New Technologies that May be in the Cards
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- Опубліковано 1 кві 2020
- Every day brings us new technological advances, today we'll explore many of those of such as robotics, automation, rapid delivery, education, medical science, nanotechnology, and more.
Visit our sponsor, Brilliant: brilliant.org/IsaacArthur/
Episodes referenced in the Episode:
Power Satellites: • Power Satellites & Spa...
Fusion Power: • Fusion: Powering a Bri...
Quiet Revolution: • Quiet Revolution: Tech...
The Santa Claus Machine: • The Santa Claus Machine
Synthetic Meat: • Synthetic Meat
Cyborgs: • Cyborgs
Mind Augmentation: • Mind Augmentation
Mind-Machine Interfaces: • Mind-Machine Interfaces
Life Extension • Life Extension
The Science of Aging: • The Science of Aging &...
Happily Ever After: • Happily Ever After: Ro...
Attack of the Drones: • Attack of the Drones
Advanced Metamaterials: • Advanced Metamaterials
Portable Power: • Portable Power
The Nuclear Option: • The Nuclear Option
Moon: Industrial Complex: • Moon: Industrial Complex
Machine Rebellion: • Machine Rebellion
The Paperclip Maximizer: • The Paperclip Maximizer
Technological Stagnation: • Technological Stagnation
Non-Carbon Based Life: • Non-Carbon Based Life
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Listen or Download the audio of this episode from Soundcloud: Episode's Audio-only version: / new-technologies-that-...
Episode's Narration-only version: / new-technologies-that-...
Credits:
New Technologies that May be in the cards
Episode 232; April 2, 2020
Writers:
Isaac Arthur
Editors:
Evan Schultheis
Jerry Guern
Keith Blockus
Konstantin Sokerin
Produced & Narrated by:
Isaac Arthur
Cover Art:
Jakub Grygier www.artstation.com/jakub_grygier
Graphics:
Jeremy Jozwik www.artstation.com/zeuxis_of_...
Kris Holland (Mafic Studios) www.maficstudios.com
Sergio Botero www.artstation.com/sboterod?f...
Udo Schroeter
Music Courtesy of Epidemic Sound epidemicsound.com/creator - Наука та технологія
"If Brute Force isn't working then you're not using enough."
Issac you make Thursdays great.
“The first rule of warfare is don’t lose”
As my grandfather would say use a bigger hammer.
Yes!
IKR
By the way..
It occurred me on a whim just now.. it is 23:00 GMT, I actually just had a wee 30 seconds ago on the throne.. will be sitting on it until I have said a little bit.
"Rule nr.1 in warfare is: *DON'T* make making new enemies something you are very likely to do and avoid as one avoids being an a-hole or a wifebeater or disrespecting enemies and also making them hate you very much and give them good reasons to disrespect you.. just a tip.
Yeah, long...
but rule nr.1 in warfare is that rules are as long or short as they need to be. Just like the universe is under no obligation to make sense to us.
GL hf!
You have always been great.. such a complex and awesome history in such a tiny timeframe..
That reminds me...
Reminds me of rule nr1 in warfare I discovered when I was 13.
But here is another..
It is my favourite.
Rule number one in warfare is
*"DON'T PANIC"* 😄
Written preferably in large friendly letters on the cover.
This guy broke that rule most spectacularly.
ua-cam.com/video/74BzSTQCl_c/v-deo.html
✌🐺
Yea , that's my favorite quote I got from Isaac too
I'm beginning to think Isaac is shilling for 'Big snack' and 'Big drink' everytime I hear his warning at the start
Oh
Yeah he's def in Big Sugars pocket
@@jimc.goodfellas226 and the version of "Big Oil" that fries the chips: Big Veggie Oil!
Sounds like he has been watching Etho's Lab. "Get your snacks!"
don't forget the kickbacks he gets from Big Future!
5:29 Wait, so you're telling me I'm _not_ supposed to store my cats in the refrigerator?
Only if you give them hem a little salami
Oh shoot! Uh, I gotta go take care of...something. Unrelated.
Nah, they're just nearing their expiration date
Mine keeps trying to move in. Any time I open the fridge... "The white box is open! MY TIME HAS COME!" and he launches himself into the crisper bin. Fuzzy little nutbar.
This is the way.
Where is my flying giant robot? Yeah, i know it's not that practical in reality but my inner six year old want one anyway.
You do know that this tech do exist? Problem is that it is generally too costly even for rich people, at least was until now.
@@TheRezro The main flaw with giant flying robots is that we already have other machines that can do what they do much more effectively. But I guess it's just a matter of time before some rich bored person decides to indulge their inner child and build a giant flying robot just because they can.
What about a robot maid/butler
@@tariqahmad1371 Only if it's giant and can fly.
Holding out for my genetically engineered catgirl. Elon knows whats up.
isaac: warns about long video.
Me: its only 30 minutes, its not that bad.
