Yes, I went through the keys and it was very different from what he was saying. He wanted things to shake out a certain way and he couldn't overcome his own bias.
he only judges the sitting party not the opposition, its what they've done over the 4 years he basis the keys on. nothing to do with which party he supports as he has said forever, hes not biased he just got this wrong due to the changes the dems did with the leader, ive always found him fair and honest, maybe you just havent seen enough of him to judge fairly.
@beberivera7011 you look for rasism desperately. Fact is overwhelming majority of the country is not racist and sexist. Refer to Wisconsin senate vs presidential race for the sexism... And for the rasism argument.. Well there certainly is rasism when you see so many black people say they are voting Harris because she is black. Show me 1 person who has said he is voting for Trump because he is white.. Who is rasist. I am waiting!
But the point is that we still elected him. Which this video is about, why somebody was elected . So the argument on the reaction isn't valid considering he was elected twice so you can't blame racism this time. @@beberivera7011
The key system is actually a useful system, but it wasn’t applied correctly. He’s right that elections are a referendum on incumbents, not campaigns. If people have less money in their pocket, they’ll usually vote for the party not in charge, regardless of candidates. If the Republican Party fails to improve people’s lives over the next 4 years, they will suffer the same fate.
This time around there were many of his so-called "keys" that actually were almost of no importance or relevance and seemed to not take into account one or more intangibles that shouldn't be dismissed, like the last pre-election jobs report that only added 12,000 jobs instead of a hoped for 100 thousand jobs???
But that means that using recessions as a metric for the short- and long-term economic keys is wrong. The system is thus flawed, and it should be as humans are emotional beings. Rational homo-economicus does not exist. Of course, all this plays into the idea of factoring misinformation, which makes perfect sense in a digital age.
Open border is another significant factor played here . Litchmen ignored fundamental issues and used misinformation to make judgement. Americans actually realized who is real dictator in the country .
Maybe he needs another key to explain why Harris got 12 million less votes than Biden, while Trump essentially got the same number of votes that he had in 2020.
@@sirtom14 What utter rubbish. Trump was 2,000,000 votes down, lol. Trumps votes were also 8,630,271 LESS than Bidens. Trump can only beat women . Can't beat a man.
Why not go an pay someone to TEACH YOU how to pay attention? You nit wits come on here posting foolishness and donl't know a damn thing. The man ALSO predicted Trump winning in 2016 and his loss in 2020. get over your brainless worship of Trump for a minute...THINK!!!! Or just pay attention,.
He's an excellent history professor, doubt he's going to have trouble with employment anytime soon. He's not making any excuses for his error, he's had a good track record regardless.
@Deathkill06 lol it sounded to me like he is. Bro got waited till the whole map turn red then blamed elon musk and all other factors. The whole world can see what was going to happen months away except for him and while he's high in his imaginary keys.
theres no misinformation in 500k illegal immigrants that entered the country and 30k rapists and murderers that were detained on trump laws and which this incompetent kamala went and released on american soil just to end up killing and raping girls 3 weeks after she released them where are the 350k children gone missing, is 60% increase in sex trafficking misinformation too? after abolishing successful trump border control laws?? they laughed at the Wall, then they turned around and said they would go finance it in her policies, what a joke. sociopaths.
He is proud of predicting Trump victory in 2016 and getting a signed letter from Trump. Instead I think he misinterpreted peoples love for Trump and hate for the economy.
He's got a book To sell I'm sure there will be a lot of recalls now You sound like one of those people that probably believed him and are still in shock that Trump has taken everything including from popular vote from the Latinos and blacks, Alan's agent made sure CNN went softball on him
@@billymanilli There were likely just as many or more voters who voted for Kamala simply because she was a woman as those who voted for Trump simply because he wasn't.
@@billymanillimisogyny had nothing to do with it either. People will vote for a woman if she has good policies. Kamala basically said she would change nothing during bidens term, which means she'll repeat the same policies. Nobody wants more of the same.
I'm a Trump voter but I've kept my eyes and ears tuned into what the professor has been saying. Ultimately he's part of the out of touch elite class in our current society. He was wrong because he doesn't understand the working class or middle class in our country anymore. George Friedman discusses this in his book called the Storm Before the Calm. Anyone reading this comment should read that book including the professor himself. Have a great day!
