10 biggest world threats of 2024, ranked | Ian Bremmer
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- Опубліковано 14 тра 2024
- The United States is the biggest risk in 2024. Here are the other 9, explained by Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media.
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Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media, has been delivering his insightful Top Risks Report for 15 years. The primary objective? To systematically outline how we should approach the world's most significant threats and opportunities in any given year.
Bremmer's Top Risks report stands in stark contrast to the clickbait and anger-inducing algorithmic news dominating social platforms. Rather than succumbing to sensationalism, the report serves as a rallying point for professionals and the wider public to focus on what truly matters for global success. It navigates the realm of reality, steering away from ideology and personal biases.
As we navigate the complexities of 2024, Bremmer says we find ourselves "in the teeth of a geopolitical recession, facing major wars and confrontations with no prospects for an effective response, containment, or useful diplomacy." Here, Bremmer presents his top 10 risks demanding our attention and preparation in the year 2024.
00:00 Introduction
00:28 Why a Top Risks report?
01:31 2024 is a geopolitical recession
03:45 #10 Risky business
05:07 #9 El Niño is back
07:03 #8 No room for error
09:05 #7 The fight for critical minerals
11:23 #6 No China recovery
12:52 #5 The axis of rouges
15:50 #4 Ungoverned AI
18:53 #3 Partitioned Ukraine
21:34 #2 Middle East on the brink
24:53 #1 The US vs. itself
28:55 The case for optimism in 2024
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About Ian Bremmer:
Ian Bremmer is president of GZERO Media and Eurasia Group, the leading global political risk research and consulting firm started in 1998. Today, the company has offices in New York, Washington, and London, as well as a network of experts and resources around the world. Bremmer has authored several books, including the national bestseller The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations?
More on Eurasia Group ►www.eurasiagroup.net/
More on GZERO Media ► www.gzeromedia.com/
"The main problem of humanity is this: we have God-like technology, medieval institutions and paleolithic emotions."
Bingo
Spot on. The question is, when will humanity "upgrade it's firmware and software"? Or are we doomed to self sabotage ourselves and destroy our own progress?
I wish we lived by "The Golden Rule". It's truly all that matters in this life.
Damn. Very well said and spot on!
Did you come up with this yourself or where is it originally from?
@@WadeBanks-fn7ns then stop going against genetic engineering with your bs ethics
@@DeltaNovumEdward O. Wilson
Based on Google search.
The real problem of humanity is the following: we have Paleolithic emotions, medieval institutions, and god-like technology.
debate at the Harvard Museum of Natural History, Cambridge, Mass., 9 September 2009
As a 24 y/o American (Gen Z)…I’m terrified. I feel like my generations future is so uncertain. Nevermind the fact that due to the education crisis here, many of them aren’t even aware of what’s going on.
Same im a 24 year old out here in cali. Theres a lot of people definitely not knowing. Now a days we live in a world where distraction is so normal that I think most people dont want to even accept that the world is falling apart. And to make matters worse we have no way to disscuss cause everyone thinks like you said a god complex where im right your wrong. We have two extremes and everyone who sees it is stuck in the middle just waiting for the blow its truly sad to say that there might not be an american dream if we dont learn to get along and fix this mess
You call it an education crisis as a 24 year old? I call bullshit on your part
People aren’t aware because they refuse to learn and just want to get to the next day the easiest way as possible
@@jorgerivera2649
Most of my peers were checked out from global and national news at your age, and some of those same people are more adamant about staying ignorant now. No urgency because they emotionally cannot cope with the news.
What I know is the world will continue regardless if we're participating or not.
It is infinitely more positive and hopeful with people like you, who do care, and understand your living costs, to ability to vacation, to the content that will be produced as entertainment in 5, 10, 15 years is all tied to whether each of us are engaged, or too self involved to get involved.
(Figuratively) Some want to be spoonfed no matter what the spoon is loaded with, more than they want to lift their own "food" to their mouths.
Every generation has lazy and uselessly self centered people.
Do not be discouraged that those who cannot cope with anything past their own front door. If they want to be social media zombies, don't allow that to disparage your sense of civil responsibility to yourself and those you love. 💌
They really are not. People don't care to inform themselves. They want to live in la la land. Once you lose all your rights, you can't live in la la land anymore. It's sad
Your generation is misguided and wicked since you have turned away from the true God, you honor the sexually immoral and rebels and suppress the truth by believing in the climate change hoax!
in a world like this, let’s smile, help, be thoughtful/mindful of others as MUCH as possible
NOOOOO!
Inverter you are that stupid
Inverter you are that stupid when I'm 70 and they just want more that's old
Well… I must be selfish then… I believe in taking care of myself FIRST, and myself ONLY. Because I can never rely on anyone but myself.
❤ same 😊
I appreciate this being very calm and clinical and not dramatic or fear mongering.
sarcasm?
Absolutely shocking that the peaceful transfer of power is no longer tradition in the US. The current generation of Americans have failed their children and grandchildren catastrophically.
Do you mean the weaponization of the DOJ or the FBI on a former president?
