The Lightcone 2025 Forecast

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  • Опубліковано 18 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 78

  • @chapterme
    @chapterme 18 днів тому +16

    Chapters (Powered by ChapterMe) -
    00:00 - Intro: Predictions for 2025
    00:18 - Nobel prizes
    01:15 - Cryptos mainstream adoption: Stablecoins
    03:40 - Dogecoin will go up
    05:42 - Zoom call with an AI
    06:40 - Outro

  • @swinginsteel8519
    @swinginsteel8519 18 днів тому +70

    0:49 there is no Nobel Prize of Mathematics.

    • @salimmimouni6465
      @salimmimouni6465 18 днів тому +4

      true, but there is the fields medal

    • @tobiasheidingsfeld267
      @tobiasheidingsfeld267 18 днів тому +26

      YC will not be stopped by such minor details, they will be disrupting the field of Nobel Prizes with AI and a dogecoin stable coin (base on how often AI is mentioned)

    • @carloslfu
      @carloslfu 18 днів тому +1

      AGI will create one

    • @jackwang7885
      @jackwang7885 18 днів тому +2

      @@salimmimouni6465 Fields Medal is awarded every 4 years though. Next one will be in 2026.

    • @MatheusLB2009
      @MatheusLB2009 18 днів тому

      Yes I think she really thought there was a Math Nobel. That being said there is the Fields Medal. I honestly doubt AI win get that medal in 2026 or 2030

  • @BGergley
    @BGergley 15 днів тому +9

    "This time next year, you and everyone you know will have bought at least one thing during the year (that's like real, like a cup of coffee or a book) using a stable-coin." 1:24
    I think plenty of people I know and much of the general population will not do this.
    Even if all vendors start accepting stable-coins as payment, what advantage is there to paying with Tether or some other stable-coin rather than using existing payment methods? The current methods of making payments seem to work fine and there is no obvious benefit, as far as I can tell, to switching to stable-coins for normal transactions.
    So plenty of people won't go through the trouble of either setting up their own crypto wallets and keeping track of their private keys for transactions or setting up accounts with third-party crypto payment facilitators.

  • @okiokiok
    @okiokiok 18 днів тому +39

    They just pitched their own fanfiction.
    The only legit sentences came from the woman. She is 100% right about ai finding new theories.

    • @bernardd
      @bernardd 18 днів тому +6

      Exactly. They're like an eco chamber of the chat rooms. It's still useful to know that millions will be invested in startups with such superficial views.
      And there's famously no Nobel for mathematics. She didn't even know that.

    • @SSSS7-p8f
      @SSSS7-p8f 15 днів тому +1

      The reality is Y combinator is nothing special. They were in the right place at the right time where throwing enough capital behind startups would work. Lets see if they repeat their success in the next wave.

  • @ArjitRaj
    @ArjitRaj 16 днів тому +6

    I wish to know what they predicted in previous years and what all came true.

  • @labsanta
    @labsanta 17 днів тому +3

    00:10 - 2025 predictions highlight AI’s influence and potential for Nobel prizes.
    01:08 - Crypto will become mainstream payment method by next year.
    01:59 - The emergence of stable coins solves marketplace liquidity issues.
    02:49 - Merchants will increasingly accept USDC for transactions in 2025.
    03:36 - Dogecoin value may rise based on government spending and crypto trends.
    04:30 - Interest rates impact economic growth and crypto prices significantly.
    05:24 - AI is a powerful deflationary force impacting interest rates.
    06:11 - Future AI avatars aim to improve interaction quality.

  • @ambitious-vlad
    @ambitious-vlad 17 днів тому +5

    I expected more generalized expectations tbh

  • @Taylor-ty5yq
    @Taylor-ty5yq 18 днів тому +3

    Jared is spot on-looking forward to what will feel like over-the-counter customer/merchant experiences with AI. Progressive could transform buying insurance with a virtual Flo, letting customers interact with her iconic personality. Imagine ordering a Big Mac from Ronald McDonald-fun, on-brand, and feedback-driven for constant improvement. Huge opportunity for actors/actresses trying to break out right now. Train an AI agent to mimic your character and make it available through a platform like Hugging Face. Better yet, speaking of YC being largely marketplace-driven, create a marketplace for licensing trained models based on real people.

