When will house prices bottom in 2023? | The Business | ABC News

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 4 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 441

  • @stevenswan76
    @stevenswan76 Рік тому +103

    I love the insightful tip the real estate agent gives for prospective buyers at auctions…”you need to bid”. Incredible 👏

    • @JustaSpaceCowboy
      @JustaSpaceCowboy Рік тому +1

      What tips do you have?

    • @stevenswan76
      @stevenswan76 Рік тому +9

      @@JustaSpaceCowboy I’m not a real estate agent

    • @tibsyy895
      @tibsyy895 Рік тому +1

      Hahahha 🤣🤣🤣

    • @GreenDistantStar
      @GreenDistantStar Рік тому +9

      @@JustaSpaceCowboy don't use an agent who hi-balls your house by $600K.

    • @michaelrobinson6435
      @michaelrobinson6435 Рік тому +13

      Any real estate agent would have the advice buy, buy, buy it is their best interests, but not yours.

  • @bravo1591
    @bravo1591 Рік тому +132

    It blows my mind that people wonder if "house prices will recover" like it's somehow normal for it to be so high.

    • @Bobafe77a
      @Bobafe77a Рік тому +27

      Exactly. It's not a " housing downturn" , it's a housing correction after the pevertedly low interest rates and non stop govt stimulus of the past 20 years.

    • @arthurgol500
      @arthurgol500 Рік тому +1

      the money is being printed

    • @ericshang7744
      @ericshang7744 Рік тому +4

      Properties are always pricy

    • @seiyachan
      @seiyachan Рік тому

      @@ericshang7744 due to speculation and the false expectation that house price will only increase no matter.. (guaranteed investment... Too good to be true) it's become a ponzi scheme vehicle.

    • @Stoneface_
      @Stoneface_ Рік тому +4

      @@ericshang7744 and always will be pricy

  • @battlefieldsbjj
    @battlefieldsbjj Рік тому +44

    I love how you're asking real estate agents these questions. Like, never ask a fish where the best places to go fishing are and never ask a shark where you'll be safe from his jaws.

  • @alexyoung3126
    @alexyoung3126 Рік тому +382

    Market declines, soaring inflation, a significant increase in interest rates by the Fed, and rising Treasury yields all point to additional losses for portfolios this quarter. How can I profit from the present market turbulence? I'm still debating whether to sell my $125,000 ETF/Growth Stock portfolio.

    • @oneiljerry9460
      @oneiljerry9460 Рік тому +3

      Concentrate on two main objectives. First, keep yourself safe by knowing when to sell stocks in order to limit losses and maximize gains. Second, get ready to benefit from market changes. I advise consulting a CFP or other professional for advice.

    • @johnlennon232
      @johnlennon232 Рік тому +3

      Yes, I have been in touch with a CFP ever since the outbreak. Today, investing in hot stocks is quite easy; the difficult part is deciding when to buy and sell. With an initial starting reserve of $80k, my adviser chooses the entry and exit commands for my portfolio, which has grown to approximately $550k.

    • @kimyoung8414
      @kimyoung8414 Рік тому +3

      @@johnlennon232 my 401k growth has been stagnant since the 2019. I wouldn't mind consulting the advisor who guides you, I really want to grow my retirement fund since I could retire in 3 years.

    • @johnlennon232
      @johnlennon232 Рік тому +3

      @@kimyoung8414 The stock market is without a doubt the awkward teenager with the most extreme mood swings! I started out with a commentator named “HEATHER ANN CHRISTENSEN.” Her honest approach gives me complete ownership and control over my position, and her rates are incredibly affordable given my ROI.

    • @kimyoung8414
      @kimyoung8414 Рік тому +2

      @@johnlennon232 Thanks, I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials. I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get.

  • @danielfranks6565
    @danielfranks6565 Рік тому +176

    This felt more like real estate industry hype than serious ABC journalism.

    • @_wallnutz_
      @_wallnutz_ Рік тому

      ABC doesn't do journalism or they'd be looking into the unprecedented excess death rate.

    • @johnny-yi2oi
      @johnny-yi2oi Рік тому +16

      yep, you are right mate. They recycle the same 'industry experts' every time.

    • @coffermartin77
      @coffermartin77 Рік тому

      A massive plug to the Real estate vultures out there. These greedy fks have no scrupples or shame.

    • @johnpettit8928
      @johnpettit8928 Рік тому +9

      It took a whole 4 and a half minutes of watching for me to come to the same conclusion. I pity those with large mortgages.

    • @2LegHumanist
      @2LegHumanist Рік тому +11

      Exactly.
      So far this feels like Ireland in 2009. It took 5 years for that housing bubble to burst, finally bottoming out in 2013.
      At the end of the day, a recession is coming, and with it, higher unemployment, less immigration and higher interest rates.
      This is not a recipe for a soft landing.
      When it does burst, there will be questions about the flimsy regulation that led to the bubble and all the gov policies (negative gearing anyone?) that led to it will be reversed. That in turn will leed to a slow recovery.

  • @goprohellfish0922
    @goprohellfish0922 Рік тому +41

    This piece was more about methods to adapt to a unhealthily inflated market rather than addressing the horrendous social damage Australian housing is having on upcoming generations.
    Too many real estate agent opinions sourced which is not really palatable when selecting an ABC story about the market.
    Tbh it feels were are doing everything we can to make investors feel warm and fuzzy while gouging the pockets of the young.
    Next time focus on the data ABC and leave the agent opinions to Domain and the SMH pages.

    • @ironiconions1620
      @ironiconions1620 Рік тому

      Just like the puff pieces about some 21 year old who owns 5 properties which ignore that they received it all from their family. Propaganda to make the older generations feel less guilty about robbing their children and grandchildren by buying more than what they needed and cashing out their properties at outrageous prices to the rich and overseas money launderers.

    • @somewhereelse000
      @somewhereelse000 Рік тому

      Hear, hear! Stop promoting the Ponzi!

