I’m still confused by this, I understand that each spin of a roulette wheel can result in a 50/50 chance of either being black or red (I know it’s slightly less due to 0) but if the 3 previous spins were all black, I’d always bet red on the next one due to probability or law of averages, why would that be wrong thinking?
One of the problems with your system is that you don't have enough information to determine the probability of the next spin. For example, 70 of the last 100 spins may have landed red. In that case, the law of averages dictates that the wheel should work diligently towards a correction which will favor more black results for a while. Another problem is that regardless of the statistical probability of the next spin, trends do occur, and they disobey all laws. Having said that, I often use this exact same bet selection method. Sometimes I like to bet with the probability of correction, and sometimes I bet with the trend. I've had success with both.
There is a fundamental misunderstanding of probability right here. After you've seen 3 black, there's no way you can know if you're on a run of 4 blacks in a row, or 3 blacks then a red, because the probability of either of these events is exactly the same. You can bet the 4th spin on red after 3 blacks if you like, but you won't win or lose any more on average compared to if you'd bet that 4th spin on another black.
And the human element. The fact that we set our selves into a routine. Apply the same force to the wheel and develop our own trends aside from the wheel bias.
I totally agree with you !! suppose you have two person person A has been sitting at the table for 5 spins ... and wants to play spin 6 person B .. has NO clue what happened before and jumps in with spin 6 there has been 5 blacks so far for person B the chance (without zero, to keep things simple) it will be red = 0,5 or 50% for person A it's 0,015625 BUT !!!! not for one time playing 6 spins theoretical chances do NOT exist .. only by repeating over and over and over an event , we practically get chances so 0,015625 is a chance AT THE LONG TERM !!! NOT short term 6 blacks once started with 1 black, then became a 2 streak, a 3 , 4 , 5 and finally a 6 so within this 6 streak , there is a 1 streak so it's impossible indeed that long streaks have the exact same chance as short streaks, because a PART of the streak they have in common .. but they still differ .. so they have different chances there is truth in the words that things are due the only problem is .. it only counts at the long run .. I like your videos very nice !! Maybe it's not me who invented this, but I came up with the idea that the table needs to become the gambler. So you turn things upside down. Instead of following the table.. you CHASE the table, so you're always one step behind... you're stuck in the table reality.. a LOT of people play like this if you write down IN ADVANCE, before you go play things like pure randomly 100 times 2 numbers and say it will not these two numbers or write down in advance 150 times in a row which double street it won't be etc etc so for instance if I have 100 times pure randomly 2 numbers in my head and you need to try to guess them, it's even possible if we do this 100 times, you didn't guess them even one time out of 100 it will be hard for you, very hard ;.. same for the roulette table the roulette table became the gambler it now need to follow YOUR reality , they are now one step behind, they need chase you you have written down a huge long list of imaginary spin results and play against those .. in my stats, these results were incredibly much better than following and chasing the table
It makes sense.. I did try before.. But some how ull eventually get cought.. And becouse u play in an opposite way.. With an ultra negative payout.. One time u lose, will retake back all you winnings.. And here we go.. Back to square
I accept the philosophical premises of a determinism and the fallibility of man. There is a limit to how many spins a human can observe. Similarly, there is a limit to the accuracy of our statistics. Statistics are approximations at best and conclusions drawn from them are subject to error. This line of reasoning can result in magical thinking when taken to presumptuous lengths. Remember that the roulette table is ultimately operated and constructed by a human. Statistics will show that some tables are more likely to show certain numbers. This can be a result of imperfections in the construction of the table or the balance/configuration of the table. Additionally, every roulette operator has his own unique characteristics which can result in a bias towards certain numbers. Even in abstract terms the table is not random and with enough observations a bias can be observed. Furthermore, randomness is a mathematical convenience we use to paper over our human limitations. Events are ultimately deterministic, but as mere humans we lack the capacity to understand all of the underlying variables. It is a fine line of definition, but overstepping this bound results in illogical conclusions.
The results are not so independent on most online sites. The many directions & times I've seen the ball move is absolutly unbelievable & having played for as long as I have there's no one on Gods Earth that can convince me that there arent magnets involved. I'm amazed "or am I really #on the payroll" that the gaming committee hasn't intervened as there's just way too much money involved with this corrupt deception of the public. 🤔
Possibilities in roulette: 38 numbers is 38 factorial. Approximately 523 million, trillion, trillion, trillion. Lets say you COULD take the time to look at all those possibilities --- there would be a MATCH for EVERY SINGLE GAME no matter how unbelievable!