💯😔
I am from Bermuda, one of the world's premier reinsurance markets in the world. 2024 will be the first year of the implementation of a corporate tax on the reinsurance industry.
There has been much debate on the mechanics of how this work. Fact is it will, in the long run, do some good in trying to get these global giants to pay their fair share. Let's be cautiously optimistic. Well researched video. 🎉🎉
Bermuda may then experience what it is like to have 'capital flight'. Get ready to lose industry.
That sounds like a fantasy for a US person.
@@skyrailmaximaSeems like you're not aware that companies will do business wherever they can make money. They'll still make money with the tax. Corporations tend not to run away much from a tax like that, they tend to stick around where they continue to make money, and branch out where else they can make money. Your fears have been programmed into you by a tiny group of greedmongering elite.
This year's presidential election is going to be pure insanity. I got the popcorn ready
It will just be enraged Trump supporters. America 70% of the country doesnt like the other 30% but that 30% is the most angry and politically active in the nation that is NOT a good combo. A lot of you will be shocked by this but Trump will not win. The passionate and over zealous supporters just don’t have the numbers. Put it like this in the past 4 years waaay more liberals turned 18 than conservatives, waaaay more and a little of Trump supporters died because of old age. If it’s Trump vs Biden Biden wins again but by a little more votes this time. America just isn’t what the 30% of patriots wants it to be.
I got the Kettle Corn
And the booze! Let's sit on the couch and watch this shitshow! 🤣🤣🤣
Well, dont eat all of ya popcorn!, you might find that the entertaining show you are watching may actually strip you of the life you know, no popcorn, no justice, fairness, decent moral security and uncertainty- this “entertainment” may end up to be a serious dose of shitfuckery that could affect all of us!
There is no choice between two kinds of failed aging puppets performing on the capitalist stage. Most of their DNA is shared. Trump has better hair and funnier writers; Biden hides his lack of humanity a bit better than Trump. Who gives a shit about either of these more dead than alive fossils?
Greedy & wealthy nations have a lot to worry about while poor people have only one problem to feed themselves.
In other words, the people being punished the most have less to loose, therefor much more likely to cause and have an incentive for an uproar.
Poor people have a lot more than just feeding themselves.. apparently you've never been poor
As if being poor is Noble
Actually our fate us shared like never before. And poor countries are the most resilient and autonomous. It is the wealthy countries that are complex and dependent, fail easily and cost more to maintain.
What a load. You've never been poor, that's obvious.
My brother keeps saying " we need revolution" in a Russian voice and it scares me.
Нам нужен, Сталин, товарищ!😂😂😂
☝
I remember the bolsheviks.... nice people.
He must watch Fox "news", and the likes, bc they are HATERS OF THE USA USA USA...and anyone still listening AND BELIEVING, ANYTHING they say is working WITH our enemies!!
I remember JFK, LBJ, Tricky Dick, Peanut Farmer Carter, Ronald Raygun, all of the Little Shrub incarnations, Uncle Tom Obama. . . . Such a stellar legacy of American political leadership in my lifetime. @@shiyotso1
As an American who’s been living in Europe for 6 years, I’m having a far better life here, less religious, less political, less propaganda, less division etc
What part of Europe?
Idk about this one chief. Where did you live before and after? Less propaganda just means its more subtle or the people trust the government completely (stupid), just so you know.
I returned to the country of my birth. Canada. I lived in the Bay Area and BC lower mainland. I was educated in California public schools and almost flunked the US citizenship test. I spent 28k USD each to send two kids to private high school after they were failing in public schools. My youngest is now thriving in BC public schools. Less competition and consumption. Public health. Public transportation. Gen z doesn’t drive cars or drink alcohol.
Europe is not a country mate. The culture, history, even political systems in every European country is different.
LESS OF EVERTHNIG INCLUNDING US SUPPORT. ENJOY
The problem with this is the anthropromorphizing of corporations. "If you're a corporation you dont want to think about politics". Corporations arent thinking things, the humans that run them are, and they spend much of their time thinking about their politics and beliefs, which are enacted into their work within the corporation. Assuming objectivity is a great thought project, but Ive yet to see or meet a person in corporate who's politics or beliefs have zero effect on their decision making at the job. Anyone who says they have is confusing sympathetic bias for neutrality.
Same goes for all those apps that have their roots in OpenAI, or "A.I.s" as we're supposed to call them. The risk lies in deluded corporations hoping to make as many technical jobs obsolete as possible, the unregulated data laundering methods used to gathering DALL-E's and likewise apps' databases, and the flooding of misinformation and too many toadies making a religion out of how its advertised...These apps aren't thinking on their own anymore than apps that did similar things a decade earlier, and the more people fixate on one of them becoming HAL, AM, or SkyNet (like one of OpenAI's own founders), the thicker the screen of misinformation will get...
Not to say America was a ever a role model of human decency. Just look at its war-crime/genocidal rap sheet; you'll compare Hitler to Shakespeare's Macbeth.