CNN is becoming more of a comedy show than a news channel. People don’t come here to see the news anymore…they come for the meltdowns, false propaganda, and a laugh. 😅
Technically the system he made would have been right had he properly assigned those "keys". "Charisma" is not a Kamala trait by any stretch of the imagination. 😂
He was biased in applying the keys. He gave Kamala contest even though there was no primary. He gave Kamala long and short term economy, even though family buying power has dropped (GDP is no longer connected to individuals) He didn't count the immigration crisis as social unrest. He didn't count the Afghanistan withdrawal and Ukraine as foreign policy failures.
1 more key he failed to apply is the scandal key. The American people found out Joe Biden doesn't have the mental capacity to run the country, and the administration covered it up.
The Keys weren't wrong. He let his bias get in the way of a true prediction. Especially the charisma (fight me all you want trump appeals to alot of peoples grievances) ,and the economy and primary keys. Apply them objectively and a trump win would've been predicted.
Nope.....the Keys simply didn't account for modern era forces such as widespread disinformation, which DJT and team used extensively to convince millions they were disadvantaged victims of "the Establishment" when, in fact, these people have a life their grandparents couldn't dream of. People with that delusion will act irrationally and even vote for a convicted felon. This was Trump's greatest victory, and America's greatest political disaster.
Both were wrong. Lichtman didn't account for the power of the DJT delusion, which caused so many to believe they were abused and disadvantaged, so voted for "anyone but the incumbent". Lichtman will add a key or two and the model will account for our new age where misinformation and disinformation are spread easily.
When he said that the key for the economy when’t for harris i knew he was biased. Because more then 70% of the country doesn’t think that way. People can say he is not biased because he chose trump in 2016 but his opinion on trump changed after 2016
Everyone's opinion of Trump changed... Most of them for the worse And that doesn't show in the votes because there are a great many people outside the US who hate him just as much as me
Allan Lichtman made a big mistake, because he needed to add at least several more keys to his model: 1) Which political party is best connected to the depth of racism and bigotry in America at a given moment of history. 2) Which Candidate has the acceptable Race and Ethnicity. 3) Which Candidates has the longest and the most desirable Rap Sheet. 4) Which political party is most devoted to demeaning women and taking away Women's reproductive rights. 5) Which political party has more Billionaires engaging in Bribery, giving away money for desired outcome. 6) Which political party provides the biggest Tax Cuts for the Billionaires.
Central PA Harris voter here. My neighbors (who I’m friendly with) all voted for Trump. Main concerns: identity politics (trans athletes competing in women’s sports, pronoun talk, etc), immigration, spending money on wars like Ukraine when Americans are hurting, and inflation. That’s it. That’s why we lost. We try to cater to every single group. Respect everybody……but you don’t have to get approval from every single group and their issue. Start giving people in the middle (slightly left….slightly right) what they need and want. Otherwise, you lose. It’s not about key theory from 30 years ago. I’m dumb and can see it. Why can’t you?
Everyone knew he was wrong weeks ago when he made his prediction. His explanation for why he decided each key didn’t make any sense. He’s just a Democrat who wanted the democrat to win. Pretty simple
That's not bashing Elon bought the damn election!!! NO WAY a man that has a probation officer could've won without his rich buddy's money! NO WAY.......
ALL THAT HE WAS EVER DOING WAS PLAYING BOTH ENDS AGAINST THE MIDDLE!!!! IF HE EVER DID HAVE ANY ABOVE NORMAL SKILLS IN CORRECTLY PREDICTING THE WINNER IN THE PRESIDENTAL ELECTIONS IT SEEMS TO HAVE LEFT HIM NOW!!! EVEN IF HE IS STILL LIVING 4 YEARS FROM NOW I WON'T EVER PUT ANY CONFIDENCE IN WHAT HE SAYS IF IT IS NOT THE CANDIDATE THAT I THINK IS GOING TO WIN!!!
The nature of any significant prediction is that it may be wrong. This guy has a strong but imperfect track record, including the improbable prediction that Trump would win in 2016.
Eh, he’s more like the MAGA January 6th crowd in that regard. Many of the rest of us are packing our bags and getting jobs lined up far away from here, history shows how this will end for everyone in this land. Don’t block the exits is all we need from you all
Ever notice why his predictions were wrong? Because like the Democrats, he's out of touch. He will still be out of touch considering how he summarise his failure.
