Recession Risk Looms: Fed Cuts and S&P 500 Impact as Labor Market Weakens - Peter Berezin

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 1 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 85

  • @DonaldMark-ne7se
    @DonaldMark-ne7se Місяць тому +145

    Rate cuts commence in June 2024, taking 6-8 months to complete. A potential crash, if any, might occur by March 2025. The soft landing narrative is gaining traction, making this big recession everyone is calling for less likely. With $1 million from a business sale, I'm seeking profitable investment opportunities for the next 3 years.

    • @Jamessmith-12
      @Jamessmith-12 Місяць тому +1

      One strategy for protecting against a recession is to buy equities. Investors, especially during a recession, need to know where and how to put money in order to make money while avoiding inflation.

    • @JacquelinePerrira
      @JacquelinePerrira Місяць тому +1

      It has never been easier to understand how to build your money than it is right now, when you may study and experience a completely variegated market passively by employing a successful portfolio-advisor. The impacts of the U.S. dollar's gain or fall on investtments, in my opinion, are complex.

    • @kevinmarten
      @kevinmarten Місяць тому +1

      A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.

    • @Jamessmith-12
      @Jamessmith-12 Місяць тому +1

      I did enroll in a handful of trading classes, but they didn't help much. I've been advised to seek the advice of a competent financial counselor; how did you go about doing so?

    • @kevinmarten
      @kevinmarten Місяць тому +1

      Carol Vivian Constable is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

  • @LizaPhilips
    @LizaPhilips Місяць тому +146

    I’m curious about how dividend income from these players stacks up against the S&P 500. With inflation rising, how can I grow my $350K cash reserve into 7 figures in the next 2 years?

    • @frankbarnes22
      @frankbarnes22 Місяць тому +4

      Look for stocks that have paid steady, increasing dividends for years (or decades), and have not cut their dividends even during recessions. which may reduce your dividend gains or income, speaking to a certified market strategist can help with pointers

    • @Johnlarry12
      @Johnlarry12 Місяць тому +3

      Agreed, the role of advisors an only be overlooked but not denied. I was shocked that I made more money with investing than hard work, not even my CEO income. Earning ''return on investment'' fetched me millions within a space of 5 yrs.(But I still enjoy working)

    • @phillogan1
      @phillogan1 Місяць тому +3

      Could you possibly recommend a CFA you've consulted with?

    • @Johnlarry12
      @Johnlarry12 Місяць тому +3

      Sure, Carol Vivian Constable is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details on the web to set up an appointment.

    • @phillogan1
      @phillogan1 Місяць тому +2

      thanks for the lead, just searched Carol by her full name and easily spotted her profile, very professional.. already sent her an email and hoping she gets back to me soon

  • @BenRovello
    @BenRovello Місяць тому +99

    If the unemployment rate is able to remain steady while the Fed hikes and inflation falls back to target, a soft landing might be on the table

    • @FranciszekPawal
      @FranciszekPawal Місяць тому +5

      Don’t expect a soft landing. We know inflation still far from its 2% destination - the FOMC didn’t reduce rates yet, we can never fortell their moves these days

    • @Jennapeters144
      @Jennapeters144 Місяць тому +1

      Fixed income Tbills and bonds may work for you while you try to figure out the next entry point for stocks

    • @Muller_Andr
      @Muller_Andr Місяць тому +3

      When stock picking, best to have a mentor who has a feel for sentiment and positioning of both institutional and individual investors. Someone like Jennifer Mackimm Wesley has been a good example lately.

    • @simone_maya
      @simone_maya Місяць тому +1

      And how has that worked out for you so far?

    • @Muller_Andr
      @Muller_Andr Місяць тому +1

      Great actually. I am one of many private clients under Jennifer, with private investing I made over 500 grand, 200 is ready to redeploy back into the equity and money markets in the ratio as rebalanced by Jennifer. You are welcome.