Nobody explains it better with absorbable clarity than you Ian. Nobody. Thank you as always for being a light house in the fog of ignorant chaos. 🙏
There is an additional 11th threat that should have been added……. Our elected governments no longer even feeling the need to pretend to have a shred of humanity or even pretending to represent our interest. When did that become normal? For those of us who can still vote, we need new governments and more specifically; new parties.
Good point. Our governments will think, "what's the point of playing civility politics when all our constituents on all sides of the political spectrum distrust us? Might as well drop the act and use force. What are they going to do about it? Call us fascists/communists/woke? They've called us that for years."
What makes you think the government leaders are not doing what those who vote for them want? I think you may not realize that a vast majority of voters actually want the policies that seem to be to our detriment.
My party cares about my issues that I voted on and have even passed legislation to take care of some of the issues.
All major political parties represent corporate interests more than they represent the public's interests. That's the crux of the problem. Even when they occasionally pass legislation that you benefit from and/or agree with, the broader context is that wealth/power continues to move further out of reach of WE THE PEOPLE.
@@ryanreedgibsonWhat party? What policies? Where do you live?
Everything we are living through is so chaotic it will be a miracle if humanity can survive this
Some people will survive. The question is, which countries and institutions will survive. If our culture and knowledge will survive. This is why we need to assemble Knowledge Arks to preserve our collective learning and arts.
At this point, I would challenge the idea that we're an advanced democracy based on your own reasons listed.
I'm working class, so AI has zero upside for me. It will replace me, then the rigjt wing dominance in my country will destroy my social security nets, and leave me essentially homeless. It's an incredibly privaliged position to see AI as a positive thing.
The right-wing is hardly your biggest issue.😂 You're the target audience.
Right-wing dominance? You must not live in the US🤔
I can't picture a $34T national debt with rising interest rates and persistent deficits playing out in a good scenario by 2035 even if there weren't social and political challenges. And we've got big effing social and political challenges for the foreseeable future... you don't think the left isn't going to tell you to work more years to pay off the literature degrees of the votes they're trying to buy?
We're working class too, but we don't write very well that way. We hope that AI brings something positive to improve this topic. It is very important to clearly express our ideas through writing. We are referring to English, Mandarin, no way. There is information that Mandarin is a complex language. 11:22
I just asked chatgpt to tell me under which rule America has seen the best economic times, out of 15 presidents that chatgpt listed, only 3 were Democrat. So its safe to say, America historically has done better economically under Republican rule. Im not even American and dont care who rules you or who you vote for, I just thought you should have the facts before you.
Everyone can hope things will be ok but deep down we know what is coming. No escaping it.
I cant stand when people say hope for the best! Hope doesn't do shit. Or when they say, fingers crossed! Nobody gives a fuck if your fingers are crossed.
No, you need blunt force trauma. You have to bring what's being served.
Yeah , Scarry .
Critical Minerals person here, permitting is killing this industry that has been on life support in the US for 30 years. We have vast deficiencies, and I stand as someone diligently working to improve this. However I am unheard, unseen, ignored, lambasted.
What about MP Materials?
On one hand, permitting prevents environmental catastrophe’s in the name of profit. On the other, it can smother smaller businesses who can’t compete with the larger businesses who swallow them up and become even larger and more likely to collapse in on itself and require bail outs 😅 it’s kinda lose-lose
Now make a video about the 10 most exciting things to look forward to this year
AI, robots, new games if you're a gamer..
@@soboring1826new Games For Sure ! : lol
Depending on your point of view he just did.
Maybe watch towards the end of the video and you will see what is optimistic in 2024
what games?@@elijahac138
How is the inner-American culture war a global risk? And what is the problem with a partitioned Ukraine? When Russia achieves uncontested control of Crimea and Luhansk-Donetsk, Russia has no more reason to fight. And let's face it, Russia can't occupy all of Ukraine and Ukraine can't take back the territories they lost. Ending this war with concessions to Russia while saving most of Ukraine and - slowly and carefully- normalising relations with Russia again would not only end a crisis that has been destabilised the whole word for a decade, it would also defuse other problems.
I am a Japanese person who is working on measures against global warming.
I think El Niño, or rather climate change, ranks a little higher.
This is because they believe that the condition for a world war to break out is a global food shortage.
Last year's heat may have reduced the number of honeybees in Japan by more than half, and other countries may also have fewer insects needed for pollination, not just bees.
(It is reported that at least one bee farm has reduced the number to 30%.)
The Amazon River has also been in a drought for some time, and no one can predict how it will affect agriculture this year.
The world should put more effort into energy conservation to avoid causing food shortages.
Do you think Hokkaido is a good place to go given its more northern climate and rural agriculture?
Anecdotally, where I'm at in the rural Midwest of the USA, the bug population is massive, including bee's. This past summer was extremely buggy
I agree that it is a major concern but how do you suppose it can cause a world war?
You can't go to war with another country for food and war will make all local problems worse not better.
I'm not saying that it wont, indirectly, increase conflict but, other than some dam projects, I don't see how it leads to war.