I was closer to 30 minutes, I want more!
Haha
15 mins... that x2 speed option is great.
*Realizes video is only 30 minutes and 55 seconds long*
"Reeeee! Reeeeeeeeee!"
its a fair warning some people cry when its more then 6 mins lol
5:25 "This object should not be stored here."
The stock video you put with that line cracked me up soooo much, lmao
Ten minutes into the video and already the possibilities have my mind spinning.
Your positivity combined with logic is intoxicating and uplifting. It's why we love you Isaac.
Eleven minutes into the video and I have a list of nine other episodes I HAVE to watch FIRST right after I'm done watching this one.
@@littlemrpinkness295 same lol.
@@littlemrpinkness295 I’ve been watching his videos back to back to back exclusively because of that loop for a while and I haven’t ran out yet so good luck
Isaac: "Grab a drink and a snack as we will be here for quite a while."
Me: *Gets excited and checks the length of the video*
Me: Awww only 30 minutes :(.
On a not unrelated note. If you did an hour long "Documentary" style video what topic would you do it on?
I've already eaten all my quarantine snacks
We need to create the Chocolate Chip Cookie Maximizer.
An in depth analysis of the perfect drink and snack for an SFIA video
@@bluemountain4181 April 1st 2021 falls on an Arthursday. Please please please do this!!!!!
@@bluemountain4181 Yes! Please.
"If brute force isn't working..." Send. Moar. Guardsmen. For the Emperor!
Can't we just exterminatus the planet?
@@ahumanbeingamnayplaceholde1746 Send the Guard first.
Let it be known that the planet broke before the guard did.
@@theapexsurvivor9538 Cadian blood, paid the price, none more valued in the fray!
Well not gonna lie most of the episode was basically a nightmare for data protectionist.. ^^
Part of what makes me hope for "Local Hardware" AI that run on your devices and keep you data private so you can choose what to show while still having their assistance
AI would make it easier for us to run edge computing.
Future homes will have their own servers built in that should run 90% of the software you use so most your data should be private.
We could that today but unfortunately there's no incentive for hardware manufacturers to implement it.
When there's more competition in the future we'll have more offerings in the market that will let us control our own data.
@@fromthefuture7172 I have feeling data protection is going to become it's own industry
@@fromthefuture7172 i think you are wrong. i don't think general public cares enough to make privacy conscious devices widespread, though it will definetly be a niche market with nice margins. lets look at alexa: it actually doesn't do voice recognition it just sends sound data to amazon servers where voice recognition actually takes place so no fancy hardware onboard, which is why it is a cheap device. yet people buy them like crazy. an alexa competitor that wants to do voice recognition with local ai would have more hardware on, so more expensive (and will also heat up more, so extra extra cost for heat management and even heat disposal/cooling/radiating) and i don't think alot of people will pay the extra cost for privacy. plus these products will be stuck in a position where privacy they offer will be "a special feature" [not standartized for that kind of products like electronic "parking" brakes and start/stop buttons on most cars (porsche 911s still have ignition keys)] so extra price margin sellers could create that will seem justifiable by privacy conscious people. ironically this extra margin will push general public even further away from buying privacy respecting products.
so the "incentive" for hardware manufacturers to go the extra mile and implement privacy focused is sales which i don't will exist at a justifiable scale for most manufacturers.
though apple, at a big scale starting with its recent stance on facebook, might shake things up as it is a company that is a master at changing consumer behavior. it is a veeery long topic but one small example is airpods; a product that was just big niche alternative [to wired headphones] is now EVERYWHERE and sold by every relevant consumer electronics company.
@@blyat7276 Apple also has a home voice assistant device and (in the past year) the ability to design and produce chips that drastically outperform other computer CPUs without getting hot. I don't like their closedness, but there are lots of things they do well, and defending their customers' privacy is one. I hope they can, as you said, influence consumers and their competitors to want and provide similar things.
Even in a "low skill" job, increased experience usually means increased productivity as well. At least while physically fit enough to perform the job.
Love your name
@@Ag3nt0fCha0s Thanks!
But I guess cybernetic augmentation may eliminate or at least mitigate physical disability. Heck, there may be no more need for wheelchairs!
What it usually means is improved quality. Many "low-skill" jobs require thousands of hours on it to be good at it.
What you could do with a room-temperature superconductor could be an entire episode.
If we hit literally any of the energy gold mines in our grasp, fuck what we can speculate and know in a lab. It’s great and I know it’ll be amazing but think about what kind of doors any combination of them could open? I don’t mean doors to what other tech, I mean what kinds of other improvement they can even get. We might be reaching a local or total peak in energy efficiency, and all the varied ways we could change that, not just type and how we collect it. We’ve been riding the currents of one of those combinations continuing. We never saw wood cars in the long term but even something that seems as counter intuitive as using advanced particle physics to make new steam engines, but it could. That’s the kind of change I’m talking about and what form it will take is gonna be wild to find out whenever we do
I'll believe fusion is twenty years away when it's 5 years away.
