Lecture #1: Stochastic process and Markov Chain Model | Transition Probability Matrix (TPM)

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  • Опубліковано 29 лис 2024
  • For Book: See the link amzn.to/2NirzXT
    This video describes the basic concept and terms for the Stochastic process and Markov Chain Model. The Transition Probability Matrix is also described with Illustrative examples.
    #OptimizationProbStat
    Other videos ‪@DrHarishGarg‬
    Lecture 1: Markov Chain & TPM: • Lecture #1: Stochastic...
    Lecture 2: Problems using TPM Part 1: • Lecture #2: Solved Pro...
    Lecture 3: Problems using TPM Part 2: • Lecture #3: Solved Pro...
    Lecture 4: Problems using TPM Part 3: • Lecture #4: Solved Exa...
    Lecture 5: Stationary Probabilities: • Lecture #5: Stationary...
    Lecture 6: Chapman-Kolmogorov Equation & Theorem: • Chapman-Kolmogorov Equ...

КОМЕНТАРІ • 170

  • @Vaibhav_Hanbar
    @Vaibhav_Hanbar Рік тому +15

    03:58 Understanding stochastic process and Markov chain model with transition probability matrix
    07:56 Stochastic process and Markov Chain Model
    11:54 Stochastic processes are not constant but change over time, represented by finite or countable infinite values.
    15:52 Markov chain depends only on the previous state, not on the remaining ones.
    19:50 Transition Probability Matrix (TPM) is a square matrix where each row represents past positions and each column represents present positions.
    23:48 Stochastic process and Markov Chain Model explained with Transition Probability Matrix (TPM)
    27:46 Construction of Transition Probability Matrix (TPM)
    31:40 Understanding Transition Probability Matrix (TPM) in Stochastic process and Markov Chain Model
    Crafted by Merlin AI.

  • @_blessed_mess_
    @_blessed_mess_ 2 місяці тому +2

    I was so worried about this part of the syllabus until I found this video. The topic is well explained that caters perfectly to a student's understanding.Thank you so much!!!

  • @monirulhaque8830
    @monirulhaque8830 3 роки тому +32

    The best lectures for stochastic process on youtube.

  • @khadijanafees7426
    @khadijanafees7426 4 роки тому +48

    I must say that after watching alot of videos I finally found your channel. every single step is cleared now. Thanks

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +11

      My pleasure....
      Keep watching other videos too., definitely you will learn more.
      Happy learning

  • @mustafamarvat863
    @mustafamarvat863 Рік тому +5

    These are the most difficult concepts to understand in the whole of probability theory but your style of teaching make it very easy to grasp it.

  • @SanjayVerma-mf4ch
    @SanjayVerma-mf4ch 3 роки тому +14

    Giving relevant example is most beautiful part of your lectures 👍

  • @mukundachoudhury5785
    @mukundachoudhury5785 2 роки тому +5

    In one line Great Teaching skill.100% understable.. Really appreciate your teaching skill.

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  2 роки тому +2

      Its my pleasure. .. Keep watching other parts too

  • @StudyStuff-pk7gv
    @StudyStuff-pk7gv 7 місяців тому +1

    This video is truly a life saver.
    I have an exam tomorrow, and this video explained me every basic thing about markov chain, process, and tpm, in such an illustrative way.
    THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR UPLOADING IT!

  • @fouziakhan3356
    @fouziakhan3356 4 роки тому +4

    Wonderful Video.
    I have seen all your videos and I would say the only Dr. on UA-cam with Zero Dislikes !!

  • @Brrriana
    @Brrriana Рік тому +2

    thank u! the breakdown of the topic is much easier to understand especially when the examples are well explained in a simple manner and is not complicated

  • @TeenaMalhotra
    @TeenaMalhotra 3 роки тому +2

    finally i am at the right channel for clearing my Concepts. Thanks @Dr.HarshGarg

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      Thanks.... Keep sharing too with others

  • @taruvarmittal1484
    @taruvarmittal1484 4 роки тому +11

    Finally something went into my head for this topic ! Thanks a lot for this video !

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  4 роки тому +3

      You can watch other lectures also... You get 100% result....

  • @sssskhan3
    @sssskhan3 4 роки тому +3

    Clearly explained the concept by professor!!