Last summer, there were fewer mosquitoes and cicadas in Japan, and on the other hand, an abnormal outbreak of stink bugs in Osaka City became a hot topic.
I think there are many other insects that are becoming rarer.
Last year was unusual because even the weeds died during the hottest period.@@nicklebuck
It is taken from a simulation published in a scientific magazine 40 years ago.
The content is about the dangers that may occur to humanity in the future.
I remember that it was based on Dr. MANABE's predictions of global warming, and that there would be a shortage of food in 2100.
I believe that the prediction for 2100 is about 40 years ahead of schedule, so I am working to reduce CO2 as much as possible.
In fact, I think one of the reasons why internal conflicts broke out in both Africa and Central America was that food became difficult to obtain.@@N.i.c.k.H
I love it when the problem, talks about the problems they have created
Neither of you need commas in the middle of your sentences
This guy is great! Anyone know where I can find more of his content regarding the internal US conflict?
Yeah! He is great! He has a channel here on YT: "GZero Media" and I don't understand how he doesn't have more subscribers.
@sayuri3917 Thanks for the info! I just subscribed to that channel and it's awesome! I'm surprised it hasn't come up anywhere else on here other than your comment. Thanks for the good find! 👍💯
I just subscribed to his channel too! I can't believe more people aren't interested!
@@sayuri3917obviously because people aren’t interested lol just because you are doesn’t mean other people are or have to be…. Quit acting so surprised. Idk why people always have to say “idk why you don’t have more subscribers” when you know the real answer as to why…. Especially in the US, people are sheep and flood to the news stations to get brainwashed…
Thanks. Great question. Just followed him as well.
Everything is at risk😑
As usual.
As never before...
Here’s the ONE answer to all issues:
Love is the only force capable of transforming an enemy into a friend. ~Martin Luther King, Jr.
Tell that to the Jan 6 rioters
Money is good.
@@sirdiealot53 that is a riot 🤣😂🤣
@@---Dana---- k
Too bad so many people in power lack the capability to process empathetic love. And that many others grew up with a distorted form of love or even without it. Which means they can't process or create it either.
People around the world want more democracy, and they see the U.S. as one of the biggest obstacles to that, at least that's according to a new poll . More than 50,000 people across more than 50 countries were surveyed. Startling finding, nearly half (44%) of respondents in the 53 countries surveyed are concerned that the US threatens democracy in their country; fear of Chinese influence is by contrast 38%, and fear of Russian influence is lowest at 28%.
Citations, please.
The rest of the world just don't want America's crap anymore and don't trust you guys ⛳
LOL! What is your point, Ruzzian troll? You want to convince everyone that Ruzzia is the last hope for democracy?! Well, especially after the brutal invasion into Ukraine! When Ruzzia was a democracy, in what century? What time period? Ruzzia has never been a democracy and never will.
Yes, and I’m sure that the uneducated masses in the developing world have a really nuanced and sophisticated understanding of the subject
@@chrisoffersengoogle.
I listened to this commentary after watching the WEF Risk press presentation. This is so much more specific and to the point. Wow. Subscribed and can't wait to hear more. You should really think about a podcast. Again, this is so much to the point on what the future will be.
Excellent take on some scary AF times! 🤞💯
Nice little video to relax to after a hard day of work
They already fail taxing online sales or control piracy. What makes them think they can govern AI this time around?
A lot of things seem like they could or will change this year it should be an interesting ride.Just keep you'r eyes open so you can see whats happening ,no one likes to get hit by the train . Good luck everyone.
Unpopular opinion regarding point 3. What about the Eastern Ukrainian regions where majority of the people want to reunite with the Russian motherland? Shouldn't the people of Donetsk and Luhansk be free to choose which country they want to be a part of? Putin has no right to occupy Ukrainian land where Ukrainians do not want to be part of Russia. But shouldn't those two seperatist regions be given to Russia if its the people's will?
Does the USA need to have a damaging brush with autocracy before it can return to cooperative, functioning democracy?
We already did when Teump was in office… but now we’re getting back there agin due to loyalism and not concern for what’s best for
@@mcgritty8842 trump!😆
@@mcgritty8842let go brandon!
If Trump wins, US and allies will be screw. He won't doing business as usual, he'll be more dangerous. Good luck, Americans.
Try to name a country that isn't a plutocracy in plain sight or not so plain sight?? Who elected America as rulers of the planet?? It's more than a two party system problem, the people around the world have literally given the power to the hands of delinquent narcissistic megalomanics that want to see the world burn.
I was disappointed that 'The axis of rouges' listed in the description turned out to be 'The axis of rogues'.
Well, how many shades of red can you have?
00:02 Creating a roadmap for making sense of global risks
02:37 The U.S. is #1 global risk, geopolitical recession, and culture wars
08:04 The U.S. economy is expected to face underperformance and challenges in 2024.
10:25 Developing countries face challenges due to increased expenses and carbon regulations
15:19 President Zelensky's decreasing support and implications for NATO and Taiwan.
17:35 The advancement of GPT-5 and AI technology poses serious global risks.