I'm surprised to see these people are still here. I figured they would be at the airport boarding planes to flee the Nasi's and the internment camps. 😂😂😂 I guess they didn't even believe their own lies 🤷
You lied to the Democrats and your keys were completely useless because you interpreted the keys according to what you wanted and not based on the realities on the ground. Who cares about a malfunctioning key?
💯🌟Prof. Lichtman was right, his methodology based on reasonable voters, with reasonable candidates and resonable campaignes. For reasonable sociologists this unfortunate result was 100 % predictable. 💔 for 🇺🇲
How wrong was her. His emotions got in the way! Even a garbage man would tell you that Trump win was inevitable. Professors sit in ivory towers and say whatever they wish
About three or four weeks ago, they said, "Okay, K's going to win, she's got this in the bag, she can't possibly lose because she's woke and wonderful." Then the polls began to reveal that actually Trump was surging ahead. Now, when he was comfortably ahead, what was the media's version of that? "It's neck and neck." So they were actually delivering us and the polls a wrong impression that I kind of fell for. But he didn't just win this; he absolutely stormed it 💪 presidency 🔴 house 🔴 senate 🔴 governorship 🔴
People are enjoying the fact that he was wrong because he was so smug and arrogant in his prediction.
he wasn't t smug he said anything is possible
@@supersayan8179 he was pretty smug and arrogant here and in other interviews like the one with The Hill.
He is very smug
@@arielsanchez465
The Dems are always smug and arrogant.
Correct @@supersayan8179
He didn’t consider the 14th key, his emotion.
My rule # 1. Never listen to your emotion.
I don't know about never. Sometimes intuition is correct.
You didn't watch the video. Or you didn't understand it.
@@DeborahCoolerprobably both.
That's not your rule #1. It's not even your rule #3,427. It's not your rule at all.
@@HallofKnowledge sure, Spock. You must be fun at parties, you emotionless robot 🤣🤣
He is wrong because he is biased.
I'm beginning to think he's a psyOp merchant.
No he is not, you are mad and WRONG. Allan was right for 40 elections in a row. He has the RIGHT to be smug and you have the right to stop crying.
Yes, I went through the keys and it was very different from what he was saying. He wanted things to shake out a certain way and he couldn't overcome his own bias.
he only judges the sitting party not the opposition, its what they've done over the 4 years he basis the keys on. nothing to do with which party he supports as he has said forever, hes not biased he just got this wrong due to the changes the dems did with the leader, ive always found him fair and honest, maybe you just havent seen enough of him to judge fairly.
You know he’s a Republican right
THIS MAN’S BRAIN IS LOSING IT. He’s too partisan.
HE JUST DIDN’T GET IT.
The keys were correct. How he interpreted them was incorrect.
Exactly
😂 He's biased af
Exactly. He gave the "economy" key to kamala. If you take that away all of a sudden his keys predict a trump win
Exactly 😂😂and he doesn’t want to admit that 😂😂
He literally said Biden and Kamala had a good economy it was 100% his interpretation
You blame rasicm??? Obama was elected twice with overwhelming support
And the response to that was a polarization of racist constituents.
@beberivera7011 you look for rasism desperately. Fact is overwhelming majority of the country is not racist and sexist. Refer to Wisconsin senate vs presidential race for the sexism... And for the rasism argument.. Well there certainly is rasism when you see so many black people say they are voting Harris because she is black. Show me 1 person who has said he is voting for Trump because he is white.. Who is rasist. I am waiting!
@@beberivera7011 eVErythiNGs rACiSt 🤪
That why the white voters have enough of colour people..
But the point is that we still elected him. Which this video is about, why somebody was elected . So the argument on the reaction isn't valid considering he was elected twice so you can't blame racism this time. @@beberivera7011
Get out of your bubble, everyone told him he was wrong. He wasnt objectivly looking at his keys
You mean the 14th key: fascism.
@@ImListeningToReason or maybe it has something to do with Trump and Mike Johnson’s election “SECRET”
You mean his keys are utter bullshit pseudo science right 👍
Yes his TDS or maybe too much hair dye affected his judgement! Perhaps too much glue if it's a toupee?