Fusion technically already exist. Scientists mostly work on minimizing reactors to size what make them useful. What is one of most common misconceptions here.
@@TheRezro I don't think anyone watching this channel is unaware that fusion exists.
@@TheRezro Well, it's making them smaller, capable of running for more than a few seconds, not requiring temperatures of about 100 million degrees Fahrenheit, and actually producing more power than it currently takes just to turn it on, but yes, we're getting there.
This episode, much like the sponsor, is Brilliant.
Agree. This is very interesting stuff.
@@Ron4885 v
Qq
This comment is too!
"Very few folks realize what a large sector of our economy freight is"
Wrote this script before the coronavirus epidemic?
Michael Spence doesn’t make it any less true
Because trucks stop for corona... LOOOL
Do you not realize that freight is at the top of the list of essential businesses?
the point of my comment was that due to the pandemic, *everyone* now knows how essential freight is. I expected a higher level of reading comprehension for Isaac Arthur viewers
18:40 - 19:30 - Orwellian police state stuff there! I do NOT want it!
@@bornkinggamer3347...
We are ALREADY under too much surveillance... and it will only INCREASE as we move forward.
Orwell wasn't about the ability to surveil, it was about the application. He didnt really assume any greater technology than what already existed at the time.
As usual, alarmists miss the point and focus on the wrong things.
A LOT of this episode is just an orwellian nightmare.
@@DrewLSsix
Not much to stop this tech being applied in China, then it becoming more acceptable and used elsewhere. Think of the “you have nothing to fear if you have nothing to hide people” pushing for this creepy shit.
Your episodes have more content and quality than things that people pay to see in cable tv! Just waiting for the millions subscribers (and dollars) you deserve...
If you haven't seen them, go back and watch some of this early episodes. Not that they weren't good back then either, but the exciting thing is that the quality is definitely keeping pace with the subscriber count. He'll get there.
Agree
halfway to a million!
... what's cable?
@@skylark1491 Merriam-Webster's defines it as the contrived schemes of a group of persons secretly united in a plot.
I think I speak for most of your viewers when I say hearing "this will be a long one" makes us that much happier
agreed
One last comment:
Do you think that this pandemic might turn out to be a kind of black swan event? I think it's going to spur some major, permanent changes in the way we live, especially in the "telecommuting" sector.
that's what I expect to happen.
Historically speaking, pandemics happen pretty frequently. If a person lives to 90, they are likely to see one. Big impact? Sure, but the only question was when it would happen. To me, thats not a black swan event.
@@fjdkfjdk I agree, by definition, it has to be something no one could predict, not half the freakin' planet's intelligent people and all of the epidemiologists.
@@fjdkfjdk absolutely. Black Swan events are unpredictable. Public health experts have been warning us of the risks of a pandemic in a globalised world for quite a while now.
ronan stephens Yes, but most people assumed it would not actually happen.
17:47 "We'll be seeing a lot more remote work in years to come, but that's not just a matter of convenience but also safety."
uh, I think we're already at that point
"Truck driving is the most common job in 29 states"
;-)
@tar1as I think temporarily the delivery industry will soak up any and all people that becomes unemployed from there. Sure there is drone delivery but that needs sigificant time to be as flexible as the human involved kind.
@tar1as This is a line that Andrew Yang put into almost every speech, so I'm guessing it suggests Isaac is a fan
I'm a truck driver and I love listening to Isaac on the road but if my job gets taken over by a robot I won't complain I got a HVAC certification to fall back on
@@aurorathekitty7854 that's good. We're all going to need options like that, man 👍
@@sulljoh1 have you ever seen the anime éX-Driver? It presents the fact that even in a society of self-driving vehicles, there will still be some people who drive manually to catch run-away cars.
Right now, I needed this whiff of techno-optimism.
Yeah.
honestly the idea that students, or even worse workers, could have vitals, eye movement, "mood", etc monitored for maximising "efficiency" is beyond dystopian and not something im looking forward to.
The entire video is dystopian.
I login to youtube on a Thursday. First thing I see a new video from Issac 11 seconds old. I must comment.
Yes, give me hope for the future, let me know we've got good things coming
Well, hate to break it to you, but many of these technologies are going to permanently wipe out so many jobs it will make the Wu Flu look like a single blip on the economic radar.
@@12201185234
That certainly is an issue, but not one that couldn't be solved with a little restructuring. With increased production and reduced living costs, you could probably introduce universal basic income without increasing taxes or even whilst reducing them. Automation is really the only thing that makes that feasible.
Things are already pretty amazing...
I can *FLY* across the ocean in an aluminum cylinder... _While eating a bird._ 🧐
Humans are killin' it.