21:53 Heightened tensions in the Middle East
24:05 The U.S. is the #1 global risk
28:30 The U.S. is the #1 global risk in our report for 2024
30:41 India's role as a bridge between the Global South and the West
5:09 El Niño
"Russia has become a rogue state, 6,000 nuclear war heads..."
Trading more with NK as this video is published...
Buuuuuht.....
23:00 USA #1 global risk in 2024 😂😂😂
Thx so much genuinely💖💖
@@MajICReiki The US has a similar number of nukes and is actively destabilizing regions around the world including the middle east, latin america, etc. It's also surveilling and collecting information on almost all people around the world.
I'm not a fan of Russia, but you're applying a double standard if you think it's more of a risk than the US.
How did you do it?
The most important thing about a democracy is that the public is intelligent and wise enough to make good decisions for the future where we all will live. A good education is a must.
For a good education we need to find a way to stop IPad babies
Then you must be educated, america is a republic big difference. 😂😅
This isn't a democracy. Its a Constitutional Republic.
@@imnottellingyoumyname6467lol
intelligence is subjective in a world of lies and manipulation ,books are nothing but programs to make groups say that a lie is the truth inturn makes a single person say a lie is the truth to be part of the pack its been peer reviewed ,,,8) peace
I too found Europe to be a better place than the US after living there and after returning back to the US have suffered deep depression since.
This synopsis was very well done.
Great outlook, something new and well substantiated.
bleakest thing about humanity rn is the gatekeeping of humanitarian progress by the rich and the powerful
“El niño”, which is Spanish for, “The Niño.”
😂
Good spot
Speak the truth king!!
The boy
No. It means "The boy" in Spanish
Thank you for this thorough insight into these many global factors.
It’s time Americans stood up against their government, the media, and the corporations who writes their checks.
Amen! People are picking sides left or right or saying which one is worse. In reality the average citizen has more in common then these organizations that exploit us!
Let's focus on them!
No, that time was in the 70's. It's too late now.
On geopolitics it's pure propoganda
Ian is right on all else, but the Slavic problem.
The United States does not understand ethnographic relations beyond creating wedges and milking such for geopolitical advantages. This model of geopolitical relations would not be to US advantage this time.
As a 70 year old/young healthy happy retired person, good thing I listened to my World War 1 surviving grandfather (my mothers dad) and a father who surviving World War II Navy in the Pacific and all the island hopping he did until wars end. In the USA after the November 5th, 2024 Presidential election, we will see how much things increase or decrees around the world we all call EARTH. PEACE will NEVER happen around the world. EVER....
I just came across you Chanel and it was very pleasant to listen to you. I don’t agree with everything and some stuff I think you’re completely wrong but I will say you have a new fan.
Thank you for giving you intelligent take.
This guy in a hardcore capitalist, the optimism on ai is just because it will replace the working class and that means more profit.
Yes, I'm a bit sceptical about his faith in AI. Ian misses one major risk: the online world is destroying society. People are confused and no longer know what or who to believe. They seek shelter from the digital chaos by clutching onto "their truth", whether that happens to be the version where Hamas are brave freedom fighters or the one where Israel is a plucky democracy trying to defend itself. Where Trump is either saviour or villain. Something drastic will have to happen to save us.
Not only that, he talks about inflation, but doesn’t mention all the record profits over the past few years while wages stayed stagnant.
Ian bremmer is the pot bellied vampire goblin alex jones rants about but in real life lol
@@jacobjones630 Alex Jones is a batshit insane grifter but yes Ian Bremmer is exactly that
If AI can do everything for us, we can all be retired, or pursue other crafts. That's how technology has always advanced humanity forward.
Point on analysis. Especially the #1 risk which is the US is teetering on Civil War II, or some hybrid form of theocracy. Thanks for your thoughts.
No tf we not 😂 Americans are very aware who the crazies are and who’s normal over here
@@BigPapaVerde17 the actual crazies will try to start some kind of militia and then very quickly find out how alone they are
when US sneezes, whole world catches cold.
i don't
The US knows Victoria's secret
The US knows who asked
The US named his grandparents
The US tells his parents to clean his room
The US tells his mom to wash the dishes
The US know What da dog doin
The US knows what Amber Heard
The US knows Obama's last name
The US United the states
The US cuts his barber's hair
The US goes to Mc Donald and the ice machines starts working
The US knows who let the dawgs out
The US knows where's the iPhone 9 at
The US can read qr code
The US can make onion cry
The US knows the alphabet that comes before "A"
The US calls 911 and ask their emergency.
The US can see John Cena
The US receive tips from the waiter
The US tells his watch the hour
The US got milk for his father
The US gives homework to the teacher
The US gives up Rick Astley
The US tells his barber he didn't like the cut
The US can eat cereal with water
@@aethellstan your country does
@@rocketman1058maybe, but i don't. which i believe is the point.
@@aethellstan no, it is not the point. When he says the "whole world", he means it at the country level.
So for accountability, how did Ian's Global Top Risks predictions do for the year 2023 ?
Ian talks about next year but how did he do last year ?
