Jim Rickards: We're Looking At A Global Recession

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  • Опубліковано 15 жов 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 168

  • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
    @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому +18

    Hey everyone! Thanks for watching and providing feedback. I read all of your comments and guest suggestions. Keep them coming, and be sure to subscribe for the latest interviews. Grateful for the support. ☺🙏

  • @akibeekymre4880
    @akibeekymre4880 Рік тому +267

    Biggest lesson i learnt in 2022 in the stock market is that nobody knows what is going to happen next, so practice some humility and follow a strategy with a long term edge.

    • @debstrodovan
      @debstrodovan Рік тому +4

      Nobody knows anything; You need to create your own process, manage risk, and stick to the plan, through thick or thin, While also continuously learning from mistakes and improving.

    • @yvonnejoordan
      @yvonnejoordan Рік тому +3

      Uncertainty... it took me 5 years to stop trying to predict what bout to happen in market based on charts studying, cause you never know. not having a mentor cost me 5 years of pain I learn to go we’re the market is wanting to go and keep it simple with discipline.

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      @tateoften Рік тому +2

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      @jenniferpowell23 Рік тому +1

      @@tateoften Juliet Eve Downey really seems to know her stuff. I found her online-page, read through her resume, educational background, qualifications and it was really impressive. She is a fiduciary who will act in my best interest. So, I booked a session with her.

  • @somejohndoe3004
    @somejohndoe3004 Рік тому +12

    Really like the timestamps in the description, that's always a big plus when there is one. Good work !

  • @gregb2
    @gregb2 Рік тому +15

    I swear Julia manages to get the most diverse group of interviews. Don't know how you do it but hope your channel grows. Its hard work, stick with it and have fun with it. If you feel stress take a small break and refresh. Thanks Julia.

    • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
      @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому +1

      Thank you, Greg. This means a lot. 🙏

    • @gregb2
      @gregb2 Рік тому +2

      @@TheJuliaLaRocheShow I know your name more from you tube, because I do not watch cable media. (haven't for 10 years+). I get most my information from podcasts, direct interviews like this, aggregate news sites, etc. Good for you for branching out!

    • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
      @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому +1

      @@gregb2 🙏🙏🙏 Thank you again! Glad to have you here.

  • @haldriver1378
    @haldriver1378 Рік тому +6

    Great interview, Julia! I have Jim's new book on the way. You couldn't get a better guest than Jim!

  • @paolosburner5880
    @paolosburner5880 Рік тому +7

    Julia this long format stuff is great, you are killing it, hope you get more subs as the channel gets more notice. It’s finally starting to show up in my suggested after watching videos. Thanks for all the hard work, u rock

  • @somejohndoe3004
    @somejohndoe3004 Рік тому +6

    Supply chain issues remind me the famous Carl Sagan quote: "If you wish to make an apple pie from scratch, you must first invent the universe".

  • @pamdemic7848
    @pamdemic7848 Рік тому +6

    Pure gold! Thanks Jim.

  • @mr.ronaldgonzales2300
    @mr.ronaldgonzales2300 Рік тому +13

    When it comes to investment, diversification is key. That is why I have my interests set on key sectors based on performance and projected growth. They range from the EV sector, renewable energy, Tech, and Health.

    • @WilliamReynolds887
      @WilliamReynolds887 Рік тому

      Oh me too!!! I engage in various prolific Investments by compound interest & leveraging and as well as operating with an Investment Professional Mrs. Pamela Kay Weaver So far I've attained returns of over $85K.

    • @rebeccamichaelsono9949
      @rebeccamichaelsono9949 Рік тому

      I'm confused especially in this current situation that's affecting the market, how could y'all earn that?

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      @nancyfrphlich3785 Рік тому

      You know, one thing about this platform (Pamela K Weaver) is her profits are secure,d and over a💯 return on investments

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      @puppy.t2602 Рік тому

      Trading with an expert is the best strategy for both beginners and investors who have little time or no time to monitor their trade

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      @jade-lefebvre5910 Рік тому

      she is legit and still trade with her since I am going to retire in my early 40s. having an expert broker. Mrs. Pamela managing my investments is heartwarming, Because I don't have to worry about a thing, I just sit down and earn profits every weekend

  • @angelarivera7034
    @angelarivera7034 Рік тому +2

    You’re doing a great job, second time I watched, & subscribed! Love the format and informative question style. Thanks!

    • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
      @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому

      Thank you so much, Angela! Really appreciate your kind words. 🙏

  • @dangaines405
    @dangaines405 Рік тому +2

    Great interview Julia!
    And great insights from Jim (as usual). Will be ordering his book as a Christmas 🎁!

  • @twistedbydsign99
    @twistedbydsign99 Рік тому +2

    Fantastic Julia you are doing a great job!

  • @jimuren2388
    @jimuren2388 Рік тому +1

    I love listening to Jim. A great storyteller and great at building a narrative. I've seen him criticized as predicting financial distress too frequently but I don't care.
    In the Econ world you have be Chicken Little to get attention.

  • @paolosburner5880
    @paolosburner5880 Рік тому +1

    Going to drop this video into discords and group chats, this podcast episode and long form channel needs more notice IMO

  • @jklov8590
    @jklov8590 Рік тому +1

    holy shit totally blown away by this man gonna buy that book!

  • @minhajkhaled7
    @minhajkhaled7 Рік тому

    I read the book I must say he did a great job explaining the supply chain to me. I was a small business owner now I explain this to my customers which have a better understanding of why we’re having shortages.

  • @gaetancharbonneau3902
    @gaetancharbonneau3902 Рік тому +1

    Great interview. There is something to learn everytime Jim Rickards is on. However... the end of the world type of predictions ends up getting exhausting at one point. In fact, it makes perfect case of simply holding indexes, since very little gets predicted right.

  • @lrww5673
    @lrww5673 Рік тому +2

    Loved it. Great info. Thanks to both!

  • @pmstff700
    @pmstff700 Рік тому +1

    Best Interview ever I learned so much. Thank you!

  • @SirJamesDTech
    @SirJamesDTech Рік тому +1

    Good interview and great questions.
    I got a lot out of this.

    • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
      @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому +1

      Thank you so much, James! I'm glad you enjoyed it. And I'm also glad to hav e you here. ☺️

  • @alko6420
    @alko6420 Рік тому +1

    A gentleman genius!

  • @Rob_K699
    @Rob_K699 Рік тому +1

    Really good questions, Julia!!

  • @Justajawnie
    @Justajawnie Рік тому +1

    First video I watched from you and I watched every second. It was excellent to hear Jim Rickards outlook. One question I have is why he thinks that a deflationary scenario is impossible to get out of. Once all the bad debt is liquidated wouldnt there be a normalization where the deflationary environment naturally goes away, the same as he mentioned the inflationary environment tends to eat itself after a certain point. I always hear these economic minds mention how bad deflation is, but they never explain why or they resort to doomsday scenarios. I would love to hear more on it.

    • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
      @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому

      Thank you, George. And that's a great question! I'll use it in a future interview with Jim.

  • @atb8660
    @atb8660 Рік тому

    It is important to remember that while people like Jim are worth listening too the global economy is more complex and less predictable then global weather systems. Often people get the right prediction but for the wrong reasons or the wrong outcome but they had really solid reasoning to back it up. I think Jim makes some excellent points but we will see what happens
    I do think that diversification is good take away advice, I like stock and real estate plus 401k cash, high quality whisky.

  • @hkimakh
    @hkimakh Рік тому +1

    This channel is growing fast. Good interview

    • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
      @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому +1

      Hope so! Thank you, Hicham. And please feel free to spread to word. I'm trying to build this from the ground up. ❤️🙏

  • @randolphschreiner4479
    @randolphschreiner4479 Рік тому +1

    Julia, you do a good job. Kudos.

  • @huangdingdong
    @huangdingdong Рік тому

    Just discovered this channel and I think you're doing great! Keep going, a lot of your guests will help it to grow, I appreciate your hard work!

    • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
      @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому

      Thank you so much! Glad you're enjoying the content. And I really appreciate your kind words, Huang. 🙏

  • @steveosmonson6535
    @steveosmonson6535 Рік тому

    W/o devaluing the $ against Au, how would deflation be "turned around" this time?

  • @hkmorhsi
    @hkmorhsi Рік тому

    He was correct on most of his predictions btw. He predicted insanely accurately the interest rates, the 10 yr treasury, the supply chains, the markets thinking of Powell Pivot but didnt, global recessions.

  • @WHAT_KAYN
    @WHAT_KAYN Рік тому +1

    Great job. A lot of good information.

  • @mikefry5704
    @mikefry5704 Рік тому +1

    Great vlog great advice. Enjoy

  • @detectiveofmoneypolitics
    @detectiveofmoneypolitics Рік тому +1

    Still watching Frank G Melbourne Australia 🇦🇺 ❤️ WOW very interesting history as I have been building my history of money and politics on my homegrown UA-cam channel. Great content from Jim Cheers Frank G 👍

    • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
      @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому +1

      Thank you so much! Glad you enjoyed it, Frank!

    • @detectiveofmoneypolitics
      @detectiveofmoneypolitics Рік тому

      @@TheJuliaLaRocheShow Just a window of Frank G age 68 Melbourne Australia Not in finance ! Still run a small business fixing washing mashines for AEG self employed contractor and also run a "Self managed super fund" for myself and my wife.
      And now the "UA-cam Channel" because of the pandemic
      "The Privite Detective" of money ! ! for myself Hell YES ! but not to monetize but share the channel infomation with others .
      learn how to be a better manager of money so on a learning curve.
      You are my future for Both of us ! ! PS only 55 following me but that is 55 more people that can learn to manage money and i am OK with that .
      Cheers Frank G Melbourne Australia

  • @ericknaus4998
    @ericknaus4998 Рік тому +1

    Just got my copy!

  • @fubarbrandon1345
    @fubarbrandon1345 Рік тому +1

    Great interview...thank you!

  • @muskduh
    @muskduh Рік тому +1

    Thanks for the video!

  • @danoneill2846
    @danoneill2846 Рік тому +2

    thanks

  • @MamekwaDonald
    @MamekwaDonald Рік тому +25

    I think this Russia crisis has taught people the importance of multiple streams of income. Unfortunately having a job doesn't mean security rather having different investment is the real deal. Understanding institutional investment is the key to success speculating in the financial Market, When it comes to Crypto, An investment in knowledge pays the best interest and also finding the best strategy that suites you. I make huge returns on my investment since I started trading with Mr Thierry Veilleux, His skill sets are amazing. It is good to work hard but better to work smart. >

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      @MarkyMakes-gl8hj Рік тому

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  • @phatster88
    @phatster88 Рік тому +2

    Sold Out is sold out, because it talks about disruption in the supply chain

  • @enriquelopez7277
    @enriquelopez7277 Рік тому +1

    Then it would be:
    * 10% Gold.
    * 30% cash (to buy stocks in the ruins).
    * 20% Treasury notes (bonds?) for 2 or 5 years,
    * 20% Real Estate (not commercial by now) and
    * 20% invested in Energy stocks (Oil % Gas)
    am I right....or close at least?

  • @steveosmonson6535
    @steveosmonson6535 Рік тому

    Good job!

  • @leinad5243
    @leinad5243 Рік тому +3

    Get Roubinni on....Dr Doom

  • @130bowman
    @130bowman Рік тому

    What about BRICS?

  • @koltoncrane3099
    @koltoncrane3099 Рік тому +3

    That’s interesting. Jim is essentially saying Brazil and India will leave the BRICs. Like sure China isn’t democratic but their neighbors with India and Russia can give them energy. Maybe Jim is right it could go the opposite way with India and Brazil
    Mainly trading with the BRICs and only a little with the west in the future.
    Sure China is genocide and has human rights issues. But look at the U.S. who doesn’t have a leg to stand on. uS reported they killed 500,000 kids in iraq and said it was an acceptable sacrifice. Like Putin is committing war crimes, but people should not be naive. The U.S. committed war crimes in the Middle East. It’s just they control the UN so whatever they say goes. Watch the movie official secrets how a British woman released classified documents or an email how the nsa wanted Englands help to blackmail the UN. She was arrested but the court was dropped cause in court documents would have shown England’s position or policy which was against the war or something and would have opened them up to war crimes cause englands participation or their view was the war was illegal for some reason. It’s a great movie official secrets.

