🔮 Semi-Final 2 Running Order Prediction | Eurovision 2024

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  • Опубліковано 26 тра 2024
  • I make an attempted to predict the running order for the 2nd semi-final of Eurovision 2024. It's also a chance for us to discuss the songs and what stands out.
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    Timestamps:
    0:00 Intro
    2:00 1st Half
    6:31 2nd Half
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    Eurovision 2023 Grand Final Analysis: Part 1:
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    Eurovision 2023 Grand Final Analysis: Part 1:
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КОМЕНТАРІ • 151

  • @Snirucher
    @Snirucher 2 місяці тому +75

    Tommy... playing with magnets in the kitchen and not getting the fridge involved? I mean... man that's basic magnetomy

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +24

      its the worst possible height and the lighting doesnt work 😭

    • @esc1074
      @esc1074 2 місяці тому +16

      Thanks Tom for all your content and efforts. Every year when Eurovision starts you are one of the first to go to. Interesting in debth analyses combined with personal favourites while always respecting all entries and artists❤

  • @adamtideman4953
    @adamtideman4953 2 місяці тому +82

    It would be a missed opportunity not to have San Marino with the song 11:11 placed in the 11th slot.

    • @Ben-mz9vn
      @Ben-mz9vn 2 місяці тому +7

      Genius

    • @escserg6731
      @escserg6731 2 місяці тому +12

      And also put them next to Spain remembering the country Megara is from

    • @FeeESC
      @FeeESC 2 місяці тому +3

      how didnt i think of that

    • @ESCOscar
      @ESCOscar 2 місяці тому +1

      I hope San Marino places 11th in Grand Final… and gets placed 11th to perform 😅 it has to happen, this is San Marino’s best entry ever!!

    • @andrelini
      @andrelini 2 місяці тому +1

      here from the future and the commenter about spain was right but the 10th spot killed me 😭😭😭

  • @AMAZING_MOA
    @AMAZING_MOA 2 місяці тому +25

    Greece’s song is going to be filmed all in one shot with no camera changes or cuts. I’m really excited to see what it looks like live!! ❤❤👍

    • @AMAZING_MOA
      @AMAZING_MOA 2 місяці тому +12

      and it’s the first time this will ever be done at esc 👍

    • @dasmysteryman12
      @dasmysteryman12 2 місяці тому +1

      I am so excited

  • @zwelfbungt
    @zwelfbungt 2 місяці тому +47

    Ahhh...it's that moment of the year again when we all imagining stepping in the shoes of TV-producers!

  • @aliegg4790
    @aliegg4790 2 місяці тому +21

    amazing video! one quick correction around 3:00, halo didn’t open the semi. they performed 13th in semi 1. i think you’re referring to when Teya&Salena opened last year during the final

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +7

      Oh yea good point. I have no idea what I was thinking of there 🤔

  • @AlgoFiXion
    @AlgoFiXion 2 місяці тому +12

    Heyyy so I'm greek and here's what I know about our staging:
    The whole thing will be filmed at once and it will feature Marina at all times, exactly like in her song Mantissa and things will be happening in the background like dances and stuff and the whole thing might depict a story! And I think they're also planning on using the 5-square shape of the scene and like put Marina in the middle and the dancers all around her, but I'm not too sure about that last part!

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +10

      I think I read someone that Fokas said that he had a once in a lifetime prop

    • @user-lr5yv7hj5k
      @user-lr5yv7hj5k 2 місяці тому +2

      I am Greek too, and I think all the rumors about one shot filming are rubbish. And Fokas may will ruin the whole thing, he is passionate with boxes anyway, he will have Satti coming coming out from a dice probably

    • @stathleoapa
      @stathleoapa 2 місяці тому

      @@user-lr5yv7hj5k that will definitely not happen

  • @MadsEmilDK
    @MadsEmilDK 2 місяці тому +9

    I think Denmark will be an opener again this year - I feel like Austria is a bit too high energy to start off with, whereas Denmark is safe, inoffensive and decent quality.
    I agree with Netherlands as a show closer.
    And I do think they will put the automatic qualifiers further apart and probably have a consistent pattern for where they put them in both semis.

  • @KathyClysm
    @KathyClysm 2 місяці тому +10

    I do agree that Austria would probably be best energy-wise to open, BUT considering the music video, there's a non-zero chance it's gonna be not kid-friendly enough for that time of the night lol

    • @Tollkirschenkind
      @Tollkirschenkind 2 місяці тому +5

      Didn't Ronela opened her semi in 2022? I mean, we all know how that turned out, but...

    • @user-fb7hp5dt3c
      @user-fb7hp5dt3c 2 місяці тому +2

      Kaleen said the staging won't be as sexy as the MV and will focus more on the 'rave' aspect

    • @KylieWilson
      @KylieWilson 2 місяці тому

      @@Tollkirschenkindthey only started the whole “kid friendly opener” thing last year, so she was before that

    • @Tollkirschenkind
      @Tollkirschenkind 2 місяці тому

      @@KylieWilson ooh I didn't know that, thank you! Did they do it because of her then?

  • @whothehellisjb-gt5pn
    @whothehellisjb-gt5pn 2 місяці тому +10

    Not putting "before the party is over" second to last is a crimeee

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +2

      😂

  • @Gimlo_Goblin
    @Gimlo_Goblin 2 місяці тому +9

    Gimlo thinks that, for the sake of fairness, all of the songs should be performed simultaneously! Surprised the EBU hasn't responded to Gimlo's job application yet 😌

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +1

      😅

  • @Peterpunk80
    @Peterpunk80 2 місяці тому +4

    Loved this video 🎉

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +1

      ♥️

  • @johannes_floehr
    @johannes_floehr 2 місяці тому +6

    I want them to put Estonia on the last slot because it is basically a 90% automatic qualifier slot and the Netherlands don't need that, they will qualifier from every slot

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +4

      Yea I get what you are saying but I don’t think they care about that. They want ratings

    • @johannes_floehr
      @johannes_floehr 2 місяці тому +3

      @@ESCTom yes i am just thinking about how to get Estonia qualifier for the final, cause i think it will be 50/50 :)

    • @CoxaBranca
      @CoxaBranca 2 місяці тому +1

      ​@@johannes_floehrThey've had plenty of time to practice, so I hope they have refined their vocals and choreo.