Good question
These are risks, not predictions
@@bartburg2112 Ian was on about his accountability in his video.
What "predictions"? Someone didn't watch the video 😂
Not too good. Thats why his ‘24 risks should be taken with a huge grain of salt
This very insightful. Thank you. Couldn’t agree more with the impact of all these threats.
Bremmer’s ability to synthesize and articulate complex and highly dynamic geopolitical issues is truly unparalleled.
LOL no it isn't, bremmer is an idiot and a professional liar. 99% of what comes out of his mouth is either rosy western exceptionalist propaganda or bought-and-paid-for conclusions designed to tell clients what they want to hear, whether it's positive or negative.
Er, Ian.... El Nino has a big impact on the polar vortex which ices up the US, Europe, Russia and northern China. Why do people keep saying climate change will affect sub-Saharan countries etc? We have rich soils, mild climate and a stable continental shelf. We're great and likely to thrive thanks, whereas Europe (that imports most of its food since it continues to wipe out its farmers) is far more at risk as far as I can tell. Especially when those ports and airports can no longer operate thanks to climate change.
Bravo, a masterclass analysis of current global affairs. Makes it very hard to be optimistic, but always better to see it coming than not I guess….
🤡
I think this guy forgot that there were no wars under Trump…
@@alexatedwIQ45 started the division and insurrection. In my opinion that’s worse.
@@user-dj6hu9gq4t nah. No one wants trump but that point was a little biased
@@alexatedw i watched on tv. were you under a rock?
I'm 28, my personal life is really taking off and I'm optimistic about my own success. I'm also very pessimistic about the U.S. political system, when everything is a crisis nothing is a crisis so I'm taking nothing mainstream media says seriously.
As a 21 year old I'm pretty optimistic about the future tbh. People have been preaching doom for thousands of years and yet here we are. On top of that I don't see China ever overtaking the USA from an economic or geopolitical standpoint. Climate change will be adapted to and mitigated, population decline will eventually smooth out and we'll stabilize and probably return to a slow growth. Things are not so bad.
things aren’t bad for YOU. till bad things end up finding you. we should be optimistic of course but are you not aware of what the world is going through. we are reaching a point where we have never been in human history. speaking as a 22 year old.
@@chops999 I've had it rougher than much of our generation and honestly I'm thankful for it. The only real concerns I have for the world are demographic collapse and climate change. I believe we can mitigate and adapt to both of those changes however. In the USA young people believe they have it especially rough but in reality every generation has thought that. We will be fine.
I watched his video on Palestine and its funny that they must find "peace" but Ukraine should maintain its independence.
How generous to call it a "fight" over resources as if the same west is not still pillaging the global south.
To consider what the global south has been experiencing through western imperialism normal state of affairs is incredibly telling.
How does Ian believe we're going to address climate change if the status quo is maintained. The status quo brought us climate change.
I want to say I'm surprised but it's just disappointment.
Thank you. I agree.
We're not going to address global climate change adequately. The governments of the world have made it abundantly clear they're not willing to do what needs to be done to take on the coming Climate Armageddon. Global temperatures will bust through the the 2° C barrier with all of the very bad results scientists warned us about taking place.
Between sea level rise and the destruction of regular wind patterns which keep temperatures within expected ranges, you can expect a world full of increasing weather chaos, plus the chaos of climate refugees relocating within countries.
Flood and fire Insurance in certain parts of the US is already unobtainable. Insects love warmer weather. Frequency and intensity of storms is already increasing. And we are just at the very beginning of the process
@Brunel1859 this is the white experience. Every indigenous culture globally has suffered their own apocalypse, and the people continue to suffer/ struggle today.
We haven't done anything significant to have a free and fair election that people can support. If the 2024 is conducted like the 2020 election, I do think there will be problems. The last 3 years have been pretty disastrous for the US, and has caused a lot of instability world wide. But what I see world wide is the over reach of governments has worn down its citizens, and the governments are having a much harder time using propaganda against the people because of the explosion of independent journalism.
Hmm, I seem to notice he made no mention of the horrendous price gouging coming from corporations as part of the cause of inflation. Yes, all the other things he mentioned are a factor. But you don't make hundreds of percent increased profits during a global recession, caused by a pandemic, without doing _something_ shady or illegal... and some companies were caught red handed yet nothing has happened to them.
Elites have become too powerful and untouchable,
One community in particular- can’t name- comment gets deleted.
"Never Again" only applies to Jews?
No doubt. I thought it was just PEOPLE.
To Israel & most of the US, that’s what it seems. That’s why other terrible genocides don’t count.
Thanks again for update
We are closer today to world peace than we've ever been in my entire life when I was born in 1963
"Everyone is beholden to their own set of facts," 😢
Okay, so what I gathered from this video is you have some basic understanding of events to come. But are a hardcore liberal, in that you discuss the effects of weapon suing the FBI, IRS, DEPJ, against the Biden’s… however, we have already seen Biden do this alongside the Obama’s and Clinton’s in league against the former President Donald Trump.
We need an era of transparency from the government.