    • @koltoncrane3099
      @koltoncrane3099 Рік тому

      Remember there were no WMD. Like gerald celente says the U.S. overthrew Lybia and iraq cause they wanted to sell oil in gold or euros.

    • @koltoncrane3099
      @koltoncrane3099 Рік тому

      He mentions child labor in the Congo and China supporting that. Like hello. The U.S. doesn’t care either about children working in mines. A cobalt mine wanted to start in Utah and was instantly sued and it never got going. It’s much better from a green US perspective to support child labor in the Congo rather then do the right thing and have mines here.

    • @koltoncrane3099
      @koltoncrane3099 Рік тому +2

      This begs the question why does the U.S. have the right to blow up taiwans chip manufacturing plants if China invaded Taiwan? Are those plants owned by the Taiwanese government or are they private property? If China invades the rich Taiwanese that owns the chip manufacturing plants what are they just going to move to Arizona? It seems the U.S. doesn’t care about taiwan simply just what they produce. If the U.S. cared about taiwan then after WW2 when China was taking over Tibet and expanding in other places the U.S. could have forced china to recognize taiwan as a separate country but they never did. Even though it was the Us that helped China fight Japan. Like a rational person would have thought fighting China after WW2 say 1950 would have been far better then fighting them in 2025. It’s like let’s build china up and then fight them.
      And in countries with democracies or elections over time you can buy your way. Taiwan could vote to join China and then the U.S. literally would be screwed. Haha it’s like the U.S. didn’t do nothing with Hong Kong. It’s weird powers agreed Hong Kong would leave Britain and then I think over 50 years merge back with China. Like why did the U.S. think taiwan needs independence but then let Hong Kong return back to China? Hong Kong has elections and is pretty westernized. A lot of things don’t make sense.

    • @koltoncrane3099
      @koltoncrane3099 Рік тому +2

      He mentions how when he bought a home it actually was good cause real interest was negative.
      A lot of people say bankers were racist back then and discriminated. That was probably true, but imagine being thrown in jail for drugs in the 70s while inflation was raging. When people got out they were way worse off as they got screwed by inflation and didn’t benefit from it. So inflation can be great for those with income that can acquire assets but it sucks for others.
      Jim says this coming deflation and recession can be bad. Well for those with assets yes. But imagine if you’re a millennial and haven’t bought a home yet or were priced out the last two years. Deflation is GOOD for them. There’s winners and losers so it’s not all bad or good.

    • @jimuren2388
      @jimuren2388 Рік тому

      Yeah Trump put huge emphasis on building strong ties with India, Brazil and Israel. The Biden team has dropped that focus. Israel has no where to go but Brazil and especially Saudi have drifted.

  • @henrynielsen4766
    @henrynielsen4766 Рік тому

    Jim 🐐

  • @erikolsen3017
    @erikolsen3017 Рік тому

    Pretty sure I’ve already seen this interview on your channel. True or false?

  • @polcaltieri
    @polcaltieri Рік тому +1

    But Jim how did farmers sell soybeans to Netherlands if EU banned GMO products? It makes no sense.
    I'm still waiting your 2021 transitory inflation.

  • @DmitriVolov
    @DmitriVolov Рік тому +3

    This guy wants to be right at least once during lifetime, like broken watch. He gets old but nothing he predicts becomes true.

  • @nlbooks6614
    @nlbooks6614 Рік тому

    siffius does it itch or burn... hilarious 😂

  • @flavius22
    @flavius22 Рік тому

    Who is left to sell if everyone is bearish? Like too many cooks in the kitchen lol

  • @danielhutchinson6604
    @danielhutchinson6604 Рік тому

    Food is a Supply Chain item, that has lost the ability to question the producers.
    When Farmers grew food to support the People around them,
    we were capable of understanding who was feeding us.
    Now food could easily become Soylint Green,
    and we appear to be helpless to stop the marketing forces from
    feeding us.

