Decision Analysis 2: EMV & EVPI - Expected Value & Perfect Information

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  • Опубліковано 9 лют 2025
  • In this tutorial, we discuss Decision Making With Probabilities (Decision Making under Risk).
    We calculate Expected Monetary Value (EMV) and Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI).
    Other videos:
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    Decision Analysis 1: Maximax, Maximin, Minimax Regret
    • Decision Analysis 1: M...
    Decision Analysis 2: Equally Likely (Laplace) and Realism (Hurwicz)
    • Decision Analysis 1b: ...
    Decision Analysis 4: Decision Trees 1
    • Decision Analysis 3: D...
    Decision Analysis 5: EVSI - Expected Value of Sample Information
    • Decision Analysis 4 (T...
    Sensitivity Analysis in Decision Analysis: • Decision Analysis - Se...

КОМЕНТАРІ • 273

  • @sstangsujika7959
    @sstangsujika7959 5 років тому +13

    I have been lost in this topic for weeks, professor could not help me at all, I spent 3.47 minutes and all is cleared. Thank you so much, hope your contributions return to you :)

  • @revengergamer-fh8jy
    @revengergamer-fh8jy 11 місяців тому +8

    Speechless at how easily you explained it

  • @Silumbe
    @Silumbe 9 років тому +59

    I am just speechless man,I just can't thank you enough!! Thank you for being such a blessing!!! Simple and Clear!!!

  • @rksashi
    @rksashi Рік тому +3

    thank you sir. from India

  • @alicewanjiru2298
    @alicewanjiru2298 5 років тому +3

    Listen @Joshua Emmanuel. I am looking this up now and i can`t type fast enough but you are amazing. You do this so well. You are simply gifted. Keep at it and let us know what we can do to support you. For starters i am all subscribed. I have never looked forward to submit my assignment. God bless you!

  • @ast123f5
    @ast123f5 10 місяців тому +1

    Great explanation, thank you so much!!

  • @amyscott7256
    @amyscott7256 8 років тому +2

    Joshua, thank you! Your videos are the clearest I've found and I truly appreciate your channel. Please keep making them for those of us for whom this doesn't automatically click!

  • @walterday8901
    @walterday8901 8 років тому +4

    Thanks for this video. I've spent a few hours this morning reading my textbook and various websites, and you just explained this concept more clearly than any of them in under 4 minutes. Awesome.

  • @SuperIWOW
    @SuperIWOW 6 місяців тому +1

    Josh, thank you very much for the professional way of explaining it, Our professor took 37 min in a class, and I didn't get it. god bless.

  • @anthonychikeziecomrade1883
    @anthonychikeziecomrade1883 4 роки тому +1

    Am really thankful for this tutorial. It has simplified what i have been racking brain on

  • @freetheharpy
    @freetheharpy 4 роки тому +1

    Your videos are hands down the best. Thank you so much.

  • @brainbuild4452
    @brainbuild4452 3 роки тому +1

    5 weeks of lectures in 4 min. WOW!

  • @santyrahman6227
    @santyrahman6227 5 років тому +1

    I got my business modeling decision exams by 1pm today and thank god i found you

  • @janekarlarosita7033
    @janekarlarosita7033 7 років тому +3

    i'll probably watch all of your videos! you make it easy for me to understand Operations Research! Salute you sir! 😊

  • @thelmacarr8779
    @thelmacarr8779 3 роки тому +7

    This guy is top top. The reason why I excelled in my quantitative methods exams❤️

  • @flyhigh651
    @flyhigh651 9 років тому +13

    Thank you for making the definitions and calculations of EVPI and EVWPI!!! so clear I was having trouble grasping the concept! :D

    • @joshemman
      @joshemman  9 років тому +1

      Fly High You're welcome.

    • @fahaqaq6298
      @fahaqaq6298 7 років тому +1

      sir plz tell me about the probability where 0.2 0.50 and 0.3 came from

    • @peekatchu1383
      @peekatchu1383 7 років тому +2

      it will be given in the question

    • @fahaqaq6298
      @fahaqaq6298 7 років тому

      thank you peek at chu

    • @man77mk
      @man77mk 5 років тому

      @@joshemman it's been 4 years, I'm a new student having a problem understanding this. But thanks to you problem solved! God bless you.