@@mr.meeseeks6307 His TDS got the better of him this time…
The key system is actually a useful system, but it wasn’t applied correctly. He’s right that elections are a referendum on incumbents, not campaigns. If people have less money in their pocket, they’ll usually vote for the party not in charge, regardless of candidates. If the Republican Party fails to improve people’s lives over the next 4 years, they will suffer the same fate.
Guy is a liberal fan boy. Election was a blowout proving his system is worthless.
This time around there were many of his so-called "keys" that actually were almost of no importance or relevance and seemed to not take into account one or more intangibles that shouldn't be dismissed, like the last pre-election jobs report that only added 12,000 jobs instead of a hoped for 100 thousand jobs???
But that means that using recessions as a metric for the short- and long-term economic keys is wrong. The system is thus flawed, and it should be as humans are emotional beings. Rational homo-economicus does not exist. Of course, all this plays into the idea of factoring misinformation, which makes perfect sense in a digital age.
@@HarvesterYT You're assuming there will be an election in 2028. I'd suggest you don't count on it.
Open border is another significant factor played here . Litchmen ignored fundamental issues and used misinformation to make judgement. Americans actually realized who is real dictator in the country .
He is a jerk. Can’t admit mistake and instead looking for excuses
No he is not, you are mad and WRONG. Allan was right for 40 elections in a row. He has the RIGHT to be smug and you have the right to stop crying.
Trump?
@CNN: Thank you for this timely story. It was only this morning that I was wondering what Lichtman would say about this outcome.
Arrogant, biased, and smug. Blames voters instead of the democrats.
Democrats are also voters.
Maybe he needs another key to explain why Harris got 12 million less votes than Biden, while Trump essentially got the same number of votes that he had in 2020.
The party.....@@peterangoli7449
He did blame democrats for turning against their own candidate.
@@sirtom14 What utter rubbish. Trump was 2,000,000 votes down, lol.
Trumps votes were also 8,630,271 LESS than Bidens.
Trump can only beat women . Can't beat a man.
dude let his bias in
Why not go an pay someone to TEACH YOU how to pay attention? You nit wits come on here posting foolishness and donl't know a damn thing. The man ALSO predicted Trump winning in 2016 and his loss in 2020. get over your brainless worship of Trump for a minute...THINK!!!! Or just pay attention,.
Yes, if you look at the keys they point to a Trump win
He did
💯
Predicted Trump in 2016
13 keys to unemployment 🤣
I HOPE ALLAN GOES TO HELL, FOR GIVING MILLIONS FALSE HOPE AND SECURITY
😂😂😂😂😂this guy is useless 13 useless keys
He's an excellent history professor, doubt he's going to have trouble with employment anytime soon. He's not making any excuses for his error, he's had a good track record regardless.
Lol, with a 9 out of 11 success rate? Fat chance. You'll see him again in 4 years
@Deathkill06 lol it sounded to me like he is. Bro got waited till the whole map turn red then blamed elon musk and all other factors. The whole world can see what was going to happen months away except for him and while he's high in his imaginary keys.
THE TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME IS STRONG IN THIS ONE!
He blames Elon Musk! LMAO 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 This senile old man is so pitiful
😅😂😅
theres no misinformation in 500k illegal immigrants that entered the country and 30k rapists and murderers that were detained on trump laws
and which this incompetent kamala went and released on american soil just to end up killing and raping girls 3 weeks after she released them
where are the 350k children gone missing, is 60% increase in sex trafficking misinformation too? after abolishing successful trump border control laws??
they laughed at the Wall, then they turned around and said they would go finance it in her policies, what a joke. sociopaths.
Ha ha Trump won🎉🎉🎉🎉
Starting to think it is coming from the Trump side now, tho. People are obsessed with idolizing him. Perpetually forgetting about those Feet Of Clay….
You were blinded by your hatred for trump bitterness is an illness
@ he decide what fall into his key
Watch out. It is contagious. 🪞👀
He is proud of predicting Trump victory in 2016 and getting a signed letter from Trump. Instead I think he misinterpreted peoples love for Trump and hate for the economy.
@ no is predicted trump will loose 2016 and still boast he was right when trump won because hilary won popular volt
At least he came out to interview in just one day
Publicity hounds like him usually do.
😂how on earth is he a publicity hound ?? It's election time. He predicted the election. Easy
He's got a book To sell I'm sure there will be a lot of recalls now
You sound like one of those people that probably believed him and are still in shock that Trump has taken everything including from popular vote from the Latinos and blacks, Alan's agent made sure CNN went softball on him
But he still tried to blame his total failure on others.
