Take this for what it's worth, but I've been handicapping for 30 years and have had multiple books limited (or eliminated) by the ability to bet props/SGP's with them. I'm posting this under some popular videos with the notion that some will find it helpful to hear contrarian ideas. Here are some plays that nobody is talking about where I think the odds are VERY favorable: PLAYS (explained below)- NIX over attempts/25+ yds, T. Franklin ladder to 70 (+1200), CAR TT OVER 16- to 22- (+210) + CAR/NO's over 43 to 51- (+240) + Chuba 60-80+ & TD, DMONT ladder to 80 (+210) + TD + 2 TD's (+500), TEN @ 1/2 & -3 + alt lines to 12-( +330). Leans- DJ Moore + Tre Mcbride overs + K. Allen under (SGP + alone), A. Trautman + Lil Jordan, + E. Moore ladder (FYI- Winston heavily favors WR's over TE's/RB's) SGP's: Nix over 25 rush, T. Franklin over 35-, Balt -3 (+750), D. Montgomery over 70 rush + TD + GB +8- + alt under 55-(+800) DEN O- Last week I got laughed at for saying I thought you should ladder Sutton and avoid Den's run game (Nix Inc.). This week, go under Sutton's recs, over on Nix rush attempts/yds, and ladder Troy Franklin. He's the man-beater on this team (don't worry about snaps; they will snap back) and Mims (great alt lines play) will be the deep threat because Sutton does not get separation vs man D's, lacks speed, and Nix tends not to throw into tight windows. The last man D they faced (NO's), all of those plays would have easily hit. Last week Sutton hit vs a VERY soft zone D. CAR O/Bryce - Bryce got better and nobody noticed because his receivers dropped 2 splash plays and he played an elite pass D on the road with no help from the run game. This week he gets a bad NO's D at home missing his top 3 CBs. I think CAR covers, and has a chance to win, but the safe play is them scoring points and giving them up on D. DMONT over rushing + TD-- The game plan will involve a lot of DMONT in the rain and less Gibbs. Vegas has this wrong (famous last words). DMONT is the mudder, Gibbs isn't. Facts. Last year, everyone played Bijan in the rain over Tyson A. Don't make the same mistake again. I've started looking for reasons to bet on winless home teams by their fourth home game (TEN, CIN, NYG, CAR this week). I lean towards all of them covering this week, but the total team points for the Giants and Panthers are better bets than the spread. Washington is in a big letdown spot, which should weaken their defense. My fav spread bet is TEN. They should dominate early on, and possibly throughout, vs a NE team that is in a big letdown spot. They should dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides, win the turnover battle, and make Maye look like a rookie for the first time this year. This year, every time you thought NE was a decent team, they got pummeled the next week, and TEN is a lot better than public perception. GLand thanks for the video.
I actually LOVE your Ravens 1st half pick. The full game can always get backdoored kinda like how Tampa almost did after being down by 30 and same with Dallas after Ravens were up 28-6
These guys are hard to watch Stucky just goes thru & says what each teams record "should be" & every team he likes is the "unluckiest" team . This is not analysis, this is just recapping past games & talking about hypotheticals. "This team should a won if dude doesn't get jammed at the line"
Stucky also always finds a way to throw in some sort of jab or comment to hint that one of Raybons picks should of lost or he was lucky to win because of something that happened or should of happened. I been noticing that also. He's tough to listen to.
@@Bill-v3g You referencing one week of bets? Small sample size problem for sure if you are. If you tailed Raybon last season you made money. Dude was on a heater. There is no one long term hitting 70% that's BS, maybe over a few weeks. Over the years, the best of the best probably hitting closer to 60% at best. Not sure why you are checking in on these videos anyway if you think Raybon is a hack. Stick with your 70 percenter then
Not to mention the lions are without Jameson Williams and though they didn't really have big fields to deal with last week they didn't show any downfield passing
Stucky is always making up reasons for why a team lost: "team a shoulda best team B but their WR got hurt & they got some bad bounces." What team isn't dealing with injuries & every team gets bad bounces. He just listed like 4 teams the Jets should have best. Who cares, they lost. Like Robert Saleh didn't go to owner & say "Woody, we shoulda best Denver & NE." But ya didn't
The whole point is you’re trying to find value on teams that the market may be too low or high on. Misleading finals can be a way to find those spots. It’s not rocket science.
Sometimes it's valid and sometimes it's not. But I don't know how you bet football if you never do this with teams - how else are you going to power rate? Just look at the two records, say "this team bad, this team good, I bet good"? Because you'd have lost money on the Texans tonight if so
@@Bill-v3g all of their bets are tracked on the app. They have multiple 1000 pick sample size of proven long term winners. You can take the blinders off and try to learn something from 2 guys that actually understand the betting market.