That was excellent. Thank you.
I've noticed the youtube home page and recommendations have been pretty terrible the last few months and it would make sense that the flood of automated AI videos could have a lot to do with it.
I ditto on noticing the recommendations have been garbage lately! And it is primarily filled up with shitmade AI videos. Here's to hoping UA-cam gets rid if them but I won't hold my breath 🫤
It’s because UA-cam algorithm is trash
Long story short: life has never been easy, so there is no way to hope it will ever will. We are here for the challenge and growth and can only be responsible for our own actions.
This sounds like your villian origin story 🤣
True, but society is facing some unique and novel challenges.
@@brich0127why? It sounds uplifting to me
@mcgritty8842 when you say life isn't easy and never will be. It's up to us to decide how it goes. It's a cry for either peace or anarchy.
You ever been trapped in a country embroiled in a civil war, or wind up in third world conditions? No? Then don't talk about struggle
A two party system will always inherently be divisive.
Very pleased with the analytical thought that went into this.
THAT is one of the main things missing in most of screeds
we're often presented with. The underlying aspect of these
threats revolves around the contemptuous competition that
surrounds us globally every minute of our days on this planet.
I was dreading the report on A.I. (it's usually filled with bugaboo
nonsense), but was pleasantly surprised by the conclusions reached.
A return to education that encourages analytic thought would be a
major step toward realizing that these challenges are not insurmountable.
I don't know this guy but it's easy to tell that he does some work for the US government, he's analysis is done such a way that keeps those government contracts...i.e does not criticize the US government in anyway. Look up Noam Chomsky if you'd like a sensible view of America's role in the conflicts around the world.
He sounded pretty critical of the government to me. "The United States is not a well-functioning democracy".
Ungoverned AI should definitely be concern #1 but I understand the few things ranked ahead of it.
paperclips
Ungoverned AI in the hands of N Korea, Russia, China & Iran is a huge threat in my mind. Either one alone is terrible but together is unthinkable!
I can't speak for the other countries, but China's AGI development is lagging behind because they are trying to put a lot of guard rails on it's development. In particular, they are spending a lot of time on alignment. This is the critical concern around developing AGI which the USA is not sufficiently addressing. @@cassiemercier31
@@cassiemercier31 I agree with Iran & N Korea take. But I don't think that Russia and China want poke a nose into USA stuff.
@@gonkong5638China would absolutely like to have an AI advantage over the United States. Russia is just waiting to see if Trump gets re-elected.
I may be tipsy but it feels like bro is saying a whole lot of nothing lmao
Just repeating what you here in Western news. 100% biased brainwashing.
Well done.
America enjoys a troubled democracy that requires interrelated reforms and repairs. Systemic changes are opposed by those who benefit from troubled political and economic systems. As with termites, effective change is hard, spectacularly hard, until the house no longer stands. The last time this happened, we had the Roosevelt Consensus to build a new democracy without resorting to major systemic reforms and repairs. This time we must reform and repair our political-economic system with no consensus, no Roosevelt and no workable idea what or how to change without the consensus required to maintain a democracy. Still, so far, we have muddled through our self-inflicted catastrophes one way or another. We'll see how this plays out against the backdrop of climate change.
No consensus until the profits collapse from a crisis.
Listen to the children, they know who’s to blame.
It's going to be an interesting year, no doubt
Reminds me of the Chinese curse "May you live in interesting times." These are VERY interesting times, ones that future historians will study intensely.
This video is a perfect example of why we will never address climate chaos (ie. change). People think that it will take care of itself or it is not that big of a deal. Guess what people. Look outside your window. It's here and we are screwed.
Agreed. It should be the main concern. Everything else pales in comparison to loss of water, food, oxygen and cover from fatal radiation.
What a phenomenally terrifying list!!! #1 is the most unnerving for me😢
Cheers for acknowledging that too much news today is not geared towards truly informing us.
Finally someone getting it.. US is the risk and has been that
As a citizen of a loyal American ally (Australia) I have to agree with you and Ian. However, American dysfunction is a symptom of a greater modern malaise: addiction to the internet where citizens are divided from each other and live in their own versions of reality.
@@budawang77 I kinda agree but not so much.. to say I am also from one of the many shifting convince based ally country.. now the way I see it is, that things have become the world's problem because US has been for years and decades been very aggressively pushing their "way of doing stuff" on the world. Friendly countries already adopt the ways and agree, with some the way that US had was coercion, geopolitical pressure, tooling governments to even invasion.. as a result we have this situation where because (for instance in 2008) US dint take caution/dint check their banks the whole world interconnected and following US footsteps fell right thru with them in lead.. does it make sense, like I hope I was able to communicate what I wanted to
@@FantomwithanEffthat makes perfect sense. as an American I can say that I'm sick to death of us pushing our agenda on the rest of the world. especially when the people don't know and therefore can't agree with what's happening. most people in the US don't know what we did to Venezuela to caused the problems that they have or to Cuba for that matter. we've been told since the Truman administration that we need to be deathly afraid of Communism but nobody even knows what it is. they don't teach world history in high school here and they have no intent of ever doing so. in college you could possibly study it, but teachers are encouraged to whitewash
@@budawang77agree. And people forgot how to critically think… that’s why Trump is even on people’s minds instead of a newcomer… dude has sparked some harsh feelings of xenophobia, racism, and anti-semitism. Go ahead and say it wasn’t/isn’t him… but it is definitely his followers and you are judged based on the company yoh keep. You wanna threaten publice officals? You wanna say have your lackies shoot up a federal building? You wanna send your goons to overthrow the fucking capital building?!?!?! FUCK NO
In your estimation, how much inflation is due to price gouging or buy backs by corporations?
