Another note on Tennessee, sorry to ramble at you guys, appreciate the show, Tennessee has been running a lot more 12 personnel to help with the numbers problem you mentioned. It has resulted in less possessions and maybe less explosives (though they’ve had many opportunities they just didn’t execute). I don’t know that this change fixes the problem, but it certainly is an adjustment worth watching
I think Ga o-line has struggled all year and that has caused no run game, which makes Beck feel pressure to play hero ball and force. This game imo comes down to whether Kirby lets the d-line loose, or plays a slow rush to watch for the scrabble approach. Hope they let em go get ball. Ga Dawgs!
Very much worried about my Vols in this one. Afraid this game may look a lot like the 2022 game. It definitely will, if not worse, if Nico isn't playing.
I’m a UGA fan Drew and I feel the worries on this side. I watched your defense against Alabama and was very impressed. I don’t think it’ll be a high scoring game. We’ll have to wait and see. I sincerely hope Nico is healthy and ready to play.
@@coltonditmore9087 The oddsmakers seem to agree that it's a real possibilty, too. A lot of reasons. UGA up against the wall, UT struggling on the road with Heupel, UT's run defense showing some kinks in the armor the last couple of weeks, concerns at qb for UT, etc. And then there's this. 41-0 38-12 43-14 44-21 41-17 27-13 38-10
Concussion protocol could mean a lot of things, though. We don't know if he really had a full concussion or maybe just a couple symptoms and it really was just precaution. They take this stuff pretty seriously these days. I don't think Heupel can/will put him out there if he's not medically cleared.
@@drewc771there isn’t a single team doctor in the country who will risk their career for the sake of winning a football game. Heupel wouldn’t risk it either. It would be a recruiting nightmare when opponents are saying “look at how Tennessee treats players and injuries”
Not saying he isnt in protocal but there still has not been an official announcement on what his injury is. the only thing we have is an anonymous source.
Josh, if you watch Tennessee’s offense you see the issues are execution far more often than schematic. Certainly the defense can do things schematically that make execution more challenging, but Nico overthrowing open receivers and open WR dropping passes is not in line with your analysis. And you clearly think this way sometimes because you don’t give the Vols defense credit for what they did to Milroe. You attributed his struggles to bad passes. So I don’t really get it. I mean obviously we’ll learn more Saturday, but from a season long analysis standpoint your insistence that defenses have “figured it out” doesn’t appear to map onto the opportunities missed by the Vols offense. (But the Vols defense is the beneficiary of bad play of opponents)… just doesn’t compute! Anyway, still love y’all’s work and will keep listening/watching, but this inconsistency of analysis/persistence in believing the Heupel system has been figured out isn’t resonating with what I see. (Nor others. Cole Cubilic had a nice little blurb about this a few weeks back).
No one “figured” out his offensive system. The clock rule changes rendered his system nearly obsolete. The only question now is how long will it take Heupel to realize it and change his scheme.
You didn't see Milroe missing wide open passes or not running when he had 30 yards of green grass? Both can be true (Tenn defense played decently, and Milroe played the worst game of his career) In fact, that was the lowest QBR by a Bama QB since Jalen Hurts 2017. So yeah it was more so on him fucking up but credit to Tenn they played well
@@MH-0101not sure what the clock has to do with anything but this year's team does not play nearly as fast as previous years. They slow it down much more often and actually vary their splits. Not always sideline to sideline anymore. I think everything we've seen from tennessee this season has been building up to this game. They spent all off season trying to get more physical and win games differently than relying on the deep ball. I think that's why it's been jarring to the eye because it's not high flying anymore but truly a smash mouth scheme that can hit timely passes
If UGA wins, it's gonna be hard to place 3 teams. Bama > UGA, UGA > TN, TN > Bama. All 2 losses. Guess it goes to SOS? So 1 UGA, 2 Bama, 3 TN? This is a crazy year.
@@zugetsui9971 Oh we know. We're just trying to get invited to the playoff dance. #5 spot and hosting Boise at home would be the dream. We'd find out if we could stop Ashton Jeanty.
@@zugetsui9971who care about Sec championship UGA can still make it to the playoff if they finish out there season with all 3wins without playing the SEC championship
Carson Beck is an INT machine so they'll have to try to run, and their run offense is terrible, compared to TN Vols defense. I'm sorry, the Vols win this game.