  • @ianharley1726
    @ianharley1726 Рік тому +1

    I'm sorry but this is overthrowing to what could be possible. A lot of stuff trading blocks need being to the trading blocks they prefer not to! Minerals, energy, medical, nitrogen etc. Australia avoided recession back in 2008 only because it had coal and iron ore China needed! Not some intelligent planning by its govt. Canada has vast resources of tar oil & shale gas that it sells despite its green agenda! Otherwise it'd be close to bankruptcy. As for Europe it's has been heavily dependent on cheap oil, gas & fertiliser from Russia as well as cereals & grains. Alongside is the manufactured goods from China. Textiles, vehicle parts, metals, uranium, cobalt, lithium, steel products etc etc. 80% of Europe's tomatoes and garlic are from China! Hence the deep recession about to send a shock wave across the whole of Europe that has debts that are out of control. Decoupling from globalisation will take as long as it took to have this global supply chain once Russia and China joined the WTO. 10, 20, 30 years? And a lot of pain along the way in which the replacement energy does not truly exist. Blind men walking down a dark alley at night!

  • @sinOsiris
    @sinOsiris Рік тому

    all about lockdown whether doable/ not
    the critical think is
    ----

  • @sjatkins
    @sjatkins Рік тому

    Blow up the highest density chip plant on earth?? Complete and utter madness and it would set the world back tremendously. It will take 2-5 years to duplicate those plants and get them to full productive capacity. This is a BIG DEAL.

  • @MrDurcon
    @MrDurcon Рік тому

    Allow you the “space”? What language is this?

    • @TheJuliaLaRocheShow
      @TheJuliaLaRocheShow  Рік тому +1

      I've noticed that a lot of hosts and anchors will interrupt a guest before they're finished making their point, and I'm happy to listen for 15 minutes before asking the next question.

  • @jimuren2388
    @jimuren2388 Рік тому +1

    China needs to try non "vaccine" pharmaceuticals. Vitamin D, Zinc supplements for starters.

  • @joycekoch5746
    @joycekoch5746 Рік тому +1

    Jolly Tymes in China right now.

  • @yngvesognen1092
    @yngvesognen1092 Рік тому

    The very old and other vulnreables should be protected, and everybody else get cheap early treatmenet.

  • @carlsitler9071
    @carlsitler9071 Рік тому

    No Jim. Energy is the economy. Without energy, there is no supply chain.

  • @erbterb
    @erbterb Рік тому

    The problem with the depression definition used here, is that it assumes a theoretical growth trajectory. It is similar to saying you can prove vaccine efficiency only if everyone is vaccinated.
    It is a false hypnotic statement, creating a short circuit into the left hemisphere, as described by lennart green in his famous card set.
    There is no more growth, as we are going into the second law of thermodynamics in 2023. We went from an erect oil discovery century, into a limp green energy future. Sometimes it works, sometimes it does not. The menopause of economic phases.

  • @sbain844
    @sbain844 Рік тому

    14:04 Let me tell you what is also coming - MASSIVE budget deficits that the govt will be forced to print money to cover. That doesn't end with deflation!

  • @yngvesognen1092
    @yngvesognen1092 Рік тому +1

    China has problems but is not in decline. The US Empire is in decline after having sqandered many trillions of USD on useless wars. Empires are alwys too costly and collapse eventually.

  • @amineaiffa
    @amineaiffa Рік тому

    You would think after the 5th book people would stop buying this guys literature. It's the same old rehashed material. OH MY GOD... YOU DON'T SAY??? A RECESSION IS COMING???? Damn, I won't believe it until this guy writes book number 78.

