I'm a proud russian immigrant to Poland. Poland is the next Germany in the EU, give it 5 -7 years. Poles are extraordinarily adequate and weighted people. Life quality skyrocketed here. Poland is amongst very few counties that understand Russia very well from the position of power. Go POLAND!!! 🇵🇱
Who believes that ? Poland is just the cheap workbench and orders can vanish over night. Look at the VW plant - can be closed over night and brought back to germany due to the ownership cause VW is owned by the state of lower sacoxny. We had moved 2 plants to Poland and it has not worked out at all. Too many issues, too many lazy workers and too often ill, to slow performanche and the worst _ high inflration rates. But we bought back the properties our family had owend for centuries.
Swede here. We have already shaped our "Mini NATO Alliance" within the big alliance with our fellow Baltic Sea countries Poland, Denmark, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia and Finland. Russia (St Petersburg and Kaliningrad) is only a few kilometers from our borders. We know that we cannot sit here and wait for daddy USA or other NATO members to come to our aid if Russia were to attack. We would have to deal with the shit ourself. Therefore we have continuous training exercises including air, navy and land defence. We are well equipped, financially stable (not Germany) and ready to go if needed.
Americans have watched this process unfold and are very supportive of it. With the EU on the verge of fracturing atm, these kinds of strategic regional alliances will be very important.
I love what you wrote - you and your nation take a stand against this fascism. But I'm sure you're Leaders understand this is an emerging virus - virus can adapt. Because sure, the expenditure and commitment to allied cooperative military is very, very prudent. But you got that - NATO, even without U.S. would defend against RU successfully even after nuke strikes. But America too could defeat RU without NATO. But NATO cannot play the wrong game, this isn't 'Checkers', this is global chess. America is falling. Falling to lies from fascist and their dark money preying upon our weakest of education. Citizens who think they are 'Patriots', yet just elected a man who next week, will put his hand on the Bible, swear an oath of loyalty to uphold the Constitution of the United States. Then, all of his next actions will be to dismantle our Constitution. Trump didn't fight your military, any military. Fascist dark lords labored several years, noted Putin's progress and adopted Putin's plan. The U.S. is now going to be Russia. America was totally prepared for an opposing military, but needed to fight ignorance of history, ethics, society..., recognize lies and fascism.
North Carolina has a bigger GDP than Poland lmao. Poland should be spending 40% GDP on their military. The only reason they don't is because they are suckling on the US teet. Let these poor countries defend themselves, we don't need them.
I remember seeing a video of Trump in like 2016-2018 telling Germans they need to get off of russian energy Asap. They literally laughed at him and continued to close down their home based nuclear reactors while ever increasing their reliance on russian gas and oil lol. Looking at how things played out, it truly seems like a planned self-demolition of Germany, I'm no conspiracy theorist, but some things really make me wonder sometimes.
I sense a big theme. People don’t want to hear what they don’t want to hear, and they hate the people that tell them anyways. If they turn out to be right, they hate them even more.
It's not a self-demolition. As many observers have noted, the green party in Germany was founded by the KGB expats after the fall. The real crime is that the German citizenry and existing government allowed these socialist miscreants such influence in their country.
I like Peter, and I enjoy hearing his insights. As a Canadian, it comforts me that despite being insightful and thought-provoking, the actual outcomes that Peter predicts based on his analyses are not always correct. If my memory serves me correctly, Peter predicted that Russia would not invade Ukraine and that Trump would not win the election.
I agree, His takes are logical and thought through. Often very interesting, but predicting these scenarios are so complex. Peter is a educated and confident speaker, but the unknown variable sure can make things turn out differently.
The key is to have a well informed grasp of geopolitical dynamics. On that front he does better than most. On predictions, decisions of other world leaders are not entirely by observable circumstance. Sometimes they make choices that are self destructive. Elections in the U.S. are a coin flip.
European NATO members should increase defense spending to 5%, but stop buying US weapons systems. Buying Polish-Swedish-UK-French-German-Italian instead.
Even just 4% would complete crash multiple European economies and result in collapse. Neither the Greeks, Hungarians, or Romanians could even sniff at 5%, just to name a few
3 big things Trump got right: 1. Nato needs to up its spend, 2. Germans and others, need to wean themselves off Russian oil, 3. Europeans need to stop relying on the Chinese for tech and manufacturing.
Trump is right about Panama, Greenland and Canada. If Panama wants to sell off to China, if the Danes don't mind china developing Greenland as long as it's not the US, and Canada refusing to participate in defense. Effectively this becomes a US Military national defense issue fast. Canada and Danes want us to defend them while they sell off their sovereigntry to the countries we're suppose to defend them from?
We buy oil from UEA and Qatar. If Russian oil is sold to an EU country, it's priced so low that Russia earns nothing from it. It comes from India IIRC.
I wish I could upvote your comment more than once! Trump is also broadly correct that we don't want China in control of the Panama Canal; I think he threatened Canada with high tariffs in order to bring Trudeau's incompetence front and center in Canada (which it did immediately, and I look forward to our neighbors to the North getting Pierre Polievre to make Canada great again). I haven't figured out his game with Greenland yet, and we have yet to see how he'll handle Iran and its proxies as well as Russia and Chinese aggression in the first chain islands. And I look forward to seeing his domestic policies in action. But even though Peter will give Trump begrudging credit periodically, I think he underestimates his intelligence and exactly how much of his bravado and bluster is actually calculated acting that serves him well.
@@ghalston5641 And why was Ukraine invaded? Because of NATO. Because of America. Joe Biden. The CIA which overthrew a democratically elected government in Ukraine. They want biological research facilities at nuclear weapons and Ukraine. We have a bunch of fanatics in America that I’m more concerned with Russia than China, which is insane. Russia should be our friend, not our enemy. That’s just common sense. Europe should be friends with Russia. Russia didn’t just invade Ukraine for shits and giggles. They did it because they were pushed into it when they over and over again drew a line in the sand and said do not cross this line and Joe Biden and the CIA And the establishment that war with Russia so they could all make billions of dollars and all types of other Batshit crazy reasons kept crossing those lines. NATO should be dissolved. It has no purpose anymore. Be friends with Russia. Be a strategic partner with Russia. It’s smart economically, politically and strategically. These people have Cold War fascist mentalities. Russia is not the bad guy. Russia is not the enemy. China, Iran, etc. That’s the enemy. The enemy of the people in America is the government. The enemy of the people in Europe is the government.
As a Canadian I am embarrassed. We don’t need a huge military but certainly better than we have now! Canada is a g7 one of the richest countries on the planet. We can do at least as good and certainly better than Poland or Australia countries with similar populations.
Our PM emasculated the forces. Morale at an all time low. Equipment is poor and I have heard that they have stopped doing yearly basic weapons handling qualifications.
@@whoshotashleybabbitt4924Ive been in 20 yrs, most of the support trades haven't had to do mandatory annual wpns training unless their on an operational base. Even then, sometimes theres just so much going on, they may not have time. Get the Wrecker saftied for the field next week or go run a range with the whole regiment or battalion and lose 2 days work. So few clerks, they're don't stop typing till their fingies fall of. Med staff have so many little administrative tasks to complete, on top of annual training of all kinds. It just can't be done. Too frikken busy with too few people. So, I don't think its a blanket policy that we dont shoot, but the priority is definatley being directed to the First Line Combat arms guys. Infantry, Arty, Combat Engineers, Tankers etc... don't worry the shooters still shoot, all the way up to the big boom boom ones.
Even if the the target wasn't officially stated, most of Europe let their militaries fall into irresponsible disrepair after the Cold War ended. Consider during the Cold War just West Germany alone had 12 divisions and nearly 500,000 soldiers! Now the whole united Germany has only 4 divisions and 80k men.
Canadian here,it’s simple open up our resources on a scale not seen in our history and yes sell these commodities to all countries in the NATO alliance.The new PM whomever that may be has made a commitment to refine our own oil and gas and leave our dependence from the US on energy on a amicable level.We as Canadian need to think about our country as a bank not a thrift store and stop giving oil and gas to the Americans at a 60 or 70% discount.
The Americans also need to pay full price plus for the electricity they use to power their entire north eastern population. They can also find an alternative source of fresh water. As Canadians we need to do just like the US does and make them pay for every single joule of energy they want, every litre of water or oil and every foot of lumber at the highest price we can devise. Then we can use those profits to improve our military services quite nicely and Trannie Dump can go F### his hairdo.
@We have resources to sell in quantities that would allow us vastly greater wealth. A program to maximize these opportunities would be fantastic for the Canadian economy. Countering tariffs with equally retaliatory amounts would be ideal.
The Finnish President said it very well the other day “Europes holiday from history is coming to an end”. Trump, as much as I despise the man, did get the Europeans to finally recognize that they’ve got to face up to the realities of the world.
Thar is a great way of putting it. The Doomers are always crying about how humans love war, not realizing we have been in an unprecedented era of peace. After 30 years it just seems excessive by comparison. The most conflict prone are the Swedes versus the Danes at 37! They have had to content themselves to just trolling each other. I don't think people grasp how abnormal it is that Europe hasn't had a conflict since the 90s. It's basically what built the continent. There is a similar phenomenon in geology because there has been an uptick in activity ( also the ability to observe activity) when it is really just waking up from an eerily quiet period.
No. Can we stop this narrative please. Please start questioning and checking the stats. EU has long far outspent Russia. EU common defense apparatus exists for decades. Regardless of who you since elected. It's actually not all about you.
It was not that we didn't want to face those, it was more that we just kept trying to wipe each other out... I hope we've learned that lesson, as we're now no longer given the choice, but will have to rearm, one way or another. But with European peoples voting in populists, I fear that there's too many politicians who want to make easy wins instead of long term strategy. Maybe it'll all work out. I just hope this won't turn into one of those "be careful what you wish for" cases....
How could you despise a person, just because "he is", and yet you are happy with his words that change the world? Your contradiction, illogical hatred, and applauding his words, just shows how most people like you act, withot brains
This Polish American who still goes back to Poland and is now thinking of moving to Poland, thinks and feels like Poland is up-and-coming. There are some obstacles that they have to get over, but if they do watch out world. 🇵🇱😊🇵🇱 Poland is so much calmer and nicer and cleaner than most of America. In some ways, it has catching up to do yet, but in others, I hope it does not. Great, comprehensive vid. Lots of food for thought. Ty, Peter. I do wish Americans would realize that countries with allies thrive, but countries that go it alone whither. And that the US could not be defeated by a single nation, or by a group of nations, but when it has angered the entire world and they all turn against it, well that's a different story. It is better to be liked than needed. Although it is best to be both.
What I truly appreciate about Peter is that while he updates us on topics I have a secondary interest in, I also burn calories watching them because of watching him hike on trails I could never pull off. This earns me a cookie.
Since America, who in the past actively discouraged allied nations from fielding their own nuclear weapons, is no longer a viable defense partner, nations such as Canada, Germany, Sweden, Japan, South Korea, and Australia should provide each other the diplomatic cover to renounce all nuclear treaties they have signed and begin to arm themselves accordingly. We live in a different world now. Just ask Ukrainians today how they feel after giving up their nuclear weapons in exchange for 'promises'. In addition, does anyone really think that our good allies England and France would be willing to defend any nations but themselves with their own weapons? American conservative should support this, because after all, the right to self defense is a cornerstone of their philosophy as is making other nations pay for their own defense. No more reliance on the US nuclear umbrella. All the main democracies need to have their own.
Canadian from Calgary here. Our new PM will most likely be Pierre Poileviere (Conservative -born in Calgary). And while you are correct about lack of experience dealing with USA, he has been in our version of the congress for 20 years, and been a cabinet minister. Stephen Harper (lives in Calgary) is his mentor, and the power behind the curtain. Defence spending will go up. But mostly, our energyu and natural resource sectors will be unleashed. Trudeau's crowd crippled energy and natural resources, and that is what Canada does best. Stay tuned.
Devil's advocate here; Harper was party to the defense spending cuts as much as anybody else. Times have changed so I agree military spending will go up. You may be interested in a YT (Perun) who's a top-notch military industrial economist from Australia. He did a review of Canadian military and its procurement process. Horrifying. Poilievre's going to have his work cut out for him.
@@truthseekerodinson5094 ..........Everybody's Military Procurement process is a Nightmare....you best bet is not to spend on War till the last minute, and just maintain large ,"On call" Reserves and a minimum AIrfleet But your right, Poilievre will just hand over Canada to the USA ....Cause you know Orange Jesus asked !
Has anyone else noticed that Peter has become less relevant lately? The video says it is new, but then I see it is a week or more old. I do not even watch it anymore because I have already seen the news elsewhere.
