for people to evaluate rightly this govt.
@21:13 Kerala which is ranked 6th in the 2022 ranking is third worst for you considering 2005 rankings. Is this your biases getting in or is there no one in print to point to you this blunder.
Good analysis. Unfortunately, even with 10 years of absolute majority this Govt has failed to push through key reforms. Too much focus on reforms tailored to benefit crony industrialists that too just one or two OR push the regressive ideology of RSS. Very little reform which is long term, visionary and for the greater good.
If some of the findings are correct, how is that we as industrialists are not finding enough labour or even educated (graduates) . Appears, no one really knows how Indian data can be collated
So true, deliberately trying to create a narrative to support the current ruling government. I just don't get why these folks are trying to defend such bs
Apple CEO Tim Cook: "This Is the No. 1 Reason We Make iPhones in China. The products we do require really advanced tooling, and the precision that you have to have, the tooling and working with the materials that we do are state of the art. And the tooling skill is very deep here. In the U.S., you could have a meeting of tooling engineers and I'm not sure we could fill the room. In China, you could fill multiple football fields." 21 Dec 2017
How, does this relate to India? Skilling has to be done by Apple only. But if we give cheap land to Apple, you will start crying. Farmer boo hoo. If you give corporate tax cuts, then you will cry, even more. China provides these benefits. First support these measures, until then you are behaving like hypocrite.
@@rajx7120 China's edge is, Religion is not allowed to dictate politics. So their government do not have to waste time in religious polarization 24/7..all their effort is only on development.
Without FIRST tackling the challenge of giving our youth QUALITY education and SKILLS we cannot expect to see high employment in this highly competitive global workforce.
Problem is the time qe will have well educated and skilled people as you are suggesting avg. Indians would start aging old like China. Our population will start decline by 2050 so more old people than ypung. This is the time everyone must participate as per their own nature and talent.
The print has lost its spine as an independent news platform... the act of nudging using the speech of cea to negate the govt responsibility towards its citizens and sugar coating the bitter reality is ridiculous..its sad that even the independent media platforms have transformed into pol party mouthpieces...I hope someday this channel can revive its core principles of an independent media ..
This Government has been allocating more than 30% of their expenditure to Capex, compared to 16% in the prevoius UPA era. Why is this report not showing improved Labour participation in Construction/ Infra sector which is a major focus area of this Government..
Modi has spoiled the ambitions of billions of young talented people. He helped the richer people to become richest people in their areas to collect more funds for his own political party and also for himself too.
Employment scenario in this so-called fifth largest economy is bleak.36% of students in IIT Bombay did not get placed this year.Shame on policymakers for making hype around blah blah stuff.
"Self Employed" - After Covid I have seen many people opening new VEGETABLES THELA, new small general stores and some small snacks corner (for Bhajiya and Aaloo Chup), etc. I don't think it is painting a good picture for our country.
Do you even have any idea how much a vegetable vendor earns in good locality ? The one in my area (thane) has grown from 1 to 4 shops with daily turnover of 1 to 1.5 L. He owns 3 mini-trucks and employee 20 people in 4 shops. Not only this one, but a lot of others vegetable vendors in different location at thane has similar story. The chaiwals has 50% profit on inputs, and even a dilapidated chai-tapari earns anywhere from 20 ~ 30 K / day. In Bhopal I saw one growing from a 2ft x 2 ft tapari to full shop in just 2 yrs, with 10 people employed. If rikshaw business is so poor, then why to go for it ? People who work hard earns.
@@rajendrajasathy4356 Are you serious? Matlab kuchh v. It seems that you will be the one who will say, I will buy 200rs petrol but I need Modi. U hv that level of understanding. Do u even understand the difference between few extreme cases and general scenarios? How many Chaiwala have you seen and how many of them were earning that much? And if it is so great, why are u not becoming that? Tumlog kuchh v ho. kora rakhe ho apana poora bheja..
Good article. Very educative. Govt should take serious steps to shore up employment opportunities. It is sad to note that the the employee's earnings are falling. In fact their earnings should have been rising as per the GDP growth rate. So their warnings must have at least doubled. There should be some serious introspection.
20:40 it's a bit misleading to have the graph sorted by 2005 numbers and then draw conclusions for "now" Like you're saying Kerala performs poorly (20th in 2005) but actually Kerala is 6th in 2022 Maybe a small clarification or disclaimer would've been appropriate
Pandemic -> People(men + women) went back to agri -> Pandemic gets over -> some went back (men) some stayed back in the village(women) -> [reduction in workforce seeking empt. + increase in underemployt. + decline in real wages]
Liked the analysis as it was unbiased. Its time for us to encash on our investment towards infrastructure and move towards manufacturing sector. Next 10 years are going to be crucial for us and we need competent people sitting at the right place.