I don't think the Lions have any voodoo it's just pure dominance. I've been saying this for a couple years now Dan Campbell has figured something out but the rest of the NFL hasn't it must be his aggression because the dude is a point spread covering machine. All that said this is the ultimate terrible spot and point sspreadto have to deal with here
Are you kidding you trust Dallas is defense are you guys wanting the same games? The rest of us are oh my God you gotta be kidding. This must be a Halloween joke.
Oh wow! We didn’t have to wait and listen to beer cans being poured into a cup before the show started.
Well, damn! No beer commercial! 🙌🏾
Can't thumbs up this enough
Thank God. Usually it's 5 mins of that 🐂💩
Next week it will be a 20 minute intro
I hate that crap 15 minutes of beer pouring
Take this for what it's worth, but I've been handicapping for 30 years and have had multiple books limited (or eliminated) by the ability to bet props/SGP's with them. I'm posting this under some popular videos with the notion that some will find it helpful to hear contrarian ideas. Here are some plays that nobody is talking about where I think the odds are VERY favorable:
PLAYS (explained below)- NIX over attempts/25+ yds, T. Franklin ladder to 70 (+1200), CAR TT OVER 16- to 22- (+210) + CAR/NO's over 43 to 51- (+240) + Chuba 60-80+ & TD, DMONT ladder to 80 (+210) + TD + 2 TD's (+500), TEN @ 1/2 & -3 + alt lines to 12-( +330).
Leans- DJ Moore + Tre Mcbride overs + K. Allen under (SGP + alone), A. Trautman + Lil Jordan, + E. Moore ladder (FYI- Winston heavily favors WR's over TE's/RB's)
SGP's: Nix over 25 rush, T. Franklin over 35-, Balt -3 (+750), D. Montgomery over 70 rush + TD + GB +8- + alt under 55-(+800)
DEN O- Last week I got laughed at for saying I thought you should ladder Sutton and avoid Den's run game (Nix Inc.). This week, go under Sutton's recs, over on Nix rush attempts/yds, and ladder Troy Franklin. He's the man-beater on this team (don't worry about snaps; they will snap back) and Mims (great alt lines play) will be the deep threat because Sutton does not get separation vs man D's, lacks speed, and Nix tends not to throw into tight windows. The last man D they faced (NO's), all of those plays would have easily hit. Last week Sutton hit vs a VERY soft zone D.
CAR O/Bryce - Bryce got better and nobody noticed because his receivers dropped 2 splash plays and he played an elite pass D on the road with no help from the run game. This week he gets a bad NO's D at home missing his top 3 CBs. I think CAR covers, and has a chance to win, but the safe play is them scoring points and giving them up on D.
DMONT over rushing + TD-- The game plan will involve a lot of DMONT in the rain and less Gibbs. Vegas has this wrong (famous last words). DMONT is the mudder, Gibbs isn't. Facts. Last year, everyone played Bijan in the rain over Tyson A. Don't make the same mistake again.
I've started looking for reasons to bet on winless home teams by their fourth home game (TEN, CIN, NYG, CAR this week). I lean towards all of them covering this week, but the total team points for the Giants and Panthers are better bets than the spread. Washington is in a big letdown spot, which should weaken their defense.
My fav spread bet is TEN. They should dominate early on, and possibly throughout, vs a NE team that is in a big letdown spot. They should dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides, win the turnover battle, and make Maye look like a rookie for the first time this year. This year, every time you thought NE was a decent team, they got pummeled the next week, and TEN is a lot better than public perception.
GLand thanks for the video.
I actually LOVE your Ravens 1st half pick. The full game can always get backdoored kinda like how Tampa almost did after being down by 30 and same with Dallas after Ravens were up 28-6
Stuckeys performance this year is comparable to fat joe at yankee stadium
Fat Joe performance was an embarrassment to the event!!!!!!😮
Elite comment
Remember last year with the Lions vs Ravens. Lions got rolled and it was outdoors against a mobile quarterback.
I do but I also recall the Lions going to GB which was outdoors and rolling up 34 points on GB. They beat them 34 to 20.
Fading Stuckey
These guys are hard to watch
Stucky just goes thru & says what each teams record "should be" & every team he likes is the "unluckiest" team . This is not analysis, this is just recapping past games & talking about hypotheticals. "This team should a won if dude doesn't get jammed at the line"
Haha spot on
Stucky also always finds a way to throw in some sort of jab or comment to hint that one of Raybons picks should of lost or he was lucky to win because of something that happened or should of happened. I been noticing that also. He's tough to listen to.
