IONQ Stock: Buy or Bye?

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  • Опубліковано 18 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 110

  • @Nanalyze
    @Nanalyze  3 дні тому

    Please support our work 🙏 Click the below link to subscribe 👇
    ua-cam.com/users/nanalyze

  • @kman2324
    @kman2324 2 дні тому +5

    IONQ's founders left and were replaced by Silicon sales executives. AQT is the long term name to watch.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +3

      Thank you for mentioning that. The news was in Feb 2024, and they had a very good year of growth after, so maybe the founders - as technically competent as they seem - were best suited to return to academia. Maybe that's where their passions lie. Or the board told them to leave as they were getting in the way ;)

    • @kman2324
      @kman2324 2 дні тому

      @@Nanalyze They were interested in the academia side but they were replaced by a lot of individuals that I don't think truly grasp the science (not that anyone really does). Just my thoughts, hopefully I'm wrong.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +1

      Thank you for the comment! Yes, even the experts say they don't truly understand this stuff. Kind of nuts!

  • @benzhang7261
    @benzhang7261 3 дні тому +3

    Good point, but for the long run, even the communication need to be encrypted by quantum. The need is still out there.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  3 дні тому

      Good point, also true random number generators (like proper true) and things like that. Seems like a lot of the concern for encryption comes from QC being able to bypass traditional methods.

    • @_kyzyl_
      @_kyzyl_ 2 дні тому +1

      ⁠@@Nanalyzethere is already a NIST standard for post-quantum (keyword “lattice”) cryptography. It’s less efficient than what we use now but if QC “arrives” the comms will switch. NSA will have a field day decrypting all the stored internet traffic, though!

  • @doctorcereza
    @doctorcereza День тому

    I've been eyeballing IONQ, but kept thinking I was missing something with the hyperinflated valuation metrics, but your video helps me see I'm not missing anything, and your hype cycle price chart says it all. thanks!

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  День тому +1

      We should have included a chart that shows valuation (simple valuation ratio) over time as that's more telling than just looking at price. Follow us on X as we'll post that there: x.com/nanalyzetweets :)

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  День тому

      @GovenorJerryBrown And if you call people names again you're getting blocked. Act like an adult please.

  • @runningman5871
    @runningman5871 День тому

    Great video, the quantum coherence issue seems to have hit all quantum computer companies as they are all scaling back on the qubit numbes.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  День тому

      AI has to be able to help accelerate quantum computing development one would think

  • @leweezo33
    @leweezo33 3 дні тому +3

    I bought 5 shares of IONQ.. In the unlikely event it is amazing, I will be ok. In the likely event that it is hype, I will be ok

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  3 дні тому +3

      Always make people work as hard to take your money as you did to earn it. Don't gamble. Have a methodology. If your methodology says, "I will invest 5% of my AUM in stocks I find compelling over a P/S of 100 that are being heavily hyped," then fine. See how that rule fares over time. Adjust accordingly. ;)

    • @leweezo33
      @leweezo33 2 дні тому +3

      @@Nanalyze After watching the whjole vid and hearing the comparison to NVDA, I put my sell order in for Monday. That is a clear "it makes no sense" lesson. + I already doubled my money. Why ride it back down..

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +5

      Well, remember that hype can really rocket. Seriously, we've learned that trying to call a top is next to impossible. Most important lesson here. Establish your own set of rules. Start small. Follow them. Refine them. Rinse and repeat ;) And no FOMO and no regrets. :)

    • @kisangkim1105
      @kisangkim1105 2 дні тому

      Good chance to discover what quantum phenomena is. Quantum computer is not omnipotent, but especially good at quantum problems such as quantum chemistry to develop a new drug or material where we need to solve quantum physics equations.

    • @believeroftheword4627
      @believeroftheword4627 День тому

      @@leweezo33 I understand most people didn't see the value of IONQ at $6.22 like I did. And I understand that most people are unaware of NVDAs issues with the new Blackwell chip overheating in systems, causing complete and utter shut downs industry wide, but then again, I am aware that I do the research that others don't. Which is why, thanks to PLTR and IONQ, I was able to retire at 46. I quit my job in September and have been watching my network skyrocket ever since.