    • @johannes_floehr
      @johannes_floehr 2 місяці тому +2

      @@CoxaBranca agree, it will still be a mess because it has to be, but there is a lot of room for optimization

    • @lyramsr
      @lyramsr 2 місяці тому

      denmark 2021 :(

  • @craigeemac797
    @craigeemac797 2 місяці тому +3

    Love your vids Tom.. I think there is a definite top 10 this year, and from 11th to 30th is a really even bunch of quality songs. Performance, staging, vocals and X Factor will be more important than ever. To qualify this year, you'll have to earn it ❤❤

  • @Ben-mz9vn
    @Ben-mz9vn 2 місяці тому +1

    I agree with your prediction, mine is very similar 🙌

  • @ep-rk2gn
    @ep-rk2gn 2 місяці тому +9

    If the Nederlands keep the emotional ending, then the producers maybe won't want to end the show with a sad tone. My prediction will be either Norway or Estonia for the closing act.

    • @BabaRogaFan
      @BabaRogaFan 2 місяці тому +3

      It's impossible to keep the emotional ending. There's a strict 3min time limit

    • @Christoph9898
      @Christoph9898 2 місяці тому +7

      @@BabaRogaFan If they use the shortened emotional ending like they did in the music video, it is very well possible.

  • @florenna
    @florenna 2 місяці тому +4

    Czechia in the Death Slot, no...! Yeah, I know, the live show seen so far was a car crash, but I like the song very much and hope she has improved ;)

  • @clairelyonss
    @clairelyonss 2 місяці тому

    Seeing how they work the automatic qualifiers will be very interesting. In my ideal world all 3 of those songs would perform first to get the show under way properly before the competing semi-finalists performed. It would also make it clear who isn't actually competing, they'd be more of a warm-up. But then again they probably wouldn't want the largest audiences just watching the first 15 minutes and then switching off!

  • @HerrHaque
    @HerrHaque 2 місяці тому +1

    My prediction for the running order, mainly concerned with creating an interesting set list with decent ebb and flow. I'm going with one major break between the two halves of the show, perhaps there'll be a shorter break halfway through each half. After noticing many similarities between Tom's and my predicted running orders for SF1, I'm amazed that there are far fewer similarities for SF2...
    1. Switzerland: Nemo "The Code" # shouldn't be used up too soon in the show, but this song has "opener" written all over it ... I'd rather it swapped places with (my #1 fave) Estonia
    2. Spain: Nebulossa "Zorra"
    3. Austria: Kaleen "We Will Rave"
    4. France: Slimane "Mon amour"
    5. Albania: Besa "Titan"
    [short break]
    6. Greece: Marina Satti "Zari" # this segment is so hard to sequence, all five songs could go in any order here ... I don't envy the ESC producers for this task
    7. Malta: Sarah Bonnici "Loop"
    8. Czechia: Aiko "Pedestal"
    9. Armenia: Ladaniva "Jako"
    10. Denmark: Saba "Sand"
    [interval]
    11. Estonia: 5MIINUST & Puuluup "(nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi" # another one that would be a great show opener
    12. Georgia: Nutsa Buzaladze "Firefighter"
    13. Latvia: Dons "Hollow" # all right, let's dial down the energy with a couple of ballads...
    14. Israel: Eden Golan "Hurricane"
    15. San Marino: Megara "11:11" # ...and ramp up the energy again before the break!
    [short break]
    16. Italy: Angelina Mango "La noia" # I'm worried that the last segment of the show contains four stand-out fan favorites ... oh well
    17. Norway: Gåte "Ulveham" # practice stage setup and teardown in a hurry between two other songs, because running order of the final isn't set yet
    18. Netherlands: Joost Klein "Europapa" # don't want this to close the show because of its sad ending, but I'll gladly have it lead into the show closer
    19. Belgium: Mustii "Before the Party's Over" # a bit too mellow-angry as a show closer for my taste, but it would finish the show on a strong note nonetheless

    • @HerrHaque
      @HerrHaque 2 місяці тому

      According to the rules suggested in a few other comments (add one point per place difference between predicted and actual running order, the best possible result would be 0 points for an exactly predicted running order), I've got 56 points. Managed to guess two countries' places in the running order exactly.
      For fun (and because part of this prediction is guessing a sensible sequence of songs), I've also deducted points for two or more songs that I've guessed in the correct order (e.g. two songs in sequence = deduct one point, three songs in sequence = deduct two points, etc.) - with this model, the best possible result would be -17 points if the running order were predicted exactly as was announced. I've got two sets of two songs in the right order, so deduct 1 + 1 = 2 points. Makes a result of 54 for me. Not as good as my SF1 prediction, but nothing to complain about.