The perfect defense fit for Canada in NATO is specializing in arctic naval and ground operations. Sure we have the Nordic countries, but if Russia is the primary opposition, you can't have too much expertise in winter warfare. The one time the U.S. went to war in Russia, it didn't go well.
Given irresponsible defense management and recent signaling, I think Canada needs to separate itself from specialization, reconsider its white paper and defense policy, and developed its own tech solutions. Russia isn't the only consideration.
@@Paint-brigade1776 but if Canada is going to provide substantially for its own defense, it has to defend all of its territory, not only those parts which are heavily populated.
@@Paint-brigade1776 American North Russia Expeditionary Force (ANREF), also known as the American Expeditionary Force North Russia (AEF North Russia), a contingent of U.S. troops that served in northern Russia during 1918-1919 as part of the Allied intervention in the Russian Civil War, nickname "Polar Bear Expedition".
clickety clickety... No. As of Oct 2024 Canada spent 1.37% on defense, projected to rise to 1.49% in the next year or two and then fall back down. Well below the NATO threshold of 2%.
Trump doesn't actually have Swedish descent, it was just something the family claimed instead of German descent when that was unpopular due to WW2. He's swung back to German in recent years (falsely claiming his dad was German-born).
Who cares where trump is from? People are sick and tired of political correctness. Thank God. People act like trump is some sort of threat to democracy.....yeah THEIR version of democracy and a lot of Americans would rather vote in an egotistical conman than keep going the globalist way.
He's German descent. By 1850 the wave of German immigrants to the USA🇺🇸 had begun to swell eventually cresting at 58 MILLION. THE vast number of them stayed in the Northeast states with the rest going into the Middle states. Granted there was a wave of Scandinavian immigrants but almost all of them moved to the Northwest states and it ended by 1900 with around 7 million..
Was that a kiwi bird in the background at 6:00? Peter breaks off his talk to say "I've got a friend here..." So he moves himself and his selfie camera down the path a few paces to keep the bird in view, while continuing his brilliant analysis of European politics -- without losing a beat. What a talent this guy is. And he loves loves loves nature.
@@gmoney1760 I'm watching canada imploding just trying to orchestrate a trade block against Trump, and it really feels like these leaders are playing right into his hands. I don't know what Trump's demands were of Trudeau, but i'd assume it has to do with immigration, but it looks like they'd rather engage in a losing trade war over sorting their own house. No media is actually telling us what Trump's demands were either, so it's just suspicious to me. And frankly pathetic, if you actually weren't just virtue signaling to your voter base, you would create an entire Western Block. Not just theatrics, not just a provincial block with zero leverage.
The most important and true and accurate statement from Peter ever. "When American pays attention to you, it gets uncomfortable real fast." You can be anything from a nation state to a piece of burger, and that's still true.
The U.S. has already proven the world that it has little respect for human life, being directly responsible for 12 million deaths around the world since the end of WWII. And now, a new pResident will be sworn in who doesn't even have any respect towards his own citizens. So yeah, it is uncomfortable.
lol, people here in Canada sometimes complain that Canada is "boring" and people don't pay attention to us. I'm just like...those are good things most of the time.
And that's partly why we have the EU. You can't make us uncomfortable. Donald tried last time around. But we're the world's largest high income market. And America sells high end goods. So what are you going to do? Tariffs? Ok we'll tariff you back. Trade war, we'll buy from China.
reality is trade deficit once you include services is only 40 billion which is small. canada can buy orange juice and other products from other countries for the same price as from florida and other states. but america needs the energy and minerals form canada that will be more expensive since they wont get the deep discount.
200 billion in defence…so a recent report came out that Canada sells the US 100 billion dollars worth the crude at a 60 70% discount,now the US sells that 100 billion dollars worth the crude oil refined into gas products for 300 billion..talk about a trade imbalance…my country needs to wake up.
@@Brent-z2s No its because its market limited. The discount is related to global price for heavy crude not vs light crude. Heavy oil is available from Venezuela and sold at 30% premium for ex. Global price for heavy crude when properly available to global markets is 30-40% higher than what Canada sells to the US
Canada fully privatized its oil industry. So american owned oil firms in Canada sell oil to american refiners in the US at a 30-40% discount. This gives them much higher profits for the refined product. The only ones to blame here for letting this abuse happen is Canada.
With friends like these US commentators on Canada, who needs enemies! Trump sees every issue as an adversarial win-lose situation, just like every bully. It seems from the comments that many US citizens are of a similar persuasion. My life experience leads me to believe that bullies run out of friends real fast, just look at Putin. Neighbours should seek to resolve issues amicably - win-win solutions - that is the foundation of a civil society.
This American agrees with you. Trump is a madman. We will try to do everything we can to elect a rational president in 2028, please wish us luck. In the meantime, look after your own interests.
"Neighbours should seek to resolve issues amicably - win-win solutions" That's what Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has been trying to convey, basically without support from other Canadian premiers. Some of them actually want a trade war -- with Trump! While he's thrashing them, we hope he'll remember Danielle kindly. She was the one who did reach out.
Its far easier to understand trump than the idiocy of the American people. I mean trump has a policy document (proj. 2025) and is predictable in his self interest. Meanwhile we have brown Americans voting for white supremacists - you can't make this shit up!
Peter I really enjoy your content but it’s hard to listen when things are delayed by 7 days. Used to listen every day and have several of your audiobooks so I’m a big fan. It just feels like you’ve made the content available to a large majority of your listeners a lot less relevant in order to force people’s hands. Most creators will create extra content for those who are able to support them to avoid polarizing their audience. It could have been a win-win-win but instead you’ve made it a win-win-lose. Just a suggestion as I think your channel is a great resource for people to learn and hate to see it stymied
It also leaves him open to his video not agreeing well in real time. Hot topics are best dealt with immediately. Automatically putting them off a week leaves him late to the table. I see a lot of negative comments about it too. He’s risking losing a lot of people here.
Nothing Peter says is time sensitive enough that one week matters. And you really should not base your stock decisions on his videos. Especially not with a short time horizon.
@@MrNicoJac I disagree. His opinion gets left in the dust. The news cycle restarts every day. Instead of getting his take before or alongside everyone else’s, I now have to actively seek it out a week later. And UA-cam has stopped recommending his videos to me. Haven’t really seen anyone saying they intend to use Peter’s videos for stock tips so not sure how to respond to that part
Back in 1797, a President named Adams asked former Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson what would be needed to conquer Canada. Jefferson’s answer was “Thirty days of marching”. Not much has changed in 228 years. 😎
@@miklmiklmtrcycl6009 The United States won the War of 1812 in the long run even though it was stalemated by 1814. The raid on Washington was just an in-and-out adventure of no military importance. The British -- proto"Canadians" were not involved -- made no attempt to seize and hold U.S. territory or interrupt the American government. The American victories on Lake Erie and at Moraviantown on the Thames River ensured that the British would have no hard-power influence after the war on American expansion of Manifest Destiny into the upper MidWest west of Detroit.
Ukraine is in war till 2014. They had 200k solder who smelled the gunpowder in war in donbass. So Ukraine had many solders who had experience of modern war. Russian totally underestimeted Ukraine army. They believed that it wasn't war but special operation ended after 3 days. They went more like on parade then war. I think that such a attitude would not be repeated, especially to country which Russian consider as country - Ukraine is for them just parts of Greater Russia not intependent "normal" country.
Scandinavia, the Baltic states and Poland combined have significant military forces, all with modern equipment, with well trained personnel - that are well coordinated trough the many joint exercises. The Norwegian airforce for example have a designated aerial space over Poland that that they patrol when the need arises, like last week when Russia launched a massive bombardment in the western part of Ukraine. Russia is no longer an existential threat- but can still cause substantial damage on a more local level, like on the Baltic borders with Russia. If the Ukrainian war ends and the Russian military is rebuilt over a decade or so - then the picture could change, though.
Europe needs continued US support for Ukraine. Most of the military aid to Ukraine comes from the United States, and Ukraine would likely collapse without it.
If you can find it on UA-cam it's very interesting to listen to the nato news conference from yesterday. You'll get a full view of what Peter is talking about.
Peter, why does your analysis of Canada not consider the leverage that Canadians do have with the US. Like for instance being next door. So all those coast lines are potential strategic vulnerabilities Canada can use against the US ie. you don’t want to protect us, for your own good, we can find other countries, say China, who I’m sure would be more than happy to help us protect our borders.
Is there anything you like about Trump?? Maybe you should take your own advice and cozy up to him. It's becoming tougher and tougher to listen to you as you continually put him down.
Turkey should be interesting. Defense spending hardly reaches 2%, economy is bad, but has the second largest military and the second largest air force in the alliance, even if it is a little outdated, with multiple local projects to bring it to fore. Has the most number of deployable brigades after US by a long margin compared to others and joins every NATO mission and exercise happily. I believe 2 of the 4 standing naval groups(SNMG2 and SNMCMG2 both deployed on the Mediterranean) of NATO are currently under Turkish command. It would be a very hard task for Turkey to increase military spending to 4-5%, but it pulls its weight. Under Trump 2.0, Turkish American relations will either be amazing or even more abysmal than during the Obama era. no in between.
@@gairionysten3188in the last 15 years Turkey has intervened directly or indirectly in 4 different conflict: syria ,northern iraq , Azerbaïdjan and Libya . They came up on top and accomplished their military and political objective in all of those theaters. To say you know nothing and then make big assumptions over a country that has been facing hybrid and conventional war for the last 45 year is really disingenuous. But I guess when you're from a country who has so little importance in the international it's understandable that you might believe this .
@@gairionysten3188 Equipment we use are either old NATO stuff or new NATO spec stuff we build ourselves(and then sell to NATO countries, like Estonia's new armored vehicles). Turkey is the country that undertook the third largest naval invasion in history after world war two and Korean war in 1974. It started its operation against ISIS in Syria in 2016, only a month after a coup attempt and killed or captured more than 3000 ISIS militants in 7 months of fighting while losing 50 men. I don't think many others could do that, certainly not Russia. Their history in Talvisota is infamous. It has some old equipment and old thinking, but also unparalled fighting acumen and experience from the shores of the med to the mountains of Iraq. We also have the second largest light infantry force in the alliance, trained to fight in the deserts of Syria and again -40 degree mountains of Iraq. Add to it one of the most comprehensive mine countermeasures fleet in the alliance and the largest submarine force in the Med. I don't think we have much to prove to be honest. One reason US simply can't cast Turkey aside after all the headaches of more than a decade is the Turkish military.
Why is this so hard to understand? The Americans have given more to the Ukrainian war dollar wise than the rest of Europe combined Yet zero appreciation That is a prime example of why Americans ass is red America’s ass is red because Europe is unprepared America’s ass is red because NATO is at BEST a check your ID at the gate peacekeeping force The ones in blue , the NATO forces have zero vested interest.. how hard do you think they’re gonna fight?
He isn't interested in allies defense spending as a %GDP, he's interested in *not being beholden to allies* for any support. As European defense spending rose above 2% GDP, Trump started talking about 3%. Now that Poiland moved beyond 3%, and even beyond the U.S., suddenly Trump is talking about 5% + They are moving goal posts because he doesn't want to support the eastern most NATO allies if Russia invades.
I just wonder how longer it will take until "Pay rent or piss off with your military bases on out soil.". He's killing the US' worldwide influence with a death by a thousand cuts.
Because 2% wasn’t the target. It was the absolute minimum. Now they’re behind and need to catch up. Notice how Poland may be the only nation that’s actually pulling its own weight in this and they agree with him? Should tell you something.
To put it diplomatically; Someone better contemplate strategies and MO before alignments shift unfavorably. (#1 position is almost entirely held up off the backs of other countries).
Mostly i support your comments in this sector but i really hate to see you always skip the Baltics as unimportant in the geopolitical situation of europe, let me remind you that Lithuania had a great relationship with Trump and he even pushed people away just to stand next to our president at that time also saying that he likes what we are doing here, we singlehanded pissed off china so much by opening TAIWAN economical trade office and stood our ground as all relations with china went to shit, and as always we are showing the other european countries the initiative, we have huge military spending sent our militants and special forces to most of the conflicts that USA had been involved and showed great results, and i do know we are small and might seem insignificant but don't forget we were the ones who took a huge boot and kicked russia(ussr at the time) in the nuts so hard that their problems haven't ended up until today... Ps: We might have a declining demographic which you present as the biggest problem in the new world, but we have the biggest climbing economic sector in the whole eu atm.
There is nothing such thing like great relationship with Trump. If anyone thinks that Trump's policy will be based on gestures and friendships, they have understood nothing of it. It all comes down to how much weaponry you buy from the US and how much you can help them in their global interests. Lithuania is a small country and in addition naively buys everything from the Germans. Not only is Lithuania overpaying for German weapons that may never reach them because Germany don't have industrial capacity to deliver this quickly, but it is also gaining nothing from it politically in Europe. This is my smal hint from Polish perspective.