  • @michaelhicks8603
    @michaelhicks8603 Рік тому +26

    Fantastic news. Hopefully they go back to 2004 levels. You know, so prices are in line with wages

    • @drpk6514
      @drpk6514 Рік тому +10

      Nice dream

    • @johnny-yi2oi
      @johnny-yi2oi Рік тому +1

      keep dreaming brother, it won't happen. Rates expected to increase once more, before the pauses commence, and the banks start to lobby the RBA to drop rates and get the loan books moving again.

    • @coffermartin77
      @coffermartin77 Рік тому

      😂🤣

    • @michaelhicks8603
      @michaelhicks8603 Рік тому

      @@johnny-yi2oi banks can’t lobby for rate changes. Rate changes are a managment instrument essentially the throttle controls of the economy

  • @mrhypo78
    @mrhypo78 Рік тому +58

    I really like the clip of the sisters struggling with their mortgage, unpacking their brand new leather couch.

    • @chriswatson1698
      @chriswatson1698 Рік тому +10

      Journos always do that. The ABC is often guilty. They will show a woman in a supermarket complaining about food prices and they will make sure that there are chocolate biscuits in her trolley.

    • @samgarrett1951
      @samgarrett1951 Рік тому +1

      ahahah

    • @anguswheaton20
      @anguswheaton20 Рік тому +11

      The lady scared she will have to work full time. To pay off a house. These are tough times.

    • @blightsnyder9830
      @blightsnyder9830 Рік тому +16

      It was an electrically controlled reclining cinema couch, and their mum was paying the loan while they contemplated mortgage prison time. Fortunately the budget still stretched to Botox for the recently unemployed sister.
      A real tragedy unfolding there.

    • @anguswheaton20
      @anguswheaton20 Рік тому +1

      @@diymkearing3205 Absolutely unthinkable! Thoughts and prayers to all concerned.

  • @essie6834
    @essie6834 Рік тому +28

    In the intro she said it's getting harder for people to buy a house with rising interest rates, even though prices are falling. The next sentence she says 'but it's not all doom and gloom, with a pickup expected in the second half of this year'. So a rise is house prices in the second half is meant for be good for people trying to buy a house? Sounds like the ABC is trying to spruik the property market.

    • @Vidler13
      @Vidler13 Рік тому

      It IS harder. Prices might’ve dropped 10-12% but mortgage repayments have doubled. So it’s slightly easier to buy it, but your monthly commitment is double what it was 2 years ago.
      So yes: it’s more unaffordable

    • @awesome6697
      @awesome6697 Рік тому

      They are it's blatant

  • @GreenDistantStar
    @GreenDistantStar Рік тому +19

    The agent wants bidding to begin at $1.5m and minutes later he's down to $900K. He says not to be be concerned about what the market is doing. I'd be very concerned if I was the vendor, and mostly about the agent's knowledge of the market. Real estate agents, selling products and adding zero value to the transaction, and thinking they're gun salespeople during booms. It's been this way since ever.

  • @Polyphemus.
    @Polyphemus. Рік тому +32

    I love that most economists think a correction is only about 2-3%. Houses need to be half the price they are today. Then you can call it a correction.

    • @dodohateswater
      @dodohateswater Рік тому

      @michellesm26 usually the land is worth more than the house 🤔 Live in a good area?

    • @mouse1442000
      @mouse1442000 Рік тому +2

      @@dodohateswater We bought a standard size block of land not even 2 years ago in a suburb in the Hunter region for $230k. It is now worth almost $400K according to the Valuer General NSW. So you can't even say it is because you 'live in a good area'... Even properties a long way from city/town centres are rocketing up (likely because they are so cheap, people who are able with work are moving here).

    • @crystllclr3743
      @crystllclr3743 Рік тому

      Yeah my house went up 300k in 3 years. Its a seaside town and all houses are selling for holiday rentals. I know its not worth that much, its a joke and also i had to go in person to all 5 real estates and threaten them to stop sending me mail asking me to sell or ringing me. It was truly beyond a joke. One was the real estate that sold me the house not even two years earlier.

    • @crystllclr3743
      @crystllclr3743 Рік тому +2

      @@mouse1442000 i struck gold. Double house block. 2 storey 5 bedrooms with ocean views for 390k two and a half years ago. Divorce settlement. The guy sold low to screw his ex out of money hahaha.

  • @dumdumbrown4225
    @dumdumbrown4225 Рік тому +14

    Finally a reporter and a channel that aren’t scared of the popping of Australia’s stupid property market may the universe bless us all and burst this stupid obsession with property …it’s too late for me though - like many skilled Aussies, I’m moving overseas this year for better pay and lower taxes - life’s too good to fritter away in Oz

    • @leonagahan9539
      @leonagahan9539 Рік тому +3

      It's starting to look like a phenomenally good option - I know Japan needs a work force, AND have a surplus of abandoned housing, particularly traditional, begging to be renovated, and boy oh boy doesn't 100 - 200k for a multiple bedroom home with yard, brought and renovated, sound both amazing and achievable. Who cares if some things are more expensive when houses with renos are a 5th (or 10th if I'm really smart) of the average cost of a house as is here. Either that or we look at way out bush, with generators, satellite internet, etc.

    • @dumdumbrown4225
      @dumdumbrown4225 Рік тому +1

      @@leonagahan9539 - you should certainly consider the option to move to Japan - I’m a big fan of many things Japanese!!

  • @joesphcu8975
    @joesphcu8975 Рік тому +105

    This was well detailed and put together. Using your recommendations, I have narrowed my choices down to Stocks, Real Estate and cryptocurrencies. Can't seem to find the most appropriate one out of the three. I would also want to know the least time intensive option because I'm usually very busy.

    • @alexyoung3126
      @alexyoung3126 Рік тому +4

      Why not at least two of them? Given the present economy, you should never forget to diversify. Do not put all your eggs in one basket. As one who has been into Real Estates for as long as I can remember, I made my first million earlier this year from stocks alone (got the assistance of a pro because I also have time constraints). I also experiment with a couple of other things. Hard to imagine that I had initially refused to try out new possibilities.