  • @petergozinya6122
    @petergozinya6122 Місяць тому +6

    Nice jacket J-man 👍

  • @michaellanza6327
    @michaellanza6327 Місяць тому +2

    Excellent video!!!

  • @johnrubino7604
    @johnrubino7604 Місяць тому +7

    Driving by car dealers in the northeast of the country all the dealer lots are chuck full of cars! I have never seen the lots so full. Funny too I didn't see any Labor Day car commercials for new deals on cars. Kinda weird.

    • @gimmeshelter1969
      @gimmeshelter1969 Місяць тому +1

      I think you mean that the car dealership lots are full of pickup trucks and SUVs, not cars.

    • @bostonfrank6739
      @bostonfrank6739 Місяць тому

      mechanics will not fix cars when they break down

  • @andrewmarsden1970
    @andrewmarsden1970 Місяць тому +2

    Fine jacket Jeremy.

  • @Abraham.Lincoln22
    @Abraham.Lincoln22 Місяць тому +1

    I am subscribed.

  • @normandolinic2044
    @normandolinic2044 Місяць тому +1

    Let the free market adjust bonds ,money rates, and everything else.

    • @bostonfrank6739
      @bostonfrank6739 Місяць тому

      If the fed would stop butting in everything would work itself out

  • @AllenforPresident2024
    @AllenforPresident2024 Місяць тому +2

    Sold 75% of my positions today.

  • @rudeawakening3833
    @rudeawakening3833 Місяць тому +5

    GO WITH PHYSICAL SILVER !
    Samsung silver battery is a game changer !

  • @Nelson-v7x
    @Nelson-v7x Місяць тому

    Wait, what? Great hair Jeremy!

  • @JimmieJohn
    @JimmieJohn Місяць тому +10

    Where is our blonde bombshell? This dude ain’t cutting it.

    • @boldfangled1336
      @boldfangled1336 Місяць тому +5

      I like him. Listening to his upbeat attitude while people talk about the bad economy gives the show a futuristic dystopia vibe.

    • @JimmieJohn
      @JimmieJohn Місяць тому

      @@boldfangled1336 yeah, but he can’t hold my attention.

    • @donsilverson9927
      @donsilverson9927 Місяць тому

      You’re such a simp.

    • @mebaugh1
      @mebaugh1 Місяць тому +2

      Michelle is my fav!

    • @donsilverson9927
      @donsilverson9927 Місяць тому +1

      @@mebaugh1 yeah mine too. Just maybe for different reasons.

  • @jasonweishaupt1828
    @jasonweishaupt1828 Місяць тому +1

    I made 3250% returns on SH call options Q1 of 2020. Much cheaper than SPY puts.

  • @albacus2400BC
    @albacus2400BC Місяць тому +1

    That's very interesting. So do you think it's best for us who are not institutional investors to focus on index funds or individual stocks? I want to redistribute my 60k portfolio and I preferably want the asset class with the best return on investment

    • @Muzzy0085
      @Muzzy0085 Місяць тому

      An asset class with the best return on investment 😂 duh

  • @SilverDadKnows
    @SilverDadKnows Місяць тому +4

    The labor market is weakening due to economic instability, and silver is set to skyrocket as investors seek safe assets amid growing uncertainty.

    • @fredflint3998
      @fredflint3998 Місяць тому +1

      I expect to see silver drop with the stock market, and I’ll be buying more 💪

    • @donsilverson9927
      @donsilverson9927 Місяць тому

      Cool I bought btc and Im up more than you lol

    • @rudeawakening3833
      @rudeawakening3833 Місяць тому

      @@donsilverson9927I bought FTX so I’m doing WAY better than you !