  • @poyh8122
    @poyh8122 4 години тому

    I started to invest in IONQ 3 months ago.
    I heard that the prediction points out the Bitcoin cryptocurrency price would in bull market. In my opinion, Quantum tech is a potential invested target to protct cryptocurrency.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 години тому

      Are you saying crypto could be a growth driver for quantum computing? Interesting thesis.

  • @juaaan78
    @juaaan78 3 дні тому

    Many thanks Joe, I greatly appreciate posting a video for quantum computing after my request.
    I still believe in quantum computing but I also believe in making a profit, so I sold my stocks a few days ago. 😅
    Like you mentioned , if ML doesn't outplay quantum computing , I'll keep investing my "no worries to loose money" in IONQ, otherwise I'll look for another potential unicorn. 🤪

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  3 дні тому +1

      Paying subscribers make this channel possible, and we pay attention to what they say. This topic was requested by quite a few folks. Yeah quantum computing is crazy cool stuff. That said, we need to acknowledge when the hype gets too heated. Joe P.

  • @maxbreak147
    @maxbreak147 21 годину тому

    Nvidia have just announced they work with Google Quantum AI. Is that death to all small caps in the segment?

  • @phungha8915
    @phungha8915 22 години тому

    While current AI systems cannot independently "create their own quantum" in the sense of physically building a quantum computer, advanced AI could potentially be used to significantly contribute to the design and optimization of quantum computing systems by analyzing vast amounts of data and suggesting new approaches to overcome challenges in quantum hardware and algorithms, effectively acting as a powerful tool for quantum research and development; however, this is still a future possibility and currently, building a quantum computer requires specialized hardware and expertise beyond the capabilities of any existing

  • @kisangkim1105
    @kisangkim1105 2 дні тому

    yes risky, but also many big hands want a dip to grab shares. Quantum hype cycle is interesting. IonQ CEO kept his word on roadmap recently and next year really usable performance Q computer. So next year will be superb if goes as plan, but there is a big uncertainty, and possible Q hype collapse. We need to study diligently on IonQ. One thing clear is not many people can understand this company status, because quantum physics knowledge is essential. Anyway I like and trust CEO of IonQ who seems sincere.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +2

      Respectfully. Take the "many big hands want a dip to grab shares" crap somewhere else. That's a cheerleader statement that means nothing. And they are not on track to meet the growth targets stated in their SPAC, so you're wrong there. "We need to diligently study on IONQ." That will not help the fact it's ridiculously overpriced. Cheerleading talking points don't fly around here. We work in objectives. ;)

  • @nateb4383
    @nateb4383 День тому

    Machine learning relies on data and computing power. Current solutions face issues with data quality and computational resources. Quantum computers can train algorithms faster, so software blocking quantum seems misguided. In fact, I believe it’s the opposite.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  День тому

      Thank you for sharing your thoughts!

  • @phungha8915
    @phungha8915 23 години тому

    This company got 353m cash in hand to grow. Their future guidances are pretty solid. I want to hold for the long run but you kinna scare me.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  22 години тому +1

      Two things here. Never invest in a company unless you have already decided when you plan to sell. Start making your investing process more rules based to remove the emotion out of the equation. You'll sleep a whole lot better.

  • @PremiumCollector.
    @PremiumCollector. 3 дні тому

    Thanks Joe! I recall you saying that boring ol' IBM could gobble up any potential quantum growth. Big boys win. Now let's get a hype-damping of RKLB again so we can get that SVR down (jk) 😜

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  3 дні тому +1

      You're very welcome! Would be great if IBM made true on all the R&D dollars they spent on QC.
      Agree on RKLB. For proper investors we always want the SVR to be as low as possible. That way we're buying quality on the cheap. Joe P.

  •  День тому

    Scorpion Capital did a short report on these guys a couple years ago. Wonder if their position has changed since.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  День тому

      Great question. Our past research shows that we noted their point about related party revenues which was very legitimate. That has since changed which is good for IONQ. Not sure what Scorpion's thoughts are now. We've found their reports to be hit or miss.