  • @VARUNKUMAR-Up
    @VARUNKUMAR-Up 3 роки тому +10

    jo IIT ke professor nhi samjh pae aap kr diye🙏

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +3

      Thanks for watching.... You may watch other videos for easy learning

  • @yorgundemokrat4615
    @yorgundemokrat4615 Рік тому +1

    amazing content for my operation reserach class thank you kindly much respect and love
    thank you sir

  • @gauravrai7791
    @gauravrai7791 3 роки тому +1

    Sir u r very good teacher...mai shocked ho gaya aapka content dekhkar...ki itna accha padhane wale log bhi hai utube ar

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +2

      Thanks .... Kindly subscribe and watchjng other videos too. You will enjoy and definitely learn.
      Happy learning

    • @gauravrai7791
      @gauravrai7791 3 роки тому

      @@DrHarishGarg sir maine Allahabad University se maths, stats lekar graduation kiya hai aur i.s.s ki prepration kar raha hoo econometrics ke lecture chaiye mujhe...please uspar banaiye...maine aapke chanel already subscribe kar liya hai aur friends se bhi karwa raha hoo 😊🌸🙏🏻

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +1

      Dear topic please

    • @gauravrai7791
      @gauravrai7791 3 роки тому

      @@DrHarishGargSir mujhe to basic se padhna hai...economatrics ka abc bhi nahi pata...par ab maine padhna suru kar diya hai🙏🏻.

  • @AdityaSingh-ql9ke
    @AdityaSingh-ql9ke 2 роки тому +4

    great lectures sir...plz continue to help students...as college teachers are not interseted in teachinf...espeacially in govt. college

  • @dr.sudanjha9505
    @dr.sudanjha9505 4 роки тому +3

    Excellent exemplifying examples. Keep going Dr. Garg

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  4 роки тому

      So nice of you. Keep watching and sharing other videos also

  • @nick20_s
    @nick20_s 3 роки тому +5

    Thank you so much sir.... I'm grateful to you extreme from my heart. I've always considered stochastic as a difficult paper but this lecture really helped me.🙏🙏

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      Its my pleasure.... Whole probability and statistics subject is very easy... Watch others videos also for the simplest way to learn.

  • @girishaa904
    @girishaa904 2 місяці тому

    very clear explanation. Thank you.

  • @khushbootiwari6160
    @khushbootiwari6160 3 роки тому +3

    Thank you so much sir ....
    After so much of confusion finally its clear how can i make TPM.
    Would love to watch the further series by you😊

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +3

      My pleasure..... Keep watching other video too to learn more concept and topics

  • @cjs8037
    @cjs8037 4 роки тому +2

    Really it is very easy to understand, thank you so much ji 🙏🙏🙏

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  4 роки тому +1

      Many thanks.. Kindly share with others. Spreading education

    • @cjs8037
      @cjs8037 4 роки тому

      @@DrHarishGarg sure sir

  • @ClaudiaOkoree
    @ClaudiaOkoree Рік тому

    Dr Harish, thank you so much. I'm definitely subscribing

  • @georgepefanis9278
    @georgepefanis9278 3 роки тому +2

    Continue the great work. Thanks for the help🙏

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +1

      My pleasure.... Check and watch the other beautiful lecture related to Markov Chain as Lecture #2, Lecture #3, Lecture #4 and Lecture #5

  • @RanjeetSingh-ul2rc
    @RanjeetSingh-ul2rc 3 роки тому +1

    Thank from bottom of my heart

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      Its my pleasure..... You may watch lectures 2-5 also related to Markov Chain... I guarantee that you again learn full this topic

  • @veenarajshekhar8145
    @veenarajshekhar8145 Рік тому

    Excellent explanation about the subject... Thank you sir

  • @unnatishukla8513
    @unnatishukla8513 Рік тому

    awesome collection of exampleas, thankyou sir, great video

  • @amit4Bihar
    @amit4Bihar Рік тому

    Indian profs are on next level. All other lectures were fluffs and extremely boring. You nailed it for students.

  • @celebrities01
    @celebrities01 2 роки тому +1

    Thank you so much,Sir..❤❤
    Very clear explanation and you made it easy to understand.