    • @checkforme234
      @checkforme234 Рік тому +1

      @@alexyoung3126 I have also been into stock market for sometime now and though I won't say I have lost a fortune, I have squandered quite a lot... You mentioned using Financial Advisor, if its not a problem. do you mind telling who you used one or recommending a good one? I could definitely use the help of one right now... I look forward to you

    • @lawerencemiller9720
      @lawerencemiller9720 Рік тому +4

      Funny enough, I can honestly relate. I don't know if I am permitted to go into details here, but mine is "EILEEN RUTH SPARKS" and you could look him up . I'm not so sure he takes on new people right now, i doubt she works with non residents, but you could try

    • @stephaniestella213
      @stephaniestella213 Рік тому +1

      @@lawerencemiller9720 I did check her out, I see why she's booked up, her creds/resumé is topnotch. I booked a consultation with her regardless.

    • @kimyoung8414
      @kimyoung8414 Рік тому +2

      This right here is the second time I am coming across this name in a week. Came to my workplace for a program and it was lit. found nothing funny bout her accent though

  • @joebloggs6131
    @joebloggs6131 Рік тому +32

    Non-discretionary spending UP into the TEENS (14-16%) Food Fuel Utilities etc does not bode well for RBA rates in 2023. To avoid the risk of spooking the housing market, they moved too slow on rates in 2022 and will need further increases in 2023 to avoid a full scale recession. Real Estate has no conscience, continually spruiking an irresponsible level of indebtedness in order to provide commissions.

    • @williamcrossan9333
      @williamcrossan9333 Рік тому +1

      The RBA may be focused on property prices. They still have the cash rate less than half the inflation rate.

    • @anthonyderosa7757
      @anthonyderosa7757 Рік тому +3

      Increasing interest rates aims to reduce inflation not prevent recession. It actually makes recession more likely by slowing the economy. Not saying that means they shouldn't do it but you seemed to suggest that they were Increasing interest rates to prevent recession when it is sort of the opposite.

  • @rickute1458
    @rickute1458 Рік тому +9

    sadly the house price correction will never happen as we all know, during the royal commission into the banks revealed that all houses in Australia are over valued by 60% too many people have heavily invested in these houses and apartments ( including the rich and powerful ) and if these people were to loose money from their properties, there would be hell to pay.

  • @revbharvey5046
    @revbharvey5046 Рік тому +18

    "First home buyers have left the market" 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣No. First home buyers have been pushed out of the market.

    • @nickyfurlano8531
      @nickyfurlano8531 Рік тому +1

      Bernanke's interest rate suppression plus the Chnese gave the first time buyers a one two pucnh in the kisser. Locked out of the market forever.

  • @zoekenny3619
    @zoekenny3619 Рік тому +16

    Why does EVERY real estate report 'feature' Eliza Owen from CoreLogic saying the most obvious things again and again. Aren't there any other 'experts' out there on this issue?

    • @johnny-yi2oi
      @johnny-yi2oi Рік тому +4

      You are bang on Zoe. Eliza Owen is an analyst. No expert on property by any means.

    • @brettsharp5074
      @brettsharp5074 Рік тому

      They’re scared of allowing anyone independent and realistic with real world facts and data to be in the media’s spotlight. The RE industry is an immoral and unethical entity.

    • @bruceevennett955
      @bruceevennett955 Рік тому +3

      Core logic supplies data to the realestate industry and have an interest in seeing the realestate industry thrive. It could be argued that they are no independent

    • @michaelrobinson6435
      @michaelrobinson6435 Рік тому +1

      Try Youe Tube Channel "Walk The World"

    • @johnny-yi2oi
      @johnny-yi2oi Рік тому +2

      @@michaelrobinson6435 Martin North is the housing perm-bear. Always looking at things with a view of pessimism.

  • @paulsz6194
    @paulsz6194 Рік тому +9

    At 11:48 TIP OF THE DAY : "If you want to buy, you have to bid" ...Gee, thanks. Who would have thought?? 🤔

  • @Bjtn8
    @Bjtn8 Рік тому +16

    What happened to serious journalism? This is just interviews of sales people telling you to buy.

    • @scorp2011hd
      @scorp2011hd Рік тому

      ABC is becoming even more pathetic 🙄

  • @Invest4Cashflow
    @Invest4Cashflow Рік тому +2

    They won’t because inflation is too high . Materials to built homes is 140% higher than 2021

  • @williamcrossan9333
    @williamcrossan9333 Рік тому +17

    Has anyone thought about the idea, that an essential human need becoming more affordable, is actually a good thing?

  • @johnoneill1011
    @johnoneill1011 Рік тому +15

    Gotta love when experts are asked a "Why" question, they answer more like politicians with glib responses about what is happening without the deep insight a true expert would have into why, perhaps because they simply don't know.

    • @louisfaust5957
      @louisfaust5957 Рік тому +3

      These real estate agents and brokers most often are minimally trained and have no idea why the shift in real estate exists. These entrepreneurs only exist to sell, using any means to make that "money" , regardless of the peril people are placed in. The gentleman claiming to put these punters at risk seems more like a con man that a real estate "agent".

  • @jdoe120
    @jdoe120 Рік тому +15

    My protein powder went from $65 to $150…. And it’s still going… good luck everyone

  • @biopsiesbeanieboos55
    @biopsiesbeanieboos55 Рік тому +16

    What goes up mostly comes down, unless it reaches escape velocity in which case it may just stay in orbit.

  • @tameandhigginsareliars
    @tameandhigginsareliars Рік тому +28

    Real Estate is overpriced in Australia all of the politicians own multiple properties. The politicians want prices to rise, they also want rents to rise because it benefits them personally.

    • @Battleneter
      @Battleneter Рік тому +2

      not all but its something like 70%

    • @scorp2011hd
      @scorp2011hd Рік тому +1

      @@Battleneter yeah right 😂😂

    • @Battleneter
      @Battleneter Рік тому +1

      @@scorp2011hd No seriously around that figure, was reported on only a week or two ago.