  • @mahdqureshi6264
    @mahdqureshi6264 18 днів тому +1

    Can’t wait to truly meet you all 💯

  • @1TheFifthElement
    @1TheFifthElement 18 днів тому +1

    Fantastic episode, everyone, and Happy New Year!
    I have a feeling this year is going to be incredible for all of us!

  • @Andy_B.
    @Andy_B. 18 днів тому +13

    *Vertical Agents for SaaS services are on the rise.*

  • @omnijack
    @omnijack 17 днів тому +6

    Widespread stablecoin use mean either that banks and asset custodians take on the responsibility of digitizing those assets, OR the customer has to spend money in order to turn their money into money.
    …I’m skeptical.

    • @SSSS7-p8f
      @SSSS7-p8f 15 днів тому

      yep the economics dont make sense. i hope people wake up and start to question the fundamental basis for how bitcoin fits into the economics of consumption and production...

    • @Nadyusa
      @Nadyusa 10 днів тому

      Banks will be the main lobbies of keeping banking traditional and over regulated so that only big 4s are ‘pretending to compete’ for the largest markets.

  • @MrHimfromthere
    @MrHimfromthere 15 днів тому +4

    So happy they are ‘rooting’ for Elon, Jesus, who needs social security or education, health care for the poor, why? I have no problem with making money, lots of it, but such short sighted, and frankly callous thinking disgusts me.

  • @DavidAxelrodP
    @DavidAxelrodP 18 днів тому +6

    The visa signature interchange fee is 2.1% and I get back 2% in rewards. I’m not sure I would switch to a stablecoin if it was marketed as “your coffee is 2.1% cheaper”.

    • @DavidAxelrodP
      @DavidAxelrodP 18 днів тому +2

      But if a provider can make stipe’s 2.9% -> .9% while making the consumer experience roughly the same, could definitely see the business pull

    • @JB-yj9gb
      @JB-yj9gb 18 днів тому +1

      @@DavidAxelrodPabsolutely- if a business can net an extra 2 percent with a click of a button I guarantee they will

    • @SSSS7-p8f
      @SSSS7-p8f 15 днів тому

      @@JB-yj9gb You guys are fools. The number 1 thing that really matters in a currency is stability and default risk. Bitcoin is incredibly volatile. There is no chance in hell enough merchants will adopt it to make it work so that consumers take it up.

    • @Name-i7w
      @Name-i7w 15 днів тому

      ​@SSSS7-p8fI wonder if maybe you're thinking of something else, because they're talking about stablecoin usage. Bitcoin is a different thing. Tl;Dr crypto is not a monolith.

    • @sireesha3785
      @sireesha3785 13 днів тому

      ⁠​⁠@SSSS7-p8fIt’s the vc dream with all their portfolio companies promising a coin based future

  • @Ari-pq4db
    @Ari-pq4db 17 днів тому

    Awesome video, very insightful. Looking forward to see more lightning videos this year ❤⚡

  • @Aeolia7166
    @Aeolia7166 16 днів тому +3

    Lightcone will become a panel of AI bots in 2025 😂

  • @Mackcolak-xf5bk
    @Mackcolak-xf5bk 17 днів тому +1

    3:10 Have you heard about some Crypto exchange collapses or scams? Did the "desperately needed" technology prevent them or make it easier to punish bad actors?

  • @george_davituri
    @george_davituri 18 днів тому

    Happy New Year 🎄☃🏡🎁✌

  • @Paoloshamoon
    @Paoloshamoon 17 днів тому

    Crypto and specifically stable coins have an incredible advantage over traditional payment rails due to their speed, transparency and security. Assuming everything is done correctly, these are essentially going to eat at C2C marketplace fees as they are providing that value for a fraction of the cost.

    • @SSSS7-p8f
      @SSSS7-p8f 15 днів тому

      Speed and transparency clearly dont matter as much as stability does.

  • @Mackcolak-xf5bk
    @Mackcolak-xf5bk 17 днів тому

    2:42 Widespread crypto adoption will only be when you can pay with crypto at most of major marketplaces like Amazon and for most other services.