The ranking in 2.15 EMployment Condition Index, is misleadingly sorted by ranks in 2005! Kerala in 2005 was Rank#20 and has now risen to Rank#6 in 2022. Even the colour coding in the previous graphic shows yellow to be just below dark blue, and above light blue So Kerala has been an outlier in performance improvement
Good catch. But doesnt change the fact that KL is the next Bengal or Punjab. Just no comparison to Tamil Nadu (my state) or Telangana or Karnataka in terms of gdp growth rate, debt to GDP ratio, etc.,
Somehow the data of regular salary is not making sense, because if you adjust it for inflation then it would mean the adjusted salary has fallen by 50% plus. This seems highly unlikely
Just for example... Europe, USA, and Taiwan have many family-run workshops manufacturing highly custom-designed bicycles running out of small towns. They charge 5-6lac per bicycle and sell across the world. How many Indian mechanical/metrology engineers have the mindset of running such extremely high-skill workshops from small towns?
I understand the spirit of your point. However, it is a miniscule population. US labor situation (wages in relation to buying power) is quite bad today. Real wages have been going down for a long time.
There are many people who work as casual labourers or self employed during certain months and then go to farm their lands during rest of the months. How have these workers been categorised as?
This is a global phenomenon. Even indians completing graduation abroad are not getting jobs in foreign countries. So increasing the economic strength of India is the only way to support the needs of the youth. And Modi govt is addressing it in the right way.
@The Print, Please note that the ranking order being referred to for the employment condition index is from 2005. As of 2022, Kerala now ranks 6th in the employment condition index.
There is a typo around 14 mins 15 seconds. The percentages for primary, secondary, tertiary for year 2019 are 42%, 36%, 32% respectively. That adds up to 110%. I think the 36% is wrong, It should be 26%. That would explain at eye-popping 11% decline from 2019 to 2022, which is not possible as the percentage of the output is flat - around 31%.
The welfare schemes are such a problem. Finding people willing to work is so diffcult to find. You have to put up with lot of inefficiencies for labour to continue working.
SG suggests the way to increase income is by going away from farming. How about thinking the ‘Paani Foundation Way’? They are confident that every farmer has the potential to earn 1 lac rupees per acre, provided the farmer adopts ‘group farming’, ‘scientific farming’ ‘poison free , mostly natural farming’ and ‘smart marketing’ of products. Can he invite specialists from agriculture / horticulture areas on his show?
Dear Sir with all due respect to your analysis of ILO data you have concluded that the unemployment is rising.if that is so than 1)the no pf PF accounts and contri to individulal pf ac should be falling the gst should be falling and the no of tax payers should be falling too and in agriculture tax free income earned on top of free electricity and ncreasong fertilizer subsidy amt ignored.is this an anti modi analysis.
They are working in Zemato or swiggy. They underemplyed even afrer higher education and most of the job gone due change from 3 shift to 2 shift and loss of one shift job gone in manufacturing and service sectors. This is not good for heavily populated countries like India
Reasons behind: 1) In private Big company job there is a lot of exploitation work of 3 people are taken from a single person no fixed working hours people are working day and night on laptops getting stress and depression 2) No guidelines private companies are taking work worth rupees 100 and giving back 1 rupees in return and work stress is super high 3) Most of the salary get spend on super high rents and high prices of everything like gas electricity petrol vegetables
Unless govt focuses on labour intensive manufacturing Employment is not gonna catchup. And these sectors are most neglected. Textile garments , luxury goods, footwear, sports wear, real estate, metals, chemicals, food processing, spare parts nut bolts msmes etc.
6:25 I have different POV for increase in self-employment. Reason isn't that jobs were reduced but people were able to setup their own business in the period of working from home. So self-employment is increased. And good thing is casual jobs are decreasing continuously.
Data on secondary employment percentage in 2019 should be 26% not 36%. 36% is INCORRECT because the total comes out to be 110% (42% for primary + 36% for secondary + 32 % for tertiary) Salaries going down - my question is if these numbers adjust for inflation over that period 2012-2022
SBI PO 25 L aspirant 1700 post Earning lakh lakh pm Give 5 times jobs At 1/5 pay Infosys TCS Wipro Pays engineers that much only Gov job must be 5 pc only
In the graphic that shows more work in agriculture and reap low output, the percentages of employment add up to 100% in all years except 2019. In 2019 they add up to 110%. This bump was shown in secondary sector, making it look like the secondary sector employment fell drastically
For a long time, post independence, India was ruled by left or left neutral govt. This prohibited private capital investment to a large extent, resulting poor employment opportunities. We must change labour laws so that private capital investment should be promoted.
@@anuragchakraborty8766um last I heard dhruv rathee is in India. Why isn't he in jail? You guys keep crying that modi puts everyone in jail who opposes him?
Sir, the Employment Condition Index has been ranked as per 2005 data which is wrong. Kerala is ranked in top 6 as per 2022 rankings. Please recheck. Condition of Kerala is quite good.