  • @AMCAL8855
    @AMCAL8855 2 місяці тому +3

    Running order prediction:
    1. Austria 🇦🇹
    2. Greece 🇬🇷
    3. Czechia 🇨🇿
    4. France 🇫🇷
    5. Malta 🇲🇹
    6. Denmark 🇩🇰
    7. Armenia 🇦🇲
    8. Switzerland 🇨🇭
    9. Albania 🇦🇱
    10. Belgium 🇧🇪
    11. San Marino 🇸🇲
    12. Italy 🇮🇹
    13. Estonia 🇪🇪
    14. Israel 🇮🇱
    15. Spain 🇪🇸
    16. Latvia 🇱🇻
    17. Norway 🇳🇴
    18. Georgia 🇬🇪
    19. The Netherlands 🇳🇱

  • @rowo2774
    @rowo2774 2 місяці тому +5

    I'm already sad for all the artists who will be performing before the first break, as there are so many performances in the semi now. I know there will be changes to the voting system, but I'm not sure if that will help because I think most people will still only vote after they've seen all the performances.

    • @Elessar543
      @Elessar543 2 місяці тому

      Yeah, that is what I don't get about these changes. I mean, they tried it before, it didn't increase the overall votes a lot back then. The people who are fans who made up their mind before the show will be voting either way, but can start earlier now. But everyone who doesn't know the songs will wait until the end. But wiht 3 additional songs in each semi the recency effect for the later songs will increase.

    • @sav0001
      @sav0001 2 місяці тому +1

      The voting at the start is only for the final not the semi finals. And 16-17 song semifinals used to be the norm, I don't see it as a big deal

    • @rowo2774
      @rowo2774 2 місяці тому +1

      @@sav0001It's new that the automatic qualifiers will also perform their whole songs in the semis (so there were never as many performances before the voting process) while it's not new that the running order effected the televoting every single year immensly.
      Since introducing the semis every single year the second half of every show got more votes than the first half, and there was never (!) a televoting winner before the first break. Tom often talked about those issues. There is a reason why the running order draw is such a big deal for the artists and the odds every year.

  • @grigorigrigorian-nu2yn
    @grigorigrigorian-nu2yn 2 місяці тому +2

    Bellissimo❤🧡💛💚💙

  • @simonkarsten272
    @simonkarsten272 2 місяці тому

    Austria would be a good opening song, but if they go all out on the outfits, I guess Czechia is a good opener too (which went all out on outfits in the Czech final😂), especially if she showed improvement during preparties. I have no idea when the running order is going to be announced, but I guess the producers are going to wait strategically if they can.
    I fear that Denmark, Malta and Armenia are going to get the short end of the stick in the running order, which isn't going to help their qualification chances, if they are sandwiched between heavy hitters Switzerland, Austria and Greece plus likely qualifier Albania. Then there is also Malta which I don't rule out as it is likely going to be the best dance act. And that is just the first half😅
    In the second half it is even harder to imagine San Marino and Latvia qualifying if they are in the same half as Belgium, Netherlands, Norway and Estonia, regardless of running order, sadly

    • @florenna
      @florenna 2 місяці тому +2

      IMO Armenia is a much more likely qualifier than Albania...

  • @sandro1945
    @sandro1945 2 місяці тому +1

    "Halo" from Austria 2022 was actually 13th in the running order, not 1st. Did you get confused with Austria 2023 opening the final?

  • @aposkdjdjdjdj
    @aposkdjdjdjdj 2 місяці тому

    (idk if anyone informed you) But, as a Greek, I know that it’s almost sure that the innovative idea for the staging is that the whole performance will be shot with one camera. I mean that it doesn’t have to do with a prop (at least based on what we know so far)

  • @FRESCPODCAST
    @FRESCPODCAST 2 місяці тому

    I thought Switzerland opening would be awesome with the first line of the song saying. Welcome to the show. Would need Slimane to split up that female run after if Nemo did open. Austria makes more sense for me too but I wouldn't be surprised if Switzerland did open either

  • @tony0930
    @tony0930 2 місяці тому +1

    They also could separate spain and san marino being 2 spanish songs

  • @emdove
    @emdove 2 місяці тому

    Thematically, especially with the opening line, the Netherlands would make a great opener. Not for the whole thing, it's too extreme to be the first song, but maybe after the last break. I don't think it should close, the only other options to me are Georgia or Estonia, and I'd choose the latter... Welkom en Europa!
    I'm gonna try constructing an entire running order, maybe I'll change my mind. But I'd love to take the messages into account and try telling a story. Probably not possible, but I'll see 😁

    • @RockiesSweden
      @RockiesSweden 2 місяці тому

      Netherlands drew second half so unfortunately they won't open the semifinal, or the final for that matter since Sweden has that spot.

    • @emdove
      @emdove 2 місяці тому

      @@RockiesSweden yeah, I was just playing around with what ifs. As I said, I wouldn't want them to open everything, I just think that the song would make a great opener :)

    • @RockiesSweden
      @RockiesSweden 2 місяці тому

      @@emdove I agree!

  • @theologos0611
    @theologos0611 2 місяці тому

    I think San Marino and Spain will not be back-to-back, as they are both in Spanish! Furthermore, I trust that producers would give a better slot to Denmark this time, as it needs to shine after being given bad slots the previous years 😀
    Thanks again for the video Tom 🙏🏻

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +1

      yea Spain and San Marino def wont be. I only reviewed San Marino today, so i didnt realise it was in spanish too

    • @HerrHaque
      @HerrHaque 2 місяці тому

      @@ESCTomIt's almost as if the producers read both your comments and said, "Yeah, hold our beers, no one expects the Spanish interstition!" :)
      Good job predicting which AQ go into which half for both the semifinals, by the way, Tom!

  • @Meleq681
    @Meleq681 2 місяці тому +2

    I think the same that Austria will open the show and Netherlands will close, also Norway is at the same place in my prediction

  • @Nm75966
    @Nm75966 2 місяці тому +2

    When is going to publish the official one?

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +1

      Probably within next 7 days

  • @Martszel
    @Martszel 2 місяці тому

    I suspect that they'll put Israel in between 2 very popular songs like Italy/Spain and the Netherlands, so that the excitement for those songs will overtake the potential booing.