    • @tameandhigginsareliars
      @tameandhigginsareliars Рік тому +1

      @@Battleneter It is the major reason why they keep passing legislation that causes rents to rise. There is so much vacant land where they could easily build more affordable housing.

    • @emmaharris4398
      @emmaharris4398 Рік тому +1

      @@tameandhigginsareliars Then why aren’t we on the streets protesting for land release? Are we all that uneducated? Serious question.

  • @jaytee7642
    @jaytee7642 Рік тому +8

    US fed raising rates heading towards 6%, RBA won't be far behind otherwise AUD will crash, bond market collapse and cause more inflation

    • @johnoneill1011
      @johnoneill1011 Рік тому

      Bring it on! Self funded retirees with zero debt look forward to 6% term deposits. But why stop there? If rates rise far enough, the Government will have to prop up defaulting mortgagees. This will force them to stop spending $billions on wasteful ideological (woke) ideas (like waiving FBT for EV novated leases and subsidising renewables) or lose Australia's AAA credit rating.

  • @josephj6521
    @josephj6521 Рік тому +2

    High house prices are bad for the economy. It drains more money into real estate and loans rather than the rest of the economy. As interest rates increase to normal levels (interest rates are still too low) property prices will fall and it’ll be better for the economy.
    We cannot have higher interest rates and higher prices. Won’t work. I’m an owner and don’t like these silly high prices.

  • @officerdoofy9804
    @officerdoofy9804 Рік тому +6

    Long gone is the Australian dream of owning your own home. While it is possible it certainly isn't a joyful experience it is stressful and flows through to stress in living expenses.

  • @andrewlu4301
    @andrewlu4301 Рік тому +4

    They were really trying to spruik up a dead cat, lol.

  • @stevencrawford6503
    @stevencrawford6503 Рік тому +7

    Asked recently about a $541k house and land package only to have them say that was "last year's prices and it is now $650k", which is way over the First Home Owner Grant's limit. And even with the grant, the stamp duty is still double the grant anyway (because the First Home Owner Grant doesn't remove the stamp duty in South Australia like in other states).

    • @ooooolooooo
      @ooooolooooo Рік тому

      Don't wait. The money you save will never beat the increase in price. With immigration open now, prices will go up. Rather buying than paying rent as rent is same as mortgage payment anyway

  • @nelsondesilva3916
    @nelsondesilva3916 Рік тому +5

    Started off as a spruik for the real estate industry then went sad at the end, really sad. Sorry for the first home buyers, those trapped in negative equity even though there were plenty of warning signs such is the desire to get off renting, can't really blame them. But I really feel sorry for the renters, let's face it being in your forties and share housing, that's were in want to be in your forties!

  • @philipc2208
    @philipc2208 Рік тому +10

    I’m off to live in gran alacant in Spain before 50…Beautiful townhouses for 130 thousand euros, beautiful culture and handy for the rest of Europe. How Australia property is priced I’ll never understand. Not participating thanks!

    • @paulsz6194
      @paulsz6194 Рік тому +2

      Alacant, or Alicante ? Which part of Spain is this in? How are are you from a capital city, and what access to the health system do you have, as a non-citizen?

  • @oldfartrick
    @oldfartrick Рік тому +7

    Needs another 15 to 20% correction

  • @jackdhillic7400
    @jackdhillic7400 Рік тому +14

    Something is "unaffordable" when its price is too high. Property prices are set by supply (low in Australia) and demand (high). Governments are intent on limiting supply while inflating demand.

    • @michaelhicks8603
      @michaelhicks8603 Рік тому +1

      The lnp is yes. Labor then has to deal with the situation caused by liberals, very delicately. Becuase they have to somehow increase supply, while also trying to avoid collapsing the price as that would have devistating consequences for the wider economy. Basicly this is a cat and mouse/cause and effect political game where by whenever the lnp are in government they make every possible stride to inflate prices and reduce supply as possible for their developer mates, and then when the public is outraged, labor has to come into government and deal with this while also being abused by the media and property owners for daring to raise rates to slow and cool things down, while also reducing prices which negatively impact people abusing negative gearing, and older people enjoying gigantic equities from from cheap property decades ago, to fund lifestyles that they are non property owners could only dream of.

    • @scorp2011hd
      @scorp2011hd Рік тому

      @@blakejohnson3864 yeah exactly 👍

    • @paulsz6194
      @paulsz6194 Рік тому

      People need to start looking into regional areas ( like Newcastle or Wollongong ) , especially immigrants.

    • @nickyfurlano8531
      @nickyfurlano8531 Рік тому +1

      @@blakejohnson3864 Canada has much more land and much higher prices in 2/3 of our country by population.

    • @AUThePunisher
      @AUThePunisher Рік тому

      @@nickyfurlano8531 currently suffering a downturn, with mortage holders having to sell their investment leveraged properties.

  • @bravosierra2447
    @bravosierra2447 Рік тому +3

    My suburb alone has risen 30% percent, it’s just crazy. I’ve seen young families being out bid & the look on their faces is so sad.

  • @tommyj6481
    @tommyj6481 Рік тому +3

    House prices falling - dramatic music comes on. But there is hope and future for Australian families, the prices will continue rising next year - happy music on!
    Amazing how people don't see this bubble!

  • @agiopetro
    @agiopetro Рік тому +6

    I am an Australian born in Sydney Earlwood. The housing prices from fiscal and corruption of banks and Gold Visa to foreigners brought prices to a bubble. Negative tax incentives and banks loaning increase prices up to 300% in 2 decades with wages and purchasing power not rising. When housing prices drop we Aussies living abroad will return !

    • @parkerbohnn
      @parkerbohnn Рік тому +1

      I wish more people knew the obvious.

  • @colconn57
    @colconn57 Рік тому +5

    Why do you care If you make money on your house if it's where you live? All you want is for it not to drop in value too much.

