35. Warren Buffett DCF Intrinsic Value Calculator

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  • Опубліковано 14 бер 2014
  • Learn more about Preston’s Intrinsic Value Course that teaches you step-by-step how to calculate the intrinsic value of a stock in 18 exclusive videos: www.theinvestorspodcast.com/p...
    Watch my other investing courses:
    www.theinvestorspodcast.com/t...
    Download Preston's 1 page checklist for finding great stock picks: buffettsbooks.com/checklist
    Preston Pysh is the #1 selling Amazon author of two books on Warren Buffett. The books can be found at the following location:
    www.amazon.com/gp/product/0982...
    www.amazon.com/gp/product/1939...
    Use the intrinsic Value Calculator at:
    www.buffettsbooks.com/security...
    Value stocks with the Discount Cash Flow Intrinsic Value Calculator

КОМЕНТАРІ • 218

  • @iamparadocx
    @iamparadocx 8 років тому +118

    Okay, so I just got done watching all the three courses and I can't thank you enough. These lessons are gold. You're one sublime teacher. Kudos for the great work! Thank you once again!

    • @robertwilson4150
      @robertwilson4150 8 років тому +4

      +Ashish Singh I couldn't have said it better!!! Thank you Prestons Pysh you are making a huge contributions to society!!! Thanks again!!!

    • @mayankmittal16
      @mayankmittal16 5 років тому +1

      Bt how do we calculate intrinsic value as for the base he has taken 10 year federal note we are in india and trade in bse what should we take as a base in india

    • @imlkr_
      @imlkr_ 4 роки тому +1

      @@mayankmittal16 you can just google "the 10 year average bond interest rate in India " and I guess now it's around 6 percent

    • @mayankmittal16
      @mayankmittal16 4 роки тому +1

      @@imlkr_ thanks buddy and you are right

    • @imlkr_
      @imlkr_ 4 роки тому

      @@mayankmittal16 cheers!

  • @jaykiriona
    @jaykiriona 4 роки тому +25

    This is literally life changing, I can't put a price on how good this has been for me - I'll never forget how much knowledge I've learnt from these Preston, so thank you! I wish we could all lobby together and PAY you for this? Would love to be able to donate something to you!
    Now its time to go back over the things that haven't quite solidified as pure knowledge yet, and start my journey on the stock market.
    Sincerely, Jay Kiriona

    • @tonycosta3336
      @tonycosta3336 3 роки тому +1

      Have you made money off of this formula?

  • @valezkaocando1908
    @valezkaocando1908 4 роки тому +1

    Hi Preston! finished the 3 courses! and can't thank you enough for your enlightenment!! also grateful that people like you exist!!

  • @MiguelCardenas-xu2dw
    @MiguelCardenas-xu2dw 4 роки тому +4

    Just completed your courses, thank you Preston for adding massive value

  • @vimukthaariyasinghe8041
    @vimukthaariyasinghe8041 3 роки тому

    Watched all the 3 videos series without skipping a single ad..because thats what we can do by our side..thank you for your time contributing to us..learned lot of stuff and never ever get into this much of level without you.. salute you again..

  • @kevinwint7963
    @kevinwint7963 8 років тому +30

    Now that I am done with all of these videos I can run through my notes and slap together all the pertinent formulas so I know what to look for in a healthy company (at least for the screening process). This series has been phenomenal!

    • @tonycosta3336
      @tonycosta3336 3 роки тому +1

      Had you made money off this formula?

  • @adarshzzz
    @adarshzzz 2 роки тому +2

    Watched all 3 series and these are gold in UA-cam I have found out. Thanks for this ❤️

  • @fraterr
    @fraterr 4 роки тому

    Hi Preston, your courses have been gold to me! Thanks so much for the effort you put into them.

  • @marilynspikes
    @marilynspikes 10 років тому +5

    Welcome back Mr. Pysh, you have certainly been missed.

