Nobel Laureate Explains How to Beat the Markets | Eugene Fama

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 11 гру 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 190

  • @Rascal77s
    @Rascal77s Рік тому +64

    David you're killing it with the awesome guests and discussions!

  • @fish.jockey516
    @fish.jockey516 Рік тому +37

    What an absolute delight of a human being eh. Super stoked to see the best guests of the old era be the first of the new one. David, you’ve made an excellent decision to go down this path, excited to see where it will lead. Go Raptors!

    • @Dr.Richard_Kimble
      @Dr.Richard_Kimble Рік тому

      Great interview David. I love how those who have learnt this fact take the cognitive dissonance approach to actually applying this knowledge,

    • @HagobSaldaldianSmeik
      @HagobSaldaldianSmeik Рік тому

      100%

  • @OaseDaniel
    @OaseDaniel Рік тому +32

    This guy is a legend. Great interview

  • @apothe6
    @apothe6 Рік тому +4

    I listen to everything Fama says, what a pleasure to see him on your channel David!

  • @James-il3tq
    @James-il3tq Рік тому +14

    Lots of respect for David's crazy work ethic with his new channel 👊 With his work ethic and lineup of guests he'll blow away 100k subs in no time, eventually 500k.

  • @TXLionHeart
    @TXLionHeart Рік тому +12

    David, I'm impressed; this man is the GOAT, and everything he says is a cornucopia of wisdom. Thank you for an awesome interview!

  • @antpoo
    @antpoo Рік тому +5

    Great to listen to scholars and not ‘pundits’ with their own opinions and self interest

  • @vincentmurphy9252
    @vincentmurphy9252 Рік тому +4

    David to get not the same 20 people to interview ( it gets old) as many of sites do they just regurgitation of interviews - it nice to get these quality guests !!!you rock

  • @pradeeprathore6683
    @pradeeprathore6683 Рік тому +2

    David.. You are the best interviewer I have ever seen.

  • @josephking7674
    @josephking7674 Рік тому +2

    Keep your interviews light hearted. That is what makes your show fun to watch. Good job

  • @deltabravo6613
    @deltabravo6613 Рік тому +14

    Can someone interview David just as a person?! His mindset and drive is inspiring!

    • @ikust007
      @ikust007 Рік тому +1

      James just did a superbe one.

    • @walden6272
      @walden6272 Рік тому

      Would be hilarious if Kitco invite David to their show to interview him about the market. LOL

    • @deltabravo6613
      @deltabravo6613 Рік тому

      @@walden6272 😂😂💀

    • @deltabravo6613
      @deltabravo6613 Рік тому

      @@ikust007 link please

  • @kenthughes4396
    @kenthughes4396 3 дні тому

    David finally doesn’t have a crackpot as a guest but a true hall of famer . Fama is a genius and David’s other guests can’t hold his jockstrap😊

  • @johnw2799
    @johnw2799 Рік тому +1

    Dr Fama is quite an open-minded scholar. May he long live!

  • @CornTrader
    @CornTrader Рік тому +3

    Thank you David for bringing such smart people to your show.

  • @ncprealty3844
    @ncprealty3844 Рік тому +4

    Humble and happy, teaching in his mid-80s, his students are fortunate.

  • @dmitridemin4832
    @dmitridemin4832 Рік тому +11

    Dollars in international trade are just units of account?? With all due respect, what is he talking about. Companies overseas routinely buy dollars so they can trade with their partners. This creates demand for dollars which the US is happy to provide. The moment this overseas trade in dollars goes down, you have less demand for dollars and so you will have to pay for imports in the US by exporting real goods and services rather than dollars.