Canada had a focus through NORAD partnership to offset NATO commitments (and UN peacekeeping as the US wasn’t seen as an honest broker in this regard) but there is now a shift to redefining defence around patrolling the Arctic waters and here a new command like NORAD could be forged under a new government and PM later this year.
Trumps recent statements, though hyperbolic, reflects on Canadian sovereignty. Agreed Canada needs to redefine its defense policy in how it wants to achieve its goals and investments in its own tech. In the scenario that the US "seizes" Greenland, NORAD and Canada are complicit imo. Though NORAD is beneficial to both countries and more for the US, I feel Canada needs to define its own role, maintain an arms length from US interests, and ensure a plan to do it. Canada's defense policy is solid but how we act to do it suffers from failure of political leadership, vision, and mission.
While Trudeau certainly has failed to deliver all of his promised increases in defence spending, it was the previous Conservative Government that slimmed us down just below 1% of GDP in a post-Afghanistan effort to balance the 2015 budget. "They don't try" is correct; but it's a bipartisan norm in Canada.
Mate, ljust a heads up, love the videos but I was feeling sick watching you when you started walking...and I don't get motion sickness. The camera can move around but both is hard yards
Listen to what Trump says about many topics. You will see he just talks crazy to get attention and reactions. One or two months later he says something else to contradict what he said earlier.
Greenland and greenland wants to be independent so, those people can do what they want if they want to sell america they can if they cannot then they are not sovereign people and thus have no freedom.
As an American we appreciate y’all being a true modern ally in NATO unlike other EU NATO members. Poland’s development of a modern defense industry and expansion of armed forces has been very impressive.
Wasn’t it tRumps grandfather who ran away from Germany to avoid military enlistment? It seems that running away from military service goes with the tRump name! And didn’t his grandfather start up a bar and brothel in Alaska? And that’s where the family fortune originated from?
@@sophiachavez3377 nope donald trumps grandfather made his money off brothels in the gold rush in alaska. all you have to do is look it up. he is german.
Slight correction about Canada: defence spending is actually up slightly under Trudeau. It had fallen drastically under previous governments. Low defence spending has been largely a cross party consensus in Canada for the past 20-30 years.
People forget Harper saw our lowest defense spending in the last 80 years. In 2011 he was spending under 1% of GDP on the military Otherwise known as *Great Depression* levels
@@MacTac141the accounting was different under Harper, foreign operations came from a separate fund that wasn’t calculated in the defence spending tally. The Liberals gave more budget money, but made it also part of the expeditionary budget and overall less money. It was all creative accounting, no 2 countries report defence spending the same way.
I think most European countries are more than willing to go above the 2% NATO limit. Many reached it during 2024. However Trump is really not liked in Europe. That will create a lot of unneeded issues for the US. Especially when it comes to the tariffs vs China.
What do you mean by "not liked"? He is loathed! He is seen to be a bizarre buffoon and dangerous beyond the capacity to understand with normal human reason. Nothing can possibly make Trump look good, although Trump is too mentally crippled to understand this.
You can throw money at the problem all you want. You can’t make citizens join the Army. What good is the money when you can’t find bodies to do the work?
I think its vital for both USA and EU to work together and not screw up each other, because than China will be a big winner. I also think USA need Europe almost as much as the other way around. I also would not underestimate the Germans, yes there are problems, but a very very capable nation if they decide to work things out.
@@ZedWolffy The EU can’t survive without world trade. The US wants to brake down the whole framework that makes world trade possible. It will therefore not be in EUs interest to do what you say. A protectionistic and aggressive US have to be balanced out on the world stage.
When Trump imposed tariffs on Canadian aluminum in 2018, it didn't take long for the US to tuck its tail between its legs and back down. Canadians will outlast the US in a trade war because we have more at stake than just money, whereas the US is predominantly motivated by money. Yes, everything said about our paltry military spending may be true, but culturally speaking we love to fight. We are exceedingly polite off the ice and vicious fighters on the ice. (hockey, literally)
NATO doesn't need to increase military spending, because they already account for a 3/4 of world military spending, and that does not include spending by friendly countries such as Japan and Australia that are not NATO members. The US should spend less, and some slackers such as Canada should spend more. Those bordering on Russia are understandably spending more, but I suspect in the case of most countries, it's not so much more spending that is required, but an improved supply chain for ammunition, and a redeployment of forces.
The point of having such a big advantage is so that no adversary thinks to even try fighting you. It's not good to only be 10% stronger than your opponent, who then wants to fight, and even if you win you come out horribly injured.
The USA have been the greatest super-power based on a very smart policy of alliances and partnerships all over the world. Threating, bullying and disrespecting allies and friends may seriously harm this alliance and then the USA will no longer be a super power but just a big country with very few allies. Who wants an alliance with a superpower that threatens you, disrespects you or challenges your territorial borders? Be smart and take care of the alliance, it has been your best asset for decades.
Everybody loves you when they get the free lunch they have had since wwII. Virtually every Nato member except the US has shirked their duty to help pay for their own defense. Then the Moron Germans get in bed with Russia and two huge Natural gas channels that they shared with Russia while we spend a couple billion a year guaranteeing their security with our soldiers in their country.
The USA have been the greatest superpower based on a very smart policy of keeping out of serious conflicts until they absolutely had no choice, thus ensuring that the early combatants destroyed each other before the US swooped in and swept up the remains and the glory. That's how the rest of the world sees it!
Bullying and threatening our allies is almost entirely the work of Trump. Americans might discover that electing a "disrupter" has some serious negative consequences down the road. Like a child that sees a toy that he wants, Trump wants to go down in history as a President who "expanded" the US. Greenland is a big blob on the globe and he has decided that is his best bet for expansion. There is no strategic or economic imperative for the US to "own" Greenland when it is currently controlled by a close ally. This is all about Trump's ego and his child-like obsession with making things bigger. He wants his legacy to be that he expanded the US. We will see if that comes at the expense of our relations with our allies.
As a Canadian, just wanted to clear up a little bit of misinformation here. Previous Harper government gutted Canada's defense spending to less than one percent. Justin inherited this and in his last few years in office decided to make a plan to get to 2%. To my knowledge, my nation is far behind and progressing slowly when it comes to our military modernization. Hope we can be ready to help our allies soon. 🤞
Under Lt. Gen. Carignan, unfortunately, DEI has become a greater battlefield concern than equipment and combat readiness. The CAF command has staffers more paranoid about a Canadian Soldier buying a "Make Canada Great Again" ball cap than about a potential Russian incursion over the pole, or about China setting up illegal bases in the Arctic Archipelago. Canada's military establishment is that blind to this country's true enemies.
No, Zeihan's correct. It wasn't just Harper. Our anemic military spending goes back quite a few administrations. And even some of the increases under Trudeau is because the formula changed and we can include pensions and the like as part of our NATO contribution... not exactly a sign of Canada rearming as necessary as the pensions are! And other increases come from the cancelled F-35s that were then subsequently re-ordered after dithering around for a bit. And if the Perun video is to believed, our military is in even more dire straits than I realized in that our military procurement is an absolute mess in that we pay far more for far less and take far longer than any of our equivalent allies to acquire any kind military equipment. Meaning, we can't just spend our way out. We need a serious overhaul, and it's going to be much longer than 'soon' before we are out of this mess.
Question. If Ukraine has not only kept the "mighty Russian military " at bay for 3 years now but also has actually taken land from Russia, then why is it that you (Peter Zeihan) believe that NATO could not put up a formidable defense or even straight out destroy Russias military in a short period of time? Yes, i am fully aware that Ukraine has been able to do what they have due to NATOs efforts to supply Ukraine, bit they have also been great with outside the box thinking as well. Considering that NATO has been training and having exercises for Decades on how to fight Russia , I would tend to think that it wouldn't be much for them to knock Russia down quickly; again given how Ukraine has been able to embarrass Russia on their own.
russia will take 40 years to get to the polish border. and someone did the math with current casualty rates russians suffering. they would take 26 million casualties getting to polish border.
Canadas biggest problem has always been a brain drain issue. Our best and brightest get to a certain level of success, and there is no where else to go in our small pond. Our population is about the same as California. They end up moving south where the money and acclaim are and we end up with the second or third tier running the show for a number of generations now.
I saw someone comment somewhere that if coutries start spending 5 percent of their gdp on defense, it will provide enough scale to build more domestically instead of spending on us made equipment.
The problem is if you didn't make the multi-billion dollar investments in RDT&E and manufacturing capacity in your defense sector 30-40 years ago, you are not able to manufacture competent or relevant weapon systems today. What European nations invested $30 billion in development of a new 5th Generation fighter 30-40yrs ago? ATF got funded in the US starting in 1981. 4 prototypes flew in 1991. F-22A production began in 1997. ASTOVL funding for RDT&E started in 1983. X-35 first flight was Oct 2000. First production model rolled off the line in Dec 2006 for the A model. The actual ASTOVL model (F-35B) rolled off Dec 2008. Carrier version 2010. Now there are 1100 of them delivered to customers as of Jan 1st, 2025. Meanwhile the Euro Consortium doesn't have a 1990s AESA Radar in their fleet of 1980s tech Typhoons. US has been flying 3 different 6th Gen prototypes starting in 2017, with billions spent in RDT&E already. European parliaments haven't taken defense seriously for generations, so now they're stuck buying US advanced weaponry.
You know what 5% of German GDP would mean? That's almost 45% of the whole federal budget. We can turn the lights of and lock the doors behind us (in Germany) if this is what is expected of us in military spending under Trump. edited for clarity
The whole point for the 5% push by Trump is to allow him to build the political capital to allow him to take the US out of NATO, not to actually push NATO members to spend that much. It's an unattainable goal for pretty much any country that isn't fighting a major war.
GDP shrinking with VW and BMW, etc. shutting plants because of your addiction to Russian power Probably a guilt thing left over and they’re heavily indoctrinated culture First heard right, then hard left. And now you can’t straighten the wheel. The US should’ve joined you and continued the March East. It turns out. I’m American so I can say that Your country would probably come arrest you That is the difference
American here. Trying to please Trump is a fool's game because he will turn on you anyway, for his own reasons, or for no reason at all. Flatter him, cajole him, but take care of your own interests regardless, seems to be the right approach. We will try to elect a better president who appreciates the value of alliances in 2028, wish us luck.
Canadian here. As Peter mentioned in a previous video, our population pyramid isn't looking so great. Not only do we have an aging population and shrinking base of taxpayers, but Trudeau has opened the floodgates to foreigners looking for handouts paid for by the Canadian taxpayer. We basically have to double our military spending to $80B from the current $40B and maintain it at that level. But with the demands on our social services, the government is not currently in a position to do that. We spend over $80B on elderly benefits alone. And undoing the damage done by Trudeau is going to take time. Trump isn't going to want to wait for us to pump up our military spending. If virtually every other country in NATO has managed to meet the target, and especially if there is pressure to increase the target from 2% to 5% (as Trump has said), we're going to have a lot of European countries too wondering why Canada is allowed to continue to freeload. Our military is also a mess, particularly with procurement processes. There's so much bureaucracy involved. The only way out is for Canada to start extracting its natural resources like mad and running over all the stupid bureaucracy and environmental regulations. Then we would have the revenue to both increase military spending drastically while paying down the debt and maintaining services and benefits.
All that immigration is helping to fix the population pyramid. Despite how painful it is on housing supply it is critical. As for demand on social services that to go up with age. It is not the immigrants in their 20s and 30s that are putting demands on social programs.
I feel for you. The current regime in the US, which goes away next Monday, has let in millions of illegal aliens which would help "fix" our population pyramid, yet most of the human waste coming in requires US citizens to pay for their food, clothing, and housing, while they have the time and energy to commit crimes. It kind of sounds like if both our countries would kick out all of our respective illegal aliens and remove the legal immigrant freeloaders, both our countries would do much better.
@@jerrymiller9039 What does it matter, if some europeans have been killed? The US was in need for help, made use of the NATO treaty and the allies responded. Just something that people in the US should be aware of, I believe. Btw: Islamic terror was not an issue in Europe until 911. Some side effects of supporting the US in Afghanistan.
I almost forgot. On the morning of September 11, 2001, 19 men armed with boxcutters directed by a man on dialysis in a cave fortress halfway around the world using a satellite phone and a laptop directed the most sophisticated penetration of the most heavily-defended airspace in the world, overpowering the passengers and the military combat-trained pilots on 4 commercial aircraft before flying those planes wildly off course for over an hour without being molested by a single fighter interceptor. These 19 hijackers, devout religious fundamentalists who liked to drink alcohol, snort cocaine, and live with pink-haired strippers, managed to knock down 3 buildings with 2 planes in New York, while in Washington a pilot who couldn’t handle a single engine Cessna was able to fly a 757 in an 8,000 foot descending 270 degree corskscrew turn to come exactly level with the ground, hitting the Pentagon in the budget analyst office where DoD staffers were working on the mystery of the 2.3 trillion dollars that Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld had announced “missing” from the Pentagon’s coffers in a press conference the day before, on September 10, 2001. Seems like the A5 call was part of the plan.