    • @gyanvistaar655
      @gyanvistaar655 4 роки тому

      @@PrestonPysh Don't you think you should compare intrinsic value to enterprise value/share? Comparing it to market price is misleading.

  • @eddieatum617
    @eddieatum617 4 роки тому +4

    We all thank you... ....your the most effective, ...the most convenient.. the easiest and most simplistic understanding of financial information given anywhere on the internet around the world.
    Thank you and bless yah..
    My entire family are learning all your knowledge and you've made financial education FUN!!!!...
    you've changed our lives.. very humbling ...and very grateful.
    Thank you. From New Zealand..

    • @tonycosta3336
      @tonycosta3336 3 роки тому

      Had you made money using this formula?

  • @deelee8535
    @deelee8535 6 років тому +1

    I would love to thank you for these 35 lessons. I have learn so much about how investments work. I am now able to investments intelligently.

  • @45138449
    @45138449 4 роки тому

    Preston all your courses were very helpful and easy to understand! Thank you and congratulations!

  • @LW4816
    @LW4816 4 роки тому +1

    Thank you very much for making these videos and providing them to us for free! I just finished Cardiology training and was looking at ways of investing my income. They don't give us any education in financing and I feel your videos gave me a nice background to work from.
    Thank you!!!

  • @davidcitra3581
    @davidcitra3581 6 років тому +1

    thank you so much for all your hard work to provide us with free courses that helped me so much. God bless you..

  • @brutismaximus1
    @brutismaximus1 2 роки тому

    Thanks so much Preston. The entire course was amazing with plenty of eureka moments. I look forward to reading your books now.

  • @Spunk990
    @Spunk990 6 років тому

    I have read buffets books and intelligent investor...but never understood the value concept properly..but after watching all your vedio now i really understand what value investing is...thanks a ton for sharing your knowledge in such an easy way😄😄

  • @naimmazmi
    @naimmazmi 4 роки тому +1

    Awesome! That was a lot of things to go through. Thank you for sharing your knowledge with us.

  • @joed1755
    @joed1755 3 роки тому

    Preston thank you very much for taking the time and creating this video series. I am very grateful for having you as my teacher. Your style is straight forward and easy to understand. There is Jewish proverb.." Save one life and you saved the whole humanity." I feel like you have done that more than once... Thank you again for teaching me how to fish... Good luck in everything you do. Happy New Year

  • @rudolphkotze7951
    @rudolphkotze7951 2 роки тому

    Great set of courses, thanks for all the time you've put into it!

  • @Mohamed-qp7nb
    @Mohamed-qp7nb 4 роки тому

    Thank you, Preston
    These Courses are real Gold 🧡

  • @TheFrancisKiwi
    @TheFrancisKiwi 3 роки тому

    Thank you for all the work you've put Preston.

  • @SonoroCreative
    @SonoroCreative 10 років тому

    Love this stuff Preston. Big fan of the forum on the website too. Top quality stuff.

  • @jreinhard96
    @jreinhard96 4 роки тому

    Hi Preston Pysh, just finish your 3 courses, thanks for the sharing. See u on top

  • @OmegaByteYT
    @OmegaByteYT 7 років тому

    Really appreciate all these lessons.

  • @kdfunchannel8084
    @kdfunchannel8084 4 роки тому +6

    Just finished watching all of the courses. Thank you for all the knowledge!

  • @michellebeauregard2477
    @michellebeauregard2477 9 років тому +6

    Wow thank you for sharing! I'm just through 2/3rds of the Intelligent Investor and his strategies didn't sink in until I finished watching your videos. It's more clear now, thanks for the advise, resources and engaging content, I'm more confident as a first time investor. Can't wait to listen to your podcasts on the way to work!

  • @indrajain1259
    @indrajain1259 10 років тому

    Thank you dear preston it surely will help us now to be a winner at all times

  • @Ray-hx4dz
    @Ray-hx4dz 5 років тому +3

    Hey Preston, I watched your all 3 courses. They are really nice teaching! I learned a lot from these classes. Thanks you very much!