  • @BlueWaterSTAX
    @BlueWaterSTAX Рік тому +2

    Fascinating conversation guys. Central Banks PUMPING massive amounts of liquidity into the financial system, of course growth stocks are going to do better over the last ten years. Without that liquidity (QE), value stocks would have done better. The David Lin Report has the best content on UA-cam 😀

  • @jayneweaver8695
    @jayneweaver8695 Рік тому +2

    Dr. Fama is an excellent guest, wise and also generous with his knowledge, thank you for having him on your show. Our Fed are our "best and brightest" their best thinking got us here; wondering if our bank balances will be in our accounts at any given hour, because we are not in "the club" where your rich friends get richer from their association w/you at the Fed, while the rest of America struggles to buy a 300 s.'f.' Tiny Home with no land or foundation.

  • @dixiederivatives
    @dixiederivatives Рік тому +12

    David, so happy I found you again, and congrats on your own show! I just realized a week ago I hadn't seen you on Kitco! Found out you left, glad to see the results!

  • @mechannel7046
    @mechannel7046 Рік тому +4

    Wow, you have Eugene Fama on!

  • @makeyourlifeeasier5794
    @makeyourlifeeasier5794 Рік тому +4

    As usual, a great show and a total disregard for combing your hair...both perfect...I Love it David!! 😂

  • @bradynields9783
    @bradynields9783 Рік тому +2

    "Bitcoin is a totally different subject" best line ever within the context of money.

  • @MarcosMatsumotofx
    @MarcosMatsumotofx Рік тому +2

    Wow, David! Best guest ever👏🏻

  • @Zk8et
    @Zk8et Рік тому +5

    I think he thought that David told him to subscribe. LOL 🤣😂

  • @PaulbylPaulbyl
    @PaulbylPaulbyl Рік тому +7

    So glad you got your own channel David you so deserve it!

  • @80travisbickle
    @80travisbickle Рік тому

    Best episode so far on this channel. Strange to see Rick Rule and E.B. Tucker get five or six times more views than Eugene Fama. Maybe you could get Jeremy Siegel as a guest?

  • @joelapointe3839
    @joelapointe3839 Рік тому +4

    excellence! you continue to ask all the questions I want the answers to. great choice of guests. wonderful ,thankyou from vancouver

  • @dls1980fly
    @dls1980fly Рік тому +11

    What a fantastic guest and a great interview. Very informative. Thank you!

  • @kenthughes4396
    @kenthughes4396 8 місяців тому

    David’s best interview of all time!

  • @davidcorden
    @davidcorden Рік тому

    David, best of luck with your new show. A couple of suggestions: 1) improve your microphone and framing of your logo. 2) Rename to the Lin report, it’s sharper. 3) Your hair and makeup need improvement, you looked sharper on Kitco. 4) Spend money on a on jntro video and music. 5) Post some short form videos pointing people to your main channel.

  • @rain3304
    @rain3304 Рік тому +2

    I Enjoy you both for the questions and laughter.

  • @dforsberg99
    @dforsberg99 Рік тому +2

    Wow, great interview. Thank you.

  • @ElementaryWatson-123
    @ElementaryWatson-123 Рік тому

    I wish I were there to ask Eugene Fama a few questions about the Efficient Market Theory.
    One, if the market is efficient then prices are optimal (no one can objectively suggest a better price), so what is the target function for the market optimization? It can't be just the price or risk, because it's easy to change those by diluting or leveraging market position.
    The market participants must be optimizing the risk/reward ratio. If that's the case, the corollary is that every security in the efficient market must be offering the same risk/reward. After all rational people don't care what a company is called or what business they are in as long as it brings them the best financial results. If, say, a manure manufacturer has better risk/reward ratio than a technology company then that's where the investors will bring there money to -- the process that will eliminate the discrepancies. Now, since all market instruments are equally optimized, it contradicts the Modern Portfolio Theory, because there is no diversification effect in diversified portfolio -- any portfolio consists of equally optimized securities by the efficient market.

  • @MiguelCosta-ez6rh
    @MiguelCosta-ez6rh Рік тому +6

    Just finished listening to this, 7 am Alpha! 😁 Loved this one! It's amazing the way you conduct your interviews David! You are awesome!

