Nvidia crashed 10% on Friday and where it might lead the market the next few months.
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- Опубліковано 28 тра 2024
- Hi All,
In this video I talk about how momentum king #nvidia pulled back more than 10% on Friday. How that might effect the #nasdaq100 and the market more broadly. I also talk about the bond market, how bonds and the dollar index rolling over is not going to be bullish for much longer. I also cover some of the recent earnings in #MDB and other momo names like #vst #amd and others.
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Nvidia, Apple, the mega caps and momentum: 00:00 - 34:21
Why bonds going up is not bullish anymore: 34:22 - 44:10
MDB earnings, some random stock thoughts and what I think happens next: 44:11 - 52:19
Disclaimer: This video is not trading or investment advice, but for general informational purposes only. This video represents my personal opinions which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, bonds trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this video, its representatives, its principals, its moderators and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. Watching this video or reading any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms.
Dude, these 45min-1hour videos where you cover multiple names or topics, are my favourite! Feels like a lesson on the markets and individual names💪
Thanks so much, Sleepy!
Have a great weekend
Glad you like them!
Great video. New investors in NVDA need to understand, like you said, that semi conductors are cyclical, (to the extreme!). I doubt they do and will be very disappointed when this cycle ends. It is not a stock for everyone yet everyone seems to be buying.
Well said!
Someone shared this video on Reddit and I’m just getting thought watching. Really enjoyed the info and like that you’re a mad man with drawing tool lol look forward checking out more of your content. Hope the cough got better.
Really appreciate your content Sleepy. Keep it up!
Glad you enjoy it!
Nice analysis, appreciate the insights
great vid bro
Glad you enjoyed
Very very good analysis of the current environment and I appreciate that you take the time to do this
@14:05 Eh, I would highly disagree on TSMC standpoint. They just won a $5 billion grant for their US plant. Add to the fact its still pretty cheap compared to all the other semi names in the market.
Also in January through February they reported revenue increase of 9.4 percent compared to 2023.
That's fair, but it was up 56% ytd at one point on friday. This is a 750B dollar company. 5B alone should not move the stock up 100B in a week~. It's still cheap, but it should trade at a discount given 1) its a large holding in EM indexes and in most of them the only none china holding in the top 10 in most indexes, and they all trade at sub 10x earnings. And 2, possibly GeoPol risks. Which I think are overblown, but still need to be priced in. Again, I agree with you broadly, but moving up 250B YTD for a company this well known is somewhat nuts.
@@sleepysol I would have to disagree about the Geo-political stuff. Compared to the NVDA, and AMD names (That they actually manufacture chips for) TSM has not going relatively as parabolic as those names due to the “Geo-political risk” we have people on a particular twitch stream that discuss this in depth, that China wouldn’t come after Taiwan due to 1) Having issues in their own economy. And 2) Taiwanese newly elected government personnel has not mentioned anything about independence from China.
@@sleepysol If you zoom out on the chart from a 1 year standpoint, you will see that even INTC has put out better 1 year returns compared TSMC and even they rely on TSMC for some of their chip manufacturing and are known for having crapco tendencies compared to the other semi names.
You're scaring the children!