    • @tonycosta3336
      @tonycosta3336 3 роки тому

      Had you made money using this formula?

    • @Ray-hx4dz
      @Ray-hx4dz 3 роки тому

      @@tonycosta3336 Yea Man!

    • @tonycosta3336
      @tonycosta3336 3 роки тому

      @@Ray-hx4dz Oh wow so would you recommend this formula or would you recommend a different one? Thanks for answering my question just wanted to know if this formula works thanks

    • @Ray-hx4dz
      @Ray-hx4dz 3 роки тому

      @@tonycosta3336 I would only recommend this DCF method!

    • @tonycosta3336
      @tonycosta3336 3 роки тому

      @@Ray-hx4dz thanks again for answering seems like people agree this is a good intrinsic value I will definitely use!

  • @asyrafjalil3506
    @asyrafjalil3506 4 роки тому +1

    Thank you so much, the course helped me alot.

  • @Az-jt2zp
    @Az-jt2zp 4 роки тому +2

    It's been 6 years after you originally put these videos out! I've finally finished going through all of them and it was awesome! I've learnt so much and its been an amazing head start getting all the info from one place so quickly! Thank you so much!

    • @sanjeen2503
      @sanjeen2503 4 роки тому

      Hi. Have you started upon an investment portfolio based on Preston's videos? I finding myself too risk-averse 😅

    • @tonycosta3336
      @tonycosta3336 3 роки тому

      Had you made money on this formula?

    • @Az-jt2zp
      @Az-jt2zp 3 роки тому +1

      @@tonycosta3336 I used on Disney last year when markets dipped and I bought some (didn't have much cash on hand) but so far I've made about 40% so far. I'm still learning but these videos were a really good starting off point for me I feel... Plus they are free!

    • @tonycosta3336
      @tonycosta3336 3 роки тому

      @@Az-jt2zp thanks so this formula works? And hope you continue investing

    • @Az-jt2zp
      @Az-jt2zp 3 роки тому

      @@tonycosta3336 well I mean, from my current research and discovery (not as much as most pro value investors) it's just one part, and argueably a small part of it. You could do a DCF analysis on a bad company that's poorly managed with lots of debt it can't service and loose all your money when the company goes into bankruptcy for example

  • @freethemz
    @freethemz 4 роки тому

    Thank you so much for sharing this useful data! Greatly apprecaited.

  • @kamalakannangunalan2740
    @kamalakannangunalan2740 5 років тому +1

    Thanks a lot bro
    This is great and I watched all your there courses you are able to make things simple and understandable.

  • @domesticateddad-mr6pk
    @domesticateddad-mr6pk 2 роки тому

    I love this, thank you for this video, I’m currently reading your warren Buffett accounting book, excellent stuff!!!

  • @aseem8680
    @aseem8680 6 років тому

    Awesome tutorial. Sir you are a genius.

  • @Isaac-hs3bj
    @Isaac-hs3bj 2 роки тому

    Preston i appreciate this being for free. Thank you

  • @MartialWaves
    @MartialWaves 5 місяців тому

    Thank you for all of this information, I really appreciate it.

  • @naranjoraymond6266
    @naranjoraymond6266 10 років тому

    thanks sir preston for the video,its easy to understand

  • @hey4796
    @hey4796 3 роки тому

    Gonna watch all 3 courses again.

  • @ragunathgroups4037
    @ragunathgroups4037 3 роки тому

    Thanks for the valuable lesson sir, ur a good teacher

  • @AverageMan88
    @AverageMan88 6 років тому

    Thank you for amazing knowledge

  • @AsaWRLD47
    @AsaWRLD47 3 роки тому

    Thanks for the great knowledge!