  • @kneebrain9298
    @kneebrain9298 10 місяців тому

    very helpful! thank you so much teacher ❤

  • @michaelmarino4229
    @michaelmarino4229 3 роки тому

    Nice explanation from Sri Lanka

  • @learning4156
    @learning4156 3 роки тому +1

    Very well explained professor

  • @rutujajadhav9407
    @rutujajadhav9407 Рік тому

    Tomorrow will be my exam... Thank you sir for helping me... Everything you clear 🥰🥰

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  Рік тому

      That's my pleasure... Keep sharing with other students as well... Happy learning g and best of luck

  • @hoytvolker3
    @hoytvolker3 3 роки тому +1

    Thanks so much Dr harish

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +1

      My pleasure ... Keep watching and learning
      Happy learning

  • @utkarshdubey6812
    @utkarshdubey6812 2 місяці тому

    You way of explaining is really very osam sir🙏🙏🙏🙏 sir please come up with some gate statistics course for 2025

  • @shraddhaprabhakar4365
    @shraddhaprabhakar4365 3 роки тому +1

    Thank you so much sir, really very helpful

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +1

      Many thanks for watching ... Watch other lectures on markov Chain.. You will definitely enjoy and learn alot from the series of 5 lectures on Markov chain

    • @shraddhaprabhakar4365
      @shraddhaprabhakar4365 3 роки тому

      @@DrHarishGarg yes sir,I'm watching the next part right now and I'm sure I will get good marks in these topics

  • @TeenaMalhotra
    @TeenaMalhotra 3 роки тому +1

    Your way of Explaining the Concept is Wonderfull. this content helped me a Lot...Many time THANKYOU for making such a brilliant lecture

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      Thanks...for watching... Keep watching other video too... I am sure you will enjoy and learn alot

  • @aps2412
    @aps2412 3 роки тому +2

    Thank you for the superb content. Can you please also create videos on Martingales theory. It is so tough to understand now. Thanks

  • @vaishaliranjan4862
    @vaishaliranjan4862 2 роки тому

    Thank you so much for giving us the example of ladies using a lipstick. Tht was easiest part to understand overall concept of tpm

  • @himangshuborah2889
    @himangshuborah2889 Рік тому

    Thank you sir..for helping us...

  • @ashaynaik7540
    @ashaynaik7540 11 місяців тому

    sir you are the best ❤

  • @User_defined-577
    @User_defined-577 10 місяців тому

    Great explanation sir ❤‍🔥

  • @iamusmanshabbir142
    @iamusmanshabbir142 8 місяців тому

    29:40 kya idhr apne glt nh llihka ? loss ki jgaha gain ana tha or gain ki jgah loss ana tha... Between your teaching method was wonderful Hats off for your efforts !!

  • @vasantkumarmishra3537
    @vasantkumarmishra3537 Місяць тому

    Thnx a lot for such nice videos ,I requeste 2 u that please start lecture series on csir+ gate syllabus

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  Місяць тому

      Already uploaded.... Check the seperate playlist available... More than 250 videos uploaded on CSIR and GATe exams

  • @Ankit-vq9bh
    @Ankit-vq9bh 20 днів тому

    awesome video.

  • @sai_teja.
    @sai_teja. 3 роки тому +1

    Sir, very well explained tqsm

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      Thanks ... Kindly share with other too ...

    • @sai_teja.
      @sai_teja. 3 роки тому

      Sure sir👍👍👍

  • @amanifadiagarroudji8976
    @amanifadiagarroudji8976 2 роки тому

    Thank you for this lesson can you do a videos about brownien motion?

  • @abrarajazwani2942
    @abrarajazwani2942 2 роки тому +2

    This is so nice and delicately explained. MashaAllah, keep the good work up!

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  2 роки тому +1

      Thanks dear... I hope you watched other videos too and share as well with others

  • @komalzehra3380
    @komalzehra3380 4 роки тому +1

    Great lectures, plz upload more lectures

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  4 роки тому +1

      You can found the others lectures from my channel. All are available.