  • @masterredboy3539
    @masterredboy3539 День тому +1

    The US military is working with IONQ... IONQ is here to stay

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  День тому

      Thank you for the contribution

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  День тому +1

      @GovenorJerryBrown "Copium for anti-IONQ bears." If you can't handle professional investors being critical of a stock then you're never going to become a better investor. Leave this "anti-IONQ" crap at the door please. You should be most critical of the stocks you're most bullish about.

    • @masterredboy3539
      @masterredboy3539 День тому +1

      @@Nanalyze I agree with you

  •  2 дні тому

    All the quantum stocks have been suddenly roaring the past month, maybe due to a series of advancements in the field and government funding in the field. IONQ's recent big Air Force contract also probably helped. Also, I wonder if Trump's victory increased sentiment for the field considering how much he wants to stay ahead of China in new technologies.
    But I think lowly QUBT's stock triple last week on a measly deal is the best sign of how insane the quantum stock hype has gotten recently, and it's quite funny how they then immediately capitalized on it by doing a big share offering which tanked the stock a bit. Seems like it would be crazy for IONQ to not do a share offering at these prices.
    I also enjoy watching Sabine H.'s critical videos of the quantum field, and it's funny timing how the quantum stocks started ripping just after her video "The Quantum Computer Collapse Has Begun" last month.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      Thing is we've seen these hype cycles before for QC and the result is always the same. Things simmer down when the apes move on to something else. QUBT is absolutely horrible, so much so we didn't even include it in this piece. Yeah you are right about share offering and you just know that few speculators pay attention to the dilution that happens during these events.

    • @kisangkim1105
      @kisangkim1105 2 дні тому

      Quantum means sudden big jump. Now time to quantum Q computing biz. Next year we will see historical moment of truely amazing Q computers.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +1

      @@kisangkim1105 Mongo buy QC stocks. Mongo happy.

    • @GunnahsStunnahs
      @GunnahsStunnahs День тому

      Me Mongo…me like quantum jumps in the folio thingy

  • @Cheesecake99YearsAgo
    @Cheesecake99YearsAgo 3 дні тому +2

    8:36 sequential = quarterly ?

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  3 дні тому

      Yessir. Should have made that clear. (Runs off to scold intern.)

  • @StephanFlips
    @StephanFlips 3 дні тому

    Sold the hype on IONQ yesterday. Good riddens! Good profit though!

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  3 дні тому +1

      Objectively it's hyped beyond what would be considered acceptable. Of course that's not to say the ape kingdom doesn't pump it even higher. However, fundamentals need to catch up or we will see mean reversion.

    • @StephanFlips
      @StephanFlips 3 дні тому

      @@Nanalyze Thanks to your channel I am now convinced I took the right decision. I'm just a noob in the game but I will invest in companies with good fundamentels from now on also. Thank you! 👌🙏🙏

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      @@StephanFlips You're most welcome. As a noob, the best thing you can do is start setting some rules. We talk about diversification and asset class allocation all the time. Accumulating wealth can be very easy, even using something as simple as the Bogle three fund portfolio (ua-cam.com/video/1LYR3hD8VFA/v-deo.html). Become an overnight millionaire in 20 years. ;)

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +3

      @revisionfour We've had just about enough of your name calling. You don't come around here and berate my social media manager. Now you're blocked Mr. Super Security Clearance. Take the cheerleading rant elsewhere. Joe P.

  • @tonyb7275
    @tonyb7275 2 дні тому

    Yea also they are competing with the likes of Google, Honeywell, and IBM to name a few

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      Correct. You have large tech firms and also about 100 smaller companies. We only covered three names in this video.

  • @kenjiyoutube9
    @kenjiyoutube9 2 дні тому

    I don’t see this as a hype… it increased as a response to a huge order from US defense.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +1

      Orders and $5 will get you a cup of coffee at Starbucks. Pay attention to revenues. As we've seen twice in the past now, the stock is being pumped heavily (along with ALL qc stocks) and the progress does not justify the valuation.
      The genius part about this method is that one of two things happen. 1) The fundamentals have an "NVIDIA moment' and growth just goes through the roof. Even then, we'd expect to see NVIDIA-like valuation. Or 2), the valuation reverts to the mean.
      The most dangerous four words in investing. This time its different.