@@jeffvader811 here's the thing, unless you want to turn into a centralized society run by autocrats like China is, you won't be able to do any "restructuring" because you have to convince people to want to get those kinds of jobs that you're offering instead
@@jeffvader811 oh wait, you're advocating for UBI which means you are already in favor of such a thing. Great. Hope you enjoy mining for lithium for your ration cards.
This may be one of your most wholesome episodes. Our time as Space Gods may lie far away, but a bright future waits around the corner anyway :)
I'm kinda concerned with the 'transition' into these technologies to be honest, privacy in particular.
Me too.
You won't have any real privacy, only in the pseudofashion that as long as you don't attract attention it'll stay anonymous. Go against the system and get destroyed. We kind of need a solution for that before it becomes too difficult to oppose governments, for you can't do that without privacy.
SFIA community needs to look into homomorphic encryption. Granted it's in early stages, but it's a fucking miracle solution. I'd say it's ready for app developers about now. I've been following the library developers for about a year, and stuff is maturing real fast. Microsoft might put this stuff as a turnkey solution in Azure, looking at the massive amount of resources they're throwing at this. I'm SUPER excited
Same here.
It creeps me out what certain people in charge nowadays would do with such technology to "protect" the population from real or imaginary dangers.
Let's not forget, that some people are agressive, stupid, power hungry and devoid of any moral compass, and sadly these are the ones that tend to climb up the herachy in our society.
Im pretty sure someone like that would not hesitate one second to use some of these technologies to control and/or manipulate their population or customers for their own personal benfit.
I admire Iasacs positive view on humanity, but history has shown that peoples opinions can be manipulated to support even the most cruel and inhuman things imaginable. So i think we need to be extremely cautious and make sure that potential dangerous technologies cannot be abused.
@@nealsterling8151 There's one change to what you say though - according to some research (iirc there was a study on presidents and their speech analysis, and concluding on personality), a good chunk of people who wind up staying in positions of power are people who want to simply retain power. So if we align incentives they wouldn't necessarily do anything bad for society. They're a tool for us, intelligent workaholics who get more done in a single day than a dozen normal folks.
Common misconception I think, effectively a conspiracy theory, what you're saying
Elon musk was talking about renting out auto drive Tesla’s as taxis recently
@@bobsaggat But, but, but it's going to totally pay for itself and you'd be a fool not to do it 🤷♂️
@@bobsaggat I think the point went clear over your head.
@@bobsaggat Florida man would love to ride in your car.
"The following food items in your refrigerator are nearing their expiration date" *shows picture of a cat getting out of a fridge* OH NO
Bro, i just wanna say youre one of the best channels out there.
5:29 "this object should not be stored here" *lets cats out of the fridge*
Thank you Isaac & everyone on the team.
I dont like the idea of cops having that much power considering you know.
they’re cops
Just replace them with robots too
Government in general.
"we'll be here for quite a while"
*Looks at runtime*
30 minutes?
Since when has 30 minutes been long for an SFIA episode? 🤨
14:16 "Attending university" was the first time I heard that phrase from someone who came from "this side of the pond."
Insurance companies may see a decline in claims, but there is no way we'll see a decline in premiums if we judge by how health insurance went.
Oh, nice work on cutting out the excessive bass from your vids. I got so used to having to turn my sub off that when I forgot today, I didn't notice anything!
Just wanted to thank you for providing regular entertaining and thought-provoking content!
25:35 If Graphene is light and strong enough then thinking of the submersible Alvin, the nothing of vacuum can have more lift than the something of Hydrogen.
One of your best videos Isaac - so much awesome stuff compressed into 30 mins. Just knowing / compiling all of these points must have been a big effort - well done to the writing team.
Love this topic! More of the near future techs, please
Oh yiss! Perfect timing for a walk in the woods!
Thank you for putting out some optimism today Issac.
While it's important to be aware of the dangers around us, sometime we need a reminder of what exactly we're enduring those dangers for.
French toast and some futurism. Perfect combination.
I really need to watch this show at Denny's sometime.
Isaac Arthur, you're doing good stuff mate. Good job. Thanks for the videos.
Last time I was this early we'd have flying cars by the year 2000.
:) They always make me think of Blade Runner
@@isaacarthurSFIA My mom recently discovered a bunch of her old children's books when cleaning up grandma's attic. One of them was a book printed in 1967 titled "The World in the Year 2000". The cover looked like a promotional image for The Jetsons.
@@gaiusjuliuspleaser Flying cars actually exist from quite some time. Problem was the traffic control. Development of drone technology largely help and they actually start hitting the market now. So yeh...
There wont be one unless there is a global crisis like a pandemic or world wars. Look at post world war 2. People went from peasant farmers to middle class. So yes, without a crisis and a more obedient workable masses , there won't be any change.
@@gaiusjuliuspleaser I love those old Popular Science black and white shorts they used to do way back in the day, probably about the same thing.
Thanks Isaac, stay safe and keep up the good work. It is needed now more than ever.
