We generally have a good handle on the form of Pog, Rog and Remco. The only question mark is Jonas' fitness which the first week should make clear. But he has what I would term 'plausible excusability' if he is not on top form. And if he does manage to win, well then that would be nothing short of incredible and a real psychological blow to Pog and the rest.
Yeah. As a dane, I wouldn't be dissapointed if Jonas does not win the Tour. That crash was horrible, and I totally understand if he isn't 100% at this years tour. Will also add some extra tension and questions. Hopefully won't just be the "Pog show", but a great competition.
Indeed no one outside of the team really knows what Jonas is capable of. They really waited until about the last moment to announce his participation. The team hasn't made any bold predictions, more so they have tempered the hopes for Jonas a bit. I really wouldn't be surprised if he finishes off the podium or even at all. The guy is made of different stuff that is for sure so maybe we will see a solid Jonas. I think we may see some drama in Visma, if Jonas is not quite there, then do they turn to Jorgenson who has looked great this year, or Kuss who has only looked so so. I so suspect UAE are going to take it to Visma in week one and try and test them early. Man, it's going to be a fun watch this year. I am going on holiday during week one so I will try my best to catch up on the races whilst travelling.
Oh, you are so young! :) I am Dane, and lived in Germany back in 1996 when Bjarne Riis won. That summer we had borrowed a holiday home up in Thy and followed the Tour. Funny to think that there was a woman 4 months pregnant a few kilometers away carrying our next champion :)
I know the feeling. I think 1992 was yesterday when my German spouse and I slammed our suitcases into the car in a backyard in Frankfurt to go on holiday in Denmark. It was hot and everyone had their windows open. Suddenly there was a huge roar from everyone's windows and we looked at each other and thought that Germany got their first goal. We could have listened on the radio, but didn't. It wasn't until we passed the border to Denmark that we discovered what had happened. Everyone was out partying and celebrating like crazy! The roar in Frankfurt had been in pain, not joy.
This is the video that I've been waiting for, except for the absence of Ewan. All of the speculation about Jonas will be wiped away soon enough. I think Jonas is too much of a professional to put himself into the TdF if he didn't know that he can perform. I hope that you're wrong for the third time Scott!
The last 10 days are so hard we could have a second tier winner…I think UAE which looks like a great climbing team will not be around as it is too hard…Visma looks to be the better team for this but it will depend upon how Jonas/Sepp/Matteo are going
lol you think that uae woun't be around in the last 10 days? they have the best team at the tour. they will either be driving that part hard or defending but they will be the decding factor. Visma have Kuss, who looks to be suffering this year, and Wout, whose form is still in question but probably good, and that's really it. This team is not the same as Jumbo
@@BenjaminUbayyed-po9tc Indeed it is not Jumbo, but even better than last years team... Do not forget that Roglic did not ride for Jumbo in the Tour last year, thus having Jorgenson next to Vingegaard is already a huge improvement... Kuss hasn't been great so far this season, but he has never been great in one week races anyway. (Only one top ten result ever in a one week race in his whole career. Dauphine 2020)... Thus Kuss will as always be in shape in time to help in the three or four stages that it is needed... He can use all the other stages as semi rest days... Benoot has been in great shape the whole season already, thus I would not know why he would not be in great shape during the Tour ? Van Aert will be in great shape, he did race far less because of his injuries.. But he's already back on the bike for two months and has ridden the tour of Norway as a small warming up without taking anyr isk.. And has spend the last month on altitude... Tip, check the numbers he posted, they are crazy good. On that same altitude camp Laporte and Tratnik also did some important work and hard training, and they are great domestics.. Laporte was a bit unlucky during the spring with sickness, but in good shape he's a world class domestic ... Tratnik was on the TdF shortlist since last december already and is in great shape... Kelderman just finished top ten in Switzerland, thus it looks like he's in great shape too. That brings us to Jonas who's the main men... Visma told several times already to the entire world press, that if he could not compete for the win, that he would not be present... Well he's present, thus we can expect him to be in great shape... Which is what his numbers from the altitudecamp in Tignes do prove... I would be more worried about UAE to be honest.... Ayuso and Pollit crashed very hard in the Dauphine... And Yates and Almeida are in to good shape to early already... They are already in their very best shape at thsi moment, while the last week of the Tour is still more than a mmonth from now.. It is impossible to keep this shape for that long... As you can see, we can approach each team from every direction, and we can all give our personal twist on it.. 😉
@@Simonewhitesim-1music I wouldn't read too much into that. If he wanted to skip the national championchips, he had to have a valid reason. He was reconning the first TT on friday, so I doubt he was actually ill.