  • @amilaperera1
    @amilaperera1 Рік тому

    Very informative documentary. Thanks

  • @markyburgs
    @markyburgs Рік тому +7

    so inventory is doen 30%, prices are still falling and people are finding it hard to meet the deposit levels? ummmm and we think magically things are going to be back to normal in 6 months? the agents just worked harder than they have ever done for a sale in trying to tell Australia that everything is going to be ok....

  • @noramaddy4409
    @noramaddy4409 Рік тому +3

    There are plenty of affordable homes in Europe with modern transport, with top family/work practices and leisure infrastructure. Why buy a moulding dump, an uninsurable home or off the plan that is never finished and if is, is condemned due to shoddy building in Australia and spend your life paying it off??? Return home and make a better social impact on your life, most of you have family in Europe to return to. This report was superficial marketing-like and was promoted towards sellers rather than showing any empathy towards young Australian buyers. All show and no address of what is needed to change in Australian building and property laws. I guess this isn`t a serious issue in Australia.

  • @elisabethhamilton1048
    @elisabethhamilton1048 Рік тому +5

    With the current problem around the world today I think it's best everyone invest more in digital asset than Saving in banks, anyone you can manage don't live a life with no investment . Just my thoughts

    • @annienolen8175
      @annienolen8175 Рік тому

      Everybody is concerned about the market going down but refusing to take advantage of it. The best decision I ever made was to investing regardless of the market conditions. I made over 100k. USD with an capital of 5k.USD within 3 months. Trust me guys the market is still very much profitable

  • @JJ-hg5gb
    @JJ-hg5gb Рік тому +5

    Q3 has 216bn mortgage becoming variable rate loan. Real chaos has not even started yet. It will drop like we never experienced for the last decades. There is no asset that always goes up.

  • @bencubus1814
    @bencubus1814 Рік тому +10

    Nice title implying that the market WILL find a bottom in 2023... smh

  • @tommyj6481
    @tommyj6481 Рік тому +6

    We are amid a huge bubble, hopefully this will not burst. The unwanted consequence of too much debt and rising interest rates are increasing rents...very unfortunate situation for many...

    • @KoreyByrne
      @KoreyByrne Рік тому +6

      Hopefully it does burst needs to crash badly to get back to where is should be less then half the price of where we are

    • @shanerogers9386
      @shanerogers9386 Рік тому

      These fake home prices need to have the biggest crash in history. Otherwise millions of people and your kids won’t ever have a home.

    • @shanerogers9386
      @shanerogers9386 Рік тому

      @@Garden-offgrid if scumbags keep hoarding homes while regular people and families are robbed of their prosperity the US will likely become a much more dangerous place to be. Looks at the surging homeless population as a direct bi product of what’s going on.
      People that wish for this fake market to continue deserve to suffer. And they will

    • @parkerbohnn
      @parkerbohnn Рік тому +2

      Rents fall when prices fall. What did they teach you in school? Never in history have rents not fallen when home prices fell.

    • @tommyj6481
      @tommyj6481 Рік тому

      @@parkerbohnn it's true in most cases, but rents are also a function of supply and demand. Currently we have a double whammy of higher interest rates which put pressure on landlords through their mortgages and very high demand in every major city.

  • @davidbrayshaw3529
    @davidbrayshaw3529 Рік тому +14

    Finally, the ABC has produced content that goes head-to-head with nine's "A Current Affair".
    Well done! Just the way I want my thirty cents a day spent. Added points for the free promotions thrown in.

  • @mrsuds9924
    @mrsuds9924 Рік тому +12

    They're describing a dumpster fire in terms of the pretty colors the flames are making. More rises without wage increase is criminal and negligent.

  • @Keep_calm_and_slave_on
    @Keep_calm_and_slave_on Рік тому +5

    Some one is going to get the sack for leaving the comments on!

  • @2001lextalionis
    @2001lextalionis Рік тому +11

    What kind of person buys a million dollar home with a 2 year fixed and a float after that ? seriously...

    • @joebloggs6131
      @joebloggs6131 Рік тому

      One who likes to boast and has real FOMO

    • @justinmolsal5613
      @justinmolsal5613 Рік тому +1

      Many dummy FOMOers

    • @bruceevennett955
      @bruceevennett955 Рік тому +3

      Someone on $300k pa

    • @paulsz6194
      @paulsz6194 Рік тому +1

      Most lenders won’t give you more than a 2year fixed term, as anything beyond that is too "uncertain " for the lenders too. But certainly borrowers should have factored in at least a 1.5% increase to their variable rate, once they come off their fixed term.
      Borrowers should be saving that extra money they are keeping whilst on their fixed term, in order plough back into their loan once they get back on avariable rate...

    • @joebloggs6131
      @joebloggs6131 Рік тому

      @@paulsz6194
      Yeah right, like that's ever going to happen! I might do that, and you might do that, but to the regular borrower any "savings" by reducing expenditure means they can buy other stuff - like retail goods, and boost that inflation figure even higher 😅

  • @CR-pr4sd
    @CR-pr4sd Рік тому +4

    Lol blaming the RBA for interest rates going up 2 years before you were expecting them to go up. So your plan was to buy the most expensive thing you will ever buy in your life but sell in 2 years before interest rates were going to go up??? And don't tell me you were going to save to create a buffer in that timeframe, just stop lying...

    • @sexyfacenation
      @sexyfacenation Рік тому +1

      2 years is a lot of time to win the lotto mate

    • @CR-pr4sd
      @CR-pr4sd Рік тому +1

      @@sexyfacenation haha, the best financial strategy!

    • @sexyfacenation
      @sexyfacenation Рік тому

      @@CR-pr4sd someone has to win it. Simple maths.

  • @abrighterday508
    @abrighterday508 Рік тому +16

    How can interest rates come down when they haven't finished going up..This is likely to last year's because the inflation genie is out of the bottle and we have a different set of goal posts..also there's no more money printing and it's time to pay the Piper

    • @louisfaust5957
      @louisfaust5957 Рік тому +2

      Agree, money printing lies at the problem issue whisking all of us into inflation. My opinion: the push for digital currency will complicate and serve to alleviate the economy into a worse status.