Toghether with Italy they have one of the strongest heavy industry sectors in the world, that also produces a lot of components for USA's military industry. Apparently MAGA and Trump have forgotten that they became a superpower thanks to the hundreds of highly educated Germans they snatched after ww2. I wouldn't push either European country to become great again if I was the US.
@wussrestbrook1200 You mean during the great depression? The us was one of the powers in the world before ww1. They became the hegemon after ww2 and the massive influx of europeans.
I realize that you are still affected by TDS but to say the anyone in the world thinks Trump is dumb is laughable. Yeah, there are probably some world leaders who think Trump is dangerous, reckless, harsh, rude, self-aggrandizing etc. but dumb? I really doubt that is what they believe. It isn't a good look if you claim someone is dumb and he out-maneuvers you and dominates the game. If Trump is "dumb" then what are you?
Why is wealth inequality an issue? Most of the fortunes of the mega rich are a) paper fortunes - they rise and fall with the stock market b) they are new wealth - they havent taken wealth from other people they have created new wealth - these companies didnt exist previously - these people made new things and they made things we want to pay for. Being jealous of other peoples wealth is stupid and pointless.
Canada does not have the tax base to build the military, the world wants. We are a small population that is spread out over a huge country. Spending just for spending is a myopic insult.
@@evanhammond7305 That brings us to the many cultural differences, with our neighbours. In 1955, my Dad had to toss a coin and decide do I migrate to Canada or join relatives in the Bronx, USA ? Already, as a child I could see the difference in attitudes with our American cousins. Canada opened the doors for me in the 70's and that would never have happened in the States, I do not believe. Apples and oranges.
@@IskelderonI see it a lot on different channels, not just this one. I get comments deleted using the exact same words the comment I’m replying to did. It’s not bad words either. It’s political ones like mentioning either parties name, when others do it no problem. I see it on both right and left leaning channels so I don’t understand whats going on when you have the trolls on those channels who comment crazy stuff constantly. Each channel can set its own comment filters, but I think there’s also something bigger going on too.
US military spending includes things like border guards and military pensions. This is not the case for all NATO countries, so if the GDP spending should be increased (and it probably should be to 2.5% and perhaps later even to 3%), the way to calculate it should be standardized. Finland does not count any loss of GDP caused by the mandatory military service for males for example (estimated at 0.4%). The US also spends money on projecting military power across the globe, which is not defense spending. What does the US spend on actual defense of its territory and its territorial waters? You don't need nuclear powered carriers for that. Finlands 2.4% for 2024 might very well be closer to 3% if we would include what the US includes and calculate the cost of conscription as well.
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As a Canadian, I feel the need to mention that defence is becoming an increasingly important topic within our own politics and the general voting populace. It is unfortunate that we’re so far behind but that shouldn’t be the case for too much longer. I do also feel there is a lot we can do with the spending, hopefully with lessons learned from Ukraine. I personally have a small list of things that I want to see us doing. 1. Modernize our airforce a focus on capability and versatility. Our airforce has a lot of roles to play beyond combat. I’m glad we have F-35s on the way but I want us to also be capable of reconnaissance, surveillance, search and rescue, research, and disaster relief. Luckily this seems to already be the direction our airforce is taking. 2. Modernize the navy. On paper, this is already happening. I don’t think we need a big navy, but just one for regional defence and supporting allies overseas. We need better quality control and efficient spending on our newer replacements but the only big thing I want to see is us purchase Swedish Blekinge-class submarines to replace our old fleet. 3. Have the army focus on procurement of ammunitions and spare parts and maintenance. We don’t have a big population and by extension, can’t field massive armies like America, France, or Turkey. What we can do is be the alliance’s ammo depot. This is where I’m hoping we’ve learned from Ukraine. We should be stockpiling supplies and equipment to replenish the alliance with when needed. 4. Maintain the effectiveness of our special forces. 5. Invest heavily into cybersecurity. I think between cybersecurity, special operations, and the versatility of our airforce, these should be the primary pillars and contributions of Canadian defence. 6. Modernize the NORAD systems in the Arctic. If Canada were to accomplish all of this, I think our contributions to the alliance and value as a defence partner would skyrocket and be more than appreciated by everyone else. Geography and demographics naturally allow us to play the support role and all of these would be very effective ways to do that.
That’s a good joke considering everything the UK is dealing with right now. People with money are leaving the UK at record levels. MPs and police covering for grooming gangs, and people are being arrested for memes or sharing their opinions. I say you should look in the mirror.
He is seriously talking about the Scandinavians having a good relationship with America, while U.S. is threatening Denmark with tariffs or military coercion to gain control over their territory. Denmark/U.S. has never been worse than they are right now. I think it's time to stop listening to this fool.
I was laughing my head off, the war in Russia will end in 2025 and countries are going back to buying gas from them. The Scandinavian countries are upset about Trump threatening Denmark, depending on how that plays out it could sour the mood to cooperate with him. That pretty much leaves Poland and the smaller Baltic states at best. My prediction for Trump 2.0: he will start a tariff war with Europe which will further decouple the US from Europe.
As a swede, I think that the Greenland issue is to boost military spending to the amount that it's sufficient for the US to feel secure. To ask nicely isn't an thing anymore, and the threat will show how willing we(as NATO countries) are preparing to help.
lulz trumps in office for 4 years only. and this isnt the first trade war canada has had. but it likely makes canada better as they build pipelines to east and west coast and creates more inter provincial trade that doesnt exist now.
you acting like its a 1 sided trade relationship. trump putting up false numbers as the trade deficit is only 40 billion if you include services american companies provide in canada. in addition canada can buy orange juice and other american products from other countries for similar price, where as americans need the canadian energy and minerals.
I'm a proud russian immigrant to Poland. Poland is the next Germany in the EU, give it 5 -7 years. Poles are extraordinarily adequate and weighted people. Life quality skyrocketed here. Poland is amongst very few counties that understand Russia very well from the position of power. Go POLAND!!! 🇵🇱
5 -7 years Poland will be serving pootin again.
Who believes that ?
Poland is just the cheap workbench and orders can vanish over night.
Look at the VW plant - can be closed over night and brought back to germany due to the ownership cause VW is owned by the state of lower sacoxny.
We had moved 2 plants to Poland and it has not worked out at all. Too many issues, too many lazy workers and too often ill, to slow performanche and the worst _ high inflration rates.
But we bought back the properties our family had owend for centuries.
But you got no nukes, so can't play in the big boy game.
@@anandrew6641 Germany "hosts" US nukes. Russia has nukes, look at Kursk region, they don't help much to protect even own land.
The EU is on its way out. Scott Ritter just made a great analysis.
Swede here. We have already shaped our "Mini NATO Alliance" within the big alliance with our fellow Baltic Sea countries Poland, Denmark, Germany, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia and Finland. Russia (St Petersburg and Kaliningrad) is only a few kilometers from our borders. We know that we cannot sit here and wait for daddy USA or other NATO members to come to our aid if Russia were to attack. We would have to deal with the shit ourself.
Therefore we have continuous training exercises including air, navy and land defence. We are well equipped, financially stable (not Germany) and ready to go if needed.
@@camilogyllback7193 thank you Poland for defending yourself
Thank you, Poland for not sponging off the US taxpayer
Well, done
Americans have watched this process unfold and are very supportive of it. With the EU on the verge of fracturing atm, these kinds of strategic regional alliances will be very important.
@@Paint-brigade1776 He's Swedish, But yeh I agree that we need to look to ourselves first. Just like the Poles and Swedes, Finns etc are doing.
Daddy pootin is coming for Swedes. sad
I love what you wrote - you and your nation take a stand against this fascism.
But I'm sure you're Leaders understand this is an emerging virus - virus can adapt.
Because sure, the expenditure and commitment to allied cooperative military is very, very prudent. But you got that - NATO, even without U.S. would defend against RU successfully even after nuke strikes.
But America too could defeat RU without NATO.
But NATO cannot play the wrong game, this isn't 'Checkers', this is global chess.
America is falling. Falling to lies from fascist and their dark money preying upon our weakest of education. Citizens who think they are 'Patriots', yet just elected a man who next week, will put his hand on the Bible, swear an oath of loyalty to uphold the Constitution of the United States. Then, all of his next actions will be to dismantle our Constitution.
Trump didn't fight your military, any military. Fascist dark lords labored several years, noted Putin's progress and adopted Putin's plan. The U.S. is now going to be Russia.
America was totally prepared for an opposing military, but needed to fight ignorance of history, ethics, society..., recognize lies and fascism.
Poland already spends over 4% GDP on their military, proportionally more than the US
4,7
North Carolina has a bigger GDP than Poland lmao. Poland should be spending 40% GDP on their military. The only reason they don't is because they are suckling on the US teet. Let these poor countries defend themselves, we don't need them.
Yeah. Poland has a history of hostile neighbors. A rare sensible decision in Europe.
Okay and the over 20 others?
i think he means what they spend on NATO not their own military.
@5:53 A kiwi casually strolls by in the background.
Not a kiwi (which would be astounding if not impossible there in the daytime). It was a weka - still cool though.
Thats racialisms
@@oliverbrown6088 Yep, well spotted. That certainly is a weka.
@@davidstringer8711 The most well informed of his species 🤣
No match for the peacock strutting in the foreground.
I remember seeing a video of Trump in like 2016-2018 telling Germans they need to get off of russian energy Asap. They literally laughed at him and continued to close down their home based nuclear reactors while ever increasing their reliance on russian gas and oil lol. Looking at how things played out, it truly seems like a planned self-demolition of Germany, I'm no conspiracy theorist, but some things really make me wonder sometimes.
I sense a big theme. People don’t want to hear what they don’t want to hear, and they hate the people that tell them anyways. If they turn out to be right, they hate them even more.
It's not a self-demolition. As many observers have noted, the green party in Germany was founded by the KGB expats after the fall. The real crime is that the German citizenry and existing government allowed these socialist miscreants such influence in their country.
Still baffled that Germany shut down their nuclear reactors. With Russia leaving the scene as cheap energy, they need more nuclear not less.
Could be. Angela Merkel is from the former East Germany.
Yep!
The only hard part for Trump was leaving the room dragging his huge balls
I like Peter, and I enjoy hearing his insights. As a Canadian, it comforts me that despite being insightful and thought-provoking, the actual outcomes that Peter predicts based on his analyses are not always correct. If my memory serves me correctly, Peter predicted that Russia would not invade Ukraine and that Trump would not win the election.
I agree, His takes are logical and thought through. Often very interesting, but predicting these scenarios are so complex. Peter is a educated and confident speaker, but the unknown variable sure can make things turn out differently.
The key is to have a well informed grasp of geopolitical dynamics. On that front he does better than most. On predictions, decisions of other world leaders are not entirely by observable circumstance. Sometimes they make choices that are self destructive. Elections in the U.S. are a coin flip.
European NATO members should increase defense spending to 5%, but stop buying US weapons systems. Buying Polish-Swedish-UK-French-German-Italian instead.
Cancel NATO
Americans have grown tired of paying for the majority of Europe’s defense
@@Paint-brigade1776It was really American defense though. America wanted to park nukes in Europe, and NATO allowed America to do it.
Even just 4% would complete crash multiple European economies and result in collapse. Neither the Greeks, Hungarians, or Romanians could even sniff at 5%, just to name a few
FYI US defence spending is about 3.4%
@ 3.4% of what genius
Our GDP is massive so our 3.4% is equal to 30% of yours
3 big things Trump got right: 1. Nato needs to up its spend, 2. Germans and others, need to wean themselves off Russian oil, 3. Europeans need to stop relying on the Chinese for tech and manufacturing.
Trump is right about Panama, Greenland and Canada.
If Panama wants to sell off to China, if the Danes don't mind china developing Greenland as long as it's not the US, and Canada refusing to participate in defense.
Effectively this becomes a US Military national defense issue fast. Canada and Danes want us to defend them while they sell off their sovereigntry to the countries we're suppose to defend them from?
We buy oil from UEA and Qatar. If Russian oil is sold to an EU country, it's priced so low that Russia earns nothing from it. It comes from India IIRC.
Half of the "with it" people I know at least worked out 2 of those. He's not the genius he claims.
I wish I could upvote your comment more than once!
