The Numbers: A shock poll and a PC wave

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  • Опубліковано 1 гру 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 70

  • @MrBufordWilson
    @MrBufordWilson 3 дні тому +9

    Dang. You guys are very busy. Discussing the polls all the time. God bless you.

  • @Plax123
    @Plax123 3 дні тому +19

    I get way more spam calls than texts. The odds of a phone poll reaching me is basically zero. I never answer.

    • @SylviusTheMad
      @SylviusTheMad 3 дні тому +2

      I answered a phone poll this fall because I was expecting a different call, but I do routinely respond to online panel polls.

    • @CaiRobinson
      @CaiRobinson 3 дні тому +1

      @@SylviusTheMad I never respond to them, regardless of the medium

    • @kingfisher1638
      @kingfisher1638 2 дні тому +1

      I almost question the need for a phone number.

  • @sc00bs63
    @sc00bs63 День тому +4

    when I get my $250 check, I will donate it to the Conservative Party of Canada.

    • @peterhessels2903
      @peterhessels2903 4 години тому

      That is, could be an excellent strategy to really, really piss of the illiberals.
      I can imagine how deflating it would be for Justinidiot to find out that his tax trick went directly to his opposition.

  • @One_Guy
    @One_Guy 3 дні тому +24

    Canadians need an Election now! the impact and harm that has been caused to Canadians is monumental!

  • @pin65371
    @pin65371 2 дні тому +4

    Anyone that is clicking a link from a text should most likely also be redirected to some cyber security websites so they never do that again.

  • @distinguishedflyer
    @distinguishedflyer 3 дні тому +3

    Regarding Sackville - Cobequid, individual candidates still count for a lot in Nova Scotia: the former PC member, who had previously been a popular HRM councillor, didn’t run again; before he won that seat in a by-election five years ago, it had been NDP since 1984 (gained, funnily enough, from the Tories amid their big provincewide win).
    I liked the quiz at the end (and, being a hopeless political history geek, got them all).
    One thing: although you noted that the Ontario legislature shrank in 1999, you didn’t mention that the BC house grew in 2009, resulting in both the Grits & New Democrats picking up MLAs.

  • @SylviusTheMad
    @SylviusTheMad 3 дні тому +3

    Ralph Klein in 2001 would have been an interesting option in the quiz, given that he increased his caucus size in 1997, and then again in 2001.

  • @crvdutch1536
    @crvdutch1536 2 дні тому +3

    Ya fellas. ain’t, clicking that link either.

  • @kimcarnegi2773
    @kimcarnegi2773 3 дні тому +8

    In British Columbia there might be 3 seats tops if there lucky the conservatives are going to be very hugh in British Columbia, this is probably going to the biggest in history there saying for federal government

    • @Jarsia
      @Jarsia 3 дні тому +2

      In total number of seats perhaps, but in John A Macdonald's last 3 elections every seat went to either Conservative or Liberal-Conservative MPs, all under Macdonald. Also in 1911 all 7 seats went conservative, and all 13 went to the centre right Unionist party in 1917. Conservatives also got 18 of the 22 seats in 1958, the other 4 going to the party that preceded the NDP. Also between the fall of the PC party and the rise of Harper's CPC, upward of 75% of BC's seats went to the reform/alliance party. BC has been fairly conservative for a lot of it's history.
      But yes, even Harper and Mulroney weren't able to get the level of support in the province that Poilievre seems to have. Hopefully that holds on election day.