    • @awesome6697
      @awesome6697 Рік тому

      I wouldn't bet on it - they will end up printing more money and suppressing rates if they need to. They aren't really tackling inflation ... just being seen to make a half hearted attempt to fullfill their mandate ... its about as far from a free market as you can get!

  • @punk46664
    @punk46664 Рік тому +3

    No one can realistically buy near the beach in central Sydney, this is so off the mark.
    How about Parramatta, Ipswich or Coburg for your first house?

    • @johnowens5342
      @johnowens5342 Рік тому

      Literally every person that lives there proves your statement wrong mate.

    • @punk46664
      @punk46664 Рік тому +1

      @@johnowens5342 context, Cpt Obvious

  • @darnellcapriccioso
    @darnellcapriccioso Рік тому +3

    Inflation can have a significant impact on individuals and their cost of living. As a result, it can cause negative market sentiment. It is important for individuals and businesses to find ways to navigate and potentially mitigate the effects of inflation on their finances. The current economic climate, including underperformance of financial markets due to fear of inflation, has led to a decrease in the value of my portfolio. I would appreciate any recommendations on how to potentially increase returns during this market downturn.

    • @tatianastarcic
      @tatianastarcic Рік тому +3

      It is recommended to seek the assistance of a financial advisor or broker to diversify your investment portfolio through the inclusion of commodities, inflation-indexed bonds, and stocks of financially stable companies, rather than relying solely on growth stocks with uncertain future earnings.

    • @darnellcapriccioso
      @darnellcapriccioso Рік тому +3

      @Craig Daniels magnificent! can you please share more info on the coach that guides you? really could save me much

    • @maiadazz
      @maiadazz Рік тому +3

      @Craig Daniels She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran an online search on her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.

    • @richardhudson1243
      @richardhudson1243 Рік тому +2

      @craigdaniels5089 I curiously searched KERI LYNN MAY on the web, and I'm super impressed with her qualifications, such experience is highly needed personally. thanks for sharing.

  • @martinquarrell6972
    @martinquarrell6972 Рік тому +5

    Better start building them properly then and charge what they are really worth.
    Instead of throwing up badly built dwellings at an overinflated price.But the realestate industry won’t like that will they? Apartments anybody?…

  • @bref5532
    @bref5532 Рік тому +5

    Nothing here we didn't already know. How about some solution based answers to home affordability and social housing. Most OECD countries manage this, why can't we.

  • @joebullwinkle5099
    @joebullwinkle5099 Рік тому +5

    Just remember, the loaded questions that the reporter asks are just an invitation for these realestate spruikers to peddle their own interests as agents only get paid when a home sells, so they are always advising people to lower their expectations so that there is more chance for them to collect their commission.

  • @ruicarson4018
    @ruicarson4018 Рік тому +5

    Drop drop drop prices more drops needed on housing and renting should go down...down...down

  • @andreaal8403
    @andreaal8403 Рік тому +1

    Seriously!!!
    13:17 - 13:51 Tips from an estate agent for sellers
    13:52 - 14:13 Tips from an estate agent for buyers
    Asking real estate agents for tips! what a journalist

  • @rexstout8177
    @rexstout8177 Рік тому +3

    I'm confused by the premise these journalists are working under.
    Are they of the impression that property prices are SUPPOSED to rise and keep rising forever?
    Where did this insane extremist idea come from, and why are they presenting it as though it's the default assumption people have? let alone a feature of a functional economy - because it really isn't. Quite the opposite in fact.
    Real estate prices aren't supposed to rise ad infinitum any more than hydro electric prices are supposed to - something has gone wrong if that's the case.

  • @randalmontgomery4595
    @randalmontgomery4595 Рік тому +1

    Am in Toronto. Everything they said here about Oz applies 100% to Toronto, even the prices are the same.

    • @louisfaust5957
      @louisfaust5957 Рік тому

      The United States also falls into this debacle of inflated prices where many real estate agencies are capatalizing.

    • @ifnottoday
      @ifnottoday Рік тому

      The international buyers are also the same

  • @ruicarson4018
    @ruicarson4018 Рік тому +5

    Dont buy now prices should go down

  • @hermanmbugua7097
    @hermanmbugua7097 Рік тому

    Very useful insight.

  • @bobpayne5931
    @bobpayne5931 Рік тому +2

    Yet since 2017 houses have increased 100 percent , so whats a 10 percent drop over last 8 months

  • @robertholland7558
    @robertholland7558 Рік тому +9

    What is really needed is more housing to be build, immediately. For every immigrant we need to build a minimum of two housing stock. And the red/green tape cost must be eliminated.

    • @chriswatson1698
      @chriswatson1698 Рік тому

      We need to get immigration back to the 50,000 per year that it was during the Whitlam government. The average permanent intake in the second half of the last century was 70,000 per year.

    • @robertholland7558
      @robertholland7558 Рік тому

      @@chriswatson1698 we need a new government system. The last three year was THE opportunity to catch up on housing stock but we were told lies about labour and products shortages. Utter nonsense. Shipping was backed up from here to China, but we refused to process those because, which now has clearly been demonstrated, an insignificant pesky virus! One that only affected a few percent of the population and only had a serious impact on a even smaller percentage of those that were elderly and/or had serious precondition ailment, yet we shut the nation, the world down for this!

    • @robcig
      @robcig Рік тому

      Lack of building materials and quality tradesmen is a major issue.

    • @robertholland7558
      @robertholland7558 Рік тому

      @@robcig it is artificially created.

  • @johnlambert2300
    @johnlambert2300 Рік тому +2

    16:50 - "Only took out the mortgage because of promises from the RBA that rates wouldn't rise until 2024." Clearly had WAY too much trust in government and were unfamiliar with the RBA's terrible track record with forecasts. Also, 2024 is now less than a year away! Hardly the kind of longer-term forecast one should make a decision on when considering your most significant life purchase.