Interesting, why do you think Pogi might have a problem: too much kms in legs or he doesn't deal with steep hot day that well like we witnessed in the last two years?
@@recrevs963 Just look back the last three editions of the Tour and you will undertstand. Because yes even in 2021 in the Tour that Pogacar won, it was Vingegaard who was the better of the two after the 11th stage... Pogacar does waste to much energy in stupid sprints and attacks that bring almost no time gain, and Jonas does put the hammer down two or three times and gaines 5/6/7 minutes.... Jonas his endurance is just bigger in a three week race.... Which is the reason that Visma does keep the pace very high each stage. Pogacar will always beat Vingegaard in a one day race or a race of just one week... But in a race of three weeks I do never see Pogacar beat Vingegaard, the difference is just to big between the both... But this said, this season could be different since we do not know in what shape Jonas is... But if both are in top shape/fitness Vingegaard will win his third in a row without any problem..
@@recrevs963 based upon looking at some of the results from the TdF the last few years, longer hard days with heat seem to really impact his performance vs Jonas…I have no secret information but if you just look at results there is a pattern…lets see if the pattern holds…I think though that the terrain suites Pogi much more in the first 10 days so my guess is he will be in the lead maybe by minutes
If the peloton, and leaders want to respect the race, they will ride tempo, tone the race down, until Vingo, can ride himself into shape. If the peloton rides 100%, Jonas will likely crash out.
Let's be even MORE real. EVERYONE said he would NEVER be here. He is. It's not about VO2 max or 3 months recovery. This is the unstoppable WIN-gegaard!
I’ll be quite surprised and extremely impressed if Jonas wins this Tour. With the injuries he sustained combined with how dominant Pogacar has been this year it will be a legendary win if Jonas can prevail.
@@savagepro9060 Jonas is at the start line because he won last year and Visma can market him. No one really expects him to even be competitive. If Jonas wins this right after recovering for months from serious injuries, we need to take a serious look at Visma and their credibility.
Pidcock will never win a grand tour, he's too selfish and does not have the stamina. If every stage was an hour long, he's your boy. Pogi could try too hard in the 1st week to put Jonas in trouble! Excellent review, thanks.
Great review as always! I hate to be a buzz kill, but miniature cyclists like Jonas aren’t very inspirational role models.He’s won it twice, which is great and I hope he’s in decent shape this year, although I’d love to see Täde or Roglic dominate this year’s tour.
@@miche_amico Yes, it seems strange. He has beaten Jasper Philipsen a couple ofte times this season. It would have been an exciting sprinter match to watch.
I really just want a competitive race. I have to wonder how the UAE team will ride together. There are some big egos there. I would not be a bit surprised if the UAE super domestiques go off script and head up the road going for their own stage wins instead of the team win. Honestly, assuming a "safe" tour(no big crashes for the favorites), that is the only way I see Pogacar not making the race uncompetitive.
Winning races is not the goal of these teams. The goal is gaining and maintaining sponsorships, and winning races is only the most obvious way to achieve that goal. Breakaways, for example, get a ton of air time even though that don't succeed all that often, but air time is likely what sponsors want the most.
@@fangru7294I did not say I assumed it would happen. I said it would be interesting to see. What is stupid is not really reading or understanding what someone wrote, and throwing out something that assumes you did. I will assume English is not your first language. For example.
4 contenders and 1 verry big outsider who could be the supprize !? Pogacar,Roglic,Vingegaard and Remco will fight for a good GC, if they all ad least 90% we gonna see the tour of tours ! ! Best tour ever ? But Bernal is for me also a contender for yellow jersey. Verry less people think of him. But he was pretty good last month ... Without bad luck ore injuries I give 27% to Vingegaard 23% to pogacar 21% to Roglic 19% to remco 8% to Bernal 2% A new huge upcomming talent !