    • @kimcarnegi2773
      @kimcarnegi2773 2 дні тому

      @@Jarsia oh yes l live in Abbotsford an yes it's all conservatives in Chilliwack an Abbotsford alot in Vancouver an lower mainland is going to be most conservatives will win Jagmeet an juilian also is going to loose his seat as well but liberals loose the most so ya its going to be big is what the news is traveling. I don't get the liberals as most will loose over a hundred seats in the next election an yes the back bencher sure know they are going to loose so why continue l don't get it there finished

  • @dinadesveaux8748
    @dinadesveaux8748 2 дні тому +1

    Regarding NDP numbers tanking outside HRM, this was easy to forecast. Relatives who live in a rural riding came to visit Halifax in the weeks leading up the election and said rural Nova Scotians were irate Claudia Chender hadn't left HRM and that this was being interpreted outside Halifax as not giving a flying f**k about them. I used to be an NDP supporter, but I grew up in a rural Canada. Despite being a Haligonian, this has soured my view and saw me giving my support to the Liberals federally for that reason.

  • @kimcarnegi2773
    @kimcarnegi2773 3 дні тому +9

    By-election in Cloverdale/Langley bc dec16

    • @dorfone
      @dorfone 2 дні тому +9

      It will be yet another loss for the Trudeau Liberals. You can count on it.

    • @kimcarnegi2773
      @kimcarnegi2773 2 дні тому

      @dorfone yes sir an yes l am so glad we need a leader that can run Canada Trudeau isxway to weak an yes he's almost destroyed Canada an this carbon taxs has to go now it's not working here in Canada an 6es we see that already an steven guilbioble should be going 5o jail again maybe back in Calgary where he belongs he fail an we are ending it once Pierre Poillievre is an yes get our pipelines an LNG PLANTS back on track so we start making money an more jobs back an yes fracting an oil rigs back working again an yes get more pipelines built again an sawmills open up again in Northern British Columbia an Alberta an Mines too. An yes get our trucking back on track as well we need our jobs back this liberal party has to go now get them out

    • @watching-the-watchers55
      @watching-the-watchers55 2 дні тому +3

      @@dorfone Truth!

  • @peachyland1253
    @peachyland1253 2 дні тому +4

    I was sent a text and it had no link just reply 1 or 2 or 3 for which party you support

  • @unclemop4611
    @unclemop4611 День тому

    The PEI Greens and PEI Liberals seem awfully slow choosing new permanent leaders. Does anyone know what the deal is with this?

  • @kerrylounds6108
    @kerrylounds6108 2 дні тому +1

    I replied to it. Was never a link. Just asked to press numbers beside the party’s I would likely vote for. I did that and the next text was postal code and that was it

  • @thesaltysergeant4103
    @thesaltysergeant4103 День тому

    Really hoping that the Conservatives will take a majority throughout the provice!! I forsee the electuion numbers are the same.

  • @Tarathiel123
    @Tarathiel123 3 дні тому +2

    I get a ton of spam calls that I screen on Android, but I see almost none of the spam texts I get until I go look and see its absolutely full of spam. I'm not clicking on a text message link EVER. I'm a millennial...those that are clicking it are probably boomers+

    • @joycekunzelman7435
      @joycekunzelman7435 3 дні тому +2

      Nope. Boomer here - unless I know the number I don't click. And I never give my number to any stores on online. Get +++ spam.

  • @sc00bs63
    @sc00bs63 День тому

    yes, but 1% of 1 million texts us 10000 ...

  • @MrHmjg
    @MrHmjg 3 дні тому +5

    the ndp are government in bc/man; official opp. in alb,ont,ns,sask.

    • @jamesnick6786
      @jamesnick6786 2 дні тому +2

      So…?

    • @kekwayblaze3176
      @kekwayblaze3176 2 дні тому +2

      @@jamesnick6786 So the NDP are strong in provincial politics. Not even conservatives could tie the provincial NDP parties to the federal NDP successfully, no matter how hard they tried.

  • @kimcarnegi2773
    @kimcarnegi2773 3 дні тому +1

    No recounts its done they said its final it was said yesterday guys

  • @lucabu9838
    @lucabu9838 3 дні тому +2

    Eric the ghost!