I am getting word that Trevor Etienne (their starting RB) will not play this game. He is out with an upper body injury. It's going to be a long game for UGA's offense. Frazier and Bell will have to step up. Hope Frazier can have the type of game he had against Clemson. This will be a low scoring game in my opinion. Georgia being at home is the only thing that can really help them - but it don't look good for UGA and I am a DAWGS fan. SMH
No. Not if they have to choose between UGA and Tennessee for the playoff. You’re gonna get the reverse FSU treatment. In this case, they will say the result on the field has to matter.
@@autonomouspilgrimage6137 Idk. Everybody has some injuries. But not having QB1 usually carries more weight than any other injuries. I was also asking a question, not making a statement. Is your opinion that the answer is simply no?
Admittedly I'm biased, but Bama should have beaten Tenn. Milroe was throwing it 10 yards over wide open receivers all day, not to mention the OC abandoned the run and had him throw it 50x. Credit to Tenn but they were fortunate.
If Beck gets beat by Tennessee it will be his last game as a dawg. The fans will attack Kirby for his job if he plays Beck after Tennessee. Something has happened to Georgia to even allow Bobo to be offensive coordinator. As they say cannot teach an old dog new tricks. Bobo was bad with Mark Richt and nothing has changed. If he keeps him next year Georgia will want Kirby head
Bobo averaged 35 points a game when he was here before. Offense was NOT the problem back then! Dawg fans LOVE a narrative and repeat it regardless of reality How about the players block somebody and do their job!
@@wesleybaker9724Bobo lovers point to PPG in a season. Yet they always leave out the busted games when he gets stuck on repeat. 487 toss sweep or screen plays later, and Georgia takes another L. Bobo is a problem
Because Georgia has 5 good receivers where Alabama only has 1 elite receiver and 1 other good receiver. Tennessees 2 outside corners are great but the drop off at nickel and safety is significant.
@@tylorarcher8439 I said good, not elite. Good receivers will win against bad corners and safeties. And guess what? Tennessee only has two good corners. So the to safeties and the nickel are going to get consistently beat. Georgia will be able to move the football.
I mean Tenn defense is good, but it didn't make Milroe throw it 10 yards over WR heads. Only game I've ever seen him play like that. Still give credit to Tenn ofc but you cant say you didn't see it
@tylorarcher8439 yes at times Tenn did. But you just ignoring the other times when he had clean pocket and threw it into the bleachers? He was banged up man..
@@sethmartin7084 Nico was doing the same thing and he went out of the game with an injury and came back. What’s your excuse for him only rushing for 11 yards? The Tennessee defensive line was on him like white on rice. And here comes the “he was hurt and didn’t say anything”. Okay, then how about your running backs rushing for a combined 76 yards? Were they all hurt too? How about Ryan Williams with only 70 yards? He hurt to? No matter what angle you use to look at it, the Tennessee defense absolutely dismantled Alabama.
Nico has been playing better every week. Most of the offensive down turn can be explained by a dreadful showing (mostly by Nico) at Arkansas and a bunch of missed opportunities for big plays across the Florida and Bama games. Also I could make a compilation of Nico making great throws on the run. Hit a 99 percentile throw on the run down the field vs Bama. Hit a ridiculously tough throw on a big 3rd down on the move vs Kentucky
The only thing I'd say yall are missing on a little with Tenn's O criticisms (valid) is the early road games. Against OU both tackles were out and Tenn shut down the O. Against Arkansas both tackles still botb sucked due to health and Nico was spooked. Theve been a lot better since then and Nico has been much better since halftime of Bama. No excuse for only 7 1st half points against UK or 7 in 1st Q last week tho. Just saying theyre in better shape now than those road games.
Kirby has absolutely strangled Heupel’s offense. With UGA’s ability to stop the run with 5 guys in the box, I don’t see Tennessee getting Sampson going at all and I doubt Nico is healthy enough make make up for it through the air.