  • @louisejansen4326
    @louisejansen4326 2 місяці тому +1

    I think they'll put Joost first. To set a good atmosfere

    • @Werderina
      @Werderina 2 місяці тому +1

      It could also scare people. I am scared of this entry! 😂

  • @Drag_on_king
    @Drag_on_king 2 місяці тому +2

    1. Austria 2. Albania
    3. France 4. Armenia
    5. Denmark
    6. Swiss 7. Czechia
    8. Greece 9. Malta
    10. Latvia
    11. San Marino 12. Italy
    13. Estonia 14. Israel
    15. Norway
    16. Georgia 17. Belgium
    18. Spain 19. Netherlands
    Again presuming the same add breaks as in the video.

  • @filbert_ac2851
    @filbert_ac2851 2 місяці тому +1

    Austria didn't open with Halo, they weren't even in the first half that year 😅

  • @spongegidar6624
    @spongegidar6624 2 місяці тому +1

    Really safe to qualify: Greece, Switzerland, Austria, Belgium, Norway, Netherlands
    Pretty likely to qualify: Denmark, Armenia, Estonia, Israel
    Less likely to qualify: Czechia, Latvia, Georgia
    Very little chance: Malta, Albania, San Marino
    My personal ranking:
    1.Norway
    2.Belgium
    3.Czechia
    4.Netherlands
    5.Switzerland
    6.Israel
    7.Latvia
    8.San Marino
    9.Austria
    10.Greece
    11.Estonia
    12.Armenia
    13.Albania
    14.Denmark
    15.Georgia
    16.Malta

  • @logi-a
    @logi-a 2 місяці тому +4

    It they put Austria first again I’ll cry because that’s 3 years in a row that they’re put first in either the final or semi

    • @craigsomer
      @craigsomer 2 місяці тому

      2022?

    • @logi-a
      @logi-a 2 місяці тому

      @@craigsomer wait was halo not 2022?

    • @craigsomer
      @craigsomer 2 місяці тому

      @@logi-a But they didn’t open their semi?

    • @logi-a
      @logi-a 2 місяці тому

      @@craigsomer wow you’re correct, why did I think they opened in 2022. Weird, anyway thanks for the correction 😅 seems like I’m just an idiot

    • @logi-a
      @logi-a 2 місяці тому

      @@craigsomer I think I might’ve somehow mixed up 2022 and 2013 because they got similar results or something

  • @chp785
    @chp785 2 місяці тому

    MALAYSIA New Song Before Trending🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
    Steady Gang - (周星翅Chou Xing Chi )❤❤❤👍🏻

  • @doomsdary
    @doomsdary 2 місяці тому

    This year I porously avoid listening to ALL of the songs ( did a bad job tho - ve listened to most of them 😅) so I could be surprised

  • @Layla-ss1dn
    @Layla-ss1dn 2 місяці тому +1

    I am terrible at predicting running orders every year, so whatever i predict, i'm sure it will be the opposite. I think putting the AQs after ad breaks may be a good idea so hosts can clarify again that they are not taking part in the semi final and introduce them. When making my prediction I didn't include the AQs, so I am probably completely wrong -
    1. Malta (I am starting to lean towards Austria more now)
    2. Czechia
    3. Denmark
    4. Armenia
    5. Albania
    6. Greece
    7. Switzerland
    8. Austria
    9. Latvia
    10. San Marino
    11. Netherlands
    12. Israel
    13. Norway
    14. Georgia
    15. Belgium
    16. Estonia

  • @Looksemberg
    @Looksemberg 2 місяці тому +2

    1. Malta
    2. Armenia
    3. Albania
    4. France
    5. Austria
    --- ad ---
    6. Switzerland
    7. Denmark
    8. Greece
    9. Czechia
    10. Latvia
    --- ad ---
    11. Norway
    12. Spain
    13. Israel
    14. Estonia
    15. Belgium
    --- ad ---
    16. San Marino
    17. Italy
    18. Georgia
    19. Netherlands

  • @tobiz1922
    @tobiz1922 2 місяці тому

    I agree with the order of Estonia -> San Marino -> Norway. It's kinda what they did last year with putting Slovenia early in the 2nd half, then the more disappointing rock song and ended with the banger Australia. That's why I think Norway is a contender for closing but the Netherlands are probably late as well. Then we need a late ballad...so I think Norway, Netherlands and Israel might be among the last 3 acts. Latvia just isn't strong enough so I'm not expecting a good slot for them and belgium fits well in the early 2nd half.
    Everything screams Albania deathslot once again but they're not always putting a ballad there so I also agree with Czechia as 2nd. Please. Albania deserves a good spot. Also Czechia is just a mess this year so I would be surprised if they get anything good. I still think Malta might open the show especially after the revamp. It's not weak and Austria isn't really the type of song I would expect to perform first. The rest is just whatever and heavilily depends on the first 3 and last 3 countries.

  • @XeaRae
    @XeaRae 2 місяці тому +1

    I’d swap Albania and Poland. I think they would want someone with more general estetic between Greece and Switzerland. Putting Poland in the middle might be too much alternative dressed folks in a row.
    I still think Mustii will go penultimate as a ‘Before the party is over’ troll move from EBU. If not here, than in the final. I do really like your pick of Georgia there to finish on a high energy note.

