1:35:58 - why can the Americans not sustainably fly from Japan to Taiwan (say by Island hopping) but can do so sustainably from Luzon? Combat radius of a fighter?
@@julianspencer-churchill219 Thanks! Related questions. The recent CSIS wargames suggested that the air would be too contested to resupply Marines on the Ryukus. Given that Taiwan proper would be even more contested, do you think small scale resupply of Taiwan - say of critical AShMs (from Luzon or otherwise) would be possible in the first few critical weeks of a conflict?
Please see this piece Stephane: nationalinterest.org/feature/america-can’t-win-war-taiwan-without-philippines-205240?page=0%2C1 I am designing a number sims looking at different aspects of the campaign, for classroom use. I wish the CSA and other sims were transparent. I don’t think the US will be able to get ships safely to Eastern Taiwanese ports early in the conflict. I intend on running a Command naval sim scenario testing these conjectures. Great questions Stephane.
Oh wow. Will you be sharing your command sim files publicly? I'd love to see those. Thanks for the article link. Very well argued. Resupply by ship may be a high bar given that ports are in known locations under the PLARF's formidable umbrella. Wouldn't resupply by rotor craft, which could drop their cargo in unknown locations, be more reliable? Of course this would accept a huge drop in tonnage. But for critical munitions like short ranged AShMs this could be enough. This also re-raises my original question of whether this would be possible given how contested the air would be. I suspect even with air bases all over Luzon the air over Taiwan would remain contested.
My apologies: the missing lectures are actually class-room wargames played by the students, which are numbered as lectures, but appear as gaps on UA-cam. So you have not missed any lectures.
You said drones and cyber warfare haven't featured in Ukraine but thats not really true. New drone videos pop up on telegram daily and drones account for a large portion of casualties. As far as cyber is concerned Russia knocked out Ukrainian communications an hour before the war using cyber warfare a move only beaten by the use of starlink. We should include the numerous missile strikes that have been coordinated using information from social media from both sides as well as extensive propaganda campaigns.
1:35:58 - why can the Americans not sustainably fly from Japan to Taiwan (say by Island hopping) but can do so sustainably from Luzon? Combat radius of a fighter?
Flying at a 30 degree angle along the Chinese coast from Okinawa makes any US air units more vulnerable than a perpendicular flight to Taiwan.
@@julianspencer-churchill219 Thanks! Related questions. The recent CSIS wargames suggested that the air would be too contested to resupply Marines on the Ryukus. Given that Taiwan proper would be even more contested, do you think small scale resupply of Taiwan - say of critical AShMs (from Luzon or otherwise) would be possible in the first few critical weeks of a conflict?
Please see this piece Stephane: nationalinterest.org/feature/america-can’t-win-war-taiwan-without-philippines-205240?page=0%2C1
I am designing a number sims looking at different aspects of the campaign, for classroom use. I wish the CSA and other sims were transparent. I don’t think the US will be able to get ships safely to Eastern Taiwanese ports early in the conflict. I intend on running a Command naval sim scenario testing these conjectures. Great questions Stephane.
Oh wow. Will you be sharing your command sim files publicly? I'd love to see those.
Thanks for the article link. Very well argued.
Resupply by ship may be a high bar given that ports are in known locations under the PLARF's formidable umbrella. Wouldn't resupply by rotor craft, which could drop their cargo in unknown locations, be more reliable?
Of course this would accept a huge drop in tonnage. But for critical munitions like short ranged AShMs this could be enough. This also re-raises my original question of whether this would be possible given how contested the air would be. I suspect even with air bases all over Luzon the air over Taiwan would remain contested.
I liked this lecture a lot. Did I mishear, or did you say that "French boots were provided by English finance"? What did you mean by this?
Yes, a private British investor was involved in providing boots to the French army to invade the British ally of Russia.
Not able to find lectures 8 to 10. Any chance they could be uploaded on the channel too. Apologies in advance if they are already there.
My apologies: the missing lectures are actually class-room wargames played by the students, which are numbered as lectures, but appear as gaps on UA-cam. So you have not missed any lectures.
@@julianspencer-churchill219 Thank you, sir. Much obliged.
You said drones and cyber warfare haven't featured in Ukraine but thats not really true. New drone videos pop up on telegram daily and drones account for a large portion of casualties. As far as cyber is concerned Russia knocked out Ukrainian communications an hour before the war using cyber warfare a move only beaten by the use of starlink. We should include the numerous missile strikes that have been coordinated using information from social media from both sides as well as extensive propaganda campaigns.