  • @siluwep
    @siluwep 2 роки тому +1

    i didnt understand alot of this until i watched this thank you so much

  • @patricembaya8183
    @patricembaya8183 3 роки тому

    Simply and beautifully explained , thank you so much . you have just saved me 30 min of reading unnecessary long theory

  • @MrGomezzo
    @MrGomezzo 4 роки тому +1

    Joshua, I just want to thank you for this and say that your videos were of great help during my graduate studies. Thank you for these videos.

  • @joshuanicol-macdonald4065
    @joshuanicol-macdonald4065 8 років тому +4

    Thank you so much. I was struggling for so long to learn these concepts and you made it clear in less than 4 minutes. Thanks you!

  • @maatlalekelandi688
    @maatlalekelandi688 Рік тому +1

    Thank you, you explain so well! God bless you more!

  • @zacedx
    @zacedx 5 років тому +1

    You saved my life I am eternally grateful!

  • @shaekmrsyahoocom
    @shaekmrsyahoocom 5 років тому

    Hello Joshua! Thank you so much for taking the time to create this video. Not much quality tutorials available online on this topic.

  • @Jettaboz
    @Jettaboz 6 років тому +91

    taught me in 3 minutes what my professor couldnt for a week

    • @FIZAKHAN-kn1nz
      @FIZAKHAN-kn1nz 4 роки тому +2

      Same🙋🏻‍♀️🙋🏻‍♀️

    • @李梁-c7e
      @李梁-c7e 2 роки тому

      fuck you are the true hero

    • @wgatapa3427
      @wgatapa3427 Рік тому

      My brother, same here. Mine is even worst bc I think my lecturer is solving EVwPI as simply EMV. I'm so lost

    • @that.boii_elvis5039
      @that.boii_elvis5039 Місяць тому

      Me threee more I then I understood all semester

  • @rifahtasnia8671
    @rifahtasnia8671 3 роки тому

    Thank you so much 😍
    Love from Bangladesh ❤️
    It helps a lot 💞💞

  • @OMARI_HONO
    @OMARI_HONO 6 місяців тому +1

    I found exactly where my Lecturer gets his notes,no need to attend classes anymore

  • @lansanaconteh1766
    @lansanaconteh1766 2 роки тому +1

    Wow!! Thus is wonderful thanks for clearing my doubt all along sir

  • @CarmelCortado
    @CarmelCortado 8 років тому +2

    Thanks man! Super helpful! As well as the first part. Keep it up!

  • @77mardi
    @77mardi 9 років тому +11

    Thank you so much for this tutorial. Because of this, I will do well on my mid. term.

  • @arielpeleg4156
    @arielpeleg4156 4 роки тому +1

    Amazing work bro! saved me hours!!! Gained a subscriber you're a hero champ

  • @mahmoudayman9766
    @mahmoudayman9766 4 роки тому

    يسطا انت عظيم ♥

  • @cabdiqanifaysal4629
    @cabdiqanifaysal4629 3 роки тому

    i am so happy to learn this math in this youtube chanal and i want say thank you

  • @CJBrown133
    @CJBrown133 3 роки тому

    Thank you Joshua! Very comprehensive and straightforward

  • @1997adamwalsh
    @1997adamwalsh 6 років тому +2

    best tutorials ever thank you Joshua!

  • @AliKhan-cj3ee
    @AliKhan-cj3ee 3 роки тому +1

    you're an absolute beauty josh, thanks

  • @hussainal-baghdadi2128
    @hussainal-baghdadi2128 7 років тому

    30 min and thand you have 3 min vids loving it

  • @Jason-bj9zn
    @Jason-bj9zn 11 місяців тому +1

    made it much easier to understand than my college professor. thank you!

    • @joshemman
      @joshemman  11 місяців тому

      You're welcome 😄

  • @miss00babycat
    @miss00babycat 4 роки тому +2

    Simple but clear, thank you so much for the tutorial!

  • @saranshgoyal92
    @saranshgoyal92 5 років тому

    Simple, lucid & self explanatory

  • @pieterjacobs6709
    @pieterjacobs6709 9 років тому +26

    Thank you so much. This really, really helped me. The text book could not even explain it so easy. Please, upload some more?