They all said Jonas is out Now he is back! They all say he won't win Let's wait and see . . . meantime the Le Tour's official tailors are already measuring the Final Yellow Jersey in Vingegaard's size . . . Size Champion!
thecyclingdane: "Tour de France 2024 Preview Show - Jonas Vingegaard Vs Tadej Pogacar For the Yellow Jersey?" Answer: Jonas Vingegaard is NOT competing with Pogacar. Jonas is untouchable in a league of his own. So it's Pogacar vs Pogacar for the gift-shop off-color Yellow Jersey!
Great video thank you 🙏
Probably the strongest start list ever. Definitely in the 30 or so years I have been watching.
2000 with Ullrich, Pantani, Armstrong was insane, also 2003.
We generally have a good handle on the form of Pog, Rog and Remco. The only question mark is Jonas' fitness which the first week should make clear. But he has what I would term 'plausible excusability' if he is not on top form. And if he does manage to win, well then that would be nothing short of incredible and a real psychological blow to Pog and the rest.
Yeah. As a dane, I wouldn't be dissapointed if Jonas does not win the Tour.
That crash was horrible, and I totally understand if he isn't 100% at this years tour.
Will also add some extra tension and questions. Hopefully won't just be the "Pog show", but a great competition.
Indeed no one outside of the team really knows what Jonas is capable of. They really waited until about the last moment to announce his participation. The team hasn't made any bold predictions, more so they have tempered the hopes for Jonas a bit. I really wouldn't be surprised if he finishes off the podium or even at all. The guy is made of different stuff that is for sure so maybe we will see a solid Jonas. I think we may see some drama in Visma, if Jonas is not quite there, then do they turn to Jorgenson who has looked great this year, or Kuss who has only looked so so. I so suspect UAE are going to take it to Visma in week one and try and test them early. Man, it's going to be a fun watch this year. I am going on holiday during week one so I will try my best to catch up on the races whilst travelling.
Oh, you are so young! :) I am Dane, and lived in Germany back in 1996 when Bjarne Riis won. That summer we had borrowed a holiday home up in Thy and followed the Tour. Funny to think that there was a woman 4 months pregnant a few kilometers away carrying our next champion :)
I know the feeling. I think 1992 was yesterday when my German spouse and I slammed our suitcases into the car in a backyard in Frankfurt to go on holiday in Denmark. It was hot and everyone had their windows open. Suddenly there was a huge roar from everyone's windows and we looked at each other and thought that Germany got their first goal.
We could have listened on the radio, but didn't. It wasn't until we passed the border to Denmark that we discovered what had happened. Everyone was out partying and celebrating like crazy! The roar in Frankfurt had been in pain, not joy.
I have a thinking Pog will try and break Jonas and Roglic every day (he cannot help himself!) and crack on one of the final days
This is the video that I've been waiting for, except for the absence of Ewan. All of the speculation about Jonas will be wiped away soon enough. I think Jonas is too much of a professional to put himself into the TdF if he didn't know that he can perform. I hope that you're wrong for the third time Scott!
The last 10 days are so hard we could have a second tier winner…I think UAE which looks like a great climbing team will not be around as it is too hard…Visma looks to be the better team for this but it will depend upon how Jonas/Sepp/Matteo are going
UEA and BORA are good but they need to fine tune their tactics to get the most of their riders
lol you think that uae woun't be around in the last 10 days? they have the best team at the tour. they will either be driving that part hard or defending but they will be the decding factor. Visma have Kuss, who looks to be suffering this year, and Wout, whose form is still in question but probably good, and that's really it. This team is not the same as Jumbo
@@BenjaminUbayyed-po9tc Indeed it is not Jumbo, but even better than last years team... Do not forget that Roglic did not ride for Jumbo in the Tour last year, thus having Jorgenson next to Vingegaard is already a huge improvement...
Kuss hasn't been great so far this season, but he has never been great in one week races anyway. (Only one top ten result ever in a one week race in his whole career. Dauphine 2020)... Thus Kuss will as always be in shape in time to help in the three or four stages that it is needed... He can use all the other stages as semi rest days...
Benoot has been in great shape the whole season already, thus I would not know why he would not be in great shape during the Tour ?
Van Aert will be in great shape, he did race far less because of his injuries.. But he's already back on the bike for two months and has ridden the tour of Norway as a small warming up without taking anyr isk.. And has spend the last month on altitude... Tip, check the numbers he posted, they are crazy good. On that same altitude camp Laporte and Tratnik also did some important work and hard training, and they are great domestics.. Laporte was a bit unlucky during the spring with sickness, but in good shape he's a world class domestic ... Tratnik was on the TdF shortlist since last december already and is in great shape...