I Would love to see you and Thunderfoot on the same panel. While, he is also a techno-optimist, he is much more critical and skeptical. Like the Diamond battery hype. I can only go by published numbers but they may only be good for micro- or milli-watt application.
Great topic, I really enjoyed this one Isaac. Keep um comin!
Coffee and a snack. Time to learn. Thank you sir.
I have been meaning to post this for some time now. I have been following your channel since it only had a couple thousand subs and watching it grow has been pretty cool. Thank you for all your videos throughout the years. Keep up the good work!👌
Finding this channel has been a huge blessing. Always excited to see a new video from this guy.
"People can buy more things to improve their lives."
*Me looking at my three separate Warhammer 40k armies*
Yeah... improve my life...
Perfect to watch while in Covid 19 lockdown for my inner logician
Eyy, Same
Time codes for various topics - not all of them are discrete technologies, and some are topics discussing the impact of other items on the list:
1. 1:50 - Self-driving cars - This has the negative of job loss, but has many positives, such as reduced transportation cost, less traffic congestion, greater safety, and new opportunities for people to borrow or lend out cars.
2. 4:10 - Automated package receipt.
3. 4:30 - 3D printing.
4. 5:00 - Barcoding/inventory management - Includes 'food retirement' in which food can be automatically donated to people in need before it goes bad.
5. 6:13 - 'Auto-ebaying' - The ability to designate an item for sale and have it automatically listed and sold without further interaction (essentially, put an item in your mailbox and the service would handle the rest).
6. 6:30 - Better household, gardening, and agricultural robots
.
7. 7:40 - General practice of community-owned/shared infrequently-used robots
.
8. 8:25 - Improvements/changes to gardens as a result of intelligent robots being able to give better care
.
9. 8:53 - Improved tunneling technology, allowing utility lines to be better deployed (this would be huge in California; overhead wires contributes to wildfires, while the combination of regulations and the current technology's left underground infrastructure lagging).
10. 9:05 - Declining need for insurance claims
due to other technologies.
11. 9:40 - Routine DNA testing.
12. 10:15 - Improved medical scanning, including full-body, leading to earlier detection and better diagnosis.
13. 10:30 - Health logging.
14. 11:00 - Home medical testing / remote medicine reducing doctors' visits.
15. 11:48 - Nanotech and mind-machine interfaces.
16. 12:00 - Life extension and improved general wellness and productivity
.
17. 13:00 - Greater productivity and improved education system
.
18. 15:00 - AI assisted learning and moving away from standardized tests
.
19. 16:00 - AI office efficiency experts (micro-management taken to extremes).
20. 16:35 - Computer dating living up to its promise.
21. 17:45 - Telepresence and remote work.
22. 18:40 - Crime prevention and response.
23. 19:35 - Smart cities
.
24. 20:20 - Improved power generation and storage (batteries)
.
25. 22:15 - Room-temperature superconductors for better distributed power grid
.
26. 24:50 - Personal flight
.
27. 25:40 - Self-replicating machines.
Love the video. So much information without a ton of fluff in between
It seems you are getting more comfortable peaking too. There has definitely been a noticeable improvement. Keep up the great work.
Would we be able to get sources on stuff? I'd like to delve into things in more detail
"Boring technologies."
Well fine be that way, but if they help us I think they're pretty interesting.
Ah, so many pointers to other videos and topics. Love how it intertwines. Thanks Isaac
I love this episode! Please do more like this on near future tech! I still like the others, but I feel like you covered what I was interested in for deep future topics.
Along with increases in the use of telepresence, I think simply "working from home" and such may become a lot more common, especially given the current situation with covid19, which will probably result in some policy changes for some time to come.
Thank you Isaac for the uplifting information of near future developments, it's much needed in these troubling times.
With all the fear, panic and degeneration around us, it can be tough seeing a bright horizon, even if such developments are almost here technically. I just worry about the social aspect where the technology will be applied, quite a few people are so irresponsible and selfish it could possibly harm such beautiful developments from being implemented.
I'm building a business around my doctoral research with respect to promoting a decentralized, distributed, workforce with a positive twist to the 4th and 5th industrual revolutions of information technology, plus human factors engineeting regarding automation. I truly hope to help bring forth some good in what I do, even if small, to make the future a little better.
Great show as always!
I love your channel, been subscribed for a very long time. This is your absolutely scariest video as of yet.
As always, a pleasure to listen and learn.
"...[college and university]tuition will go down soon."
I wish I had your optimism!
Yeah, lol. I really would like that.
New technologies: a fire in a trashcan keeping everyone warm
@V Toxica what? If it works, I guess. But it doesn't.
great video again pal you've cheered me up thanks
This is an episode to watch over and over agin
I'd like to see some of these cost saving techs actually pass on these savings to everyone. Too often it just seems like any savings means more profits for the corporations, and half the time they'll just raise prices while they're at it.