  • @BenjaminDaly
    @BenjaminDaly 7 років тому +3

    Thanks Preston. This course has been fantastic. Really appreciate you putting the time and effort into creating these videos. I've ordered your book and can't wait to get stuck in. Many thanks, Ben :)

    • @prachiranade8259
      @prachiranade8259 6 років тому

      Benjamin Daly could you please name the book!Thanks

  • @wuhaowz
    @wuhaowz 9 років тому +1

    Thank you very much! I watched your videos, read your books, saved your website! I will ask my wife do the same thing again. and we are going to head to stock market!

    • @satyamverma1060
      @satyamverma1060 3 роки тому

      hey so would you like to share how useful this course was and how much money you actually gained by using these techniques

  • @kodjigarpp
    @kodjigarpp 4 роки тому

    Thank you so much for such clear and good quality content videos :)

    • @tonycosta3336
      @tonycosta3336 3 роки тому

      Had you ever made money using this formula?

  • @FirasMohamed96
    @FirasMohamed96 4 роки тому

    What a great lessons, Thanks you a LOT

  • @dmeads5663
    @dmeads5663 6 років тому +1

    Just finished all 3 courses, thanks for all the knowledge

  • @travisgrenke
    @travisgrenke 4 роки тому

    fantastic videos

  • @NaeemAhmed812
    @NaeemAhmed812 4 роки тому

    Massive value, appreciate your hard work in presenting this amazing course to someone who has no idea where to start! Thank you thank you thank you!

  • @taiwanreporter
    @taiwanreporter 10 років тому +2

    Great, the channel is still alive!

  • @karthiks6898
    @karthiks6898 4 роки тому

    Thanks a lot Preston !

  • @jordi8566
    @jordi8566 3 роки тому

    Very very very helpful!

  • @kinda5651
    @kinda5651 4 роки тому

    It is gold, thank you very much

  • @sanalattuveappil
    @sanalattuveappil 4 роки тому

    Thank you all these lessons are of great value. Can you make a lessons on security Analysis?

  • @selvasudt
    @selvasudt 6 років тому +1

    Thanks a lot.

  • @TheZerox008
    @TheZerox008 10 років тому

    Preston!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!Where have you been? Thanks for the vid! I learn a lot.

  • @hussain935
    @hussain935 3 роки тому

    it is a great video. cleared my concepts. Thanks from Pakistan

  • @michalpetras984
    @michalpetras984 8 років тому +2

    An excellent video. Really good. A great job .

  • @jethrolim7664
    @jethrolim7664 3 роки тому

    by far you are the best been watching gurus here in the philippines and it's really hard to trust them

  • @vitbicevoid6762
    @vitbicevoid6762 10 років тому +1

    This calculator its simply amazing Preston. :)

  • @21Emory
    @21Emory 10 років тому +14

    YOU'RE BACK!! DONT LEAVE US EVER AGAIN D:

  • @MrMusicMuppet
    @MrMusicMuppet 10 років тому

    WHEY!! a new one!!GREAT I'm all excited, cheers Preston!!!!

  • @luckyliyou
    @luckyliyou 10 років тому +1

    十分感谢您辛苦更新的视频,无私的分享您的知识,希望有更多的视频,感激。

  • @frankrockstar4209
    @frankrockstar4209 4 роки тому

    Best videos ever .. thumbs up if u r watching this videos during codvid 19 pandemic

  • @jordanroberts7931
    @jordanroberts7931 6 років тому +1

    When do I use this calculator over the other one in course 2? Or should I be using both all of the time?

  • @wahyuramadhan195
    @wahyuramadhan195 Рік тому

    Thanks

  • @yousufkhan6403
    @yousufkhan6403 4 роки тому

    Thanks for this great video series(Y) . Your calculator is excellent and easy to use tool but there's one issue that its not accounting for negative net income percentage as currently we have -1.07% for WMT

  • @nanduteju1827
    @nanduteju1827 2 роки тому +1

    Jusk like sir Ben Graham is to sir Warren buffet , u r to me. Thank you for this course.