  • @BrandonCharlesOng
    @BrandonCharlesOng 9 років тому +31

    Love you long time

  • @iyanamarriearganoza8022
    @iyanamarriearganoza8022 3 роки тому

    YOU DESERVE THE WORLD!!!! You've just summarized an e-book HUHU

  • @jacqueshollands5630
    @jacqueshollands5630 Рік тому

    Yet another excellent video by Joshua

  • @ashishmatura7919
    @ashishmatura7919 5 років тому

    You explained so simply man.... now I am convinced human race originated from africa. love from India

  • @Мир_мне_и_всем
    @Мир_мне_и_всем 2 роки тому

    Thank you sir ☺️☺️ I'm really was satisfied but watching your video and voice is also perfect(not to fast as others, which creates a clear understanding of topic ty)

  • @MrToasty901
    @MrToasty901 5 років тому

    This guys a legend best explainer ever

  • @malmimaddugoda6875
    @malmimaddugoda6875 7 років тому +2

    this was very much useful. keep your work going on. cheers!

  • @freddieg8377
    @freddieg8377 6 років тому +1

    Made it so simple, you're a G!

  • @noraalakwaa9042
    @noraalakwaa9042 5 років тому

    Great, excellent, outstanding, astonishing

  • @olubukolaolaniran887
    @olubukolaolaniran887 9 років тому +7

    Thank you for simplifying this concept

  • @alyssacommisso4836
    @alyssacommisso4836 5 років тому +1

    you literally just helped me out so much thank you!!!!!

  • @tuzkygaming1648
    @tuzkygaming1648 8 років тому +1

    Now i can make my homework! Thank you so much for this video! :D

  • @cacrisc
    @cacrisc 4 роки тому +1

    I just love you soooo much!!!!!! this is awesome

  • @SonPham-gh9rf
    @SonPham-gh9rf 2 роки тому

    Better than my professor in Suffolk University :))))

  • @felipe5955
    @felipe5955 3 роки тому +1

    I was stressing thanks for blessing

  • @ngantranha9526
    @ngantranha9526 2 роки тому

    thank you for making these videos! you make it easy for me to understand my lesson better

  • @ubongudom4854
    @ubongudom4854 2 роки тому +1

    Thank you so much, you made my day.

  • @dbzfreak83
    @dbzfreak83 4 роки тому

    your videos are so helpful and make things so clear, thank you! this video especially really helped me

  • @Spinning_a_yarn
    @Spinning_a_yarn 4 місяці тому +3

    I think there is an error at 3:04, the calculation for EVwPI is not correct. You should have taken 40 instead of 70

    • @joshemman
      @joshemman  4 місяці тому

      Hmmm...it is correct. You choose the best payoff in each state of nature for EVwPI.

  • @rollyanggaraari9946
    @rollyanggaraari9946 4 роки тому

    thanks sir. its really helped me... more video like this for better future :) #fromIndonesia

  • @sandipanisingh1648
    @sandipanisingh1648 3 роки тому

    Indeed a 👼 angel for me 😍

  • @niteshchowdhary3248
    @niteshchowdhary3248 7 років тому +1

    Thank you so much, you saved me.!

  • @nordgothica
    @nordgothica 7 років тому

    This is clear and easy to understand. Thank you!

  • @TheSiriusSigma
    @TheSiriusSigma 8 років тому

    Great video! New economists and students of decision theory will benefit from your video! Thank you!

  • @blackydegreat8368
    @blackydegreat8368 5 років тому

    Wow you make this look so easy wow

  • @babakaranja5648
    @babakaranja5648 8 років тому

    Thank you straight to the point as all your videos

  • @christianmutatsh5137
    @christianmutatsh5137 Рік тому

    You are the best ❤️✋

  • @IndyRandall
    @IndyRandall 7 років тому

    Very helpful, thanks a lot Joshua.

  • @johnbaptist8401
    @johnbaptist8401 5 років тому

    Brilliantly explained, thank you very much sir

  • @abigail_hill_health_coach
    @abigail_hill_health_coach 3 роки тому +14

    Thank you for making these videos! I’m in a masters online program and we are just given a textbook. These videos are helping me immensely.