  • @AdamTSLA
    @AdamTSLA Рік тому +6

    Incredible interview - thanks for this David. I remember doing my masters in finance and studying his asset pricing and allocation models.

  • @pq2667
    @pq2667 Рік тому +1

    Fabulous! thanks gentleman super informative.....they will save me reading a lot of junk reporting / commentary regarding the US$ 'is this' or 'is that'.....
    David, much success to you!

  • @bonjourbrasserie4387
    @bonjourbrasserie4387 Рік тому +2

    Thanks David for your work, if I have keep one economics channel subscription it would be yours, because of the quality of guest your are inviting. And thanks Eugene for sharring your wisdom !

  • @weallgonnamake
    @weallgonnamake Рік тому +4

    Always checking your interview with Eugene Fama. Always fun and knowledgeable.

  • @stockswithkunle700
    @stockswithkunle700 Рік тому +2

    The two mics make you appreciate good quality audio!

    • @thaidomain
      @thaidomain Рік тому

      Yes, it often appeared Mr. Fama was just mumbling something.

  • @Archie-td6ox
    @Archie-td6ox Рік тому +1

    Your level of knowledge is evident by the quality of interviews you give! Keep up the great work David

  • @ellipseirp7470
    @ellipseirp7470 Рік тому

    Good question around minute 17. I believe that today a more important yet similar question would be whether the running algos are behind the current efficiency. This is akin to asking "Which came first: the chicken or the egg?"

  • @runningboy4761
    @runningboy4761 Рік тому +1

    Great to have insights from a REAL economist. Good job David!

  • @lotfyken2759
    @lotfyken2759 Рік тому +2

    One great guest after another

  • @julianthomas696
    @julianthomas696 Рік тому +1

    Great show David ❤❤❤

  • @dr.mariotrevinovillegas8450
    @dr.mariotrevinovillegas8450 Рік тому +2

    excellent interview David! Bravo!

  • @edwardtucker8219
    @edwardtucker8219 Рік тому +2

    David, I am working my way through all your new presentations. You had me on your first question (and his laugh) about MMT! I was seriously missing your interviews - always prescient - and am so glad I saw you pop up just yesterday! Thanks for getting your own channel! Perhaps have on Roger Hambleton - Bald Guy Money - as he uses AI to predict the prices of precious metals! Thank you very much!

  • @GoodGolden
    @GoodGolden Рік тому +4

    David, I love your show and guests, but the audio needs to be better with them. Only trying to be helpful.

  • @somejohndoe3004
    @somejohndoe3004 Рік тому +4

    Sound quality is not great, a bit of a challenge to hear what M. Fama has to say.

  • @Asmodai2011
    @Asmodai2011 Рік тому +3

    Ask why the price of Gold has been volatile? QE and Manipulative Interferences. Of course it's the only true stable money when it isn't being hindered.

  • @KyleStrutt
    @KyleStrutt Рік тому +2

    Both of you are so intelligent, skilled, calm and humble. These traits are the best for teaching others. Great job!

  • @simonrowe3124
    @simonrowe3124 Рік тому +1

    What a great question about AI’s impact on price prediction!

  • @brian6x
    @brian6x Рік тому +1

    I like this guest. Nice interview.

  • @richardmiglioranza4004
    @richardmiglioranza4004 Рік тому +4

    That was so good, thanks for the great interviews David.

  • @SacredTubes
    @SacredTubes Рік тому +1

    So close to hearing about what his perspective is on BTC. Good interview but wish David pressed him more on BTC. Anyone heard him speak on it that can point to the reference?

  • @jonathanrabbitt
    @jonathanrabbitt Рік тому +1

    The best fund managers are usually long term members of Congress, or their spouses.

  • @angisworld8129
    @angisworld8129 Рік тому +3

    7 ads during the video ÜÜÜ- this guy need serious money

  • @tommueffelmann554
    @tommueffelmann554 Рік тому

    Wow man, great questions. Always exactly what I wanted you to ask in response to Fama’s answers

  • @jimd.2683
    @jimd.2683 Рік тому +1

    Did I miss his opinion on BTC? Great interview David!