  • @nicolasvasquez7531
    @nicolasvasquez7531 Рік тому

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      @philipclarkson5910 Рік тому

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      @liamjones6540 Рік тому

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      @georgeheyden4524 Рік тому

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  • @Ironboots123
    @Ironboots123 Рік тому

    Well let’s get on with it, the recession. Tired of hearing about it 😂

  • @robc8468
    @robc8468 Рік тому

    How does the EU, UK, and China not have an actual depression while the rest of the world has a recession?

    • @dinosgura
      @dinosgura Рік тому

      Eu is going to enter a recession in 2023

  • @jjolla6391
    @jjolla6391 Рік тому

    no discussion about Russia splitting off with China and BRICS+ ?? Russia is the one country that has all the resources

  • @paulgame7098
    @paulgame7098 Рік тому

    Jim has got inflation completely wrong this last year or so.

  • @dahirukabiru672
    @dahirukabiru672 Рік тому +1

    Mrs. Jane is legit and her method works like magic, I keep winning every week with her new strategy.

  • @gregorysagegreene
    @gregorysagegreene Рік тому

    Wow. The only thing that interrupted this energizer bunny, at 14 and a half minutes, was an ad. Sure has got some lungs on him. Is she gonna' get some questions in ... ? Maybe one, then let him rip again. The thread that keeps on pulling, but beware the point that gets lost in the pile of wool on the floor. Smart, insightful guy, but needs someone to conduct that orchestra so not all the instruments play at once.
    Peter Zeihan's thesis on Post WWII Globalization instituted by the U.S. as a security check against Russia fits in neatly here, including Trump seeing the writing on the wall and being ahead of the curve in kicking off it's reversal and unravelling, starting first with China in 2019.
    Again, the 'Bloc' concept seems borrowed from Zeihan, although Peter is much more specific about the distinct geographies and resources dictating what the separate groups are compelled to do post Deglobalization, where the U.S. is it's own fortunate center and becomes the hub to it's own club of Western and Regional friends, while the rest of the World breaks up, regroups into disparate alliances, and deals with the scraps left now that the U.S. won't guarantee global Maritime shipping security nor the ability for these now isolated countries to procure any product or input from anywhere as they had formerly been able to do. It's not just China here that will have to deal, even though that's the mainstay and driver of this reorganization. Countries like Germany will have a big problem too, merely because the U.S. has left the old game. So Peter Zeihan's thesis is much more detailed and comprehensive than anything that Rickards is implying here.
    All that having been said, where Rickards shines as a prodigy is on all things Inflation, Supply (Macro, not GeoPolitical), Demand, the Fed, and Recession. That is his genius, and what I listen to as much as possible whenever he comes out and make these prolonged pronouncements.
    By the way, Zeihan has his Achilles too. He makes statements about Inflation and the Federal Reserve, and about Worker Availability (with respect only to Demography) that either show a lack of understanding of Economics or of Contemporary Contrarian Indicators and Behavioral Reactions by the People to either longstanding or recently External yet Unfavorable macroeconomic structures.
    Funny how we're ironically going back to Gold at the end, with Deflation, when that's what started it all, with Debt, 40 years ago.

  • @gregmijjares3725
    @gregmijjares3725 Рік тому

    Try using the correct word,. Depression and it will be world wide!

  • @SamEbby
    @SamEbby Рік тому

    Dude look like a evil bond character

  • @huna1950
    @huna1950 Рік тому

    Real estate
    🤣🤣Jim’s always right but sometimes 20 years out

  • @scott6612
    @scott6612 Рік тому

    This guys makes sense but don’t buy any of his services as they are spectacular money losers. Every Nov and Dec option expired worthless. His discussions make sense long term but he puts you in options that don’t have enough time. His timing is awful. Good luck!

  • @easterntechartists
    @easterntechartists Рік тому

    what a hypocrite! before all this he was talking of hyperinflation, now deflation. a broken click is better than this guy

  • @dannycai386
    @dannycai386 Рік тому

    this guy knows nothing about geopolitic.

  • @fugly75
    @fugly75 Рік тому

    It's been 10 months, what happened to the recession?? The markets are screaming higher.

  • @arouse6140
    @arouse6140 Рік тому +1

    Thirty comments counted yet 112 entered. Supply chain issue? 😂😂😂