Brilliant! This is the first source I have ever come across that tells the truth of how roulette actually works! Roulette can be beaten because it is NOT truly random; i.e. roulette must produce results that are equally probable at all times. Some people like to assert that roulette results are chaotic but then they contradict themselves when they agree with the law of large numbers!
Its not the GAME itself that defeats over 99% of people who play it. Its the lack of these 4 main things. PATIENCE DISCIPLINE A SOLID STRATEGY A STRONG FIGHTING FUND TO RIDE THE LOWS. The casinos love nothing better than naive $20 dreamers. Thats how they get rich and stay open. The few like me who know better. Beat this game all the time and make a living from it. While all the myths are perpetuated by the foolish majority.
PROJECT DX completely agreed, but jens maybe not all the online casinos are rigged? My friend made more than 10 k in betfair n cashed out betting hot numbers....but afterwards he suspected them
"If a number has an expectation it ceases to be independent" "anything that is truly independent does not conform [to its probabilities]" "what they say is that number conform in large groups but not in small groups - another contradiction" I'm really sorry, but all of these only demonstrate a flawed understanding of the most elementary statistics. Maybe it hurts to be told that many thousands of hours thinking about gambling strategies doesn't make you an expert, but that's the way it is. Sorry. Mathematicians *are* the experts. Roulette can't be beaten.
Live roulette can totally be beaten, in theory. Roulette isn't totally random. Even if we assume a perfect roulette table with no bias (perfect probability distribution over infinite time), you can bet after the dealer has released the ball. At this point, the outcome is determined, it's just no human brain is capable of performing the mental gymnastics required to accurately determine where the ball will land. But a computer could. And some have been designed that at least do a good enough job to turn the house edge into a player edge. Look into "sector targeting".
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I’m still confused by this, I understand that each spin of a roulette wheel can result in a 50/50 chance of either being black or red (I know it’s slightly less due to 0) but if the 3 previous spins were all black, I’d always bet red on the next one due to probability or law of averages, why would that be wrong thinking?
One of the problems with your system is that you don't have enough information to determine the probability of the next spin. For example, 70 of the last 100 spins may have landed red. In that case, the law of averages dictates that the wheel should work diligently towards a correction which will favor more black results for a while. Another problem is that regardless of the statistical probability of the next spin, trends do occur, and they disobey all laws. Having said that, I often use this exact same bet selection method. Sometimes I like to bet with the probability of correction, and sometimes I bet with the trend. I've had success with both.
Follow the winner hoping for a strike
There is a fundamental misunderstanding of probability right here. After you've seen 3 black, there's no way you can know if you're on a run of 4 blacks in a row, or 3 blacks then a red, because the probability of either of these events is exactly the same. You can bet the 4th spin on red after 3 blacks if you like, but you won't win or lose any more on average compared to if you'd bet that 4th spin on another black.
And the human element. The fact that we set our selves into a routine. Apply the same force to the wheel and develop our own trends aside from the wheel bias.
I don’t think you understand how independence works
I totally agree with you !!
suppose you have two person
person A has been sitting at the table for 5 spins ... and wants to play spin 6
person B .. has NO clue what happened before and jumps in with spin 6
there has been 5 blacks so far
for person B the chance (without zero, to keep things simple) it will be red = 0,5 or 50%
for person A it's 0,015625
BUT !!!!
not for one time playing 6 spins
theoretical chances do NOT exist .. only by repeating over and over and over an event , we practically get chances
so 0,015625 is a chance AT THE LONG TERM !!! NOT short term
6 blacks once started with 1 black, then became a 2 streak, a 3 , 4 , 5 and finally a 6
so within this 6 streak , there is a 1 streak
so it's impossible indeed that long streaks have the exact same chance as short streaks, because a PART of the streak
they have in common .. but they still differ .. so they have different chances
there is truth in the words that things are due
the only problem is .. it only counts at the long run ..
I like your videos
very nice !!
Maybe it's not me who invented this, but I came up with the idea that the table needs to become the gambler.
So you turn things upside down.
Instead of following the table.. you CHASE the table, so you're always one step behind...
you're stuck in the table reality.. a LOT of people play like this
if you write down IN ADVANCE, before you go play things like
pure randomly 100 times 2 numbers and say it will not these two numbers
or write down in advance 150 times in a row which double street it won't be
etc etc
so for instance if I have 100 times pure randomly 2 numbers in my head and you need to try to guess them, it's even possible if we do this 100 times, you didn't guess them even one time out of 100
it will be hard for you, very hard ;.. same for the roulette table
the roulette table became the gambler
it now need to follow YOUR reality , they are now one step behind, they need chase you
you have written down a huge long list of imaginary spin results and play against those ..
in my stats, these results were incredibly much better than following and chasing the table
Thank you - I wish we had more great comment like this.