Kelderman just finished top ten in Switzerland, thus it looks like he's in great shape too.
That brings us to Jonas who's the main men... Visma told several times already to the entire world press, that if he could not compete for the win, that he would not be present... Well he's present, thus we can expect him to be in great shape... Which is what his numbers from the altitudecamp in Tignes do prove...
I would be more worried about UAE to be honest.... Ayuso and Pollit crashed very hard in the Dauphine... And Yates and Almeida are in to good shape to early already... They are already in their very best shape at thsi moment, while the last week of the Tour is still more than a mmonth from now.. It is impossible to keep this shape for that long...
As you can see, we can approach each team from every direction, and we can all give our personal twist on it.. 😉
Waiting on Remco for tour. How lean and crucially no bad days … he’ll be close to Roglic performance wise.
I've heard he has gotten sick.
@@Simonewhitesim-1music I wouldn't read too much into that. If he wanted to skip the national championchips, he had to have a valid reason. He was reconning the first TT on friday, so I doubt he was actually ill.
@@christophemartens9016 Cheers.
Because race is so hard watch out for Geraint/Egan
I hate to say, but the only thing Ineos can hope for is winning some stages.
Holding my breath
If UAE execute a consistently good strategy, Tadej is gonna get it. But that’s a solid IF.
When Pog launches only an in-form Jonas or Primos on a great day can stay with him. Unless he hits the tarmac, Pog will win by at least 5 minutes.
This is Pogi’s tour to be honest. I think Primoz will make it interesting but won’t be a serious threat, same goes for Jonas.
Im sorry but think your right , still we have to remember jonas won al untill the crash we never know , but poogi look super strong
Work on your audio, jeez! Mumble mumble
Too many KJs in the last week for Tadej…if Jonas comes good he can gain 3-5min
Interesting, why do you think Pogi might have a problem: too much kms in legs or he doesn't deal with steep hot day that well like we witnessed in the last two years?
@@recrevs963 Just look back the last three editions of the Tour and you will undertstand. Because yes even in 2021 in the Tour that Pogacar won, it was Vingegaard who was the better of the two after the 11th stage...
Pogacar does waste to much energy in stupid sprints and attacks that bring almost no time gain, and Jonas does put the hammer down two or three times and gaines 5/6/7 minutes....
Jonas his endurance is just bigger in a three week race.... Which is the reason that Visma does keep the pace very high each stage.
Pogacar will always beat Vingegaard in a one day race or a race of just one week... But in a race of three weeks I do never see Pogacar beat Vingegaard, the difference is just to big between the both...
But this said, this season could be different since we do not know in what shape Jonas is... But if both are in top shape/fitness Vingegaard will win his third in a row without any problem..
@@recrevs963 based upon looking at some of the results from the TdF the last few years, longer hard days with heat seem to really impact his performance vs Jonas…I have no secret information but if you just look at results there is a pattern…lets see if the pattern holds…I think though that the terrain suites Pogi much more in the first 10 days so my guess is he will be in the lead maybe by minutes
Only Jonas the KING !!
No matter who will win the TdF, one thing is for sure : the winner will be a big doper !!!
Old and boring news mate !
We are here for Thecyclingdane and TDF😊
Jonas will win this year tour by several minutes. Pog will finish in second and Rog will avoid crashes and finish 3rd.
🤣
If the peloton, and leaders want to respect the race, they will ride tempo, tone the race down, until Vingo, can ride himself into shape. If the peloton rides 100%, Jonas will likely crash out.
Let's be real. The guy punctured a lung. I don't care how high his VO2 max is, 3 months recovery is not going to win the TDF.
Let's be even MORE real. EVERYONE said he would NEVER be here. He is. It's not about VO2 max or 3 months recovery. This is the unstoppable WIN-gegaard!
I’ll be quite surprised and extremely impressed if Jonas wins this Tour. With the injuries he sustained combined with how dominant Pogacar has been this year it will be a legendary win if Jonas can prevail.
@@orangeorphan consider it done
@@savagepro9060 Jonas is at the start line because he won last year and Visma can market him. No one really expects him to even be competitive.
If Jonas wins this right after recovering for months from serious injuries, we need to take a serious look at Visma and their credibility.