    • @florenna
      @florenna 2 місяці тому

      Poland is in the 1st semifinal, so you probably confused it with someone else...? ;)

    • @XeaRae
      @XeaRae 2 місяці тому

      @@florenna thank you

  • @michelledehaen8997
    @michelledehaen8997 2 місяці тому

    I think Albania starts, keep in mind that it is a family event, putting Austria first is maybe 'too sexy' to start for kids hahaha. The Netherlands opening the second part, because the song starts with 'welcome.....' to end with that song is a bit odd 😜I would close with Belgium (last time fun 'before the party is over') 😄😄

  • @stevenwilliams3038
    @stevenwilliams3038 2 місяці тому +1

    My Semi-Final 2 Running Order Prediction. I will be using the Same scoring System I did for Semi-Final 1 except instead of starting with 18 Points I will be starting with 19 Points. Basically so the lowest it is theoretically possible to score is 0.
    1. Austria 🇦🇹
    2. Albania 🇦🇱
    3. Switzerland🇨🇭
    4. Greece 🇬🇷
    5. Malta 🇲🇹
    1st Break
    6. Armenia 🇦🇲
    7. France 🇫🇷
    8. Czechia 🇨🇿
    9. Denmark 🇩🇰
    2nd Break
    10. Belgium 🇧🇪
    11. Norway 🇳🇴
    12. Spain 🇪🇸
    13. Israel 🇮🇱
    14. Netherlands 🇳🇱
    3rd Break
    15. San Marino 🇸🇲
    16. Italy 🇮🇹
    17. Georgia 🇬🇪
    18. Latvia 🇱🇻
    19. Estonia 🇪🇪
    I agree the First half is hard so I put Slimane 🇫🇷 in the First Half and I am using the Ad Breaks To my Advantage here. I agree Austria 🇦🇹 makes sense to open and If they Qualify and Draw the first half they could be opening 2 years in a row. I decided to Put Albania 🇦🇱 goes 2nd because its different but Similar. I put Switzerland🇨🇭3rd to break up all the Girls. Then I decided to Put Greece 🇬🇷 4th because there the only country Not Performing in English Before the 1st Break. Then I put Malta 🇲🇹 in 5th just before the Break because I think they have no shot so Im putting them in a bad slot. So then I put an Ad Break after Malta 🇲🇹 to try and break up some of the Girls also we have 3 Breaks so we are kind of due for a Break. So then I Put Armenia 🇦🇲 and France 🇫🇷 using France 🇫🇷 to break up the Girls then I had Denmark 🇩🇰 and Czechia 🇨🇿 left in the First half and I decided to put Czechia 🇨🇿 before Denmark 🇩🇰 To spit up Denmark 🇩🇰 and France 🇫🇷 then once the First half was over I put in a victory Ad Break also I had 3 ad Breaks to put In so It had to go somewhere. Than in the 2nd half there are a lot more variety. So I opened the 2nd Half with Belgium 🇧🇪 and Norway 🇳🇴 to split Norway 🇳🇴 and San Marino 🇸🇲. In 12th I decided I hadnt used enough Auto-Qualifiers so I put In Spain 🇪🇸 Because Italy 🇮🇹 would be to similar to Israel 🇮🇱 who are going 13th. Then in 14th I put the Netherlands 🇳🇱 I didnt want to close with them because If they put In the Emotional Ending I didnt want to end with it but I also didnt want to put anything after that because people may be emotional and also Im Evil so I put an ad Break while everyones feeling emotional. The downside to that is it might hurt the Netherlands 🇳🇱 a little bit not putting them at the end But also in 15th we have San Marino 🇸🇲 so It would be really Evil to put San Marino 🇸🇲 Right after the Netherlands 🇳🇱. I may be Evil for putting and Ad break after the Netherlands 🇳🇱 but Im not evil enough to put San Marino 🇸🇲 Right after the Netherlands 🇳🇱. Then Italy 🇮🇹 in 16th because I dindt want to be too nice to them because they Are also Auto-Qualified. Georgia 🇬🇪 comes 17th leaving Latvia 🇱🇻 or Estonia 🇪🇪 meaning I had to make a Choice between Closing the Show in English or Closing the Show with an Uptempo song. Intitally I chose for the Priority to be to close the show in English but then I decided. Latvia 🇱🇻 would be a great close so I put them 18th and Estonia 🇪🇪 19th. If Lithuania was in this semi aswell I may have Put all the Baltic nations together and put Estonia then Latvia then Lithuania but that doesnt matter.
    We Agree that Austria 🇦🇹 should open, Malta 🇲🇹 and Netherlands 🇳🇱 should be last before a break and Italy 🇮🇹 should be 16th

  • @abc-00000
    @abc-00000 2 місяці тому

    Titan . 🔥

  • @Lamnia95
    @Lamnia95 2 місяці тому +2

    1. Austria
    2. Czechia
    3. Albania
    4. France
    5. Denmark
    6. Armenia
    7. Malta
    8. Switzerland
    9. Greece
    10. Latvia
    11. San Marino
    12. Spain
    13. Israel
    14. Estonia
    15. Georgia
    16. Norway
    17. Belgium
    18. Italy
    19. The Netherlands

  • @user-vi9lm7ev8e
    @user-vi9lm7ev8e 2 місяці тому

    12 point from ❤CROATIA❤ 😊 ❤ 😊 ❤

  • @stathleoapa
    @stathleoapa 2 місяці тому

    I have a feeling that Greece will either open or close the semi

  • @Jeffreypennings8
    @Jeffreypennings8 2 місяці тому +1

    Netherlands as last would be amazing 😂

  • @olemagnus9510
    @olemagnus9510 2 місяці тому

    I just need san marino at 11 and belgium before netherlands who will obviously close the "party" lol

  • @wiimannoob
    @wiimannoob 2 місяці тому

    My ideal running order, without consideration for AQ's and commercial breaks:
    1. Austria
    2. Albania
    3. Greece
    4. Czechia
    5. Switzerland
    6. Malta
    7. Denmark
    8. Armenia
    9. Latvia
    10. San Marino
    11. Israel
    12. Netherlands
    13. Georgia
    14. Norway
    15. Belgium
    16. Estonia

  • @PinkBread14
    @PinkBread14 2 місяці тому +1

    Halo didn't open?