  • @raulreveles9722
    @raulreveles9722 Рік тому +2

    Great rapport, David.

  • @Javier99999
    @Javier99999 Рік тому +3

    Hi David, coincidentally I have been reading Mandelbrot's, The misbehavior of finance, and I'm on the chapter where he talks about the efficient market hypothesis and it's talking about Fama. Great timing.

  • @junkscience6397
    @junkscience6397 Рік тому +1

    Awesome channel here, I just discovered recently. Thank you for your free content from Tokyo = Subbed!

  • @joakimgustafsson7881
    @joakimgustafsson7881 Рік тому +1

    Great guest. He's sharp.

  • @cautioushubbard3074
    @cautioushubbard3074 Рік тому +1

    Congratulations David

  • @dfolegna
    @dfolegna 3 місяці тому

    Wonderful interview from a giant: I believe the efficient market hypothesis is a very good approximation to the reality and proving the contrary is extremely difficult. But I would like to hear his point of view about cases like Jim Simons. In my opinion, if you limit your size and you react in real time, as rentech does, you can statistically be right a little bit more than 50%. Very hard to do, but possible. But looks more like single expeptions to general rules.

  • @jcschwarb
    @jcschwarb Рік тому +1

    Good discussion - the professor is missing how markets are driven by momentum algorithims that not only beat the indexes, they define the direction of the market. Thus, reading and calculating using the right inputs can accurately predict the markets direction.

  • @filippxx
    @filippxx Рік тому +1

    Incredible interview, always glad to listen to prof. Fama.

  • @Fearzero
    @Fearzero Рік тому +1

    Following this advice you'll be under water from inflation.

  • @Adrian-gs9er
    @Adrian-gs9er Рік тому +1

    Nobel dude: I don't know test it. We don't have enough information. Put your money in an index fund and forget it.
    Then the individuals in charge crash the markets, pick up equities for pennies, and you are left holding the bag. From a friggin Nobel prize winner's advice!

  • @killap3nguin
    @killap3nguin Рік тому

    I don’t skip ads. You’re welcome

  • @Youtube_ban_me
    @Youtube_ban_me Рік тому +4

    So basically investing is a casino. I agree 👍

  • @Artilectual
    @Artilectual Рік тому +2

    Love the content

  • @juancpt
    @juancpt Рік тому +2

    Just wish it would become illegal for companies to do stock buybacks, rather pay higher dividends or invest in economy. Stock buybacks only benefit the corperate elites and insider traders.

  • @fugitive88888
    @fugitive88888 Рік тому +1

    David is awesome

  • @HagobSaldaldianSmeik
    @HagobSaldaldianSmeik Рік тому +1

    good guests good interviews!

  • @PureOPwnage
    @PureOPwnage Рік тому +3

    Amazing

  • @xxyyzz8464
    @xxyyzz8464 11 місяців тому

    You certainly can beat the market with inside information. That should be utterly obvious, so I’m glad Gene pushed back on that. 😂 At 22:18, this may indeed be how Jim Simons got rich-not insider trading, no, but being first to use AI/ML with big data, and no, he did not share his proprietary methods.

  • @tommueffelmann554
    @tommueffelmann554 Рік тому

    great Interview! Would have been great if you asked about Ray Dalio’s book of the new world order, or about the effect of the Debt Ceiling

  • @JorgeOrpinel
    @JorgeOrpinel Рік тому

    Great interview. The only thing he doesn't seem to understand is AI because ML models are not "programs" in the traditional sense i.e. no person writes their internal logic. They "write themselves" (which is what people mean by "machine learning"). We do not really understand their "programming". He even says what they need is "better predictions of the future" -- that's EXACTLY what ML is all about, basically.