    • @komalzehra3380
      @komalzehra3380 4 роки тому

      @@DrHarishGarg ok thanku so much
      Ur lectures are awesome and easy to understand

  • @jairamsinghal1424
    @jairamsinghal1424 4 роки тому +1

    Excellent lecture

  • @nishakatakval2998
    @nishakatakval2998 3 роки тому +1

    Well explained sir 👌👌👌👌

  • @NABARUNCHAKRABORTY-gu2lr
    @NABARUNCHAKRABORTY-gu2lr 10 місяців тому

    Sir if you can make a video on Brownian motion before GATE 2024...it will be very helpful for us

  • @LokeshBabuTeku
    @LokeshBabuTeku Місяць тому

    nice explanation

  • @arify.1601
    @arify.1601 3 роки тому +1

    thanks for lecture.

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      My pleasure.... You may watch lecture #2-#5 for more interesting one to learn Markov process

  • @kalyben285
    @kalyben285 Рік тому

    Dr. Harish Garg when are you releasing videos on Discrete Time Markov Chain(DTCM) and Continuous Time Markov Chain (CTMC)😢

  • @cjs8037
    @cjs8037 4 роки тому +1

    Sir can you tell me the question of that TPM example which you have given sir, because I don't know about that values, that how it may came...
    That 6x6 matrix values I need sir

    • @fredrickkimani8002
      @fredrickkimani8002 3 роки тому

      I think the values where given, u just check from the transition diagram

  • @poojaprasad5653
    @poojaprasad5653 3 роки тому

    vry nice explanation sir....thanks a
    lot

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      Thanks .... My pleasure. Keep watching other content too and share with others.

  • @ritanshitrivedi4278
    @ritanshitrivedi4278 3 роки тому +1

    Thank you so much sir🙏

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +1

      Its my pleasure.... Watch other parts also on Markov chain... I am sure that you will learn full on the Markov chain topic.... Share with others also

    • @sai_teja.
      @sai_teja. 3 роки тому

      😄

  • @sourabhdhiman5189
    @sourabhdhiman5189 3 роки тому +1

    Thanks a lot sir...

  • @madhavramanathan7555
    @madhavramanathan7555 3 роки тому

    Thanks a lot, this really helped me

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      My pleasure .. Thanks for watching... Keep watching other parts too for full topic

  • @ramanuiet
    @ramanuiet 4 роки тому

    Great explanation sir

  • @rohanbiswas3388
    @rohanbiswas3388 4 роки тому

    Thank you very much Sir. These 5 videos of Stochastic Process helped me a lot. Need another help - Can you or anybody suggest me a good book of Stochastic Process? From where, I can solve some problems myself. Thank you in advance.

  • @knowntounknowns5135
    @knowntounknowns5135 4 роки тому +1

    Sir, i have a doubt. Is P(x_3=2,x_2=3,x_1=3,x_0=2) and
    P( x_3=2/x_2=3,x_1=3,x_0=2)
    and Px_3=2/x_2=3) all are same?

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  4 роки тому +1

      If it belong to Markov chain, then only 2nd and 3rd are same.
      While in terms of conditional probability, all are different.

  • @lathabathyala1
    @lathabathyala1 3 роки тому

    Sir,I have 1 problem on marcov transition probability matrix can you please solve??
    Can I share that problem??

  • @Dmdusjsnwn123
    @Dmdusjsnwn123 2 роки тому

    Class above mean recurrence time ??

  • @vinitakumari5394
    @vinitakumari5394 3 роки тому

    Very well explained tq sir 🙏

  • @gourabchanda8328
    @gourabchanda8328 4 роки тому

    Sir Thanks a lot for the video series its really helpful . I have one question how we are finding the probability in the TPM . for example in cola example it's 90% that they will not switch to other brand but I want to know how we are getting 90% in real life problems??. Thank you

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      Thanks.
      Its a priori probability.... If it is not given then you can compute it based on distribution function (concept of random variable).

  • @sangitpradhan6818
    @sangitpradhan6818 3 роки тому

    the sum of the coloumn should be 1 right? or can we assume any?

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому +1

      For TPM, sum of each row is 1, column sum may or may not be 1

  • @Dmdusjsnwn123
    @Dmdusjsnwn123 2 роки тому

    Sir also take a class above positive recurrent and null recurrent

  • @abhishekgaurav6928
    @abhishekgaurav6928 2 роки тому

    Nice explanation🙏

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  Рік тому

      Thanks a lot... Keep watching and sharing with others too

  • @abhishekshukla2974
    @abhishekshukla2974 10 місяців тому

    Very helpfull.