  • @yaelmeyer348
    @yaelmeyer348 2 місяці тому

    Everyone thinks Austria will open cuz it's a bangar but a. Last year they opened the final b. I have a feeling the show won't be family friendly.
    Which is why I think Czechia will actually open and Netherlands will close the show

  • @kepapathanas
    @kepapathanas 2 місяці тому +2

    My prediction:
    FIRST HALF
    1. Austria
    2. Albania
    3. Czechia
    4. Armenia
    5. FRANCE
    6. Malta
    7. Switzerland
    8. Denmark
    9. Greece
    SECOND HALF
    10. Latvia
    11. SPAIN
    12. San Marino
    13. Israel
    14. Estonia
    15. Georgia
    16. Norway
    17. Belgium
    18. ITALY
    19. Netherlands

  • @esctoplist1162
    @esctoplist1162 2 місяці тому

    Halo didn't open, Austria opened the final last year though.

  • @TakeoutSisi
    @TakeoutSisi 2 місяці тому +1

    My Semi final 2 running order prediction
    1.Czechia
    2.Albania
    3.France
    4.Malta
    5.Armenia
    6.Austria
    7.Greece
    8.Denmark
    9.Switzerland
    10.Spain
    11.Belgium
    12.Norway
    13.Latvia
    14.Estonia
    15.Israel
    16.San Marino
    17.Italy
    18.Georgia
    19.Netherlands

  • @silasgerritsen
    @silasgerritsen 2 місяці тому +1

    My running order:
    1. Austria
    2. Armenia
    3. Albania
    4. France
    5. Malta
    6. Greece
    7. Denmark
    8. Switzerland
    9. Czechia
    10. Estonia
    11. Israël
    12. Italy
    13. Latvia
    14. San Marino
    15. Georgia
    16. Norway
    17. Belgium
    18. Spain
    19. The Netherlands

  • @Oliver_S
    @Oliver_S 2 місяці тому

    We need the wild youth boys should do a song called tonight we will raveeee 😂😂 and open the semi. Sry don't no why my brain came up with that 😂

  • @ImStevan
    @ImStevan 2 місяці тому

    My biggest problem with your running order is San Marino going after *, as people are gonna be talking about * even competing, San Marino is gonna be hitting the stage and end up getting left behind. Whichever delegation gets the spot after *, if it's borderline, is not qualifying. I'd rather have an automatic qualifier performing after *

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +2

      Yep that makes sense, have an AQ after them and then also a break. so put maybe Spain after
      Also Spain and San Marino need to be separated more

    • @ImStevan
      @ImStevan 2 місяці тому

      @@ESCTom I would avoid having an ad break after * for as long as possible, just keep feeding songs to people until their anger or shock fades away. An ad break too soon would see people just tuning out

  • @yomlyon
    @yomlyon 2 місяці тому +1

    My prediction : 1-Danemark 2-Malta 3-Czekia 4-Armenia 5-France 6-Albania 7-Austria 8-Switzerland 9-Grece 10-Spain 11-Latvia 12-Israel 13-Georgia 14-Estonia 15-Italia 16-Belgium 17-Norway 18-SanMarin 19-Netherlands

  • @diekommentarekommentiererin
    @diekommentarekommentiererin 2 місяці тому

    San Marino and Spain who both have Spanish songs should definitely be apart.
    I'm also bothered by Belgium/Estonia when you can actually almost alternate genders in the second half. 12-14 and 16-18 would be three female singers in a row twice, so one of the two mentioned should be moved into one of those sections.

  • @nathanhubball
    @nathanhubball 2 місяці тому

    Very rough prediction 😂:
    Austria
    Albania
    Czechia
    France
    Armenia
    Malta
    Denmark
    Switzerland
    Greece
    Estonia
    Georgia
    Italy
    Latvia
    Norway
    Israel
    Spain
    Belgium
    San Marino
    Netherlands

  • @l4ur4dee
    @l4ur4dee 2 місяці тому

    "As many sausages as they possibly can" 😂😂😂

  • @alexandrenabais6053
    @alexandrenabais6053 2 місяці тому +1

    SEMI 2 PREDICTION:
    1-Austria
    2-Czech Republic
    3-Denmark
    4-Armenia
    5-Switzerland
    6-Albania
    7-Malta
    8-Greece
    9-Estonia
    10-Belgium
    11-San Marino
    12-Georgia
    13-Latvia
    14-Netherlands
    15-Israel
    16-Norway

  • @Gimlo_Goblin
    @Gimlo_Goblin 2 місяці тому

    Alright, Gimlo's official predictions two and a half hours before the running order is announced:
    Semi-Final 1
    01. 🇨🇾
    02. 🇱🇹
    03. 🇩🇪
    04. 🇷🇸
    05. 🇵🇱
    06. 🇺🇦
    [Break]
    07. 🇭🇷
    08. 🇮🇪
    09. 🇮🇸
    10. 🇵🇹
    11. 🇲🇩
    12. 🇬🇧
    [Break]
    13. 🇸🇮
    14. 🇸🇪
    15. 🇦🇿
    16. 🇱🇺
    17. 🇦🇺
    18. 🇫🇮
    Semi-Final 2
    01. 🇦🇹
    02. 🇬🇷
    03. 🇨🇿
    04. 🇫🇷
    05. 🇦🇱
    06. 🇨🇭
    [Break]
    07. 🇦🇲
    08. 🇩🇰
    09. 🇲🇹
    10. 🇪🇪
    11. 🇮🇹
    12. 🇳🇴
    [Break]
    13. 🇧🇪
    14. 🇪🇸
    15. 🇮🇱
    16. 🇸🇲
    17. 🇱🇻
    18. 🇬🇪
    19. 🇳🇱
    The more Gimlo looks at this, the more wrong it looks :^/ Wanted to put each of the pre-qualifiers in a different third of each semi-final but now Gimlo is thinking that the producers might want to place them at more regular intervals to differentiate them from the votable entries to the public 🤔 Gimlo put Germany really early, felt bad about putting Serbia third again, but that's a big audience that might tune out after only three songs... Maybe Gimlo could swap Germany with Sweden? But feels bad to put Sweden so earlier after their bad final draw... Too much to think about for Gimlo! 🤯