Trump is also broadly correct that we don't want China in control of the Panama Canal; I think he threatened Canada with high tariffs in order to bring Trudeau's incompetence front and center in Canada (which it did immediately, and I look forward to our neighbors to the North getting Pierre Polievre to make Canada great again). I haven't figured out his game with Greenland yet, and we have yet to see how he'll handle Iran and its proxies as well as Russia and Chinese aggression in the first chain islands. And I look forward to seeing his domestic policies in action.
But even though Peter will give Trump begrudging credit periodically, I think he underestimates his intelligence and exactly how much of his bravado and bluster is actually calculated acting that serves him well.
Looks like Trump makes the Europeans turn away from the US and more towards China.
Dude, it’s not “the Ukraine war” that sharpened NATO countries’ defense efforts, it is “Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.”
Due to the fact that zelenski did not sign the minsk agreement. I didn't putin make it clear what his line in the sand was? NATO!
No one gives a shit about semantics that aim to make you appear more enlightened
its a "conflict" LOL! ... and will be OVER after 20JAN2025 !
Thanks for clarifying, dude 😆
@@ghalston5641
And why was Ukraine invaded? Because of NATO. Because of America. Joe Biden. The CIA which overthrew a democratically elected government in Ukraine. They want biological research facilities at nuclear weapons and Ukraine. We have a bunch of fanatics in America that I’m more concerned with Russia than China, which is insane. Russia should be our friend, not our enemy. That’s just common sense. Europe should be friends with Russia. Russia didn’t just invade Ukraine for shits and giggles. They did it because they were pushed into it when they over and over again drew a line in the sand and said do not cross this line and Joe Biden and the CIA And the establishment that war with Russia so they could all make billions of dollars and all types of other Batshit crazy reasons kept crossing those lines. NATO should be dissolved. It has no purpose anymore. Be friends with Russia. Be a strategic partner with Russia. It’s smart economically, politically and strategically. These people have Cold War fascist mentalities. Russia is not the bad guy. Russia is not the enemy. China, Iran, etc. That’s the enemy. The enemy of the people in America is the government. The enemy of the people in Europe is the government.
As a Canadian I am embarrassed. We don’t need a huge military but certainly better than we have now! Canada is a g7 one of the richest countries on the planet. We can do at least as good and certainly better than Poland or Australia countries with similar populations.
You guys gota tap into those sweet sweet natural resources you got, or just continue giving us cheap energy to resell to others lol
Sorry, but Canada will NEVER do better than Australia, no matter how much they spend.
Our PM emasculated the forces. Morale at an all time low. Equipment is poor and I have heard that they have stopped doing yearly basic weapons handling qualifications.
@@anthonymorris2276 I've worked with the Aussies, and the Kiwis.... the CAF doesn't know what Fit is by comparisson.
@@whoshotashleybabbitt4924Ive been in 20 yrs, most of the support trades haven't had to do mandatory annual wpns training unless their on an operational base. Even then, sometimes theres just so much going on, they may not have time. Get the Wrecker saftied for the field next week or go run a range with the whole regiment or battalion and lose 2 days work. So few clerks, they're don't stop typing till their fingies fall of. Med staff have so many little administrative tasks to complete, on top of annual training of all kinds. It just can't be done. Too frikken busy with too few people. So, I don't think its a blanket policy that we dont shoot, but the priority is definatley being directed to the First Line Combat arms guys. Infantry, Arty, Combat Engineers, Tankers etc... don't worry the shooters still shoot, all the way up to the big boom boom ones.
Failing to meet your treaty obligations for multiple decades is not dragging your feet
@@evanhammond7305 And it's not a mandatory target either. Read the agreements.
@@belava82it is now boo boo
@@belava82every single nato member agreed to meet that target. It’s literally on the NATO website
Even if the the target wasn't officially stated, most of Europe let their militaries fall into irresponsible disrepair after the Cold War ended. Consider during the Cold War just West Germany alone had 12 divisions and nearly 500,000 soldiers! Now the whole united Germany has only 4 divisions and 80k men.
TDS
Canadian here,it’s simple open up our resources on a scale not seen in our history and yes sell these commodities to all countries in the NATO alliance.The new PM whomever that may be has made a commitment to refine our own oil and gas and leave our dependence from the US on energy on a amicable level.We as Canadian need to think about our country as a bank not a thrift store and stop giving oil and gas to the Americans at a 60 or 70% discount.
You have incoherent/contradictory ideas.
The Americans also need to pay full price plus for the electricity they use to power their entire north eastern population. They can also find an alternative source of fresh water. As Canadians we need to do just like the US does and make them pay for every single joule of energy they want, every litre of water or oil and every foot of lumber at the highest price we can devise.
Then we can use those profits to improve our military services quite nicely and Trannie Dump can go F### his hairdo.
@ no no my friend we need to create our own wealth so we can build our military..
@We have resources to sell in quantities that would allow us vastly greater wealth. A program to maximize these opportunities would be fantastic for the Canadian economy. Countering tariffs with equally retaliatory amounts would be ideal.
I agree you should think of your country first but believe it or not you need america to protect you
The Finnish President said it very well the other day “Europes holiday from history is coming to an end”. Trump, as much as I despise the man, did get the Europeans to finally recognize that they’ve got to face up to the realities of the world.
BS. Russia's invasion of Ukraine was the wake-up call. Trump is irrelevant to it.
Thar is a great way of putting it. The Doomers are always crying about how humans love war, not realizing we have been in an unprecedented era of peace. After 30 years it just seems excessive by comparison. The most conflict prone are the Swedes versus the Danes at 37! They have had to content themselves to just trolling each other. I don't think people grasp how abnormal it is that Europe hasn't had a conflict since the 90s. It's basically what built the continent.
There is a similar phenomenon in geology because there has been an uptick in activity ( also the ability to observe activity) when it is really just waking up from an eerily quiet period.
No. Can we stop this narrative please. Please start questioning and checking the stats.
EU has long far outspent Russia. EU common defense apparatus exists for decades. Regardless of who you since elected.
It's actually not all about you.
It was not that we didn't want to face those, it was more that we just kept trying to wipe each other out...
I hope we've learned that lesson, as we're now no longer given the choice, but will have to rearm, one way or another.
But with European peoples voting in populists, I fear that there's too many politicians who want to make easy wins instead of long term strategy.
Maybe it'll all work out.
I just hope this won't turn into one of those "be careful what you wish for" cases....
How could you despise a person, just because "he is", and yet you are happy with his words that change the world? Your contradiction, illogical hatred, and applauding his words, just shows how most people like you act, withot brains
This Polish American who still goes back to Poland and is now thinking of moving to Poland, thinks and feels like Poland is up-and-coming. There are some obstacles that they have to get over, but if they do watch out world. 🇵🇱😊🇵🇱 Poland is so much calmer and nicer and cleaner than most of America. In some ways, it has catching up to do yet, but in others, I hope it does not.
Great, comprehensive vid. Lots of food for thought. Ty, Peter.
I do wish Americans would realize that countries with allies thrive, but countries that go it alone whither. And that the US could not be defeated by a single nation, or by a group of nations, but when it has angered the entire world and they all turn against it, well that's a different story. It is better to be liked than needed. Although it is best to be both.
What I truly appreciate about Peter is that while he updates us on topics I have a secondary interest in, I also burn calories watching them because of watching him hike on trails I could never pull off. This earns me a cookie.
Since America, who in the past actively discouraged allied nations from fielding their own nuclear weapons, is no longer a viable defense partner, nations such as Canada, Germany, Sweden, Japan, South Korea, and Australia should provide each other the diplomatic cover to renounce all nuclear treaties they have signed and begin to arm themselves accordingly. We live in a different world now. Just ask Ukrainians today how they feel after giving up their nuclear weapons in exchange for 'promises'. In addition, does anyone really think that our good allies England and France would be willing to defend any nations but themselves with their own weapons? American conservative should support this, because after all, the right to self defense is a cornerstone of their philosophy as is making other nations pay for their own defense. No more reliance on the US nuclear umbrella. All the main democracies need to have their own.
Canadian from Calgary here. Our new PM will most likely be Pierre Poileviere (Conservative -born in Calgary). And while you are correct about lack of experience dealing with USA, he has been in our version of the congress for 20 years, and been a cabinet minister. Stephen Harper (lives in Calgary) is his mentor, and the power behind the curtain. Defence spending will go up. But mostly, our energyu and natural resource sectors will be unleashed. Trudeau's crowd crippled energy and natural resources, and that is what Canada does best. Stay tuned.
Devil's advocate here; Harper was party to the defense spending cuts as much as anybody else. Times have changed so I agree military spending will go up. You may be interested in a YT (Perun) who's a top-notch military industrial economist from Australia. He did a review of Canadian military and its procurement process. Horrifying. Poilievre's going to have his work cut out for him.
What a dumb populist he is
PP will not get my vote, depend on that
@@msmarplepsychicinvestigato1692he will not get my vote either!
@@truthseekerodinson5094 ..........Everybody's Military Procurement process is a Nightmare....you best bet is not to spend on War till the last minute, and just maintain large ,"On call" Reserves and a minimum AIrfleet
But your right, Poilievre will just hand over Canada to the USA ....Cause you know Orange Jesus asked !
Has anyone else noticed that Peter has become less relevant lately? The video says it is new, but then I see it is a week or more old. I do not even watch it anymore because I have already seen the news elsewhere.
His Patreon run is hurting his relevance.
He releases videos on YT a week after Patreon. Relevance costs $5.
Don't you mean up their spending in NATO to what they agreed to pay in decades ago and don't?
The perfect defense fit for Canada in NATO is specializing in arctic naval and ground operations. Sure we have the Nordic countries, but if Russia is the primary opposition, you can't have too much expertise in winter warfare. The one time the U.S. went to war in Russia, it didn't go well.
@@crawkn more Americans live north than Canadians
Canadians are all packed into Ontario, which is south of many US states
@@crawkn and when did US and Russia go to war?
Given irresponsible defense management and recent signaling, I think Canada needs to separate itself from specialization, reconsider its white paper and defense policy, and developed its own tech solutions. Russia isn't the only consideration.
@@Paint-brigade1776 but if Canada is going to provide substantially for its own defense, it has to defend all of its territory, not only those parts which are heavily populated.
@@Paint-brigade1776 American North Russia Expeditionary Force (ANREF), also known as the American Expeditionary Force North Russia (AEF North Russia), a contingent of U.S. troops that served in northern Russia during 1918-1919 as part of the Allied intervention in the Russian Civil War, nickname "Polar Bear Expedition".
Poland is already spending for defence 4,7% of GDP.
Makes sense for Europe's Texas, including the religious nutjobs and the rampant corruption.
clickety clickety...
No. As of Oct 2024 Canada spent 1.37% on defense, projected to rise to 1.49% in the next year or two and then fall back down.
Well below the NATO threshold of 2%.
@@Bailiol It changes nothing about what he said. He probably meant 5%
In both cases he's right that Poland is way above 2% in military spending.
which is still nuthing since they not make cash
Poland is the exception obviously.
Trump doesn't actually have Swedish descent, it was just something the family claimed instead of German descent when that was unpopular due to WW2. He's swung back to German in recent years (falsely claiming his dad was German-born).
LMFAO You talk as if trump cares or even knows the truth and as if Trump doesnt say something different a month later.
Slava Sau3rKrautz 🥗
Correct. The original family name was "Drumpf," which of course is Germanic in origin.
Who cares where trump is from? People are sick and tired of political correctness. Thank God. People act like trump is some sort of threat to democracy.....yeah THEIR version of democracy and a lot of Americans would rather vote in an egotistical conman than keep going the globalist way.
He's German descent. By 1850 the wave of German immigrants to the USA🇺🇸 had begun to swell eventually cresting at 58 MILLION. THE vast number of them stayed in the Northeast states with the rest going into the Middle states. Granted there was a wave of Scandinavian immigrants but almost all of them moved to the Northwest states and it ended by 1900 with around 7 million..
Was that a kiwi bird in the background at 6:00?
Peter breaks off his talk to say "I've got a friend here..."
So he moves himself and his selfie camera down the path a few paces to keep the bird in view, while continuing his brilliant analysis of European politics -- without losing a beat. What a talent this guy is. And he loves loves loves nature.
No, you'd be extremely lucky to see a Kiwi in daytime in the wild. This is another native bird of New Zealand known as the Weka.
@@fatalexception1269
Kiwis and Wekas...
Everything is more exotic down under.
All hikers and nature-lovers must envy Peter Zeihan.
The sounds! So nice.
This Canadian hot take is much better than when Peter said Freeland is the smartest Canadian that he beat in a debate
Peter has a hard time being left of center but having an audience who is tired of liberalism.
Yes, fascism is an ever increasing amount of maga thought.
Lets Go TRUDEAU 🇨🇳
@@SoldadoAntiBalas2008 Trudeau is basicaly gone... at last!