You say, as down the road sits dozens of warehouse sized stores filled with cheap commodities that would have been miraculous and unimagineable 100 years ago.
Imagine trying to get a saw-blade 100 years ago? A drill-bit?
There are a million monuments to mankind all around you which you haven't stopped to consider and appreciate.
Just look at Milton Friedman's "Power of the Market - The Pencil",
and consider how impossible such an item would be if your hypothesis were true.
Hey Isaac! Wondering if you could cover the Safire project in a future episode in light of their recent announcement to power generation and nuclear waste cleanup!
I really like how you made a smooth transition between topics here...
I needed this optimism today.
SFIA always making reality more exciting!
More that it just shows us how exciting reality *is* or *will be*
Did anybody else read "Cards" in Isaac's voice?
I did :)
Needless to say everyone else.
Yeah, converting the r to a W
I didn't .. but the title should have been "on the cards" NOT "in the cards".
No, too new.
for a guy with a speech impediment you still manage to be among THE most clear-spoken, literate, and descriptively thorough youtubers across the board ever.
That extension of 20 years to productive career time is going to be absolutely momentous on its own. Thanks for pointing it out, hadn't thought of that.
I work in software and personally don't find the idea of being retired, and thus idle, appealing whatsoever to me. Hopefully I'll be able to continually adapt in my golden years as much as now - a critical skill for a programmer.
Well, I'm in uni right now and honestly I mostly think the exact opposite - work mostly made me tired and I felt like wasting a lot of time. Of course it gave me some purpose and it made me happy that the program I wrote would actually be useful to some people in the company but I would've much rather dedicated the time to one of my own projects.
Perhaps that would be a bit different if we get rid of the ugly 40 hour week but I think I'd be completely happy to never *have to* work again. I could take weeks or even months at a time to help open source projects like KDE, write my own Vulkan renderer, make a complete game, improve my 3D printer, finish the electric vehicle I'm building with my friends and implement some of the other cool ideas we have where we don't ever remotely have enough time to do them all.
I think that people will naturally participate in bigger projects with all their free time and will still "work" but at will and not because they need to.
Your 'smart' future is horrifying and we're getting a preview in China. The people who design those algorithms and 'own' the data are going to be powerful beyond the dreams of any dictator. ALSO The big problem with fission power, is not 'the fear of it', but the complete lack of any plan to safely deal with the waste. Another great video. Thanks.
I can remember when you thought having 10,000 subscribers was a big deal, and now here you closing in on half a million. :-)
You should do more like this, Isaac.
Will there be space dragons?! I think Isaac will anounce space dragons. :D
EDIT: Alas, no space dragons. but Fusion, plus automated vehicles, plus potential expanding orbital infrastructure...
That could be viewed as space dragons? Right?
Robotic space dragons would surely be a possibility, provided that at least one person is wealthy and eccentric enough to build them.
@@spazmagoog *gushes with barely contained glee*
It's happening! Its finally happening! I shall dub my first space dragon, Sir Bosonax! For it shall be powerful yet also subtle.
@@toffeecrisp2146 train your dragon well. I plan on making mine out of whatever Meta material I can exploit to feel more like I’m hacking. Have fun touching my dragon if It doesn’t interact in the way you do and slides past you or slaps the shit out of your dragon in a way it cant even detect it much less block it
+3 Dexterity +5 Intelligence +7 Information
>9000 Cringe
I always make a list of the concepts you talk about as future investment opportunities. As a Physics/Chem student, I’m always looking for interesting fields that will grow in the next decade to get a company started or do meaning research in. Thank Issac for all you do. It’s really inspiring and helpful
Issac is here to save us from quarantine boredom!
14:42
A lot of people would disagree on that. Online classes have their uses, but they don't replace in-person classes. Online classes can't even come close.
It is going to go up since people are isolated and bloated colleges are going to have to downsize and lose Feminist Studies and their ilk.
I HATE my online classes. A waste of time and money.
Elaborate
I want extensive advancements in genetic modification.
I want my catgirls damn it.
You don't need genetic for that. Worst, you should not use genetic for that.
I worry most for the first 14 years of life. "Daddy what is my purpose?"
Awkward monkey meme
@TookALevelInBadass Thanks for genes of one of more vicious predators in nature. As prize you would be first on my mind 0_0
@TookALevelInBadass Women are ~51% of the population, so if catgirls are ever invented, catboys will be too. Uh oh, might have just found the Great Filter. :)
Funny how the phone tracking thing, privacy issues included, is exactly what happened (at least in Japan and Korea that I know of)
Looking forward to the superconducting episode. That magic angle of 2 sheets of graphene at 1.1 degrees is mind blowing!
Everybody is all for more automation until they realize that their jobs are also low skill and will be replaced as well. Don't see too many McDonald's workers clamoring for 15 bucks an hour now that they're being replaced by automated cashiers.