I see an error in the data. In the graph on Agriculture and Employment share for 2019 Employment the numbers are 42 in Primary, 36 in Secondary and 32 in Tertiary which adds up to 110. All other years add up to 100 (correctly). Correcting this could change the 2019 data and lead to different interpretation and conclusions. Update: I double checked against the original report and the number in your graph for 2019 Secondary Employment % (36) is incorrect - in the original report it is 25%. i.e. pre-pandemic there was no increase in manufacturing share of employment which went back down. Irrespective of pandemic or not, that number has stayed stubbornly at ~25% since 2012. You call this out at 13:50 mins in your video but that particular call-out is incorrect.
The corresponding labour force in agriculture in China is about 23 % (same ILO report) - so it will ideally take more like 2 decades to get it down to below 25%
Can we do a episode on the big reforms required to move the Agri employment down ward and increase the Manufacturing. Agriculture is the most important sector and requires investment for food security. But we cannot continue like this forever. Modi has chance to take the next big leap. He must focus on this issue rather than waste political capital on other issues which can be administratively handled.
Such analysis to be relevant, has to take into account Govt. initiatives like MUDRA yojana and MGNREGA. According to PIB website, 40 crore loans amounting to 23 lakh crore rupees have been disbursed under MUDRA. Similarly, huge amount has been spent under MNREGA. What is the impact of these schemes on employment scene? Why are ILO and media not interested in this matter? Without taking into account important factors, reports and analysis would neither be complete nor relevant.
what is needed are land, labor, agriculture reforms. India got stuck with effective policies for decades. and we all know who prevents and opposes any reform
Hey Print team please get your charts correct, the secondary employment % is wrong for 2019 (should be 26), also employment ranking for states is based on 2005 when Shekarji is highlighting where as it should be based on 2022.
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You've missed covering some really surprising data on Kerala male(22/22) vs female(3/22) ranking Refer Page 255-256 (Table A2.19b and Table A2.19c). Would be interesting to understand what exactly is the cause of the skew.
We cannot shift employment opportunities from agriculture to manufacturing without bringing certain reforms in labour laws, land acquisition, agriculture and farming sector. On infrastructure front, we have certainly done a tremendous work in last 10 years but on policy, judicial and administrative reforms we have not yet started. Unless we do this, there is little hope for improvement.
😊 2:07
F😊7b8qq😊
😂😂
agree we still need atleast labour reform . judicial reform , and agriculture reform , and easy of doing buisness should be pririoty
Tremendous work it seems
Major mess up in the 21st minute. The slide on statewise employement is ranked on 2005 basis and not on 2022 basis. For Instance, Kerala had the best story in the chart, as it climbed from 20th rank in 2005 to 6th rank in 2022.
Please note the correction by a text or edit the video please.
+1. Shekar Gupta seems to have accidentally referred to 2005 data. The table was a bit misleading as well since they seem to have sorted based on 2005 column instead of the 2022 column even though the ranking was mentioned correctly next to 2022. Reference document - www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---asia/---ro-bangkok/---sro-new_delhi/documents/publication/wcms_921154.pdf ( Page No: 49 )
Indian politicians and media just say that we need to pull agricultural workers out of that sector and into manufacturing and services, but all their policies show otherwise. You cannot say you are going to have protectionist policies towards a sector and simultaneously want people to leave that sector. Even our most basic laws like property laws for buying farmland which should ensure equality are almost as protectionist as the tribal land laws, and similar to article 370, where people need a farmer ancestry to buy agricultural land, this obviously drives the price of that land down due to low demand (similar to reservation laws seen in usa). There's reformist laws like the farmers bill that the government completely blundered. There are endless loan wavers and subsidies for farmers who are making bad decisions and losses, instead there should be things like government/private insurance for climate/bad weather and other insurances that farmers can pay into in order to secure themselves in case of such calamities), otherwise how do you get farmers to be more responsible and more ready to consolidate or sell their small land holdings if you are going to bail them out as a matter of policy? We don't even have income tax for the sector to pay for such things.
Farmers are vote banks. And nobody will dare to bell the cat, even for good cause.
Also the current govt put a ban on exports
It puts harm to farmers
They are fools like you
You have covered several points succintly. Perfect analysis. Modi govt did try to improve the situation by bringing farm.laws. But Modi under pressure from vested interests, withdrew those.Clearly it was a bad decision.
Look at China. All land is owned by govt and leased out to farmers/ cooperative communities etc . Their farm productivity is very high
Unfortunately, if any politician makes these points on a public platform consider his career over. Such is the hold of socialistic brainwashing on society. They should try and introduce gist of farm laws state wise atleast.
We should follow the Soviet model for agriculture as it was in the republics not in Russia. All lands of separate farmers should form collective farms where the government will supply seeds, fertilisers, machines and purchase the products. Wholesale markets for all agricultural products should be in the hands of the government and if the industry needs land it should negotiate with the cooperative farm. That will eliminate uncertainty from the farm sector and create prosperity for the rural areas. ,
India's overall skills competency is now ranked 68th globally, down four spots from its previous position. India is now ranked 19th in Asia. - IMD Nov9, 2023
Wonder why that is the case. Fundamentals needs to be improved
Without land reforms mass industializaion is not possible. The services sector is not big enough to accommodate all. It also requires sophisticated human capital not so easy to develop.