@@gmoney1760 I'm watching canada imploding just trying to orchestrate a trade block against Trump, and it really feels like these leaders are playing right into his hands. I don't know what Trump's demands were of Trudeau, but i'd assume it has to do with immigration, but it looks like they'd rather engage in a losing trade war over sorting their own house. No media is actually telling us what Trump's demands were either, so it's just suspicious to me. And frankly pathetic, if you actually weren't just virtue signaling to your voter base, you would create an entire Western Block. Not just theatrics, not just a provincial block with zero leverage.
The most important and true and accurate statement from Peter ever. "When American pays attention to you, it gets uncomfortable real fast."
You can be anything from a nation state to a piece of burger, and that's still true.
The U.S. has already proven the world that it has little respect for human life, being directly responsible for 12 million deaths around the world since the end of WWII. And now, a new pResident will be sworn in who doesn't even have any respect towards his own citizens. So yeah, it is uncomfortable.
lol, people here in Canada sometimes complain that Canada is "boring" and people don't pay attention to us.
I'm just like...those are good things most of the time.
"You can be anything from a nation state to a piece of burger". What? jarnmod has been smoking funny weed this morning.
And that's partly why we have the EU.
You can't make us uncomfortable.
Donald tried last time around.
But we're the world's largest high income market.
And America sells high end goods.
So what are you going to do?
Tariffs? Ok we'll tariff you back.
Trade war, we'll buy from China.
reality is trade deficit once you include services is only 40 billion which is small. canada can buy orange juice and other products from other countries for the same price as from florida and other states. but america needs the energy and minerals form canada that will be more expensive since they wont get the deep discount.
When America turns its eye on you it gets really uncomfortable really fast. That is a very accurate statement.
200 billion in defence…so a recent report came out that Canada sells the US 100 billion dollars worth the crude at a 60 70% discount,now the US sells that 100 billion dollars worth the crude oil refined into gas products for 300 billion..talk about a trade imbalance…my country needs to wake up.
It's at a discount because it's extremely dirty and hard to refine
@@Brent-z2s money is money my friend…your country sees dollars…should be our dollars…
@@Brent-z2s No its because its market limited. The discount is related to global price for heavy crude not vs light crude. Heavy oil is available from Venezuela and sold at 30% premium for ex. Global price for heavy crude when properly available to global markets is 30-40% higher than what Canada sells to the US
@@guyhickey3343
The US processes the Oil for Canada.
Canada fully privatized its oil industry. So american owned oil firms in Canada sell oil to american refiners in the US at a 30-40% discount. This gives them much higher profits for the refined product. The only ones to blame here for letting this abuse happen is Canada.
Thank you!
Thanks for putting the publication date on your video. News has the shelf life of fish 😊
With friends like these US commentators on Canada, who needs enemies!
Trump sees every issue as an adversarial win-lose situation, just like every bully.
It seems from the comments that many US citizens are of a similar persuasion. My life experience leads me to believe that bullies run out of friends real fast, just look at Putin. Neighbours should seek to resolve issues amicably - win-win solutions - that is the foundation of a civil society.
The rest of the western world are parasites on the Americans who delusion leads them to think they are the reason the west is great
This American agrees with you. Trump is a madman. We will try to do everything we can to elect a rational president in 2028, please wish us luck. In the meantime, look after your own interests.
@@beans100 Try removing your cranium from your rectum...it's the first step in curing TDS.
"Neighbours should seek to resolve issues amicably - win-win solutions" That's what Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has been trying to convey, basically without support from other Canadian premiers. Some of them actually want a trade war -- with Trump!
While he's thrashing them, we hope he'll remember Danielle kindly. She was the one who did reach out.
Trump is a pragmatist. He only wants what works and what is economically sound.
Imagine spending six months predicting a landslide defeat for candidate Trump and then pretending you understand President Trump...
Peter hates Trump
HE BLAMES TRUMP FOR EVERY STUPID THING EUROPE DOES
Its far easier to understand trump than the idiocy of the American people. I mean trump has a policy document (proj. 2025) and is predictable in his self interest. Meanwhile we have brown Americans voting for white supremacists - you can't make this shit up!
Peter I really enjoy your content but it’s hard to listen when things are delayed by 7 days. Used to listen every day and have several of your audiobooks so I’m a big fan. It just feels like you’ve made the content available to a large majority of your listeners a lot less relevant in order to force people’s hands. Most creators will create extra content for those who are able to support them to avoid polarizing their audience. It could have been a win-win-win but instead you’ve made it a win-win-lose. Just a suggestion as I think your channel is a great resource for people to learn and hate to see it stymied
It also leaves him open to his video not agreeing well in real time. Hot topics are best dealt with immediately. Automatically putting them off a week leaves him late to the table. I see a lot of negative comments about it too. He’s risking losing a lot of people here.
i too, want free stuff, wah wah
Well said. Doubt Peter cares though. He is making bank, why would he change anything?
Nothing Peter says is time sensitive enough that one week matters.
And you really should not base your stock decisions on his videos.
Especially not with a short time horizon.
@@MrNicoJac I disagree. His opinion gets left in the dust. The news cycle restarts every day. Instead of getting his take before or alongside everyone else’s, I now have to actively seek it out a week later. And UA-cam has stopped recommending his videos to me. Haven’t really seen anyone saying they intend to use Peter’s videos for stock tips so not sure how to respond to that part
@Peter, will you release a top global hikes list por favor? Maybe a US too? cheers!
Amazing landscape. New Zealand looks beautiful.
Back in 1797, a President named Adams asked former Secretary of State Thomas Jefferson what would be needed to conquer Canada. Jefferson’s answer was “Thirty days of marching”.
Not much has changed in 228 years. 😎
And how did that go in 1812, enjoy your new White House
any war is followed by 30 years of guerilla war.
@@miklmiklmtrcycl6009 The United States won the War of 1812 in the long run even though it was stalemated by 1814. The raid on Washington was just an in-and-out adventure of no military importance. The British -- proto"Canadians" were not involved -- made no attempt to seize and hold U.S. territory or interrupt the American government. The American victories on Lake Erie and at Moraviantown on the Thames River ensured that the British would have no hard-power influence after the war on American expansion of Manifest Destiny into the upper MidWest west of Detroit.
@@miklmiklmtrcycl6009 oh snap!
Surprised that Thomas Jefferson was unaware of Burgoyne's slog of a march through upstate NY from Montreal to defeat at Saratoga.
Given the pathetic performance of the Russian military in Ukraine, I have to ask, does Europe really need American protection any more?
Nukes are part of the American protection. Non-nuclear countries need this. Plus the American weapon tech is good and Europe needs this.
They still have nukes and lots of them, it’s never been about fear of the army but mad men pushing big red buttons.
Ukraine is in war till 2014. They had 200k solder who smelled the gunpowder in war in donbass. So Ukraine had many solders who had experience of modern war.
Russian totally underestimeted Ukraine army. They believed that it wasn't war but special operation ended after 3 days. They went more like on parade then war. I think that such a attitude would not be repeated, especially to country which Russian consider as country - Ukraine is for them just parts of Greater Russia not intependent "normal" country.
Scandinavia, the Baltic states and Poland combined have significant military forces, all with modern equipment, with well trained personnel - that are well coordinated trough the many joint exercises. The Norwegian airforce for example have a designated aerial space over Poland that that they patrol when the need arises, like last week when Russia launched a massive bombardment in the western part of Ukraine. Russia is no longer an existential threat- but can still cause substantial damage on a more local level, like on the Baltic borders with Russia. If the Ukrainian war ends and the Russian military is rebuilt over a decade or so - then the picture could change, though.
Europe needs continued US support for Ukraine. Most of the military aid to Ukraine comes from the United States, and Ukraine would likely collapse without it.
Very weird take on things with regards to Scandinavia. The Scandinavians think Trumps a moron. His stance on Greenland & Denmark proves them right.
If you can find it on UA-cam it's very interesting to listen to the nato news conference from yesterday. You'll get a full view of what Peter is talking about.
I love the Brett Hart inspired sunglasses. Looking good Sir.
Peter, why does your analysis of Canada not consider the leverage that Canadians do have with the US. Like for instance being next door. So all those coast lines are potential strategic vulnerabilities Canada can use against the US ie. you don’t want to protect us, for your own good, we can find other countries, say China, who I’m sure would be more than happy to help us protect our borders.
Is there anything you like about Trump?? Maybe you should take your own advice and cozy up to him. It's becoming tougher and tougher to listen to you as you continually put him down.
Turkey should be interesting. Defense spending hardly reaches 2%, economy is bad, but has the second largest military and the second largest air force in the alliance, even if it is a little outdated, with multiple local projects to bring it to fore. Has the most number of deployable brigades after US by a long margin compared to others and joins every NATO mission and exercise happily. I believe 2 of the 4 standing naval groups(SNMG2 and SNMCMG2 both deployed on the Mediterranean) of NATO are currently under Turkish command. It would be a very hard task for Turkey to increase military spending to 4-5%, but it pulls its weight.
Under Trump 2.0, Turkish American relations will either be amazing or even more abysmal than during the Obama era. no in between.
And it has recent fighting experience
@@gairionysten3188in the last 15 years Turkey has intervened directly or indirectly in 4 different conflict: syria ,northern iraq , Azerbaïdjan and Libya . They came up on top and accomplished their military and political objective in all of those theaters. To say you know nothing and then make big assumptions over a country that has been facing hybrid and conventional war for the last 45 year is really disingenuous. But I guess when you're from a country who has so little importance in the international it's understandable that you might believe this .
@@gairionysten3188 Equipment we use are either old NATO stuff or new NATO spec stuff we build ourselves(and then sell to NATO countries, like Estonia's new armored vehicles). Turkey is the country that undertook the third largest naval invasion in history after world war two and Korean war in 1974. It started its operation against ISIS in Syria in 2016, only a month after a coup attempt and killed or captured more than 3000 ISIS militants in 7 months of fighting while losing 50 men. I don't think many others could do that, certainly not Russia. Their history in Talvisota is infamous.
It has some old equipment and old thinking, but also unparalled fighting acumen and experience from the shores of the med to the mountains of Iraq. We also have the second largest light infantry force in the alliance, trained to fight in the deserts of Syria and again -40 degree mountains of Iraq. Add to it one of the most comprehensive mine countermeasures fleet in the alliance and the largest submarine force in the Med. I don't think we have much to prove to be honest. One reason US simply can't cast Turkey aside after all the headaches of more than a decade is the Turkish military.
@@gairionysten3188 Not knowing much is of course acceptable. But I don't think we have much to prove, our recent history and present speak for itself.
Why is this so hard to understand?
The Americans have given more to the Ukrainian war dollar wise than the rest of Europe combined
Yet zero appreciation
That is a prime example of why Americans ass is red
America’s ass is red because Europe is unprepared
America’s ass is red because NATO is at BEST a check your ID at the gate peacekeeping force
The ones in blue , the NATO forces have zero vested interest.. how hard do you think they’re gonna fight?
Thanks mate
He isn't interested in allies defense spending as a %GDP, he's interested in *not being beholden to allies* for any support.
As European defense spending rose above 2% GDP, Trump started talking about 3%.
Now that Poiland moved beyond 3%, and even beyond the U.S., suddenly Trump is talking about 5% +
They are moving goal posts because he doesn't want to support the eastern most NATO allies if Russia invades.
I just wonder how longer it will take until "Pay rent or piss off with your military bases on out soil.". He's killing the US' worldwide influence with a death by a thousand cuts.
Because 2% wasn’t the target. It was the absolute minimum. Now they’re behind and need to catch up.
Notice how Poland may be the only nation that’s actually pulling its own weight in this and they agree with him? Should tell you something.
Do you really think that the European NATO allies are under threat of invasion from Russia? Really?
@@NedWasHere94 the guideline states a goal of 2%. Not a minimum. Nice try.
Trump is looking for a way to not support NATO. It's as simple as that.
To put it diplomatically; Someone better contemplate strategies and MO before alignments shift unfavorably. (#1 position is almost entirely held up off the backs of other countries).
New Zealand is so beautiful. I don't even care what you're talking about just keep doing it with different NZ backdrops
Beautiful view. Point of view as well. 😀
Mostly i support your comments in this sector but i really hate to see you always skip the Baltics as unimportant in the geopolitical situation of europe, let me remind you that Lithuania had a great relationship with Trump and he even pushed people away just to stand next to our president at that time also saying that he likes what we are doing here, we singlehanded pissed off china so much by opening TAIWAN economical trade office and stood our ground as all relations with china went to shit, and as always we are showing the other european countries the initiative, we have huge military spending sent our militants and special forces to most of the conflicts that USA had been involved and showed great results, and i do know we are small and might seem insignificant but don't forget we were the ones who took a huge boot and kicked russia(ussr at the time) in the nuts so hard that their problems haven't ended up until today...
