UFC Vegas 95 Full Card Predictions and Analysis
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- Опубліковано 5 лют 2025
- 👊 UFC Fight Night Marcin Tybura vs Serghei Spivac Full Card Predictions 💥
Hey fight fans, welcome back to my channel! This Saturday’s event is gearing up to be an interesting showdown and I'm here to break it all down for you. From the prelims to the main event, I'll give you a comprehensive analysis of each fighter, their stats, recent fight history, and my prediction based on a combination of data science models and fight analysis. Whether you're here to confirm your picks, avoid betting mistakes, or just for the thrill of the fight, I've got you covered!
📊 What I've Got for You:
Statistical Analysis: I'll break down the numbers, offering a side-by-side comparison of striking, grappling, and overall fight IQ.
Fight History Review: Understanding where they've been helps us predict where they're going. I'll look into recent performances that could influence the outcome.
Data Science Predictions: I've crunched the numbers through 7 different prediction models, providing a weighted forecast that's more than just a gut feeling.
Personal Picks: Combining hard data with the nuances of fighter styles and recent performances, I'll offer my own predictions for each fight. I combine qualitative and quantitative data to make highly accurate predictions, around 70% accurate on average!
This card is packed with potential, and whether you're here to fine-tune your bets, get a new perspective, or just ramp up your excitement for the event, I've got something for you.
Patreon link for support: / mmadataguy
💥 NEW!💥 $20/month Patreon Membership Now Also Includes: 📊📈
Early Access to All Video Content Including:
Prediction results
Stat overview
Fighter History With Stats
Final Predictions
Promising underdogs
Best Inexpensive Favorites
Prop Bets to Consider
On Top of Extra Data Analysis Such As:
Historical Fight Data Analysis Per Individual Fight
Stat Comparisons to Opponent’s Historical Averages
Detailed Record Breakdowns
💰 BetUS: Get 125% Bonus On Your First 3 Deposits + 10% Gambler’s Insurance - MMADataGuy Affiliate Link: record.revmast...
Timestamps & Matchups:
Intro 0:01
Stephanie Luciano vs. Talita Alencar 2:05
Youssef Zalal vs. Jarno Errens 7:05
Jhonata Diniz vs. Karl Williams 12:51
Karol Rosa vs. Pannie Kianzad 18:19
Jonny Parsons vs. Yusaku Kinoshita 23:40
Toshiomi Kazama vs. Charalampos Grigoriou 28:14
Nikolay Veretennikov vs. Danny Barlow 33:27
Yana Santos vs. Chelsea Chandler 38:24
Damon Jackson vs. Chepe Mariscal 43:17
Marcin Tybura vs. Serghei Spivac 46:53
Conclusion 53:00
If you find my content valuable, please consider hitting that like button and subscribing. Please also check out the patreon (link above) if you would like to contribute to my efforts. Your support is what fuels my late nights of data analysis, model adjustments, and content creation. It's been an incredible journey growing this community of passionate MMA fans, and every like, comment, and subscribe means the world to me.
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My guy! I don't place any bets until I see your analysis. You and UFC gambling addicts and we want picks are my three mains.
Thank you brother this means the world to me, support like that is exactly why I love doing what I do and sharing it with you all 👊 Hope you enjoy the fights today and that all your bets hit 💰
Awesome stuff. Thank you for confirming my picks! Absolutely love this channel
Thank you for checking out the content and being so supportive brother, seriously means a lot. You guys are the reason I love doing this every week 👊 Hope you enjoy the fight night today and all your bets hit. Also, respect for the muscle man profile pic 😂🔥 Regular show is goated 🐐
Let’s go dude! Bummed by a few of the drop offs this card but should still be a solid performing card. Good luck this weekend man🔥🍻
You too brother 👊🍻Definitely bummed out about all of the changes, especially that co-main event. At least 305 is next week, and any card beats a no-card weekend (trying to be optimistic lmao). Hope we cash in this weekend 💰
@@MMADataGuy I’ll be honest idr get complaining about cards anyways. I’m thankful to watch fights nearly every week. I remember when I had to wait 2-3 sometimes longer between fight cards. I love it 🌴☀️😎
And dude this is the weekend let’s go!
All my sweet parlays are voided now but should still in
The catch 22 of early betting
I'm doing a parley all 3 women's fight to go the distance!
That should hit
Solid for all 3, those hit a lot more than WMMA money lines or other props. Hope all your bets hit today and you enjoy the fights brother 👊
Excellent show… it would great if you described the criteria for each input for your model to help the credibility of your model.
Great suggestion brother, thanks for checking the content out and being supportive. I’ll work on getting a breakdown video uploaded for the models 👊
52:59 exactly hahah!
I'm going with the younger man spivac!
Great pick, the main event is 50/50. Spivac has a lot going for him, he’s methodical and powerful. I’m leaning on Tybura’s experience but let’s see if he can leverage that in this one. Thanks for commenting and checking out the content brother 👊
Very good content what are you locks?
Most confident are probably women’s fights to go the distance. Even though they’re chalky
@@ItsMillertime13 over 2.5 rounds you say 🤔
@@JorgeAntonioRoaPino3 over 2.5s on the wmma is a good bet
I like Gutierrez especially in his new matchup against Le, Barlow seems safe, Mariscal seems safe, and Zalal should probably be safe too. I also like all 3 WMMA fights going the distance or over 1.5/2.5 rounds, etc
@@MMADataGuy bro you think rosa can finish pannie under 2.5?? I have over 1k in that one(over 2.5)
What model has provided the highest accuracy on predictions so far
Great question brother, and thank you for checking the content out and asking 👊 The most accurate is the final prediction, which uses a weighted average of all models and then is adjusted by me based on research I do outside of statistics (fight film, camp, weight, fighting style, strengths/weaknesses, tendencies, etc).
For those final picks I’m averaging 71% on PPV cards (including the early prelims and prelims), and 66-69% on fight nights (including prelims). The models average around 60-62% by themselves, with the neural network, logistical regression, and simulations doing the best. But that research process that gets us to a final pick has been the highest and most successful. It’s because it makes the picks well-rounded, it combines machine learning and data science based statistical picks, with human input based on research which incorporates qualitative factors 📊
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What do you think about Gutierrez vs Le?
Have to take a seasoned vet over an up and coming prospect who doesn’t have the same level experience
I did have basharat over Gutierrez
But here I like Gutierrez
BabysharpMMA said it best, also leaning heavy on Gutierrez here in this new matchup, will likely add him to a parlay
The women fought recently, that fights stats matter the most im guessin.