People have been complaining about that since there were only a billion people to employ. Now somehow even with many of those past jobs long gone and forgotten we still manage to gainfully employ several times the global population of the 19th century.
It's almost as if new technology creates new opportunities and jobs....
Wages would rise if you deported large segments of the population back to where they belong, so you would get your $15.
@@dansmith1661 based and redpilled
The lack of garages is one of the major factors that limit and hinder the adaptation of current electrical vehicle technology in Europe. Unlike in the USA, private garages are rare in Europe and because lots and houses tend to be small, most people who actually have a garage, use it for storage and still park their car out on the street.
With current EV technology, you really need a place where you can charge your car over night. Running a 100 yard long cable out your kitchen window down the block to where you parked your car, is really not feasible, which is why EVs aren't selling in Europe the same way they do in the USA.
It is quite ridiculous in Germany, where the press is having a feud with the car industry for decades, always gleefully predicting and announcing the end of the German car industry, because they supposedly were asleep at the wheel and didn't innovate enough. That narrative made some sense in the early 90s, when German car technology was chasing after the more innovative French, Scandinavian and Japanese competition, but that trend has been reversed and German cars have been among the most advanced and innovative for the last 20 years or so, leading the way with stuff like 360 degree cameras and such stuff, while the worldwide competition seems to try to pick up trends coming out of Germany.
Still, the German press acts as if the German car manufacturers were a bunch of outdated dinosaurs that deserve to die out because they didn't immediately switch their production to all EV the minute Elon Musk had his first press conference.
Those imbecilic journalists never bother to ask whether EV technology is mature enough and compatible with the German and greater European infrastructure.
You have to wonder what those idiots think VW, Daimler and BMW were supposed to do, tear down half of the homes in Germany, so the remaining half has room for garages to charge EVs in?
It is ridiculous.
In order for EVs to become widely viable in Europe, we'll need technology that allows for charging the batteries in the time it would need to fill up a gas tank at a gas station.
It is like that with many new technologies that get touted as "the future!".
Most of them are designed for American Suburbia, which is a way weirder and more unusual environment than most Americans realize.
Another good example is "Screen Walls", you know the idea to cover a whole wall with a giant screen, maybe all the walls in a room, so you can make it look as if you're not in a room at all.
Stuff like that can't work in Europe and most of Asia.
Houses are small. People don't have room for walk in closets. That means you need to have cupboards, cabinets and shelves on pretty much every wall in every room of your house, to store your shit in. Turning whole walls into screens isn't an option in like 80% of the developed, wealthy world, where people could afford such technology.
As I said, American Suburbia surely seems mundane and normal to most Americans, but it actually is a very unusual, weird, unique environment that has its own rules and is different from everywhere else in the world.
Technologies designed with those weird, unusual conditions in mind, will have a hard time finding worldwide adoption.
When you listen to modern architects, city planners and infrastructure engineers, apparently American Suburbia might not be around forever either. There is a lot of talk of going back to older, more urban ways of living, making cities and neighborhoods more "walkable", making streets narrower to make people drive slower and so on.
TrangleC This is actually super interesting I’ve never thought of that as a hindering effect since I live in the US but it makes total sense but what if there was a charging port by the road do you think that would be useful fix for a problem like this?
Sounds like the German press is like the American press, full of closet Marxists who cheer for the failure of their own nation.
@@2013Arcturus Pretty sure they are just writing whatever they think will get clicks. Outrage and doom and pointing out who stupid others are still gets clicks. The solution is to not give them clicks or attention, and to let them adapt or vanish.
@@2013Arcturus No.They are in fact correct about these things. While I agree with the OP on all other points, the car industry one I ridiculous.
Unless you're personally involved with the industry (due to working in in it), and thus economically and emotionally invested in it, you'll have a hard time defending these dinosaurs.
Instead of working towards cleaner and more efficient engines, they rather spent resources on specially crafted cheating devices.
When the whole thing blew up, instead of making amends to their customers, they instead went through every legal and lobbying measure to avoid paying up.
I have absolutely no sympathy for the German automotive industry - they don't deserve it and should they go belly-up, they had it coming for a long time!
This has nothing to do with "closest Marxism" (first of all, would you Americans please stop already with your false dichotomies, it's really irritating!), but more with the arrogance, dishonesty and deceit that this particular industry displayed over the past decades.
Oh great, let's all live in overcrowded cities where viruses spread rapidly. No thanks.
I wanna report that officer at 18:46 with the criminal man-bun to the Fashion Police!
Given how potentially dangerous a snowblower is, which in contrast to an automated lawnmower has a high powered auger that is open at the front of the snow blower, I don’t see it being fully automated anytime soon. Snowblowers also need to be maneuvered in unique ways that requires use and shifting of the operator’s body weight. In high snow fall areas, the snow can cover obstacles (especially over time from multiple snow falls as the snow still has to be blown somewhere) which the operator needs to know about and avoid accordingly even if they can no longer see the obstacles. Examples of such obstacles may include edges of stairs, power cords, etc.
you would have given orwell nightmares.