I also like your videos very much!
No clue what incoherent nonsense is attempting to convey. Little punctuation matters.
It makes sense.. I did try before.. But some how ull eventually get cought.. And becouse u play in an opposite way.. With an ultra negative payout.. One time u lose, will retake back all you winnings.. And here we go.. Back to square
The probability of BBBR is precisely the same as BBBB. That is all you need to know.
I accept the philosophical premises of a determinism and the fallibility of man. There is a limit to how many spins a human can observe. Similarly, there is a limit to the accuracy of our statistics. Statistics are approximations at best and conclusions drawn from them are subject to error.
This line of reasoning can result in magical thinking when taken to presumptuous lengths. Remember that the roulette table is ultimately operated and constructed by a human. Statistics will show that some tables are more likely to show certain numbers. This can be a result of imperfections in the construction of the table or the balance/configuration of the table. Additionally, every roulette operator has his own unique characteristics which can result in a bias towards certain numbers.
Even in abstract terms the table is not random and with enough observations a bias can be observed. Furthermore, randomness is a mathematical convenience we use to paper over our human limitations. Events are ultimately deterministic, but as mere humans we lack the capacity to understand all of the underlying variables.
It is a fine line of definition, but overstepping this bound results in illogical conclusions.
Totally agreed with you. Finally hearing the truth of how roulette works thanks!
Thank you. We encourage everyone to share their thoughts on our videos.
@@RouletteMan this stuff is also true for over/under bets and point spread bets . Their all games of chance.
SO HOW SHOULD I BET ?
The results are not so independent on most online sites. The many directions & times I've seen the ball move is absolutly unbelievable & having played for as long as I have there's no one on Gods Earth that can convince me that there arent magnets involved. I'm amazed "or am I really #on the payroll" that the gaming committee hasn't intervened as there's just way too much money involved with this corrupt deception of the public. 🤔
Possibilities in roulette: 38 numbers is 38 factorial. Approximately 523 million, trillion, trillion, trillion. Lets say you COULD take the time to look at all those possibilities --- there would be a MATCH for EVERY SINGLE GAME no matter how unbelievable!
Brilliant! This is the first source I have ever come across that tells the truth of how roulette actually works! Roulette can be beaten because it is NOT truly random; i.e. roulette must produce results that are equally probable at all times. Some people like to assert that roulette results are chaotic but then they contradict themselves when they agree with the law of large numbers!
We will make a video specifically for the the Law of Third very soon!
Its not the GAME itself that defeats over 99% of people who play it. Its the lack of these 4 main things.
PATIENCE
DISCIPLINE
A SOLID STRATEGY
A STRONG FIGHTING FUND TO RIDE THE LOWS.
The casinos love nothing better than naive $20 dreamers. Thats how they get rich and stay open.
The few like me who know better. Beat this game all the time and make a living from it.
While all the myths are perpetuated by the foolish majority.
@@fender1000100 Do you speak about landbased casinos or about the rigged online tables? How do you make your money?
@@jbtalk5529 He won't say because it's not true lol
PROJECT DX completely agreed, but jens maybe not all the online casinos are rigged? My friend made more than 10 k in betfair n cashed out betting hot numbers....but afterwards he suspected them
A fantastic video! Thank you.
You are welcome!
How many people got lost at this video after the 1st minute?. Looks like attending a class in statistics.
"If a number has an expectation it ceases to be independent"
"anything that is truly independent does not conform [to its probabilities]"
"what they say is that number conform in large groups but not in small groups - another contradiction"
I'm really sorry, but all of these only demonstrate a flawed understanding of the most elementary statistics. Maybe it hurts to be told that many thousands of hours thinking about gambling strategies doesn't make you an expert, but that's the way it is. Sorry. Mathematicians *are* the experts. Roulette can't be beaten.
They dont conform in the short term but over the long term over tens of thousands spin they conform.
Live roulette can totally be beaten, in theory. Roulette isn't totally random. Even if we assume a perfect roulette table with no bias (perfect probability distribution over infinite time), you can bet after the dealer has released the ball. At this point, the outcome is determined, it's just no human brain is capable of performing the mental gymnastics required to accurately determine where the ball will land. But a computer could. And some have been designed that at least do a good enough job to turn the house edge into a player edge. Look into "sector targeting".
roulette is all abaut electronics
whay you donnt talk abaut this