    • @sexyfacenation
      @sexyfacenation Рік тому +2

      Doesn't take much to realise if rates are super low, they can really only go up.
      Wether now or a few years , if that puts you over the edge it was always going to happen.

  • @CaspianPrince12
    @CaspianPrince12 Рік тому +4

    Capitalism has torn apart this nation - property should not be viewed as an investment but as a home, it should not be a financial commodity that can be leveraged. There should be caps on how many properties you can own (max 2) and you will see my generation finally able to have the same opportunities as past generations of Australians. Unfortunately, most people I meet are either too stupid or greedy to desire this.
    Previous generation paid 3x their income for a home, my generation need to pay between 6-10x their income for a home (depending on the home and job you have - could even be higher). Australia is a very crony capitalist nation, in our ABS Census 2021 we had learend that 1 million out of 11 million dwellings (there are some variables, which may effect using the data in the context reliably - however, even if it were 500,000 unoccupied dwellings is still 5% of the market, which is significant) are unoccupied, basically developers and investors manipulating the market price and buying up all available lots to resell for more. I am totally sick of the fact we do not have a real progressive social democractic party that would actually fix this crisis. The boomers will never vote for the ALP, but the ALP will not fix the errors in the market and regulate it because they are worried they would lose a vote they never had. Australia, once a beautiful nation, destroyed by greed which has led to our climate change crisis and economic crisis. Good luck to all thinking people in Australia, we are definetly a minority (and dying breed).
    I cannot imagine a bright future for Australia anymore. If you have been following politics for over a decade (and are a economic and social progressive), you know we are to dumb and ignorant to be proactive to a crisis. The time we can be reactive and deal with it will be too late, as it usually goes in Australia.
    Have fun with your crony capitalism and investments you hoarding capitalist pigs! Apologies, to all other thinking Australians who recognise the increasing wealth inequality and wage slavery.

  • @michaelredfearn9125
    @michaelredfearn9125 Рік тому +6

    Mortgage stress sits at around 30% of households according to Martin north’s data and this is on the increase. Typical real estate industry economists with their partiality on the situation

  • @Brazoree
    @Brazoree Рік тому +4

    That music transition though 29:30 😂

  • @chrisk1903
    @chrisk1903 Рік тому +6

    The RBA needs to get rates above the 15% inflation rate to stop inflation...if not, we turn into hyperinflation. Check what happened in the 70s and 80s. So either way, the RBA is screwed

    • @MS-vl3im
      @MS-vl3im Рік тому +2

      hey Boomer, you do realised that the current inflation is caused mostly by supply-side issues, raising the interest rate will only lower demand so it won't do much as you can tell from the recent inflation data.

    • @packageism
      @packageism Рік тому

      @@MS-vl3im and we can presume that you trust the governments inflation data. Haha

    • @MS-vl3im
      @MS-vl3im Рік тому

      @@packageism We can presume that you don't have a better source. Haha

  • @detectiveofmoneypolitics
    @detectiveofmoneypolitics Рік тому

    Economic investigator Frank G Melbourne Australia 🇦🇺 is still watching this very informative content cheers Frank

  • @dingocastellino8740
    @dingocastellino8740 Рік тому +3

    You just let the agents dictate the narrative of your entire story. Might as well watch A Current Affair if the ABC's quality of journalism is this pathetic.

  • @d00mch1ld
    @d00mch1ld Рік тому +6

    11:20, real estate agent: “it is a good time to buy.”…..

  • @commonsensethecynosure1639
    @commonsensethecynosure1639 Рік тому +2

    I am I do not know confused. What happens in America happens in Canada. What happens in America happens in the UK. What happens in America happens in Australia. What happens in America happens in New Zealand. Is something missing? Are the Anglos living in one country with five different names?

  • @evilbob05
    @evilbob05 Рік тому +2

    I dont understand. Why is it that housing affordability isnt getting better when house values go down?

    • @johnoneill1011
      @johnoneill1011 Рік тому +1

      Because a 10% house price decline does not help much if your interest bill triples this year. In the early years of a mortgage, interest accounts for almost all of your "repayments". Almost no-one's wages are rising by enough after tax to deal readily with that reality.

  • @rocrfella
    @rocrfella Рік тому +1

    real estate agents commenting on the housing market is contradicting! ask an economist for that matter!

  • @baldevsandhu7948
    @baldevsandhu7948 Рік тому

    What about the income of people who are buying these overprice houses are they able to pay these heavy mortgages with their income.

  • @michaelrobinson6435
    @michaelrobinson6435 Рік тому +4

    They didn't mention the demand produced by people who have had their rents increased and therefore go looking for a new rental. This adds to demand but their current rental doesn't go on the market until after the move so that supply is not forth coming. This would push up cheaper rents which is in effect increase the average rent in any area. I would like to know how rents have moved across price levels. The more people that are forced to move to cheaper rents the more rental volume will become available at more expensive levels, and those prices will come down. When that happens people will see more value at a slightly higher price point and move up which will increase availablity at lower rates. Expect to see this early next year as most leases are for 12 months.

    • @leonagahan9539
      @leonagahan9539 Рік тому

      Ah yes, it's the renter's fault rent is high, because their landlord increased rent, so they increase demand which forces landlords to increase rent!
      The mental gymnastics for that justification to be rational in your mind is phenomenal 😂😂😂😂
      You own a rental, hey?

    • @michaelrobinson6435
      @michaelrobinson6435 Рік тому

      @@leonagahan9539 Firstly I rent and I am not blaming anyone, it is basic supply/demand economics.
      If anyone is to blame, it is the banks, RBA and government for creating an environment for skyrockerting prices with low interest rates which are not sustainable.
      As far as being rational, maybe you could learn a bit about a concept before criticising.