By keeping Tennessee at 7 in the rankings, and jumping 2 teams ahead of them this week, I think the committee is maneuvering to drop UT out of playoff contention if the Vols lose. The committee wants 4 SEC teams, not 5, which it frankly deserves. We'll see how it unfolds, and I hope I'm wrong. As a Dawgs fan, I think a 10-2 Tennessee definitely deserves to be in the playoffs over teams with sparkling records and cushy schedules. Even if Tennessee's schedule is weaker compared to other SEC contenders, it definitely isn't weaker than a single Big 10 schedule, not to mention the lesser conferences.
Georgia 21-17 But I will say if Beck starts with early picks this could turn out an opposite score result. . The key for Georgia is momentum not squandered due to turnovers. The only momentum Georgia had against Ole Miss was in the first 5 minutes of the game. Even against Alabama as poorly as that game started this was not the case. It is hard to imagine it happening to Georgia at home even with their OL struggles. That is if Beck plays ok. Beck is better at home so I think he will be alright even with facing a tough D. But certainly all signs point to a rock fight between the hedges. If you love defensive games this one is probably going to be up your alley. Go Dawgs we got to have it !
Tennessee is as good up front as Ole Miss. it’s been the best part of their defense. They lead the SEC in pressure rate and have the SEC individual leader in that stat in future 1st round pick James Pearce. It wasn’t a grind to get to 25 against OU, they had 19 at half and put it in cruise control to run clock and preserve what they thought would be a big win, knowing Oklahoma couldn’t move the ball
If Nico is healthy, I think you’re wrong. They’ve been playing much better offensively. Nico played a very good game against Alabama, and was on his way to blowing out state before he went down with this mysterious injury 😂. We’ll see, but the offense has been right there in my opinion. Georgia ain’t the same.
As a Dawgs fan, I'll be happy if Georgia beats Tennessee, naturally, and happy my team makes the playoff. However, I don't think, in that scenario, UGA wins it all this year. Too much inconsistency across the board. This is not a championship caliber team this year, and I don't see any way Georgia plays 4 good games in a row. I haven't actually seen a solid game on both sides of the ball from UGA a single time. Granted Georgia doesn't win, I would love to see Ole Miss come out on top.
Some incorrect statements were made. 1) UT has 2 pass rushers in the top 25 of pass rush win% (PFF). Ole Miss has 1 in the top 50. Bama has 2 in the top 25. Tennessee absolutely has a better DL than Ole Miss. You clearly did not research that specific fact. You guys are smart enough to know that sacks is an unstable statistic and that pressure rate is a significantly better indicator of a teams pass rushing ability. 2) Tennessee did not have to "grind" out 25 points on the road against Oklahoma. The score was 22 - 3 going into the 4th quarter. Oklahoma was getting destroyed. Did they have mistakes and missed opportunities? Of course, but it was not a slow grind to get 25 point. That kind of framing makes it sounds like it was a tough close game when it never was. Everything else is fair analysis. I disagree with UGA being able to score 25+, but that's because I think UT's DBs are better than you are giving them credit for.
UTs's DBs are very good. Two of them. But Georgia has 5 capable receivers. 5 > 2. Alabama only had two good receivers. Georgia will score 20+ and Tennessee will be lucky to score 14.
"It's crazy to me to think that - were going into Nov 16th, and Tennessee has played 2 road games, and they were against painfully mediocre to bad teams" - Nerd Dan You know who's played even less road games (just 1) against the easiest home field "advantage" in the conference? The "mighty" texas longhorns.
@jpprince5554 Yeah, it's almost as if I made the comment when Dan said his quote and Josh mentioned it at the end of the video. And in these videos, the nerds talk about multiple SEC teams that aren't just the 2 playing, it's called analysis and comparing and contrasting, something the nerds do extremely well. And when it's easy to dunk on texas, I'm going to. (You also can combine both your sentences into 1 comment btw)
@@AceMan-20 seemed like you were trying to dunk on the nerds like they forgot about texas, when its referenced in the video and also not the focus of the video. and thanks for explaining to me what analysis is as if i havent watched all of their videos for the past 2 years.
@TheKingRiku I was referring to the sec championship. Which I thought he was referring to. Perhaps I misunderstood. With that said, a 10-2 TN with losses to Arkansas and Vandy isn't a lock when common opponent outcomes with other 10-2 teams is the factor. Especially if Texas loses to the Aggies and beats Arkansas. Maybe it's more about who your losses are to rather than who your wins are over.