    • @silviofontana3666
      @silviofontana3666 Місяць тому

      CPM Group is not so enthusiastic about silver, but good with gold. I suppose we will wear the actions of our investments

  • @gmanlive5764
    @gmanlive5764 Місяць тому

    T bills are still great

  • @renee199502
    @renee199502 Місяць тому +4

    Investors are still in denial about the fundamentals of the economy. They expect rares will soon be cut and believe the topline GDP numbers signal a strong economy. However, they dont. Credit card balences are maxed out, more credit is hard to come by for consumers, a ton of companies are about to beforced into refinancing their debs at far higher interest and the regional bank backstop program is out this month. There's also the fact that inflation ticks higher than expected every single time the markets believe a rate cut is around the corner and a rate cut would cause a surge in inflation. The fed sees this stuff, guys. The only wild card for us investors is to actively engage the market by trading, we always over complicate things when we speculate. It's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading...managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 732k in the space of a few months... I'm especially grateful to Sandy Barclays, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    • @renee199502
      @renee199502 Місяць тому

      Sandy Barclays program is widely available online

    • @enriqueosuna-gh4om
      @enriqueosuna-gh4om Місяць тому

      I agree that there are strategies that could be put in place for solid gains regardless of economy or market condition, but such executions are usually carried out by investment experts or advisors with experience.

    • @jo100rt
      @jo100rt Місяць тому

      Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Sandy insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.

    • @lihlacerda
      @lihlacerda Місяць тому

      If the market has taught me anything, it's that it always recovers, but I can't seem to focus on the long run, when major factors like my retirement and my reserve are wreaking havoc on inflation. I require a solid data trajectory and solution as soon as possible.

    • @batiaz
      @batiaz Місяць тому

      Sandy gave me the autonomy I need to learn at my own pace and ask questions when I need to she’s so accommodating.

  • @yourdriven5365
    @yourdriven5365 Місяць тому

    More jobs than people here in Australia
    $80.000 average pay

  • @PoorBoys3_
    @PoorBoys3_ Місяць тому

    We haven’t hired anyone in two years and soon will be laying people off

  • @JamesWalton-y6x
    @JamesWalton-y6x Місяць тому

    I really appreciate your clear and simple breakdown on financial pitfalls! I lost so much money on stook market but now making around $18k to $21k every week trading different stocks and cryptos

    • @MohdRaheel-t4d
      @MohdRaheel-t4d Місяць тому

      I'm celebrating a $37k stock portfolio today. started this journey with 6k. I have invested on time and also with the right terms now I have time for my family and the life ahead of me

  • @pictureworksdenver
    @pictureworksdenver Місяць тому

    Recession talk again? I'll believe it when I see it. Remember folks, recessions are not permitted.

  • @jimmillward3505
    @jimmillward3505 Місяць тому

    The nose of the aircraft is cutting a gouge down the length of the runway, flames are licking up past the cockpit windows and the engines are lying in a smouldering crater 2 kilometres away in a field.....This is your soft landing

  • @postmanlondon
    @postmanlondon Місяць тому

    I am ripe for the plucking my small amount of investments look likely to suffer. ATM I am breaking even, some winners but one catastrophic loss three days after investing what for me was quite a large sum. Call me suspicious but all of the reviews were advising a strong buy! 🤬

  • @GreatTransportation
    @GreatTransportation Місяць тому

    The JOLTS report is just one piece of data that we measure, but we believe that unemployment is transitory- FOMC

  • @Cynthiape2uc
    @Cynthiape2uc Місяць тому +1

    NVIDIA did not receive a notice. False flag

  • @PatrickOBrien13
    @PatrickOBrien13 Місяць тому

    This guy knows nothing about LLMs

  • @silviofontana3666
    @silviofontana3666 Місяць тому

    35% of a recession, 65% of no recession

    • @bostonfrank6739
      @bostonfrank6739 Місяць тому

      every time the unemployment rate goes up 4 consecutive months, a recession follows

  • @GallupArlen
    @GallupArlen Місяць тому

    11061 Hegmann Skyway

  • @SparksGFX
    @SparksGFX Місяць тому +1

    Nonce