Maybe man but Raybon is sharp. That's facts
@stevezio33
1 out of 3 isn't sharp. There's handicappers out there hitting 70 plus percent of his games ATS. These 2 are far from sharp
@@Bill-v3g You referencing one week of bets? Small sample size problem for sure if you are. If you tailed Raybon last season you made money. Dude was on a heater. There is no one long term hitting 70% that's BS, maybe over a few weeks. Over the years, the best of the best probably hitting closer to 60% at best. Not sure why you are checking in on these videos anyway if you think Raybon is a hack. Stick with your 70 percenter then
Not to mention the lions are without Jameson Williams and though they didn't really have big fields to deal with last week they didn't show any downfield passing
Stuck sounds absolutely defeated. Show some confidence for god sakes
Stucky is always making up reasons for why a team lost: "team a shoulda best team B but their WR got hurt & they got some bad bounces." What team isn't dealing with injuries & every team gets bad bounces. He just listed like 4 teams the Jets should have best. Who cares, they lost. Like Robert Saleh didn't go to owner & say "Woody, we shoulda best Denver & NE." But ya didn't
The whole point is you’re trying to find value on teams that the market may be too low or high on. Misleading finals can be a way to find those spots. It’s not rocket science.
Sometimes it's valid and sometimes it's not. But I don't know how you bet football if you never do this with teams - how else are you going to power rate? Just look at the two records, say "this team bad, this team good, I bet good"? Because you'd have lost money on the Texans tonight if so
@halodrunkdriver2729
If you're coming to these guys to find value on the point spread, you're going to have a long season
@@Bill-v3g all of their bets are tracked on the app. They have multiple 1000 pick sample size of proven long term winners. You can take the blinders off and try to learn something from 2 guys that actually understand the betting market.
Stuckey is a made man, take notes.
Stop with the 1st half bets 🙄
Fr tho those type of bets are so weird 😭
I don't think the Lions have any voodoo it's just pure dominance. I've been saying this for a couple years now Dan Campbell has figured something out but the rest of the NFL hasn't it must be his aggression because the dude is a point spread covering machine. All that said this is the ultimate terrible spot and point sspreadto have to deal with here
Dan Campbell is like the Joe Muzzuella of the NFL
Let’s tease Buffalo/Baltimore 💰
The Fins Snappers doing that Crap happens a lot.
Sticky hates Goff so his takes are dumb when it relates for the Lions. Goff is money period
Yep and he keeps getting burnt. When will he learn
If Flacco was in vs Houston, Indy would have won.
I am going with Jets SU. Get right game for NY at home
Flacco got screwed over by league politics.
Who wins between Raiders vs Bengals? The Bengals haven't Won at home.
Best Bet (picks they agreed on) Records Week: 1-2
6 Best Bets this week...!
311 HOU @ 312 NYJ (-2.0)
Not discussed
451 NEP @ 452 TEN (-3.5)
Not discussed
453 LAC (-2.0) @ 454 CLE
Raybon likes CLE (+2.0)
Stuckey agrees
455 NOS (-7.0) @ 456 CAR
Not discussed
456 MIA @ 458 BUF
Not discussed
459 DAL @ 460 ATL (-2.5)
Raybon likes DAL (+2.5)
Stuckey agrees
461 DEN @ 462 BAL (-9.0) (44.5)
Stuckey likes BAL (-5.5) 1st half
Raybon agrees
463 LVR @ 464 CIN (-7.5) (45.5)
Not discussed
465 IND @ 466 MIN (-6.0) (45.0)
Stuckey likes MIN (-3.5) 1st half
Raybon agrees
467 WAS (-3.5) @ 468 NYG (43.5)
Not discussed
469 CHI (-1.0) @ 470 ARI (44.5)
Not discussed
471 LAR (-1.0) @ 472 SEA (48.5)
Raybon likes GB (+3.5)
Stuckey agrees
473 DET (-3.5) @ 474 GB (47.5)
Stuckey likes GB (+3.5)
Raybon agrees
475 JAX @ 476 PHI (-7.5) (45.5)
Not discussed
477 TB @ 478 KC (-8.5) (44.5)
Not discussed
Rough week
1-5
Love is probably Not playing.
Raybon seems to like 🐕
What's with these first half picks? Stucky getting desperate here.
When did these guys start betting half? I thought it was sides only. Stuck trying to break a bad trend I guess
chris Raybon USO Yeet
Are you kidding you trust Dallas is defense are you guys wanting the same games? The rest of us are oh my God you gotta be kidding. This must be a Halloween joke.
They are in love with Dallas. When will they learn?
I Don't really want first half score predictions, I want Winners.
Atlanta is overrated. They haven’t beaten anybody and don’t say the Eagles because they were hurt. Dallas will beat Atlanta.
Haha
the Jets are shit. the Texans are hurt.
The Jets keep losing because of their kicker, have you noticed that?
@@Lucianoz28If it wasn’t the kicker they would’ve found another way to lose.
Mia hasn't been with double digits since 1902. Mia luvs getting blown out by Bflo
This Clv pick is disgusting