Sector Rotation & The Business Cycle | Julius de Kempenaer | Sector Spotlight (12.07.21)

Поділитися
Вставка
  • Опубліковано 8 січ 2025

КОМЕНТАРІ • 23

  • @billbowers2805
    @billbowers2805 3 роки тому +3

    Full on heavy duty sector and macro analysis. Genius makes the complex look "simple" to use that word! Many thanks again for the insights .

  • @denisdvg6373
    @denisdvg6373 3 роки тому +2

    Really good Julius! One of the best videos I ever seen, great macro view with outstanding quality analysis at technical aspects os stocks. Thanks for sharing

  • @TerryPitman
    @TerryPitman 3 роки тому +2

    What a show Julius! Thank you much! And wishing you and family happy holidays and good health!

    • @rrgresearch9726
      @rrgresearch9726 3 роки тому +2

      Thank you Terry. Hope you will have a great holiday season with your family and stay safe!!

  • @aksy970
    @aksy970 3 роки тому +4

    THanks for the good stuff Julius!

  • @anuragbisht1200
    @anuragbisht1200 3 роки тому +2

    I have a question, 13:09 onwards when you are checking the big picture and business cycle. You are using 10 weeks of RRG, is not that is relatively short timeframe considering business cycles are of many years? or do you think this cycle is a special one with short duration?

    • @rrgresearch9726
      @rrgresearch9726 3 роки тому +2

      The 10-weeks you are referring to is the length of the tail on the RRG chart. That is a purely cosmetic setting. It does not change the position of the sectors on the screen. Having said that the weekly RRG is indeed looking at trends that are often shorter than what you would like to see for this SRM analysis. That is why I believe that the 4 Macro factors in the table play a crucial role in this approach. Word has it we will be looking to do some development work on RRG next year and adding longer (monthly) but also shorter (intraday) time frames for RRG is high on my wish list.

    • @anuragbisht1200
      @anuragbisht1200 3 роки тому +2

      @@rrgresearch9726 thank you for your response. Monthly time frame will be really helpful.

  • @_ia_wotblitz1400
    @_ia_wotblitz1400 3 роки тому +2

    really enjoyed the video.. very informative to new investors like me.. good work..

    • @rrgresearch9726
      @rrgresearch9726 3 роки тому +2

      Great to hear _IA. All the best in your new investment adventures!!

  • @adamscottv
    @adamscottv 3 роки тому +5

    Great video.

  • @anuragbisht1200
    @anuragbisht1200 3 роки тому +2

    what a genius, thanks you for all your work, cheers !
    I hope things are getting better at the personal front.
    take care.

    • @rrgresearch9726
      @rrgresearch9726 3 роки тому +1

      Thx Anurag. And yes things are getting a bit better. First critical days seem over without complications and things are starting to heal and recover but it is a slow process...

    • @anuragbisht1200
      @anuragbisht1200 3 роки тому +2

      @@rrgresearch9726 I am glad things are improving and will be fine sooner :)

  • @vladimirponomarev5207
    @vladimirponomarev5207 3 роки тому +3

    Very, very interesting. Thanks, Julius. XLC is really oversold and lagging at the moment, but it has the biggest potential to give a great return in the nearest future.
    Q.: What do you think about including international markets (emerging and developed ex-US) in your analysis? Many of them historically performed better during Santa-Rally.

    • @rrgresearch9726
      @rrgresearch9726 3 роки тому +3

      Thx Vladimir. Once XLC turns up yes, but I don't see any sign of that happening yet.... You know what they say about falling knives right ;)
      I do look at international markets from time to time and it may actually be a good idea to put that in this week's show ;) I am writing this on Monday 13 and I will record this week's Sector Spotlight later today. Let me have a look !!

    • @vladimirponomarev5207
      @vladimirponomarev5207 3 роки тому +2

      XLC has a weak seasonal pattern in December but strong seasonal pattern in January. We’ll see.
      Thank you for your job 🤝

  • @RaulGonzalezG
    @RaulGonzalezG 3 роки тому +2

    This week's show was great, is like having a strategic meeting with you. You read my mind as I was about to suggest you to update your views on the sector rotation model. Inflation is accelerating the consideration of rising interest rates and the flattening of the yield curve is in a strong trend since early on this year so maybe we will be seeing this model pointing to full recovery soon. Kind regards.

    • @rrgresearch9726
      @rrgresearch9726 3 роки тому +1

      Thx Raul. You know the saying right ...? " Great minds ......" ;) ;) ;)