Hell he showed his face faster than full-diaper Biden and his Kameltoe.
Such a clown. He was wrong because of "racism, misogyny..blah blah blah"
Yeah... I don't think "racism" had too much to do with it... However, "misogyny"... Pretty hard to miss it, really.
@@billymanilli There were likely just as many or more voters who voted for Kamala simply because she was a woman as those who voted for Trump simply because he wasn't.
Trump billionaire thats what ppl dont understand.. the isms work on regular ppl
@@billymanillimisogyny had nothing to do with it either. People will vote for a woman if she has good policies. Kamala basically said she would change nothing during bidens term, which means she'll repeat the same policies. Nobody wants more of the same.
Literally. Like what the hell was he yapping about?
This is what happens when you only watch corporate media!
Funny coming from a Ben Shapiro w@nker on traitortrump food stamps!
Yes
Why are you here?
Corrupt dems. Educated ?. U lied and u lost. Facebook did that too. Dummy . Go back to school.
@@sleepyandhollow. Because we watch all media for a balanced view of the world, not a far left bubble.
I'm a Trump voter but I've kept my eyes and ears tuned into what the professor has been saying. Ultimately he's part of the out of touch elite class in our current society. He was wrong because he doesn't understand the working class or middle class in our country anymore. George Friedman discusses this in his book called the Storm Before the Calm. Anyone reading this comment should read that book including the professor himself. Have a great day!
Well said. Will check out the book. God bless!
@chrism3440 Thanks Chris! I hope you enjoy it. I think you will. Take care!
Exactly
The best part is his formula was correct but he wanted to see what he wanted to see and did not pay attention to his own formula!!
And he was wrong
Nostradamus was also a fake
the keys werent wrong, he was just biased
@@WilliamLi-nd4lzexactly. He was way too biased and used his keys to push his agenda. Had he objectively applied the keys he would've called Trump
Nostradamus correctly predicted that Turmp would be Hilter and that Joy Behar would be Miss USA
He tried to use his “keys” as a cudgel to hammer a square peg into a round hole. Even a 3 year old knows that doesn’t work.
So what will you say about him getting every single election from 1984 to 2020 right. He is human. He is allowed to make a mistake.
The problem with his keys? The locks were changed a long time ago. 😅
😂😂😂😂😂😂
😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂🤪😜🤣😭🤧🤧🤧🤧🤧
😂😂
😄😂😄
That's clever 😂😂
CNN has been my favorite channel for 3 days straight
3 day s! So you don't have a job to go like,us????😅
Not all people work all day like you@@cynthiag6243
CNN is becoming more of a comedy show than a news channel. People don’t come here to see the news anymore…they come for the meltdowns, false propaganda, and a laugh. 😅
🤣🤣🤣
😂😂
Hearing CNN tell people that Elon Musk is the king of Disinformation LOL
They were your predictions too, CNN.
My condolences. 💐
😂😂
"Muh keys were right, but misogyny and racism!" 😂😂😂
SMH
musk and rogan robbed average joe
Technically the system he made would have been right had he properly assigned those "keys". "Charisma" is not a Kamala trait by any stretch of the imagination. 😂
@@MartinLV.Sit down fascist.
Maybe his keys were right. Maybe we have a stolen election? Would that surprise you?
He was biased in applying the keys. He gave Kamala contest even though there was no primary. He gave Kamala long and short term economy, even though family buying power has dropped (GDP is no longer connected to individuals) He didn't count the immigration crisis as social unrest. He didn't count the Afghanistan withdrawal and Ukraine as foreign policy failures.
Hiding biden senility and his removal from the campaign wud also turn the scandal key.
He also didn't count the Palestinian protests as social unrest.
1 more key he failed to apply is the scandal key. The American people found out Joe Biden doesn't have the mental capacity to run the country, and the administration covered it up.
Really the biggest problem I can see is that he is clearly biased, which does not allow him to objectively look at the keys
@@EricW-f7l Yes, you need two people, one from each side to interpret the keys.
The keys said Trump would win
My $2,000 also said trump would win and now that $2,000 is $3800
My 401K said "thank you" to the Trump win!
Yeah, he switched some of them and implied Trump was the incumbent when he ran the model. I saw what he put in lmao
Lots cheating going on needs to be investigated so it can be fair election!!!!