"remove those and things get cheaper" what you mean to say is "cost of business goes down, but the customer never sees it and instead the price goes up and the tech will be the excuse".
Also, I really despise insurance companies getting a hold of DNA - they will just use it screw people over on their insurance costs based on the numbers (they do it not, and this will just make it worse).
Made my final decision today, my favourite channel and my first Patreon. Love the ideas in the videos, great quality and well explained
Some of this tech sounds like a nightmare.
Your comment about future automated charity is terrifying.
It's clear you're operating under the same misconception that nearly everyone is operation under, in reality CANS are BAD! Charity food banks and soup kitchens HATE them. Most are thrown out and the rest only reluctantly distributed. Both of these steps cost a significant portion of the budget for these charities. If people stopped giving cans that money could buy more food then is in the cans. It's a strait loss. But charities can't refuse them because collecting cans is such a popular tradition which makes people who don't understand economics of scale feel better and hopefully donate MONEY to the food bank which is the ONLY thing that they really want.
I think terrifying is a bit melodramatic, it's an issue but one that is largely created by the organizations them selves. The good ol' donation drive has been a staple for decades and it's always been a bit dubious.
Random food or old clothes, chances are a couple bucks would always have gone further even in places where resources are a concern.
Itemized donations are how charities have chosen to engage with the public in a personal way, and now thay are having to figure out how to tell people "we really only want/need your money" without alienating the donors.
Throwing money at a problem is actually one of the more useful solutions no matter the issue, but it has bad connotations and leaves people feeling like they are not acting kind.
Similarly the endless list of "hacks" that are supposed to allow people to have or do certain things by assembling things from pallets or other scrap simply dont work out as beneficial when observed dispassionately.
You are infinitely better off buying a shelf than spending a weekend you will never get back trying to craft one out of garbage.
My own belief is that the vast majority of charities are perpetuating problems by subsidizing failure thus preventing the development of real solutions for real problems.
You seem very genuine and passionate about the belief you've expressed and its a field I have no expertise in so I hesitate very much to label it stupid. However I got to tell ya, it sounds pretty stupid. A can is simply a serving of foodstuffs rendered storable in the long-term. I realize of course that the economics of scale is on the wrong side of the conventional model and that cash is by far the most versatile reservoir of wealth but it's hard to imagine that canned food is a logistic liability to agencies that specialize feeding people.
Can you unpack this for us a bit? Is there perhaps a documentary you can direct me to?
@@DrewLSsix Correct, donation drives are just for advertising and to make people feel involved and helping. Which is always popular. But the real solution is money.
@@brocktechnology While I get what you're saying and there certainly some dubious charities. I think it's fair to say that old fashioned food banks and soup kitchens for the needy are hardly an example of that since people have been starving since forever usually for reasons beyond their control. And that's the only type of charity I'm referring to since Issac casually mentioned the idea of automated can deliveries to them.
Which now that I think about it probably wouldn't be that bad since they'd just use the same system to arrange QUIETLY for automatic rerouting to the trash dump. :P
But since you asked; the reason cans are unwanted is because most of them are expired and most of the remainder are random low quality crap no one wants. The charity has to spend money sorting them and dumping them. Money that they'd rather spend on food for people.
You must remember charities are non-profit COMPANIES, as such food banks do not shop at the local super market. Rather they have business licences and wholesaler credentials allowing them access to a huge economy most of us never see. They can contact whole sellers and food producers directly and get drastic bulk discounts. Also as a charity they can underbid or reserve products that normally wouldn't be available under fair market practices but since they won't resell it, it's all ok.
The gist of it all is that their dollars go VERY far indeed. Even a dollar or two can often provide a family with healthy fresh food for days. So it really hurts when those dollars are spent on hauling fees to get rid of moldy old cans.
tl:dr If you don't want to eat something don't give it to a poor person and if you're feeling charitable for whatever reason send cash.
What if the can was a 55 gallon drum? :p
1,000,000th!
"Science and Near Futurism!" Thank you Isaac for covering near future developments. I'm keen to watch videos where you share thoughts and insights into the next ten years.
5am just woke up, perfect!
If we look at diamond batteries like the prototype design presented on wikipedia, we see that each 10*10*0,5 mm battery, that could be assumed to be 10*10*1 with added electrodes would produce electricity at 2V and at a power of 0,17mW. This would mean that in order to recharge a cellphone battery of 60kJ (4000mAh @ 4V) in 24 hours, one would need roughly 4000 batteries. However, when each battery only needs a volume of 0,10cm³, the assembly would only need 400cm³ or 0,4 liters of space.
This means that you could easily see portable chargers with a combination of diamond batteries and more traditional ones powering handheld devices off-grid