True.
So basically you are saying there is nothing modi can do?
@@motei1853What fo you want Modi to do? Govt can't create jobs. Govt can only enable private sector to create jobs, and Modi givt jas done much better.
One area, of improvement is logistics and transport.
Other is, cleanup of NPAs, so that lending to private sector can resume.
But we need labour reforms, to help private sector can expand without bureacratic terrorism. But leftist people will start crying Adani Ambani. So, fix that hypocrisy.
@@rajx7120 got it 10 years of rule and berojgari
@@rajx7120who will be fix this modi Or me railway increasing roadways increasing 2 x but crown is not decreasing but employees or new job creation by using privatisation or public or semi public is not increasing even it's decreasing what about entrepreneurs no one knows that what modi government did for chemical industry, textile industry army railway chodo what modi did for ordinance factory now which is psu nothing report shows arm exports increasing 200% budget of defence increases 50 billion to 78 billion but no employment nothing to create new vacancy what a Hypocrite situation
Guptaji. Please read the table 2:15 again. The table is sorted in the ranking order of year 2005 not in 2022. Can you go through the table again ?
The Rank of Kerala is 6 in 2022 and you can see the below details under that table
The economically advanced Kerala State in the southern region demonstrated consistent improvement
in its employment condition index ranking over time, landing among the top ten states in 2022. This
transformation was attributed to a reduction in the share of youths not in employment, education or
training and an increase in the proportion of formal regular workers, particularly among women
21:00
Currently Kerala is not doing well as per reports of bankruptcy. at times I think these numbers are futile.
@@lazydamsel let guptaji do a story on that but at the same time he has to correct the wrongly presented data in this video. Let us fix it first. As a data journalist Guptaji has to correct it otherwise his credibility will be affected
@@kiranthomas2948 that's true though.
Self employed is too wide a category.....it could be a successful doctor, lawyer, entrepreneur earning in crores and also a rikshaw puller earning enough just to survive
The report says that out of the 55 something percent self employed 21 something percent has regular employment, the rest are casually employed. That is not a good thing. And even that 21 something percent could be any kind of employment like you said.
Sir, the state wise unemployment ranking you provided contains ranks of 3 different time periods.
But, unknowingly you missed to read the latest 2022 ranking, and instead, you were reading out the 2005 ranking.
What do you think is it by mistake or deliberately?
Absolutely changes the story! Kerala is #6 (2022) and is shown 3rd from the bottom (2005) ; Kashmir is shown as ranking high but has dropped in the last 5 years.
Its not a mistake but done intentiinally. What do you think Print was created for?
@@crazydriver8818Why'd ThePrint want to deliberately put down Kerala😅
They always keep praising Kerala for its social indicators and everything. You sound delusional
@@noneoftheabove666Maybe few years back. Print has turned into full blown Godi media post covid. I'm seeing a lot of RSS propaganda on this channel for last 3 years.
Sir please declutter yourself and re do the episode. Your storytelling is mostly lucid but this episode travels on rough road. Thankyou.
Wrong data on sum of population for 2019 data set. Sum is 110%. It should be 100%.
I think secondary sector output should be 26%.
@@govindbansal-gl2in secondary sector employment share should be 26%
Saw the same. Though to verrify from comments.
Yes, it should be 26%. Which means a very marginal change
well said.
@14:20 the three sector don't add up to 100% for 2019 ( they do for all other years). It adds up to 110% (42+36+32). I'm guessing the 36% in Secondary sector was supposed to be 26%.
True
That's right. Seems SG didn't catch the error before recording - he read the numbers as is.
Hi. I checked the report again, it scribes 36% only and I agree that the number doesn’t stack up to 100. But we wouldn’t know whether it’s 26 or 36 till ILO sends a Corrigendum 😅. So we can only write what they have written so far 😅😅😅
In the set theory there are overlaps, some body who owns a farm and is farming may also be a lawyer or a teacher which is counted in the service sector as well.
Go and learn the maths and look at data sets more carefully to understand how those numbers are calculated, rather than blindly flagging the error.
@@krishnmohan8906 thanks for that, now go and learn why this overlap happened only in 2019
Employment in a country is based on its entrepreneurs. The reason is, the employment in an economy is created by its entrepreneurs, both big and as small as chaiwallah. As a rule of thumb: if there are 2 entrepreneurs per 100 in the population, the economy will sustain itself. If there are 5 entrepreneurs per hundred, it will be a flourishing economy. If there are 10 entrepreneurs per 100, that economy will be a super power. Sadly, in the erstwhile communist USSR, there were not even 2 entrepreneurs per 100 in the population. Instead, they had black marketers and pimps creating employment! No wonder that large country collapsed. So, while the government can not provide jobs, it can create the condition favourable to entrepreneurs, like China did.