Pearce is good my ass. You're not looking at pressure rate, teams scheme to avoid sacks. Pearce is like 15% above the #2 player in the conference. You always cherry pick shit.
Nico injury is fake. UT knows they will lose this game by 14+ with or without Nico. Might as well sit him so you can have the "we didn't have our QB" excuse come playoff selection time.
You clearly have never played competitive sports with that attitude. Zero percent chance that is happening. Saving this foolish comment for post-Saturday.
How are we favored?? and by that much? We suck. Like genuinely suck. I know UGA owns Tennessee like nobody else but that shouldn't matter when Beck is bad, the WRs and TEs are bad, the OL is meh & the defense is bipolar.
I'm not sure if you watched Tennessee play this year but their offense is even worse than ours. Also Tennessee doesn't play well on the road in Georgia plays pretty well at home. Keep in mind that all of Georgia's big games this season have been on the road
@@Dawg-Bone We got some turnover luck and the D-line had a generational game we've seen like twice in 2 years now. I wouldn't bet on that again. Plus the offense was still bad.
Dude, we're 7-2 against the literal hardest schedule in the country with our two losses coming on the road to top 11 teams, and we have two wins against top 25 teams including a beatdown of the #3 on the road.
If Nico is healthy, I think you’re wrong. They’ve been playing much better offensively. Nico played a very good game against Alabama, and was on his way to blowing out state before he went down with this mysterious injury 😂. We’ll see, but the offense has been right there in my opinion. Georgia ain’t the same.
You guys are so clutch, every Tuesday and Thursday after class while I’m eating lunch without fail.
I miss college so much. Sounds like bliss
Another note on Tennessee, sorry to ramble at you guys, appreciate the show, Tennessee has been running a lot more 12 personnel to help with the numbers problem you mentioned. It has resulted in less possessions and maybe less explosives (though they’ve had many opportunities they just didn’t execute). I don’t know that this change fixes the problem, but it certainly is an adjustment worth watching
COLLEGE FOOTBALL NERDS ARE THE BEST.
I think Ga o-line has struggled all year and that has caused no run game, which makes Beck feel pressure to play hero ball and force. This game imo comes down to whether Kirby lets the d-line loose, or plays a slow rush to watch for the scrabble approach. Hope they let em go get ball. Ga Dawgs!
Very much worried about my Vols in this one. Afraid this game may look a lot like the 2022 game. It definitely will, if not worse, if Nico isn't playing.
Yep it will
I’m a UGA fan Drew and I feel the worries on this side. I watched your defense against Alabama and was very impressed. I don’t think it’ll be a high scoring game. We’ll have to wait and see. I sincerely hope Nico is healthy and ready to play.
Don't worry, if Nico isn't healthy, Carson Beck will just throw to your team and let you borrow the Georgia offense too /s
Georgia's offense is not good and Tenn defense is special. How you see a potential 22 repeat is beyond me.
@@coltonditmore9087 The oddsmakers seem to agree that it's a real possibilty, too. A lot of reasons. UGA up against the wall, UT struggling on the road with Heupel, UT's run defense showing some kinks in the armor the last couple of weeks, concerns at qb for UT, etc.
And then there's this.
41-0
38-12
43-14
44-21
41-17
27-13
38-10
Imagine Georgia loses and then Vandy beats Tennessee
That would put us on a serious 2007 path 😂
That’s not the craziest thing lol. Has a better chance of happening than it should.
That would be very Tennessee of Tennessee to do that
Give me UGA 27-13.
Bounce back game for the dawgs and the Vols aint all that.
Are we factoring in 2-3 Beck INTs?
We're about to find out if concussion protocol really means anything when the CFP is involved.
Concussion protocol could mean a lot of things, though. We don't know if he really had a full concussion or maybe just a couple symptoms and it really was just precaution. They take this stuff pretty seriously these days. I don't think Heupel can/will put him out there if he's not medically cleared.
@@drewc771there isn’t a single team doctor in the country who will risk their career for the sake of winning a football game. Heupel wouldn’t risk it either. It would be a recruiting nightmare when opponents are saying “look at how Tennessee treats players and injuries”
Not saying he isnt in protocal but there still has not been an official announcement on what his injury is. the only thing we have is an anonymous source.