  • @shivakanthb
    @shivakanthb 10 років тому +1

    Hi Great tutorial , in a simplified manner that a lay man like me could understand.
    Thanks a ton for this

  • @nickrudnicki6497
    @nickrudnicki6497 4 роки тому

    What about amortization and depreciation? Can you do implement this as well when determining cash flow?

  • @rrahulkumarpandey
    @rrahulkumarpandey 6 років тому

    Hi thanks for your video, kindly let me know where i can find this software ?

  • @tanmaybhargava7138
    @tanmaybhargava7138 4 роки тому

    Hi Pysh, thanks for the all the videos, its been really helpful to me. Also I have question for you, I'm new to investing and while analysing the stocks i have realised that there are a lot of companies that are doing extremely well but when i look at their free cash flow, it's negative year after year and for every year. How do we estimate the worth of such a company and is there a way to calculate the intrinsic value for these companies ? One example is HDFC in the Indian market. Can you please comment on that, would appreciate it. Thanks in advance.

  • @lk895
    @lk895 4 роки тому +1

    Hello Preston. at 16:22 mark what is the calculation behind finding the 7376% annual return?

  • @osu122975
    @osu122975 2 місяці тому

    Nice vid. Curious as to why no cash/cash equivalents or total debt taken into account for calculation?

  • @naranjoraymond6266
    @naranjoraymond6266 10 років тому +1

    you are great teacher

  • @MyDreamside
    @MyDreamside 9 років тому

    we can do this for BV, choose a short term growth and then choose a growth perpetual. Since we will see BV in cash only in the end, we discount it only one time. This is ofcourse if we have no dividents.

  • @mayankgarkoti6977
    @mayankgarkoti6977 8 років тому +1

    Hi Preston,
    Very NIce video. There are a some doubts What should I enter In point 6(Shares Outstanding) if i have for example 2.31 crore and 42.41 lacks in shares Outstanding?

  • @samuelparadis3678
    @samuelparadis3678 5 років тому

    Hello, I know I am a little late to the party (four years later), I just finished watching all the videos and loved them. The only thing I struggle with is really where to start in order to conduct my analysis... so many things to look for. Does anyone figured out a good way to assemble all these formulas in a practical order ?

  • @MOHITSHARMADELHI
    @MOHITSHARMADELHI 6 років тому

    Hi, May i know the background calculation behind this DCF calculator. Really appreciate.

  • @VS-ic3by
    @VS-ic3by 7 років тому +2

    preston which calculator is more precise?

  • @AaronJamesLeeHanMing
    @AaronJamesLeeHanMing Рік тому +1

    Hey Preston, is there no more "Input Ticket" option on the DCF calculator?

  • @willianserafim3918
    @willianserafim3918 4 роки тому

    Thank you for these three courses, they have helped loads. Question for you Preston if you dont mind, why do we use the whole FCF as the owners earnings? Should we not separate growth capex and maintenance capex? Then subtract operating cash flow - maintenance capex (instead of whole cap spending) to give us the FCF. Thanks for your great work.

  • @rahulramchandani5432
    @rahulramchandani5432 4 роки тому

    Whats the calculation you do to find out the intrinsic value per share of the company after inserting the shares outstanding?

  • @krasich9
    @krasich9 2 роки тому +1

    This whole course if pure Gold, thank you so much. I have assessed many companies, using all the tools and fundamentals that you have taught us, I found the following stock as an interesting option PRU Prudential Financial, using the first calculator I got a 16% yearly over the next 10 years, I used that value using the DCF calculator, and I use only data from 2011 until 2019 due to COVID-19 impact, according to the DCF calculator this company may yield a 37.69% annual return, is my assessment accurate? or I am missing something that could lead to this high return.
    Regards,

  • @heshamk4824
    @heshamk4824 4 роки тому +5

    deep down from my heart , Thank you Sir

  • @vetiarvind
    @vetiarvind 3 роки тому

    Rather than net income, i think it makes sense to use the book value per share of the initial period to the final period and then add all the dividend payouts in that period on top of the difference of the book values to get the total amount of growth that we've seen after operating expenses is taken into account.

