Market isn't showing evidence that bear market cycle is over, says Fairlead's Katie Stockton

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  • Опубліковано 18 лис 2024

КОМЕНТАРІ • 42

  • @jlvandat69
    @jlvandat69 Рік тому +1

    IMO Katie is one of the best after following her for 12 months, but I am noticing an increased ambivalence in her guidance which tells me the markets are exceptionally uncertain. I remain net short as my personal bias is for significant further downside but the major question is time frame. Markets could remain range bound for another 1-3 months or even longer. Gut says we won't have a steep decline until there's "a catalyst" of some sort, i.e., a major event significant enough to shake the markets out of their complacency and towards new lows. MUCH uncertainty. One key metric I am using is BTC prices. A price below $15K may indicate that excess speculation in the markets is finally ending.

  • @rjl4875
    @rjl4875 Рік тому +6

    Katie got the Sept/Oct 2022 decline to new lows after the July/Aug rally spot on. She continues to be bearish even though we've had the golden cross in the S&P and more recently the QQQ. She still maybe proven to be correct, but most bull market rallies are "born on pessimism".

    • @chrispadilla1582
      @chrispadilla1582 Рік тому +1

      Fundamental haven't changed. Just the expectation of fed cuts are back on since the bank issue. Nothingmore

    • @Andy-gj1jz
      @Andy-gj1jz Рік тому +1

      S and p going down to 3000 3400

  • @kurdi98k
    @kurdi98k Рік тому +3

    This equity market is terrible. Treasuries on the other hand paying me well. Thank you Fed.

  • @lohith7921
    @lohith7921 Рік тому +6

    I'll forever be thankful to you SandraRo, you've changed my whole life, I'll continue to preach about your name for the world to hear, you've saved me from a huge financial debt with just little investment, thanks so much Mrs Sandra Ro.

  • @ari_is_faded8611
    @ari_is_faded8611 Рік тому +3

    Bear markets don't start until after the yield curve steepens which is another way of saying the FED is buying long end treasuries because credit is freezing up. If that is true then the bear market as a result of credit freezing has not even started yet. The yield curve just started steepening in March from the regional bank credit.

  • @hcbides161
    @hcbides161 Рік тому +1

    We’re going down to the lows in 2022…No bull , bearish

  • @illegalsmirf
    @illegalsmirf Рік тому +2

    Has Katie been shorting the rally then?

  • @jasoncora1
    @jasoncora1 Рік тому

    Fair analysis. We shall see.

  • @Shockjock9900
    @Shockjock9900 Рік тому +2

    Keep missing those gains Katie!

  • @marijavasilevska1581
    @marijavasilevska1581 Рік тому +7

    you can tell by her demeanor and body language she is just full of it, don't ever play poker hun, too many tells!

  • @ryanking7816
    @ryanking7816 Рік тому +2

    Is Joe Drunk? WTH? It's Not Even Noon. Jeezus

  • @thisguy73
    @thisguy73 Рік тому

    Katie brought the guns out again. 2x in a row.

  • @Zebra663
    @Zebra663 Рік тому +1

    Unfortunately she has been wrong..tomorrow she may say we are out of bear market and all those who took her advice and didnt invest will lose out

    • @Andy-gj1jz
      @Andy-gj1jz Рік тому

      No one missed out if you got out in time, the s and p is going down 3000 to 3400 then bull market. We shall see if Katie and people like me are wrong.

  • @Andy-gj1jz
    @Andy-gj1jz Рік тому

    Smart and true

  • @bestofsatish
    @bestofsatish Рік тому

    Where is bear market. this is sideways market. If US market rally 20%, it creates wealth effect of $15tn. Even if 20% of 15tn converts to GDP growth, it creates 3tn of growth. This wealth effect alone creates 3% gdp growth over 5 year which will be overheated economy. Don't expect US markets to rally 5% per year if Fed sticks to 2% inflation.

  • @keto6789
    @keto6789 Рік тому +1

    Bring out the permabears ...... she doesn't look happy...

  • @eh7599
    @eh7599 Рік тому +1

    Over? haha It hasn't begun yet!

  • @glowwurm9365
    @glowwurm9365 Рік тому +3

    We’ve only got halfway through the bear cycle, amusing to see the talking heads keep talking about bull markets…

  • @hangender
    @hangender Рік тому

    wat. bear mkt still intact.

    • @Andy-gj1jz
      @Andy-gj1jz Рік тому

      Absolutely, s and p is going down to 3000 3400

    • @hangender
      @hangender Рік тому

      @@Andy-gj1jz 2800 actually

  • @superblondeDotOrg
    @superblondeDotOrg Рік тому

    A "strategies" analyst who missed the recent bank collapse? Not so expert.

  • @patrickharrison9677
    @patrickharrison9677 Рік тому

    Agree. The recession hasn't even started

  • @WalayatFamily
    @WalayatFamily Рік тому

    Her fund TAk sucks, which says it all

  • @MarketOracleTV
    @MarketOracleTV Рік тому

    FFSk who pays these analists salaries?

  • @marijavasilevska1581
    @marijavasilevska1581 Рік тому +3

    her clients all need to flee! you're better off in the Q's than to have her manage your money!

    • @DesmondMiles333
      @DesmondMiles333 Рік тому +2

      She has been right till SPX $4000 again from $3500 i.e. 50% fib. Market has done nothing since then and go sideways so please get your facts straight.

    • @marijavasilevska1581
      @marijavasilevska1581 Рік тому

      @@DesmondMiles333 tell your mom to be quiet!

    • @Andy-gj1jz
      @Andy-gj1jz Рік тому

      Disagree, if you got out when she said you’d be way ahead of the game. Not only that the market is going to break new lows before it goes back up.

    • @marijavasilevska1581
      @marijavasilevska1581 Рік тому

      @@Andy-gj1jz she slept with some black guys!

    • @timothyha4783
      @timothyha4783 Рік тому

      Short term calls not good