Josh, if you watch Tennessee’s offense you see the issues are execution far more often than schematic. Certainly the defense can do things schematically that make execution more challenging, but Nico overthrowing open receivers and open WR dropping passes is not in line with your analysis. And you clearly think this way sometimes because you don’t give the Vols defense credit for what they did to Milroe. You attributed his struggles to bad passes. So I don’t really get it. I mean obviously we’ll learn more Saturday, but from a season long analysis standpoint your insistence that defenses have “figured it out” doesn’t appear to map onto the opportunities missed by the Vols offense. (But the Vols defense is the beneficiary of bad play of opponents)… just doesn’t compute!
Anyway, still love y’all’s work and will keep listening/watching, but this inconsistency of analysis/persistence in believing the Heupel system has been figured out isn’t resonating with what I see. (Nor others. Cole Cubilic had a nice little blurb about this a few weeks back).
No one “figured” out his offensive system. The clock rule changes rendered his system nearly obsolete. The only question now is how long will it take Heupel to realize it and change his scheme.
I agree. How many big chunk plays have been called back for dumb penalties, fumbles, drops etc? It’s always something with this offense.
You didn't see Milroe missing wide open passes or not running when he had 30 yards of green grass? Both can be true (Tenn defense played decently, and Milroe played the worst game of his career) In fact, that was the lowest QBR by a Bama QB since Jalen Hurts 2017. So yeah it was more so on him fucking up but credit to Tenn they played well
@@MH-0101not sure what the clock has to do with anything but this year's team does not play nearly as fast as previous years. They slow it down much more often and actually vary their splits. Not always sideline to sideline anymore. I think everything we've seen from tennessee this season has been building up to this game. They spent all off season trying to get more physical and win games differently than relying on the deep ball. I think that's why it's been jarring to the eye because it's not high flying anymore but truly a smash mouth scheme that can hit timely passes
If UGA wins, it's gonna be hard to place 3 teams. Bama > UGA, UGA > TN, TN > Bama. All 2 losses. Guess it goes to SOS? So 1 UGA, 2 Bama, 3 TN? This is a crazy year.
Yeah there are 5 or 6 total tiebreaker metrics, and they have Tennessee losing everywhere but head to head.
As far as SEC standings go, it would put it:
1. Bama
2. Georgia
3. Tennessee
Alabama gets the nod over georgia based on opponent record% uga ain't making the sec championship game
@@zugetsui9971 Oh we know. We're just trying to get invited to the playoff dance. #5 spot and hosting Boise at home would be the dream. We'd find out if we could stop Ashton Jeanty.
@@zugetsui9971who care about Sec championship UGA can still make it to the playoff if they finish out there season with all 3wins without playing the SEC championship
Carson Beck is an INT machine so they'll have to try to run, and their run offense is terrible, compared to TN Vols defense. I'm sorry, the Vols win this game.
I am getting word that Trevor Etienne (their starting RB) will not play this game. He is out with an upper body injury. It's going to be a long game for UGA's offense. Frazier and Bell will have to step up. Hope Frazier can have the type of game he had against Clemson. This will be a low scoring game in my opinion. Georgia being at home is the only thing that can really help them - but it don't look good for UGA and I am a DAWGS fan. SMH
He had one last week he will have none this game.
@chasejackson7248 we'll see. He's gonna have to heave it 70%
If Nico doesn't play and UT loses, but is healthy in a couple of weeks...wouldn't the CFP take that into account when looking at this game?
No. Not if they have to choose between UGA and Tennessee for the playoff. You’re gonna get the reverse FSU treatment. In this case, they will say the result on the field has to matter.
Are they going to take into account all of Georgias injuries if they lose?
@@autonomouspilgrimage6137 Idk. Everybody has some injuries. But not having QB1 usually carries more weight than any other injuries.
I was also asking a question, not making a statement. Is your opinion that the answer is simply no?
They might take it into account, but Tennessee would probably be in a bit of a logjam depending on how many other two loss teams there are
@@Encyclopedia_Brown97 I frikkin loved Encyclopedia Brown as a kid :)
Admittedly I'm biased, but Bama should have beaten Tenn. Milroe was throwing it 10 yards over wide open receivers all day, not to mention the OC abandoned the run and had him throw it 50x. Credit to Tenn but they were fortunate.