    • @kenjiyoutube9
      @kenjiyoutube9 2 дні тому

      @@Nanalyzethanks😊

    • @kisangkim1105
      @kisangkim1105 2 дні тому +2

      US defense main purpose is not Q computing, but Q networking. Current IonQ Q computer is too small, but a 32 qubit was installed in Swiss as a hybrid type. We may get some useful application there.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +1

      Good point. There is a TON going on in this industry beyond just the three very visible names that went public via SPAC.

  •  2 дні тому

    The highest analyst price target is $22 and it's now nearly $30. So no thanks, I'll pass, lol.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +3

      Analyst price targets have always been a bit of a joke in industry as well :)

    • @FixForeGamers
      @FixForeGamers День тому +1

      @@Nanalyze indeed never look to that do your own homework

  • @kisangkim1105
    @kisangkim1105 2 дні тому +1

    I got into IonQ as a major holing a month ago, resulting in 100% gain. Should I sell half ? ANY opinion is welcome.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +2

      You need to establish your own set of investing rules and know when you plan to sell a stock before you buy a single share of it.

    • @musaran2
      @musaran2 2 дні тому +1

      *Asking* for FA is asking for trouble.
      Knowledgeable people learned it's not that simple ; only fools, cock-sures and bots will answer.
      DYR, feel the zeitgeist, ask at most for clarifications and insight.

    • @musaran2
      @musaran2 2 дні тому +2

      Don't hold a position you would not have opened.

    • @tonyb7275
      @tonyb7275 2 дні тому

      If you don't sell half even you will regret it so hard by mid January no way this thing holds up here every earnings call is cheerleading for thier own company

  • @Wowsers101
    @Wowsers101 2 дні тому +1

    Love your content brother, still holding ionq

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +1

      Really glad you are finding value in your content! If you're invested in IONQ then that's the best thing to do. Stay focused on the long term horizon. If you're on the sidelines feeling some FOMO, consider hype and valuation. Of the publicly traded QC stocks, IONQ is the best because they have proper revenue growth.

    • @Wowsers101
      @Wowsers101 2 дні тому

      @Nanalyze I got in a month ago thanks to Martin Shkreli

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +2

      @@Wowsers101 Is Martin Shkreli going to tell you when to sell? Be very careful about people dispensing "tips" especially if they spent seven years in prison for - what was it - securities fraud?

    • @Wowsers101
      @Wowsers101 2 дні тому

      @@Nanalyze they locked him up because they hate him, the media lies bro

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +1

      You're right about the media lying. Don't know about the rest of his story. His videos seem verbose and the whole begging for money thing seems off. We're very wary of anyone with a past record of regulatory run ins because there is a massive network of pump and dumpers out there and we're starting to see that creep into some YT channels. Usually the 25 year old life coaches who unknowingly (or perhaps intentionally) get involved. Social media was the worst thing that ever happed to investors bro.

  • @MikeLanser-z5w
    @MikeLanser-z5w 3 дні тому +4

    Hi Nanalyze,
    I recently discovered your channel and am amazed it doesn’t have more subscribers compared to the hype-driven stock UA-camrs. I’m from the Netherlands, where we have a well-known company called ASML, which I’m sure you’re familiar with. It’s a trending stock in Europe and recently took a hit after its Q3 results. I’m curious to hear your analysis of this stock!

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  3 дні тому

      Thank you very much for those kind words Mike! Our content is produced by tenured investment professionals with a focus on quality insights. We fully expect rapid growth as word gets out so please share with your friends! :)
      Here's our piece on ASML: www.nanalyze.com/2024/01/asml-stock-pick-and-shovel-semiconductor/

  • @lilbroomstick7914
    @lilbroomstick7914 2 дні тому +1

    Drop a Shrodinger vid

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      Last covered here: www.nanalyze.com/2024/03/schrodinger-stock-pressure-ai/

  • @RayZde
    @RayZde 23 години тому

    real science = real revenue.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  23 години тому

      Thanks for that slogan. We'll pass it on to their IR team.

