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Your SJM analysis is missing an important point. The trailing PE is quite high because the company spend a lot on acquisitions such as Hostess. But the forward PE is only 10. Thus, the company is actually trading far below its historical PE.
Ackman is a character.... made a fortune hyping up the hysteria in spring 2020, thennnnnnnnnnnnn he unloaded NFLX for a massive loss before it soared to the moon.
Im staying far away from Nike. I think it’s going to be like WBA or VFC. Their shoe lines are losing sales and their brand isn’t what it used to be. I did just start s position in PEP.
As someone who lives in Beaverton Oregon (Nike headquarters) and someone who lives next to multiple execs… No way I would invest when they aren’t even investing, I think Nike model is falling apart and they cash flow isn’t what it was in 2010-2019 not to mention they keep changing there exec team, it’s chaos and they keep letting people go. Big risk, and I don’t think there is a reward. I believe in 10 years it will be a bust I don’t see Nike being as popular, they aren’t even close internationally as what they were.
Great Video. Been looking at most of the companies you listed. Already bought a few. You really have improved the measurement of metrics when analyzing stocks. Your SS is looking real good. Congrats!
This is why i buy the index. There is simply no way to know what will happen to Nike. They may turn around. They may die. It will take you YEARS to find out. Meanwhile the S&P will be making all time highs.
I love O, but I’m worried about the long term prospects of retail focused REITs due to the rise of e-commerce and the downfall of many tenants of O… Hence I’m holding O, but rather put my money into MAA and Vici 🤔
It’s not a growth stock, your Trying to buy it at a value price PEP trades at a premium but when the numbers say it worth more the. Current prices your getting a decent dividend at a value Price so if it gets closer to what the numbers say it should be trading at then you get growth while still collecting a dividend. So you make income and some capital gains.
I was actually thinking about this recently. Mostly, I agree, but some trends last a *long* time...like MCD, SBUX, NKE, YUM, LVMH, DPZ, PZZA, and more.
@ yeah there are some winners in these sectors, just not interested when it comes to investing my money. Haven’t some of these; mcd, sbux, nike been performing pretty poorly the last 5 years? The company that owns vans has been pretty bad I know and that’s an iconic brand along with the others that company owns
If you like dividends, just buy short term T bills - 4.5% interest rate, which is a much higher yield than most of these stocks and your principle is a lot safer. It’s simple. Don’t overthink it!
There's no growth, either in value or dividend. Dividend investors need dividend growth. PEP, for instance, is growing the dividend 7% each year. This is a huge compounding effect. There's no compounding in t-bills or other bonds.
@ Long-term, I agree. But short-to-medium-term, say over the next 5 years or so, I’d bet on T-bills over these dividend stocks. Also, t-bills (e.g., short-term three month issuances) are subject to a ‘dividend increase’ through fed rate hikes, remember, especially if the economy keeps running hot with inflation risks remaining persistent.
@@IsSocratesDeadfair enough you could be right, especially if rates steadily increase. But I won't take that bet as I'd rather not quality companies and let compounding work.
@@international_dividendWhile your point is valid for those holding until maturity, many people are unaware that there is a resale market on treasuries. The resale can be quite lucrative. In what seems to be a counterintuitive fact, the price of the bond increases as the rate drops. As a rule of thumb, multiply the drop in rate by the time to maturity to estimate the increase in value. If the 30 year bond yield drops 1%, you can resell it for approximately 30% more than the value. In the current environment, there is a real chance of that occurring. Making an annual return of 15% is far more likely than you might expect. There is also the bond ETFs which can be leveraged easily through options. Making a 100% return in a year may not be “easy” but it is more probable than you would think. Bonds are not nearly as boring as many believe, especially when the rates are volatile.
🚀 Access Tickerdata and my Spreadsheets: tickerdata.com/
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🔥 Join my free newsletter! dividendology.substack.com/
📊 Preferred Broker (Interactive Brokers): www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=dividendologyPY1&url=%2Fen%2Fwhyib%2Foverview.php
Your SJM analysis is missing an important point. The trailing PE is quite high because the company spend a lot on acquisitions such as Hostess. But the forward PE is only 10. Thus, the company is actually trading far below its historical PE.
Ackman is a character.... made a fortune hyping up the hysteria in spring 2020, thennnnnnnnnnnnn he unloaded NFLX for a massive loss before it soared to the moon.
LOL, he's a billionaire, you're not. That means he's done a lot of things correctly.
Great video as always. Request to do a deep dive into O once again given the rising CPI
REIT are always sensitive to interest rates. Interest rates are expected to be the same for the first six months of 2025.
@@gcs7817that’s why one option is to park cash in $JAAA 6.36% monthly yield without NAV erosion. Just another option. ❤
Not a big fan of Domino's business model...but I am scooping some more Realty income
Great video with great analysis. I bought DPZ and NKE a few days ago, and I will continue to add to my positions. I don't know about others. Thanks.
First to this BANGER of a video!!!!
🎉
Thank you for the video! Could you make an update about General Mills? They are down 10% the last month
Im staying far away from Nike. I think it’s going to be like WBA or VFC. Their shoe lines are losing sales and their brand isn’t what it used to be. I did just start s position in PEP.