How many wide open guys did nico miss deep? And those were for TDs. Tennessee scores like 45 points if they hit on just 3 of those
@Bluechip21 true but those are low percentage throws. Milroe was airmailing intermediate and short passes.
Great breakdown. Keep up the great work.
Who has the highest pressure rate in the conference?
In retrospect, a pretty good analysis.
If Beck gets beat by Tennessee it will be his last game as a dawg. The fans will attack Kirby for his job if he plays Beck after Tennessee. Something has happened to Georgia to even allow Bobo to be offensive coordinator. As they say cannot teach an old dog new tricks. Bobo was bad with Mark Richt and nothing has changed. If he keeps him next year Georgia will want Kirby head
Bobo averaged 35 points a game when he was here before. Offense was NOT the problem back then!
Dawg fans LOVE a narrative and repeat it regardless of reality
How about the players block somebody and do their job!
@@wesleybaker9724Bobo lovers point to PPG in a season. Yet they always leave out the busted games when he gets stuck on repeat. 487 toss sweep or screen plays later, and Georgia takes another L. Bobo is a problem
Milroe was injured during tennessee. Healthy milroe lights tennessee up.
He had to be right, lowest QBR by a Bama QB in 7 years.
No team this year has scored more than 19 points against Tennessee, alabama could only score 17. what makes you believe Georgia can score 25 😂
Easy. Transitive property doesn’t apply to football
Because Georgia has 5 good receivers where Alabama only has 1 elite receiver and 1 other good receiver. Tennessees 2 outside corners are great but the drop off at nickel and safety is significant.
@@MH-0101Georgia leading the country in dropped passes says otherwise
@@tylorarcher8439 I said good, not elite. Good receivers will win against bad corners and safeties. And guess what? Tennessee only has two good corners. So the to safeties and the nickel are going to get consistently beat. Georgia will be able to move the football.
@@MH-0101man ga receivers are ass and you know this
Was hearing the same junk frrom the channel pre-Bama game. Lets go. 🍊
This game not at home
I mean Tenn defense is good, but it didn't make Milroe throw it 10 yards over WR heads. Only game I've ever seen him play like that. Still give credit to Tenn ofc but you cant say you didn't see it
@@sethmartin7084they did make him do that though. Our defensive line collapsed the pocket constantly and made it uncomfortable for him.
@tylorarcher8439 yes at times Tenn did. But you just ignoring the other times when he had clean pocket and threw it into the bleachers? He was banged up man..
@@sethmartin7084 Nico was doing the same thing and he went out of the game with an injury and came back. What’s your excuse for him only rushing for 11 yards? The Tennessee defensive line was on him like white on rice. And here comes the “he was hurt and didn’t say anything”. Okay, then how about your running backs rushing for a combined 76 yards? Were they all hurt too? How about Ryan Williams with only 70 yards? He hurt to? No matter what angle you use to look at it, the Tennessee defense absolutely dismantled Alabama.
Nico has been playing better every week. Most of the offensive down turn can be explained by a dreadful showing (mostly by Nico) at Arkansas and a bunch of missed opportunities for big plays across the Florida and Bama games. Also I could make a compilation of Nico making great throws on the run. Hit a 99 percentile throw on the run down the field vs Bama. Hit a ridiculously tough throw on a big 3rd down on the move vs Kentucky
With the injury that just came out, Georgia’s top 3 backs are out and a 4th questionable. Does that change anything? Just curious
Top 3 backs? The second leading rusher is Frazier. He’s playing. They will move Dillon Bell to rb if needed as well.
Your model is not showing what you said in the video.
The only thing I'd say yall are missing on a little with Tenn's O criticisms (valid) is the early road games. Against OU both tackles were out and Tenn shut down the O. Against Arkansas both tackles still botb sucked due to health and Nico was spooked. Theve been a lot better since then and Nico has been much better since halftime of Bama. No excuse for only 7 1st half points against UK or 7 in 1st Q last week tho. Just saying theyre in better shape now than those road games.
Mic is much better Daniel! Love the show
Kirby has absolutely strangled Heupel’s offense. With UGA’s ability to stop the run with 5 guys in the box, I don’t see Tennessee getting Sampson going at all and I doubt Nico is healthy enough make make up for it through the air.