👌
In this country, everyone want to get UPSC job or do farming. Bloody hypocrites.
Dumbo not everyone do upsc job fool
In upsc there are different opportunities or employment in upsc itself @@rajx7120
These current incompetent govt refusing to create vacancies
Who said they will create 2 crores jobs per year in 2014
What is your reference for that rule of thumb 🤔?
Umm socialist policies do not really encourage entrepreneurship or free market capitalism. They might encourage crony capitalism to ensure control & “growth”.
Capitalist ecosystem provides those opportunities (at least on paper).
What Godi media never believes any truth published in international bodies or media against Godi . That is the tragedy of Godi RAJ.
21:11 table is sorted by 2005 data not by 2022 scores.
Number of people in agriculture increasing in the 21st century is shameful for our country.
Not in 21st century... During Covid period
@AnnoyedCassettePlayer-pf3iyI'm talking about total percent of people in economy, I'm not saying agriculture is shameful. In US they do much better farming with only 1% population. No need to be insecure.
Why shameful you r3tard
@AnnoyedCassettePlayer-pf3iyyeah sure , as if that happened
Why? Modiji delivered! India ruling the world rn.
Imagine a country boasting to be a 3rd largest economy have less than 5% of their population paying income tax. Compare this to our peers and look were we stand.
U need to take classes on how taxation works 😂😂
@@offred6013 Classes for what? His statement is factually correct, only 5% population pays direct taxes, which is the largest chunk of the taxes collected.
Didn't expect such a shabby analysis! Table 2.15 is sorted based on 2005 rankings but it was being interpreted as 2022 rankings in the analysis
Shekharji, the state-wise Index you showed was sorted based on the 2000 year score, and not on 2022. As a result, Kerala which is no. 6 in the ranking in 2022, appears at the bottom. Please add a correction to it.
You can also find below in the report
The economically advanced Kerala State in the southern region demonstrated consistent improvement
in its employment condition index ranking over time, landing among the top ten states in 2022. This
transformation was attributed to a reduction in the share of youths not in employment, education or
training and an increase in the proportion of formal regular workers, particularly among women
@@kiranthomas2948 what factors made Kerala bankrupt in 2024 ?
@@carrad123456 that is a different topic we can debate in a kind of video. But here I just wanted to point out that Guptaji wrongly present the data. He always claim he is a data journalist .
I like the analysis but the dilema is would the country demands be met with more and more people going away to for high profit professions.. Farmers are respected for there sacrifice equivalent to that of military... However with the rise in technology such sacrifices may not be required anymore from farmers.
One thing clear from the report is that people are going back to low-income agriculture sector to find jobs and no reforms are taking place there. Despite all the rhetoric around manufacturing post pandemic, govt have failed to match the rhetoric to add much jobs in it. More self employed means more underpaid jobs, which certainly affects consumption. Kudos SG for bringing it up. Time for people to evaluate rightly this govt.
@21:13 Kerala which is ranked 6th in the 2022 ranking is third worst for you considering 2005 rankings.
Is this your biases getting in or is there no one in print to point to you this blunder.
Good analysis.
Unfortunately, even with 10 years of absolute majority this Govt has failed to push through key reforms.
Too much focus on reforms tailored to benefit crony industrialists that too just one or two OR push the regressive ideology of RSS.
Very little reform which is long term, visionary and for the greater good.
If some of the findings are correct, how is that we as industrialists are not finding enough labour or even educated (graduates) . Appears, no one really knows how Indian data can be collated
Might be a pay issue.
Educated graduates here must be a surplus and the pay is terribl, unless it is one of the top 5% job.
@@cayocan1 A person might not work if the pay is below a certain level. They can still sruvive based on their ancestral wealth/part time jobs.
You have got the rankings wrong sir! Just because Kerala is placed below it doesn't have a low ranking! there is a separate column of ranking!
So true, deliberately trying to create a narrative to support the current ruling government. I just don't get why these folks are trying to defend such bs
Kerala has been a money order economy!
Unable to understand, since it is controversial explanation. Elucidation is some where lacking to expose real data. Unbelievable.
Apple CEO Tim Cook: "This Is the No. 1 Reason We Make iPhones in China. The products we do require really advanced tooling, and the precision that you have to have, the tooling and working with the materials that we do are state of the art. And the tooling skill is very deep here. In the U.S., you could have a meeting of tooling engineers and I'm not sure we could fill the room. In China, you could fill multiple football fields." 21 Dec 2017
He is a puppet of China, afraid of India taking over his master's economy
How, does this relate to India? Skilling has to be done by Apple only. But if we give cheap land to Apple, you will start crying. Farmer boo hoo. If you give corporate tax cuts, then you will cry, even more. China provides these benefits. First support these measures, until then you are behaving like hypocrite.