  • @Bigshort42000
    @Bigshort42000 День тому +1

    I know you don't "trade", but do you not see how easy money could be made in this overvaluation of ionq up or down? Market exuberance surprises everyone, you talked about pltr's overvaluation in almost every video I've ever heard you mention them in yet they 3×ed, bubble money is still money irrational or not. And after your extensive research on all of these overvalued hyped up baffon companies, which "i agree with you" for the most part, how are you not at least considering buying long term puts? Iv wont always be as high as it is now so i don't understand how you wouldn't safely Long term short them through something like puts knowing 100% they are overvalued

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  День тому +1

      There is no "easy money." People who suggest that mislead investors. We talked down on PLTR? We take the same red flag approach to ALL companies we analyze. We have a consistent refined methodology based on decades of academic and industry experience that reduces risk and helps people become better investors. Valuation (simple valuation ratio) is a key part of that for tech stocks because of their inherent volatility. We invest in companies, not stocks. We don't short hyped names because the herd will behave irrationally for far longer than your margin limits can tolerate. We don't speculate on future share prices unless they're based on relative valuation targets. We're simply presenting facts so that newbie investors who are being strung along by hype can learn something about valuation.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  День тому

      Also regarding your comment on puts, lots of people pursue those strategies (they are less risky than shorting) but we are of the belief that most retail investors should not be dabbling in options. It's a very bad idea. Lead by example.

  • @alexkoch14
    @alexkoch14 2 дні тому

    Haters said to get out of the market and go touch grass. Joe did both

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +1

      If you're not touching grass, can you really call it life?

    • @alexkoch14
      @alexkoch14 2 дні тому

      @ have you touched grass, Wyatt? 😆

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      Yes, our entire staff touches grass regularly. How bout you?

    • @alexkoch14
      @alexkoch14 2 дні тому

      @ wow wow, hold on now. This isn’t about me 😆

    • @WyattCounterman
      @WyattCounterman 2 дні тому

      @@alexkoch14 my “grass” is 80% dead leaves at the moment unfortunately

  • @maxbreak147
    @maxbreak147 2 дні тому +1

    even if there was revenue. this whole quantum computing and quantum physics thing seems bogus and just a thought experiment. wouldn’t touch any stock in this segment before they prove some real world benefit

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      IONQ does have revenue - and growth - but a herd of brainless apes ruined it for everyone by pumping the crap out of it. So either one of two things happen. The valuation adjusts because the fundamentals catch up, or we see a reversion to the mean.

    • @kisangkim1105
      @kisangkim1105 2 дні тому

      So far, IonQ computer is too small though it functions well. Next year high capacity 64 qubit will be released. i think they made it already, now just some final touch including software development.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      @@kisangkim1105 That may be the case but the stock is still being pumped by a bunch of Mongos and it's way overvalued. No FOMO.

  • @rocketman99
    @rocketman99 3 дні тому

    What about btc miners

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  3 дні тому

      Covered here: ua-cam.com/video/VO1Vej-LpDk/v-deo.html

    • @rocketman99
      @rocketman99 2 дні тому

      @Nanalyze fair enough , good video btw but its not good enough for now especially for pure miners as now with trump and potential btc reserve the whole thing is different

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      So the miners will still be diversifying into AI, or they will now go back to just mining? Seems like investing in bitcoin if you want bitcoin exposure is the way forward.

  • @lostlandmarks8305
    @lostlandmarks8305 2 дні тому

    More scam stonkz.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      There is definitely some "there there" as we have strong revenue growth from IONQ. However, it's being pumped right now by Mongo-meme-stonk types and - as a result - is extremely overvalued.

  • @Cheesecake99YearsAgo
    @Cheesecake99YearsAgo 3 дні тому +2

    1st

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  3 дні тому +4

      You sir, have won a free set of ginsu knives. Now we just need $99.99 for shipping and we'll get those free knives out to you in a jiffy.

    • @mk-ki3jc
      @mk-ki3jc 3 дні тому +1

      Fuck me, the ginsu!!!!!!! Lucky man, I have a drywall project, and some tomatoes that could use one of those.

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому +1

      Remember back in the day when Ron Popeil used to sell those things? The real value add in knives would be some Damascus from Japan. :)

    • @mk-ki3jc
      @mk-ki3jc 2 дні тому

      @@Nanalyze i miss that man. Set it and forget it!

    • @Nanalyze
      @Nanalyze  2 дні тому

      @@mk-ki3jc Right? I miss him too. An effing legend. If he was around we'd promote his products in our videos. Make no mistake. Joe P.