Ps: We might have a declining demographic which you present as the biggest problem in the new world, but we have the biggest climbing economic sector in the whole eu atm.
There is nothing such thing like great relationship with Trump. If anyone thinks that Trump's policy will be based on gestures and friendships, they have understood nothing of it. It all comes down to how much weaponry you buy from the US and how much you can help them in their global interests. Lithuania is a small country and in addition naively buys everything from the Germans. Not only is Lithuania overpaying for German weapons that may never reach them because Germany don't have industrial capacity to deliver this quickly, but it is also gaining nothing from it politically in Europe. This is my smal hint from Polish perspective.
Canada had a focus through NORAD partnership to offset NATO commitments (and UN peacekeeping as the US wasn’t seen as an honest broker in this regard) but there is now a shift to redefining defence around patrolling the Arctic waters and here a new command like NORAD could be forged under a new government and PM later this year.
Trumps recent statements, though hyperbolic, reflects on Canadian sovereignty. Agreed Canada needs to redefine its defense policy in how it wants to achieve its goals and investments in its own tech. In the scenario that the US "seizes" Greenland, NORAD and Canada are complicit imo. Though NORAD is beneficial to both countries and more for the US, I feel Canada needs to define its own role, maintain an arms length from US interests, and ensure a plan to do it. Canada's defense policy is solid but how we act to do it suffers from failure of political leadership, vision, and mission.
While Trudeau certainly has failed to deliver all of his promised increases in defence spending, it was the previous Conservative Government that slimmed us down just below 1% of GDP in a post-Afghanistan effort to balance the 2015 budget. "They don't try" is correct; but it's a bipartisan norm in Canada.
Fascinating Insights!!!
Mate, ljust a heads up, love the videos but I was feeling sick watching you when you started walking...and I don't get motion sickness. The camera can move around but both is hard yards
Just ignoring the fact that Trump threatens military force to take Danish territory? Not really a good start with us Scandinavians
He is trying to legitimize Putin's war in Ukraine..
Listen to what Trump says about many topics. You will see he just talks crazy to get attention and reactions. One or two months later he says something else to contradict what he said earlier.
Trump was in power for 4 years already, and you didnt like him back then. So there is nothing new about this..
He doesn't care if your feelings are hurt.
Greenland and greenland wants to be independent so, those people can do what they want if they want to sell america they can if they cannot then they are not sovereign people and thus have no freedom.
Poland already spends 4,7% GDP on military in 2025 budget.
As an American we appreciate y’all being a true modern ally in NATO unlike other EU NATO members. Poland’s development of a modern defense industry and expansion of armed forces has been very impressive.
Poland really getting it done these days.
Major props to Poland.
an absolute CHAD
Such a pity Peter isn't capable of talking about Trump sensibly.
He has an advanced case of TDS.
Such a pity that you can't handle, understand, or comprehend the truth.
@@73ajd1 I'm sure you do ...lol
@@73ajd1 Zeihan - always wrong, but never in doubt.
8:50
is the BEST part and FUNNIEST part of this video!
ha
ha
ha
ha
Donald Trump does not have Swedish descent Peter. His mother is Scottish and father is German ancestry
Know nothing about Trump’s ancestry, but very few Americans are a mixture of only 2.
My research shows Mr. Trump is in fact Swedish and also a descendant of Danish royalty.
@@sophiachavez3377 lool no way
Wasn’t it tRumps grandfather who ran away from Germany to avoid military enlistment?
It seems that running away from military service goes with the tRump name!
And didn’t his grandfather start up a bar and brothel in Alaska? And that’s where the family fortune originated from?
@@sophiachavez3377 nope donald trumps grandfather made his money off brothels in the gold rush in alaska. all you have to do is look it up. he is german.
Slight correction about Canada: defence spending is actually up slightly under Trudeau. It had fallen drastically under previous governments. Low defence spending has been largely a cross party consensus in Canada for the past 20-30 years.
People forget Harper saw our lowest defense spending in the last 80 years. In 2011 he was spending under 1% of GDP on the military
Otherwise known as *Great Depression* levels
@@Somebody28 do be quiet, maple syrup
@@MacTac141the accounting was different under Harper, foreign operations came from a separate fund that wasn’t calculated in the defence spending tally. The Liberals gave more budget money, but made it also part of the expeditionary budget and overall less money. It was all creative accounting, no 2 countries report defence spending the same way.
I think most European countries are more than willing to go above the 2% NATO limit. Many reached it during 2024. However Trump is really not liked in Europe. That will create a lot of unneeded issues for the US. Especially when it comes to the tariffs vs China.
Trump not liked by kid diddlers? Not surprising..
What do you mean by "not liked"? He is loathed! He is seen to be a bizarre buffoon and dangerous beyond the capacity to understand with normal human reason. Nothing can possibly make Trump look good, although Trump is too mentally crippled to understand this.
I think not many Europeans want to be part of a China-USA-war, because the USA wants to stay the first economy of the world.
We Americans do not care what you think , just do as you are told.
Promise me you actually believe that 🙏
Make sure you check out Banks Peninsula in the Sth Island. Some great walking tracks and the best food & coffee at Little River cafe!
Would like to hear his opinions on the german political systhem and whats going on right now
Canada: Can we count apology money as defense spending? 🥴
When the Canadians ramp up their military spending, the Geneva Convention's section banning war crimes grows exponentially.
Lol yeah, the Veterans Affairs and even RCMP budgets are considered defense spending by the feds.
You can throw money at the problem all you want. You can’t make citizens join the Army. What good is the money when you can’t find bodies to do the work?
I think its vital for both USA and EU to work together and not screw up each other, because than China will be a big winner. I also think USA need Europe almost as much as the other way around. I also would not underestimate the Germans, yes there are problems, but a very very capable nation if they decide to work things out.
@@ZedWolffy The EU can’t survive without world trade. The US wants to brake down the whole framework that makes world trade possible. It will therefore not be in EUs interest to do what you say. A protectionistic and aggressive US have to be balanced out on the world stage.
@@TheSietch True, so the EU will have to look for trade partners elsewhere. The world is a big place...
Germany needs to start with a competition for Nuclear Power stations so they are not hydrocarbon addicts.
Who create China thou?
USA is a main threat to Europe. 😂
Your rising hatred of Canada isn’t a good look for you, Peter.
Thinking of moving to NZ? Excellent report& Scenery.
When Trump imposed tariffs on Canadian aluminum in 2018, it didn't take long for the US to tuck its tail between its legs and back down. Canadians will outlast the US in a trade war because we have more at stake than just money, whereas the US is predominantly motivated by money. Yes, everything said about our paltry military spending may be true, but culturally speaking we love to fight. We are exceedingly polite off the ice and vicious fighters on the ice. (hockey, literally)
you're delusional
NATO doesn't need to increase military spending, because they already account for a 3/4 of world military spending, and that does not include spending by friendly countries such as Japan and Australia that are not NATO members. The US should spend less, and some slackers such as Canada should spend more. Those bordering on Russia are understandably spending more, but I suspect in the case of most countries, it's not so much more spending that is required, but an improved supply chain for ammunition, and a redeployment of forces.
The point of having such a big advantage is so that no adversary thinks to even try fighting you. It's not good to only be 10% stronger than your opponent, who then wants to fight, and even if you win you come out horribly injured.
Absolutely incorrect. The US spends so much on defense because it is a strong deterrent.
@deebee4575 if anyone needs such a giga overkill to be deterrent they are weak or agressive.
The USA have been the greatest super-power based on a very smart policy of alliances and partnerships all over the world. Threating, bullying and disrespecting allies and friends may seriously harm this alliance and then the USA will no longer be a super power but just a big country with very few allies. Who wants an alliance with a superpower that threatens you, disrespects you or challenges your territorial borders?
Be smart and take care of the alliance, it has been your best asset for decades.
Everybody loves you when they get the free lunch they have had since wwII. Virtually every Nato member except the US has shirked their duty to help pay for their own defense. Then the Moron Germans get in bed with Russia and two huge Natural gas channels that they shared with Russia while we spend a couple billion a year guaranteeing their security with our soldiers in their country.
Agreed, don’t burn too many bridges.
The USA have been the greatest superpower based on a very smart policy of keeping out of serious conflicts until they absolutely had no choice, thus ensuring that the early combatants destroyed each other before the US swooped in and swept up the remains and the glory. That's how the rest of the world sees it!
Bullying and threatening our allies is almost entirely the work of Trump. Americans might discover that electing a "disrupter" has some serious negative consequences down the road. Like a child that sees a toy that he wants, Trump wants to go down in history as a President who "expanded" the US. Greenland is a big blob on the globe and he has decided that is his best bet for expansion. There is no strategic or economic imperative for the US to "own" Greenland when it is currently controlled by a close ally. This is all about Trump's ego and his child-like obsession with making things bigger. He wants his legacy to be that he expanded the US. We will see if that comes at the expense of our relations with our allies.
Alliances and partnerships mean honoring your agreed-upon obligations instead of being a leech on US taxpayers for defense.
As a Canadian, just wanted to clear up a little bit of misinformation here.
Previous Harper government gutted Canada's defense spending to less than one percent.
Justin inherited this and in his last few years in office decided to make a plan to get to 2%.
To my knowledge, my nation is far behind and progressing slowly when it comes to our military modernization.
Hope we can be ready to help our allies soon. 🤞
Under Lt. Gen. Carignan, unfortunately, DEI has become a greater battlefield concern than equipment and combat readiness. The CAF command has staffers more paranoid about a Canadian Soldier buying a "Make Canada Great Again" ball cap than about a potential Russian incursion over the pole, or about China setting up illegal bases in the Arctic Archipelago. Canada's military establishment is that blind to this country's true enemies.
That's an outright lie. Canada military spending bounces around between 1% and 1.4% regardless of who runs the government.
No, Zeihan's correct. It wasn't just Harper. Our anemic military spending goes back quite a few administrations. And even some of the increases under Trudeau is because the formula changed and we can include pensions and the like as part of our NATO contribution... not exactly a sign of Canada rearming as necessary as the pensions are! And other increases come from the cancelled F-35s that were then subsequently re-ordered after dithering around for a bit.
And if the Perun video is to believed, our military is in even more dire straits than I realized in that our military procurement is an absolute mess in that we pay far more for far less and take far longer than any of our equivalent allies to acquire any kind military equipment. Meaning, we can't just spend our way out. We need a serious overhaul, and it's going to be much longer than 'soon' before we are out of this mess.
It's funny seeing the Weka in the background. You don't see them very often!
Peter no vid on whats going on in Romania?
Question. If Ukraine has not only kept the "mighty Russian military " at bay for 3 years now but also has actually taken land from Russia, then why is it that you (Peter Zeihan) believe that NATO could not put up a formidable defense or even straight out destroy Russias military in a short period of time? Yes, i am fully aware that Ukraine has been able to do what they have due to NATOs efforts to supply Ukraine, bit they have also been great with outside the box thinking as well. Considering that NATO has been training and having exercises for Decades on how to fight Russia , I would tend to think that it wouldn't be much for them to knock Russia down quickly; again given how Ukraine has been able to embarrass Russia on their own.
IF… Russia beats Ukraine they will face Poland, and that is a waaaaay different prospect.
And then NATO will enter the chat.
Why would they face Poland?
russia will take 40 years to get to the polish border. and someone did the math with current casualty rates russians suffering. they would take 26 million casualties getting to polish border.
Oh yeh.
Poland = sick of everyones shit for the last 1000 years.
Ukraine makes a good buffer state between the power blocs
Isnt Denmark in Scandinavia?
Yes Denmark is part of scandinavia
AMEN, well said!
Canadas biggest problem has always been a brain drain issue. Our best and brightest get to a certain level of success, and there is no where else to go in our small pond. Our population is about the same as California. They end up moving south where the money and acclaim are and we end up with the second or third tier running the show for a number of generations now.
I saw someone comment somewhere that if coutries start spending 5 percent of their gdp on defense, it will provide enough scale to build more domestically instead of spending on us made equipment.
What is your source that Trump has “threatened military force” against Greenland?
The problem is if you didn't make the multi-billion dollar investments in RDT&E and manufacturing capacity in your defense sector 30-40 years ago, you are not able to manufacture competent or relevant weapon systems today.
What European nations invested $30 billion in development of a new 5th Generation fighter 30-40yrs ago?
ATF got funded in the US starting in 1981. 4 prototypes flew in 1991. F-22A production began in 1997.
ASTOVL funding for RDT&E started in 1983. X-35 first flight was Oct 2000.
First production model rolled off the line in Dec 2006 for the A model. The actual ASTOVL model (F-35B) rolled off Dec 2008. Carrier version 2010.