@mg.f.9023 according to your comment you conclude that china is skilling its youth better than India.
It has been true unfortunately. I wish otherwise....
@@rajx7120
China's edge is, Religion is not allowed to dictate politics. So their government do not have to waste time in religious polarization 24/7..all their effort is only on development.
At 21:15, why skip West Bengal? Also, that table is based on 2005 ranking and not 2022
Without FIRST tackling the challenge of giving our youth QUALITY education and SKILLS we cannot expect to see high employment in this highly competitive global workforce.
Problem is the time qe will have well educated and skilled people as you are suggesting avg. Indians would start aging old like China. Our population will start decline by 2050 so more old people than ypung. This is the time everyone must participate as per their own nature and talent.
Lol. Sundar pichai is CEO of Google, Satya of Microsoft. Are you saying we are taking over the world without quality education? 🤦♂️🤦♂️
FIRST, we need to do farm reforms and labour reforms, then that will free up money to subsidize education.
I think the table shown at 21:12 has rankings sorted as per 2005 data. For example Telangana ranks 3rd in 2022 but 5th in 2005.
The table at 20:29 is weird, it seems to be sorted by 2005 ranking rather than 2022
And so the narrative that Kerala is the third from the last is bad too, so I am sure Mr. Print got the data wrong too
The Print is doing the job it has been paid to do.
The print has lost its spine as an independent news platform... the act of nudging using the speech of cea to negate the govt responsibility towards its citizens and sugar coating the bitter reality is ridiculous..its sad that even the independent media platforms have transformed into pol party mouthpieces...I hope someday this channel can revive its core principles of an independent media ..
This Government has been allocating more than 30% of their expenditure to Capex, compared to 16% in the prevoius UPA era. Why is this report not showing improved Labour participation in Construction/ Infra sector which is a major focus area of this Government..
Dear CTC team, kindly put sections in the video..
Will make navigation easy.
Modi has spoiled the ambitions of billions of young talented people. He helped the richer people to become richest people in their areas to collect more funds for his own political party and also for himself too.
Employment scenario in this
so-called fifth largest economy
is bleak.36% of students in IIT
Bombay did not get placed this
year.Shame on policymakers
for making hype around blah
blah stuff.
"Self Employed" - After Covid I have seen many people opening new VEGETABLES THELA, new small general stores and some small snacks corner (for Bhajiya and Aaloo Chup), etc.
I don't think it is painting a good picture for our country.
Yeah I have seen rise of kirana stores and all.
It is the Gujarat model
@@cayocan1 You seem to have missed the part where Gujarat is one of the best performing states
Do you even have any idea how much a vegetable vendor earns in good locality ? The one in my area (thane) has grown from 1 to 4 shops with daily turnover of 1 to 1.5 L. He owns 3 mini-trucks and employee 20 people in 4 shops. Not only this one, but a lot of others vegetable vendors in different location at thane has similar story.
The chaiwals has 50% profit on inputs, and even a dilapidated chai-tapari earns anywhere from 20 ~ 30 K / day. In Bhopal I saw one growing from a 2ft x 2 ft tapari to full shop in just 2 yrs, with 10 people employed.
If rikshaw business is so poor, then why to go for it ? People who work hard earns.
@@rajendrajasathy4356 Are you serious?
Matlab kuchh v.
It seems that you will be the one who will say, I will buy 200rs petrol but I need Modi. U hv that level of understanding.
Do u even understand the difference between few extreme cases and general scenarios?
How many Chaiwala have you seen and how many of them were earning that much?
And if it is so great, why are u not becoming that?
Tumlog kuchh v ho. kora rakhe ho apana poora bheja..
Good article. Very educative. Govt should take serious steps to shore up employment opportunities. It is sad to note that the the employee's earnings are falling. In fact their earnings should have been rising as per the GDP growth rate. So their warnings must have at least doubled. There should be some serious introspection.
20:40 it's a bit misleading to have the graph sorted by 2005 numbers and then draw conclusions for "now"
Like you're saying Kerala performs poorly (20th in 2005) but actually Kerala is 6th in 2022
Maybe a small clarification or disclaimer would've been appropriate
“Make in India” should go as it benefits only the bigwigs and replaced by “Design in India”
Pandemic -> People(men + women) went back to agri -> Pandemic gets over -> some went back (men) some stayed back in the village(women) -> [reduction in workforce seeking empt. + increase in underemployt. + decline in real wages]
Amazing infrastructure development with no jobs!!
Liked the analysis as it was unbiased. Its time for us to encash on our investment towards infrastructure and move towards manufacturing sector. Next 10 years are going to be crucial for us and we need competent people sitting at the right place.