Of cource he wont win , he wil do praktiserende for the vuelta
Cav won't win the stage to break the record
“Roglic has come out of the Basque crash a lot better than Remco”… yeah.. because he didn’t break anything !!
Pidcock will never win a grand tour, he's too selfish and does not have the stamina. If every stage was an hour long, he's your boy. Pogi could try too hard in the 1st week to put Jonas in trouble! Excellent review, thanks.
To much hype around Pidcock
Excellent mountain bike etc etc ,Excellent 1 day racer , but got a hell of a lot to learn about being a team player
He’s a really young guy he’ll mature and once he finishes MTB he’ll end up with a Maillot J
UAE has too many chiefs. No real domestiques on the squad. Huge mistake not bringing a Laengen or Novak.
Great review as always! I hate to be a buzz kill, but miniature cyclists like Jonas aren’t very inspirational role models.He’s won it twice, which is great and I hope he’s in decent shape this year, although I’d love to see Täde or Roglic dominate this year’s tour.
Have you seen his legs?!?! Not minature I dare say 😅🤣
What does size have to do with being a role model?
Seems very strange to me not to mention Tim Merlier?!?!?!
He's not on TdF team.
@@jeffschmid2538 Okay. What a shame.
I think quickstep are making a mistake not bringing him, he would have a great chance of winning one or two stages.
@@miche_amico Yes, it seems strange. He has beaten Jasper Philipsen a couple ofte times this season. It would have been an exciting sprinter match to watch.
Merlier is great right now. His absence weakens the competition.
I really just want a competitive race. I have to wonder how the UAE team will ride together. There are some big egos there. I would not be a bit surprised if the UAE super domestiques go off script and head up the road going for their own stage wins instead of the team win. Honestly, assuming a "safe" tour(no big crashes for the favorites), that is the only way I see Pogacar not making the race uncompetitive.
Winning races is not the goal of these teams. The goal is gaining and maintaining sponsorships, and winning races is only the most obvious way to achieve that goal. Breakaways, for example, get a ton of air time even though that don't succeed all that often, but air time is likely what sponsors want the most.
@@Frostbiker That is why it is off script! I don't think you read, or understood what I wrote. Read it, and see that your response makes no sense.
Thats stupid to assume with Pogacar in the team.
@@fangru7294I did not say I assumed it would happen. I said it would be interesting to see. What is stupid is not really reading or understanding what someone wrote, and throwing out something that assumes you did. I will assume English is not your first language. For example.
4 contenders and 1 verry big outsider who could be the supprize !? Pogacar,Roglic,Vingegaard and Remco will fight for a good GC, if they all ad least 90% we gonna see the tour of tours ! ! Best tour ever ? But Bernal is for me also a contender for yellow jersey. Verry less people think of him. But he was pretty good last month ...
Without bad luck ore injuries I give
27% to Vingegaard
23% to pogacar
21% to Roglic
19% to remco
8% to Bernal
2% A new huge upcomming talent !
Think bernal will finish higher than Remco. I know Remco will toast him in TT but i thing he will have 2-3 days in the mountains to forget
The Bernal who just got owned in Tour de Suisse by A.Yates and Almeida..?
Bernal is no where near the top 4 riders.
Hes 2nd tier.
@@jeffkuzzen Agreed. Dont know what he's smoking
They all said Jonas is out
Now he is back!
They all say he won't win
Let's wait and see . . . meantime the Le Tour's official tailors are already measuring the Final Yellow Jersey in Vingegaard's size . . . Size Champion!
I think your post will age badly.
@@LAMF24 there is always commentary plastic surgery🤣
Remco won't even be in the top 10. Waste of time discussing him
thecyclingdane: "Tour de France 2024 Preview Show - Jonas Vingegaard Vs Tadej Pogacar For the Yellow Jersey?"
Answer: Jonas Vingegaard is NOT competing with Pogacar. Jonas is untouchable in a league of his own. So it's Pogacar vs Pogacar for the gift-shop off-color Yellow Jersey!
Question: Do you realize how small the margins are between the two riders?
Answer: No
we are tired of your comments keep them for yourself please
I hope you will keep same energy when your boy crumble and will be glad to get at least podium.
@@mariyankolev4427 go back to bed
@@savagepro9060 stoopid
tadej by 15