  • @lorenroseyonola6731
    @lorenroseyonola6731 4 роки тому

    Thanks for the good tutorial

  • @dinahphaswana4760
    @dinahphaswana4760 4 роки тому

    Writing in few min and been playing pubg the whole night. You really coming through for me😭😭❤️

  • @varalakshmikrishnamurthy6625
    @varalakshmikrishnamurthy6625 7 років тому

    thank you so much for simple and clear explanation

  • @kawa_bata
    @kawa_bata 7 років тому +3

    thank you very much indeed. very clear and nice. my professor couldnt make it clear for me.

  • @kareng4120
    @kareng4120 6 років тому

    Simple and straightforward 💗💗💗💗

  • @marniedreyer-shaik4894
    @marniedreyer-shaik4894 4 роки тому

    Joshua, you are a genius. You should find work at my school

  • @audreylawrence2929
    @audreylawrence2929 6 років тому

    Very useful content!!

  • @jasminemurphy9502
    @jasminemurphy9502 9 років тому +3

    Very helpful!! Thank you :)

  • @managementsciencestudio6471
    @managementsciencestudio6471 3 роки тому

    Nice coverage.

  • @oldtimes4474
    @oldtimes4474 7 років тому

    Very nicely explained ... Thank you very much..

  • @Monoslay
    @Monoslay 8 років тому +1

    This was very usefull, thank you!

  • @TheAl217
    @TheAl217 3 роки тому +2

    Thank you for this video. Can you please explain how you calculated the probabilities?

  • @Panthergrl99
    @Panthergrl99 6 років тому

    Great tutorial!

  • @dikshapandey9285
    @dikshapandey9285 3 роки тому

    Awesome 👍👍

  • @alial-ansari8815
    @alial-ansari8815 4 роки тому

    I really salute you sir

  • @klaudiakrajnik741
    @klaudiakrajnik741 2 роки тому

    Thank you for this video!

  • @triplediff
    @triplediff 5 років тому

    Thank you Joshua, very nice

  • @XenoContact
    @XenoContact 6 років тому +2

    Great explanation. I would like to know a practical example of the utility of the EVPI please.

  • @pravinthakur5865
    @pravinthakur5865 7 років тому

    buddy you are doing great things go on

  • @lispasunday1413
    @lispasunday1413 5 років тому

    Thank you so much 🙏 Be blessed

  • @kavishainduwara5585
    @kavishainduwara5585 Рік тому +1

    Thank you 💙

  • @rashidajorge1880
    @rashidajorge1880 6 років тому

    Great video very helpful

  • @junjie2525
    @junjie2525 8 років тому +9

    Hi Joshua, thank you so much for your explanation!! It was clear and straight to the point. I wish I can say the same about my textbook .....

    • @MrToasty901
      @MrToasty901 5 років тому

      Textbooks suck, videos are better :D

  • @danielmoranga7487
    @danielmoranga7487 7 років тому

    simple and clear, thanks alot

  • @kwabenadavid7802
    @kwabenadavid7802 3 роки тому

    Thank you very much for your video. But please how do you generate the probabilities of the state of nature

  • @RaonGamingOfficial
    @RaonGamingOfficial Рік тому

    Thank you so much sir!

  • @bridgetobot2851
    @bridgetobot2851 7 років тому +3

    josh emmanuel. saving lives from 2017.

  • @anongmarion2680
    @anongmarion2680 2 роки тому

    Well explained

  • @ALEXANDROSCHATZIXENITIDIS
    @ALEXANDROSCHATZIXENITIDIS 8 місяців тому

    Mate GOD BLESS YOU

    • @joshemman
      @joshemman  8 місяців тому

      Bless you too, Alexandros. 🙏

  • @yi-tingwei2442
    @yi-tingwei2442 Рік тому

    Thanks for your clear tutorial! I’d like to ask since in EMV should invest all in bonds, how should we invest in EVPI? Thank you!

    • @joshemman
      @joshemman  Рік тому +1

      EVPI is the value of of perfect information. It is the maximum you should pay for information in general. It is not a decision alternative.

    • @yi-tingwei2442
      @yi-tingwei2442 Рік тому +1

      @@joshemman thank you very much! I think I got my answer in your EVSI video!