He was biased this time, they all wanted Trump to lose
I ONCE HAD QUITE A BIT OF CONFIDENCE IN HIM BUT ALL THAT IS PERMANENTLY GONE DUE TO HIM GETTING THIS PREDICTION WRONG!!!!
The Keys weren't wrong. He let his bias get in the way of a true prediction. Especially the charisma (fight me all you want trump appeals to alot of peoples grievances) ,and the economy and primary keys. Apply them objectively and a trump win would've been predicted.
I was just reading his keys they prove Trump would win if all were answered correctly. You are right….his bias got in the way.
His keys were right. Trump ran a resist campaign.
Nope.....the Keys simply didn't account for modern era forces such as widespread disinformation, which DJT and team used extensively to convince millions they were disadvantaged victims of "the Establishment" when, in fact, these people have a life their grandparents couldn't dream of. People with that delusion will act irrationally and even vote for a convicted felon. This was Trump's greatest victory, and America's greatest political disaster.
I completely agree.
🎯
Nonsense! You're biased.
Lichtman is clearly in favor of Kamala. He knows Trump is winning but stuck to his prediction and failed. 😅
He simply has no clue about this nation.
Despite an 82% correct record. Idiot.
I think he was seduced by the dark side.
It's not fair to say Alan Lichtman has no clue about this nation - he has been right MOST of the time. That's a pretty good percentage.
Professors like him shouldn't be teaching young people, they're so disconnected to reality.
Professor: I was right, the voters were wrong.
[edit: he did say he was wrong, take my comment as a joke]
Yeah. Sure. 😂😂😂
That’s not how democracy works. The professor is wrong the voters are right.
Of course. What else will he do if he isn't this great prognosticator?
His prediction was wrong because Trump ran a resist campaign.
Both were wrong. Lichtman didn't account for the power of the DJT delusion, which caused so many to believe they were abused and disadvantaged, so voted for "anyone but the incumbent". Lichtman will add a key or two and the model will account for our new age where misinformation and disinformation are spread easily.
He lives in Washington DC, so it's no suprise he is biased.
The guy just completely exposed himself with this interview. Career over
Other than indoctrinating 19-year-olds in class…….🫤
Looks like these people will never learn
Joker of the year! What a clown 🤡
Trump breaks everything.
Your comment should be added to his keys.
That’s why the people sending him back to Washington. He’s a bull 🐂
@@joquartobeans398Six times bankrupt. You?
Everybody's brain that's on the left.
Might break the USA too
Licthman, YOU'RE FIRED!!! Throw your corroded keys away!! 😅
"Im not doing any interviews"
Didnt predict that either. Nostradamus my azz. 😂😅
Nostradamy-ass.🥁
[crickets]
Try the veal.
Bahah best quote of the night!
not at the time - how else were you to watch this one?
Interviews= $$$.
13 keys to retirement
So hes blaming racism ?
Yup. The left is VERY predictable 🙄
When he said that the key for the economy when’t for harris i knew he was biased. Because more then 70% of the country doesn’t think that way. People can say he is not biased because he chose trump in 2016 but his opinion on trump changed after 2016
Everyone's opinion of Trump changed... Most of them for the worse
And that doesn't show in the votes because there are a great many people outside the US who hate him just as much as me
YOU HAVE THAT RIGHT...
He picked Biden against Trump more than 6 times, then last second changed to Trump. Hes a fraud
The key you forgot, American people are fed up and want change.
Exactly
That happens every 4 or 8 years.... ahhh!! The world is ending!!
Yea nit wits that buy into the bs.
"Get out, you're fired!"
Allan Lichtman made a big mistake, because he needed to add at least several more keys to his model: 1) Which political party is best connected to the depth of racism and bigotry in America at a given moment of history. 2) Which Candidate has the acceptable Race and Ethnicity. 3) Which Candidates has the longest and the most desirable Rap Sheet. 4) Which political party is most devoted to demeaning women and taking away Women's reproductive rights. 5) Which political party has more Billionaires engaging in Bribery, giving away money for desired outcome. 6) Which political party provides the biggest Tax Cuts for the Billionaires.
Lichtman get the hell out of here you're fired !
Polls and experts are and have been useless since 2016 the political landscape has undergone a fundamental change time to rethink everything.