Now there are 1100 of them delivered to customers as of Jan 1st, 2025.
Meanwhile the Euro Consortium doesn't have a 1990s AESA Radar in their fleet of 1980s tech Typhoons.
US has been flying 3 different 6th Gen prototypes starting in 2017, with billions spent in RDT&E already.
European parliaments haven't taken defense seriously for generations, so now they're stuck buying US advanced weaponry.
You know what 5% of German GDP would mean? That's almost 45% of the whole federal budget. We can turn the lights of and lock the doors behind us (in Germany) if this is what is expected of us in military spending under Trump.
edited for clarity
goodbye avacadoes and welcome back potatoes
@@ToniRios-x6i American taxpayers will no longer pay for European military defense
America first
Cancel NATO
The whole point for the 5% push by Trump is to allow him to build the political capital to allow him to take the US out of NATO, not to actually push NATO members to spend that much. It's an unattainable goal for pretty much any country that isn't fighting a major war.
GDP shrinking with VW and BMW, etc. shutting plants because of your addiction to Russian power
Probably a guilt thing left over and they’re heavily indoctrinated culture
First heard right, then hard left. And now you can’t straighten the wheel.
The US should’ve joined you and continued the March East. It turns out.
I’m American so I can say that
Your country would probably come arrest you
That is the difference
American here. Trying to please Trump is a fool's game because he will turn on you anyway, for his own reasons, or for no reason at all. Flatter him, cajole him, but take care of your own interests regardless, seems to be the right approach. We will try to elect a better president who appreciates the value of alliances in 2028, wish us luck.
Canadian here. As Peter mentioned in a previous video, our population pyramid isn't looking so great. Not only do we have an aging population and shrinking base of taxpayers, but Trudeau has opened the floodgates to foreigners looking for handouts paid for by the Canadian taxpayer. We basically have to double our military spending to $80B from the current $40B and maintain it at that level. But with the demands on our social services, the government is not currently in a position to do that. We spend over $80B on elderly benefits alone. And undoing the damage done by Trudeau is going to take time. Trump isn't going to want to wait for us to pump up our military spending.
If virtually every other country in NATO has managed to meet the target, and especially if there is pressure to increase the target from 2% to 5% (as Trump has said), we're going to have a lot of European countries too wondering why Canada is allowed to continue to freeload. Our military is also a mess, particularly with procurement processes. There's so much bureaucracy involved. The only way out is for Canada to start extracting its natural resources like mad and running over all the stupid bureaucracy and environmental regulations. Then we would have the revenue to both increase military spending drastically while paying down the debt and maintaining services and benefits.
All that immigration is helping to fix the population pyramid. Despite how painful it is on housing supply it is critical. As for demand on social services that to go up with age. It is not the immigrants in their 20s and 30s that are putting demands on social programs.
@@mightyoaks9331 Fix? It's barely helping to slow the decline.
Canada is in shambles. How tf did y’all let it get this bad
On Canada's behalf, nearly every country has a major issue with their procurement process.
I feel for you. The current regime in the US, which goes away next Monday, has let in millions of illegal aliens which would help "fix" our population pyramid, yet most of the human waste coming in requires US citizens to pay for their food, clothing, and housing, while they have the time and energy to commit crimes. It kind of sounds like if both our countries would kick out all of our respective illegal aliens and remove the legal immigrant freeloaders, both our countries would do much better.
What about Australia/New Zealand since your in the area?
Peter- What about Iceland? 0.1% of budget spent on national defense, and no standing army or navy. Lowest of all NATO countries.
Honest question: Have the people in the US forgotten about the USA being the only country to ever call for Article 5 (= HELP !) back in 2001 ?
Did you forget that over 100 europeans died on 911 and that islamic terror is more of an issue for Europe?
The honest answer would be most citizens never knew we did that.
@@jerrymiller9039 What does it matter, if some europeans have been killed? The US was in need for help, made use of the NATO treaty and the allies responded. Just something that people in the US should be aware of, I believe.
Btw: Islamic terror was not an issue in Europe until 911. Some side effects of supporting the US in Afghanistan.
I almost forgot. On the morning of September 11, 2001, 19 men armed with boxcutters directed by a man on dialysis in a cave fortress halfway around the world using a satellite phone and a laptop directed the most sophisticated penetration of the most heavily-defended airspace in the world, overpowering the passengers and the military combat-trained pilots on 4 commercial aircraft before flying those planes wildly off course for over an hour without being molested by a single fighter interceptor.
These 19 hijackers, devout religious fundamentalists who liked to drink alcohol, snort cocaine, and live with pink-haired strippers, managed to knock down 3 buildings with 2 planes in New York, while in Washington a pilot who couldn’t handle a single engine Cessna was able to fly a 757 in an 8,000 foot descending 270 degree corskscrew turn to come exactly level with the ground, hitting the Pentagon in the budget analyst office where DoD staffers were working on the mystery of the 2.3 trillion dollars that Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld had announced “missing” from the Pentagon’s coffers in a press conference the day before, on September 10, 2001.
Seems like the A5 call was part of the plan.
They have the attention span of a goldfish and after that everything's replaced with the propaganda version, so do you really have to ask?
Germany is the largest producer of machines, which make the other machines. Not the USA or China.
Toghether with Italy they have one of the strongest heavy industry sectors in the world, that also produces a lot of components for USA's military industry. Apparently MAGA and Trump have forgotten that they became a superpower thanks to the hundreds of highly educated Germans they snatched after ww2. I wouldn't push either European country to become great again if I was the US.
@@giuseppeanoardi3973 It's decades of propaganda aimed inwards, same way they think the US won the world wars.
@@giuseppeanoardi3973 He doesn't read
@@giuseppeanoardi3973the usa was the global superpower when they landed in north Africa
@wussrestbrook1200 You mean during the great depression? The us was one of the powers in the world before ww1. They became the hegemon after ww2 and the massive influx of europeans.
I realize that you are still affected by TDS but to say the anyone in the world thinks Trump is dumb is laughable. Yeah, there are probably some world leaders who think Trump is dangerous, reckless, harsh, rude, self-aggrandizing etc. but dumb? I really doubt that is what they believe. It isn't a good look if you claim someone is dumb and he out-maneuvers you and dominates the game. If Trump is "dumb" then what are you?
Thanks Peter
Trump is going to upset all of the apple carts except the one that matters: wealth inequality. That he will make worse.
Naaaah, he won't do that. By the time Trump is done there won't be any wealth left. Everyone is going to be equal in the poorhouse.
Commies
Why is wealth inequality an issue? Most of the fortunes of the mega rich are a) paper fortunes - they rise and fall with the stock market b) they are new wealth - they havent taken wealth from other people they have created new wealth - these companies didnt exist previously - these people made new things and they made things we want to pay for. Being jealous of other peoples wealth is stupid and pointless.
The only apple cart that needs upsetting is the Russian dictatorship appl;e cart
lol
Canada does not have the tax base to build the military, the world wants. We are a small population that is spread out over a huge country. Spending just for spending is a myopic insult.
It is not the world that wants it. Its the US.
@@evanhammond7305 That brings us to the many cultural differences, with our neighbours. In 1955, my Dad had to toss a coin and decide do I migrate to Canada or join relatives in the Bronx, USA ? Already, as a child I could see the difference in attitudes with our American cousins. Canada opened the doors for me in the 70's and that would never have happened in the States, I do not believe. Apples and oranges.
Do you guys think Peter manually deletes comments he finds unfavorable or is it UA-cam?
UA-cam
nope. it's youtube. Zeihan never reads the comment section and nevers answers
Is there a difference, there both on the payroll and controled by Langley
There's certainly a lot of censorship going on in his comments section, so who knows?
@@IskelderonI see it a lot on different channels, not just this one. I get comments deleted using the exact same words the comment I’m replying to did. It’s not bad words either. It’s political ones like mentioning either parties name, when others do it no problem. I see it on both right and left leaning channels so I don’t understand whats going on when you have the trolls on those channels who comment crazy stuff constantly. Each channel can set its own comment filters, but I think there’s also something bigger going on too.
😅😅😅😅❤ the “weka” in the back ground.
US military spending includes things like border guards and military pensions. This is not the case for all NATO countries, so if the GDP spending should be increased (and it probably should be to 2.5% and perhaps later even to 3%), the way to calculate it should be standardized. Finland does not count any loss of GDP caused by the mandatory military service for males for example (estimated at 0.4%).
The US also spends money on projecting military power across the globe, which is not defense spending. What does the US spend on actual defense of its territory and its territorial waters? You don't need nuclear powered carriers for that.
Finlands 2.4% for 2024 might very well be closer to 3% if we would include what the US includes and calculate the cost of conscription as well.
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Polska Polska Polska
@Peter Zeihan. Now the U.K. had signed a security agreement with Poland and Ukraine. How does this change if at all, what you think.
As a Canadian, I feel the need to mention that defence is becoming an increasingly important topic within our own politics and the general voting populace. It is unfortunate that we’re so far behind but that shouldn’t be the case for too much longer. I do also feel there is a lot we can do with the spending, hopefully with lessons learned from Ukraine. I personally have a small list of things that I want to see us doing.
1. Modernize our airforce a focus on capability and versatility. Our airforce has a lot of roles to play beyond combat. I’m glad we have F-35s on the way but I want us to also be capable of reconnaissance, surveillance, search and rescue, research, and disaster relief. Luckily this seems to already be the direction our airforce is taking.
2. Modernize the navy. On paper, this is already happening. I don’t think we need a big navy, but just one for regional defence and supporting allies overseas. We need better quality control and efficient spending on our newer replacements but the only big thing I want to see is us purchase Swedish Blekinge-class submarines to replace our old fleet.
3. Have the army focus on procurement of ammunitions and spare parts and maintenance. We don’t have a big population and by extension, can’t field massive armies like America, France, or Turkey. What we can do is be the alliance’s ammo depot. This is where I’m hoping we’ve learned from Ukraine. We should be stockpiling supplies and equipment to replenish the alliance with when needed.
4. Maintain the effectiveness of our special forces.
5. Invest heavily into cybersecurity. I think between cybersecurity, special operations, and the versatility of our airforce, these should be the primary pillars and contributions of Canadian defence.
6. Modernize the NORAD systems in the Arctic.
If Canada were to accomplish all of this, I think our contributions to the alliance and value as a defence partner would skyrocket and be more than appreciated by everyone else. Geography and demographics naturally allow us to play the support role and all of these would be very effective ways to do that.
British perspective: the US needs to tidy up its own shop 😂
That’s a good joke considering everything the UK is dealing with right now. People with money are leaving the UK at record levels. MPs and police covering for grooming gangs, and people are being arrested for memes or sharing their opinions. I say you should look in the mirror.
Yeah cause the uk is a shining example of what exactly?
American perspective, Britain is on its way to becoming an Islamic caliphate. Good luck with that.
@ we all have our challenges, but we don’t go around bullying others like your Mandarin Mussolini. Good luck with that!
Exactly. Step 1: Stop spending so much money on other countries when we clearly need it HERE. Ya'll are gonna hate us either way.
He is seriously talking about the Scandinavians having a good relationship with America, while U.S. is threatening Denmark with tariffs or military coercion to gain control over their territory. Denmark/U.S. has never been worse than they are right now. I think it's time to stop listening to this fool.
I was laughing my head off, the war in Russia will end in 2025 and countries are going back to buying gas from them. The Scandinavian countries are upset about Trump threatening Denmark, depending on how that plays out it could sour the mood to cooperate with him. That pretty much leaves Poland and the smaller Baltic states at best. My prediction for Trump 2.0: he will start a tariff war with Europe which will further decouple the US from Europe.
As a swede, I think that the Greenland issue is to boost military spending to the amount that it's sufficient for the US to feel secure. To ask nicely isn't an thing anymore, and the threat will show how willing we(as NATO countries) are preparing to help.
@@Kanelbullah help what?!
Stop listening would work. OR just know that everything trump says is to get attention and a reaction.
Nah, it's to gain full control over the gas, oil and rare earths that are up there and not pay their dues to the Greenlanders.
So because of Russia we all have to waste money on war. Love to see Peter sent to a front line.
No you will be at war with NATO
Anyone tell me how North carolina is doing??
Im pretty sure you just walked on the exact path in the woods where Frodo says "Get off the road...Quick! "
lulz trumps in office for 4 years only. and this isnt the first trade war canada has had. but it likely makes canada better as they build pipelines to east and west coast and creates more inter provincial trade that doesnt exist now.
you acting like its a 1 sided trade relationship. trump putting up false numbers as the trade deficit is only 40 billion if you include services american companies provide in canada. in addition canada can buy orange juice and other american products from other countries for similar price, where as americans need the canadian energy and minerals.