  • @AllNighterHeider
    @AllNighterHeider Рік тому

    Thanks David

  • @dennissmith-tl8cs
    @dennissmith-tl8cs Рік тому

    Strategic investing in the 90s is the only book YOU NEED TO TO MEMORISE. Completly to become a master .It is all there;You still have to be A master in trading.Which is a matter of hard work and common sense.

  • @eugene1059
    @eugene1059 Рік тому

    I strongly agree with some he said and strongly disagree with some he said.
    But I really enjoyed this interview and respect this guest as a much smarter person than me, of course that's not a high bar 🤣🤣

  • @VeganTrove
    @VeganTrove Рік тому

    MMT is simply a description of the operational reality of a sovereign economy. Blaming MMT is like blaming gravity for things falling in a downward motion. Maybe you should interview Dr. Stephanie Kelton instead of misrepresenting what MMT is David? Just a thought

  • @nickkacures2304
    @nickkacures2304 Рік тому

    Wow I’m getting those feelings from college you have when you get loaded up with homework from your professor and you like it.

  • @Moontiga
    @Moontiga Рік тому +1

    awesome but what about the Bitcoin question he was about to answer?!

  • @thehungergames8918
    @thehungergames8918 Рік тому +1

    Good morning from Germany 🌈♿😃👋

  • @Isitonthetrolley
    @Isitonthetrolley Рік тому +2

    Surely its down to probability ! 50/50 chance...either correct or incorrect

    • @matmorgan5752
      @matmorgan5752 Рік тому

      From what David Paul puts forward, yes if it’s a 50:50 system then ‘let the winners run’ and ‘cut the losers as fast as possible’ to not do damage to your capital.

  • @davidcollins8150
    @davidcollins8150 Рік тому

    David - if this dude is selling I am not buying

  • @lenagad
    @lenagad Рік тому

    I wonder if Armstrong Economy have crested such a forecasting program? He ha à LOT of crazy ideas dont Agree! But his forecasting in the programming are surprisingly accurate!
    I don’t know just noticing..,,,,

  • @TheAlexa6
    @TheAlexa6 Рік тому

    I’m wondering how the emergence of so many day traders with easy access to social media teaching technical analysis changes the game. So many new market participants applying TA, does this not become a self fulfilling prophecy to an extent?

  • @sawtoothbygeorge
    @sawtoothbygeorge Рік тому +3

    With so much debt, lots of debt, too much debt, it's like good money chasing bad money. It will take massive amounts of money to create inflation from this point of view. Possible but not likely, the big boys want their money back plus interest, lots of interest.

  • @JONINOTORUS
    @JONINOTORUS Рік тому

    EMH dictates that capital is allocated efficiently to the markets. What explains the market crashes such as 2000 and 2008?

  • @issenvan1050
    @issenvan1050 Рік тому

    How do you define value vs. growth?

  • @ibisman1593
    @ibisman1593 Рік тому

    Nice lamp shade Eugene. I LIKE.

  • @analoglime
    @analoglime Рік тому +1

    Not sure what's better your guests or your hair

  • @mattalderton3723
    @mattalderton3723 Рік тому

    Great video today

  • @universalsorrow
    @universalsorrow Рік тому +1

    hey. when are you selling nfts to allow token holders to come onto live stream for Q&A with guests?
    guys, please upvote this comment so the great lin can see this

  • @fkeopfkeop
    @fkeopfkeop Рік тому

    Someone please give the man a decent mic!

  • @LucianFuller
    @LucianFuller 9 місяців тому +1

    Thoughts on Technical Analysis
    … Fama - “Junk”
    Lmao

  • @dariosilva85
    @dariosilva85 Рік тому +1

    Very bad audio again. The host has a responsibility to make sure that the audio quality is good before the interview starts. If you have a lot of eco, you should kindly ask the guest to move to another room without eco.

  • @LarsLarsen77
    @LarsLarsen77 Рік тому +1

    But equities are NOT a random walk. They have trends. They are cyclical.