  • @righttiming
    @righttiming 12 днів тому

    there's an implicit assumption we're making. 100M crypto wallets =/= everyone comfortable with a self-custody stablecoin wallet that can get hacked and they lose all their money (cannot occur with a traditional bank)
    the reason there are 100M crypto wallets is because everyone wants to buy risky lottery ticket crypto assets. will they feel comfortable enough to use those self-custody wallets to do their daily commerce? i'm not sure.
    another hurdle for mass adoption to USDC (and this is by far the hardest hurdle) is that it is braindead easy, seamless and fast to tap your iphone on the starbucks card reader. tough to beat that.

  • @MohamedBenhimaPhD
    @MohamedBenhimaPhD 13 днів тому

    The new data and encryption economy.

  • @YanLovez
    @YanLovez 18 днів тому +5

    YC will become AI :D

  • @cris_moves
    @cris_moves 12 днів тому +1

    New to this channel....are most episodes like this one? Uninspired, vapid, fanboy futurist takes?

  • @pankajkantyadav6782
    @pankajkantyadav6782 18 днів тому

    I am coming in 2027 with something great

  • @kevnev342
    @kevnev342 14 днів тому

    why is a zoom call with an a.i groudbreaking?

  • @abclevxyz
    @abclevxyz 17 днів тому

    I would love AI to win a Nobel Peace Prize.

  • @rembautimes8808
    @rembautimes8808 14 днів тому

    I listened to Eric Schmidts talk at Stanford , real tech visionary. Quite disappointed with the quality of discussion 😢, maybe better next time. Now on to watch a crew ai tutorial 😂

  • @jaywise991
    @jaywise991 13 днів тому

    You guys really need to learn how inflation works.

  • @drichards4426
    @drichards4426 16 днів тому

    Why would someone want to do a zoom call with an ai ?

  • @mevist77
    @mevist77 18 днів тому +1

    Wow, full founder mode, creating useful content all year round. Thanks, YC!
    Happy new year! 🎄

  • @marianico69
    @marianico69 17 днів тому +1

    these guys always wear same clothes?

  • @tomasxsd
    @tomasxsd 9 днів тому

    I bet you Doge will not save so much money as promised.
    Crypto will not become mainstream.

  • @yangchen2183
    @yangchen2183 17 днів тому

    I agree with crypto but the rest are just saying what they invested in would work- that’s not a prediction smh, all personal advices and why is Elon even mentioned here

  • @AIAgentStore
    @AIAgentStore 18 днів тому +1

    AI agents will make crypto payments more popular

    • @Ari-pq4db
      @Ari-pq4db 17 днів тому +1

      How so ?

    • @AIAgentStore
      @AIAgentStore 17 днів тому

      @Ari-pq4db They need an easy way to transact between humans and other AI agents. When you give agent a job it may need to make financial tansactions to acieve the result.

    • @Ari-pq4db
      @Ari-pq4db 17 днів тому

      @@AIAgentStore aaahhh yes yes, the thing that happened with that bot on twitter

  • @italktocomputers1901
    @italktocomputers1901 17 днів тому +7

    this was pointless

  • @GiblikJovanovic
    @GiblikJovanovic 18 днів тому +58

    I recommend everyone to find the book titled The Hidden Path to Manifesting Financial Power, It changed my life.

  • @RPGLoadingScreen
    @RPGLoadingScreen 18 днів тому +3

    more crypto scams. great ..

  • @abcthegreat1
    @abcthegreat1 18 днів тому

    First

  • @eddymich3192
    @eddymich3192 17 днів тому +1

    This AI thing is all just hype. It's uses are very narrow and worse still, it's already hitting a wall according to reports. I was around in the 90's during the internet boom. Internet killer apps were popping in from all directions back then. Right now, there is not yet an AI killer app. AI can't be compared to the internet as far as being revolutionary. I don't see AI changing the world as much as the internet did.

    • @Ari-pq4db
      @Ari-pq4db 17 днів тому +1

      Wow, such a new perspective !
      I suggest you to do your research on how AI have changed the world and is going too.

    • @pigreatlor
      @pigreatlor 17 днів тому

      have you used chatgpt? lol

    • @SSSS7-p8f
      @SSSS7-p8f 15 днів тому +1

      Yeah the internet truly was a real revolution in connecting the human species. AI clearly is not well defined at all. I'd have more confidence in AI if smaller incremental steps were taken rather than attempts of quantum leaps - it is too difficult of a challenge to take on like that.