Hw predicted Trump in 2016..despite lots of people saying no way
The reason polls are so wrong now is online media. And such things.
Central PA Harris voter here. My neighbors (who I’m friendly with) all voted for Trump. Main concerns: identity politics (trans athletes competing in women’s sports, pronoun talk, etc), immigration, spending money on wars like Ukraine when Americans are hurting, and inflation. That’s it. That’s why we lost.
We try to cater to every single group. Respect everybody……but you don’t have to get approval from every single group and their issue. Start giving people in the middle (slightly left….slightly right) what they need and want. Otherwise, you lose. It’s not about key theory from 30 years ago. I’m dumb and can see it. Why can’t you?
Categorizing, at its essence, is division.
Your neighbors are Putinists.
Do you go to the Central Hotel (Bar, Restaurant ) at all. I live 2 houses down.
You know you went in that booth and voted from Trump. Don't be ashamed. Kamala just didn't cut it.
@@PAEverAfter There is misinformation in this post, like: “trans athletes competing in women’s sports”
Lichtman was also the guy who predicted that adding Cousin Oliver would help The Brady Bunch ratings.
It was because Edith voted the same as Archie this year.
Did this fool predict how Peanut would’ve voted?
CAN YOU SAY ARROGANCE?
Useless bias professor who took money to make predictions
Everyone knew he was wrong weeks ago when he made his prediction. His explanation for why he decided each key didn’t make any sense. He’s just a Democrat who wanted the democrat to win. Pretty simple
This guy was wrong and he’s bashing Elon? Own up you coward.
That's not bashing Elon bought the damn election!!! NO WAY a man that has a probation officer could've won without his rich buddy's money! NO WAY.......
Arrogance on display.
Trump 2.0
Umm sounds like his keys and his interpretation is completely wrong. He is just as out of touch with the people as the media is. What a joke.
ALL THAT HE WAS EVER DOING WAS PLAYING BOTH ENDS AGAINST THE MIDDLE!!!! IF HE EVER DID HAVE ANY ABOVE NORMAL SKILLS IN CORRECTLY PREDICTING THE WINNER IN THE PRESIDENTAL ELECTIONS IT SEEMS TO HAVE LEFT HIM NOW!!! EVEN IF HE IS STILL LIVING 4 YEARS FROM NOW I WON'T EVER PUT ANY CONFIDENCE IN WHAT HE SAYS IF IT IS NOT THE CANDIDATE THAT I THINK IS GOING TO WIN!!!
Tenured professors get to explain away their mistakes and miscalculations. They still get paid even if they were all wrong. A great racket.
Yeah they never get fired what a nice life
The nature of any significant prediction is that it may be wrong. This guy has a strong but imperfect track record, including the improbable prediction that Trump would win in 2016.
This man can not admit he was wrong.He is like so many people across the US that did not vote red.
Eh, he’s more like the MAGA January 6th crowd in that regard.
Many of the rest of us are packing our bags and getting jobs lined up far away from here, history shows how this will end for everyone in this land. Don’t block the exits is all we need from you all
Exactly they voted gender race or hate for Trump
2:49 So now we blame Elon Musk's "misinformation" for our poor prediction. That's a new kind of logic 😂😂😂😂😂😂
....I was SERIOUSLY predicting that Trump would WIN, pretty much because of Elon's misinfo! Don't know how he "missed that", but sees it now!
bla bla bla... I was already very skeptical about this guy!
Lictman clearly an extreme left supporter
That's the best kind!
guess he was wrong for 2016 then?!?!?
He let politics and personal bias slips into his calculations, probably without knowing it...
*Stop the Hate and the Gossip CNN...ENOUGH!*
He could still be right.
A word salad explosion by a professor, no surprise there
I’m absolutely loving the CNN TEARS😂😂😂
BREAKING: Trump names a "strong, intelligent" woman, Suzie Wiles, as "the first woman White House Chief of Staff."
Mark Cuban is going to hate that🙂
@kahanakahuna1470
Thanks for the update, but you're a little late. This "Breaking News" was actually announced yesterday.
LONGRIDER
@@OriginalOldSkoolFunk That you, Mr Cuban?
@phoenixmodellingphotography What are you talking about PMP? "Mr. Cuban...?" Sorry, but I don't get it...