I agree. If you ever wonder through any sports store you see bunches of Nike shoes just sitting on the shelves
you are smarter than bill ackman wow
long NKE
@@Daniel-zr4pklol
Nike has a lot more competition than in the past. Hooka and On Air are taking a big chunk of the market
$NKE needs to get their shit together, definitely keep your eyes on the price. Long Nike though. $O is always a buy.
As someone who lives in Beaverton Oregon (Nike headquarters) and someone who lives next to multiple execs… No way I would invest when they aren’t even investing, I think Nike model is falling apart and they cash flow isn’t what it was in 2010-2019 not to mention they keep changing there exec team, it’s chaos and they keep letting people go. Big risk, and I don’t think there is a reward. I believe in 10 years it will be a bust I don’t see Nike being as popular, they aren’t even close internationally as what they were.
BHS '79 :)
Great video with great information. Definitely a must watch for the 5 stocks here.
Glad it was helpful!
Great Video. Been looking at most of the companies you listed. Already bought a few. You really have improved the measurement of metrics when analyzing stocks. Your SS is looking real good. Congrats!
Thanks for covering Nike.
Noice,
Do you also dive into European stocks such as SBM offshore?
Good video. Some of these stocks have a tough road ahead of them. Then again, no one said business is easy!
This is why i buy the index. There is simply no way to know what will happen to Nike. They may turn around. They may die. It will take you YEARS to find out. Meanwhile the S&P will be making all time highs.
Bought $PEP two days ago up nicely already ..
We thinking REITs rebound this year with a bit more clarity on interest rates?
Is dominos long term debt from real estate? Is it because of the commercial rate hikes looming over the next 2 years?
I love O, but I’m worried about the long term prospects of retail focused REITs due to the rise of e-commerce and the downfall of many tenants of O…
Hence I’m holding O, but rather put my money into MAA and Vici 🤔
Maybe video for etfs with low taxes and compared to hight taxes
Sjm is great
Man, if you uploaded an excel tutorial video that would be awesome!
Amazon price is insane if you look at those indicators like DCF
Verizon?
I don’t think Pepsi is undervalued. Its growth is slowing and they are facing serious headwinds. You can’t compare to past pe when growth is slower.
It’s not a growth stock, your Trying to buy it at a value price PEP trades at a premium but when the numbers say it worth more the. Current prices your getting a decent dividend at a value
Price so if it gets closer to what the numbers say it should be trading at then you get growth while still collecting a dividend. So you make income and some capital gains.
The biggest worry is their payout ratio which is getting dangerously high.
The best companies on this video are O, DPZ and SJM.
I don’t buy restaurants or apparel because they are trends
I was actually thinking about this recently. Mostly, I agree, but some trends last a *long* time...like MCD, SBUX, NKE, YUM, LVMH, DPZ, PZZA, and more.
@ yeah there are some winners in these sectors, just not interested when it comes to investing my money. Haven’t some of these; mcd, sbux, nike been performing pretty poorly the last 5 years? The company that owns vans has been pretty bad I know and that’s an iconic brand along with the others that company owns
@horustortoise6110 I hear ya and I don't disagree, just pointing out that these are examples of strong long-term trendy brands.
@ yeah you’re not wrong
@@xaldath4265 you invested in any of these or another in these sectors?
If you like dividends, just buy short term T bills - 4.5% interest rate, which is a much higher yield than most of these stocks and your principle is a lot safer. It’s simple. Don’t overthink it!
There's no growth, either in value or dividend. Dividend investors need dividend growth. PEP, for instance, is growing the dividend 7% each year. This is a huge compounding effect. There's no compounding in t-bills or other bonds.
@ Long-term, I agree. But short-to-medium-term, say over the next 5 years or so, I’d bet on T-bills over these dividend stocks.
Also, t-bills (e.g., short-term three month issuances) are subject to a ‘dividend increase’ through fed rate hikes, remember, especially if the economy keeps running hot with inflation risks remaining persistent.
@@IsSocratesDeadfair enough you could be right, especially if rates steadily increase. But I won't take that bet as I'd rather not quality companies and let compounding work.
@@international_dividendWhile your point is valid for those holding until maturity, many people are unaware that there is a resale market on treasuries. The resale can be quite lucrative. In what seems to be a counterintuitive fact, the price of the bond increases as the rate drops. As a rule of thumb, multiply the drop in rate by the time to maturity to estimate the increase in value. If the 30 year bond yield drops 1%, you can resell it for approximately 30% more than the value. In the current environment, there is a real chance of that occurring. Making an annual return of 15% is far more likely than you might expect. There is also the bond ETFs which can be leveraged easily through options. Making a 100% return in a year may not be “easy” but it is more probable than you would think. Bonds are not nearly as boring as many believe, especially when the rates are volatile.
🙂
Why do you never mention weather a company is buying back shares?
I mention this very often and mentioned it for multiple stocks in this video.
Imagine the democrats saying someone is giving the president elect ideas and telling him what to do. You really can't make this stuff up.
2025