By keeping Tennessee at 7 in the rankings, and jumping 2 teams ahead of them this week, I think the committee is maneuvering to drop UT out of playoff contention if the Vols lose. The committee wants 4 SEC teams, not 5, which it frankly deserves. We'll see how it unfolds, and I hope I'm wrong. As a Dawgs fan, I think a 10-2 Tennessee definitely deserves to be in the playoffs over teams with sparkling records and cushy schedules. Even if Tennessee's schedule is weaker compared to other SEC contenders, it definitely isn't weaker than a single Big 10 schedule, not to mention the lesser conferences.
Georgia 21-17 But I will say if Beck starts with early picks this could turn out
an opposite score result. . The key for Georgia is momentum
not squandered due to turnovers. The only momentum Georgia had against
Ole Miss was in the first 5 minutes of the game. Even against Alabama as
poorly as that game started this was not the case. It is hard to imagine
it happening to Georgia at home even with their OL struggles. That is
if Beck plays ok. Beck is better at home so I think he will be alright
even with facing a tough D. But certainly all signs point to a rock fight
between the hedges. If you love defensive games this one is probably
going to be up your alley. Go Dawgs we got to have it !
Tennessee is as good up front as Ole Miss. it’s been the best part of their defense. They lead the SEC in pressure rate and have the SEC individual leader in that stat in future 1st round pick James Pearce.
It wasn’t a grind to get to 25 against OU, they had 19 at half and put it in cruise control to run clock and preserve what they thought would be a big win, knowing Oklahoma couldn’t move the ball
In case you haven't noticed, Nico is cleared to play and yet the line hasn't moved. Tennessee is going to lose this game with or without Nico.
Your model says 17.2-17.4, Tennessee winning by 0.2. What changed in the model since you looked it up?
That's weird. Earlier in the video, 2:55, you said the model showed GA 19 vs TN 16. But just now 15:49, the model shows 17.2 to 17.4
If Nico is healthy, I think you’re wrong. They’ve been playing much better offensively. Nico played a very good game against Alabama, and was on his way to blowing out state before he went down with this mysterious injury 😂. We’ll see, but the offense has been right there in my opinion. Georgia ain’t the same.
Tennessee 13-10
As a Dawgs fan, I'll be happy if Georgia beats Tennessee, naturally, and happy my team makes the playoff. However, I don't think, in that scenario, UGA wins it all this year. Too much inconsistency across the board. This is not a championship caliber team this year, and I don't see any way Georgia plays 4 good games in a row. I haven't actually seen a solid game on both sides of the ball from UGA a single time. Granted Georgia doesn't win, I would love to see Ole Miss come out on top.
Nobody knows until the game is over!
Go Vols!!!
Nico is gonna play but he’s coming off concussion protocol so they’re gonna wanna protect him
Man, I hope Tennessee wins and I’m an Alabama alum
Question is. Will Daniel be wrong about UGA winning 2 weeks in a row? 🤔
Some incorrect statements were made.
1) UT has 2 pass rushers in the top 25 of pass rush win% (PFF). Ole Miss has 1 in the top 50. Bama has 2 in the top 25. Tennessee absolutely has a better DL than Ole Miss. You clearly did not research that specific fact. You guys are smart enough to know that sacks is an unstable statistic and that pressure rate is a significantly better indicator of a teams pass rushing ability.
2) Tennessee did not have to "grind" out 25 points on the road against Oklahoma. The score was 22 - 3 going into the 4th quarter. Oklahoma was getting destroyed. Did they have mistakes and missed opportunities? Of course, but it was not a slow grind to get 25 point. That kind of framing makes it sounds like it was a tough close game when it never was.
Everything else is fair analysis. I disagree with UGA being able to score 25+, but that's because I think UT's DBs are better than you are giving them credit for.
UTs's DBs are very good. Two of them. But Georgia has 5 capable receivers. 5 > 2. Alabama only had two good receivers. Georgia will score 20+ and Tennessee will be lucky to score 14.
Dang Josh, who's David? Lol you cheatin on Daniel? 😂 @collegefootballnerds
"It's crazy to me to think that - were going into Nov 16th, and Tennessee has played 2 road games, and they were against painfully mediocre to bad teams" - Nerd Dan
You know who's played even less road games (just 1) against the easiest home field "advantage" in the conference?