The ranking in 2.15 EMployment Condition Index, is misleadingly sorted by ranks in 2005! Kerala in 2005 was Rank#20 and has now risen to Rank#6 in 2022. Even the colour coding in the previous graphic shows yellow to be just below dark blue, and above light blue
So Kerala has been an outlier in performance improvement
exactly
Good catch. But doesnt change the fact that KL is the next Bengal or Punjab. Just no comparison to Tamil Nadu (my state) or Telangana or Karnataka in terms of gdp growth rate, debt to GDP ratio, etc.,
@@jeffrylouis6048 All true. I was mainly responding to SG's comment that Kerala is third from the bottom. It was yes, but not any more.
Somehow the data of regular salary is not making sense, because if you adjust it for inflation then it would mean the adjusted salary has fallen by 50% plus. This seems highly unlikely
He tried hard to not to cover up the unemployment issues, but failed miserably
Just for example... Europe, USA, and Taiwan have many family-run workshops manufacturing highly custom-designed bicycles running out of small towns. They charge 5-6lac per bicycle and sell across the world. How many Indian mechanical/metrology engineers have the mindset of running such extremely high-skill workshops from small towns?
I understand the spirit of your point. However, it is a miniscule population. US labor situation (wages in relation to buying power) is quite bad today. Real wages have been going down for a long time.
How is the 2019 data of employment % adding up to 110 %
Extra 10% are the Bangladeshis and Rohingyas 😂😂
20:59 There is a correction. This table is sorted based on 2005 data
There are many people who work as casual labourers or self employed during certain months and then go to farm their lands during rest of the months. How have these workers been categorised as?
This is a global phenomenon.
Even indians completing graduation abroad are not getting jobs in foreign countries.
So increasing the economic strength of India is the only way to support the needs of the youth. And Modi govt is addressing it in the right way.
Self Employment is not fending for themselves. Its independence.
@The Print, Please note that the ranking order being referred to for the employment condition index is from 2005. As of 2022, Kerala now ranks 6th in the employment condition index.
Educator in true sense. Shikhar Gupta sir love you.
Thank you for enlighting.
There is a typo around 14 mins 15 seconds. The percentages for primary, secondary, tertiary for year 2019 are 42%, 36%, 32% respectively. That adds up to 110%. I think the 36% is wrong, It should be 26%. That would explain at eye-popping 11% decline from 2019 to 2022, which is not possible as the percentage of the output is flat - around 31%.
Was thinking the same and that's my conclusion as well.
Why west Bengal is not uttered and also not marked?
The welfare schemes are such a problem. Finding people willing to work is so diffcult to find. You have to put up with lot of inefficiencies for labour to continue working.
Your Graphics is incorrect, total people working in 2019 adds upto 110%, please correct this.
Around 21:09, you are ranking by year 2005, you should rank by year 2022?
SG suggests the way to increase income is by going away from farming. How about thinking the ‘Paani Foundation Way’? They are confident that every farmer has the potential to earn 1 lac rupees per acre, provided the farmer adopts ‘group farming’, ‘scientific farming’ ‘poison free , mostly natural farming’ and ‘smart marketing’ of products. Can he invite specialists from agriculture / horticulture areas on his show?
2019 data adds upto 110%. That’s why comparison between 2019 and 2022 is distorted.
TRUTH ALWAYS TRIUMPHS
I am yet to meet someone who is making less than he/she made in 2012. That info sounds weird.
Do consider Inflation rate and Purchasing power of people.
Go out in public.. you will not find in govt controlled social media..
Tu iyer brahman hai ... kabhi lower class logo se milo
Dear Sir with all due respect to your analysis of ILO data you have concluded that the unemployment is rising.if that is so than 1)the no pf PF accounts and contri to individulal pf ac should be falling the gst should be falling and the no of tax payers should be falling too and in agriculture tax free income earned on top of free electricity and ncreasong fertilizer subsidy amt ignored.is this an anti modi analysis.
Thankyou shekar sir for sharing the Data of the ILo and your ideas.
Make this government unemployed then they will figure out a way to generate employment
When the topic involves graphs, they must be continuously displayed, so that the viewers stay connected
Very informative
They are working in Zemato or swiggy. They underemplyed even afrer higher education and most of the job gone due change from 3 shift to 2 shift and loss of one shift job gone in manufacturing and service sectors. This is not good for heavily populated countries like India
Reasons behind:
1) In private Big company job there is a lot of exploitation work of 3 people are taken from a single person no fixed working hours people are working day and night on laptops getting stress and depression
2) No guidelines private companies are taking work worth rupees 100 and giving back 1 rupees in return and work stress is super high
3) Most of the salary get spend on super high rents and high prices of everything like gas electricity petrol vegetables
Unless govt focuses on labour intensive manufacturing Employment is not gonna catchup. And these sectors are most neglected. Textile garments , luxury goods, footwear, sports wear, real estate, metals, chemicals, food processing, spare parts nut bolts msmes etc.
Primitive mind set
Why not services?
@@svacharya8180 what is primitive in this?
@@cayocan1 services dont generate lots of jobs. Service led growth results in jobless growth
6:25 I have different POV for increase in self-employment. Reason isn't that jobs were reduced but people were able to setup their own business in the period of working from home. So self-employment is increased.