  • @alishertlebaldyyev
    @alishertlebaldyyev 7 років тому

    Thank you very much, Preston! Courses are really nice. However, I found a mistake in the last #35 lesson. The sum of DFCF is not right and it is not in the current calculator on the website, too. Maybe I am confusing something, but I summarised DFCF couple of times and it always shows a little bit different number on the website. If I am wrong, can you tell me why the Sum of DFCF is not accurate. P.S. I wanted to ask a question on the forum, but I have not found any options to start a discussion over there. Thank you for the attention

  • @miro2189
    @miro2189 3 роки тому

    Please may I ask? On which website one can find an efficient, free way to find a company's past book value per share stats over the past 10 year period.
    Any help would be great. Thank you😊

  • @sonnesonne6828
    @sonnesonne6828 8 років тому

    Hie Preston! Lesson 1, there is a part you mentioned that after Buffet has bought stocks of a company. Later he gets money month in month out from every profit of the goods sold, are you able to explain to me what you meant there, Thanks!

  • @IdealPerspectiveVision
    @IdealPerspectiveVision Рік тому

    Sorry but I wanna ask you about the info that you take from morgingstar you did take the financial earnings not the owners earning right ?

  • @arentube8123
    @arentube8123 4 роки тому

    The web resources that I have found say that free cash flow is different than Owners Earnings. Depending on the type of company, they can be very different. So if I can calculate both owners earnings and free cash flow, which should I use?

  • @bw5187
    @bw5187 4 роки тому +2

    I thought in a DCF investment calculation the discount rate was using something more concrete like the WACC for the company under inspection.

  • @brandsafetychris2215
    @brandsafetychris2215 4 роки тому

    Hey Preston, for the company I'm researching the average growth rate calculated was negative..I received an error when I tried to continue, so I just kept it at the default 3%..can you explain what to do in a circumstance like this? I just want to make sure that what's being input into the calculator is correct. Thanks!

  • @Sebbipanza
    @Sebbipanza 4 роки тому

    I hope you see this question = ) Given a company has negative income the present year the calculation will only calculate with positive numbers as I see it. What should one do ? = )

  • @balkrishnatamang8567
    @balkrishnatamang8567 3 роки тому

    Hi Preston,
    Can we not enter owner's earning per unit instead of what you do in DCF calculater?

  • @DVS1N50MN1AC
    @DVS1N50MN1AC 3 роки тому

    How'd you get the DPCF calculation. I keep getting a different number. It's doing my head.

  • @shreyasdubey1594
    @shreyasdubey1594 4 роки тому

    will this calculator be also valid for other currencies.

  • @vidya014
    @vidya014 6 місяців тому

    Try an alternative simple way:
    Settings:
    Owner's earnings per share based.
    DCF year is proportional to CROIC. CROIC = 20%, means 20 years.
    Growth = 0 and Discounted Rate = 0 because they are taken care of by CROIC.

  • @krystarise7021
    @krystarise7021 8 років тому

    I used the calculator and this is what it said, The intrinsic value per share is $48.17 at a 10.00% annual discount rate
    Based on the cash flows you have forecasted and a market price of $58.73, this company may yield a 8.78% annual return. I would like to know if this is a good number.

  • @irakli1264
    @irakli1264 4 роки тому +1

    When evaluating AAPL data, DCF model calculator gave the intrinsic value of $645, whereas the book value based calculator only $145. In both cases prospected time period was 10 years.
    I get that intrinsic value is highly subjective, but what about such a huge difference?

  • @s.m.meherulalam3540
    @s.m.meherulalam3540 2 роки тому

    What benefits for using the Book Value Intrinsic Value calculation