  • @Corpsecreate
    @Corpsecreate Рік тому

    What possible argument is there to say that extremely high cost of shelter is a GOOD thing? Falling property prices is one of the best things Australia has ever seen.

  • @G1th
    @G1th Рік тому +2

    If this crisis needs 5-10 years to resolve, then the time to start was 5-10 years ago. Who is responsible for failing to do so, and how are we going to extract the damages from them to repay all of the renters and mortgage-holders the wealth that has been already stolen and continues to be stolen whilst the crisis continues?
    Results are due now and the idiots that got us into this mess should be footing the bill in the interim, not working Australians.

  • @wizeoldfart26
    @wizeoldfart26 Рік тому +2

    Real Estate agents expect to make two commissions on each property they sell. The original sale and again when the buyer is forced to sell due to rising interest rates. Then the cycle starts again with a new buyer.

  • @hughmangus2324
    @hughmangus2324 Рік тому +7

    Welcome to the Australian dream, hot potato pass it on... the burden of getting any roof over your head is only going to get worst and out of reach for most, everyone wants to pass on the burden and create a dream at the expense of others.. real estate agents, finance people and government policies have rigged the system to favour the fortunate few, while the ordinary hard working people on decent money still can't afford the dream...

  • @terrylast7034
    @terrylast7034 Рік тому +1

    Who cares how much the market falls or how low the interest rates go if it's all still too expensive? I'm almost seventy years old and I'm cashing in my modest super (thankyou Paul Keating and compulsory super) to owner build a 9.6m x7.2m colour bond roof, hardyplank exterior on a cement slab house for one (plus garage) on a vacant block that I luckly snipped for $135k 100kms from Melb. After a couple of financial setbacks it took me years to face up to being left behind and that being born here and raising a family here counted for naught. If you wish to do a public service for those "left behind" then along with the reported medium price also report the minimum price and the yearly income needed to service that mortage. Yes a bucket of ice but it may shake some out of their left-behind-numbness and have them re-invent their future elsewhere before their only option is a caravan park. As for the city winners; they'll just have to mow their own lawns and pour their own coffee. T

  • @KenOath1234
    @KenOath1234 Рік тому +2

    i feel sorry for the twin sisters - hope they get through!

  • @Singlesix6
    @Singlesix6 3 місяці тому

    It's July of 2024. Did that housing downturn ever show up?

  • @awesome6697
    @awesome6697 Рік тому +1

    This is real estate industry marketing ... goes up 40 % no problem isn't it fantastic! Goes down 4 % and it's the end of the world ! Funny thing is it only went up because of money printing and zero interest rates ... the result was inflation and higher interest rates !

  • @davelim2573
    @davelim2573 Рік тому

    it will fall and go up in long term. Singapore prices are going up even with interest rates. Lots of rich chinese and foreigners. A few cases they buy whole apartment blocks at 200 mil each. Dont expect it to go down half not possible. Australia is in a good position and country that foreigners want to move to.

  • @michael506
    @michael506 Рік тому +3

    Nice to see foreign buyers are not a factor in Australia, just as here in Canada 😉…remember kids, always a good time to buy…

    • @joebloggs6131
      @joebloggs6131 Рік тому +1

      Immigration is restarting here right now, and China has been targeting Australia the most out of other capitalist democracies due to the proximity to home and other family members.

  • @davidaustrian9455
    @davidaustrian9455 Рік тому +2

    House prices have not dropped in Victoria. In some areas like Gippsland they have gone up. Interest rate rises and inflation
    Have had no consequence at all yet.

  • @XinhLe
    @XinhLe Рік тому

    Waiting for Aug - DEC 2023

  • @peterdawson8180
    @peterdawson8180 Рік тому +1

    Prices go up and down, always have.

  • @robertholland7558
    @robertholland7558 Рік тому +1

    The real estate is artificially inflated. After all a percentage of half a million is better then the same percentage on $50K!

  • @FirstLightAdv
    @FirstLightAdv Рік тому +1

    It's astounding how people can easily borrow $1mio mortgage like nothing

    • @urmommabear5monthsago
      @urmommabear5monthsago Рік тому

      Right? We’re not allowed to do that in the US after the housing crisis in 2008. No bank would carry that loan now, they aren’t allowed.

  • @brianeno608
    @brianeno608 Рік тому

    Housing shouldn't be in high demand, it's in high necessity.

  • @BigSaur
    @BigSaur Рік тому +2

    Only industry experts with skin in the game were interviewed with respect to where house prices are going. That's not balanced journalism. "ABC New In-depth" 🙄

    • @Battleneter
      @Battleneter Рік тому +1

      Somewhere around 70% of politician are property investors, I can't imagine how this was allowed to get out of hand

  • @sheek3222
    @sheek3222 Рік тому +1

    So long as the population grows faster than housing it will NEVER correct.

  • @Sangas79
    @Sangas79 Рік тому

    House price cant recover.. for a while... Unless interest rate is like less then 2 percent like before. It's now 4 to 6 percent...

  • @RamonRodriguez-df8hr
    @RamonRodriguez-df8hr Рік тому +2

    It's going to decline and decline over years. Wait and see. What you knew before is well and truly gone for good.

    • @thedownunderverse
      @thedownunderverse Рік тому

      There's an upper-middle class in China big enough to swallow the real-estate market in every Western city (particularly the English Speaking ones) a hundred times. That's exactly what they're doing. Interest rate rises won't do a thing but the moment they are prevented from buying (and/or are forced to sell) the house of cards will collapse.

  • @ascendanthunter
    @ascendanthunter Рік тому +1

    What is with the dodgey promotion of these predatory vultures.

  • @dmjc
    @dmjc Рік тому +2

    I love how the government thinks running migration flat out is a good idea in a rental crisis. Want riots? Keep going with policies that increase homelessness. Once the employed working class is on the street watch out.

  • @_wallnutz_
    @_wallnutz_ Рік тому

    I bought my house without reserve bank currency and put a sale price of gifted. Perfectly legal under the constitution.
    I don't know who owns the reserve bank and so why would I use that money.