  • @cherylroy977
    @cherylroy977 3 дні тому +4

    With the polls showing so low for the Liberals and the opposition along with most Canadians are not able to bring down such an incompetent government then what makes our government any different than any other authoritarian dictorial regime. We all know that this is the intention of Trudeau’s .
    Me o
    L

    • @Tarathiel123
      @Tarathiel123 3 дні тому

      What a ridiculous take. That's not how Parliament works. They are elected and if the opposition wants to trigger an election they can, or they can work together. This is how our democracy works. We don't govern off of polling, thank god.

    • @Jarsia
      @Jarsia 3 дні тому

      I suppose the fact there WILL be an election and the liberals WILL lose next year. But yes, clinging to power, even by "legitimate" means is very much in the spirit of authoritarianism, and points to serious flaws in the system.
      We need recall legislation to boot MP's from office.

    • @kekwayblaze3176
      @kekwayblaze3176 2 дні тому

      Elections is how you change governments in Canada. Not complaining. Or do you think governments in Canada should fall due to complaining instead of elections? Isn't the definition of authoritarian dictatorial regimes of a few that everybody should abide by? The CPC have a 3-0 record of losing elections they should have won against Justin Trudeau and always find a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory when running against Justin Trudeau and the last three times it was Muslim bashing aka Harper's proposed Report A Muslim hotline and anti-abortion CPC candidates giving the Liberals a weapon to use against them. Abortion raised it's head again with Scheer and again with O'Toole. Now all the pro-choice CPC MP's are gone, having been replaced by pro-life CPC MP's. Ask yourself how the Liberals will use that next year? Introduce laws to protect abortion rights that the CPC will vote against is the most likely scenario and there you go the CPC will fall back into the trap that they always fall into when dealing with Justin Trudeau.

  • @ceer9141
    @ceer9141 3 дні тому +8

    Ppl always get sick of everything. They were sick of Harper, they'll be sick of Poilievre eventually.

    • @Jarsia
      @Jarsia 3 дні тому +15

      yeah but this is much different. Harper and the CPC both had approval in the low 30s by the 2015 election(CPC got 32%), and we'd had a year more of Harpers govt. Sure people may have been ready for a change in 2015, but the country full on hates Trudeau in 2024.

    • @kimcarnegi2773
      @kimcarnegi2773 3 дні тому

      No it's going to be a very long time before the liberals are back it could be 20 yrs before you see the liberals back it's because of the scandals an corruption so yes an NDP once Jagmeet is done there seats may not have enough to have a party it could be only have 9 to 11 seats there perdiction is, it's not good for NDP an that's because Jagmeet lied to unions workers an yes they have crossed over to the conservatives as well. The election will be not in October it won't happen it's a possibility of the non conference vote is coming very shortly an yes the liberals have 20 that are not with liberals because they know there seats are gone in the next election. So ya you need to pay more attention an Jagmeet has said he will call it after his pension

    • @phoenixrising4995
      @phoenixrising4995 3 дні тому +9

      @@Jarsia Exactly, under Harper we were tired and under Trudeau we are fighting for our lives.

    • @joycekunzelman7435
      @joycekunzelman7435 3 дні тому +1

      @@Jarsia Amazing what $millions can do to sway people's opinions.

    • @marycrawford9428
      @marycrawford9428 2 дні тому +2

      But in ten years, will we even remember how rough our lives were in 2024

  • @nickd4310
    @nickd4310 2 дні тому +4

    Once the campaign begins, it's hard to see Poilievre keeping his support, since he lacks charisma. Harper and Doug Ford also lacked charisma, but at least they didn't look as bad.

    • @kekwayblaze3176
      @kekwayblaze3176 2 дні тому

      He rubs people the wrong way. Like a pious know it all who will tell you what you should think and do.
      "Only I Can Save Canada!" is a message that won't stand up to scrutiny considering every authoritarian in history used that same message to gain power.

    • @Caper1144
      @Caper1144 2 дні тому

      Wrong. Poilievre had charisma, just liberals HATE him. He will win an OVERWHELMING majority. Trudeau will be severely punished. Then the liberals will move back to the center and be competitive the next election after that