  • @adamgreen9583
    @adamgreen9583 2 місяці тому

    Here is my full chosen running order for Semi Final 2 on 11th May :
    1. ). 🇦🇹. Austria
    2. ). 🇦🇱. Albania
    3. ). 🇨🇿. Czechia
    4. ). 🇫🇷. France
    5. ). 🇦🇲. Armenia
    6. ). 🇩🇰. Denmark
    7. ). 🇲🇹. Malta
    8. ). 🇨🇭. Switzerland
    9. ). 🇬🇷. Greece
    10. ). 🇪🇸. Spain
    11. ). 🇪🇪. Estonia
    12. ). 🇬🇪. Georgia
    13. ). 🇧🇪. Belgium
    14. ). 🇳🇴. Norway
    15. ). 🇮🇹. Italy
    16. ). 🇱🇻. Latvia
    17. ). 🇸🇲. San Marino
    18. ). 🇮🇱. Israel
    19. ). 🇳🇱. Netherlands

  • @janro8677
    @janro8677 2 місяці тому +2

    I made my prediction without the automatic finalists and this was it:
    01 Austria
    02 Czechia
    03 Denmark
    04 Switzerland
    05 Greece
    06 Malta
    07 Albania
    08 Armenia
    09 Belgium
    10 San Marino
    11 Netherlands
    12 Israel
    13 Estonia
    14 Georgia
    15 Latvia
    16 Norway
    But if I was to include the automatic qualifiers:
    01 Austria
    02 Czechia
    03 France
    04 Greece
    05 Albania
    06 Malta
    07 Switzerland
    08 Denmark
    09 Armenia
    10 Spain
    11 Belgium
    12 San Marino
    13 Netherlands
    14 Israel
    15 Italy
    16 Estonia
    17 Georgia
    18 Latvia
    19 Norway

  • @adelinadhimas9398
    @adelinadhimas9398 2 місяці тому

    Toujours ❤ALBANIA ❤

  • @adelinadhimas9398
    @adelinadhimas9398 2 місяці тому

    ALBANIA❤12is great is G R E A T❤

  • @ThomasZonneveld
    @ThomasZonneveld 2 місяці тому

    halo didnt open the semi. WTHIE did open the 2023 final

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому

      Yea I was mixing up halo with something else

  • @sarahenchanted
    @sarahenchanted 2 місяці тому +5

    it's actually insane that both first halves of both semis are gonna be hard to make a running order for.
    I think the best thing the producers could do with Israel's running order is put it right before an AQ (Spain would be a good one) and then an ad break. There are gonna be strong reactions from people (especially those who are seeing songs for the first time and may not have followed all the Eurovision related controversy) and I fear that could impact a following song's score. (example: in 2018 Serbia was right after the UK when the stage invader and some think their televote score took a hit as a result). I could be overthinking it but that's a huge concern I have.

    • @ESCTom
      @ESCTom  2 місяці тому +1

      ah yes, i see what you mean there

  • @Eurovisionandwwevids
    @Eurovisionandwwevids 2 місяці тому

    I would’ve swapped Armenia and Albania

  • @boniipekoglu506
    @boniipekoglu506 2 місяці тому +1

    My Prediction
    1. 🇦🇹 Austria
    2. 🇦🇱 Albania
    3. 🇨🇭 Switzerland
    4. 🇦🇲 Armenia
    5. 🇨🇿 Czechia
    6. 🇲🇹 Malta
    7. 🇫🇷 France
    8. 🇬🇷 Greece
    9. 🇩🇰 Denmark
    10. 🇪🇪 Estonia
    11. 🇮🇹 Italy
    12. 🇮🇱 Israel
    13. 🇸🇲 San Marino
    14. 🇬🇪 Georgia
    15. 🇱🇻 Latvia
    16. 🇪🇸 Spain
    17. 🇳🇴 Norway
    18. 🇧🇪 Belgium
    19. 🇳🇱 Netherlands

  • @PinkBread14
    @PinkBread14 2 місяці тому

    I NEED LATVIA TO QUALIFY

  • @TheArthurvs
    @TheArthurvs 2 місяці тому +1

    Not “as many sausages as possible”, Tom! 😂 almost choked on my drink now.

  • @sjrsrs3527
    @sjrsrs3527 2 місяці тому

    My prediction
    1.AUT
    2.ARM
    3.CZE
    4.ALB
    5.DEN
    6.MAL
    7.SWI
    8.GRE
    9.LAT
    10.EST
    11.GEO
    12.BEL
    13.SM
    14.ISR
    15.NOR
    16.NET

  • @alexandrooni8807
    @alexandrooni8807 2 місяці тому

    Georgia top 5

  • @JoniKhutsishvili-ru4zs
    @JoniKhutsishvili-ru4zs 2 місяці тому

    Georgia what????😂😂

  • @dylanburroughs5
    @dylanburroughs5 2 місяці тому

    1. Austria
    2. Albania
    3. Czechia
    4. France
    5. Switzerland
    BREAK
    6. Greece
    7. Denmark
    8. Malta
    9. Armenia
    10. Belgium
    BREAK
    11. Italy
    12. Latvia
    13. San Marino
    14. Israel
    15. Spain
    BREAK
    16. Norway
    17. Latvia
    18. Georgia
    19. Netherlands