And good thing is casual jobs are decreasing continuously.
Data on secondary employment percentage in 2019 should be 26% not 36%. 36% is INCORRECT because the total comes out to be 110% (42% for primary + 36% for secondary + 32 % for tertiary)
Salaries going down - my question is if these numbers adjust for inflation over that period 2012-2022
Very interesting... Thanks
SBI PO
25 L aspirant
1700 post
Earning lakh lakh pm
Give 5 times jobs
At 1/5 pay
Infosys
TCS
Wipro
Pays engineers that much only
Gov job must be 5 pc only
21:14 sir, you read the State ranking of 2005 instead of reading 2022 raking. Please Correct this.
In the graphic that shows more work in agriculture and reap low output, the percentages of employment add up to 100% in all years except 2019. In 2019 they add up to 110%. This bump was shown in secondary sector, making it look like the secondary sector employment fell drastically
Gig economy has led to increase in self employment? Its possible. Modi government cooking the books shows arrogance.
For a long time, post independence, India was ruled by left or left neutral govt.
This prohibited private capital investment to a large extent, resulting poor employment opportunities.
We must change labour laws so that private capital investment should be promoted.
Everything has gone worse under your dictator modi
@@anuragchakraborty8766um last I heard dhruv rathee is in India. Why isn't he in jail? You guys keep crying that modi puts everyone in jail who opposes him?
Sir, the Employment Condition Index has been ranked as per 2005 data which is wrong. Kerala is ranked in top 6 as per 2022 rankings. Please recheck. Condition of Kerala is quite good.
Then why do my people leave our state 🥲🥲
lol I live in Kerala. Most decently paying jobs here require 5 year experience even if you are a fresher. 😂
@@Apache1970 i guess the condition are even worse in other states
Then why migrant workers to Kerala. Because of high salary.
@@siju1098migrant workers come to almost every state you will find bihari or bangladeshi in Nagaland as well stop having such superiority complex
Thanks
Hi Suvra,
Thank you for supporting us.
I see an error in the data. In the graph on Agriculture and Employment share for 2019 Employment the numbers are 42 in Primary, 36 in Secondary and 32 in Tertiary which adds up to 110. All other years add up to 100 (correctly). Correcting this could change the 2019 data and lead to different interpretation and conclusions.
Update: I double checked against the original report and the number in your graph for 2019 Secondary Employment % (36) is incorrect - in the original report it is 25%. i.e. pre-pandemic there was no increase in manufacturing share of employment which went back down. Irrespective of pandemic or not, that number has stayed stubbornly at ~25% since 2012.
You call this out at 13:50 mins in your video but that particular call-out is incorrect.
MODI : HUM YUVAON KO ROZGAAR NAHI DE PAA RAHE HAIN. ISKE LIYE NEHRU ZIMMEDAR HAI!!😂😂😂😂
The percentages add up to 110% for year 2019 in the given graphic of people employed in primary, secondary and tertiary sectors
Sekharji
Regarding employment condition kerala is not the laggard in 2022. Pl check
Has bjp invested in providing vocational training or basic education to youth. I don't see this being their focus.
The corresponding labour force in agriculture in China is about 23 % (same ILO report) - so it will ideally take more like 2 decades to get it down to below 25%
EPFO and ESI enrollment can give the right picture
Nice analysis sir
Can we do a episode on the big reforms required to move the Agri employment down ward and increase the Manufacturing. Agriculture is the most important sector and requires investment for food security. But we cannot continue like this forever. Modi has chance to take the next big leap. He must focus on this issue rather than waste political capital on other issues which can be administratively handled.
Excellent episode!
Such analysis to be relevant, has to take into account Govt. initiatives like MUDRA yojana and MGNREGA. According to PIB website, 40 crore loans amounting to 23 lakh crore rupees have been disbursed under MUDRA. Similarly, huge amount has been spent under MNREGA. What is the impact of these schemes on employment scene? Why are ILO and media not interested in this matter? Without taking into account important factors, reports and analysis would neither be complete nor relevant.
what is needed are land, labor, agriculture reforms. India got stuck with effective policies for decades. and we all know who prevents and opposes any reform
So Palki Sharma explains this way better than Shekar who gets lost in his own narrative.
You need to straight forward in your point, you need to be proper in your journalism, rather beating around the bush.
TLDR: Ultra-rich are getting richer, everybody else is getting poorer.
Workforce participation is low than Bangladesh, Nepal & same with female labour participation
In early 90s the female labour for e participation was nearly 30% now it's less than 20% .
Hey Print team please get your charts correct, the secondary employment % is wrong for 2019 (should be 26), also employment ranking for states is based on 2005 when Shekarji is highlighting where as it should be based on 2022.
Your second slide shows 2019 total employment adding upto 110%. Agri- 44%, secondary- 36% and Tertiary 30% !! Pl recheck the data given by Nikhil.