@@OriginalOldSkoolFunk Ah, the gnashing of Dem teeth. How sweet the sound.!!!
I dont think this will ever get old.
🤣
Should keep it alive and used to discredit this grifter.
He's not God. And how is science based on this it's purely statistics and politically
That guy is a fraud!
I don’t know which is worse: his argument for why Harris lost or that ridiculous rug on his head.
😂😂😂😂😂he get offended by the rug not that he was wrong 😂😂😂 he block me from his channel
What is that on Trump head??? A big orange comb over😂😂😂😂
@ 74 million Americans got it right. Learn it love it live it. 😁😁😂😂😝😝😝😝😝
Keys to add for a future election prediction: Who controlls social media disinformation platforms and if Russian bot farms are allowed access
That's one! ...and sadly, maybe a "misogyny" key as well...
Just another person that no longer understands the electorate.
Absolutely spot on!!!
Jess..his Keys are fired😂😂
The keys are not bad but how do you pick those because the 2 on the economy i would pick Trump @@puljano
The keys were right. His assessment on the economy to Democrats was atrocious and bias
He made the same mistake the rest of us made. He underestimated the ignorance of the American people.
You nailed it!
Which makes him an even bigger ignomaniac.
Including yourself ?
Or the ignorance and hubris of a certain double down party
Clinging, Deplorable MAGA Garbage WON!!
✌🏿✌️✌🏽🇺🇲
"I don't intend to change my keys on the fly."
Buddy, your career is over.
The missing keys were race and gender.
What everyone's going to fail to honestly acknowledge. The electoral map, even down to the counties, are eerily similar to Hillary's...
Ever notice why his predictions were wrong? Because like the Democrats, he's out of touch. He will still be out of touch considering how he summarise his failure.
they out of conscience, delusional. must be all those bullshit ingredients they put on those veggie burguers that bill gates is funding.
13 keys ??? I get it being wrong is very bad boys very bad..call the locksmith
He should not called a professor anymore, i was 100% certain that Trump will win this election.
The irony is that his keys worked but he applied them wrong.
Hed rather criticize his big invention than himself.
But without his keys, who is he?
He is nobody, with or without the keys.
@@PLKirby86
Uh huh. That is why people are on here commenting about him. Because he is No One. (So let’s make him Someone.)
I’ve been searching for this arrogant man to hear him after the election
Guess he didn't get the real info,,but they all lie
I'm surprised to see these people are still here. I figured they would be at the airport boarding planes to flee the Nasi's and the internment camps. 😂😂😂
I guess they didn't even believe their own lies 🤷
You lied to the Democrats and your keys were completely useless because you interpreted the keys according to what you wanted and not based on the realities on the ground. Who cares about a malfunctioning key?
Take those keys and throw them out the window!!! We were banking on the experts...and they lied.
💯🌟Prof. Lichtman was right, his methodology based on reasonable voters, with reasonable candidates and resonable campaignes. For reasonable sociologists this unfortunate result was 100 % predictable. 💔 for 🇺🇲
What makes a voter reasonable or unreasonable?
I also predicted that he was gonna be wrong this time around 😂😂😂
Because this time he didn't predict he just presented his wish to satisfy cnn and influence voters 😅
Out of touch believing in his own lies!
I am so mad that this man said that Kamala would win . I guess we shouldn't believe him anymore.
"I turned the key in their favor" knowing that the keys do not need favoritism but truth.
How wrong was her. His emotions got in the way! Even a garbage man would tell you that Trump win was inevitable. Professors sit in ivory towers and say whatever they wish
About three or four weeks ago, they said, "Okay, K's going to win, she's got this in the bag, she can't possibly lose because she's woke and wonderful." Then the polls began to reveal that actually Trump was surging ahead. Now, when he was comfortably ahead, what was the media's version of that? "It's neck and neck." So they were actually delivering us and the polls a wrong impression that I kind of fell for. But he didn't just win this; he absolutely stormed it 💪 presidency 🔴 house 🔴 senate 🔴 governorship 🔴
This guy left out inflation,immigration
Now Lichtman is trying to sane wash his wildly inaccurate prediction.
I voted TRUMP and was sure he was wrong!!!
I think he should predict the winner 2 weeks before the elections.
Well if he did it two weeks before he would miss the jewel of Biden calling 72 million people garbage.
Maybe 2 days before or 2 hrs...