  • @Eurovisionandwwevids
    @Eurovisionandwwevids 2 місяці тому +1

    Greece are using a one shot camera as their staging, apparently they are gonna have a car on the stage, like Australia 2023

  • @FeeESC
    @FeeESC 2 місяці тому +9

    my predicition before hearing anyone else's. I did forget to take into account the break + didnt think the AQ's would be numbered.
    1. Austria
    2. Denmark - although i do think thats harsh since they opened last year
    3. Greece - gets a lotta nice slots and they r qualifying anyways
    - France
    4. Czechia
    5. Albania
    6. Switzerland
    7. Armenia
    8. Malta - they gotta be nice to Malta for once
    9. Belgium
    10. San marino
    11. Israel.. its not right that they are here lets be real
    12. Estonia
    - Italy
    13. Georgia
    14. Latvia
    - Spain
    15. Norway
    16. Netherlands - but i think Norway and Georgia could close too

  • @nolbol1754
    @nolbol1754 2 місяці тому +2

    My Semi Final 2 predictions
    1 Austria
    2 Czechia
    3 Denmark
    4 Switzerland
    5 Greece
    6 Albania
    7 Malta
    8 Armenia
    9 Belgium
    10 Estonia
    11 San Marino
    12 Latvia
    13 Norway
    14 Israel
    15 Georgia
    16 The Netherlands
    Yeah I'm confident The Netherlands will close it

    • @nolbol1754
      @nolbol1754 2 місяці тому

      I got 4 right I take it 😂😂😂😂

  • @user-vs6bh5qy3w
    @user-vs6bh5qy3w 2 місяці тому

    Malaysia New Song Before Trending 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
    Steady gang - ( 周星翅Chou xing chi )mv👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻👍🏻❤

  • @nikolag.-rb5ql
    @nikolag.-rb5ql 2 місяці тому +1

    Hey Tom, I completely trust you that this is so hard. So,let's play, part 2. My predicted running order:
    1.Austria🇦🇹
    2.Czechia🇨🇿
    3.Albania🇦🇱
    4.Greece🇬🇷
    5.France🇨🇵
    6.Denmark🇩🇰
    7.Armenia🇦🇲
    8.Malta🇲🇹
    9.Switzerland🇨🇭
    10.Spain🇪🇦
    11.San Marino🇸🇲
    12.Latvia🇱🇻
    13.Belgium🇧🇪
    14.Estonia🇪🇪
    15.Italy🇮🇹
    16.Norway🇳🇴
    17.Israel🇮🇱
    18.Georgia🇬🇪
    19.The Netherlands🇳🇱

  • @Eurovisionandwwevids
    @Eurovisionandwwevids 2 місяці тому +2

    Eurovision 2024 Semi Final 1
    1. United Kingdom
    2. Poland
    3. Cyprus
    4. Serbia
    5. Croatia
    6. Ukraine
    7. Lithuania
    8. Ireland
    9. Moldova
    10. Azerbaijan
    11. Sweden
    12. Iceland
    13. Finland
    14. Germany
    15. Slovenia
    16. Australia
    17. Portugal
    18. Luxembourg
    Eurovision 2024 Semi Final 2
    1. Austria
    2. Czechia
    3. Spain
    4. Denmark
    5. Albania
    6. Greece
    7. Malta
    8. France
    9. Armenia
    10. Switzerland
    11. Norway
    12. Israel
    13. San Marino
    14. Latvia
    15. Italy
    16. Estonia
    17. Belgium
    18. Georgia
    19. The Netherlands

  • @reinpogo4601
    @reinpogo4601 2 місяці тому +2

    MY PREDICTION:
    1. Austria
    2. Albania
    3. France
    4. Denmark
    5. Greece
    6. Chechia
    7. Armenia
    8. Switzerland
    9. Malta
    10. Latvia
    11. San Marino
    12. Spain
    13. Is
    14. Estonia
    15. Italy
    16. Norway
    17. Belgium
    18. Georgia
    19. Netherlands

  • @jamie1361
    @jamie1361 2 місяці тому +1

    Prediction without seeing yours Tom:
    1. Austria
    2. Greece
    3. Switzerland
    4. Albania
    5. France
    6. Czechia
    7. Malta
    8. Denmark
    9. Armenia
    10. Estonia
    11. Latvia
    12. San Marino
    13. Italy
    14. Netherlands
    15. Israel
    16. Spain
    17. Belgium
    18. Georgia
    19. Norway
    I agree Netherlands would also be a strong closer here. I can't really see anyone but Austria opening. It's very hard to predict without knowing what they'll do with the automatic qualifiers, because I've definitely built the others around them a bit.

  • @Rafaelinux
    @Rafaelinux 2 місяці тому

    Putting europapa at the end is quite deflating. That song lacks energy. I would totally go for Estonia or Belgium there.

    • @esc1074
      @esc1074 2 місяці тому +1

      Lacking energy?

  • @mio.vision
    @mio.vision 2 місяці тому +1

    1.Armenia
    2. Spain
    3. France
    4. Albania
    5. Austria
    6. Greece
    7. Czechia
    8. Malta
    9. Switzerland
    10.Denmark
    11. Italy
    12. Georgia
    13. San Marino
    14. Estonia
    15. Latvia
    16. Norway
    17. Israel
    18. Belgium
    19. Netherlands

  • @trustace
    @trustace 2 місяці тому +1

    1. Austria
    2. Czechia
    3. Greece
    4. France
    5. Armenia
    6. Denmark
    7. Switzerland
    8. Albania
    9. Malta
    10. Latvia
    11. San Marino
    12. Spain
    13. Estonia
    14. Israel
    15. Italy
    16. Belgium
    17. Georgia
    18. Norway
    19. The Netherlands