Most. Greed is a powerful drug. ALL those Wealthy A-holes are addicts.
Since inflation naturally happens without outside sources pushing… touch to say; probably about 50% of it is tied to price gouging.
Inflation occurs every 10-15 years in about 7%-15%increase
Excellent. Thank you.
Really good video
I get that we live in almost 2 different realities. I don't see people that see the "others" as adversaries. This is just in the media and is likely driven to help someone's wallet. Generally people want to help other people. We have been living with people who are very different from us all of our lives. There is no reason to think it is all of a sudden unbearable. The whole left Vs right thing is not real as most people are focused on going to work or work related issues and using the time off to spend our limited quality times with our families. No matter a right wing country family or a leftist communion they both think about family and work and NOT about each other. This is what I see here where I live and perhaps that is why so many people are moving south? I suspect its the same all over the country. If unemployment ever reaches over 20% then we have a serious problem and potential civil war. Keep us working and earning money and we will keep the peace as long as we see a future for us and our family.
I would argue that this behaviour is triggered and especially reinforced by groups. Individuals rarely do anything close to the extreme behaviour of large groups of like-minded people.
You also have to worry about jail and the countries history of Slavery. I really doubt people will advocate against jail, not having people locked up and worked for gain, even if they have to pay them alongside that labor to look better for people. That’s a huge obstacle for keeping family around each-other if people don’t understand their countries past and what exactly is the law in people’s eyes.
Our addiction to smartphones and the internet is turning us into tribal morons. Depending on what tribe you belong to, your version or reality is becoming increasingly different from that of your fellow citizens. Democracy cannot function in this scenario.
They're pushing us towards the path of least resistance goodbye
You're about ready to experience third world problems
I thought this was very good, although I wonder why when he was saying the Biden Administration had to worry about political prosecution if Trump won. If he wanted to support that possible theory, he could of added, "Just like the Biden DOJ has been doing to Trump".
I totally agree. Biden admin. is using FBI against mothers, using DOJ to squash political opponents etc....
exactly. That jumped right out to me as well. The rhetoric around authoritarianism and dictatorships in the left legacy media is simply crazy. Both sides are guilty of the same tactics, but the main stream media zeitgeist is heavily against Trump while ignoring the Biden admin's lawfare and manipulation of the democratic system.
Nice summary.
Inflation is due to monopolistic greed. Let’s see if that mindset changes for the “greater good”
I would love to see how the supporting arguments were constructed
Agreed... I think this gentleman needs to look al little deeper into some of them as they don't necessarily line up with the "true" / "actual" facts he rightly highlights as risks.
This will be an absolutely catastrophic year, so much so that we'll long for the days of covid quarantines. There's nothing good to look forward to in 2024, only an acceleration of humanity's decline back into barbarism.
"So do all who live to see such times..."
- Gandalf
Great analytics
Blame the Rich and powerful for everything that they have done. For all the politicians who've sold out their Citizens , shame on you .
I wonder what he thinks about Iran vs. Pakistan?
it as about balouch people not pakistani, why do you talk about things you have no idea about?
I talk about them because that is what I heard on WION news channel, al jazeera, and a PBS news outlet. So who are the Balouch people? I talk about things because that is how a person learns and grows. If I did not talk about something I am learning about how am I supposed to make corrections to my understanding. Do you want to help or add to the noise?@@APT999TT
@@APT999TThe only wanted to know the opinion on the subject matter of the 2. No need to be so rude
Your explanations on #1 are great Projection. You really think average people don't pay attention. We do.
Just listening to Big Think to begin with shows you aren't an "average" person. The average person asserts that they don't have the time to.
Great video; the main audio track needs a compressor, though.
Happy New Year!!!
"If you're a corporation..." With all due respect, no one is a corporation.
Hahaha our SCOTUS said so in the Citizens United ruling…thus, we find ourselves run by oligarchy.
Corporations are not people but they are made up of many people.
When someone uses a figure of speech while speaking 😯 😮 😳 🤯
Why can’t the U.S government just F off and leave other countries alone. I just don’t get it.
Empire baby!
@@jacobjones630 Lol yup
Colonisation.
Markets!
The US has always been about colonialism and empire. I live here and just learning US history growing taught me that. I hate it here I want to move. I think I will one day but to where is the question…
This is well said. I like how this lacks the news acting techniques. It feels more fluid
Meaning this is now where I get my news.
Thanks!