The "mighty" texas longhorns.
21:30 they literally acknowledged that in this very video
its almost like this video is about UGA vs Tenn & not Texas
@jpprince5554 Yeah, it's almost as if I made the comment when Dan said his quote and Josh mentioned it at the end of the video.
And in these videos, the nerds talk about multiple SEC teams that aren't just the 2 playing, it's called analysis and comparing and contrasting, something the nerds do extremely well.
And when it's easy to dunk on texas, I'm going to.
(You also can combine both your sentences into 1 comment btw)
@@AceMan-20 seemed like you were trying to dunk on the nerds like they forgot about texas, when its referenced in the video and also not the focus of the video. and thanks for explaining to me what analysis is as if i havent watched all of their videos for the past 2 years.
@@AceMan-20 and sometimes you have an additional thought after you write a comment. so you make another one.
21-13 Vols
24-17 Vols
This is a playoff game for the Dawgs. Lose and they are out. Also, 2 more UGA RBs hit the injury report, including Etienne.
Josh hasn't been wrong all year!
Vols bouta beat Georgia’s ass
😂
There is no standing steaming pile that Vol fans won't step in.
Thanks for proving the point.
After y'all's LSU/Bama pick its hard to take you serious.
You get all your picks right every week? You need to start betting
Josh picked Bama, tho…
Lets just pretend that UGA hasn’t had their fair share of struggles this season. Nope, just the Vols 😂
Nobody was pretending, tennessee just can't beat georgia in Athens or anywhere for that matter
Let's pretend Heupel's dad is not Kirby Smart
Georgia is 104th in rushing offense
the Grindevet 12 whiskey add lol
Tn isnt mathematically guaranteed with a win. They still have Vandy.
A 10-2 Tennessee with wins over Georgia and Bama is a playoff lock.
@TheKingRiku I was referring to the sec championship. Which I thought he was referring to. Perhaps I misunderstood. With that said, a 10-2 TN with losses to Arkansas and Vandy isn't a lock when common opponent outcomes with other 10-2 teams is the factor. Especially if Texas loses to the Aggies and beats Arkansas. Maybe it's more about who your losses are to rather than who your wins are over.
Cool. So Tennesse wins.
GATA Dawgs
Georgia wins 33-15
Pearce is good my ass. You're not looking at pressure rate, teams scheme to avoid sacks. Pearce is like 15% above the #2 player in the conference.
You always cherry pick shit.
Daniel wrong on every uga bet lol analysis like a 5 year old child
Josh is OK tho
Nico injury is fake. UT knows they will lose this game by 14+ with or without Nico. Might as well sit him so you can have the "we didn't have our QB" excuse come playoff selection time.
You clearly have never played competitive sports with that attitude. Zero percent chance that is happening. Saving this foolish comment for post-Saturday.
Tennessee - 10
Georgia - 30
Go Dawgs! Sic Em!
There is a better chance of aliens abducting everyone than that score taking place. Will be a one score game.
How are we favored?? and by that much? We suck. Like genuinely suck. I know UGA owns Tennessee like nobody else but that shouldn't matter when Beck is bad, the WRs and TEs are bad, the OL is meh & the defense is bipolar.
I'm not sure if you watched Tennessee play this year but their offense is even worse than ours. Also Tennessee doesn't play well on the road in Georgia plays pretty well at home. Keep in mind that all of Georgia's big games this season have been on the road
All that, and we beat Texas. What’s your point?
@@Dawg-Bonehe did mention the lines were bipolar lol. Hook em. I think GA covers.
@@Dawg-Bone We got some turnover luck and the D-line had a generational game we've seen like twice in 2 years now. I wouldn't bet on that again. Plus the offense was still bad.
Dude, we're 7-2 against the literal hardest schedule in the country with our two losses coming on the road to top 11 teams, and we have two wins against top 25 teams including a beatdown of the #3 on the road.
Georgia win 27 - 13
Are we factoring TN only played 3 road games so far and lost one of those to an unranked Arkansas?
If Nico is healthy, I think you’re wrong. They’ve been playing much better offensively. Nico played a very good game against Alabama, and was on his way to blowing out state before he went down with this mysterious injury 😂. We’ll see, but the offense has been right there in my opinion. Georgia ain’t the same.