  • @kheramathshub4348
    @kheramathshub4348 3 роки тому

    Thanku sir.... Hats of u

  • @nitishgupta169
    @nitishgupta169 2 роки тому

    Sir , please upload Continuous time Markovian Chain , Limting Distributions, Birth Death process , Queueing Model M/M/1, M/M/c

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  2 роки тому +1

      Limiting Distribution is already available... See Steady State Probability for Limiting Probability (lecture 5)

    • @nitishgupta169
      @nitishgupta169 2 роки тому

      @@DrHarishGarg found it sir🙂

  • @sivakrishnadasari7470
    @sivakrishnadasari7470 4 роки тому

    Excellent Sir...Can you please share the PPT

  • @gauravsuthar7699
    @gauravsuthar7699 Рік тому

    Nice one

  • @srishtiasthana2838
    @srishtiasthana2838 2 роки тому

    sir ur vedio is very nice but the needs to be more loud.

  • @archanawaghmare1730
    @archanawaghmare1730 3 роки тому +1

    Sir which of the books use

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      For Book: See the link amzn.to/2NirzXT

  • @aa-gc3fg
    @aa-gc3fg 3 роки тому

    Thank you

  • @abhijeetkumarmaurya4697
    @abhijeetkumarmaurya4697 2 роки тому

    Sir please suggest a book for this topic...

  • @LetzzRockk
    @LetzzRockk Рік тому

    Wowowow

  • @DD-bl8ql
    @DD-bl8ql Рік тому

    Thanks

  • @sameennoor9678
    @sameennoor9678 Рік тому

    I just say best of all

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  Рік тому

      Thanks and My pleasure... Keep sharing with other students too so that they will also learn with easiest manner... Happy learning...

  • @Aamirphysics
    @Aamirphysics 2 роки тому

    Plz deliver full playlist plz

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  2 роки тому

      See the full videos on Markov Chain from below playlist
      Probability & Statistics: ua-cam.com/play/PLO-6jspot8ALyrofp0fWp0fOb19NcFS4V.html

  • @chinmayarao2464
    @chinmayarao2464 3 роки тому

    Thank you sir

  • @devyaninitturkar8662
    @devyaninitturkar8662 4 роки тому

    Excellent

  • @karthikaikannan4766
    @karthikaikannan4766 3 роки тому

    Very useful

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      Many thanks ... Keep watching other parts also to learn full Markov chain concept

  • @AbhishekPatel-fs3bt
    @AbhishekPatel-fs3bt 2 роки тому

    awesome❤

  • @AmitKumar-pt7hb
    @AmitKumar-pt7hb 2 роки тому

    sir can i mail u my assignment question of markov chain..can't do it?

  • @Songvbm
    @Songvbm 2 роки тому

    how do you get the probabilities at 15:06 ?

  • @trusted_owners
    @trusted_owners 2 роки тому

    hats off

  • @sivaranjani2504
    @sivaranjani2504 3 роки тому

    Pls will u give me a 5*5 matrix examples in tpm

    • @DrHarishGarg
      @DrHarishGarg  3 роки тому

      6x6 matrix is already given in the lecture...

  • @rahulpatle2006
    @rahulpatle2006 6 днів тому

    👌 👍

  • @ShivamGupta-cx3hy
    @ShivamGupta-cx3hy 4 роки тому

    😄😄😄😄😄 Thank You Sir

  • @y0ake77
    @y0ake77 5 місяців тому

    11:35

  • @khadijanafees7426
    @khadijanafees7426 4 роки тому +2

    i want to ask some queries related to HMM can you plz send me your email?

  • @LetzzRockk
    @LetzzRockk Рік тому

    😮😮😮

  • @moueed66
    @moueed66 2 роки тому

    i love you

  • @HarshitJain-cy7nd
    @HarshitJain-cy7nd 7 місяців тому +1

    bakwaaaas awaz hi nhi aa rhi hai aapki

  • @ImFeRiOTV
    @ImFeRiOTV 2 роки тому

    Bal tu

  • @rashminegi8328
    @rashminegi8328 2 роки тому

    Speak hindi please